COIL
IRDM : POSITION TRADEIridium Communications: A Great Company At A Fair Price
NASDAQ:IRDM
- Iridium Communications has done really well in recent months between landing another large contract and increasing financial guidance.
- This has sent shares roaring higher, but this has a downside to it as well.
- The stock seems to be more or less fairly valued at this time, even though the firm remains excellent for long-term investors seeking stability.
...As revenue has risen, profitability has also increased. Net income of $4.6 million in the latest quarter was higher than the $3.8 million reported the same time one year earlier. Operating cash flow in the latest quarter came in at $99.8 million. That's 32.7% above the $75.2 million generated just one year earlier. Meanwhile, EBITDA for the company expanded from $94.8 million in the second quarter of 2021 to $105.9 million the same time this year. Naturally, this strong bottom line performance has had a positive impact on the company's results for the first half of the year as a whole.
Due to how things are turning out so far this year, the management team at Iridium Communications decided recently to increase their guidance for the current fiscal year.
Read more on:
seekingalpha.com
Daniel Jones, Seeking Alpha, Aug. 02, 2022 11:15 PM ET
KRT CoilingIf (Once?) it breaks that 50, I'm a buyer. Only 19.8M shares outstanding. Average volume ~15K. Not for the faint of heart.
Quarterly Earnings Growth outstanding. Last 2 Q's 1Q22 277% and 4Q21 367% increases.
Revenue Growth 2020-2021 clocks in at a 21%
New Product- eco-friendly foodservice disposables.
IPO 4/2021
TWTR Symmetrical Triangle Break Weekly Options PlayDescription
TWTR has broken out of a Symmetrical Triangle consolidation pattern following the previous breakout of the large broadening pattern circled in yellow and breaking down its major trendline (3pt up-slanting blue line).
Symmetrical Triangles are a congestion pattern representing indecision and typically forming in an already established trend before a further move in the direction that preceded the pattern.
Here we see a large spike in volume at the beginning of the pattern, followed by descending volume throughout, and eventually the large spike in volume on the breakout, beyond the safe 3% margin, on 4JAN making a textbook "coil".
An additional technical indicator is the MACD convergence.
The resulting price move implied by the pattern is equal to price move that preceded the pattern.
Here I am using the long candles on 10NOV following the breakout of the broadening pattern as the starting point, giving a pattern-implied price move down to ~32.
Our price target will be more conservative @ 34 due to the expiration of the position.
Using a Long Put to remain long volatility and short stock.
Long Put
Levels on Chart
SL is a daily close back in the triangle
PT : 34
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
2/4 40P
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
ETHEREUM - Coil or Triangle, Regression or AccumulationTo draw a fractal with most touches, ETH can be seen to be in a tight coil currently. A quick browse on TV and many publishers have been showing a horizontal top to this current pattern to form an ascending triangle. Without considering volume, if that were true then this would probably be an accumulation pattern with each successive touch weakening the upper trendline.
However that is not what is happening. Each bounce has retraced just past 0.886 retracement which means price is regressive not accumulative.
ETH price is certainly interesting how it coils in this way - holding a very narrow price band. Tightening price leads to explosive impulses with buyers and sellers becoming trapped and pressure building. This may be similar to the trapped price of SOW / AR - See my Wyckoff thread for details.
Expecting an explosive move to the downside after price drifts sideways.
Not advice.
TDOC : POSITION TRADE / RESETTeladoc is the sixth-largest holding in the ARKK ETF - a top performing actively managed fund focused on disruptive innovations.
Teladoc reported third-quarter revenue up 109% year-over-year to $288.8 million. Total visits increased 206% year-over-year to 2.8 million.
The company expects to end the year with 50 million to 51 million U.S. paid members and 21 million to 22 million visit fee only members.
The Teladoc - Livongo merger has created the singular global, consumer-centered virtual care platform.
Together, they have formed the dominant category leader with a massive $121 billion Total Addressable Market.
seekingalpha.com
ZM : BASE 0 DURATION / POSITION TRADEZoom's long-term investment thesis is alive. It remains the best-of-breed for work-from-home communication solutions. Zoom has become a verb, very much like 'Skype,' 'Google,' and 'DocuSign.' This achievement alone demonstrates Zoom possesses an incredible combination of moats in branding and network effects. As it grows, it adds more value, and users will find it very hard to leave. Unsurprisingly, Zoom is now a $100B company. But it isn't going to stop.
Competitive advantage/moat
Moats are commonly categorized into four types: Network effects, low costs, high switching cost, and intangible assets.
Zoom possesses the most powerful ones, network effects, and brand name. Zoom is reliable, easy to use, and easily deployable. Zoom's net promoter score ('NPS') is incredibly high +70. Competitors do not even compare. None has the virality effect in 2020, quite like Zoom.
As Zoom expands features, use cases, and integrates deeper into other platforms, we believe Zoom would also acquire the high switching cost moat. While this moat isn't seen as necessary as the first two, it would help Zoom to retain customers and maintain a large user base to monetize.
Revenue was $777M, up 367% YoY from $167M, an acceleration of 17% from $646M in Q2'21. Q3'21 revenue was 24% higher than its entire revenue in FY20.
International revenue was 30% and grew 629% vs. 300% domestically.
Gross margin was 68.2%, a significant drop from 83% YoY and 72.3% QoQ due to a considerable increase in free users' usage, particularly in K-12 education intuitions. During the quarter, Zoom recorded 3.5 trillion meeting minutes, up 75% QoQ. Once Covid-related usage diminishes, we expect gross margin to improve towards Zoom's long-term target.
Operating margin was 37.4%, up from 12.8% in Q3 last year, and a decrease from Q2'21's margin of 41.7%. The figure is still extremely high and demonstrates exceptional operating leverage.
Free cash flow was £388M, up from $55M in Q3 last year. That's a 50% free cash flow margin (!). Management intends to maintain a high R&D budget of 10% of sales over the long-term. Thus, Zoom's high free cash flow generation allows Zoom to continue fuelling growth.
The outlook is excellent in our view. The FY21 revenue of 2.58B is a five-fold increase from FY20. Q4'21 revenue will be almost 40% higher than the entire revenue in FY20.
Remember that Zoom is a best-of-breed SaaS company that can touch everyone (almost)'s lives. In effect, Zoom is listening, watching, and collecting the most granule data from people's lives, at work and home. The data Zoom collects provides optionality long into the future. For the short to medium term, Zoom Phone, better monetization, K-12 free users' conversion, and expansion into telehealth, commerce, workflow, fitness, and internationally should provide a surprise boost to Zoom's growth.
SOURCE : Zoom: Will Surprise Your Portfolio In 2021, Multifaceted Growth Ahead, DTF CAPITAL, 06 Jan 2021, SeekingAlpha
seekingalpha.com
DOTUSD : COIL / SWING TRADEPOLKADOT: A BET AGAINST MAXIMALISM
The Interview - Crypto · Featuring Gavin Wood and Sebastian Moonjava
Published on: January 29th, 2021 • Duration: 69 minutes
Gavin Wood, co-founder of Polkadot and co-founder and CTO of Ethereum, joins Sebastian Moonjava, Real Vision associate crypto editor, to discuss Polkadot, Kusama, and the evolving crypto landscape. Wood explains that Polkadot was created to enable faster innovation in the blockchain space, reducing the amount of work necessary to start and secure a new blockchain and connect it to others. He describes Polkadot as a layer 0 technology, a meta protocol, that is more abstract and flexible than Bitcoin and Ethereum. Wood also talks about Kusama, which utilizes the same kind of technology as Polkadot but has a completely different development philosophy. Kusama is a faster iterating, more experimental chain that acts as a “canary network”—a real value, live chain that allows for rapid development of the technology. He describes Polkadot as a revolution in blockchain technology, not just an evolution. Filmed on January 21, 2021.
Key Learnings: Polkadot enables faster innovation in blockchain technology by making it easier for people to build, secure, and connect blockchains. Kusama is a more experimental, faster iterating, blockchain utilizing similar technology as Polkadot. Wood believes that Polkadot is a bet against maximalism as he doesn’t prescribe to the idea that there is a “best” blockchain or set of rules for a chain, but that different use cases require different types, and Polkadot enables this.
SOURCE : www.realvision.com
True interoperability
Polkadot enables cross-blockchain transfers of any type of data or asset, not just tokens. Connecting to Polkadot gives you the ability to interoperate with a wide variety of blockchains in the Polkadot network.
Economic & transactional scalability
Polkadot provides unprecedented economic scalability by enabling a common set of validators to secure multiple blockchains. Polkadot provides transactional scalability by spreading transactions across multiple parallel blockchains.
Forkless and future-proof
Polkadot can upgrade without hard forks to integrate new features or fix bugs. This capability enables Polkadot to easily adapt to changes and upgrade itself as better technologies become available.
Security for everyone
Polkadot's novel data availability and validity scheme allows chains to interact with each other in a meaningful way. Chains remain independent in their governance, but united in their security.
FUBO : COIL / POSITION TRADEFubo Stock Forecast: Up, But What To Consider In 2021
Fubo is a sports-focused alternative to cable TV. Shares have risen sharply since their IPO.
The company is developing a sportsbook that integrates with their TV platform. I think this is a brilliant strategy.
Their convertible debt is a better deal than the stock, but the shares could be worth a flier.
Some back-of-the-envelope calculations on how much Fubo stock could be worth. There's tremendous upside if they pull off integrating a sportsbook into their TV service.
Fubo is a fun play that has the potential to 20x in value if they execute properly over the next few years due to their explosive subscriber growth and potential monetization of sports betting.
SOURCE : Logan Kane, Fubo Stock Forecast: Up, But What To Consider In 2021, Feb. 04, 2021 8:45 AM ET, SeekingAlpha
seekingalpha.com
XLMUSD : COIL / POSITION TRADEPut simply, Stellar is an open network that allows money to be moved and stored. When it was released in July 2014, one of its goals was boosting financial inclusion by reaching the world’s unbanked — but soon afterwards, its priorities shifted to helping financial firms connect with one another through blockchain technology.
Fees are a sticking point for many. However, high costs when making cross-border payments aren’t just exclusive to fiat-based payments solutions such as PayPal — transaction fees have also been known to go through the roof on the Bitcoin and Ethereum blockchains because of congestion.
Stellar is unique because every transaction costs just 0.00001 XLM. Given how one unit of this cryptocurrency only costs a few cents at the time of writing, this helps ensure that users keep more of their money.
Few blockchain projects have managed to secure partnerships with big-brand technology companies and fintech firms. A few years ago, Stellar and IBM teamed up to launch World Wire, a project that allowed large financial institutions to submit transactions to the Stellar network and transact using bridge assets such as stablecoins.
ADAUUSD : COIL / POSITION TRADECardano’s latest protocol update will be a game-changer and could play a key role in triggering the ascent for the ADA price.
Alonzo promises major makeover
IOHK, the development team behind Cardano, announced the next protocol level update for Cardano, known as “Alonzo.” The roadmap reveals that this upgrade will arrive in the summer of this year.
The recent announcement reads,
Alonzo will add support for smart contracts – digital agreements – to Cardano about four months from now. It will open up opportunities for businesses and developers, by allowing the creation of smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps) for decentralized finance (DeFi).
The latest announcement comes after Cardano received two critical updates, the multi-asset support functionality and the Plutus platform. These updates will serve as a foundation on which the Alonzo update will be built.
This development will be implemented using IOHK’s hard fork combinator technology and will make Cardano a versatile platform for building smart contracts that fuel business needs.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
ADA has been consolidating for the past 6 weeks. A conviction break-out and close above its 2018 high could potentially signal the beginning of the next rally.
Additional Reference : youtu.be
$SOLO Interesting Volume Shelf / CoilingCurrently coiling around the 21 D EMA, $8 volume shelf.
My medium term thesis that EV and related tickers are getting ready for a short term rally, is further supported by the price action in solo.
BUY $MVIS PT 8.33 SL 5.34 Short term long
Rationale
Volume Shelf, Large demand at current prices
Coil pattern
Buyout rumors
Other similar lidar companies like LAZR are in an upward trajectory
Peculiar -Options contracts go up to $19 for Feb, but not for March
Options value & flow is above average
Secondary offering back in December
IPHI : COIL4-WK CONSOLIDATION BREAKING OUT OF PATTERN RESISTANCE. 38% PRICE RETRACEMENT ON PROFIT TAKING. OBSERVE VOLUME ACCELERATION FOR TRADE ENTRY CONFIRMATION.