CMG
A Trillion Dollar Tailwind As Apple Helps Will the Stock Market It's a celebration! Apple (AAPL) made history by breaking the trillion dollar market. After some delay, the stock market joined the party.
"A Trillion Dollar Tailwind As Apple Helps Will the Stock Market Higher" drduru.com $SPY $QQQ $AAPL #AT40 #T2108 #VIX $CMG $DPZ $MSFT $XLP $CAT $RIO $BHP $X
Sell your CMG, risk against higher high on weeklyCMG: we still in downtrend on weekly. 3 part bull div on daily is probably related to weekly trying to make a higher high (it hasnt yet). This could be a sell opportunity with stop if we break higher high. The target would be the gap fill and weekly volume profile node. Because its a short, on a daily-weekly timescale, and the r:r isnt great, this is not a perfect trade.
The Stock Market's Time to Test Buyers' ResolveThe stock market put in a strong week as the bounce from lows and supports continues. Caveats are still glaring like low/declining volume.
The Stock Market's Time to Test Buyers' Resolve drduru.com $SPY $QQQ #VIX $AAPL $AMZN $IWM $BBY $BHP $CMG $XLI $XLV #AT40 #T2108 $DE $ITB $LGIH $MNRO $MTCH $NIB $RIO $X
CMG Daily shooter after earningsInside bar after earnings is one of the inside bar trades that can break the 8ema rule as the earning day may be taken as a whole new start,
which implies strong potential momentum.
CMG had a 25% rally after the earning report to come back to the stage,
and it gave a daily shooter here, I like the long much more than the short though.
Of course, if it breaks to the downside, the room of correction also looks juicy to trade the gap filling,
but I'd rather skip the trade with regards to how it soars to the sky.
That is, if it breaks to the downside first, this trade doesn't exist anymore!
Let's see how it goes!
Stock Market’s Stop Signs Fail to Yield to A Busy Earnings WeekLast week was chock full of earnings. There was enough GOOD news to lift the market out of the doldrums, but profit-takers were instead the most active. Some individual stocks perform fantastically and will be the ones to watch going forward. They may leave the rest of the market behind as the major indices get weighed down by some big under-performers.
The Market’s Stop Signs Fail to Yield to A Busy Earnings Week drduru.com $SPY $QQQ $IWM $XLF $XRT #VIX #T2108 #AT40 $AAPL $AMZN $AZO $BA $BBY $CAT $CMG $FB $FSLR $INTC $MMM $MSFT $ORLY $GLD $SLV $DXY $USD $AUDJPY #forex
Short CMG Because of The Low Volume Breakout + Same As 12/4/2017I think CMG will retest the breakout location (325-330 price level) by the end of this week (might happen as soon as today).
The reasons are that the current price action mimics the December 4th, 2017 price action, where CMG sold off into the afternoon.
Another reason is that the volume is not significant and that there is no positive news catalyst driving the spike.
The rationale is that this is simply a technical breakout and CMG will resume the downtrend once the shorts have finished covering today.
CMG fibChipotle has dumped after reccent news. Chart candles are for 1 week. I believe it is sitting a key support zone and fib level, and has a good chance of reversal.
This is my first time using Fibonacci levels on a chart. Please feel free to offer comments, criticism, feedback.
Cheers and good luck
CMG Potential double bottom, for risk lovers.In terms of fundamental analysis , even the most junior finance department student will suggest to avoid CMG 0.80% stock as its crazy P/E and looks like such a falling knife.
While higher risk makes higher return , and it did give a potential long opportunity.
In weekly chart, right here is the 0.618 retracement of the rally from 2008, and a daily double bottom is about to be formed.
My game plan is to wait for the double bottom to be confirmed ( close above 323 on daily chart ),
And put a buy limit at the 0.618 retracement of the neckline breakout.
Let's see how it goes!!
Selling CMG because of rangeThis is a great example of a chart that I would choose to sell an option rather than buy an option. Looking at the historical pattern of this stock, it is sitting in a nice range, so I will look for premium above 490 to sell. Stocks with higher implied volatility paired with weekly options make a great pair to sell options! Read why at www.shecantrade.com
CMG Expectation of Reversion to Mean after Earnings DisappointmeI think CMG has accumulated way too much hype and expectation in the recent run-up, which has caused the stock to rise above a flagging technical indicator. I expect that Earnings coming out Tuesday after market close will either disappoint or will fail to sustain the bull run any further, and that CMG will "revert back to the mean" by forming a significant down-leg returning it to the steady-state zig-zag pattern of matching up-and-down trends.
IN 2017, SHORT a $400 co. Again, Again and Again. Here's Why:"Chipotle" . Sounds pretty fancy, and that's what they were going for until they served up truckloads of what one should only have to fear when visiting deep in Mexico - and that is the dreaded E. Coli Burrito . When it comes to E. Coli - read and think "human feces".
Their training and restaurant standards sucked - AND THEY HAD TWO CEO's, so a lack of definitive decisions and damage controls set the course and made all these situations worse and when the writing was on the wall? THEN one of them bailed... but you gotta understand what has cemented Chipotle's demise because CHEAPOTLE IS A BK. Read the following and you decide - then look at the charts...
Hemorrhaging money after the turd burrito incidents which were so widespread they repeatedly made National news. THEY BORROW OVER A BILLION DOLLARS - READY FOR THIS - BUYING THEIR OWN STOCK BACK!! (ALL AT HIGHER LEVELS THAN THE $405 IT'S TRADING AT TODAY).
THE MOST RECENT DEAL THEY MADE TO RAISE CASH IS THE LAST SCREW IN THE TOILET SEAT.
Their largest shareholder gave them a final $700 million and forced them to use their last assets to secure said loan and stay afloat - as they put up the real estate the stores are sitting on to secure this last, private loan. Sounds like he may come out of this smelling pretty fresh.
1) CMG is still trading over $400 despite repeated downgrades.
2) Even with all the downward direction from the previous quarter, the company disappointed w lousy earnings and more downside surprises last month
3) They are literally keeping this together by talking about how customers are coming around again and they are confident that "new and innovative menu items", and "new server training to improve the customer experience" will take effect soon. Sounds like nothing more than what was in that bad batch of burritos.
4) This company needs a literal miracle to save it -- and when did you last discover a potential BK where the stock was trading at over $400?
The catch is this buyback money - because it is being used to prop up the stock in the face of steady selling, and that means you cannot just dump a single commitment into a bunch of put options. You can trade around the isolated buys and they stick out prominently in the charts. I got lucky when it fell over 20 points in a day - so the potential for wicked volatility is amazing and I am hooked trading this stock via puts and calls.
RECOMMENDATION -- FOR AGGRESSIVE TRADERS
I recommend vertical bear spreads using BOTH puts and calls because of the wild premiums, and the sporadic buys. You can trade these as they come closer to expiration if you are near the money, and use the volatility to unload one leg of your spread if it makes sense at the time.
AS YOU APPROACH EARNINGS, CONSIDER STRADDLING - near term. Earnings calls can produce some really crazy moves. The volatility number Marketwatch assigns is a 33.
Bottom line? Despite all the buyback talk, the downtrend is intact and short of some unforeseen miracle - I do not see how this company can turn it around and survive.
if anybody finds something they think I am missing here - please feel free to share..