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OIL - The Key Indicator to an Imminent Global RecessionEverything is linked to the price of oil. Our food, our phones, our computers, our clean water, our electricity, everything we use each day is dependant on oil. If oil prices were to pump due to a new peak (which is inevitable), the price of everything will climb. As a result, it will reach a point where we can't afford to consume the same amount of things, slowing down our industrial activity. 2008 was a crisis, meaning our governments managed to fix the issue on the short term. However, during that period, food industries were struggling, and famines happened in several countries. To solve this problem, they had no other choice than shutting down the price of oil to restart the machine. In 2014, thanks to our advanced technique of extraction, global production exceeded demand, and the price fell by itself. However cheap oil is becoming rarer and demand is not decreasing. We will see price climbing slowly at first, and like an exponential curve, will be able to very quickly climb up to new highs, and who knows what will happen then? How long are we going to be able to answer the demand that seems to be in a no-limit growth?
TVC:USOILEducation
by cyatophilum
Continued BTC/USD fall, facts, and suggestions. It's a volatile week. Our previous chart showed a continued collapse in the price of Bitcoin, yet, we're not close to being stable or safe. The entire cryptocurrency market must be restructured. The market needs a reset and these abandoned and dead coins need to vanish before cryptocurrency can even be considered to trade again. Get out, even if profits are small or slightly upside down. Its going to come in for a total reset. This market does not share the fundamentals of the past collapsing of Bitcoin. Back then, Bitcoin was on very few trading platforms and Bitcoin was essentially alone. Today, Bitcoin is listed in with the stock market, and is competing with over 2,068 other coins. Here are the facts: Bitcoin is not as safe as once described: Its been hacked, stolen, and manipulated. Bitcoin is not as fast as once promoted: It can take up to 72-hours in some cases for transfers. Bitcoin is not as cheap as compared to Forex transfers. Bitcoin is losing footing with companies that once accepted it as a form of payment. The cryptocurreny market is a bubble, it needs a massive restructuring. The bulk of the 2070 coins are abandoned, dead, or scams. They must be removed, de-listed to regain investor confidence. Get out, wait it out. No, we're not saying "hodl" we're saying sell and wait till there is some sort of reset of the cryptomarket. The dead coins must vanish because investors are over saturated with coins to invest in. When there is too much of something, it becomes worthless. This is true of any asset. Only precious metals are truly limited, thus can grow in value. Crypto can fork a million times, multiplied by the number of "limited" coins.. you can see how this "decentralized" cryptocurrency starts looking an awful lot like fiat currency. Infinite supply. Be smart, invest smart and see the signs. Original Chart
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by WorldEconomics
Bitcoin historical moment... Will it crash to $1500?><><><>< Click “Like” to support us and unlock more great content ><><><>< Since November 14, Bitcoin has been going through a massive selloff. In 6 days price declined by 32%, while hitting todays’ low at $4411. Price reached the lower trendline of the descending channel and almost tested the 78.6% Fibonacci support level at $4387. The Crash BTC/USD is facing yet another support level, which up until now has been rejected. However, the trend remains very bearish even further drop can be expected. If current support is broken, BTC could go lower, towards the $3k, or even $1.5k level. Potentially, such decline would result in a total loss of 92% since the all-time high. Considering the huge volatility within the cryptocurrency market such scenario can be expected. Trend clues But let's look at the upside potential in this bearish market. Current support is holding, and while price remains above, range trading or a correction to the upside should be expected. In our previous idea $4.8k support level has been mentioned, and it's yet to be seen whether the daily close is above or below it. If BTC/USD will close the day above $4.8k, probability of a range trading or a strong correction will become more likely. Positive scenario Talking above the positive scenario, it would probably take more time for the BTC to reverse, as next Fibonacci cycle indicating on October 2019, that is nearly a year from now. Yes, this is how long it could take for the uptrend to resume. Yet, cryptocurrency market can be very unpredictable and volatile. Considering that, one can assume the probability of a fast reversal, similar to what has happened to the Monero, back few years ago. The idea to the Monero reversal vs Bitcoin comparison can be found down below. Volatility is good The good thing is that the volatility has returned that is positive news for the overall cryptocurrency market. In strong declines such as this one, investors might see opportunities, thus more money will be poured in the cryptocurrency market. This, indeed, could be the reversal moment, but as has been said, it could take a long time before it happens. Bearish scenario Now let's observe the bearish scenario and potential bottom. Based on the Fibonacci time zone indicator, along with the extended descending channel, BTC/USD could go as low as $1500. But if Bitcoin will ever get to this price, it could be truly a long waited buying opportunity for institutional investors. Talking about the timeframe, price would ether move towards that level very slowly, or with the current volatility, could be reached within few weeks or even days! Risk taking Staying cautions and not taking risking big in this market, seems to be one of the optimal ways to go. Having said that, Bitcoin believers might be holding BTC even during big drops, and what’s more, they can even accumulate more. Only time will tell the true outcome, but in this idea, we are happy to share our vision of possible outcomes.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by CryptalDash
BRICS Custom Index forming new price channel (lower)Watch out below, folks. It appears recent support may not hold in my custom BRICS index as Emerging Markets appear to be under extreme pressures. Recent news out of China, Malaysia and Mexico could lead to a complete EM market collapse. Chinese capital markets are under extreme pressure right now and over $1 trillion in equity shares have been pledged to offset debt/loans. This may seem fine right now, but what if these share prices drop another 20~30%? What happens then? Malaysia is opening and aggressively targeting corruption and graft with the new Mahathir administration. The biggest target so far has been local Malay business leaders and China. Trust me, Mahathir will lock up, charge and possibly HANG some of these people for what they have done to sell out the Malaysian people and country. The news from this could be catastrophic for China. Imagine hundreds of billions (possibly multiple-trillions) being exposed as "shady deals" with the intent to make China look more prosperous over the past few years. Imagine how destructive it would be to find out that China has been dramatically cooking the books for the past 4+ years. Mexico, on the other hand, is very much like the wild, wild west right now. With the new Mexican President and a complete change in policies, no one really knows what is next. But what is likely is a truly epic reversal of core economic policies and what could be a dramatic destruction of people, property and future opportunities. BRICs?? Remember, how fast a brick falls when you drop it and how dangerous it really can be. Be very cautious.
INDEX:IBOVShort
by BradMatheny
DXY Dollar Index Close to collapse againDXY Dollar Index Close to collapse once more The last rally was 77 pips. this one at 93.27 high is the same. DXY will either fail here, the most likely spot, or at 93.49, just 22 pips higher. It should fall away by 2.4% to 91.05. Good for EUR gold, silver, copper longs and baby Alts who need a break and maybe oil too for the next few days. Asusual about 3 wise men will read this comment. It's probably one of the most important there is. Sensible you:)
TVC:DXYShort
by sumastardon
S&P Views and Projections: Hold on to Your HatHere is simply what I think the S&P will do in the next two decades. What goes up must come down. Despite political turmoil in the United States, which country is better prepared with a more developed, regulated, and with a perceived "safe" and open financial market, than the U.S.? RSI, Stoch, and MACD all indicate the potential for a strong sell-off. But what do you think? Can wealth be created and destroyed, or only transferred? Are the laws of supply and demand an ultimate truth or is it possible to manipulate a market by creating false demand? Post your thoughts in the comments below! Happy Hunting Everyone.
TVC:SPXShort
by Piptocurrency
14
DOT COM DO-OVER Part 2. Are you ready?What makes 2012~2017 different from 1995~2000? Can you tell me what key factors will prevent a repeat DOT COM (technology) crash? In 1995~1999, the US was the single biggest and most advanced player in the technology field. Investment poured into these US tech firms as it was the only game on the planet. In 2012~2017, the US was the single biggest and most advanced economy in the world and tech (FANGs) continued to lead the US markets ROI. Global investment in the US tech market continued to soar and this advancement spilled into other global markets (China, Europe and SE Asia) as expectations (HYPE) continued to soar. Global markets have shown parallels to the US market with regards to price valuation based on the success (ROI) derived from US investments. If GOOG has risen by n%, the XYZ (foreign company) should be worth comparable values. Think of SNAP, TWITTER, Alibaba and other foreign tech firms. What drives this valuation? How are these firms considered for valuation?? Is it pure HYPE? Look at the correlation between this chart and the earlier DOT COM chart I posted? See any similarities? Could we be one global event away from total market collapse? All it would take in my opinion would be : _ Further contraction in the NQ setting up a "right shoulder". (roughly 4~12% correction from highs followed by a small rally). _ Public perception to continue to HYPE the tech field while erosion in the major markets continues. _ A single (or multiple) global events to provide the catalyst for the crash (NK, EU, China, OTHERS). The similarities are freaky and the fact that so many people are missing this. Be aware folks. We could only be 12~24 weeks away from something catastrophic.
NYSE:XCIShort
by BradMatheny
1