COIN Technical Analysis: Wave (4) Correction Nearing CompletionTechnical analysis chart of the cryptocurrency "COIN" using Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis method that suggests that financial markets move in predictable patterns based on a series of five waves.
The information provided in this post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. There is a risk of being completely wrong, and users are warned not to trade or invest solely based on this study. The content is not an advisory and does not guarantee profits. We are not responsible for any kind of profits and losses; individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Based on the chart, we had identified a potential impulse wave pattern from January 2023 to the present. An impulse wave pattern consists of five waves, with each wave labeled (1), (2), (3), (4), and (5).
Wave (1): This is the first wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strong upward trend. In this case, wave (1) appears to have run from the low near 31-32 to a high near 114.
Wave (2): This is a corrective wave that moves in the opposite direction of wave (1). It is typically a retracement of wave (1), but it can also extend beyond the starting point of wave (1). Wave (2) appears to have run from the high near 114 to a low near 69.
Wave (3): This is the second wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strongest upward trend that extends most of times. Wave (3) given move from 69 to 283
Wave (4): This is a corrective wave that moves in the opposite direction of wave (3). It is typically a retracement of wave (3). Wave (4) is currently in progress, but at verge of completion now any time.
Wave (5): This is the final wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strong upward trend that completes the pattern. Wave (5) is expected to start soon and could potentially reach the levels of 300 plus.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Coin
Coinbase at a Crossroads: Rally to $340 or Drop to $100?**NASDAQ: COIN (COINBASE) 1W/1D**
On the **Weekly timeframe**, :
In my previous analyses ( ) the Golden Cross on the daily moving average was noted, indicating bullish momentum at the time. The price was in a Rising Wedge formation, a pattern often signaling an upcoming downward move, especially in the context of an Elliott Wave count where we were in Wave 3. This strong upward movement at the time allowed for further rises, but also warned of a possible correction in the form of Wave 4.
Now, a few months later, after reviewing the chart, I have slightly extended Wave 3, in which this impulsive wave also displays a clean 1-2-3-4-5 pattern. The previously mentioned correction has been in play. The price is currently at the support line of the earlier Rising Wedge. The question now is whether Coinbase can bounce back again or whether further decline towards the underlying #fibonacci levels will follow.
**On the Daily timeframe**, :
We can see that the downward correction, which began in July 2024, has reached a bottom around $146, fitting within the larger correction from the weekly analysis. The price now appears to be recovering slightly towards the #ema 50 at $187.67, which is a resistance level. The momentum is supported by a strong #stoch, but it is currently in the overbought zone, indicating a potential cooling off. Key levels to watch are the #fair-value-gap around $187 and $216. If the price breaks through these resistance levels, it could lead to further upward movement towards $240, ultimately completing Wave 5 towards $340. However, if momentum decreases, a fallback towards the previous bottom at $146 or the psychological $100 remains possible.
**Conclusion:**
Although there is room for further rises towards $240 and eventually $340, signals such as the overbought #stoch and proximity to resistance levels also point to a potential cooling off. If momentum decreases, the price could retreat to previous lows around $146 or even towards the psychological level of $100.
**Resistance levels:**
- $187 (#ema 50)
- $216 (#fair-value-gap)
- $240 (resistance line from the rising wedge formation)
- $340 (Wave 5 target)
**Support levels:**
- $146 (previous bottom)
- $100 (psychological level)
*Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and carefully assess your risks.*
Coinbase: Not Yet!Although Coinbase has moved upward within our orange Target Zone (between $180.58 and $134.06), we must still reckon with a lower low of the orange wave ii as the stock can use the whole range of our Zone to complete the current movement. However, since the technical requirements for this corrective move have already been met, the price could also continue to rise directly. In any case, the orange wave iii should surpass the resistance at $323.70, so our Zone still offers long entry opportunities to profit from the expected increases. For hedging purposes, a stop may be placed 1% below the Zone’s lower edge.
Since Mid-2024 Coinbase SP has been sucked down with all Crypto!
Coinbase is a well established setup and professional company in the Crypto world, a new-base may be forming on its chart and new, fresh buying emerging right now.
This next 15 minute shows the bottom of the Coinbase chart structure.
See next chart below
$ARKMUSD Daily Timeframe (long opportunity) Trade Analysis Daily Timeframe COINBASE:ARKMUSD Trade Analysis
Key Focus: 0.970 Area
The 0.970 level here's what to expect:
When price reaches 0.970, I anticipate a long entry to target 1.051 level for a quick daily 1:1.
Upside look
If price closes with a body above 1.216, I would anticipate a pullback to eventually head to the following targets:
Initial target: 1.405
Secondary target: 1.500 (previous highs)
Ultimate target: 1.799
While price is heading to these targets we can jump on the LTF and find a bunch of entry opportunities.
If you know in which direction price is heading, then you just have to find a way to get in and get out, secure profits
We may see a rejection between the 1.562 and 1.476 area before taking the 1.562 high.
This analysis emphasizes the importance of the 0.970 level while maintaining awareness of potential upside targets.
Opening (IRA): COIN Oct 18th 130/140/200/210 Iron Condor... for a 3.66 credit.
Comments: High IV at 73.4%. More small stuff while I twiddle my thumbs. Skewing this just a smidge long, with resulting delta at 2.35.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Max Loss: 6.34
Max Profit: 3.66
ROC at Max: 57.72%
50% Max: 1.83
ROC at 50% Max: 28.86%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in untested side on side test.
Bitcoin is about to go boom! Bitcoin has been putting is some near term lower highs and lower lows.
The daily chart trend is starting to breakdown and show signs of distribution.
The weekly chart trend is still ok but even if we had a flush to 40k the Weekly chart would still display higher lows.
The point of this higher low excercise is to define trend and know that trends can often have a large range.
That being said I think a short setup in BTC is brewing. a retest of the 50 & 100 MA will likely prove to be very strong resistance as we keep losing the key larger term MA's.
As banks and potentially the stock market lose some momentum its going to be interesting to see how crypto is going to hold up.
CRYPTO COIN - ATOM = LONG As I wrote in previous posts, many coins are currently forming a descending wedge. It can be noted that the ATOM coin was heavily sold off with large impulses. It's also clear that the coin bounced off the support zone, and in my opinion, it may now be breaking out of the wedge into play. The project itself is very promising and has many applications in cryptocurrency, which could increase buyer interest in purchasing it.
COINBASE at the bottom of the 20month Channel. Will it go lower?Coinbase (COIN) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the first week of January 2023 (almost 20 months). Within this time span, it has seen 4 corrections with the latter being the longest as we haven't seen a new High since the week of March 25 2024.
Last Friday saw the week close on the strongest red 1W candle (-20%) since the 2022 Bear Cycle, as it failed to rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This on its own is a very pessimistic development, with the presence of only the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) remaining to offer support long-term.
However, this Friday closing made an exact Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up, something we hadn't seen since the June 05 2023 1W candle. That was the candle that completed the longest (until the current one) correction on Coinbase. Both Bearish Legs have similar declines (-47% then and -48% now). The minimum % rise of a Bullish Leg within this Channel Up has been +146.82% (two times).
As a result, as long as we close this week inside the Channel Up and ideally the 1W RSI remains above the 30.00 oversold barrier, we can expect a long-term bullish reversal on COIN with the start of the Channel's new Bullish Leg, with a minimum expectation being at $360.00 (+146.82% rally).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC/USDT WEEKLY UPDATE !! The chart shows a clear descending wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bullish reversal pattern. This suggests the potential for an upward breakout once the pattern completes.
The highlighted brown box indicates a critical support zone around the $42,500 to $52,000 range. A potential scenario shown by the green path suggests that the price may dip into this zone before reversing upwards.
The green line outlines a possible path where BTC could initially drop to test lower support levels near the trendline and within the support zone before rallying back upwards, potentially breaking above the resistance line near $64,000.
There appears to be a mention of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a bullish signal, suggesting the possibility of a strong upward move if the neckline is broken.
The ascending trendline from previous lows supports the idea that the broader market trend is still upward, reinforcing the likelihood of a bullish breakout.
the analysis suggests that while there might be some short-term downward movement to retest support, the longer-term outlook remains bullish, especially if Bitcoin can hold key support levels and break out of the current descending pattern.
Note: This is not financial advice. Stay tuned for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
Coinbase (COIN): Anticipating the Next Big MoveNearly five months ago, we shared our last analysis on Coinbase, predicting a 30-40% drop.
And guess what? We saw a 40% decline. At that time, many were bullish on COIN and the broader crypto market, but we opted to wait and watch. In hindsight, this cautious approach was clearly the right move, especially given the higher time frame of our analysis.
Since then, we've climbed out of that zone, and everything seems to be progressing well. We're now looking for a 5-wave structure to the upside to complete Wave 5 and, consequently, the first cycle. Our target range for COIN lies somewhere between $286 and $412, but we believe the most likely range is between $290 and $325.
Currently, we have some swing positions open in cryptos, and we're not looking to enter Coinbase at this moment. However, either in the near or distant future, we plan to make a move. Specifically, our target for the big Wave (2) is the imbalance between $160 and $115, but it’s still a long journey before we reach those levels.
Coinbase (COIN) Shares Drop Below $200Coinbase (COIN) Shares Drop Below $200
Yesterday, shares of cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase (COIN) underperformed the broader market, falling by approximately 5%.
This decline is part of a worrying trend. While the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) set records in mid-summer, Coinbase (COIN) struggled to surpass its March high. It seems the positive impact of the Bitcoin ETF launch earlier this year has faded.
Additionally, COIN's share price has been affected by a weak earnings report published on 1st August, where earnings per share fell significantly short of expectations (actual = $0.14 vs forecast = $0.95).
Adding to the negative sentiment is the news that if Kamala Harris wins the US presidential election, current SEC Chair Gary Gensler, known for his sceptical stance on cryptocurrencies, might be appointed as Treasury Secretary.
Technical analysis of the COIN chart indicates that price movements are increasingly forming a descending channel (marked in red), with:
→ Swing extremes forming a series of lower highs and lows. The false breakout at peak C1 relative to peak C can be seen as confirmation of bearish strength.
→ The psychological level of $200, which acted as support in May (during the formation of low B), may now serve as resistance, as only two trading days closed above this mark.
→ Another significant resistance level is $210, which served as support in June before being bearishly broken on 2nd August.
The bearish arguments are concerning. The $200-210 zone, reinforced by the median of the descending channel, could be a major obstacle for bulls.
However, analysts remain optimistic. According to average estimates from TipRanks, the target price for COIN is $259 over the next 12 months (+31% from current levels).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
COINBASE rebounded on its 1W MA50. Next target = $390Coinbase (COIN) hit (and even broke) last week its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (since the week of June 26 2023) and posted an incredibly bullish reaction by almost recovering all of the weekly losses.
At the same time, that drop almost touched the bottom of the 1.5 year Channel Up that started after the 2022 market bottom. All similar bottoms registered at least +146.82% rallies on the Bullish Legs that followed, so we expect the stock to have a minimum $390 Target, which will also reach the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level, that is always hit during such rallies.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
COIN cup and handle Technical Outlook:
Bullish Setup: A cup and handle pattern is forming, suggesting potential for an upward breakout.
Key Levels: Watch for a breakout above the handle with strong volume. Support is solid at the 50-day moving average.
RSI: Still below overbought, meaning there’s room for upward movement.
Fundamental Snapshot:
Strong Q2 Earnings: Revenue jumped to $1.38 billion, largely due to increased trading volumes and the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs (Crowdfund Insider).
Regulatory Risks: Ongoing SEC battles could impact growth, but recent ETF approvals are a positive sign (Crowdfund Insider).
COIN is closely correlated with Bitcoin so keep an eye on that as well.
If COIN breaks resistance, it could see strong gains, but keep an eye on regulatory news.