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Streaming Wars | Who’s Winning, Losing, and Sharing Passwords ?Netflix Is Laughing, Cable Is Crying, and Amazon Is Sneaking Up Highlights for Today - Trends and Market Share - Disney: Streaming Profits on the Rise - Comcast: Cable Restructuring Underway - Warner Bros : Box Office Challenges - Paramount: Streaming Growth Amidst Challenges In the Battle for Loyalty, One Fact Stands Out: Netflix vs the Rest 1. Trends and Market Share Platforms like YouTube Premium, Amazon Prime, and Apple TV+ do not report quarterly numbers. Additionally, Disney+ Hotstar is excluded due to its planned merger with Reliance in 2025. Streaming continues to replace traditional linear TV, benefiting all players. Nielsen reports streaming comprised 41% of US TV time in September 2024, a 3.5-point increase year-over-year, primarily at Cable’s expense. Key Trends to Watch -Password-Sharing Crackdown: Following Netflix’s success, Disney introduced paid sharing in the US in late September, with effects expected to emerge in Q4. Max is also gearing up for this initiative. -Amazon Prime’s Growing Presence:CEO Andy Jassy revealed that Prime Video attracts over 200 million global viewers monthly. Combining exclusive content, live sports, and e-commerce integration, Amazon’s ecosystem presents a credible challenge to Netflix. -YouTube’s Dominance in Living Rooms: YouTube accounts for over 25% of US streaming TV time (excluding YouTube TV) and continues to grow. Alphabet disclosed that YouTube’s ads and subscriptions brought in $50 billion in revenue over the last 12 months, surpassing Netflix’s $38 billion. -Subscriber Trends: Tentpole events, like the Olympics for Peacock or hit series like House of the Dragon for Max, drove sign-ups. However, retention remains a challenge for all but Netflix. 2. Disney: Streaming Profits Rise Disney’s fiscal year ends in September, with Q3 FY24 covering the June quarter. -Streaming Profits:Disney’s direct2consumer (DTC) segment, which includes Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, posted its second consecutive profitable quarter, generating $321 million in operating income. Core Disney+ subscribers rose by 4.4 million, reaching 123 million, driven by ad-supported tiers. -Box Office Wins: Hits like Inside Out 2 and Deadpool & Wolverine powered $316 million in studio profits. Disney became the first studio to surpass $4 billion in global box office revenue in 2024. - Challenges in Parks: Parks and Experiences revenue dropped 6% to $1.7 billion, impacted by hurricanes, rising costs, and competition from the Paris Olympics. Domestic attendance held steady, while international parks struggled. - Linear TV Decline: Revenue fell 6%, with profits plunging 38% to $498 million as cord-cutting and reduced ad sales weighed heavily. Disney plans to integrate streaming and linear TV rather than divest assets. - Optimistic Outlook: Disney expects earnings growth in FY25 (high single digits) and double digits in FY26 and FY27. Blockbusters like Moana2 and Mufasa:The Lion King are anticipated to maintain momentum. Takeaway: Disney’s Q4 highlighted strides in its streaming turnaround, buoyed by box office wins. However, the decline in linear TV underscores the challenges of transitioning in a shifting media landscape. Strong content and a focus on profitability position Disney for success under Bob Iger’s leadership. 3.Comcast: Cable Restructuring -Olympics Drive Growth:The Paris Olympics boosted NBCUniversal’s revenue by 37%, generating $1.2 billion in advertising and adding 3 million Peacock subscribers, which now total 36 million. -Streaming Expansion: Peacock’s revenue rose 82% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, with losses narrowing to $436 million from $565 million last year. -Cable Struggles: Cord-cutting led to a loss of 365,000 cable TV subscribers, with video segment revenue down 6.2%. Comcast is exploring a spinoff of cable networks like Bravo and CNBC to prioritize growth areas. -Theme Parks Slow: Theme park revenue dipped 5% to $2.3 billion as domestic attendance normalized post-COVID. -Broadband Trends:Despite losing 87,000 broadband customers, revenue increased 3%, with higher average revenue per user. Takeaway:Comcast’s Q3 reflected both opportunities and challenges. While the Olympics showcased its media strength, declines in cable TV and theme parks persist. Streamlining through a cable spinoff could sharpen its focus, but sustaining growth in Peacock and broadband remains critical. 4.Warner Bruh : Box Office Challenges -Streaming Growth:Max gained 7.2 million subscribers, reaching 110.5 million globally, supported by international expansion and hits like *House of the Dragon*. Streaming revenue rose 9%, marking Warner’s first profit since 2022. -Box Office Struggles:Studio revenue declined 17%, with theatrical revenue falling 40% due to a weaker film slate (*Beetlejuice Beetlejuice* and *Twisters* compared to last year’s *Barbie*). Video game revenue dropped 31%. -Mixed Network Results:Network revenue grew 3% from the Olympics and *Shark Week*, but advertising revenue fell 13%. The $9.1 billion NBA impairment from Q2 continues to loom. -Debt and Cash Flow Issues:** Free cash flow dropped 69% to $632 million, with $41 billion in debt. Warner renewed its Charter Communications deal to bolster stability. -CEO’s Confidence:David Zaslav emphasized Max’s momentum, projecting $1 billion in streaming profits by 2025 and hinting at password-sharing monetization. Takeaway:Warner’s Q3 highlighted streaming success but underscored its dependence on Max as traditional film and TV segments falter. Balancing debt, declining cash flow, and expanding streaming profitability will be key to its stability. 5.Paramount: Streaming Growth -Streaming Success:Paramount+ gained 3.5 million subscribers, reaching 72 million, thanks to sports like the NFL and UEFA and shows like *Tulsa King*. The streaming unit achieved a $49 million operating income, its second consecutive profitable quarter. -TV and Film Challenges:TV revenue fell 6% due to lower ad sales and declining cable subscribers. The film division saw revenue plummet 34%, with theatrical revenue dropping 71%. -Merger Progress:Paramount’s merger with Skydance Media is on track for early 2025, following the exploration of 12 potential bidders. -Cost-Cutting:Paramount has completed 90% of its $500 million cost reduction initiative, resulting in layoffs and asset write-downs. -Strategic Shift:Paramount is seeking a streaming joint-venture partner to better compete with Netflix and Disney while managing cable TV’s decline. Takeaway: Paramount’s streaming gains are encouraging, but traditional TV and film struggles persist. The Skydance merger offers a potential transformation, though stabilizing legacy businesses remains a significant hurdle.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:CMCSAEducation
by moonypto
15
Tech-Media Stocks: Macro Fib SchematicsThese Tech Media/Entertainment companies are among the biggest and most influential. Their Fib Schematics are somewhat similar but a few are unique. Twitter is newer than the rest so it takes up less room. We may see Twitter keep this support and continue onto its new schematics. As for every single chart, we can see the monthly candles respecting these s/r lines. One must not need me to tell them which way we are suppose to go, rather they must look deep inside the chart and understand weather it is on support, on resistance, or pushing away from one of them. We can see this in ever single one. Unfortunately, this is a 2 month chart but it still definitely works! 100 percent will still work no matter the timeframe. Its just that the structure gets more defined the lower the timeframe. Front runs, rejections, and clear supports can be spotted here. For me, AT&T looks like a buy because of multiple frontuns above. T-Mobile looks like a buy to resistance and then short sell. The others are too complex to put into mere words.
NYSE:DIS
by MichaelBsul
COMCAST Pullback ain't over yet. See where to buy.Despite the impressive six day rally after its Earnings gap down, Comcast has been rejected on the LH trendline without managing to cross over the 1D MA50. With the 1D MACD on a Bullish Cross though and the 1D technical outlook slightly bearish (RSI = 44.968, MACD = -0.620, ADX = 24.974), we expect a 0.618 Fibonacci pullback in a similar manner as November 3rd 2022 and March 24th 2023. Our medium term target is R1 (TP = 47.35). See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:CMCSA
by InvestingScope
COMCAST shares continues to outperform Netflix and DisneyThe positive performance of Comcast's shares coincided with a buoyant stock market, as the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 4,358.24 and 33,739.30 respectively on Tuesday. Despite trading volume for Comcast being reported at 15.4 million, below its 50-day average of 17.2 million, the company's stock outperformed several key competitors in the sector. Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), for instance, saw its shares drop by 3.27% to $373.32 on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Charter Communications Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CHTR) stock rose by 0.52% to $444.72, matching Comcast's positive trajectory. However, Comcast slightly surpassed Walt Disney Co.'s (NYSE:NYSE:DIS) performance, which saw a lesser increase of 0.34% to close at $84.99. The continued rise in Comcast's shares suggests that investors are responding positively to the company's recent performance and prospects, despite trading volumes being below average over the past week.
NASDAQ:CMCSALong
by DEXWireNews
COMCAST Hit our long-term target. Expecting a pull-back.It has been a worthwhile wait on our previous COMCAST (CMCSA) buy signal (see chart below) that we gave on April 28, but it finally hit the $44.00 target today: The trend is unchanged within the Channel Up pattern since the October 13 2022 bottom, but as the 1D RSI turned extremely overbought (above 70.00), it gives a sell signal since every overbought break-out delivered a pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at least. The 1D MA50 is currently on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (from the ATH) and moving parallel to the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up. We project the pull-back to be within 43.50-42.50. After that, our buy target will be Resistance 1 at 48.50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:CMCSAShort
by TradingShot
1
COMCAST eyeing an end-of-quarter 44.00 target.The Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) had a +10% jump yesterday, capitalizing on the higher than expected earnings and is approaching the February 02 High. The long-term pattern is a Channel Up (blue) but there might be a diverging Channel Up also emerging (dotted lines) that might decelerate this aggressive rise. So far we see a tendency to fill the Lower Highs gaps of the Bear Cycle and the next ones (2 & 3) are within 43.85 - 44.70. As a result we set an end of quarter (Q2) target at 44.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:CMCSALong
by TradingShot
Comcast crashing hard. CMCSAAnd this is not even after a coke binge or an overdose of something that seemed like a good idea at the start of the party. This one is heading the way that the whole market is generally heading right now. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
NASDAQ:CMCSAShort
by Rykin_Capital
Comcast casting another downfall. CMCSAGoals 44, 42, 41. Invalidation at 50 . We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
NASDAQ:CMCSAShort
by Rykin_Capital
1
Comcast (NASDAQ: $CMCSA) Wicks Thru 0.786 Fib! 🕯️Comcast Corporation operates as a media and technology company worldwide. It operates through Cable Communications, Media, Studios, Theme Parks, and Sky segments. The Cable Communications segment offers broadband, video, voice, wireless, and other services to residential and business customers under the Xfinity brand; and advertising services. The Media segment operates NBCUniversal's television and streaming platforms, including national, regional, and international cable networks, the NBC and Telemundo broadcast, and Peacock networks. The Studios segment operates NBCUniversal's film and television studio production and distribution operations. The Theme Parks segment operates Universal theme parks in Orlando, Florida; Hollywood, California; Osaka, Japan; and Beijing, China. The Sky segment offers direct-to-consumer services, such as video, broadband, voice and wireless phone services, and content business operates entertainment networks, the Sky News broadcast network, and Sky Sports networks. The company also owns the Philadelphia Flyers, as well as the Wells Fargo Center arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; and provides streaming service, such as Peacock. Comcast Corporation was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
NASDAQ:CMCSALong
by Bullishcharts
1
Trading Idea - #ComcastMy trading idea for Comcast Corporation - Sell / Short Target: 34.00 USD (+15%) Stop: 43.00 USD Comcast with the breakout below the descending trend channel. Double confirmation for a negative trend continuation! Comcast Corp. is a modern communications and media company. The company is one of the largest video, high-speed Internet and telecommunications providers to residential and business customers in the United States. Comcast delivers strong quarterly results (Q1 2022), but customer growth continues to be lacking.
NASDAQ:CMCSAShort
by Traderherz-Analytics
Betting on further Comcast drops. CMCSAGoals 44, 42, 41. Invalidation at 50 . We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
NASDAQ:CMCSAShort
by Rykin_Capital
$VIAC Handle PredictionIf a handle forms out of this cup, this is my guess to how it will form. This is not a definite just an assumption since the overbought signal is in play on the RSI I'm looking for the pullback as it sets up again. Earnings is also coming up in a few weeks and I'm thinking it will do well with the recent Comcast deal and the fact that the virus is giving people another reason to sit home and enjoy the tube! See the related post for more details. NASDAQ:VIAC
NASDAQ:PARAShort
by Riskitpaid
$VIAC 🐂When this cup is finally finished playing out. The target for Viacom should be between $45-$47. Not sure where the handle comes in yet and I don't want to make any assumptions so we will wait on that. This is looking healthy despite the current market conditions in my opinion because with life being so hectic and the limit to outdoor activities... television may be some of our only fun for the next few months... again! Viacom also inked a multimillion dollar deal with Comcast to extended some of their channel services to the company including BET+. NASDAQ:VIAC
NASDAQ:PARALong
by Riskitpaid
Comcast analysis. Another great buy for infra development.Hi everyone, Today we will take a look at NASDAQ:CMCSA stock. This company will benefit from the infrastructure bill signed in November. I have covered this in my YouTube video. I would expect company's earnings to reflect the benefits later in 2022. Where are we at now? Stock is currently trading at November 2020 level. It has gone down 25% since its top in August, which is quite a lot for such a conservative stock. What happened? Stock price met a worthy demand at 46 level and bounced nicely. I consider the area of 48.6 - 48.6 to represent great demand zone; thus, a good accumulation area. What's next? With this play expect a half-year to full year hold with additions on key levels. I would not trade this stock for a short-term gain. Please let me know your thoughts on this. Trade wisely and good luck! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer!!! This is not financial advise.
NASDAQ:CMCSALong
by AyBe_Invest