COCA-COLA Rejected and pulling-backThe Coca-Cola Company (KO) got rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line cluster of April May and is pulling-back. A test of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) while forming a 1D Golden Cross with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) would be very healthy for the long-term growth of the stock, which is perfectly trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up.
The 1W RSI also got rejected on its own late February Lower Highs trend-line, so a weekly candle close below the 1D MA50 can kick-start further selling towards Fibonacci 0.5, even 0.0 (bottom of the Channel).
Until that happens though, the pull-back should be bought, targeting the 1.5 Fib and by Q3 2023 the 2.0 Fib.
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Coca-cola
$KO - Coca Cola as the next dump indicatorI'm doing nothing special here, just using KO's dividends date as a market dump indicator.
Starting 11-21 days before Coca Cola dividends, the market begins to dump like clockwork. Taking previous dumps in consideration, we see that the dump amount is around 9% for KO which is A LOT for a "stable" company like them.
In this following dump to come i have a price target of $56.3 ish or around 9% from today's $60.63. Similarly based on the incoming KO price dump, i obviously expect the rest of the market to do the same as the dump is market wide after all. My arbitrary price target for SPY is around $360 give or take $5 bucks by the 5'th of Dec, the same applies for the rest of the market as a bottom to this incoming dump.
In the coming days (15/11/2022 - 18/11/2022), we might see a fast SPY pump to $412 or $61.6 for KO as the market prepares to reverse, but i wholeheartedly believe another big dump is coming due to that this week is Opex week and next week's Tuesday is GME's quarterly cycle price run date. For the past several cycles now there's always been a big market event starting right on the dot either on Monday or Tuesday that cause the entire market to go to hell just as everything starts to pump and squeeze. Since next week on Monday and Tuesday we're supposed to see the action from this Friday's option expiries & exercises/sell/buys settling, we're supposed to see big volume on the high IV/Gamma meme stocks, but you can be certain that kind of volume is gonna get crushed as is usual by some freak market event that will magically appear early next week.
I'd like to be more positive about next week and the whole market in general and specifically meme stocks, but unfortunately this is the new reality i've accustomed myself to. Funnily enough i've found a guy that was able to explain the above but in terms of dealer positioning twitter.com which confirms (in my own mind anyway) next week's events. I think the recent micro pump of everything is the effect of retail long puts short calls and the inverse relationship with those vs BD's and hedging e.g you buy a put, that forces someone to hedge it and the market may move against you as more people do so forcing more hedging. So if you bought a GME put, though counter intutitive, it's possible to see a short term price increase even though selling a put should traditionally have this effect and not buying a put... So yeah i think things are a bit nuts right where i have to come out and say that "buying a put can make stonks go up..."
Swaps
Going through the latest swaps, there's literally been minimal action for quite a while now. When there's been sustained crappy low volume trades for a while and no big trades or multiple trades coming in, this is usually a sign that more of the same is about to come e.g more dumping.
OCC Hedging Volume
Some stocks like BYND and a little bit GME showed some promise on last Friday into Monday 11/11/2022 with a decent increase in the hedging balance for BBBY, GME, BYND and a few other stocks, but nothing significantly big enough that would indicate a price run yet. I'm monitoring EOD OCC hedging vol data and hoping for a spike that would indicate a price run, but so far nothing. At least there hasn't been a drop in the hedging balance, so there's a little bit of hope left... but not a lot.
Lending Fees & Swap Trade Timing
I'm going through lending fees for certain stocks & the moments in time where the lending fee has increased proportionally to large swap trades. Equally i've been looking at periods where swap trades are minimal and where OCC hedging balances are dropping slowly where this has the effect of borrow fees also dropping bit by bit. I have indications that something should happen in the next few days e.g a big volume driven event, but the problem is that the entire market is prepared for a price dump on everything, so even if there is a lot of buying volume next week for the reasons i previously mentioned in my comments above, it would be buying/covering volume into a downwards market meaning that it's a nothingburger.
My entire account is currently on Puts on random stocks like Intel, NVDA, Sono, SPY and KO as well as GME as a hedge against my long GME calls $30c for 2023. Here are my positions minus my GME calls as to not give out the expiries (not that people don't already know them) imgur.com
None of this is financial advice. This is not a suggestion for you to do the same. I often lose money and it would be a shame if any of you poor souls followed what i'm doing here and lost money too.
KO on Coca-Cola. KOLooks like today is going to be be "pick the short" day. Zigzag, betting on volatility to flip soon on the daily. A very resonant picture fractally.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Topglov. JP Morgan Tp of 0.45 May “achievable” 29/Sept/22.Topglove vs Karex ? Apple vs orange? 29/Sept/22.. Topglove as world largest gloves producer . Some “compare” it with world largest condom stock. Karex. As both are the “biggest player” of “rubber”products..One should have the “same fate” of the others. Just 1 question. Does human need “standard SOP/ protocol “ during sex activities.. Or “condom” or “gloves” is a “ must/need” = Can robots now “replace” “hand on” human’s arm in next 20 years?...Gloves or Hi -Tech which is “niche market”? = easy to copy but hard to sustain market ( only sustainable by big player) ? + “Branding”= Does Everyone think about soft drink = Coca Cola , Gloves = Topglov...AND last but least why Coca Cola is “more expensive “ than most “soft drinks”? Why can’t Topglove?
8/17/22 KOCoca-Cola Company (The) ( NYSE:KO )
Sector: Consumer Non-Durables (Beverages: Non-Alcoholic)
Market Capitalization: $280.582B
Current Price: $64.88
Breakout price: $65.20
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $64.60-$63.65
Added Target: $67.00-$67.30
Estimated Duration to Target: 41-43d
Contract of Interest: $KO 9/16/22 65c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.10/contract
Coca-GOlaCoca-Cola
Short Term
We look to Buy a break of 64.83 (stop at 63.28)
A break of bespoke resistance at 65.50, and the move higher is already underway. We are trading within a Bullish Ascending Triangle formation. The trend of higher lows is located at 63.00. The medium term bias remains bullish.
Our profit targets will be 69.02 and 70.90
Resistance: 65.65 / 66.50 / 75.00
Support: 63.00 / 61.30 / 59.50
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
How does the surge in sugar futures affect Coca-Cola’s profit?
Sugar is used in food, beverage, and in biofuel production, and its importance in global trade gives it a strong position in the commodity futures market. The price of sugar has surged 17% since the beginning of January 2021.
Reduced Brazil production
Sugar prices have recently been affected by production levels in Brazil, a key sugarcane producer and exporter. In May, Brazilian mills reportedly had to cancel sugar export contracts as they shifted to ethanol production, seeking to capitalize on high energy prices.
Brazil supplies half of the world’s sugar, producing 654.8 million tonnes of sugarcane, 41.25 million tonnes of processed sugar and 29.7 billion liters of ethanol annually.
As the Ukraine crisis triggered a global energy crisis, Brazilian farmers shifted to ethanol production. However, the US Department of Agriculture estimates that sugarcane crop in Brazil will recover 6% year over year to 613 million metric tons in the 2022-2023 marketing year.
Strong output in India and Thailand
Still, India and Thailand, which also export substantial volumes of sugar, are making up for the reduced output in Brazil. Last month, a trade group in India said the country could produce a record 36 million tonnes of sugar in 2021/22, up 3% from early estimates.
The record output in India and improving production levels in Thailand could bring global sugar prices down. But concerns that the Indian government could curb exports recently pushed the prices of sugar futures higher.
Sugar users bear brunt
While concerns of lower sugar production can be a win for sugar futures traders, users of the commodity are bearing the costs of low sugar supplies and higher inflation.
Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), known for its namesake sugary drink, is considering additional price hikes as record-high inflation is eating away companies’ profit margins.
Last year, Coca-Cola raised the prices of its products to counter higher commodity costs, joining other consumer brands like PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP) and J.M. Smucker (NYSE:SJM).
The price hike helped the soda manufacturer grow its full-year revenue in 2021 by 17% year over year to $38.7 billion. Household brands like Coca-Cola, which continues to dominate the global market for soft drinks, have strong pricing power, allowing them to pass on higher input costs to customers.
Thus, Coca-Cola’s stock price has risen in line with the price of sugar since the beginning of 2021, up by ~20%.
However, Coca-Cola and rival PepsiCo recently suffered from lower margins despite strong revenues. The companies warned in February that rising costs are weighing on their profit margins, prompting them to lower their sales expectations.
Banking on pricing power
"We control our supply chain basically all the way to the shelf. That puts us in a relatively better position, but I wouldn't say we're not going to have challenges. We're not immune to that," Johnston reportedly said.
PepsiCo’s stock climbed 13% over the past year as of Tuesday.
Coca-Cola CFO John Murphy echoed Johnston’s concerns, telling analysts in an earnings call in February that the company continues to expect commodity price inflation to have a mid-single-digit impact on comparable cost of goods sold in 2022.
But Murphy remains bullish on the company’s pricing power, saying commodity pressures will be offset by the company’s “pricing power and brand leadership.”
Low Risk Coca-Cola Short SetupShort scenario Coca-Cola, using a low risk short entry and harmonic patterns. Basically selling the micro second leg up, that's coming from a harmonic leg up. High probability of another leg down. See for yourself!
𝘼 𝙡𝙞𝙠𝙚 𝙖𝙣𝙙 follow 𝙬𝙤𝙪𝙡𝙙 𝙗𝙚 𝙖𝙥𝙥𝙧𝙚𝙘𝙞𝙖𝙩𝙚𝙙!
Thank you and have a good one
6/20/22 KOCoca-Cola Company (The) ( NYSE:KO )
Sector: Consumer Non-Durables (Beverages: Non-Alcoholic)
Market Capitalization: $257.631B
Current Price: $59.43
Breakout price: $63.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $61.30-$56.85
Price Target: $74.30-$75.60
Estimated Duration to Target: 336-352d
Contract of Interest: $KO 6/16/23 60c
Trade price as of publish date: $5.75/contract
The Coca-Cola Company bearish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the US company The Coca-Cola Company (KO) at daily chart. The Coca-Cola Company is an American multinational beverage corporation, best known as the producer of Coca-Cola. The Coca-Cola Company also manufactures, sells, and markets other non-alcoholic beverage concentrates and syrups, and alcoholic beverages. The company's stock is listed on the NYSE and is part of the DJIA and the S&P 500 and S&P 100 indexes. The Triangle has broken through the support line on 15/06/2022, if the price holds below this level you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 22 days towards 57.18 USD. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 65.09 USD if you decide to enter this position.
Coca-Cola Co said on Tuesday it had delayed the plans of an estimated $3 billion initial public offering (IPO) of its African bottling unit to 2023 due to turbulence in the market. The flotation of the division, Coca-Cola Beverages Africa (CCBA), would be the biggest on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange since at least 2016 and a major boost for the flagging index. Earlier in May, Reuters reported citing three sources that the IPO of the business would be delayed due to market turmoil, stemming from Moscow's invasion of Ukraine.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
PFE, KO - Very Strong Monthly ChoicesFor anyone looking for a long position in their portfolio (Monthly) Pfizer and Coca-Cola Hodl great potential in their current state
Pfizer has formed a bullflag above the Gaussian Channel
Coca-Cola is very similar above the Channel, however lacking the bullflag
For Coca-Cola check out my previous post below
KO - Extremely Bullish State 3M Coca-Cola has currently provided us a great long opportunity on this 3 Month chart
Price has moved up just above the Gaussian Channel
Last time this was seen (the previous strong bullrun) price soared about 4000% over a period of 20 years
Whos in it for the long game?
Downing Coca-ColaCoca-Cola
Short Term - We look to Sell at 62.89 (stop at 64.29)
We look to sell rallies. Price action has posted a bearish Marabuzo candle and is negative for short-term sentiment. Posted a Double Top formation. Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 63.00, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 59.38 and 57.98
Resistance: 63.00 / 65.00 / 67.00
Support: 60.00 / 58.00 / 55.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
COCA-COLA showing strength but needs to avoid this fractal.The Coca-Cola Company (KO) has been having an impressive non-stop rally ever since the March 10 low as last week it broke above its yearly High. With the 1D RSI approaching the overbought zone of 70.000, exhaustion for this rally may be close. In fact, it resembles the September - November 2020 sequence, as it just flashed a Red Ichimoku, which on the 2020 sequence was a bearish reversal signal.
If the price fails to break the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, be ready for a pull-back that can reach as low as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). On the other hand, a closing above the 1.236 Fib, could deliver a rally extension similar to December 2021 - February 2022, that reached as high as the 2.0 Fib extension. On the current sequence, the 2.0 Fib is around $68.50.
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