COCOA Commodities CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the COCOA Commodities CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 11.600 (swing Trade) Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 9.600 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental & Positioning:
COCOA Commodities CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
Bearish Factors
Improved Weather Conditions: Improved weather conditions in West Africa, the world's largest cocoa-producing region, could lead to increased cocoa production and lower prices.
Increased Global Production: Global cocoa production is expected to increase in the 2024-25 season, which could lead to a surplus and lower prices.
Weak Demand from Chocolate Manufacturers: Chocolate manufacturers, who are the largest consumers of cocoa, have been reducing their demand due to high prices and weak consumer demand.
Speculative Selling: Speculators have been net sellers of cocoa futures, which could lead to a price decline.
Technical Resistance: Cocoa prices are approaching technical resistance levels, which could lead to a price reversal.
Global Economic Slowdown: A global economic slowdown could lead to reduced demand for cocoa and lower prices.
Competition from Alternative Commodities: Cocoa faces competition from alternative commodities such as coffee and sugar, which could lead to reduced demand and lower prices.
Bearish Scenarios
Global Production Surplus: If global cocoa production exceeds demand, it could lead to a surplus and lower prices.
Economic Downturn: A global economic downturn could lead to reduced demand for cocoa and lower prices.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Cocoa_trading
"COCOA" Commodity CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "COCOA" Commodity CFD market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout.
Buy entry above 11,800
Sell Entry below 10,000
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 13,600 (or) Escape Before the Target
Bearish Robbers TP 8,800 (or) Escape Before the Target
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The COCOA Market is expected to move in a Bullish direction, driven by the following key factors:
🔵Macro Factors:
Global Economic Growth: Rising global economic growth, particularly in emerging markets, is expected to increase demand for cocoa.
Inflation: Moderate inflation levels in major cocoa-consuming countries are expected to support cocoa prices.
Currency Fluctuations: A weaker US dollar is expected to support cocoa prices, as it makes cocoa more competitive in international markets.
🟡Fundamental Factors:
Supply and Demand Imbalance: The global cocoa market is expected to face a supply shortage in the 2022/23 crop year, supporting prices.
Weather Conditions: Favorable weather conditions in major cocoa-producing countries, such as Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana, are expected to support cocoa yields.
Certification and Sustainability: Growing demand for certified and sustainable cocoa is expected to support prices for high-quality cocoa beans.
🟠Sentimental Factors:
Investor Sentiment: Positive investor sentiment, driven by improving global economic growth and supply chain disruptions, is expected to support cocoa prices.
Market Positioning: The commitment of traders (CoT) report shows that hedge funds and other large speculators are net long cocoa, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Technical Analysis: Cocoa prices have broken out above a key resistance level, indicating a bullish trend.
- Bullish Sentiment: 83% of clients are long on COCOA, indicating a strong bullish trend.
- Bearish Sentiment: 17% of clients are short on COCOA, indicating a relatively weak bearish trend.
- Neutral Sentiment: No explicit data available, but we can infer it's relatively low given the strong bullish trend.
📌Please note that sentiment analysis can change rapidly and may not always reflect the actual market performance. These percentages are based on current market data and may not reflect future market movements.
That this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Huge Cocoa Correction Ahead? Cocoa prices face a strong risk of correction back to $10,000 as bearish fundamentals stack up:
Supply Surge Ignored
Ivory Coast port arrivals are up 33% from last season, signaling a significant increase in supply from the world’s largest producer.
Demand Destruction at High Prices
All-time high prices are forcing buyers to scale back purchases or delay deals.
Economic slowdowns and weaker spending on luxury products like chocolate further reduce demand.
Liquidity Crunch in Physical Markets
Massive liquidity issues, including payment delays and a lack of new purchase deals, reflect stress in the cocoa trade and could lead to lower prices.
Profit-Taking and Market Correction
Cocoa prices appear overbought, increasing the risk of speculative profit-taking and a market pullback.
Ghana’s Supply-Boosting Reforms
Ghana’s President-elect plans to revamp the cocoa sector and improve production efficiency, which could add to future supply.
Stronger U.S. Dollar
A stronger USD makes cocoa more expensive for international buyers, reducing demand and putting pressure on prices.
Soft Commodities Correction
Coffee and sugar prices are already correcting, suggesting cocoa may be next in line as markets tend to move together during broader pullbacks.
COCOA FULL LONG 15/08/24Hello everyone,
Tomorrow is finally our day. Between technicals, news and a low RSI compared to the previous low, every single condition is perfect for COCOA to break the roof.
Trust us, buy when it opens, wait for the end of the day, it will somehow go up, we drew a few routes to try and show you how to expect it, but no matter what happens, do not sell, stay long.
COCA SHORT 11/08/24Hello everyone,
Hope you got to spend a nice weekend, let's get back to work.
First of all the RSI is getting dangerously high, meaning a very likely fall in the few days.
Further than the technicals, there's concrete evidence among our expertise information supplier that tomorrow is going to be a spectacular drawdown.
We drew a red line in order to show you the point where you should put your SL, but it is obvious that tomorrow is the vengeance of our failure of Friday (which we are really sorry for btw)
Tomorrow is all in short, see you after for a debrief.
COCOA SHORT 09/08Hello everyone,
It is now clear that we're in a downtrend, as the RSI always rises back up after each low.
So there are several possible scenarios, but the most logical one would be a sharp fall towards the precedent lower low, as show the green and orange paths.
The red path shows the low probability path which grows back up to close the gap that was not closed yesterday, but it is highly unlikely.
We advise you to sell as soon as it opens but try to place a tight SL somewhere not too high because again, the change of a trend with cocoa can get very ugly very quick.
Hope it helps.
COCOA LONG THEN SHORT 08/08Hello everyone,
It seems like we might have reached the end of the uptrend, considering external factors and technicals such as a growing RSI on the high scales indicating a change of direction very soon.
However, it seems that there will be a gap or a downfall at first as usual, then a moderate uptrend which will start to collapse around 16/17h, when the liquidity it at its prime.
We advise you to not open any position past this time because the end of a trend with Cocoa can get very ugly things.
Hope to help you tomorrow with this, may the Lord be with us.
COCOA LONG WEDNESDAY 07/08Hello everyone,
Today is a little bit special because we've incorporated our mistakes and taken some advance by adding more downforce to our patterns.
First of all, we predict a big down gap at the beginning, because of night time factors.
Then, it might keep going down for a while, but it will eventually come back up, first to close the gap and then because our study shows it is almost sure, even more than today and yesterday.
Our advice is to buy when the gap appears, try not to be too quick, let the price fall if it wants to, but as soon as it goes back up, buy.
Hope to help you all !
COCOA LONG TUESDAY 06/08It seems that the price could go up to 8500/600 before the closure tomorrow night. The turnover is starting to be clear, showing a high target at least around 8400 before tomorrow night.
Our advice is to buy maximum 1 hour after the opening, there will be a very little drawdown because of the last position of the price. But as soon as you see the price turn up, don't hesitate and go long.
Updates will follow if changes occur, thanks for your trust.
COCOA LONG MONDAY 05/08Our team of experts posts our first official forecast for our most well known asset, COCOA, with a good start because it seems that it is fully going up.
Because of technicals, weather and cocoa data analysis, even though the small red area at the top might reject the price if it gets too high, it seems that it could go up to 8500/600 before the closure tomorrow night.
We drew the green semi circle to show you the global movement towards the next days, even though Cocoa stays really volatile.
Our advice is to buy at the opening, there might be a very little drawdown but for the 15 first minutes maximum, so buy as soon as it opens until 17/18 without any risks.
XAUUSD FORECAST 2MWelcome to this new page, we're a team of experts working 24/7 on metals and cocoa really detailed forecasts. Our main resources are based on news, technicals and our 3 year experience gives us a true credibility that you will see as long as we keep posting.
Please keep in your mind that :
- we're no professionals/counselors/financial advisers
- you shall not place money that you should not if you can't live without it
- we reject any kind of responsibility in case of a loss, this account only gives indications and further information regarding XAUUSD and COCOA, you and you only are in charge of your money and don't have to trust us
This is and will be a short series about XAUUSD, our team has come to the conclusion that for the next month nothing much will happen, some kind of fall between the big rally to the 3000s.
Cocoa hit our Target $26.90 next target $30.60Target reached with Cocoa at $26.90
7>21>200 MA
Still bullish
Target 2 due to an even bigger Cup and Handle sets the next price to $30.60
But with peripherals, there are a few reasons for the spike in Cocoa prices.
People are buying chocolates!
January is typically a busy month for chocolate manufacturers as they gear up for Valentine's Day, which results in increased demand for cocoa and can lead to an increase in prices.
Speculative buying:
Some investors and traders may anticipate a rise in cocoa prices and begin to buy up large quantities of cocoa futures in anticipation of a price increase. This buying activity can drive prices up.
Production forecasts
If there are forecast of lower cocoa production and if demand is strong, prices would rise as a lack of supply will cause price to increase.
LONDON Cocoa Future C1! - Short Term AnalysisPrices have been in a squeeze for a very long time ...
The last days of this scramble will be like the middle of June. Prices will probably decide which way to go by this date, Up or down?
In this sense; It is worth watching the 1840-1890 band for prices that are supported by the 50-day exponential average. However, we would expect prices to hold on to 1690 and then 1650 in a repeat selling pressure.
It contains only personal views and opinions. Does not contain legal investment advice ...
LONG CHOCOLATECocoa Long - Risk Reward 2:20
Cocoa is trading below the long term weekly trend, with strong selling pressure forcing it below the expected RSI and BBands for its current bull cycle.
Trade with tight stop on bottom of cyclical trend reversal.
Entry price range: 1.9 - 2.0
Exit price range: 2.26 - 2.35
Cocoa futures monthly demand in control, long opportunitiesCocoa futures monthly demand in control, long opportunities. Going short with monthly demand level in control is very risky and low odds. Very strong monthly demand created with proximal line at 1995. New daily demand zones being created, not yet available. Longer term long bias with this monthly demand zone in control.
COCOA TO GO 'LONG' for the futureQuick chart for my followers, cocoa to go long, if you have been following my other publishes then you would understand my chart without yellow full details, there may be further downtrend on the bottom yellow line but overall cocoa is on the uptrend as it has hit top yellow line.
Top yellow line at 2051
Bottom yellow line at 1800
Please study your indicators understand some, as they would help you determine a suitable entry point. use lower timeframe views such, Weekly and Daily view for a suitable entry point to go uptrend.
Also, do set stop losses but be generous with how much room you allow for this due to candle wicks and there is also the possibility to hedge yourself, for more confident traders.
All comments and questions welcome, if curious about indicators I use then feel free to inquire.
COCOAA bullish signal on COCOA future with the target in the area $ 2870/2880 and the stop loss at $ 2320/2325.
Cocoa daylevel resistance 2443. Short or long? fibonacci analyseCocoa is at a heavy resistance now, 2443. Will it go Short or long?
Price is exactly between two fibonacci resistances now; 2524 and 2368. I think price will bounce between these two before it breaks long or short.
When it breaks the long resistance 2524, I see a target of 2674. When it breaks low; target 2153.
Most difficult part are the exact positions where to buy and positions stop loss.
I have some ideas about which positions to place orders, but I'll try some movements before opening them.
After years of studying, learning and practicing I have developed a way of trading which can provide an profit every month by trading cfd's.
The strategy I learned from an visionair is 'Cycle trading' and I have developed this further and made it my own.
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts, as; is the trend horizontal / uptrend or downtrend or volatile.
- and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! one of the indicators I use here to help me is the Fibonacci sequence.
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are Other positions than the resistances in the market! Here I work with 'the total expected possible profit' and an percentage from this total opportunity where I mostly close the trade to be safe.
And that's not all at all. Also I check if the opportunity is interesting, by analyzing the charts and when I can make the conclusion that when I should open an certain trade and the possible profit would be 2/3rd of the amount you can possibly loss. So, in bad case lose 100 dollar and best case win 300 dollar it is worth the try! losing these kind of trades, I see as an investment on the possible loss. Stop loss needs to be tight here.
Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment!
Sometimes we are in huge loss, before we end the month in good profit. This is all part of the game. Without trading positions which we lose, we could never win more than we lose. Losing orders is investing in the knowledge to trade the right one to earn money.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
Cocoa at heavy resistance now 2443. Short or long? check my ideaCocoa is at a heavy resistance now, 2443. Will it go Short or long?
Price is exactly between two fibonacci resistances now; 2524 and 2368. I think price will bounce between these two before it breaks long or short.
When it breaks the long resistance 2524, I see a target of 2674. When it breaks low; target 2153.
Most difficult part are the exact positions where to buy and positions stop loss.
I have some ideas about which positions to place orders, but I'll try some movements before opening them.
After years of studying, learning and practicing I have developed a way of trading which can provide an profit every month by trading cfd's.
The strategy I learned from an visionair is 'Cycle trading' and I have developed this further and made it my own.
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts, as; is the trend horizontal / uptrend or downtrend or volatile.
- and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! one of the indicators I use here to help me is the Fibonacci sequence.
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are Other positions than the resistances in the market! Here I work with 'the total expected possible profit' and an percentage from this total opportunity where I mostly close the trade to be safe.
And that's not all at all. Also I check if the opportunity is interesting, by analyzing the charts and when I can make the conclusion that when I should open an certain trade and the possible profit would be 2/3rd of the amount you can possibly loss. So, in bad case lose 100 dollar and best case win 300 dollar it is worth the try! losing these kind of trades, I see as an investment on the possible loss. Stop loss needs to be tight here.
Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment!
Sometimes we are in huge loss, before we end the month in good profit. This is all part of the game. Without trading positions which we lose, we could never win more than we lose. Losing orders is investing in the knowledge to trade the right one to earn money.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading