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Cocoa_trading

Huge Cocoa Correction Ahead? Cocoa prices face a strong risk of correction back to $10,000 as bearish fundamentals stack up: Supply Surge Ignored Ivory Coast port arrivals are up 33% from last season, signaling a significant increase in supply from the world’s largest producer. Demand Destruction at High Prices All-time high prices are forcing buyers to scale back purchases or delay deals. Economic slowdowns and weaker spending on luxury products like chocolate further reduce demand. Liquidity Crunch in Physical Markets Massive liquidity issues, including payment delays and a lack of new purchase deals, reflect stress in the cocoa trade and could lead to lower prices. Profit-Taking and Market Correction Cocoa prices appear overbought, increasing the risk of speculative profit-taking and a market pullback. Ghana’s Supply-Boosting Reforms Ghana’s President-elect plans to revamp the cocoa sector and improve production efficiency, which could add to future supply. Stronger U.S. Dollar A stronger USD makes cocoa more expensive for international buyers, reducing demand and putting pressure on prices. Soft Commodities Correction Coffee and sugar prices are already correcting, suggesting cocoa may be next in line as markets tend to move together during broader pullbacks.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOAShort
by ValchevFinance
COCA SHORT 11/08/24Hello everyone, Hope you got to spend a nice weekend, let's get back to work. First of all the RSI is getting dangerously high, meaning a very likely fall in the few days. Further than the technicals, there's concrete evidence among our expertise information supplier that tomorrow is going to be a spectacular drawdown. We drew a red line in order to show you the point where you should put your SL, but it is obvious that tomorrow is the vengeance of our failure of Friday (which we are really sorry for btw) Tomorrow is all in short, see you after for a debrief.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOAShort
by edl75
2
COCOA SHORT 09/08Hello everyone, It is now clear that we're in a downtrend, as the RSI always rises back up after each low. So there are several possible scenarios, but the most logical one would be a sharp fall towards the precedent lower low, as show the green and orange paths. The red path shows the low probability path which grows back up to close the gap that was not closed yesterday, but it is highly unlikely. We advise you to sell as soon as it opens but try to place a tight SL somewhere not too high because again, the change of a trend with cocoa can get very ugly very quick. Hope it helps.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOAShort
by edl75
COCOA LONG THEN SHORT 08/08Hello everyone, It seems like we might have reached the end of the uptrend, considering external factors and technicals such as a growing RSI on the high scales indicating a change of direction very soon. However, it seems that there will be a gap or a downfall at first as usual, then a moderate uptrend which will start to collapse around 16/17h, when the liquidity it at its prime. We advise you to not open any position past this time because the end of a trend with Cocoa can get very ugly things. Hope to help you tomorrow with this, may the Lord be with us.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOALong
by edl75
COCOA LONG WEDNESDAY 07/08Hello everyone, Today is a little bit special because we've incorporated our mistakes and taken some advance by adding more downforce to our patterns. First of all, we predict a big down gap at the beginning, because of night time factors. Then, it might keep going down for a while, but it will eventually come back up, first to close the gap and then because our study shows it is almost sure, even more than today and yesterday. Our advice is to buy when the gap appears, try not to be too quick, let the price fall if it wants to, but as soon as it goes back up, buy. Hope to help you all !
PEPPERSTONE:COCOALong
by edl75
COCOA LONG MONDAY 05/08Our team of experts posts our first official forecast for our most well known asset, COCOA, with a good start because it seems that it is fully going up. Because of technicals, weather and cocoa data analysis, even though the small red area at the top might reject the price if it gets too high, it seems that it could go up to 8500/600 before the closure tomorrow night. We drew the green semi circle to show you the global movement towards the next days, even though Cocoa stays really volatile. Our advice is to buy at the opening, there might be a very little drawdown but for the 15 first minutes maximum, so buy as soon as it opens until 17/18 without any risks.
PEPPERSTONE:COCOALong
by edl75
XAUUSD FORECAST 2MWelcome to this new page, we're a team of experts working 24/7 on metals and cocoa really detailed forecasts. Our main resources are based on news, technicals and our 3 year experience gives us a true credibility that you will see as long as we keep posting. Please keep in your mind that : - we're no professionals/counselors/financial advisers - you shall not place money that you should not if you can't live without it - we reject any kind of responsibility in case of a loss, this account only gives indications and further information regarding XAUUSD and COCOA, you and you only are in charge of your money and don't have to trust us This is and will be a short series about XAUUSD, our team has come to the conclusion that for the next month nothing much will happen, some kind of fall between the big rally to the 3000s.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by edl75
Cocoa hit our Target $26.90 next target $30.60Target reached with Cocoa at $26.90 7>21>200 MA Still bullish Target 2 due to an even bigger Cup and Handle sets the next price to $30.60 But with peripherals, there are a few reasons for the spike in Cocoa prices. People are buying chocolates! January is typically a busy month for chocolate manufacturers as they gear up for Valentine's Day, which results in increased demand for cocoa and can lead to an increase in prices. Speculative buying: Some investors and traders may anticipate a rise in cocoa prices and begin to buy up large quantities of cocoa futures in anticipation of a price increase. This buying activity can drive prices up. Production forecasts If there are forecast of lower cocoa production and if demand is strong, prices would rise as a lack of supply will cause price to increase.
ICEUS:CC1!Long
by Timonrosso
LONDON Cocoa Future C1! - Short Term AnalysisPrices have been in a squeeze for a very long time ... The last days of this scramble will be like the middle of June. Prices will probably decide which way to go by this date, Up or down? In this sense; It is worth watching the 1840-1890 band for prices that are supported by the 50-day exponential average. However, we would expect prices to hold on to 1690 and then 1650 in a repeat selling pressure. It contains only personal views and opinions. Does not contain legal investment advice ...
ICEEUR:C1!
by EmoteK
COCOA TO GO 'LONG' for the futureQuick chart for my followers, cocoa to go long, if you have been following my other publishes then you would understand my chart without yellow full details, there may be further downtrend on the bottom yellow line but overall cocoa is on the uptrend as it has hit top yellow line. Top yellow line at 2051 Bottom yellow line at 1800 Please study your indicators understand some, as they would help you determine a suitable entry point. use lower timeframe views such, Weekly and Daily view for a suitable entry point to go uptrend. Also, do set stop losses but be generous with how much room you allow for this due to candle wicks and there is also the possibility to hedge yourself, for more confident traders. All comments and questions welcome, if curious about indicators I use then feel free to inquire.
NYMEX:CJ1!Long
by Dani0
Cocoa daylevel resistance 2443. Short or long? fibonacci analyseCocoa is at a heavy resistance now, 2443. Will it go Short or long? Price is exactly between two fibonacci resistances now; 2524 and 2368. I think price will bounce between these two before it breaks long or short. When it breaks the long resistance 2524, I see a target of 2674. When it breaks low; target 2153. Most difficult part are the exact positions where to buy and positions stop loss. I have some ideas about which positions to place orders, but I'll try some movements before opening them. After years of studying, learning and practicing I have developed a way of trading which can provide an profit every month by trading cfd's. The strategy I learned from an visionair is 'Cycle trading' and I have developed this further and made it my own. How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse: - sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode - I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts, as; is the trend horizontal / uptrend or downtrend or volatile. - and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! one of the indicators I use here to help me is the Fibonacci sequence. - and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are Other positions than the resistances in the market! Here I work with 'the total expected possible profit' and an percentage from this total opportunity where I mostly close the trade to be safe. And that's not all at all. Also I check if the opportunity is interesting, by analyzing the charts and when I can make the conclusion that when I should open an certain trade and the possible profit would be 2/3rd of the amount you can possibly loss. So, in bad case lose 100 dollar and best case win 300 dollar it is worth the try! losing these kind of trades, I see as an investment on the possible loss. Stop loss needs to be tight here. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! Sometimes we are in huge loss, before we end the month in good profit. This is all part of the game. Without trading positions which we lose, we could never win more than we lose. Losing orders is investing in the knowledge to trade the right one to earn money. Thank you for following and Succes with trading ! Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
NYMEX:CJ1!
by Rich_Exclusive_Trading
Cocoa at heavy resistance now 2443. Short or long? check my ideaCocoa is at a heavy resistance now, 2443. Will it go Short or long? Price is exactly between two fibonacci resistances now; 2524 and 2368. I think price will bounce between these two before it breaks long or short. When it breaks the long resistance 2524, I see a target of 2674. When it breaks low; target 2153. Most difficult part are the exact positions where to buy and positions stop loss. I have some ideas about which positions to place orders, but I'll try some movements before opening them. After years of studying, learning and practicing I have developed a way of trading which can provide an profit every month by trading cfd's. The strategy I learned from an visionair is 'Cycle trading' and I have developed this further and made it my own. How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse: - sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode - I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts, as; is the trend horizontal / uptrend or downtrend or volatile. - and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! one of the indicators I use here to help me is the Fibonacci sequence. - and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are Other positions than the resistances in the market! Here I work with 'the total expected possible profit' and an percentage from this total opportunity where I mostly close the trade to be safe. And that's not all at all. Also I check if the opportunity is interesting, by analyzing the charts and when I can make the conclusion that when I should open an certain trade and the possible profit would be 2/3rd of the amount you can possibly loss. So, in bad case lose 100 dollar and best case win 300 dollar it is worth the try! losing these kind of trades, I see as an investment on the possible loss. Stop loss needs to be tight here. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! Sometimes we are in huge loss, before we end the month in good profit. This is all part of the game. Without trading positions which we lose, we could never win more than we lose. Losing orders is investing in the knowledge to trade the right one to earn money. Thank you for following and Succes with trading ! Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
NYMEX:CJ1!
by Rich_Exclusive_Trading
Cocoa Futures. End of complex correctionHello traders. Now we are in complex correction. We saw a bullish attack ( white line), we saw bearish defence ( white rectangle) and we saw a very strong bearish attack ( another white line) so I am really expecting now for price to break 1900 level and move to one of the yellow horizontal lines. if price does not reach them, I will start seriously thinking of trend change. Before price breaks 19 level, it can pullback to yellow rectangle and give a good signal to sell. Remember: You must confirm my expectations with your own analysis!
CShort
by Magician