CNHJPY - Massive SHORT!! The pair that just keeps on giving ...... and giving, and then give some more.
Should one lack the inclination to deal with everyday FX volatility (or with the lack thereof) then this is the pair to be SHORT , in George Foreman style, ala; "Just set it and forget it!"
Simply put, China's absolute best hope (just a dream, really) to survive it's oncoming demographic (industrial, deurbanization, and ... ) collapse to somehow muddle through one of it's worst decade and a half well under way, to transition through total "Japanification". (This is only a hope, requiring lots and lots of luck to pull it off.)
This is undeniably China's best possible future scenario, all else being a far inferior outcome.
Consequently, as Japan is snapping out of it's 30 year slumber just as China "hopes" to achieve Japanification, this pair (provided any future convertibility of the Yuan) will mirror that process, obviously like no other.
E.g. SELL it (Short) for good! (through about 2035 and possibly beyond.)
Here is the Weekly;
SHORT it anywhere here!
p.s. The scenario outlined in the main (monthly) chart is only a near-term outlook (12-15 months out), severely understating the potential ultimate (Short) mileage in this pair.
Cnhjpyshort
CNHJPY - SHORT; This pair is ready to fall off a cliff!Considering China's (ongoing!!) predicament caused by an oncoming, abject, demographic (urban, industrial) collapse, the obvious consequence is a stand-alone Japan's as the region's only remaining super power" ... Making this Short a no-brainer, probably well over a decade and a half.
The Long Term Price Target on this pair is: 10! (I.e. a >50% Decline ...,
... provided that there will be still such a thing as a convertible (off-shore) Yuan, further down the road - which, in itself, is very unlikely!)
CNHJPY - SHORT; Start SELLing it for good!Whom do you trust anyways, the Commie Chinese or "kamikaze Kuroda"??... When push comes to shove Ol' Kuroda is still the right bet. (And it's about to come to that, sooner rather than later.)
All "fundamentals" aside, this is one of the most lopsided carry trades out there. (If not The Most...) That alone is deserving a massive sell-off here, about the size of Montana.