Trust is Earned: My Journey Toward Becoming a Responsible VendorIntroduction: Learning from Setbacks (and Sharing for Others on the Same Journey)
Everyone makes mistakes, and I have certainly made my fair share. I want to share my personal journey of learning from my past missteps on TradingView, my efforts to deeply understand the platform's guidelines, and my aspiration to become a responsible vendor, in the hope that others on the same journey can learn from it. This story is about the importance of compliance, transparency, and what it means to genuinely add value to a community of traders.
Disclaimer: I am a provider of technical indicators (all free at this point, but some will be paid in the future), This article is purely for informational & educational purposes for the greater community.
Mistakes and Realizations
I won’t shy away from admitting that I've faced temporary bans on TradingView. At first, I saw these bans as setbacks that were challenging and frustrating. But over time, I realized they were valuable opportunities to understand what it really means to contribute responsibly to this incredible platform. Those experiences prompted me to reflect on my actions and invest time in learning the rules that govern this community— not just to avoid future bans, but to truly align with the values of TradingView.
Areas of Growth and Mastery
To ensure my growth as both a script publisher and a prospective vendor, I focused on mastering three key areas that are critical for contributing meaningfully to TradingView:
Clear Communication and Respect for Moderators: One of the first things I learned was the importance of making my content clear and accessible to all traders. While I have always strived for originality and avoided plagiarism, I realized that clarity is just as crucial. Ensuring that my work is understandable helps others fully appreciate and benefit from the ideas I share. Additionally, I learned to respect and comply with moderator feedback, which has been instrumental in improving my content.
Creating Impactful and Original Contributions: I have always aimed to provide original and valuable content, but through my journey, I further educated myself on how to better meet community needs. Rather than simply reiterating existing ideas, it's essential to focus on creating content that directly helps traders understand or solve a specific issue. Ensuring that descriptions are clear and straightforward, offering immediate insights that traders can act upon, is critical to creating impactful content. Charts should be presented in a clean and informative manner, without making unrealistic claims about performance. Run away if someone promises to turn $500 into 5k overnight.
Building Trust Through Ethical and Transparent Practices: Unfortunately, there are many scammers out there, and many traders fall into traps buying so-called 'holy grail' tools that promise unrealistic returns. It's crucial to be aware of these pitfalls and ensure transparency and ethical practices are at the forefront. Although I’m not yet a vendor, I aspire to be one. This means understanding the expectations for providing quality tools and services. Honesty and ethical business practices are fundamental—it's not about making sales, but about building trust with the community. Being transparent and ensuring the tools are genuinely helpful to traders and investors without overpromising results goes a long way in building trust. Although I’m not yet a vendor, I aspire to be one. This means understanding the expectations for providing quality tools and services. Honesty and ethical business practices are fundamental—it's not about making sales, but about building trust with the community. Being transparent and ensuring the tools are genuinely helpful to traders and investors without overpromising results goes a long way in building trust. It is essential for every indicator and strategy, whether paid or free, to provide real value to traders and investors.
❖ Adding Value: Insights from Community Feedback
Through my journey, I also received feedback from moderators, which helped me understand how to align my contributions better with the expectations of TradingView. One key takeaway was that adding value to traders must be actionable, realistic, and grounded in the community's needs. It’s not enough to simply share insights or predictions; it’s about helping others make informed decisions, understanding the risks involved, and learning together.
It is crucial to emphasize honesty, respect for users, and the importance of providing value before expecting anything in return. This principle must become a core part of how contributions should be approached. Many of my scripts are available for free, and seeing traders use them and benefit from them has been incredibly rewarding.
✹ My Aspiration to Become a Responsible Vendor
Every vendor's goal must be to genuinely support traders by improving their strategies and decision-making through transparency, ethical practices, and adherence to guidelines. Building trust takes time, and I strive to align my offerings with TradingView's core values: respect for traders, adding true value, and fostering collaboration. My current focus is on refining my skills, publishing original content, and ensuring that every tool I create serves an educational purpose, genuinely helping traders navigate market complexities.
Conclusion: Earning Trust, One Step at a Time
The journey to becoming a responsible vendor is about more than just meeting requirements—it's about contributing to a community in a way that is genuine, transparent, and respectful. I am committed to continuing this journey, learning from past mistakes, and striving to add value every step of the way. Trust is earned, not given, and I’m ready to keep earning it.
Commercial
Regional Banks Are Still in Serious Trouble!Traders,
For the second time this year, regional banks are threatening to cross on over an essential support that has carried us through this secular bull market for 14 (going on 15) years! If our support breaks, I fear that regional banks could drag everything else down with it. Remember, it is regional banks that hold the loans for much of commercial real estate. Much of commercial real estate went vacant during COVID. We are only now beginning to understand the wave of bankruptcies that are crashing in hard as a result!
Watch this line closely or stay tuned here and I will keep you up to speed as I observe any significant changes.
Stewdamus
BNP Paribas (BNP.pa) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the French company BNP Paribas S.A. (BNP.pa). BNP Paribas is a French international banking group. With 190,000 employees as of February 2021, the bank is organized into three major business areas: Commercial, Personal Banking & Services (CPBS), Investment & Protection Services (IPS) and Corporate & Institutional Banking (CIB). BNP Paribas is the largest banking group in Europe, after HSBC, and ninth largest Banking group in the world. The Triangle broke through the resistance line on 04/11/2022. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 37 days towards 52.65 EUR. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 41.53 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
BNP Paribas SA joined European peers in getting a lift from rising interest rates, with higher income from lending and debt trading propelling earnings past analysts’ estimates.Net interest income at the Paris-based bank rose 9.6% from a year ago, and fixed-income trading jumped 25%, just ahead of the average for the biggest Wall Street firms.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
EURUSD next months price. We have to meet 1.08 areaAs we saw last hedge-founder (non-commercial traders) activity on this pair and how to hold this asset so we predicted text months around December price of EURUSD near the 1.08 area
Take a short position in swing trade style and be patient like big players.
Wish you best, good luck
NKLA breakout tomorrow?Hello, today I would like to go over NKLA and what I believe in the company.
First NKLA and TESLA can coexist in the same place, neither one or another is better than the other. They just chose to tackle the problem in a different way. NKLA makes the argument that their business model will be more cost affective for consumers than TESLA approach with regulatory problems with electrical cars. When travling you might pay less or more depending on the state lines you are in with eletrical cars not much different with gas right, well it cuts the cost of fossil fuels so its a win, yet NKLA wants to even the playing field cutting the cost across all fuel recharge stations through its hydrofuelcells, also you can get a hybrid of hydrofuelcell or electrical truck if you want. Now NKLA stated that it isn't here to take over TESLA market, it only wants to focus on commercial trucking and will have a consumer heavy duty truck, which is the only competition with TESLA. Commercial trucking makes up alot of pollution in on the roads, so they are trying to solve the commercial problem as of TESLA solves the consumer problem, so win win.
News
NKLA is show casing its consumer truck, which is a mix of the F-150 and cybertruck, yet more modern and update looking compared to the cybertruck. (don't get me wrong TESLA has a solid truck and looks great, but from an ad perspective i go with NKLA in a modern feel to help get people that love trucks into electrical and clean energy vehicals. Plus they might not feel so silly driving a cybertruck as we transition.)
TA
Right now we could suspect a breakout tomorrow, yet the problem with whats happening is the short positions are growing at an alarming rate. Whos shorting this? Well you got insitutions betting on TESLA over NKLA, TESLA investors, and many analysis that just don't understand. Also before it was known as NKLA it was launched at around $9 and has been rising ever since unlike SPCE, yet it never launched as NKLA until a few weeks ago.
-RSI is over sold, yet not overlly oversold
-MACD has turned bullish
-We are holding the 50ema as support
-If you do want to buy and are too scared to go all in or whatever I do give a range of 62.95-65.59. a break above 69.89 could cause a major breakout hitting 73
Final thoughts
This is a very speculative asset and it best to buy in a few shares. I give the price target of eoy at 200 dollars (this guy is crazy), yet hear me out. We are gonna see the consumer truck at the end of this year, bullish, by the end of year in fall I do suspect us to get the numbers of how many orders they have for 2021 production, and last there is small chance that the consumer truck may come out early if they are show casing it now, may be a summer or fall 2021 release. For now I'll go lone and swing trade with other stocks like NCLH and SAVE.
Holding Long on EmbraerLast month We looked at the potential of putting on out of the money calls for a small premium cost with an expiration date for late in the year.
As the price of ERJ hits the low of just $4 we are starting to see a bit of strength and support be met at that level. As we start to move up from the all time low looking to follow the trend line will be a strong indicator that momentum is on our side.
Improved Version : How Do "Whales" Trade ? CAUTION : EXPERIMENTAL
Hello friends.
Whale trading system has been developed and placed on a more reasonable ground.
So this publication is an improved version of the educational idea : How do "Whales" Trade?
Before Starting
In related ideas, you can see the first version and the script I used to create this idea.
And there is an intermediate version that shows the logic after separating the bull - bear zones.
RULES
First of all, there is absolutely no short position to reduce the risk of this system.
Negative regions are sales regions. (Not short position)
Position sizes are shown in the presentation.We split our capital 100 . (Or you can accept your entire position size 100.)
We certainly don't try with all our capital.
It can be tested with reasonable capital allocated for instruments.
At each change of region, we dispose or purchase all of our position size.
And the values in the presentation are our graded position amounts .
Now that we've benefited from regional changes, I found 10 levels reasonable.
Let's write our position sizes here too :
STAKES
Pos Size 1 : % 0.4329
Pos Size 2 : % 0.8658
Pos Size 3 : % 1.2987
Pos Size 4 : % 2.1645
Pos Size 5 : % 3.4632
Pos Size 6 : % 5.6277
Pos Size 7 : % 9.1
Pos Size 8 : % 14.719
Pos Size 9 : % 23.81
Pos Size 10 :% 38.52
Note : Position size ratios are formed by coefficients based on gold ratio to provide a logical example.
Let us now examine the region from January 22, 2018 to August 26, 2019.
I'm doing trade and distributional trades for 1 bar after eye decision and signals to be fair.
TRADES AND TRICKS
After the sell order arrives on January 22, we wait until distributional buying points arrive.
First distributional Buy Signal was on 7 May 2018 (close ) , so it means : Our first Distributional Buy was between 7 - 14 May 2018.
Let's start :
Distributional Buys :
1.Buy : 8572.5 Position Size : %0.4329
2.Buy : 7847 Position Size : %0.8658
3.Buy : 7456.5 Position Size : %1.2987
4.Buy : 6563.5 Position Size : %2.1645
5.Buy : 6786.5 ==> Rejected , because price is higher than last Buy.
5.Buy : 6507.5 Position Size : % 3.4632
6.Buy : 6396 Position Size : % 5.6277
7.Buy : 5837.5 Position Size : %9.1
8.Buy : 3940 Position Size : %14.719
9.Buy : NET Long Signal : 3493.5 Position Size : The Rest ==> (100 - All) = %62.328
Distributional Sells
1.Sell : 10919 Position Size : %0.4329 (May be higher than the amount of earnings. For example : % 25
Here we are improvising according to obligatory market conditions.
I wrote the first rate in order to follow the example rule, but I would sell between 25% and 40% in live trade.
Because the profit is too high.)
2.Sell : 10146 Position Size : %0.8658 ( Normally I shouldn't have sold it because it was lower than the first sale.
But the profit is still very high, but it is decreasing, so I sell.
A much higher quantity can be sold here, as is the same on the top.
I'm writing the next rate to keep the rule.)
3. Sell : 11376 Position Size : % 60 ( Now profitability is at its peak , I ignore the stake rules and going to improvise.
Instead, the first 3 - distributional sales: 10% - 20% - 40% with values such as making it much more reasonable.)
4.Sell : NET Sell Signal : 9970.5 Position Size : The Rest ==> (100 - All) = %38.8
Note : I could have gone a lot more profitable than my earnings, but to avoid stretching the template, I applied the first 2 ratios.
A professional could have been more profitable here: Example: 40 - 60 and close.
So I'm going to calculate these rates.
CALCULATIONS ( For 100 unit = Full Position Size )
Average Cost : (8572.5 * 0.4329 + 7847 * 0.8658 + 7456.5 * 1.2987 + 6563.5 * 2.1645 + 6507.5 * 3.4632 + 6396 * 5.6277 + 5837.5 * 9.1 + 3940 * 14.719 + 3493.5 * 62.238) / 100 = (3711.04 + 6793.93 + 9683.76 + 14206.7 + 22536.8 + 35994.77 + 53121.25 + 57992.9 + 217428.5 ) / 100
Average Cost = 4215
Average Sell : (10919 * 0.4329 + 10146 * 0.8658 + 11376 * 60 + 9970.5 * 38.8 ) / 100 = (4726.84 + 8784.41 + 682560 + 386855.4) / 100
Average Sell Price = 10829.27
SUMMARY
Percentage of net earnings per unit (Full Position Size): ((10829.27 - 4215 ) / 4215) * 100 = %156.92
In doing so, commercials provided liquidity to the markets and did not have the problem of not finding buyers.
Stoploss here means emptying the whole position, for me 4 bars means stoploss in all directions.
More importantly, increasing rates will not harm us in non-trend areas.
Because we start with low rates.
Although comments and improvisation are very important, I tried to explain the system outlines by linking them to certain rules.
Now we have gone more systematically than the first version !
The Secrets to Forex & Why You're the Wrong Type of Loser (pt.1)This is a 'many-part' educational series to help turn smooth brains into folded brains. The series reveals the true power of the social and psychological factors shaping markets. This is abstracted from 7,000 hours of research in markets and finance and is a synthesized thesis between my research, John Boyd's work on strategy and adaptability, and David Bohm's theories on emergent behavior. The endstate for the reader will be vastly improved risk management, and novel methods for reducing uncertainty.
Part 1: Why 85%+ of Retail Traders are the Wrong Type of Loser
The true holy grail of markets.. the risk-free rate of return asset, doesn't exist (even perpetuity coupons aren't risk-free). Risk or uncertainty permeates all aspects of our reality. Managing risk is a fundamental component of all business, law, politics, military affairs, sports, etc. It is essential to any form of competition (which markets are). Virtually every element of any strategy employed anywhere involves risk management. It's more than just money... its everything; your relationships, your happiness, your experiences. Your ability to manage risk and uncertainty will positively correlate to your future quality of life.
Why?
Because we can't see the future, but we live into the future. Thus, no matter your wealth or political power, uncertainty is still your master. Fear of uncertainty drives your psychology, the psychology of other individuals, organizations, and even nations. And what these entities do, affect you. Even at subconscious levels. Those that fight uncertainty, do so at varying levels of competence. In the world of derivatives, and for our interests its sub-class: forex, speculation against uncertainty shapes most of the price discovery experience visualized on your favorite candlebar chart. What happens on your chart on higher timeframes is the result of speculation; even those with carry trade positions are still speculating about rates and central bank decisions. The only people who aren't speculating are insider trading, which is illegal. It's illegal to not speculate...
Make no mistake, in the world of speculation, those that fight the best battles, are the ones who fear uncertainty the most and go to the greatest lengths to conquer it. But we already determined that you can't conquer it, you can't see the future. So what does a 'best battle' or 'meeting halfway' even look like in trading?
What do you call a loser that doesn't always lose?
Let me stop for a second.
You're probably thinking: 'this is obvious, no one wants to lose money, everyone is afraid of what they don't know, the future is unknowable, etc'
'How does this help me make money?'
First, you need to understand what you are in this game called Markets.
In this oddly balanced game, those with the most to lose often have the biggest say. And vice versa. You are the vice versa, the retail trader. Retail traders comprise 4 categories that often overlap, ie: people who usually do not have a professional background in investing/trading, or a professionally relevant education, or professional connections as a major client or data access, or a high networth. Your competitors are the opposite (they are all those things and more): the winners, the market makers, the whales, the money printers, the ones with the biggest say, the old money, the 'smart' money, whatever cringy title you want to give them. Commercials/institutions/fund managers/portfolio managers/pension managers/etc.. These guys are speculating about the future, just like you. But their speculation is what shapes price discovery and market movement, YOURS DOES NOT.
This means that whatever you think the market does or should be, DOES NOT MATTER.
Your fibonacci, does not matter.
Your head and shoulders shampoo/pattern, does not matter.
Your sup/res lines, do not matter.
Your moon cycles, do not matter.
Your RSI/MACD cross, does not matter.
The only thing that matters, is what these commercials/institutions think. That's it. If they think that this head and shoulder on the 4h EURUSD matters, then it matters. If they think the moon cycle this month matters, then it matters. If they think communism is good for business, then it matters... etc. It's exactly as irrational as you might think. Now, with their fiduciary responsibilities, they do have to justify their picks. So moon rune interpretation is usually off the table. But guess what. These guys, despite their immense wealth, their research teams stocked with specialists with PhDs, and all the instant access to prime data in the world.. they still lose. They lose all the time, and they lose big. Eye wateringly big. The vast majority are barely winning 60% of the time, if even that... That's why many are offloading into 'less competitive' money-making opportunities; like underwriting, checking accounts, or alternative investments. Competition itself is too much of a risk for their uncertainty appetite. You have to applaud their level of greed.
But to stay on target. Whether your technical system is profitable or not is often a factor of the fitness of your indicators with whatever strategy the commercial is using to execute entry implementation (or combination of models or commercial strategies). And when a few of their models/strategies are losing, it makes it even harder to win at this game (or in those instances, your system might win, whilst you rejoice at the amazing ability of your moon cycles to predict the future).
But let's back this up, did some of you notice something off? 60%~ ... That's actually not bad. A trader who's experienced at losing (and yet making a profit in the long run) would kill for an average position win rate like that. Instead of thinking, "how do I avoid losers entirely" Stop wasting whatever brainpower you have. Start thinking, "how do I minimize my losers?" The losing positions are always going to happen, no matter your system. All edges fade, and even a mythical system that won 90% of the time will weaken over months or years. But if you learn to master the art of 'losing,' the overall win rate of your positions can AFFORD to be low. In many cases, it could even be less than 50%, and you could still make a living as a trader/investor. The best and brightest, the commercials and institutions, are barely going 60%. What makes you think you can do better?
Does it mean all hope is lost?
Not even close. It simply means that you need to focus less on your directional/positional bias strategy (the winrate), and more on your risk management strategy. You have to become the right type of retail trading loser, the 15%~ or so that retail brokers survey as profitable. These guys are losing 40%, 50%, 60%, even 70% of the time, and some of the them are still making big money. It's counter-intuitive but they are the guys winning at losing, and turning that into a living. Your ability to survive losers.. to adapt to uncertainty , is the first secret and the most important step into the weird world of profitable derivative trading.
Okay, so you might be thinking: "Again, obvious. Isn't that just 2%? Isn't that just low margin? Only trade Majors? 100 pip SL?"
If those were the first things you thought, then we still have a very long way to go. Fortunately, this is just the introduction.
See you next week for part 2: 'time as the dominant parameter, fair value, and the 'center of gravity.
NEPI ROCKCASTLE TRADING SCANDAL HURT, WILL IT RECOVER?NEPI Rockcastle owns and manages a portfolio of dominant retail properties in the following high-growth CEE countries: Romania, Poland, Bulgaria, Slovakia, Hungary, Croatia, Czech Republic and Serbia. The Group benefits from a highly-skilled internal management team which combines asset management, development, investment, leasing and financial expertise. Geographically diverse management skills allow NEPI Rockcastle to pursue Central and Eastern European (CEE) property opportunities more efficiently, benefiting from a strategic advantage in the acquisition, development and management of properties. The Group is well positioned for growth, driven by its best-in-class operating platform, as well as its historically proven capacity to deploy existing capital resources into attractive direct property investments. NEPI Rockcastle continues the active investment policy that supported the growth of NEPI and Rockcastle respectively over recent periods, with a strong pipeline of acquisitions and developments currently being pursued in its targeted region.
NRP is however part of a large trading scandal where they were accused of overstating profits and have taken big hits in terms of share price.
Technicals
There are two options here but both setups indicate that there should be further downside.
Option 1
Here we can see the initial impulse move to the downside on the left and I expect the second impulse to complete to the downside at a target price of around 3000. The corrective structure completed 4 waves and broke to the downside and is now on the retest level which means that the second impulse could begin shortly.
Option 2
The same initial impulse move applies but we could see the formation of a larger correction as indicated above. The break to the downside for impulse two will have the same target as option 1 and could occur on wave 4 or alternatively after the completion of wave 5 to the top first.