Coffee Trade Analysis - Fx Dollars - {11/07/2025}Educational Analysis says that Coffee (Commodity) may give trend Trading opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - NA
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) Trading Range to fill the remaining fair value gap
Let's see what this Commodity brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Coffeeforecast
COFFEE - My Commodity of ChoiceI've laid out a plan I'm looking at on one of my favorite commodities - COFFEE ☕😍
What makes it so hard is the predictability of the weather - nearly impossible for the future. However, it is odd to see that the price still bonces at key support and resistance zones, almost like any "stock". Which tells me regular market trading still applies despite the odd weather event.
The reason Coffee has fallen so hard over the past few months is supply - due to extremely favorable weather conditions, coffee supply is more than demand. Resulting, as market dynamics goes, in a drop of price.
It's unfortunate though that my favorite pack of beans at the supermarket has not gone down - weird how that works 🙄 I like a medium roast, Columbia single origin.
It's dropped -33% already, but I can clearly see the market structure entering bearish phase after the bullish phase, peak (the new high) and now likely a multi-month bearish season. The question is just where the price can bottom for such a well loved commodity.
I looked at past cycles, not too long ago we dropped roughly 44% during the bearish cycle, taking 2-3 years to move into accumulation before another impulse wave up. That places a target for entry exactly in the highlighted zone around $250ish.
But I wouldn't get too greedy on my favorite commodity, buying orders can't be too low either. This would likely have to be a multiyear hold. Pepperstone sells coffee on cash contract but I usually do futures. Pity that I didn't get in sooner, bullish cycles is also at least a 2 year journey. I'll sell when the weather is bad 😅
Next up? Chocolate for sure...
"COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan (Swing / Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (370) Day/Swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 470 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸"COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing / Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Seasonality, Future trend targets & Overall outlook score..., go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
"COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan (Swing / Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
⚔Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 3H timeframe (400.00) Day/Swing trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 335.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
☕"COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
"COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
⚔Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (370) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or Swing high or low level should be in retest.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (400) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 340 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
"COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (higher chance to 🐻🐼Bearishness)., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict.
Before start the heist plan read it.👉👉👉
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
The Enigma of Robusta: Why is Coffee's Unsung Hero So Valuable?Robusta coffee, a resilient and versatile bean, has played a pivotal role in the global coffee market. Despite its often overlooked status, Robusta has experienced a significant surge in value in recent years. This article explores the factors driving the rising prices of Robusta coffee, including increased demand, supply chain disruptions, and climate change. By understanding the challenges and opportunities facing Robusta, we can better appreciate its enduring significance in the global coffee industry.
Introduction
The global coffee market has witnessed a steady rise in demand, leading to a corresponding increase in prices for both Arabica and Robusta beans. While Arabica often takes center stage, Robusta, a less celebrated but equally essential bean, has also experienced a notable appreciation in value. This article delves into the reasons behind Robusta's ascent, examining the factors that have contributed to its growing prominence.
Factors Driving Robusta Coffee Prices
Several key factors have converged to push Robusta coffee prices upward:
Increased Demand: The global appetite for coffee has expanded significantly, particularly in emerging markets. This rising demand, coupled with a limited supply, has created upward pressure on prices.
Supply Chain Disruptions: Weather-related challenges, geopolitical tensions, and logistical constraints have disrupted supply chains, leading to shortages and higher costs.
Climate Change: Climate change has exacerbated weather-related events, such as droughts and floods, impacting coffee production and driving up prices.
Shifting Cultivation Patterns: Some farmers have shifted their focus to more profitable crops, reducing the overall supply of Robusta coffee.
The Enduring Value of Robusta
Despite the challenges it faces, Robusta Coffee continues to hold significant value. Its resilience, versatility, and unique flavor profile make it a sought-after commodity. As a cornerstone of the global coffee market, Robusta plays a crucial role in meeting consumer demand and supporting the livelihoods of millions of farmers.
Conclusion
The rising prices of Robusta coffee can be attributed to a combination of factors, including increased demand, supply chain disruptions, and climate change. While the future of coffee production faces challenges, Robusta's enduring value and adaptability position it as a resilient force in the global coffee market. By understanding the factors driving price increases and exploring innovative solutions, we can ensure the continued sustainability and enjoyment of this beloved beverage.
NQCIRMTR $NQCIRMTR Initial Long.NQCIRMTR $NQCIRMTR Initial Long. TP and SL on chart. Move SL on TP. After TP2, trail with 0.5ATR step and 1.5ATR offset.
COFFEE (Continuation) LONG - Update; Just a USD/Real Short ...... and nothing more.
Coffee remains a pure currency play on the USD/Real. - And with the Central Bank of Brazil hiking rates faster than any other central bank, this is mostly a one-way trade going into the seasonal peak.
Fundamentally, there is no evidence (0, zilch, nada) that there would be any supply issues at present - despite popular misconceptions to the contrary.
Coffee daily/4h descending triangle to the weekly support levelCoffee is forming a descending triangle in the daily/4h chart. Also, the price is at a major support/resistance level. There will be a retest at 130-131 level. If rejected again, most likely the price will fall down to the 115 level in the short-mid term.
There is a good support level in the weekly chart, most probably this will hold and coffee could become bullish again. This time it will target 160.
This is just an idea, not trade advice. Do your own research.
COFFEE - LONG (for now); Free coffee for your Great Depression!Could Coffee drop to $0 (or even go negative), much like crude oil did not too long ago??... You be the judge.
While currently long (a generational speculative bubble and all), this is likely the one to watch for one of the greatest Short Setups in ages!
Here is the Monthly. See it, yet?...
No?!
The Quarterly;
How about now?
Still no?! Let me zoom in for you.
COFFEE FUTURES (KC1!) Monthly, Weekly, DailyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
Trades made when the monthly, weekly and daily arrows are pointing in the same direction are the most profitable.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
COFFEE FUTURES (KC1!) DailyThe Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. The Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames.
Dates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
COFFEE FUTURES (KC1!) MonthlyThe Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. The Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames.
Dates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.