Understanding Bitcoin CME Gaps: Importance/Trading StrategiesBitcoin CME Gaps are price gaps that occur in the Bitcoin futures market, specifically on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). These gaps happen when the closing price of a Bitcoin futures contract on the CME differs significantly from the opening price of the next contract. Here's why they are important and how to trade them briefly:
Importance:
Technical Analysis: Traders often pay attention to CME Gaps because they can act as significant support or resistance levels on Bitcoin's price chart.
Market Psychology: These gaps can signal abrupt shifts in market sentiment, which can influence future price movements.
Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its price volatility, and CME Gaps can exacerbate price swings, making them important for risk management.
How to Trade:
Fill the Gap: Some traders believe that CME Gaps tend to get "filled" eventually, meaning that Bitcoin's price will return to the level of the gap and close it. They might place buy orders just above the gap and sell orders just below it.
Confirmation: It's essential to wait for confirmation before trading CME Gaps. This can include observing price action, volume, and overall market sentiment.
Risk Management: Trading CME Gaps can be risky. Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses, and don't bet too much of your capital on a single trade.
Remember that while CME Gaps can be significant, they are not foolproof trading signals, and trading cryptocurrencies is inherently risky. It's crucial to have a well-thought-out trading plan and consider other factors, such as fundamental analysis and market news, in your decision-making process.
Cmefuturesgap
Bitcoin - All gaps that need to be filled (must see)
I always provide you with very interesting ideas on Bitcoin and other altcoins. This time, we will take a look at all visible and invisible gaps.
The first chart is from Binance SPOT and the second chart is from CME Futures. You know that phrase: "All gaps need to be filled." Is it true or not? Let me know in the comment section right now!
As you can see, there are two gaps on the CME futures chart, and there is a good chance that these gaps will be filled soon. Better now than in the next two years. I am not going to lie, but we can start a new bull market after that.
This bear market is the steepest and strongest in the history of Bitcoin. There are no pullbacks and the price is basically free falling.
I love gaps, because from my experience, there is always a strong reaction exactly at the end or at the start of the gap.
What is a visible gap? The visible gap is clearly a standard gap because the open price of the candle is much higher than the close of the previous candle. There is no price action, and there is a space between these candles. It's very visible to everyone.
What is an invisible gap? Usually, when the price drops significantly, a gap between the candles is created. And if there is no retest of the previous drop, the gap remains unfilled. These gaps tend to be filled as well. BTCUSDT is traded 24/7, so standard gaps are not possible.
Happy trading!
Let's take a closer look at the few CME futures gaps:
1) Bullish gap - 9665
2) Bullish gap - 11205
3) Bearish gap - 28740
Ethereum ST (February 1st 2021)Ethereum/USD (February 1st 2021 through March 2021)
Low: $1,302
High: $3,302
Wanted to come up on another update for Ethereum before the big Chicago Mercantile Exchange futures launches on February 8th.
I think 5 important short term future levels to watch for could be $1,570, $1,901, $2,436, and $2,971-$3,302. I specifically want to see bearish reactions off of those levels, the 1.27 could be important too but maybe not as important as these other fibonacci levels.
I think with the introduction of CME futures for Ethereum, price could get extremely volatile. It may get a glorious pump but it may end in terrible devastation too. Bitcoin's CME futures launch was January 13th 2020, and Bitcoin managed to pump up to mid-February before it took another month to crash. But at that time, things were fundamentally different and Bitcoin had already been in a months-long major downtrend. Ethereum could still be in a major uptrend but if this crash I've been theorizing about comes, it could be far worse than March 2020.
There could be some decent volatility this week before it really starts pumping, but when it gets going it will probably be insane. If a real crash happens after, we could see prices back under $600 for sure. This will be very unpopular, but in my opinion, Ethereum could go back under $100 by the time the bear is done. For now, the market euphoria may only increase more and more.
The red box is my predicted range for Cindicator forecasting this week.
Related ideas attached below:
Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
5 bearish CME GAPSI wanted to point out there are 5 bearish CME gaps on the Bitcoin chart. These gaps are located around $23360, $18355, $9680, $7580 & $3570.
My opinion about this is that $23360, $18355,$9680 and MAYBE $7580 get filled. This is still possible and BTC could continuing keeping its uptrend on bigger timeframe.
If BTC breaks this uptrend, it will likely go even lower than the $ 3570 bearish gap.
BTC! CME Futures - when are going to close the gap?What Is a Gap?
A gap is an area discontinuity in a security's chart where its price either rises or falls from the previous day’s close with no trading occurring in between. Gaps are common when news causes market fundamentals to change during hours when markets are typically closed, for instance an earnings call after-hours.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
-A gap is a discontinuous space in the price chart of an asset or security, often occurring between trading hours.
-There four different types of gaps – Common Gaps, Breakaway Gaps, Runaway Gaps, and Exhaustion Gaps - each with its own signal to traders.
-Gaps are easy to spot, but determining the type of gap is much harder to figure out.
What Does A Gap Tell You?
Gaps typically occur when a piece of news or an event causes a flood of buyers or sellers into the security. It results in the price opening significantly higher or lower than the previous day’s closing price. Depending on the kind of gap, it could indicate either the start of a new trend or a reversal of a previous trend.
Gapping occurs when the price of a security or asset opens well above or below the previous day’s close with no trading activity in between. Partial gapping occurs when the opening price is higher or lower than the previous day’s close but within the previous day’s price range. Full gapping occurs when the open is outside of the previous day’s range. Gapping, especially a full gap, shows a strong shift in sentiment occurred overnight.
Understanding Risk/Reward through Bitcoin's CME Futures GapsIf you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
In this post, I will be explaining the concept of the Risk/Reward Ratio, also known as the RRR, and the significance of this idea when it comes to trading.
I will also be explaining how this can be applied to Bitcoin's CME Futures Chart on the daily, in regards to gaps.
Analysis
- To begin with, Bitcoin's CME Futures chart shows a huge gap leading down to 9.6k
- Unfortunately, this gap is yet to be filled.
- Given that 99% of gaps that have been created get filled some time in the future, it's likely that this gap will fill as well
- However, solely approaching the chart from the perspective of gaps has its limitations
- For instance, the gap at 11.4k took almost a year to fill.
- As such, gaps don't provide us with a specified time frame as a reference
- Should we fill the gap right now, and bounce at gap support, that would be a 7% move downwards from the current price
- Should we see a stronger bearish price movement that extends below the price gap, we could see a 15% move downwards based on support levels
- The gap support at 8.8k converges with the descending trend line support on the weekly, as well as the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement support (refer to our previous analysis)
- As such, it's reasonable to conclude that a bearish price movement over 15% is less probable.
- On the bright side, it's also important to note that there are some gaps above the current price, indicating potentiality for bullishness
- There is a wide gap at 10.5k levels, and another one at 11.4k
- Given this information, we can estimate our risk/reward when entering a position at current levels
- Splitting our entries into three different levels, we can:
1. Enter at the current price of 10.2k
2. Dollar Cost Average (DCA) at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support at 9.4k
3. Enter at gap support around 8.8k
- This way, we know that our risk is limited, and that the upside remains huge, due to the overall trend being bullish.
- Based on significant support and resistance levels, a trader would then calculate his stop loss target and take profit targets according to his risk appetite.
Conclusion
The trend is your friend. While the short term trend may appear bullish, it could be said that the overall trend for the long term remains bullish. As such, it would be better to look for spot/long entries near support.
Don't predict the market. Take it by levels, and play by probabilities.
- Michael Wang-
Current 1 day chart chess board. Currently in a 1day chart bear pennant that has a breakdown target of 8.4k or so but could see a reversal at the golden pocket in the 9.2-9.5k range instead of reaching the entire breakdown target. We've also already tested the weekly chart 21 ema(not shown here) as confirmed support so there's a chance of a reversal here but seeing as how we have yet to fill the 9.7k CME futures gap(not shown here) I have a feeling we at least will send a bottom wick down to do that. It is unlikely it will stop there however as too many traders will be anticipating a reversal right after the gap fill so I'm guessing it will overshoot the gapfill target and head lower than 9.7k At this current point and time anything is possible but based on the current shape of the descending bear pennant it looks like we should see some form of a breakdown or breakout around september 14th if not earlier. Setting phasers to neutral for now.
Bitcoin Price Action vs the CME GapThe reason I started looking into this is because I was wondering if there could be a scenario where the price of bitcoin could stay relatively close to $10k but the CME price when it opens on Sunday gaps down passed the price of bitcoin filling the gap from July then bounce back up to near the current price of BTC. The CME bitcoin futures price closed today at $10,620 so if
The upper chart simply shows the CME gap which formed from the close on July 24th to the open on July 26th and has yet to be filled. The bottom chart shows what the price of bitcoin did during the hours that the CME was closed causing the CME to respond with a gap.
I was curious how close the CME price came to the bitcoin spot price when it gaped, I was looking for any over shoot. Looking at the data it looks like the CME price gaped very close to the spot price with little if any over shoot.
It is possible that the price of bitcoin over the weekend could rise instead of dropping back to or under $10k. As close as the price is to the gap right now I feel pretty strongly that the price of BTC is more likely to drop so that the gap can be filled rather then take off higher from here leaving the gap unfilled.
Bitcoin weekly analysis COINBASE:BTCUSD price just below an important resistance on the weekly time frame.
Even though, i wouldn't be surprised of a large wick attempting to break decisively the 12k, and even finding support above; it's likely, that eventually, we will come back to the 9k-10k area, where we find confluence of a couple of trend lines and the 25 july CME futures unfilled gap.
Wouln't be surprised neither, of a retest of the weekly pivot point.
Gap Fill ? BTC/USDT to 118xx ? #Bitcoin #CME #cryptoBitcoin finally rallied back to hit 10k after an extended period of sideways - Btc Dominance chart went lower than most expected but at least the turnaround has started on the Bitcoin tether chart above . What's BTC target ? Well .. I'm just thinking here that there is a CME futures gap up near 118xx and the blue star on my chart as well as the top of that pink and blue regression band is near 118xx . These gaps usually fill . So it will be great to see Bitcoin close above this upper trendline now ! Is Bitcoin actually making a new upper trendline soon ? I've suspected this would happen - and it makes sense . A new upper trendline will extend further in time until completion thereby making true the 'Lenghthening Cycle' theory of Btc that comes from Benjamin Cowen YouTube channel and which I believe is probably the case . You agree ? Let me know !
Bitcoin Futures - CME Group - Triangle Pattern - Elliott Wave
So you think that the BITCOIN move is insane right? "Trip to Moon" ?
Everything goes according to plan. I hope that this tops out finish soon.
Technically speaking, we are not done with the CME GAP yet. This is an important point, just saying! CAUTION!
GAP 1 - $6210
GAP 2 - $7595
GAP 3 - $10225
GAP 4 - $11945
#BTC #BITCOIN #CMEGROUP #HALVING
3RD TARGET AT 9.5K CONFIRMED BEFORE THAN EXPECTED!WE CONFIRMED THE 2ND TARGET AT 9.5K AND ALMOST REACHED THE 3RD AT 10K!!!
ASTONISHED BY THE SUPRISING POWER OF THIS SHORT (I WONDER IF MID AS WELL) TERM BULL TREND!
CME FUTURES GREAT REFFERENCE!!!
Please Guys! Let me know your opinions! Don't hesitate to comment! than you so much!!
LOVE AND GOOD LUCK!!
ENJOY!!
PREVIOUS IDEAS:
ENJOY!!
BTC outlook for next four monthsThe self-fulfilling prophecy of a post-halving dump combined with a three year old pennant structure is keeping us in an increasingly small range, meaning we should be relatively neutral on BTC, in the medium term only.
Short term a grind back to $6k pennant+200MA support is highly probable.
Medium term a move back up to $8.2k resistance.
Long term the journey to $1 million in 2026 continues.
CME Futures Gaps
Like it or not, self-fulfilling prophecy or not, CME Futures gaps always fill eventually. With gaps at $3580, $9500 & $11000, that would mean a quick collapse spike down to sub $3.5k (don't say this is impossible - we literally just went sub-$4k a few weeks ago and the biggest global recession in centuries is just warming up). After that I'm very confident BTC will sweep past $9.5 in the coming months and $11k will obviously fill when we finally make the push to a new ATH. I have the expectation we will move sideways for longer than expected before true upward momentum begins in 2021.
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Mind The Gap: An In-Depth Analysis on CME GapsThis analyses shows what happened during the last 10 CME gaps. We can use this information to create a scenario on the future predicted price of BTCUSD given the current gap.
We can observe that 8 out of 10 CME gaps were filled within reasonable time. The gap from the 29th of January was filled 30 days later, but I considered this too long. I have been focusing on gaps that were filled within about 7 days. In this case we get a 80% success ratio (and a 90% success ratio when you make it into a 30 day window).
Applying this on the current gap, we are roughly 9% below the top of the gap. This means that we can trade this 9% potential and aim to have the gap recovered within the coming week. Based on historical data purely this should give us around an 80% success rate.
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Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only!
Which CME gap will be closed next?Ladies and gentlemen, you are very welcome to place your bets on which CME Futures gap will be closes:
Is it the CME Futures gap #1 at the 3.5k region?
Or will it be the CME Futures gap #2 which is at the 11.8k level that is going to be closed?
What do you think?
I personally consider myself a Bitcoin bull, so you figure which gap I'd love to see closed.
Cheers!
How to make CME-gap traders happyThe dream of every CME-gap trader:
First we well visit CME Future gap #3 which is the youngest in our CME-gap family. After a mid-short bull-bear fight at the daily support/resistance area at 8930 bears will continue to gain strength as new market participants feel for the first time the rollercoaster ride of emotion the volatility of crypto assets causes. Weak hands ether hedge their remaining profits or accept the losses already made as they cut their bags and trades. At this time we reach CME Future gap #3 were smart money flushes the markets and starts buying their bags. After a short visit price will massively gain steam as the last and also eldest, let's call him Granpa CME Future gap #1 comes into play.
We will see how this dream will turn out. If you are a CME Future gap trader my prayers are with you, as this play also matches my personal bias.
Comments, especially opposing opinions are highly appreciated!
Cheers!
BTC moving down to close CME gap
Last week closed with very bullish candle. Same as month. All together that makes Bitcoin ultra bullish on macro scale. But each move up is usually followed by move down, so this week I expect BTC to head towards CME futures gap.
Support zones located at these levels: 8900 - 9050 - 9160. Highest is little above CME futures gap, but CME price is different from Bitmex/Bybit and this difference is changing all the time, so there will be no surprise, if Bitcoin will dump lower. Just in case, as it always does. Certainly it won't stop where everyone expect it to stop, as whales need liquidity that comes with panic and fomo.
Week chart: