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Coffee

It's coffee time!See chart. NOTE : The thing about charting is IT IS BASED on probability based on historical price actions and patterns. But the market is forward looking and to restrict oneself to say that if the price moves to A, then it would goes to B, then C is not only myopic but also underestimate the Market which is ever changing. Price action could very well not touched the support line before retrace higher. Or price may not necessarily hit the 50% or 61.8% FIB level as precisely as we would like it to be. IT IS A GUIDE only. When one trades on a larger time frame, then the short term price movements would matters less as you are concerned with the overall direction of the product you are trading. I have find my heart beating way too fast and my emotions go haywire the time when I tried trading 15 minutes time frame or less. Sometimes, after keying in the order, I am already stopped out!! OUCH!!! Leave this fast trading game to the experts who can make millions trading thousands of trades a day. They earn their marks through years of practice , I am sure.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by dchua1969
Technical Outlook for the Coffee Market, backed by fundamentals.Fundamentals: The coffee Market has been in a strong bullish trend ever since a frost hit the brazil coffee belt in July / August 2021, followed by a period of drought. This left the world´s biggest producer of Arabica coffee with huge productivity losses for the 2021/2022 crop. That results in a really tight Arabica balance sheet for 2022, which could get worse through re-openings of coffee-to-go shops after Covid-19 lockdowns. The tense global logistic situation with low vessel space, exploding freight rates and shortage of containers and truckers is fuel to the already burning fire of less coffee supply than demand. What can be examined from this is, that roasters tap into certified coffee inventories drowning them to 10-year lows, an extremely bullish factor ever since. Technicals: Prices stay in an uptrend channel, that can be divided into a major channel and two minor ones. The structure stayed between those two lines while completing several Elliott-Waves. After a new ABC correction from the 160,00 cts high, prices could start a new 5-Wave up to test the upper line of the major channel at ~175,50 cts. The certified inventories sliding below the magical number of 1 million bags would support this move. Certified Coffee Inventory bilderupload.org Chart
ICEUS:KC2!Long
by JordanLong
COFF Long (+ I LOVE DRINKING COFFEE)LSE:COFF WisdomTree Coffee is designed to enable investors to gain an exposure to a total return investment in coffee by tracking the Bloomberg Coffee Subindex (the "Index") and providing a collateral yield. WisdomTree Coffee is an exchange traded commodity ("ETC"). Its securities can be created and redeemed on demand by authorised participants and traded on exchange just like shares in a company. The ETC is backed by swaps. The payment obligations of the swap counterparties to the Issuer are protected by collateral held which is marked to market daily. The collateral is held in segregated accounts at The Bank of New York Mellon. Details of the collateral held can be found in the Collateral section of the WisdomTree website (www.wisdomtree.com).
LSE:COFFLong
by quantumseed
Coffee JO nice VCP Triangle breakoutsSome nice VCP / Saucer Handle patterns on JO as it continues to climb higher. Watch for a break higher if it can chew through 67 zone resistance Break lower out of triangle / trendline support invalidates long idea. On a macro level we're seeing bullish setups in AG complex (coffee , rice, wheat, corn, soybeans, etc.) , coupled with inflation coffee should run. Personally I've noticed my local coffee shops also charging $1 per cold brew which supports the bull case.
JLong
by FriscoTrades
Starbucks (NASDAQ: $SBUX) Looks Like Great Value Play! ☕Starbucks Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of specialty coffee worldwide. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. Its stores offer coffee and tea beverages, roasted whole beans and ground coffees, single serve products, and ready-to-drink beverages; and various food products, such as pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch items. The company also licenses its trademarks through licensed stores, and grocery and foodservice accounts. The company offers its products under the Starbucks, Teavana, Seattle's Best Coffee, Evolution Fresh, Ethos, Starbucks Reserve, and Princi brands. As of October 3, 2021, it operated 16,826 company-operated and licensed stores in North America; and 17,007 company-operated and licensed stores internationally. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Seattle, Washington.
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by RedHotStocks
COFFEE WK1: 100% Gains SWING setup BUY/HOLD(NEW)(SL/TP)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview? -TOP author on TradingView -2000+ ideas published -15+ years experience in markets -Professional chart break downs -Supply/Demand Zones -TD9 counts / combo review -Key S/R levels -No junk on my charts -Frequent updates -Covering FX/crypto/US stocks -before/after analysis -24/7 uptime so constant updates 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! COFFEE WK1: 100% Gains SWING setup BUY/HOLD(NEW)(SL/TP) IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage. 🔸 Summary and potential trade setup ::: COFFEE WK2 chart review ::: chart is LOG SCALE ::: setup still valid expecting ::: 100% gains final TP BULLS ::: global inflation driving prices ::: also global warming heavy impact ::: cycle high for the market is near ::: 440/460 USD BULLS control the market ::: 12/24 months as global economy ::: is starting the recovery right now ::: BULLISH CYCLE is ON BUY DIPS ::: BUY/HOLD get paid / swing trade setup ::: BUY ANY DIPS / final TP bulls is 460 USD ::: 100% upside from current market price ::: WAIT for dips and reload (BULLS) ::: recommend to BUY/HOLD ::: recommended strategy: BUY/HOLD ::: bullish super cycle in coffee market ::: SWING trade setup do not expect ::: fast/miracle overnights gains here ::: good luck traders 🔸 Supply/Demand Zones ::: 100USD fresh demand zone ::: 460USD fresh supply zone 🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies ::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A ::: Sentiment short-term: BULLS / MORE GAINS ::: Sentiment outlook mid-term: BULLS / SUPER CYCLE RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Crypto, Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by ProjectSyndicate
3
$SBUX Target 101.16$SBUX Target 101.16 So this target hasn’t changed… still 101. I currently am selling at both target 1 & 2, and if we get a good sell off I’ll be looking to target 3 as well… (75/June expiry) —————— I usually trade both ways, but lately I’ve been focusing more to the downside because of how high the market is. It makes more sense to sell puts right now, and I’m usually at Target 2. —————— I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence. I am not a bull. I am not a bear. I just see what I see in the charts and I don’t pay too much attention to the noise in the news. Very often you have to look at my charts from the perspective of where I’m looking to sell puts. But I also do open positions still once in a while. If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. Have fun, y’all!! (\_/) ( •_•) / >🚀
NASDAQ:SBUXShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
2
Coffee causing a stir in commodity markets- Aneeka Gupta, Director, Macroeconomic Research, WisdomTree Coffee prices are trading at their highest level in 10 years and is the second-best performing commodity Year to date (Ytd)1. A combination of a production shortfall in Brazil (the world’s largest coffee producer) due to extreme weather conditions coupled with supply disruptions should continue to propel coffee prices higher in 2022. Lower inventory levels to keep prices vulnerable to supply shocks The coffee harvest has a biennial cycle. This implies that a crop year with a good harvest (the “on year”) will be followed by a crop year with a lower harvest (the “off-year”). The last crop in Brazil was disappointing not only because it was an off-year, but Brazil also faced unfavourable weather conditions resulting in weaker supply. This was evident from Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento’s (“CONAB”) latest estimate for Brazil’s 2021/22 coffee crop, which is down 25.7% over the prior year3. As a consequence of lower output, global ending inventories are expected to decline from 7.9mn bags to 32mn. The weaker forecast represents the lower availability of coffee for exports, following weather setbacks to the 2021 harvest and logistical bottlenecks. Further obstacles have emerged towards the latter half of 2021 in the form of elevated shipping costs and high fertilizer prices, which are also likely to lend a tailwind to coffee prices. According to the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), Brazil’s coffee exports are expected to slump by 12.45mn bags over the prior year to 33.22mn bags in 2021/224. A decline of that level would represent the largest decline in volume terms by a distance and the sharpest fall in percentage terms at 27% since 1985/86. USDA has been citing more cases of “defaults”, where coffee farmers failed to deliver pre-agreed contracts on the physical market because of excessive hoarding of coffee beans amidst the steep rise in prices. USDA also expects global consumption to rise by 1.8 million bags to 165.0 million, with the largest gains in the European Union, the United States, and Brazil. Outlook for 2022/23 clouded in uncertainty While the Brazilian 2022/23 coffee crop will be an on year (of the biennial cycle), there is still plenty of uncertainty shrouding the outlook of the coffee crop. According to Fitch, the La Nina5 weather phenomenon could cause further problems for the upcoming crop. The arrival of the La Nina weather phenomenon, which tends to bring dryness in the southern part of South America for the second consecutive year, has also dampened the outlook for the coffee crop in the upcoming season. Conclusion The supply tightness on the physical market has also pushed the front end of the coffee futures curve into backwardation from contango, thereby yielding a positive roll yield of 0.2% versus -1.4% a month back. Coffee stocks in the International Continental Exchange’s (ICE) warehouses have declined further and currently find themselves at a 9-month low of 1.78mn bags. Net speculative positioning in coffee remains 1-standard deviation above the 5-year average underscoring the bullish sentiment towards coffee. While the recent rise of the Omicron variant could threaten demand as countries decide to restrain mobility, we believe the fast-spreading variant could also complicate supply-chain disruptions and potentially drive Arabica prices higher. Sources 1 Bloomberg, tracking commodity futures price from 31 December 2020 to 8 December 2021 2 Bloomberg Ticker - KCA Comdty, price performance from 31 December 2020 to 8 December 2021 3 Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento (Conab) – Brazil leading coffee forecasting agency 4 United States Department of Agriculture – Coffee: World Markets and Trade Report 5 La Niña is a complex weather pattern that occurs every few years, as a result of variations in ocean temperatures in the equatorial band of the Pacific This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
ICEUS:KC1!
by aneekaguptaWTE
Coffee [13Dec2021]Yes, I track commodities too.. Comparing most of the commodities, almost all of them are bearish or slightly bearish. for example, Silver has been bearish for some time now and also gold has changed from bearish to slightly bearish today with creeping bullishness. but coffee is the only one showing such a strong a bullishness, so do I buy it? If the commodities are having a bad day except one, what does that imply? I don't know but I'm going to open a small long position at the low end of the range. If you have any idea why coffee might be bullish, please let me know below Redd
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by reddan256
4
WATCHING $SBUX for entry at 101.16WATCHING $SBUX for entry at 101.16 —————— I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence. I am not a bull. I am not a bear. I just see what I see in the charts and I don’t pay too much attention to the noise in the news. Very often you have to look at my charts from the perspective of where I’m looking to sell puts. But I also do open positions still once in a while. If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. Have fun, y’all!! (\_/) ( •_•) / >🚀
NASDAQ:SBUXShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
2
Coffee Can Become Cheaper - Reaching Reversal FCP ZoneTraders, Coffee like other commodities has been on a huge run this year. But now it has reached a point of pause, correction and possibly reversal too. So coffee futures can fall down from the FCP zone. Wait for a confirmation as the market has been trending hard upwards. Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik ____________________________________________________ 📌 DISCLAIMER The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only. Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions. ____________________________________________________
ICEUS:KC1!Short
by vikinsa
4
WATCHING $SBUX - Key Levels and Analysis WATCHING $SBUX - Key Levels and Analysis Understaffed, higher cost of operations, higher cost off coffee, and unstocked shelves will likely chip away at revenue. I don’t normally look at fundamentals… I’m strictly technical. This is just what I am physically seeing every time I walk into a Starbucks. Analysis is technical only, but it seems to be supported but what I’m seeing in real time. Starbucks would be an excellent opportunity around 100. —————— I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence. If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. Have fun, y’all!! (\_/) ( •_•) / >🚀
NASDAQ:SBUXShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
2