MMTC - Double digit stock + Trendline Breakout📊 Script: MMTC (MMTC LTD)
📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO
📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY 500
📊 Sector: Services
📊 Industry: Commercial Services & Supplies
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of Bollinger Bands (BB) and giving breakout of it.
📈 Crossover in MACD .
📈 Already Crossover in Double Moving Averages.
📈 Volume is increasing along with price.
📈 Script has given Trendline Breakout.
📈 Current RSI is around 69.
📈 MMTC Consolidation near the breakout region.
📈 Rejection 3-4 times and then breakout.
📈 Green volume spikes in volume.
📈 Showing momentum in weak market.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 44.10
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 50
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 41
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
Commercials
S&P Still Primed to Continue HigherCOT data is signaling a great buy opportunity in CME_MINI:ES1! despite all the talks of this "bear rally" peaking and a coming recession
The COT data has had us in this trade for the last couple months - just 1 SPY Call profited over $2,000. Personally, I took profits last week in accordance to my trading system. However, with the COT data still pointing heavily long, I'm looking for the daily chart to signal a long entry this week
Notes on My Trading Methodology and What I'm Even Talking About
COT Definitions:
- COT: Commitments of Traders Reports - A weekly report published by the government (CFTC) that shows long and short positions of the below 3 groups (As well as much more data I don't look at). We look at the NET positions of these 3 groups and compare them to historical levels to signal trade opportunities
1- Commercials: Hedgers - We want to trade with them when they're at extreme levels (Think Tyson for meats, Cargill and General Mills for grains, etc)
2- Large Speculators: Hedge funds and large institutions - We want to fade them (trade against) when they are at max positions (Think suits in NYC and commodity funds)
3- Small Speculators: People/institutions trading small lot sizes not big enough to report to CFTC - We want to fade their max positions as well since they represent the public (Think dude in his PJs trading and small trading firms)
Indicators on Chart:
- The first indicator shows the net positions of the 3 groups above plotted over time
- The second indicator is an index of the relative buying/selling of commercials over a certain lookback period. Anything above 95 is looking for buy (Green shading), look to sell when it hits 0 (red shading)
- I use both a short-term and long-term lookback
- When the small speculators are at max positions as well, it's further proof to get in the trade (shading gets darker)
- Note: Just because the Commercial's net position is negative doesn't mean it can't be relatively net long and signal a buy (same in the opposite scenario). This is very common with Gold for example
Trade Setup - Both Must Happen:
- When commercials are at max levels we are alerted to buy or sell (Depending on the criteria above)
- On a daily chart, use technical indicators, candlestick patterns, news, etc to enter the trade (I have a proprietary reversal signal I use)
- Added bonus when the trend is your friend (I use a Multiple Moving Averages indicator to visualize)
- If the trend is against you on both a Weekly and Daily chart, the short and long term Index must both be signaling to trade. If the trade fails, look to reverse the position and go with the trend
BTCUSD - Outlook UpdateLast analysis before the Saturday close it was our anticipation that Bitcoin would trade higher to make an Elliott Wave: d. However upon further analysis we see that Bitcoin had already completed the W:d on May 20th at about 9:00 EST on the 4 Hour Chart. Bitcoin is proving itself to be a very rapid moving financial asset and a more careful analysis approach should be taken to project the movement of this asset class.
Current Bitcoin Analysis
As stated yesterday on the Daily Chart, because price had already closed below the 200 DSMA on May 19th, retested the 200 DSMA on May 20th and 21st and failed to close back above the 200 DSMA we should anticipate more downside price action. Yesterday, May 22nd price closed @37996.10 and gapped open today May 23rd @37404.40 and continued its downtrend.
Current Weekly Bias = Bearish / 4 Hour Chart View
Should Bitcoin remain below the Sunday Close @33035.15, this week it is anticipated the price should continue toward the Elliott Wave: e 161.8 ER / 61.8 APP Confluence between 22238.70 / 20948.50 to complete this current Bear Cycle. I have included Time Price Projection at 200% of May 24th +/- 2 Days. May 2021 Bitcoin Futures expire 28th of May and should probably bring more volatility as positions move into the next month June 2021 contract. (CME - Bitcoin Futures Calendar/Settlements). www.cmegroup.com Friday May 21st Settlement @35230.00 / Weekly Change -4235.
COT May 18, 2021 - Both Non-Commercials and Commercials holding Net Short positions.
Non-Commercials - Net Short
Non-Commercial Longs 46%
Non-Commercial Shorts 54%
Commercials Net Short
Commercial Longs 49%
Commercial Shorts 51%
Open Interest - Increase
May 11, 2021 8259
May 18, 2021 9160
** This should not be considered trading advice. Feel free to compare my analysis to your own research.
Commercials - Guys who KNOW! EDU VIDEO HOW TO USE IT $$$Hi traders,
I have decided to record the educational video about commercials because I have received very good questions that are worth answering. Thanks Michal!
Commercials provide information about WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN . Price Action is used for timing. That´s the biggest difference between those two worlds.
I also describe how to set the COT Index and how to use it if you are a BEGINNER.
You have to understand that connecting PA and Commercials rapidly increases the WIN ratio. Commercials are used for creating the watchlist for the upcoming week. Price Action finds the best entry point.
I hope you will like the video. Thank you for your time.
Good trading,
Jakub
FINEIGHT
ALKS - INSIDERS SHORT sign + SPY WEAKNESSHi traders,
I am going to share yesterday's trade with you, that we opened in our accounts. It was a SHORT in a market that is in a pretty nice downtrend.
You will probably have a question - Why do you open short trade in this falling market?
Because INSIDERS increase their SHORT positions - and that´s a SHORT sign ! Trading with them is much easier than against them.
In the video, I focus on the volume profile too, and how to use SPY for the confirmation.
Trade parameters ( NASDAQ:ALKS ):
Direction: Short
Entry: 15.90
Stop-loss: 18.44
Profit target: 10.79
Good trading!
Jakub
FINEIGHT