COIN setting up long after a pullbackCOIN has a big jump July 13 after some good news on SEC litigation against crypto
and a court ruling was issued. It is shown here on a 15 minute chart.
Since a double top it went sideways for a week and then down trended. The anchored VWAP
bands serve to give context and serve to show dynamic support and resistance price was at the
mean VWAP on July 13th when it popped. In the price action since price did a VWAP breakout
and then a breakdown to bounce off the same mean VWAP black line and is now a bit above it.
As I believe COIN is now trending up with the relative strengths of the low and high time frames
at about the 50 level. I have set a stop loss below the VWAP line and targets as TP1 -105
TP2- 107 and TP3 -109 although the price could reach the highs of 7/13 especially if
there are legal or regulatory updates favorable to the cryptocurrency sector. I will also take
a look at RIOT and MARA.
COIN-M
BTCUSD (To Achieve More)Bitcoin Liquidates $85M in Shorts, Eyeing $100K Price Target
Bitcoin saw a significant surge leading up to the previous daily close, with substantial buy liquidity driving the market close to $72,000.
This rally resulted in the liquidation of $85 million in BTC shorts within the past 24 hours, according to data from CoinGlass.
Statistician Willy Woo commented that bulls are now challenging overhead resistance that has been in place for over a month.
Technically:
The price stabilized in the bullish zone as predicted in our previous analysis, reaching targets of 69030 and 71660.
Currently, a correction is expected down to 69040 before the price attempts to push up to a new all-time high. The price is likely to consolidate between 69030 and 71660 until a breakout occurs. A decisive break below 69030 with a daily close under this level would signal a downtrend.
Key levels to watch:
- Pivot Price: 71660
- Resistance: 73810, 76500, 80150
- Support: 69040, 66850, 64900
The price movement is anticipated to range between 69040 and 73810.
Previous idea:
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - Weekly - Potential Support Trendline TestBitcoin (BTC/USD) has been in a long-term price uptrend since 2023.
However, Bitcoin has been in a short-term downtrend since April 2024.
Bitcoin price could potentially re-test Support Trendline 1 and support prices of approximately $56000 down to $55000.
Bearish Scenario: price falls and test support levels below such as $58000, $55000, $50000, $45000, $40000.
Bullish Scenario: price bounces and continues higher to resistance prices of $64000, $69000, $73000, $77000, $80000.
Note: crypto regulatory changes, government vs crypto exchange lawsuits, breaking news, corporate earnings, and global events could override technical chart patterns.
Date created: 05/10/2024
(COIN) coinbaseRed line connects two points based on exponential moving averages. I don't use SMA and have read that weighted is better than exponential. Hull is better than both and Alma is a modern take only created within the last 20 years. I suppose it all depends on what moving average line the person buying uses to base their decisions. If a super rich person uses Simple Moving Average and I'm using something else, will we both see the same thing? Also, why would someone educated and wealthy use something called "simple moving average?" If you were wealthy and educated what would you use?
Coinbase's high uncertainty rating explained, key zone $190Coinbase's stock price has been in a downward consolidation phase since March, with a key level zone identified at $190. This zone represents previous highs and serves as a crucial support level during this period.
A breach below $190 could trigger selling pressure, potentially pushing the price lower towards the open gap at $143. This scenario suggests that a break below $190 may signal further downside momentum in Coinbase's stock price.
Coinbase's first-quarter earnings, scrutinized by Morningstar, revealed robust growth driven by surging cryptocurrency prices and volatility. Revenue more than doubled to $1.6 billion, bolstered by a $737 million gain on mark-to-market cryptocurrency assets, resulting in a net income of $1.18 billion. The retail trading business emerged as the primary revenue driver, experiencing a 99% increase from the previous quarter and a remarkable 184% surge from the previous year, totaling $935.2 million. Despite concerns over long-term price competition due to high fees relative to peers, Coinbase's market share remained resilient, with average pricing trending upwards.
Economic Moat Rating and Financial Strength
Morningstar assessed Coinbase's economic moat as nonexistent, despite its leading position in the US cryptocurrency exchange market. The company's reputation for reliability and compliance has allowed it to charge higher fees than many competitors. With over $5.1 billion in cash and significant cryptocurrency assets, Coinbase maintains a strong financial position, providing flexibility during periods of market volatility.
Risk and Uncertainty, Bull and Bear Perspectives
Coinbase's exposure to cryptocurrency prices and trading volume, coupled with regulatory uncertainty and interest rate exposure, contributes to its Very High Uncertainty Rating. Bulls emphasize Coinbase's leading market position and potential for global expansion, while bears caution against the cyclical nature of cryptocurrency markets and regulatory challenges, including allegations of acting as an unregistered securities exchange by the SEC.
$BNB is forming a beautiful triangleCRYPTOCAP:BNB is forming a beautiful triangle
I inicially thought it would form a parallel channel, but no, as you can see the channel is still on chart (in yellow)
Breakout from this triangle will give us 27% from today price
Expect some more downtrend for a few days before the breakout, as the Detonator indicator (purple) is riding on top of oscilation
BNBUSDT - Price can break resistance level inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for BNBUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price entered to falling channel, where it soon broke resistance level, which coincided with resistance area.
After this, BNB reached resistance line of channel and then bounced down to support line, breaking $604 level again.
Then price made downward impulse, exiting from falling channel and breaking $560 level.
But then, BNB turned around and started to grow inside rising channel, where it broke $560 level again and continued to grow.
Later price reached resistance line of channel, but at once bounced and fell to support line, where now it continues to trades near.
In my mind, Binance Coin can bounce up from support line of channel to $615, breaking resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
New Class Action Lawsuit Filed Against Coinbase Stock Down 2.45%Coinbase Global ( NASDAQ:COIN ) and CEO Brian Armstrong are facing a class action lawsuit from complainants claiming that the company misled them into buying securities. The lawsuit argues that digital assets listed on Coinbase are securities, and they also allege that Coinbase Earn accounts violated securities laws by advertising and promoting for higher yields. The plaintiffs also claim that Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) admitted it is a "Securities Broker" in its user agreement, making digital asset securities sold by the exchange as investment contracts or other securities.
The plaintiffs are seeking full recession, statutory damages under state law, and injunctive relief in a demand for a jury trial. The lawsuit is similar to other class actions and the SEC lawsuit. Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) has escalated its legal dispute with the U.S. SEC by filing an interlocutory appeal on the "investment contract" definition. Coinbase's CLO, Paul Grewal, believes that the exchange has a higher chance of victory as the SEC's interpretation of investment contracts doesn't align with Second Circuit and Supreme Court cases.
Coinbase's interlocutory appeal is also critical for the Ripple Vs SEC lawsuit, as the SEC could appeal Judge Torres' ruling that programmatic sales of XRP are not securities.
Technical Outlook
Coinbase Stock ( NASDAQ:COIN ) was down 2.45% on Friday's market close trading below the 50-day Moving Average with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 48.39.
COINBASE Bottomed and turning bullish for 2 months.Coinbase (COIN) completed a 2-day green streak following a Lower Low within the Falling Wedge, which is technically the Bearish Leg of the 6-month Channel Up pattern that started on the October 27 2023 Low.
By tomorrow the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) would have crossed below the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), forming a Bearish Cross, which is a pattern last seen on February 02 2024. The stock bottomed 2 days later, above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which is currently at.
In contrast to the stocks Lower Lows, the 4H RSI formed Higher Lows, which is a Bullish Divergence, the same kind of pattern it completed on February 05. Technically, once it breaks above the 4H MA50 again, we will have a confirmed Bullish Leg (dotted) at its very start. The last one reached the 1.786 Fibonacci extension, so we are targeting at least $370.00 on this run.
It is worth noting that there is a high degree of consistency in the frequency on the Highs and Lows of the Channel Up, which is clearly shown by the Sine Waves on this chart.
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COIN Coinbase Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of COIN Coinbase prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-3,
for a premium of approximately $38.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
HelenP. I BNB can break resistance level and continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Binance Coin analytics. Some time ago price made a little movement down and then turned around and made a strong impulse up to 645 points, breaking the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. But later BNB turned around and in a short time declined to the support area, which coincided with the support level, breaking the 612 level one more time. Then BNB rebounded from the support zone and rose to the resistance zone, but when it entered to this area, the price at once rebounded and made a correction movement. After this Binance Coin in a short time rose back to the resistance area and then made a strong impulse down to the trend line, which is located below the support zone. After this movement, BNB started to rise between the trend line and soon reached the resistance level again, breaking the 524 support level again. At the moment, the price continues to trades near this resistance level and I expect that BNB will break the resistance level, make retest, and continue to move up near the trend line, therefore I set my target at the 645 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
COINBASE around the 1D MA50 but the MA100 more likely to supportCoinbase Global (COIN) rose as high as our last target (March 05, see chart below) and has been pulling back since:
The best way to view this short-term correction is on the diverging Channel Up (blue) which started on the October 27 2023 bottom. As with the longer term Channel Up, it consolidates considerably below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), with the last (February 05 2024) Low finding support just above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
As a result we expect a Higher Low for the diverging Channel Up close to 185.00, before start seeing the new Bullish Leg. In addition, we need to see the 1D RSI touching its 2-year Support Zone, which usually tends to touch it twice during an Accumulation Phase. The price also tends to Double Bottom. This means that there will be time most likely (always account for how strongly the Bitcoin Halving might do to the market) to identify the new bottom and most optimal buy entry based on the conditions above.
We are willing to buy there for the Bullish Leg that will follow and target $370.00, which is the top of the long-term Fibonacci Channel. Note that in case of a break-out, the price can even go as high as the 2.0 (blue) Fibonacci extension ($440.00), which is around the Fib level that the last two Higher Highs where priced.
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BTCAT Bitcoin Cat - a new meme coin After PEPE and LADYS went to the moon:
Now I'm looking at another small-cap meme coin with potential: Bitcoin Cat BTCAT !
Let's see if it's another mooning meme coin!
Coinbase Faces Legal Turbulence: Class Action Lawsuit RevivedIn a significant turn of events, Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ), a leading cryptocurrency exchange, finds itself embroiled in legal turmoil as a class action lawsuit, initially dismissed in 2021, is revived by the 2nd US Circuit Court of Appeals. This development thrusts the platform into the spotlight once again, reigniting debates over the regulatory landscape of digital assets.
The lawsuit, spearheaded by Louis Oberlander against Coinbase Global Inc., alleges that the exchange facilitated the sale of 79 digital assets, which consumers argue constitute illegal contracts due to Coinbase's purported lack of registration with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This resurgence of legal action underscores the complexities and uncertainties surrounding the regulation of cryptocurrency markets.
While the revival of the lawsuit may seem like a setback for Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ), Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal remains steadfast in his response, applauding the court's affirmation that the exchange bears no private liability for the secondary trading of digital assets on its platform. Grewal's stance reflects Coinbase's preparedness to confront legal challenges head-on, underscoring the platform's confidence in the contractual agreements users enter into while engaging with the exchange.
However, the legal battle is far from straightforward. The appeals court's decision to revive the lawsuit hinges on nuanced legal interpretations, including the identification of specific contracts meeting cancellation requirements under the law. Moreover, questions arise regarding the validity of user agreements and their implications for the dismissal of the class-action suit, adding layers of complexity to the ongoing legal saga.
Central to the plaintiffs' allegations is Coinbase's purported promotion of token sales through various means, including providing users with asset descriptions, purported values, and engaging in promotional activities such as news updates and price movement alerts. These claims underscore the evolving role of cryptocurrency exchanges in shaping market dynamics and investor behavior, raising pertinent questions about accountability and transparency.
As the legal proceedings unfold, Coinbase's response to the revived lawsuit will be closely scrutinized, with broader implications for the cryptocurrency industry's regulatory framework. The outcome of this legal battle could potentially reshape industry practices and set precedents for future litigation involving digital asset exchanges.
In conclusion, Coinbase's resurgence in the legal spotlight underscores the growing pains of the cryptocurrency industry as it grapples with regulatory uncertainties and legal challenges. As stakeholders await further developments, the case serves as a litmus test for the evolving dynamics between cryptocurrency exchanges, regulators, and investors in an increasingly scrutinized market landscape.
Ark Invest Sells $6.4 Million Worth of Coinbase SharesArk Invest, the investment firm led by Cathie Wood, has sold an additional 25,662 shares of Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ), worth $6.4 million, as part of its ongoing re-balancing strategy. The firm sold 22,690 shares worth $5.7 million from its Innovation ETF and 2,972 shares worth $742,000 from its Next Generation Internet ETF. This marks the first major sale of Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) shares by Ark Invest since it offloaded $21 million worth of the stock in March 2021. The firm's investment strategy aims to maintain diversification within its funds by not allowing any individual holding to take up more than 10% of an ETF's portfolio. As Coinbase's stock price continues to rise relative to other holdings, Ark Invest will likely continue to re-balance its fund weightings.
Oppenheimer, a New York-based investment bank and financial services firm, recently raised its price target for Coinbase to $276, up from a previous target of $200, while reiterating its buy rating. According to Oppenheimer's Executive Director, Owen Lau, the adoption of digital assets continued after the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January, and the firm estimates that Coinbase's trading volume will increase by 95% quarter-on-quarter and 107% year-on-year to $300 billion. Oppenheimer's price target is 10.5% higher than Coinbase's closing share price of $249.61 on Thursday. Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) currently has a market value of $46.4 billion.
Technical Outlook
Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) stock is trading above the 200-day Moving Average (MA) with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 53.70 not indicating a clear cut of the stock abode. NASDAQ:COIN is down by 1.67% as at the time of writing aiming towards the Support Level of $228 mark.
COIN, BTC: An Interesting Fractal I Found; Macro Analysis
The Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) 4-hour chart is a perfect fractal of the Bitcoin weekly chart. Good ole' Wyckoff distribution. It even has the little Bart Simpson correction pattern from August 2020 that occurred shortly after the last halving and a few months before the first big leg up.
Considering current price action, Bitcoin and Coinbase, for that matter, will potentially be kicking off their fifth and final HTF waves up following what are likely to be multi-month consolidations. The next few months could resemble a less severe version of the "mini bear market" the crypto market experienced in the summer of 2021.
In BTC, I'm looking for stretch downside targets of around 56k and around 51k if 56k breaks. If it gets all the way down there, it would be a gift. On shorter time frames, assuming the 69k/70k resistance is not breached, there is likely more downside to come for both assets. Corrections to the upside should be approached with caution.
On COIN, an S/R flip under the fib fan's 50% level is all but confirmed on the 4-hour chart. If historical price action is any indication, this fractal suggests that testing the 0.618 is definitely in the cards. I'm eyeing $220 as a potential target. It's supported by a strong demand zone and the weekly VWAP.
Sentiment should remain relatively bullish on higher time frames so long as 50k isn't breached.
Coinbase Secures Canadian License Amidst Regulatory HeadwindsAmid escalating regulatory pressures in the United States, Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ), a leading cryptocurrency exchange, has successfully secured a registration license in Canada, signaling its strategic pivot towards international expansion. This milestone achievement comes at a critical juncture for Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ), amidst heightened scrutiny from US regulators, positioning the company to tap into the burgeoning Canadian crypto market while navigating regulatory landscapes worldwide.
Navigating Regulatory Challenges:
Coinbase's quest for a Canadian registration license underscores its proactive approach to regulatory compliance and its commitment to expanding its global footprint. With the regulatory environment in Canada perceived as more favorable for crypto platforms compared to the US, Coinbase's strategic move reflects its agility in adapting to evolving regulatory landscapes.
Strategic Initiatives and Market Penetration:
The journey towards obtaining the Canadian license involved meticulous planning and strategic efforts by Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ), including engaging with regulators over several years and establishing a compliant platform tailored to Canadian regulations. Coinbase's presence as the first international cryptocurrency exchange registered in Canada positions it strategically to capitalize on the vast opportunities offered by the country's tech-savvy population and burgeoning crypto market.
Global Expansion Strategy:
Coinbase's foray into the Canadian market aligns with its broader global expansion strategy, characterized by initiatives such as the "Go Broad, Go Deep" approach aimed at securing local licenses in various international markets. Despite regulatory challenges, Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) remains resolute in its mission to provide access to the digital economy for users globally, leveraging its strong brand and commitment to compliance.
Market Speculation and Analyst Forecasts:
The news of Coinbase's Canadian license has sparked significant speculation regarding the growth potential of its native coin. Renowned analyst Oppenheimer's bullish forecast, raising the price target for Coinbase stock, underscores the firm's positive assessment of the crypto exchange's prospects. This optimistic outlook reflects confidence in Coinbase's ability to navigate regulatory hurdles and capitalize on the evolving crypto landscape.
CEO Engagement and Investment in Canada:
Coinbase's commitment to the Canadian market is further underscored by CEO Brian Armstrong's engagement with local tech leaders and the establishment of a tech hub with nearly 200 full-time employees. This investment in Canada's tech ecosystem highlights Coinbase's long-term vision and dedication to fostering innovation and growth in the region.