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Bitcoin - New CME GAP! + All unfilled GAPS (cheat) Bitcoin has created a new CME GAP between 28215 - 28265. It's also the POC of the consolidation structure, so it could be a good short-term trade when the price makes a pullback. First, let me explain some important facts about CME gaps. CME Futures on Bitcoin started in December 2017. We had dozens of unfilled gaps from 2017 - 2023, and all of them have been filled. So the statistical probability of filling these gaps on Bitcoin is 100%. When the CME futures started, the huge bear market of 2017–2018 started, and Bitcoin crashed by 84%. Let me remind you (if you forget it), that the major CME GAP between 20330 - 21110 is completely uncovered, and the question is when we will cover it. It can take a few weeks or a few months, or maybe later. Time is not important. In total, we have 3 unfilled GAPs on the daily chart. One is above the current price between 34450 - 35180. Two are below the current price, between 28215 - 28265 and 20330 - 21110. On the left side of the chart, you can see fair value GAPS on the spot market. These gaps tend to be filled if they are massive, and these gaps are extremely huge. In my opinion, we are going to go down sooner or later, fill them, and take liquidity below 15.5k. It could happen in Q4-2023 or Q1-2024 due to my calculations. If you find this analysis informative, hit like/boost right now! Appreciate it. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately. Thank you for reading!
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
95
CME Gaps: Don't Ignore Them... How often have you heard this term “CME gap” on Twitter, Reddit and other social media platforms. People usually refer to CME gaps during and after the weekends. “There is a CME gap at $9800”, “Bitcoin is about to make a huge gap on the CME chart”, “gap has been filled” and so on. What is CME CME stands for Chicago Mercantile Exchange. It is the world’s largest financial derivatives exchange. This futures platform allows one to trade variety of asset classes like: agricultural products, energy, stock indices, fiat currencies, interest rates, real estates, metals and even they have futures trading options for weather. What is a GAP To put it plainly; A gap is simply an area on a chart that has no trades. It is basically an empty space between the close and open price of an asset. You can see the current gap just filled down at 19k-20k last week. CME Bitcoin futures gap: Bitcoin (BTC) is being traded 24/7 on majority of crypto exchanges, but not on CME. Bitcoin does not trade during weekends on CME and this causes gap on CME chart once the trading resumes on the platform. The CME gap on Bitcoin typically occurs when the price of Bitcoin moves after the CME futures market is closed. Once CME opens; the trade on CME resumes at the same price as other Bitcoin exchanges thus creating a gap on the CME chart. Why do they fill? Price gaps getting filled is not just a CME phenomenon and is not just a Bitcoin thing. It’s a common occurrence that can also be seen quite regularly within stock and traditional markets. In most cases the price tend to fill the gaps and due to this many technical analysts consider gaps when doing price analysis. But why do they fill? In physics there is a famous saying: “Nature abhors a vacuum“. This idiom is used to express the idea that any unfilled, empty spaces are unnatural and goes against the laws of physics and nature. This is based on Aristotle’s observation. Nature contains no vacuums because the denser surrounding material continuum would immediately fill the rarity of an incipient void. Could this possibly be the reason why the gaps are getting filled? Well, there are several different theories regarding this but the fact is no one exactly knows why gaps fill. Trading based on BTC gaps Although CME accounts for a large portion of BTC traded volume, the price of Bitcoin does not necessarily gravitate towards CME gaps. There are so many other factors such as Volume, momentum, buy / sell pressure, technical structures, support / resistance and many more.Traders consider gaps as an interesting marker on a chart. But they don’t necessarily trade on as they are not always a reliable indicator. They have high hit rate and so using them on your technical analysis will help you position yourself on the right side of the trade. However taking a trade solely based on this one factor is a wrong move. Trading gaps seems like an easy strategy but the risks are high and in most cases you’ll be on the losing side. So do not risk your trade account with just this one strategy. Use proper risk management, set stop losses and be sure to trade safe. Apart from this there are other types of gaps which traders use in their technical analysis like for example: Liquidity gap, Breakaway, Balanced price range, Fair Value gap and so on... I have located all the 'Unfilled' CME BTC gaps in the chart...
CME:BTC1!
by E9XBT
3
CME close as minor S/R levels.Not a great deal of excitement to be had from bitcoin lately. However here's a recurring pattern i have been observing lately since we've been stuck in so many tight ranges. Quite simply the horizontal lines here correspond to recent CME weekly close prices. The whole gap filling thing is well known so i won't go into that but what is more interesting is how many times these lines have provided minor supports and resistances when viewed in shorter time frames. Last week's close level has provided us 6 small bounces since tuesday, perhaps more if we zoom into even lower timeframes from last weekend. This is not an isolated case either. Obviously this is mainly of interest for scalping while the market is so tightly bound but it's useful to note that some like the 18th and 25th Nov closes lower down have also given us so larger bounces. To clarify the price i'm using is the actual weekly close from the CME futures regardless of any divergence it has from the spot price at that same time. Initially i was just looking at them for gap fill targets but it seems they continue to be useful even after that. Worth taking the time to explore this while the market is sideways. I expect this idea will become obsolete whenever btc starts to show signs of a trending direction, either up or down. Of course, we may be waiting some for that to happen.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by mutantdog
10k BTC if the price doesn't hold support!Here's a quick look at the weekly BTC chart. As we can see, the price is currently in the crucial support zone, and the price has to hold the support zone to avoid a significant downside. If the price doesn't manage to keep the critical support zone, the price will likely end up in the 12.5k - 9.5k price range. I must mention that there is still an open CME gap at 9.7k, and we may very well end up at the 9k level and thereby close that CME gap. Tho there's no specific timeline for when they'll get filled. ------------------------------------------- What is a CME gap? Key points: A CME gap is a break in the graph of the trading prices of an asset, in this case, Bitcoin. So if BTC closed at 8700, then opened the next session at 9400, there would be a 700-point gap in the chart. Some traders believe that gaps will get “filled.” Meaning the asset will go back down, in this example, and “fill the gap.” ------------------------------------------- If you like the content, then make sure to comment and like the post :D Follow me for daily profitable trading setups BTC dictates the market. If BTC falls, then Alts will fall as well. Trade safe!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by MBM_Crypto
8
CME Reportables for BitcoinThe CME report for the 23rd to 30th of August came out Friday and saw interesting price action from Bitcoin. Another approximate 1k range is currently between 20.4k and 19.3k. This is similar to the previous range of 21.8k to 20.8k. As of the report, Exchanges (Dealers/Intermediaries) increased their Longs by a massive 293%. The change in Shorts being negligible could indicate an interest in holding the current lows. Asset Managers / Institutionals are still closing their long positions and adding shorts however given that the majority of their Long positions were created in November, December, and again in March they are currently very out of position and this seems to be an act to hedge themselves and mitigate risk. This can be seen as they have closed 1306 positions or 18% of their Longs since August 16th. 2 CME Gaps in Price Action still exist from November and December of 2020 at 17k and 18k. With the majority of low leverage liquidity from July and August under the current low at 19.3k a breakdown in price would occur swiftly to test lows from the beginning of July. Until this range is confirmed broken, then the Support at 19.3k and 20.4k is still valid. A word of caution; Be very careful Shorting into Support or Longing into Resistance. Wait for confirmation of range break and assume it is a fakeout until it is confirmed as a breakout.
CME:BTC1!
by TrendmasterOfficial
🤖 #BTCLIVE - 09.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 09.08 - #IDEA 🤖 60:40 Mid-Term Bullish:Bearish Technical Analysis: Current Status: Big rejection hit as outlined in yesterdays BTCLIVE with TD9's, Exhaustion candle and bearish divergence into resistance - multiplied by the Tornado Cash blacklisting. We have taken out the high support of $23.8k and looking to test the more critical support of $23.2k. There is a large amount of support in this area: - 50EMA - 20 EMA - Weekly Pivot - CME Gap - Trendline - Potential Bullish Divergence That should hopefully, the key analysis is the bullish divergence that is not confirmed yet but could help support a retest and bounce here. A long with a pretty tight stop-loss here could be an option, although keep the stop-loss tight - very high risk. The only issue is that there is a considerably amount of unpredictable new circulating atm, especially the Tornado Cash blacklisting as this could be a floodgate to other services and the depth may be quite damaging as it is unlikely this will be isolated to just Tornado Cash. The rest of the news is not particularly impactful so just keep an eye on how this unfolds - it will be interesting to see what the US does when on line. On the whole I am still more bullish than bearish Bullish Scenario Bounce here at $23.2k and track up to longterm range target of $25k - $26k. A lot of TA suggesting a possible bounce along with a lot of volume if the US market doesnt drop the price below $23k the it would all be relatively bullish. Bearish Scenario If the Tornado Cash impact unfolds to affect more services then unloading of BTC reserves could start occurring - I believe this was the cause of the recent dump - a daily close below $23.2k would likely lead to further downward pressure with a realistic target of $22k. Key News: + Iran completes its first foreign trade worth $10 million using #cryptocurrency. - @circlepay 's USDC has officially blacklisted every Ethereum address sanctioned by the US Treasury + $100K #Bitcoin could be a matter of time, says Bloomberg Intelligence + UAE-based retail store Day To Day will accept #Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as payment methods. - #Binance will disable off-chain transfers to WazirX on August 11th. - U.S Treasury has blacklisted 'crypto mixer' Tornado Cash. home.treasury.gov - Singapore-Based Hodlnaut Halts Withdrawals Citing ‘Market Conditions’ beincrypto.com Metrics: Exchange + Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to fall, it indicates lower selling pressure. - Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are high compared to the 7-day average. Higher deposits can be interpreted as higher selling pressure. Miners / Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. / Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average. On-Chain - aSOPR - More investors are selling at a profit. In the middle of a bull market, it can indicate a market top. + Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins + Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Fear phase where they are currently with unrealized profits that are slightly more than losses. + Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has increased by 30.00% compared to yesterday. - Active Addresses - The number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has decreased by -4.00% compared to yesterday. + Transactions - The total number of transactions has increased by 2.00% compared to yesterday. Sentiment + Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase. - Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong. - Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment. Derivatives + Funding Rate - Long position traders are dominant and are willing to pay to short traders. - Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Selling sentiment is dominant in the derivatives market. More sell orders are filled by takers. / Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend. - Liquidation - 22775722.97 of long positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours.
by Kryptochristian
CME Gap: 2022 JulAfter 6 months absence, going to start my monthly thread on CME:BTC1! I have updated the monthly direction table for last 6 months. Even during a major bull run majority of the time CME Week was showing a weakness. However for last 6 months, CME week is showing a more of a ranging performance followed by weakness. CME Data: Trade Volume increasing while Open Interest is reducing, meaning contracts are getting closed prior to settlement. Gaps: Currently 2 major gaps are open Gap Open - 2022 May , within the price range of 34450 to 35925 Gap Open - 2022 June, within the price range of 27300 to 28945 Trades: Looking for short if price tries to get stronger prior to final settlement date.
CME:BTC1!Short
by cryptochi1986
When will it stopBTC is looking delicious these days, sidelined money is slowly coming back to the market as we all feel bullish these days but when will it stop? Or will it stop anyways? As we all know that BTC likes to fill the CME gap. The nearest CME gap is between 27.3-28.8k. If you look at the chart if BTC continues to go up it will meet the downtrend line which is from November 2021 at the same levels of CME gap. What a coincidence? If you look at the daily RSI chart when it reaches to 70 level BTC makes downside correction moves so around 28k daily RSI will be 70.. So what these data tell us? I think 28k is a good price to take profit and I think we will see a final leg down may be to the 16-18k after this 28k movement..
Long
by flymetothemoon2109
⚡️ #BTC OUTLOOK - 20/07⚡️⚡️ #BTC OUTLOOK - 20/07⚡️ We have arguably broken the range that we are in although it is definitely on the edge. At the moment there is still a sizeable amount of shorts above us (approx. 1k BTC on Binance - doesn't seem huge but relatively it is pretty big). The worst thing that can happen is losing $22.9k then I feel it would be a bit of a collapse back in to the range heading quickly to $21.8k and then ultimately about as low as $20k. The bullish scenario which I am slightly leaning towards is that we consolidate here for a day and eat away at the shorts before pumping through, the short/mid term target here would be $27.3k to $28.8k to basically fill the CME gap. What to watch out for? Any FUD, if it is going to drop then it will drop whilst we are trying to break out of this key resistance so please be wary of that. We are at the mercy of order books that can be unreliable to be exact but do help gauge sentiment quite well usually. Further on-chain data - is suggesting that we are coming up to a pretty important bullish turning point Source: Glassnode #Bitcoin is currently in the process of breaking above three long-term pricing models: - Realized Price (average cost basis) - Long-Term Holder RP (Cost basis of LTHs) - 200-week Moving Average
by Kryptochristian
Bitcoin CME GAP Chart ( My $23795 & $18740 GAP Filled )#Bitcoin CME GAP Chart:- $Bitcoin Currently trading at $22,000 As per Market sentiment Bitcoin is Bullish in Lower Time Frame. And Two CME GAP $23795 & $18460 GAP filled after My Chart Post. As per Data max probably all CME Gap filled. So now in BTC Chart:- December 2020 to Till now total 10 Gap in Daily Chart . CME GAP 1 = $18460 filled ✅ CME GAP 2 = $23795 filled ✅ CME GAP 3 = $60165 filled ✅ CME GAP 4 = $48370 filled ✅ CME GAP 5 = $32930 filled ✅ CME GAP 6 = $35180 Unfilled ❌ CME GAP 7 = $11205 Unfilled ❌ CME GAP 8 = $9665 Unfilled ❌ New CME GAP = $28740 & $35180 Imo this Time $28740 GAP will filled First. So Now Three CME GAP still Unfilled so Which Gap filled first..? CME GAP 6 = $35180 Or CME GAP 7 & GAP 8= $11205 & $9665 Hope you Understand and Learned from My chart. So Please don’t forget to Like and Share.
CME:BTC1!Long
by CryptoPatel
4
Possible “Bottom” Targets Based on Elliott WaveBTC is currently correcting from an ATH of 69,000 in either an ABC zig-zag or a WXY combination wave and I've attempted to find possible bottom targets using Fibonacci clusters based on rules for both zig-zags and combo waves. Two ranges have appeared as a result of this study. First, is the range from 12,500 to 9800 and the second is a range from 4,500-3,400. A key level to watch is 10,800 which is the 1.618 of W where there could either be a bounce to the upside in a WXYXZ pattern or a continuation to the downside in an ABC. High Level Count: CME gaps within the ranges:
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by HelioHelix
BTC CME Gap What is CME Gap? (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) ( CME ) A CME gap is created when the price of Bitcoin opens above or below the previous day's close on the CME exchange. One of the prime reasons for CME gap creation is that CME markets remain closed over the weekend and during a part of the day. Bitcoin, on other spot exchanges, is traded 24×7. Historically, the percentage of CME gaps that get filled is between 60-80%. Hence, using it as an indicator provides you with a degree of accuracy. A review of previous events could shade more light on this claim. There is a possibility of a reversal because the GAPS are filled This is my idea. I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome to this chart, Do not consider it FINANCIAL ADVICE. This chart is likely to help you in making better trade decisions. I am not a market maker I could be wrong. Everything is on the chart. Thank you
CME:BTC1!Long
by TheCryptoCity
4