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CME Gap Aligns with 4h 200 EMAThe CME Gap around 5710-5730 is beginning to align with the 4h 200 EMA. 4h RSI has been diverging bearish 3 times with each leg up within the channel above. Also, a breakdown of that channel has measured moves down that align with both the 4h 50 and 200 EMA: - 50 EMA an 0.5x measured move down - 200 EMA a 2.5x measured move down Pre-req on targeting the gap is a breakdown of the parallel channel shown above, and then loss of the 4h 50 EMA. Good luck!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by dudebruhwhoa
EURUSD – CME Gap and 0.786 Fib Align at Key Demand ZoneEURUSD has been trading with a strong bullish tone recently, breaking through previous resistance levels with conviction. However, after the latest impulse move to the upside, the market is now showing signs of exhaustion. Price has begun to pull back in a controlled manner, creating a potential opportunity for a deeper retracement into a more favorable area of interest. This kind of pullback is typical after an aggressive rally, and right now, there’s clear evidence that price may need to revisit lower levels before any further continuation higher. Technical Confluence at Its Best: Below the current range, there is a high-probability demand zone that combines three powerful elements: a well-respected historical support area, a CME gap that was left unfilled during the previous rally, and a 0.786 Fibonacci retracement from the latest bullish leg. These levels don’t just sit close to each other, they stack right on top of one another, forming a dense pocket of liquidity and technical confluence. The market often gravitates toward these types of zones to rebalance price and fuel the next directional move. Short-Term Bearish Setup – Let Price Come to You: The expectation is for price to dip lower in the short term. This would allow the market to tap into the unfilled CME gap and sweep the liquidity resting below the current structure. Traders who went long late in the move are likely to have their stops sitting just beneath recent lows, and this sets the stage for a classic inducement and stop hunt scenario. Price doesn't need to collapse, just a healthy retracement into this confluence zone to rebalance and refill the inefficiency before the real move begins. Bullish Reversal Expectations: Once price fills the CME gap and reaches into the 0.786 Fib retracement level, the focus shifts back to bullish. If the market holds this support cleanly and shows early signs of strength, like a displacement back above short-term structure or a strong engulfing candle, this could signal the beginning of a new upward leg. Given the context and momentum from the previous rally, it’s reasonable to anticipate a strong reaction that could drive price back toward the recent highs or potentially even higher. The Psychology Behind the Setup: This type of setup is a textbook example of how smart money operates. Price leaves a gap, traders pile in on the breakout, and then the market retraces to fill the imbalance and shake out weak hands before resuming the trend. Understanding the logic behind the CME gap, the liquidity below price, and how the Fib level ties everything together gives this setup depth. It’s not just about lines and zones, it’s about how liquidity flows through the market and how structure sets up to trap and reward. Conclusion: Patience is key. Rather than chasing the bullish momentum at current levels, the plan is to wait for price to revisit the zone where the CME gap, historical support, and the 0.786 Fib level align. That’s where the real value lies. If the reaction from this zone is clean and confirms strength, it offers a high-probability entry for the next leg up. No need to force anything, let the market come to you, then execute with precision. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
47
Ethereum - CME Gap fill before going up ?Ethereum has formed a classic CME Gap between $1,707 and $1,765, following a strong breakout. CME gaps, especially over the weekend, are statistically likely to be filled before the next major move. We’re watching for a retest of this gap zone with a potential bounce at the lower boundary, creating a solid long entry opportunity. Entry: 1,710–1,725 (inside the CME gap) TP1: 1760 TP2: 1800 TP3: 1900 SL: 1,667 (below gap & invalidation of bullish structure) Like and support us for more such idea. Cheers GreenCrypto
CME:ETH1!
by GreenCryptoTrades
Bitcoin - CME Gap fill before going up ?Bitcoin CME Futures have formed a clear CME Gap in the $91,600 – $93,400 zone (highlighted in blue). Historically, these gaps tend to get filled before the price resumes its trend. Price may dip into the gap zone (91,800–93,400) to fill the imbalance. We have a entry around the lower part of the gap ($91,800–$92,200). Stop loss: Below $91,500 to invalidate the setup. After the gap fill, we can expected strong bullish continuation Entry: 91600 TP1: 92800 TP2: 93500 TP3: 94500 SL Below 90500 Like and support for more ideas. Cheers GreenCrypto
CME:BTC1!Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
ETH1! (Ethereum Futures - CME) Analysis Based on Gap Filling📉📈 ETH1! (Ethereum Futures - CME) Analysis Based on Gap Filling On the daily chart of Ethereum Futures (ETH1!) on the CME, three significant price gaps can be observed. Historically, these gaps tend to get filled over time. Based on market cycles, we estimate that around 200 days remain until the end of the crypto bull cycle, after which the bear cycle may begin. 🔹 Key CME Gap Levels: 🔸 Lower Gap: $1450 - $1550 (Largest Gap) 🔸 Mid Gap: $2550 - $2625 🔸 Upper Gap: $2900 - $3200 📌 Trade Setup Suggestion: ✅ Entry: $1480 ⛔ Stop Loss: $1300 🎯 Target: $3200 🔥 Risk management and confirmation signals using price action are recommended. If the price reacts at the $2550 - $2625 level, partial profit-taking could be a good strategy. 🧐 What do you think about this analysis? Do you also expect these gaps to be filled? 🤔👇 #Ethereum #ETH #CME #Crypto #Futures #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
CME:ETH1!Long
by TradeEngineering
1
ETH has two pending CME Gaps#ETH #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + ETH has two pending CME future gaps to filled. + First gap is around 2900-3400 range and second gap is around 2500-2600 range. + Sooner or later these CME gaps will get filled. I'm expecting Gap2 get filled in this or next month and Gap 1 in the second or third quarter. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
CME:ETH1!Long
by VectorAlgo
Bitcoin, Mind The Gap (85,720) The massive move initiated from Trumps tweet Sunday about the Crypto Strategic Reserve has left a massive gap on the Bitcoin Futures Chart. Gaps tend to get fill sooner rather than later, with a high 90% hit rate on gaps getting filled. We could see a pullback this week to fill the gap with another run up following back above 90k to save the weekly close ... again. We see confluence with the golden pocket (0.6128 - 0.65 Fib) here on that retracement and also the most amount of volume (VPVR) being traded there. A final test of the demand below 90k, which if shown as support, will lead us back into the range of 90k to 110k.
CME:BTC1!
by Mamocoin
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period... BULL MARKET PULL BACKS Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels. The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE). We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post). ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING? As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market. CME GAP Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles. To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post. The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close. NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle. 21W EMA & 20W SMA Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC. ORANGE TREND LINE Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher. * Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top. * Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s). Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
CME:BTC1!
by Brodie
1
BITCOIN FILLED CME GAPToday BTC might have bounced-off a 5 months away gap. OPPORTUNITY : Ideal buy was in the now filled CME GAP. We might revisit these price, so 79100$ remain a good spot for a BUY/LONG alert. General buy zone is from 72.5k$ to 85k$ and should last until approximately mid April . TARGETS : Ideal sell would be 136425$ in late July (23/07). Probable sell zone go from 130k$ to 160k$ and should span from early June to early August . MAXIMAL $ TARGET : - There is still a chance for a powerful leg up, in the event of prices nearing 200k$ , profit will have to be taken regularly and without restraint. MINIMAL $ TARGET : - A faillure to break above last ATH, so 110k$ is definitely a partial sell price (and will react). MAXIMAL time TARGET : - All positions (including altcoins) should be closed before October 2025. Based on Chart Tools : - Fibonacci levels from Retracement and Extension - Expansion/Consolidation periods durations tendencies from this bullrun - Regression over time of said periods - Percent change of said Expansions periods Statistical Arguments : - Past Bitcoin cycles (2016 & 2021) general seasonality - Coinglass's Bull-Market-Peak-Signals had 0/30 indicators showing a top Fundamentals : - Optimistic US inflation - Peace negociations - Pro-business policies - Blockchain technology usage growth - Bitcoin & major crypto adoption in finance Bias : - Up-trend intact - No hard corrections compared to previous bullrun - I guess i could use some profit
CME:BTC1!Long
by LOKEN94
BTC1! short idea with open gap fill and catching a quick longAs you might know, open gaps have a fill-rate of 90-95%. Additionally the open CME-gap (1W-basis) has much confluence with important technical levels for support and it lies in the middle of two zones where enormous amounts of USDT-inflows came into the market. 1. the 2024-range (Q1 - Q3) 2. the 2025-range (Q1 at least) Where the new neckline also is, the new support that became resistance appeared. It might also be a good strike for smart money to know that above the biggest orderblock of 2024 support has developed more strength and consequence. So why you don't give it a try to retest it? Here a maximum of buying pressure should lead to a strong bounce of BTCUSD towards a new alltime-high, if and as long as global liquidity rises again. But if not, at least inflation should do half of the bullish job for BTCUSD and a "sideways up" would be my - historically BIASed - expectation. It begins with a shorter short. In the end it might be a very, very quick longer long because of my expectation of rising buying pressure with huge volume delta for the bulls below 78k.
CME:BTC1!
by BossmodeInvestments
2
Strong attractor to $BTC price around 88kWe can see a beautiful confluence of technicals around 88k 1- Blue dotted line; multiyear (since 2021) strong resistence trend 2- Orange dashed line; recently reseted volume-weighted average price 3- Green tick line; exponential moving average from last 200 12h periods 4- Purple arrow down; target from shoulder-derivated triangle 5- Green fine line; important multiyear Fibonacci-circle level If this important resistence made of lots of confluences doesn´t hold, we will see the CME gap closed after price plunges to the marked orange square
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by CCCLopes
Let's talk about CME📈In most cases, BTC is likely to move upward and fill the green CME gap section. This could lead to significant movements in altcoins, potentially triggering the next phase of the bull run and the start of an alt season. 📉However, in the worst-case scenario, if BTC breaks the critical $90K support zone, we could expect a continuous downturn, possibly filling the red CME gap. If this second scenario unfolds, altcoins are likely to experience substantial losses, and the first stage of the alt season may be missed. 📌In the first scenario, if the alt season starts BTC will continuously try to breaks the $90K super support zone. Setting stop losses becomes very important at this stage.
CME:BTC1!Long
by C-Squad
Mean Reversion CME GAP at FOMC -> Pump until BOJ Rate DecissionHello guys! I will share a mean reversion idea on Bitcoin with you today. I expect Bitcoin to close the CME Gap, that got made at the beginning of the week. Currently we are very close to starting the recovery process. The CME Gap closing aligns very good with a mean reversion to the 50EMA on the 4hr timeframe. This could be an indication for a trend continuation of Bitcoin to the upside until friday when the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will decide their rate policy. We will look into the chart from a new perspective on friday so take this trade idea as a short term one. I mentioned in the chart that we have an unrecovered pink vector candle at the top. This could be an good area to aim for in the reversal process to take profit. With good execution this could be an good trade from 102k to 108k. Me personal, I don't think we will see a rate cut and if so only a small one. So nothing that will shake the markets to hard. I hope. Trade SAFE!
CME:BTC1!Long
by reports20netrust
False move monday on BitcoinWe are currently sitting at the EMA50 on the 4hr timeframe. It looks like we are doint a mean reversion here again. The top was quick and formed a wick but I couldn't finde any vector candle that could be liquidity pools to recover. We also have a CME GAP at $54.2k which will be recovered soon in my opinion. We had the retest of the $58k level which was very important but I expected it to happen on wednesday. Lets observe price action but my observation leans towards shorting.
CME:BTC1!Short
by reports20netrust