Cmefutures
Bitcoin Futures Another Symmetrical TriangleBitcoin CME Futures are so gappy these days because of the high volatility during the weekends, so I decided to write my own script to follow them. This last one is looking like an exhaustion gap after having a breakout gap on lower levels. But currently, there is a symmetrical triangle, which if broken downside we might test the gap support line at 26,645$. However, if broken upside we might try making a double top or just go around 36,000$. I am being very careful with my positions on these levels, I am waiting for confirmation with a candle close or very high volume supporting the break. Let's see if we are finally going to get the retracement that everyone is waiting for.
BTC! CME Futures - when are going to close the gap?What Is a Gap?
A gap is an area discontinuity in a security's chart where its price either rises or falls from the previous day’s close with no trading occurring in between. Gaps are common when news causes market fundamentals to change during hours when markets are typically closed, for instance an earnings call after-hours.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
-A gap is a discontinuous space in the price chart of an asset or security, often occurring between trading hours.
-There four different types of gaps – Common Gaps, Breakaway Gaps, Runaway Gaps, and Exhaustion Gaps - each with its own signal to traders.
-Gaps are easy to spot, but determining the type of gap is much harder to figure out.
What Does A Gap Tell You?
Gaps typically occur when a piece of news or an event causes a flood of buyers or sellers into the security. It results in the price opening significantly higher or lower than the previous day’s closing price. Depending on the kind of gap, it could indicate either the start of a new trend or a reversal of a previous trend.
Gapping occurs when the price of a security or asset opens well above or below the previous day’s close with no trading activity in between. Partial gapping occurs when the opening price is higher or lower than the previous day’s close but within the previous day’s price range. Full gapping occurs when the open is outside of the previous day’s range. Gapping, especially a full gap, shows a strong shift in sentiment occurred overnight.
Bitcoin at 25,000 - 27,000? What's next and where is correction?Hello dear friends.
Congratulations to everyone with a very good profit again if you read my previous trading idea carefully.
My friends and I also took a lot of profit from this price movement, and even, purely luck, took an impulse of 1000 profit pips short.
As I knew, check out my trading idea
"Bitcoin - a look into the future"
As you remember, in my previous ideas I wrote, the 16th will change everything - today is the 17th, we have a new peak.
What about positions, purely for me, this growth - it is not adequate, no, not because I expect a decline (we took almost half of this growth)
For me, this growth is not adequate to the fact that:
We have a lot of unclosed gaps
We have too many long positions
For the CME goals (previous) we are above these values, above the monthly values for CME.
As well as growth without a rollback.
And now for the main thing.
If you see that the price is leading to 23850 - and they are trading there for 1 hour - open a long position to achieve new CME targets. (24650-27335)
But now I prefer to work from the short position, since I know what goals, resistance and support levels are.
Plus, the volume falls, several indicators show overbought
And yes, I look forward to the correction.
Namely, up to such values as - 22270 and the most important target is 20550-20730.
Further, from these values, if the price is brought there, I will look at the formations.
Now, as for me, a correction is needed. And therefore, I open a short position - 23450
with goals such as 23000-22680 -22280 - 21880
Stop loss at 23900.
PS If you see that the price will be above 23750, prepare a long position.
CME TARGETS WEEKS /BTCFUTURESRelevant weekly CME targets.
20395-20550
AS WELL AS
17900-17750
With 93% of one of these goals, the price reaches one of them.
You don't need to invent anything - there is a flat (I am working in it now)
For those who do not know how to work in this situation, I write -
Going beyond the border of this channel will show you the way, either update the bottom if the price is below 18500, or top. 19500 - everything between these values - FLAT
By the way, one of my long positions is now at minus 300 points. But I'm not upset, because this is the market.
You see, I look forward to further growth, although I see how everything goes down. Perhaps I became a fan of bitcoin and the number 20,000 is like candy to me.
Bitcoin - looking into the future)))) - part 2⚡️ I am publishing the final expected CME goals for December and in general for the end of 2020)))
🤑 Upper limit: 22887 - 20937
🤑 Lower limit: 15650 - 13700
🔥 These values give a channel for working within a month and with a probability of 87% (<<<<<-----These are statistics for 2 years) they reach one of the boundaries at the end of the month, to a new expiration of contracts.
💡 The nearest December expiration will be: December 24 (Thursday).
📌 Also on December 24, the expiration of the ANNUAL (12-month) contract will take place.
As for my short position - if I see that the price will be above the level of 19280, there will be trades and creeping on the volume, I will open a long with a stop at 18400.
In the meantime, I see a correction
The first target is taken
Stop loss at 19280.
All profitable trades, and profit for you
BTC-CME Game "Find The Patterns" just for fun...Look thru this BTC CME chart, cleaner than spot charts with no weekend trading...so...
Hints...
Look at Fibs (noted by red arrows)...Golden Pockets at 61.8%-65% Where will the last one take BTC now?
How many " W"'s can you find?
How many "Cup & Handles"
Note the $27K measured move off the Largest "W"
Oh and look at the upward "regression" trend line...BTC just touched to top blue, now where?? Back down to Center Red?
Lesson of the game...BTC will retrace to the Golden Pocket ater "High" is put in...
On spot chart it would be that and the Weekly 21EMA..
Both great price points to Get More BTC
BTC1! CME Bitcoin Futures - GapToday is Monday and as you can see - CME Bitcoin futures created this GAP. Based on history, we have 100% chance, that the gap will be fully or partially filled. There should be a lot of buyers at the horizontal resistance of the triangle. This trade is only a short term quick trade, so there is nothing to be worry about. I expect a pullback to 11 000 - 11 200 USD.
I am not saying we will fill the gap immediately. But it happens rather sooner than later.
Please, hit the like button and follow me for more of these ideas!
Also, check my signature down below ↓
BTC1! FUTUROS DE BITCOIN CME - GAPBuenos días!
*Esta idea a través de Tradingview no es sinónimo para entrar posiciones en corto* primero debemos hacerle un seguimiento a la debilidad en la tendencia actual.... para un retroceso fuerte como lo vemos en el patrón de barras proyectado. no debería superar el máximo anterior $12.635. Para empezar a caer con fuerza en primera instancia, rellenar GAP, ubicado entre los ($9.665 - $9.925). una vez alli un rebote de gato muerto y seguir la tendencia bajista. finales 2020 e inicios 2021
Understanding Risk/Reward through Bitcoin's CME Futures GapsIf you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
In this post, I will be explaining the concept of the Risk/Reward Ratio, also known as the RRR, and the significance of this idea when it comes to trading.
I will also be explaining how this can be applied to Bitcoin's CME Futures Chart on the daily, in regards to gaps.
Analysis
- To begin with, Bitcoin's CME Futures chart shows a huge gap leading down to 9.6k
- Unfortunately, this gap is yet to be filled.
- Given that 99% of gaps that have been created get filled some time in the future, it's likely that this gap will fill as well
- However, solely approaching the chart from the perspective of gaps has its limitations
- For instance, the gap at 11.4k took almost a year to fill.
- As such, gaps don't provide us with a specified time frame as a reference
- Should we fill the gap right now, and bounce at gap support, that would be a 7% move downwards from the current price
- Should we see a stronger bearish price movement that extends below the price gap, we could see a 15% move downwards based on support levels
- The gap support at 8.8k converges with the descending trend line support on the weekly, as well as the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement support (refer to our previous analysis)
- As such, it's reasonable to conclude that a bearish price movement over 15% is less probable.
- On the bright side, it's also important to note that there are some gaps above the current price, indicating potentiality for bullishness
- There is a wide gap at 10.5k levels, and another one at 11.4k
- Given this information, we can estimate our risk/reward when entering a position at current levels
- Splitting our entries into three different levels, we can:
1. Enter at the current price of 10.2k
2. Dollar Cost Average (DCA) at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support at 9.4k
3. Enter at gap support around 8.8k
- This way, we know that our risk is limited, and that the upside remains huge, due to the overall trend being bullish.
- Based on significant support and resistance levels, a trader would then calculate his stop loss target and take profit targets according to his risk appetite.
Conclusion
The trend is your friend. While the short term trend may appear bullish, it could be said that the overall trend for the long term remains bullish. As such, it would be better to look for spot/long entries near support.
Don't predict the market. Take it by levels, and play by probabilities.
- Michael Wang-
BTC1. CME. Mind The Gap!As above so below. I have put the hourly price action neatly into a descending channel. I have seen this interpreted as a falling wedge as well. But, I am looking at wicks too. They often get confirmed insofar as they can broadcast potential channel development. I have an alarm set on trend line A. If this breaks with a nice impulse candle then the upper CME gap will fill. This may provide a long opportunity. But, It's the one below. We have hovered above and foraged within and looking at the development of the daily there is indecision so far. Looking at the Alts I see great areas of untested regions. I just can't shake a bearish sentiment at the moment.
Summary: Ultimately short but an upwards move to fill the upper gap a possibility. Alarm set on that trend line.
Look Out Below ! CME/BTC1! #cmefutures #bitcoin #CME $BTCWell after that Bitcoin dump the other day many are speculating " How low can this go ? " Well there is still a CME BTC futures gap below us on the daily CME BTC1! chart . Can you see above where I have placed the purple arrows on the chart ? That is the gap right there . It's between 9925 - and - 9670 and so we do need to go down there and fill this gap at some point . This gap has been there since late July but since Bitcoin has already gone below 10k today it is highly speculated that we will go down to mid 9k region at least to fill this futures gap . Possibly we go a bit lower too . Will it happen this weekend ? No , because the CME Futures are closed on weekends and Monday September 7th is a holiday in the USA and banks are closed so probably it has to wait until at least Tuesday .
I still expect BTC to hit 14k this year , possibly more , but it seems like we will fill this gap first before we continue on up .
Have a great weekend !