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Cmefuturesgap

Bitcoin’s CME futures gap gives a clue for the 1st big correctonAnytime you see a gap in price action like this they almost always get filled, and typically get filled sooner than later. So while there is a chance bitcoin could turn the current mild retracement into a deeper pullback that goes down to fill this gap, until the current support on btc is broken, which is the top trendline of the rising wedge it now currently has 3 consecutive daily candles above(not shown here), I think it’s more probable that bitcoin waits for a much more powerful resistance line that results in a much stronger rejection before it corrects back down far enough to fill this gap. If the current pullback doesn’t lead to the gap fill then my guess is once we retest the top green trendline of this group of channels: That this would be the perfect time to have our first significant correction of the current parabolic phase of the bull market. I will be prepared for either zone to have a chance to fill that gap and plan accordingly, Also a few measured move targets around the 115 - 116k range so a pullback could potentially occur around that zone as well. *not financial advice*
CME:BTC1!
by DrDovetail
Btc currently retesting top trendline of rising wedge/pennantIt now has 3 consecutive candles above the rising wedge on the daily chart. Should the retest maintain support the breakout target for the entire pennant is 117k. Should the top trendline of the wedge lose support the wedge could still potentially breakdown, in which case we could then see bitcoin correct further to try and fill this gap on the CME BItcon futures chart before resuming the uptrend —-> For now probability favors the break upward until we lose the top trendline of the wedge/pennant as support. Jim Cramer announcing he’s bullish on bitcoin could easily cause enough downside to change that probability though. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Understanding Bitcoin CME Gaps: Importance/Trading StrategiesBitcoin CME Gaps are price gaps that occur in the Bitcoin futures market, specifically on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). These gaps happen when the closing price of a Bitcoin futures contract on the CME differs significantly from the opening price of the next contract. Here's why they are important and how to trade them briefly: Importance: Technical Analysis: Traders often pay attention to CME Gaps because they can act as significant support or resistance levels on Bitcoin's price chart. Market Psychology: These gaps can signal abrupt shifts in market sentiment, which can influence future price movements. Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its price volatility, and CME Gaps can exacerbate price swings, making them important for risk management. How to Trade: Fill the Gap: Some traders believe that CME Gaps tend to get "filled" eventually, meaning that Bitcoin's price will return to the level of the gap and close it. They might place buy orders just above the gap and sell orders just below it. Confirmation: It's essential to wait for confirmation before trading CME Gaps. This can include observing price action, volume, and overall market sentiment. Risk Management: Trading CME Gaps can be risky. Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses, and don't bet too much of your capital on a single trade. Remember that while CME Gaps can be significant, they are not foolproof trading signals, and trading cryptocurrencies is inherently risky. It's crucial to have a well-thought-out trading plan and consider other factors, such as fundamental analysis and market news, in your decision-making process.
CME:BTC1!
by sailortrades
Bitcoin - All gaps that need to be filled (must see) I always provide you with very interesting ideas on Bitcoin and other altcoins. This time, we will take a look at all visible and invisible gaps. The first chart is from Binance SPOT and the second chart is from CME Futures. You know that phrase: "All gaps need to be filled." Is it true or not? Let me know in the comment section right now! As you can see, there are two gaps on the CME futures chart, and there is a good chance that these gaps will be filled soon. Better now than in the next two years. I am not going to lie, but we can start a new bull market after that. This bear market is the steepest and strongest in the history of Bitcoin. There are no pullbacks and the price is basically free falling. I love gaps, because from my experience, there is always a strong reaction exactly at the end or at the start of the gap. What is a visible gap? The visible gap is clearly a standard gap because the open price of the candle is much higher than the close of the previous candle. There is no price action, and there is a space between these candles. It's very visible to everyone. What is an invisible gap? Usually, when the price drops significantly, a gap between the candles is created. And if there is no retest of the previous drop, the gap remains unfilled. These gaps tend to be filled as well. BTCUSDT is traded 24/7, so standard gaps are not possible. Happy trading! Let's take a closer look at the few CME futures gaps: 1) Bullish gap - 9665 2) Bullish gap - 11205 3) Bearish gap - 28740
Short
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
90
Ethereum ST (February 1st 2021)Ethereum/USD (February 1st 2021 through March 2021) Low: $1,302 High: $3,302 Wanted to come up on another update for Ethereum before the big Chicago Mercantile Exchange futures launches on February 8th. I think 5 important short term future levels to watch for could be $1,570, $1,901, $2,436, and $2,971-$3,302. I specifically want to see bearish reactions off of those levels, the 1.27 could be important too but maybe not as important as these other fibonacci levels. I think with the introduction of CME futures for Ethereum, price could get extremely volatile. It may get a glorious pump but it may end in terrible devastation too. Bitcoin's CME futures launch was January 13th 2020, and Bitcoin managed to pump up to mid-February before it took another month to crash. But at that time, things were fundamentally different and Bitcoin had already been in a months-long major downtrend. Ethereum could still be in a major uptrend but if this crash I've been theorizing about comes, it could be far worse than March 2020. There could be some decent volatility this week before it really starts pumping, but when it gets going it will probably be insane. If a real crash happens after, we could see prices back under $600 for sure. This will be very unpopular, but in my opinion, Ethereum could go back under $100 by the time the bear is done. For now, the market euphoria may only increase more and more. The red box is my predicted range for Cindicator forecasting this week. Related ideas attached below: Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Hambooger
BTC! CME Futures - when are going to close the gap?What Is a Gap? A gap is an area discontinuity in a security's chart where its price either rises or falls from the previous day’s close with no trading occurring in between. Gaps are common when news causes market fundamentals to change during hours when markets are typically closed, for instance an earnings call after-hours. KEY TAKEAWAYS -A gap is a discontinuous space in the price chart of an asset or security, often occurring between trading hours. -There four different types of gaps – Common Gaps, Breakaway Gaps, Runaway Gaps, and Exhaustion Gaps - each with its own signal to traders. -Gaps are easy to spot, but determining the type of gap is much harder to figure out. What Does A Gap Tell You? Gaps typically occur when a piece of news or an event causes a flood of buyers or sellers into the security. It results in the price opening significantly higher or lower than the previous day’s closing price. Depending on the kind of gap, it could indicate either the start of a new trend or a reversal of a previous trend. Gapping occurs when the price of a security or asset opens well above or below the previous day’s close with no trading activity in between. Partial gapping occurs when the opening price is higher or lower than the previous day’s close but within the previous day’s price range. Full gapping occurs when the open is outside of the previous day’s range. Gapping, especially a full gap, shows a strong shift in sentiment occurred overnight.
CME:BTC1!
by Yuriy_Bishko
11
Understanding Risk/Reward through Bitcoin's CME Futures GapsIf you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post! I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight. In this post, I will be explaining the concept of the Risk/Reward Ratio, also known as the RRR, and the significance of this idea when it comes to trading. I will also be explaining how this can be applied to Bitcoin's CME Futures Chart on the daily, in regards to gaps. Analysis - To begin with, Bitcoin's CME Futures chart shows a huge gap leading down to 9.6k - Unfortunately, this gap is yet to be filled. - Given that 99% of gaps that have been created get filled some time in the future, it's likely that this gap will fill as well - However, solely approaching the chart from the perspective of gaps has its limitations - For instance, the gap at 11.4k took almost a year to fill. - As such, gaps don't provide us with a specified time frame as a reference - Should we fill the gap right now, and bounce at gap support, that would be a 7% move downwards from the current price - Should we see a stronger bearish price movement that extends below the price gap, we could see a 15% move downwards based on support levels - The gap support at 8.8k converges with the descending trend line support on the weekly, as well as the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement support (refer to our previous analysis) - As such, it's reasonable to conclude that a bearish price movement over 15% is less probable. - On the bright side, it's also important to note that there are some gaps above the current price, indicating potentiality for bullishness - There is a wide gap at 10.5k levels, and another one at 11.4k - Given this information, we can estimate our risk/reward when entering a position at current levels - Splitting our entries into three different levels, we can: 1. Enter at the current price of 10.2k 2. Dollar Cost Average (DCA) at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support at 9.4k 3. Enter at gap support around 8.8k - This way, we know that our risk is limited, and that the upside remains huge, due to the overall trend being bullish. - Based on significant support and resistance levels, a trader would then calculate his stop loss target and take profit targets according to his risk appetite. Conclusion The trend is your friend. While the short term trend may appear bullish, it could be said that the overall trend for the long term remains bullish. As such, it would be better to look for spot/long entries near support. Don't predict the market. Take it by levels, and play by probabilities. - Michael Wang-
CME:BTC1!Education
by Michael_Wang_Official
Current 1 day chart chess board. Currently in a 1day chart bear pennant that has a breakdown target of 8.4k or so but could see a reversal at the golden pocket in the 9.2-9.5k range instead of reaching the entire breakdown target. We've also already tested the weekly chart 21 ema(not shown here) as confirmed support so there's a chance of a reversal here but seeing as how we have yet to fill the 9.7k CME futures gap(not shown here) I have a feeling we at least will send a bottom wick down to do that. It is unlikely it will stop there however as too many traders will be anticipating a reversal right after the gap fill so I'm guessing it will overshoot the gapfill target and head lower than 9.7k At this current point and time anything is possible but based on the current shape of the descending bear pennant it looks like we should see some form of a breakdown or breakout around september 14th if not earlier. Setting phasers to neutral for now.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
1
Bitcoin Price Action vs the CME GapThe reason I started looking into this is because I was wondering if there could be a scenario where the price of bitcoin could stay relatively close to $10k but the CME price when it opens on Sunday gaps down passed the price of bitcoin filling the gap from July then bounce back up to near the current price of BTC. The CME bitcoin futures price closed today at $10,620 so if The upper chart simply shows the CME gap which formed from the close on July 24th to the open on July 26th and has yet to be filled. The bottom chart shows what the price of bitcoin did during the hours that the CME was closed causing the CME to respond with a gap. I was curious how close the CME price came to the bitcoin spot price when it gaped, I was looking for any over shoot. Looking at the data it looks like the CME price gaped very close to the spot price with little if any over shoot. It is possible that the price of bitcoin over the weekend could rise instead of dropping back to or under $10k. As close as the price is to the gap right now I feel pretty strongly that the price of BTC is more likely to drop so that the gap can be filled rather then take off higher from here leaving the gap unfilled.
CME:BTC1!
by Bigsky_Crypto
2
Gap Fill ? BTC/USDT to 118xx ? #Bitcoin #CME #cryptoBitcoin finally rallied back to hit 10k after an extended period of sideways - Btc Dominance chart went lower than most expected but at least the turnaround has started on the Bitcoin tether chart above . What's BTC target ? Well .. I'm just thinking here that there is a CME futures gap up near 118xx and the blue star on my chart as well as the top of that pink and blue regression band is near 118xx . These gaps usually fill . So it will be great to see Bitcoin close above this upper trendline now ! Is Bitcoin actually making a new upper trendline soon ? I've suspected this would happen - and it makes sense . A new upper trendline will extend further in time until completion thereby making true the 'Lenghthening Cycle' theory of Btc that comes from Benjamin Cowen YouTube channel and which I believe is probably the case . You agree ? Let me know !
by shimmeringpath
4
BTC outlook for next four monthsThe self-fulfilling prophecy of a post-halving dump combined with a three year old pennant structure is keeping us in an increasingly small range, meaning we should be relatively neutral on BTC, in the medium term only. Short term a grind back to $6k pennant+200MA support is highly probable. Medium term a move back up to $8.2k resistance. Long term the journey to $1 million in 2026 continues. CME Futures Gaps Like it or not, self-fulfilling prophecy or not, CME Futures gaps always fill eventually. With gaps at $3580, $9500 & $11000, that would mean a quick collapse spike down to sub $3.5k (don't say this is impossible - we literally just went sub-$4k a few weeks ago and the biggest global recession in centuries is just warming up). After that I'm very confident BTC will sweep past $9.5 in the coming months and $11k will obviously fill when we finally make the push to a new ATH. I have the expectation we will move sideways for longer than expected before true upward momentum begins in 2021. Save crucial space on your Trading View chart by utilising the free RSI and StochRSI indicator which overlays both in a clear and helpful fashion. Add the essential EMA/SMA indicator to your chart too. Please give me a thumbs up and follow me if you found my analysis interesting. This is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BCryptological
1
Mind The Gap: An In-Depth Analysis on CME GapsThis analyses shows what happened during the last 10 CME gaps. We can use this information to create a scenario on the future predicted price of BTCUSD given the current gap. We can observe that 8 out of 10 CME gaps were filled within reasonable time. The gap from the 29th of January was filled 30 days later, but I considered this too long. I have been focusing on gaps that were filled within about 7 days. In this case we get a 80% success ratio (and a 90% success ratio when you make it into a 30 day window). Applying this on the current gap, we are roughly 9% below the top of the gap. This means that we can trade this 9% potential and aim to have the gap recovered within the coming week. Based on historical data purely this should give us around an 80% success rate. Follow me for consistent high quality updates, with clear explanations and charts. Please like this post to support me. - Trading Guru -------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer! This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only!
CME:BTC1!Long
by Trading-Guru
6