Coffee_trading
Coffee - Is price going to drop from supply zone of feb 2022???Hey traders coffee is at highs of feb 2022, it does tend to drop in August to September time, and now were at this high commercials are selling coffee and id rather be on there side than retailers who are still buying.
So I am going to sell....
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This chart material is for education purposes only / Demo account should be traded only
Not So Little Brother ? NYSE:BROS +3.85%on 05/06/24 is a powerful contender for Starbucks customers. Living in southern California, I've started seeing DutchBros popping up around town (are they any good?). One thing for sure they've gotten right is their amplified focus on delivering the best customer experience. One thing that the NASDAQ:SBUX Starbucks former CEO Howard Schultz asked his former company to refocus on. It's so good that Tiktokers started making videos poking fun at the friendly nature of the Dutchbros employees.
With all of that being said, it's working for them and very well. They've opened 159 new shops in 2023, and according to Placer.AI, "While the growth of Starbucks' foot traffic has been shrinking since last year, Dutch Bros' growth in traffic has been accelerating." also, Earnest Analytics reports, Dutch Bros. accounted for 6% of U.S. consumer spending on coffee and other premium drinks. Up from 4% at the end of 2020. Last year's revenue was up about 31%
This is my Strategy:
Using Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci Retracement, we see increased trade volume and volatility as the price rises above the SMA and towards the upper band. The price is currently $28.34. We can expect it to reach a price target of $31.16 (test strategy here) before retracement or reversal, as the shares may be near overbought status.
This will give us a $2.82 profit per share. If sold
Enter at price targets: $27.33 (low) and $29.92 (max)
Hold for the price to cross $32.90 for uptrend confirmation.
(FYI, analyst target maintains $33.00/share)
It is one of my favorite stocks, and I'll watch its performance closely this year.
US Coffee - Clear Buy with S/L 186; Big move aheadEntry Level: $190
Stop Loss: $186
Target: $195-$199.00
Analysis:
The current entry level for initiating a short-term long position in US Coffee stands at $190. A prudent risk management strategy suggests setting a stop loss at $186 to mitigate potential losses in case of adverse price movements.
The target range for this long position is set between $195 and $199.00. This target zone reflects the anticipated price movement based on technical analysis indicators and market dynamics.
Traders should closely monitor price action and key support/resistance levels to assess the validity of this trading opportunity and adjust their positions accordingly.
Coffee - SHORTSeasonal tendencies are working against this, paired with U$D pressures as those continue to build.
Beyond that, world production is in steady decline with visible crisis levels looming on the horizon (within a decade). This is mostly due to radically increased UV levels in coffee growing regions, paired with a rapidly declining global work force.
Coffee getting cheap!markets looking weak here long way down, good for coffee shops bad for farmers.
Coffee Short - Seasonal weakness starting For my coffee drinkers - Both Arabica and Robusta had a strong start to the year. However, seasonally a bearish phase starts from 22 Feb to 31 Mar. The technical price target was also reached yesterday. In the last 17 years we can observe a negative trend between 22 Feb to 1 Mar. Only in 5 out of 17 years did the coffee price rise during this period. On average, coffee loses around -3.75% in this period with a standard deviation of 6.92%.
Coffee price keeps the negativity – AnalysisCoffee price provided more negative closings by consolidating below 178.00 resistance, to start reacting to the major indicators by declining towards 159.40, expecting to continue forming negative crawl and attempt to touch 154.00, while breaking this obstacle will extend trades towards 147.10 to face the historical support that appears on the chart, assuring the importance of monitoring its behavior to manage to detect the next main trend.
#COFEE- SHORT OPPORTUNITYIn anticipation of the recession, coffe begins to lose value as smart money is moved from these commodities to safer places.
Meanwhile, an upward breakout was attempted on the descending pattern, but the deviation was apparently a fake-out, which means that we will soon have a retest of the support and if it is broken, we can go on short until the next . support.
What’s brewing with coffee futures?Like most commodities, London coffee futures saw a massive price uptrend in 2021. However, since the beginning of 2022, it's finally cooled off to an eight and half month low. As a silver lining, perhaps more interesting price action is currently heading our way.
With a very sharp fall during the last two weeks of February it's since consolidated, trading between $2,000 and $2,200 per metric tonne. As of writing, London robusta coffee futures (LRC) are trading at $2,099 per metric tonne.
For London coffee futures, May is typically a ranging month with price starting to pick up towards the second half of June. More often than not, highs of the year are made during the June and July months. However, seasonal trends will be butting up against the possibility that coffee prices are still overextended from 2021’s price hike.
Where could coffee prices reasonably head?
Looking at the daily chart with the Awesome Oscillator indicator, we can see some slight divergence. In spite of its undescriptive name, the Awesome Oscillator details trends and shifts in momentum. On the chart above, can see that the indicator is showing signs of a shifting momentum since the first week of March. With price consolidating, the indicator has slowly crept back up to its zero line, failing to keep correlation to the actual price and trend of the price chart. This could be a suggestion that price may make its way towards June and July highs. If so, the bigger question is if it will actually create the yearly high as well before making its way back down.
In respect to fundamentals, it has been noted that Brazil is currently harvesting a record setting yield of robusta coffee beans. However, the risk of frost hitting Brazil’s crop might not have been priced into its current trading price.
Start trading coffee futures with live and demo accounts today
Up, up and away!The coffee futures have broken today the bullish flag, and this derivate on coffee follows the coffee price accordingly. Maybe in the following days, a pullback is possible, reaching 3,71 or the vicinity of the broken trendline below.
According to the seasonality and inflation, I expect a general bullish trend in coffee until the end of the year. But buying this instrument and holding it until the end of the year could be difficult because of the volatility decay. Take care!
ONE/USDT hello guys welcome to my chart analysis for HARMONY as we can see it making trend down after making the head and shoulders pattern based on this and fibonacci levels and support in the red in chart we can take opportunitiess for this zone and take profit in the hi green lines
BINANCE:ONEUSDT