EURAUD Head And Shoulder Chart PatternHead and shoulder chart pattern spotted and if this play out retracement could be a case. Aussie is doing fine against king buck AUDUSD as well I assume the last time RBA cut the rate was fully priced in so Aussie seems to have demand rather than supply against many pairs on today's overall session. Price breaking lower the weekly pivot point (Blue), price falling inside the channel and price retracing below 38.20% Fibonacci retracement should make valid this head and shoulder!
Comdoll
CADJPY Not an overall reversal but prolly retracement?BOC coming near and most of the currencies having this comdoll as a base or counter losing against the other side currency example FOREXCOM:USDCAD , it all give us some hint that market participant was dumbing loonie before its meeting. It may have retracement upward but overall deciding for now the overall market reversal might have fewer chances before the BOC meeting which market participants aren't feeling good about seeing the market sentiment on this cross pair we can say. We can have an eye on this pair this new week and examine how price action behaves. Technically those red and green lines on the chart are areas of interest which serve as support and resistance and those level hold some weigh as the price will respect them. Talking with weekly pivot point man! price was too savage last Friday which breached through weekly s3 of the pivot. Price taking breath for now @ 80.68 and it seems more then half % has already been priced in before the BOC meeting by market players at this point which let me think at least once that 80.68 level might hold price for a while and short retracement upward around 30.20% Fibonacci retracement level or even 50% might be a scenario depending on how market players sentiment changes between the time horizon of current to actual meeting release of BOC. Are you a range-bound market environment lover? Honestly, did you care about the light blue rectangle box yet? hehe.. :) If price repeats or respect this market environment man it will add some sugar on this retracement plan! Break lower with strong bearish momentum from 80.68 or 80.079 should signal us weak comdoll and further continuation lower of price ignoring the retracement probabilities.
CADJPY Reversal Chart Pattern For Sure?!Risk appetite appears to have improved somewhat during the Asian session, and the Loonie has been the strongest among the comdoll bunch.
This is likely because the commodity currency is having some strength after Canadian data and a pickup in crude oil as well. After all, there are speculations that the OPEC could consider an increase in output cuts or at least an extension of their agreement in order to prop prices up.
On the flip side, the LYSH yen is losing ground to risk-on flows while also facing the possibility of a Q4 GDP contraction.
With that, I’m looking at this inverted head and shoulders breakout on CAD/JPY, especially since the pair appears to be making a retest of the broken neckline.
If you think that this reversal is about to gain friction from here, shorting in at market with a stop that’s enough to weather the pair’s average daily volatility 50.3 pips could be a good play.
DXY: Market OverviewThe leading indicator has already pointed out exhausted bullish. Technically talking we all can see dxy has extended a lot high due to some past week greenback power over most of its counterparts. Last week it was an almost risk-off market situation where safe haven did most well and the case dollar been dragging most of its counterpart creating some bullish momentum on dxy. The situation doesn't seem well for dxy bulls at this point when we saw a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern which indicating bearish momentum gradually increasing at the market. To consider properly we know how pound, euro, Aussie (mainly) and kiwi trying to lead over greenback at the moment and overall market risk sentiment changed when NY trader entered the market. I assume if the market player avoids risk aversion and gets nasty over chasing risky assets then counterparts of greenback may perform well especially those comdolls and which will eventually help dxy bears to drag the price further lower. Technically we can see stoch did hang around a couple of times in its overbought zone but finally it leaves the 80 zone!