Get started

Commodities

GOLD → Geopolitical risks are driving gold prices up. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD is updating its interim highs as it retests resistance at 3435 amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Economic risks are on the rise... Gold rose 1.5% on Friday in Asian trading as investors sought refuge from escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. The price approached 7-week highs and could reach $3,500 if the conflict intensifies. The US and Israel have warned of serious consequences, while Iran has promised to respond. Geopolitics has overshadowed economic news, and markets are pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut in September. Technically, the price is emerging from a local consolidation and testing a fairly important resistance level, forming a false breakout and correction. But this does not mean that the price will fall... Resistance levels: 3425, 3435, 3461 Support levels: 3408, 3400, 3377 If gold consolidates above 3425 and continues to storm the resistance, growth may continue, and at the moment, there is a fairly high probability of a retest of the ATH. However, the ideal scenario would be a retest of the zone of interest 3408 - 3400 and the capture of liquidity before continuing growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
Update of the Bullish/Bearish Catalysts for Gold prices________________________________________ ⚡️ Gold’s Pullback: A Reset, Not the End After peaking above $3,500/oz in April, gold’s slide back toward $3,210 marks a sharp—but not unusual—correction. What’s changed in the gold narrative? The rapid unwinding of panic bids as the Fed stays hawkish, the dollar flexes, and risk appetite returns. But beneath the surface, multiple structural drivers—old and new—are shaping gold’s next act. ________________________________________ 1. Fed “Higher for Longer” Policy Bias (9/10) Still the #1 driver. With inflation sticky and the U.S. labor market robust, the Federal Reserve’s reluctance to cut rates (4.25–4.50%) is pinning real yields near multi-year highs. This erodes the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold, particularly for Western investors. 🦅 Watch for any dovish shift—a single Fed pivot could reignite gold fast. ________________________________________ 2. U.S. Dollar Resilience (8.5/10) The DXY recently surged above 101, buoyed by relative U.S. growth outperformance and ongoing EM weakness. Since gold is dollar-priced, a strong greenback makes gold more expensive for non-dollar buyers, crimping global demand. 💵 Sustained dollar strength could push gold closer to $3,100 unless countered by inflation or new geopolitical stress. ________________________________________ 3. Central Bank Buying & “De-Dollarization” Flows (8/10) This is the new wild card. Countries like China, India, Turkey, and Russia are accelerating gold reserves accumulation—partly to hedge against dollar-centric sanctions and diversify away from U.S. Treasuries. Q2 2025 data shows a 35% jump in net central bank purchases year-on-year. 🏦 This bid underpins the gold market even when ETFs and retail are sellers. ________________________________________ 4. U.S.–China Trade Normalization (7.5/10) The May 2025 Geneva agreement was a big de-risking event. While tariffs haven’t vanished, steady progress on tech and agriculture reduces tail risk for global trade, putting downward pressure on gold’s safe-haven premium. 🌏 Any breakdown or tariff surprise could quickly reverse this. ________________________________________ 5. Algorithmic & Quant Trading Flows (7/10) Gold’s volatility is now heavily influenced by systematic funds. CTA (commodity trading advisor) and quant-driven selling accelerated the recent drop once $3,300 was breached. This non-fundamental selling creates overshoots—but also sharp reversals on technical bounces. 🤖 Expect snapbacks when positioning reaches extremes. ________________________________________ 6. U.S.–U.K. & EU Trade Deals (6.5/10) Both deals have reduced the global uncertainty premium. While the economic impact is moderate, improved global relations have pushed capital into equities and away from gold. 🇬🇧 Keep an eye on political risk, especially if new tariffs or Brexit-related shocks re-emerge. ________________________________________ 7. India–Pakistan and Middle East Geopolitical Risks (6.5/10) Tensions have cooled, but remain a latent driver. The India–Pakistan border saw restraint in May; Iran–U.S. talks are “cautiously positive.” Any surprise flare-up, especially involving oil, can quickly restore gold’s safe-haven bid. 🕊️ Event-driven spikes likely, but not sustained unless escalation persists. ________________________________________ 8. ETF Flows, Retail & Institutional Demand (6/10) ETF inflows have slowed sharply in 2025, but central bank and Asian buying partly offset this. U.S. retail interest has faded due to higher Treasury yields, but any sign of real rates rolling over could spark new inflows. 📈 ETF demand is now more a symptom than a cause of price moves. ________________________________________ 9. Technological Demand & Jewelry Trends (5.5/10) Longer-term, gold’s use in electronics, EVs, and green tech is rising modestly (up ~3% YoY). Indian and Chinese jewelry demand—seasonally soft now—could rebound late 2025 if income and sentiment recover. 📿 Not a short-term driver, but a steady tailwind in the background. ________________________________________ 10. Fiscal Risk & U.S. Debt Sustainability (5.5/10) Rising concerns about the U.S. debt trajectory, especially if deficits widen or the U.S. nears a shutdown or downgrade, can trigger flight-to-quality bids for gold. This is not the main driver now, but is a key “black swan” risk if Treasury auctions stumble. 💣 Could move up the list rapidly on negative headlines. ________________________________________ 🌐 Other Catalysts to Watch: • Israel – Iran tensions in the Middle East – limited impact on gold prices. • Crypto Market Volatility (5/10): Periods of sharp crypto drawdowns have triggered some rotation into gold, but the correlation is inconsistent. • Chinese Real Estate Stress (5/10): Signs of further slowdown or crisis (e.g., major developer defaults) could boost gold as a defensive play in Asia. • Physical Supply Disruptions (4/10): Mine strikes, export restrictions, or transport bottlenecks can create localized price spikes, but rarely move the global market for long. ________________________________________ 🏆 2025 Gold Catalyst Rankings (with Impact Scores) Rank Catalyst Strength/10 Current Impact Direction Notes 1 Fed “Higher for Longer” Policy 9.0 Very High Bearish Key yield driver 2 U.S. Dollar Resilience 8.5 Very High Bearish Hurts non-USD demand 3 Central Bank & “De-Dollarization” Buying 8.0 High Bullish Structural support 4 U.S.–China Trade Normalization 7.5 High Bearish De-risks global trade 5 Algorithmic/Quant Trading Flows 7.0 High Bearish Magnifies volatility 6 U.S.–U.K./EU Trade Deals 6.5 Moderate Bearish Risk appetite rising 7 India–Pakistan/Mideast Geopolitics 6.5 Moderate Neutral Event risk 8 ETF, Retail & Institutional Flows 6.0 Moderate Bearish Trend follower 9 Tech/Jewelry Physical Demand 5.5 Low Bullish Seasonal uptick possible 10 U.S. Debt/Fiscal Sustainability 5.5 Low Bullish Potential tail risk 11 Crypto Market Volatility 5.0 Low Bullish Risk-off flows (sometimes) 12 China Property Crisis 5.0 Low Bullish Asian safe-haven buying 13 Physical Supply Disruptions 4.0 Very Low Bullish Rare but possible ________________________________________ 🚦Where Next for Gold? • Current price: ~$3,210/oz • Key support: $3,150/oz • Key upside triggers: A dovish Fed surprise, sharp dollar reversal, sudden geopolitical event, or central bank “buying spree.” • Risks: Extended strong dollar, yield spike, no escalation of global risks. ________________________________________ Summary Table: 2025 Gold Price Catalysts Comparison Catalyst 2024 Score 2025 Score Change Impact Direction (2025) Commentary Fed Rate Policy 9 9 – Bearish Unchanged, still dominant U.S. Dollar 8 8.5 ↑ Bearish Gained in strength Central Bank Buying 7 8 ↑ Bullish Grown in importance, especially in Asia U.S.-China Trade 7.5 7.5 – Bearish Still relevant, deal holding for now Algorithmic/Quant Flows 6 7 ↑ Bearish Systematic trading influence is rising Geopolitics (excl. Russia/Ukraine) 6 6.5 ↑ Neutral Slight increase, mostly latent risks ETF/Institutional Flows 5 6 ↑ Bearish Slower, but still influential Jewelry/Tech Demand 4.5 5.5 ↑ Bullish Tech/jewelry more important now U.S. Debt/Fiscal Risk 5 5.5 ↑ Bullish Gaining attention with deficit concerns Crypto Market Volatility 4 5 ↑ Bullish Correlation growing, but inconsistent China Property Risk N/A 5 NEW Bullish Added due to emerging Asian risk Physical Supply Disruption 3.5 4 ↑ Bullish Minor, only spikes on rare events ________________________________________ 🥇 Bottom Line: Gold’s retreat reflects a rebalancing of risk and yield, but the stage is set for sudden moves—especially if the Fed blinks, the dollar falters, or new shocks emerge. The top three catalysts (Fed, Dollar, Central Bank buying) are especially worth watching as we head into the second half of 2025.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
45
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great finish after completing each of our targets throughout the week with ema5 lock confirmations on our proprietary Goldturn levels. Yesterday we finished off with 3388 and stated we would look for ema5 cross and lock above 3388 to open 3428 and failure to lock will follow with a rejection. - This played out perfectly with the cross and lock confirmation and then the target hit at 3428 completing the range. BULLISH TARGET 3318 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3352 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3388 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3428 - DONE We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
GOLD - Price can correct to support level and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Gold entered a Rising Channel structure, demonstrating stable growth with higher highs and higher lows. After testing and breaking through the $3265 support level, the price pulled back slightly and then resumed its upward momentum. This move confirmed buyer strength and renewed interest in the mid-channel zone. Recently, Gold successfully retested the $3365–$3375 support area, turning it into a local springboard. Now price is gaining traction above this zone and appears to be preparing for a continuation of the current trend. I expect it to rise toward the $3450 target — the upper resistance of the channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
12
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-13 : Harami-Inside PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets may stall into a sideways price range. After the news of Israel targeting Iran in a preemptive strike late yesterday afternoon, the markets moved dramatically lower while Gold & Silver moved higher on the news. I, personally, see this market trend as a shift in thinking ahead of a long Father's Day weekend. I see traders trying to position their accounts/trades for uncertainty. I believe we could see a bit of a shift today - particularly in Metals and the QQQ/NASDAQ/BTCUSD. Overall, I strongly suggest traders prepare for extreme volatility this weekend as any further news of a counter-strike or further military action in the Middle East could roil the markets. Happy Friday the 13th - everyone. Going to be an interesting day to say the least. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
Gold 1hr -Don't Know when is the next movement ? This for You🔥 Gold – 1h Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 1h- Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. Your Ultimate key levels 👌Bullish After Break : 3392 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bullish After Break : 3415 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bullish After Break : 3435 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 3375 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 3325 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
13
Gold Takes the Throne as Safe Haven AgainThe recent escalation in the Middle East — particularly Israel’s surprise strike on Iran — has stirred up significant volatility in global financial markets. Oil prices surged, stock markets around the world turned red, just as many had predicted. However, in a surprising twist, capital did not rush into the usual safe havens like the US dollar or Treasury bonds. Instead, it flowed decisively into gold. In fact, US Treasury yields have soared from 3.98% in April to around 4.42% now. This surge doesn’t signal growing confidence — it reflects investor demand for higher returns to compensate for the rising risk of holding dollar-denominated assets. Against this backdrop, gold is emerging as an “unshackled safe haven” — immune to political instability tied to fiat-currency-issuing nations. The precious metal is once again proving its value in times of global uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
2
Gold will grow a little more and then make correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After forming a downward wedge and several rejections near the support line, the price eventually broke out to the upside, signaling a reversal. This breakout was followed by a strong upward impulse, and Gold quickly shifted into a consolidation phase, creating a wide sideways range structure. Inside this range, we observed multiple rebounds from the lower boundary and a gradual rise toward the resistance level. Recently, the price exited the range upward after testing the buyer zone and breaking above the support area. However, this breakout seems impulsive and may need a correction. Currently, Gold trades slightly above the 3400 level, which aligns with the support area and the previous range border. In my view, the price may make a short upward move, followed by a return to the current support level. That’s why I set my TP at 3400 points, which corresponds to the support area and acts as a potential bounce zone in case of a retracement. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
1
Safe-Haven Demand Boosts Gold as Middle East Tensions EscalateHey Traders, In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 3,380 zone. Gold is currently trading in an uptrend and is experiencing a correction phase as it pulls back toward this key support and resistance area. On the fundamental side, reports indicate that Israel struck Iran overnight — fueling a classic geopolitical risk-off sentiment. This escalation is driving strength in safe-haven assets while putting pressure on riskier markets. Gold typically benefits from this kind of uncertainty, adding further weight to the technical setup we’re seeing today. Trade safe, Joe
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
5
CHFJPY - How To Enter This MASSIVE 1700pip Swing Trade!As promised - here’s the lower timeframe breakdown after hitting 100+ likes. We’re in wave 5, currently moving cleanly into the swing zone. Since wave 5 typically forms 5 subwaves, all we needed was to connect points 2 and 4 to draw our entry trendline. Trade Idea: - Entry on break of the orange trendline - Stops above recent highs after entry - Aggressive option: Enter inside the sell zone with stops above invalidation Targets: - TP1: 165.00 (≈1300 pips) - TP2: 161.50 (≈1700 pips) - Optional: Leave a runner for the longer swing move Scroll down for the full 4H breakdown.
by WicktatorFX
3
Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?XAUUSD – Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move? 🌍 Geopolitical Shock Fuels Market Volatility The gold market responded sharply after Israel launched a series of targeted airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, including the Natanz uranium site. These actions triggered global concern: Gold jumped to $3,430/oz, hitting a new weekly high WTI crude surged by over 8% US equity indices dipped significantly The US remains officially neutral but confirmed it will defend its troops if provoked Investors are now moving rapidly into safe-haven assets, especially gold. 📊 Technical Breakdown (H1/M30) Trend Structure: Bullish momentum continues following the breakout above $3,392 Key Support Zone: $3,412–$3,426, with price holding above this region Fair Value Gap (FVG): Identified between $3,405–$3,412, could act as re-entry zone EMA Alignment: Price is above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs — signalling strength across short and long-term moving averages Psychological Resistance: Eyes now on the $3,454–$3,456 zone for potential selling pressure 🧠 Market Sentiment & Risk Behaviour Risk-off mood dominates: Capital is rotating into gold, CHF, and JPY Traders are reacting to news headlines over economic data Institutional flows are entering strongly on dips, building positions in defensive assets 🎯 Trade Setup for 13th June ✅ Buy Zone: 3384 – 3382 Stop-Loss: 3378 Targets: 3388 – 3392 – 3396 – 3400 – 3405 – 3410 ❌ Sell Zone: 3454 – 3456 Stop-Loss: 3460 Targets: 3450 – 3446 – 3442 – 3438 – 3434 – 3430 📌 Tactical Summary Gold remains a go-to asset amid geopolitical uncertainty. While the technicals support further upside, caution is warranted near resistance. Any easing in military headlines could trigger a fast retracement. 🔍 Pro tip: Avoid chasing. Let price confirm near key levels before entering. Manage risk diligently in high-volatility environments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold Breaks $3400 – Targets $3500 Amid Tensions (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the lower timeframe, we can see that today, following Israel's missile and airstrike attacks on Iran, gold experienced a sharp rally. As anticipated last night, gold finally managed to break through the strong $3400 resistance, surging over 600 pips to reach $3447. Currently, gold is trading around $3438, and given the escalation in geopolitical tensions, I expect further upside movement. The next potential targets are $3449, $3469, and possibly $3500. ⚠️ Due to ongoing conflict and extreme volatility, it's advised to avoid trading or proceed only with minimal risk exposure. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
1
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – CHoCH Confirmed & Discount Pullback in Motio👋 Hey traders! Here’s your fresh H4 XAUUSD Outlook for June 9, 2025 — real-time structure, sniper zones, and bias clarity, right where price is sitting. Let’s dive in 👇 📍 Bias: Bearish short-term → clean CHoCH & liquidity sweep, targeting discount retracement 🔹 1. 🔍 H4 Structure Summary CHoCH (Lower) confirmed after recent LH at 3384. Price failed to reclaim supply → now trading back below the 3350 level. Multiple internal CHoCHs + bearish OB at 3368 showing clear short-term rejection. Market is shifting from a bullish continuation into a retracement leg. 🔹 2. 🧭 Key H4 Structure Zones Zone Type Price Range Structure Notes 🔼 Supply Zone (Flip Trap) 3360 – 3384 Clean CHoCH, FVG, + OB rejection area — major sell trigger 🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3272 – 3252 Retest OB + FVG cluster, ideal reaction zone for possible bounce 🔽 Deep Discount Zone 3174 – 3145 Last major accumulation + bullish origin block 🔹 3. 📐 Price Action Flow Previous HH → LH → CHoCH confirms internal structure break. Liquidity swept above LH at 3384, trapping late bulls. Now targeting equilibrium zone around 3260–3280 as next H4 liquidity base. 🔹 4. 📊 EMA Alignment (5/21/50/100/200) EMA5 and EMA21 are starting to cross down. Price has lost momentum above EMA50 → retracement expected into EMA100/200 territory (sub-3280). Full bullish EMA stack remains — but this is a controlled correction inside trend. 🔹 5. 🧠 RSI + Momentum View RSI has dropped below 50 → bearish control short-term. Momentum flow fading after multiple rejection wicks from premium zones. 📌 Scenarios 🔽 Retracement Flow in Progress Price likely heading to 3272–3252 demand block for reaction If this zone fails → we open door to 3174–3145 clean swing zone 🔼 Invalidation Bullish pressure only regains control on break + hold above 3384 Until then: favor selling the supply + letting price reach discount ✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note We’ve officially shifted into retracement mode on H4. The game now is to either: Sell retests into supply, or Wait for clean confirmations at demand for new longs Let price come to your zone. No emotion — just structure. 💬 Drop your chart view below or ask if you’re unsure where to position next. Locked in for next move, — GoldFxMinds 💡
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
24
Israel Strikes Iran. Oil and Gold Prices SurgeIsrael Strikes Iran. Oil and Gold Prices Surge According to media reports, Israel launched a large-scale overnight strike on Iranian territory, targeting dozens of military and strategic facilities linked to the country’s nuclear programme and missile capabilities. Israeli officials justified the action by citing an existential threat from Tehran, which, according to their intelligence, is accelerating its development of nuclear weapons and expanding its arsenal of ballistic missiles. In response, Iran has vowed severe retaliation, stating that the United States and Israel will “pay a heavy price” for the attack. US President Donald Trump has urgently convened a meeting to assess the situation. Commodities Market Reaction In the wake of these developments, gold — the primary safe-haven asset — surged sharply. The XAU/USD price broke above its May high, rising past $3,440. However, the all-time high near $3,498 remains intact for now. Oil prices also spiked due to fears of supply disruption. The military conflict threatens shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial chokepoint through which one-fifth of the world’s oil supply passes. Traders quickly priced in the risk of war, anticipating a supply shortage driven by large-scale instability in the Middle East. Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart Brent crude oil price has risen to the upper boundary of a large-scale descending channel (shown in red), which is defined by lower highs from 2024–2025. As anticipated, this upper boundary acted as resistance, with the price forming a peak above $76 before reversing downward (as illustrated by the black arrow). From a technical standpoint, following such a sharp rally, Brent is vulnerable to a corrective move. In this scenario, a pullback into the orange zone is possible, where support may be found at: → The psychologically important $70 level; → The 50% Fibonacci retracement level; → The former resistance of the purple descending trendline, now turned support. Nevertheless, given the scale of the geopolitical threat, it is unlikely that market sentiment will allow Brent to decline significantly in the near term. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis ● Third rejection of the H1 descending-channel roof (≈3 382) printed a bearish engulfing and confirmed the prior “false-break” spike; price is now back under the purple retest line that acted as supply all month. ● An intraday rising wedge has cracked; its measured leg aligns with the grey targets at 3 344 (minor support) and the 3 289 liquidity pocket near the channel’s mid-rail. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Firmer US 2-yr yield near 4.8 % after upbeat PPI and hawkish Fed dots lifted the DXY, while CFTC data show fresh trimming of gold longs, reducing dip-buying fire-power. ✨ Summary Fade rallies 3 335-3 345; sustained trade <3 320 eyes 3 344 then 3 289. Bear view void on an H1 close above 3 350. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
2
GOLD (XAUUSD): Waiting For Another Breakout Following the latest news, I think you would agree with me that Gold will most likely rise more. Your technical confirmation can be a bullish breakout of the underlined blue resistance and a daily candle close above 3435. It will be an important trigger that will push the prices way up to a current ATH. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
ZCU25 CORN... It ALWAYS comes down to cornAND I'M BACK AND DUMBER THAN EVER Listen up Honkies, this trade has a 93% probability based on the historical data over the last 30 years. So I bet Muhammad my 3rd ex-wife and a half of my second step child. The reason this trade works is easy! We all have felt and understand FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) and how the market reacts, I understood this on my second ex-wife when she got a boyfriend. So in late June pollination season occurs with corn and the yield is unknown for the next year, this is a very simple way of looking at the agricultural industry and how the market corrects. The trade is set up in two stages in order to maximize profit. The first stage, with the FUD in pollination season typically results in a 15-20% drop, I split the difference at 17% lets make it easier than my first divorce. This usually occurs around June 26th and can extend to July 17th. Around July 15th to the 20th the projected yield is shared and the market recorrects to the upside as the numbers represented due to the FUD don't represent the price action in the futures market, and because the futures market is speculatory (Adult Gambling) the degens will pump the contracts up looking for a quick buck like my third wife. Now in order to not go broke while you're trying to buy your ex wife's boyfriend's son a new car, you need to hedge the contract in a calendar spread aka intra-commodity spread, so do the opposite in combination on the march 2026 corn contract as the maintance is lower and the price action isn't there due to open interest in the market, so let that contract ride if it goes against you. SO! you short the ZCU25 while longing the ZCH26, then offset the contracts when direction changes and long ZCU25 and short ZCH26, it's as easy as 1,2,8. Had to repost this forgot the Tags my bad. "all I need is one trade to pay all the alimony for this year." -KewlKat
CBOT:ZCU2025Short
by kewlkat
1
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PITASTIC day on the charts, with our analysis playing out perfectly. Yesterday after completing the target at 3352, we stated that we’ll be watching for a confirmed cross and lock above 3352 for a continuation. We got the cross and lock above 3352 opening 3388. - 3388 was hit perfectly today completing this target. We will now look for a ema5 cross and lock above 3388 for a continuation. If price fails to lock above, we could see rejections leading back into the lower Goldturns, where we’ll look for support and bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3318 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3352 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3388 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3478 BEARISH TARGETS 3281 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3281 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3254 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3210 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3210 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3179 3146 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
Silver energy buildup, Bullish continuation pattern developing Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 3723 Resistance Level 2: 3787 Resistance Level 3: 3847 Support Level 1: 3507 Support Level 2: 3448 Support Level 3: 3386 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by TradeNation
CHFJPY - 1700 Pip Reversal Incoming!The last time we looked at CHFJPY was back in October 2024, where we forecasted a large ABC correction. Fast forward to now - that correction is nearly complete! We're currently in the 5th subwave of wave C, and everything points toward a massive drop setting up. We expect a move of at least 1500 pips. On the Daily timeframe, structure is clear: - Clean 5-3-5 ABC correction - Price is approaching a key sell zone - A clear entry trendline is in place — couldn’t ask for a cleaner setup Trade Idea: - Watch for rejection within the sell zone - Aggressive entry: Inside sell zone with stops above invalidation - Conservative entry: On break of trendline, stops above the break candle Targets: TP1: 165.00 (≈1300 pips) TP2: 161.50 (≈1700 pips) Optional: Leave a runner for a long-term swing Let me know what you think in the comments. See below for our last VIP setup for CHFJPY which played out perfectly. 1000pips secured! Good luck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
6
USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️ 📅 June 13, 2025 👤 By: MJTRADING 🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise: Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes. While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for: * Military retaliation * Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes * Heightened volatility across global risk assets ======================================================= 📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7: Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022. Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top. This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases. Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction. 💡 Trading Outlook: 🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70: Target 1: $88.88 supply zone Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation 🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly A close below $75 could confirm bull trap Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence) ⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor: Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic) US/NATO reaction to potential escalation Strait of Hormuz disruption OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike) 💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts. 📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
FX:USOILLong
by MJElahifx
2
Markets Crash: Gold Soars, Crypto Dips!Israel’s strikes on Iran shook markets—Bitcoin and stocks tanked, gold soared. What’s next? Let’s unpack the best trading moves for this chaos! Hey traders, Skeptic here!👋 Yesterday’s Israeli strikes on Iran’s military and nuclear sites, plus high-profile casualties, sent markets into a tailspin. If your positions got stopped out today, don’t sweat it—that’s normal in this mess. Today, I’m breaking down the most likely scenarios for financial markets, especially stocks and crypto, with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Stick with me to navigate this storm! 📉Right now, markets are screaming risk-off . Stocks like the S&P 500, indices, and crypto like Bitcoin are bleeding as buyers have zero confidence. Everyone’s piling into safe-haven assets like gold, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc. Last night’s news triggered sharp drops in Bitcoin and SPX500, while gold’s rallying hard. This is classic flight-to-safety behavior, and it’s why your stops might’ve been hit. Let’s dive into the geopolitical scenarios driving this and then get to the charts. 📍First, the big picture. Scenario one: Iran retaliates for Israel’s strikes, and we’re stuck in a tit-for-tat escalation for weeks. Markets stay risk-off, stocks and crypto keep sliding, and safe havens like gold thrive. Scenario two: The US-Iran nuclear talks on Sunday, June 15th, lead to a deal, tensions cool, and markets stabilize. If those talks fail, I’m not optimistic— recent US inflation relief, might’ve pushed the Federal Reserve toward rate cuts to boost markets. Without de-escalation, rate cuts won’t save risky assets, and we’re looking at muted growth for crypto and stocks. But if a deal happens, markets could rip—Bitcoin might hit $130K short-term and even $170K as the bull run’s ceiling. For now, uncertainty rules, so let’s see what the charts say. 👀 Let’s start with Bitcoin on the daily. The first major support is $100K-$101K. If we lose that, we’re looking at a 3-4 month time-based correction . I know some of you see Bitcoin’s dip and think it’s a bargain, but hold up—if tensions escalate, breaking $100K-$101K is almost guaranteed. We could slide to $95K (0.382 Fibonacci retracement) or even $86K (0.618 retracement). No buying until Tuesday’s clarity—too risky. Shorting? Also a bad idea. After this sharp drop, where do you put your stop-loss? An 8% stop is the minimum, which trashes your risk-reward ratio. Best move? Sit tight, no positions, and wait for the dust to settle. 📈 Gold’s the star in this risk-off market. On the 4-hour, as we said in last week’s watchlist, it broke the descending channel’s ceiling at 3333.86 and pulled back. Using our trick of cloning the prior channel and placing it above, it’s reacting perfectly at the new channel’s midline. A break above 3434.35 could push us to the channel ceiling at 3550.13 . Personally, I’d wait for more ranging here before going long—stops are too wide right now for a clean entry. If you caught our 3340 long trigger from the watchlist, you’re sitting pretty— just hold . Gold’s got more upside potential, but if you’re not in, don’t FOMO. Wait for a better setup. 🎯 Our EUR/USD long trigger from last week’s watchlist at 1.14555 was a winner if you took it, you hit your risk-reward target and likely locked in profits. Nice work! The new long trigger is a break above 1.16142 resistance. No short triggers here, just like gold. With both major and secondary trends screaming uptrend, shorting against the flow is nonsense. I’d wait for key levels to break and confirm a bearish shift before even thinking about shorts. Trade with the trend, always. 📝our plan: Gold longs above 3434.35 target 3550.13; hold 3340 entries or wait for a range. EUR/USD longs above 1.16142, no shorts. Risk max 1% per trade, set alerts, and stay patient—geopolitical chaos means no FOMO moves. I hope for a day with no wars, where we can focus on what matters—building value and humanity.🤍 That’s today’s breakdown, traders! If this helped, smash that Boost button and Follow for more no-hype analysis. Drop a comment—what’s your next move? Want a coin or market analyzed? This is Skeptic, stay safe, protect your capital, and see you next time! <3
by SkepticWise
Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step________________________________________ 🏆 Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step Practical Guide ________________________________________ 📌 Step 1: Overview and Goal The goal is to build a neural network system to predict intraday short-term gold price movements—typically forecasting the next 15 to 30 minutes. ________________________________________ 📈 Step 2: Choosing Indicators (TradingView Equivalents) Key indicators for intraday gold trading: • 📊 Moving Averages (EMA, SMA) • 📏 Relative Strength Index (RSI) • 🌀 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) • 📉 Bollinger Bands • 📦 Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) • ⚡ Average True Range (ATR) ________________________________________ 🗃 Step 3: Data Acquisition (Vectors and Matrices) Use Python's yfinance to fetch intraday gold data: import yfinance as yf import pandas as pd data = yf.download('GC=F', period='30d', interval='15m') ________________________________________ 🔧 Step 4: Technical Indicator Calculation Use Python’s pandas_ta library to generate all required indicators: import pandas_ta as ta data = ta.ema(data , length=20) data = ta.ema(data , length=50) data = ta.rsi(data , length=14) macd = ta.macd(data ) data = macd data = macd bbands = ta.bbands(data , length=20) data = bbands data = bbands data = bbands data = ta.atr(data , data , data , length=14) data.dropna(inplace=True) ________________________________________ 🧹 Step 5: Data Preprocessing and Matrix Creation Standardize your features and shape data for neural networks: from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler import numpy as np features = scaler = StandardScaler() data_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(data ) def create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10): X, y = , for i in range(len(data_scaled) - window_size - 1): X.append(data_scaled ) y.append(data .iloc ) return np.array(X), np.array(y) X, y = create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10) ________________________________________ 🤖 Step 6: Neural Network Construction with TensorFlow Use LSTM neural networks for sequential, time-series prediction: import tensorflow as tf from tensorflow.keras.models import Sequential from tensorflow.keras.layers import LSTM, Dense, Dropout model = Sequential( , X.shape )), Dropout(0.2), LSTM(32, activation='relu'), Dense(1) ]) model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mse') ________________________________________ 🎯 Step 7: Training the Neural Network history = model.fit(X, y, epochs=50, batch_size=32, validation_split=0.2) ________________________________________ 📊 Step 8: Evaluating Model Performance Visualize actual vs. predicted prices: import matplotlib.pyplot as plt predictions = model.predict(X) plt.plot(y, label='Actual Price') plt.plot(predictions, label='Predicted Price') plt.xlabel('Time Steps') plt.ylabel('Gold Price') plt.legend() plt.show() ________________________________________ 🚦 Step 9: Developing a Trading Strategy Translate predictions into trading signals: def trade_logic(predicted, current, threshold=0.3): diff = predicted - current if diff > threshold: return "Buy" elif diff < -threshold: return "Sell" else: return "Hold" latest_data = X .reshape(1, X.shape , X.shape ) predicted_price = model.predict(latest_data) current_price = data .iloc decision = trade_logic(predicted_price, current_price) print("Trading Decision:", decision) ________________________________________ ⚙️ Step 10: Real-Time Deployment Automate the model for live trading via broker APIs (pseudocode): while market_open: live_data = fetch_live_gold_data() live_data_processed = preprocess(live_data) prediction = model.predict(live_data_processed) decision = trade_logic(prediction, live_data ) execute_order(decision) ________________________________________ 📅 Step 11: Backtesting Use frameworks like Backtrader or Zipline to validate your strategy: import backtrader as bt class NNStrategy(bt.Strategy): def next(self): if self.data.predicted > self.data.close + threshold: self.buy() elif self.data.predicted < self.data.close - threshold: self.sell() cerebro = bt.Cerebro() cerebro.addstrategy(NNStrategy) # Add data feeds and run cerebro cerebro.run() ________________________________________ 🔍 Practical Use-Cases • ⚡ Momentum Trading: EMA crossovers, validated by neural network. • 🔄 Mean Reversion: Trade at Bollinger Band extremes, validated with neural network predictions. • 🌩️ Volatility-based: Use ATR plus neural net for optimal entry/exit timing. ________________________________________ 🛠 Additional Recommendations • Frameworks: TensorFlow/Keras, PyTorch, scikit-learn • Real-time monitoring and risk management are crucial—use volatility indicators! ________________________________________ 📚 Final Thoughts This practical guide arms you to build, deploy, and manage a neural network-based intraday gold trading system—from data acquisition through backtesting—ensuring you have the tools for robust, data-driven, and risk-managed trading strategies. ________________________________________
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
17