GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea is playing out, as analysed.
After hitting our first Bullish target, we stated yesterday that we had the lock above 2905 opening 2934. This gave a nice push up of over 200 pips but the gap remained open and still valid.
- This was hit today completing this target. Our next range is now open above at 2959 but as we enter into the ATH range, we need to take caution. We are seeing EMA5 break back into 2934 also opening 2905. Range is now big but structure is still very much Bullish and therefore we will continue with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2905 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2905 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2934 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2934 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2987
BEARISH TARGETS
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2871 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2841
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2807 - 2781
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2781 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2764 - 2740
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Commodities
DeGRAM | GOLD retest of the dynamic resistanceGOLD is in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
The price is testing the resistance level and the trend line, which held it back during the last week.
The indicators on the 1H Timeframe indicate the formation of a bearish divergence.
We expect a decline.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-19-25: GAP Reversal Counter-trendToday's pattern suggests a morning GAP will lead to a price reversal in a counter-trend type of mode.
I read this as a potential that price will initially struggle to find a trend. Eventually, when it does identify a trend mode, I believe that trend will strengthen into a reversal of the current upward price trend.
Normally, Counter-trend patterns invert. So, what I would have expected as an uptrend would turn into a downtrend. But, the markets have moved into a very consolidated price channel near recent highs and volume has diminished strongly.
Because of this type of setup, I believe an aggressive breakaway or breakdown price move is pending.
Price will attempt to make a move - and when it does, it should be explosive.
My continued research, which I share with you in this video, continues to suggest price will stall out and revert downward.
We'll see how things play out over the next few days.
Gold and Silver are back near recent all-time highs. Stay cautious of a breakdown in metals associated with a breakdown in the SPY/QQQ.
BTCUSD is still struggling to make a move. As you will see, I believe the dominant trend is to the downside right now.
In short, we are standing at the edge of a cliff regarding price action. At this point, we either grow wings and soar higher or fall downward - hoping for a soft landing.
Buckle up.
Get some.
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XAU/USD : First SHORT,then LONG! But...! (READ THE CAPTION)On the one-hour gold chart, we can see that yesterday, the price corrected from the $2943 level down to $2918 before encountering strong demand. This led to a bullish move, with gold reaching a new high of $2955 today. Before targeting the next resistance zone at $2966 - $2969, a slight pullback is likely. This analysis will be updated accordingly. Enjoy the ride, folks!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD - After correct to support line, price can bounce to $2930Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to grow inside upward wedge, and soon reached $2855 level and broke it, after which made retest.
Then Gold some time traded near this level, corrected to support area and then continued to move up.
Later it reached resistance line of wedge, before making a gap, after which price turned around and dropped.
Price almost fell to support line of wedge and then bounced up to resistance area, after which quickly fell back.
Next, price in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge, breaking $2930 level, but then started to decline.
In my opinion, after a breakout of $2930 level, Gold can bounce up to $2970 from support line and exit from wa edge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Drop ?Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 2942.88, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 2928.91, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 2955.79, above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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GOLD → Bullish trend, but the price depends on the newsFX:XAUUSD bounces off previously tested trend support and gives a chance for possible upside. Economic risks are still high and gold as a safe haven is in demand
Investors are cautious ahead of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia where they will discuss a possible end to the conflict in Ukraine.
Weak risk appetite is supporting the dollar, also helped by comments from Fed officials. They express concern about inflation and call for caution in cutting rates. The attention of market participants is directed to the upcoming speeches of the Fed members and the publication of the minutes of the January meeting
Technically, the price broke 2905 in the Asian session, at the moment this area plays an important role as support. The first target is 2922, the second target is 2938
Resistance levels: 2922, 2938
Support levels: 2905, 2893
The most likely scenario is a retest of support amid the global uptrend, as liquidity below 2905 is still of interest to the market. But, the price may continue to rise due to imbalance from the bullish side. A breakout and consolidation of the price above 2915 may also trigger a rise.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GOLD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 2,807.382 level.
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HelenP. I Gold may continue an upward trendHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this scenario, we can observe how the price initially reached Support 2 before dropping further to Support 3, eventually breaking through and touching the trend line. From there, the price began to rise, fluctuating between the trend line, and soon broke through Support 3 once again. After this, the price made a slight correction toward the support zone before climbing back to the trend line, continuing to move upward just below it. Shortly after, Gold reached Support 2 again and swiftly broke through, even making a false breakout of the trend line before correcting back to the support zone. Following this move, XAU resumed its upward trajectory, eventually breaking above the trend line and reaching Support 1, which aligned with the support zone. The price continued its bullish movement, surging as high as 2942 points before correcting back to the trend line. Currently, Gold remains in an uptrend, and I anticipate another correction to the trend line before continuing its upward movement. Based on this outlook, I have set my target at 3000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold's Crucial Test: Break Below $2930 for a Bearish Shift? hello guys!
as I published before:
the downward movement didn't happen as I expected!
in return the top line of pattern breakout! if this candle close lower than $2930.24 area then this scenario will happen!
1-Triangle Formation with Key Level at $2930.24
Gold is consolidating within a triangle pattern, with the top line acting as resistance and the bottom line as support.
$2930.24 is the key level to watch. If the price closes below this level, it could signal a breakdown from the triangle.
2-Support Areas to Watch:
If the breakdown happens, the first support area near $2923 will be tested.
A further drop could lead to the next support area around $2899.
3-Bearish Scenario:
A close below $2930.24 would suggest a shift in momentum, likely leading to a deeper correction and testing the support levels below.
Conclusion:
If Gold fails to hold above $2930.24, expect a bearish move with the potential for further declines to $2899. Watch this level closely for confirmation!
Natural Gas Shows Bullish PatternVANTAGE:NG Natural gas looks to be turning bullish after a projected five-wave impulse from the lows, followed by an ABC correction. It gave us a nice bullish setup formation by Elliott Wave theory, so more upside is in view, especially if breaks back above 4.0 bullish confirmation level, just watch out for short-term intraday pullbacks.
WTI - Will oil return to the upward trajectory?!WTI oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the support area, the next opportunity to buy oil with a reward at a reasonable risk will be provided to us. A valid break of the drawn downtrend line will pave the way for oil to reach the drawn areas.
Goldman Sachs has stated that even if hostilities in Ukraine cease and sanctions are eased, Russia’s oil exports are unlikely to see a significant increase. The bank believes that Russia’s crude oil production will remain capped at 9 million barrels per day, not primarily due to sanctions, but rather because of the country’s commitments under the OPEC+ agreement.
OPEC+, which is responsible for nearly half of the world’s oil production, has decided to delay its planned production increase, which was originally scheduled between April and July. Meanwhile, Trump has announced that additional negotiations with Russia are set to take place in an effort to bring an end to the war in Ukraine—an event that could impact the outlook of global energy markets.
Russia remains one of the key oil suppliers worldwide and plays a significant role in price fluctuations. Goldman Sachs predicts that the price of Brent crude will rise to $79 per barrel by the end of this month, while it is currently trading at around $76 per barrel.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the United States has, in some ways, helped Vladimir Putin break out of his isolation. He emphasized that Trump’s team must gain a better understanding of Ukraine’s actual situation and made it clear that he has no intention of “selling” his country. Zelensky also highlighted the strength and resilience of the Ukrainian military and added that Trump’s envoy should ask ordinary Ukrainians how they perceive him following his recent statements.
Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin announced that the rapid reconstruction of the Caspian Pipeline is not feasible. He explained that Western-made equipment used in the Caspian Pipeline Consortium has sustained severe damage due to recent attacks.
Putin emphasized that the restoration of this pipeline would not be completed swiftly, as critical components rely on Western technology and have been significantly impaired.
The pipeline, which transports Kazakh oil to global markets, has experienced a 30-40% reduction in oil flow following a drone attack on one of its pumping stations in southern Russia. This reduction equates to approximately 380,000 barrels per day (bpd). This development was not entirely unexpected, as Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak had previously stated that repairs to the pipeline could take several months.
Gold is boring? Until it moves! – PipGuard Guide PT. 3 🔥 Gold is boring? Until it moves! – PipGuard Guide PT. 3 🔥
📢 Let's talk: FOLLOW ME, COMMENT, and DROP A BOOST! Because in here, we help each other and we mean business! 💪🔥
Welcome to the PipGuard Guide , the only one that tells it like it is: no filters, no fairy tales, just a pinch of sarcasm. Gold is playing hard to get (what a shock, right?), but trust me, sooner or later, it wakes up—and when it does, fireworks will follow.
🎯 Key levels to watch:
🚀 Bullish resistances: $2947 / $2943
🛠️ Bullish support: $2924
📉 Bearish resistances: $2918 / $2906
⚔️ Make-or-break level: $2906-$2905 ➜ Above? Bulls take charge. Below? Bears lurking.
💎 PipGuard Targets:
🎯 Bullish Premium: $3015
🔻 Bearish Premium: $2856
Watch out for $2906: that’s the thin line between paradise and disaster.
📌 If we hold above: bulls have room to run, aiming for $3015.
📌 If we break below: bears take over, dragging us down to $2856.
💡 So, what’s the move? Wait for a strong signal, then act—no hesitation. We're dancing above $2906, but if we slip… expect a hard fall. The market is either slapping us in the face or rewarding us with solid gold. And you? Ready to take your position?!
🔥 DROP A BOOST and COMMENT BELOW! What do you think? Sleeping gold or ready to strike? See you on the battlefield!
🚀 PipGuard
Natural Gas Price Hits Highest Level Since January 2023Natural Gas Price Hits Highest Level Since January 2023
The XNG/USD chart today shows that natural gas prices have surpassed the December 2024 peak, breaking through the key psychological level of $4.000/MMBtu. Since early February, prices have surged by over 20%.
Why Is Natural Gas Price Rising?
According to The Wall Street Journal, the bullish sentiment is driven by:
→ Weather models confirming forecasts of a significant cold spell.
→ LNG exports remaining at record highs.
Additionally, US gas exports may increase further after President Trump lifted the pause imposed by the Biden administration on new LNG export projects. Bloomberg reports that Trump’s administration is close to approving its first LNG export project.
Technical Analysis of XNG/USD
The price movements are forming an upward channel (marked in blue) on the chart:
→ Prices are currently near the upper boundary of this channel.
→ The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone.
→ The price briefly exceeded the $4.000/MMBtu psychological level.
→ Buyers may look to secure profits after the recent sharp gains.
Given these factors, traders may anticipate a potential pullback, which—if it occurs—could bring natural gas prices back towards the channel’s median level.
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Gold’s Rally Continues – Next ATH?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) again managed to form a new All-Time High(ATH) . Are you used to this?
Gold has already managed to break the Uptrend line . But as long as Gold is above 100_SMA(1-hour) , we can hope for the continuation of the upward trend .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 3, so that the main wave 3 was extended .
I expect Gold to start rising again after a temporary decline from the levels I charted and create a new All-Time High(ATH) .
Note: If Gold can go below 100_SMA(1-hour) again, we should expect more dumps.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAUUSD UPDATED VIDEO ANALYSIS XAU/USD Analysis for 21 February 2025
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the factors influencing Gold (XAU/USD) for tomorrow, based on technical and fundamental insights from recent market data and forecasts:
1. Technical Analysis & Key Levels
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance at 2,940–2,943 USD (record high observed on 19 February)
A breakout above this zone could target 2,970 USD (next psychological barrier) or even 3,030 USD (Triangle pattern completion)
Support Levels:
Critical support at 2,887–2,906 USD. A drop below this range might trigger a deeper correction toward 2,850 USD
Indicators:
RSI (54.58): Neutral but leaning bullish.
MACD & Williams %R: Buy signals
Stochastic Oscillator: Overbought, suggesting short-term correction risks, though the broader uptrend remains intact
2. Fundamental Drivers
Fed Minutes Impact:
The release of the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes (scheduled for 19–20 February) is critical. A hawkish tone (e.g., delays in rate cuts) could strengthen the USD, pressuring Gold. Conversely, dovish hints may fuel bullish momentum
Geopolitical Tensions:
Ongoing US-Russia negotiations over Ukraine and Trump’s renewed tariff threats (e.g., 25%+ tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors) may sustain safe-haven demand for Gold
Dollar Dynamics:
The inverse correlation between XAU/USD and the USD remains pivotal. A weaker dollar (due to risk-off sentiment or Fed easing expectations) could propel Gold higher
3. Price Action Scenarios
Bullish Case:
A sustained break above 2,943 USD confirms the Triangle pattern breakout, targeting 3,030 USD
Continued safe-haven demand (geopolitical risks, tariffs) and dovish Fed signals may drive prices higher
Bearish Risks:
Failure to hold 2,900 USD support could trigger a correction toward 2,850 USD
Hawkish Fed rhetoric or USD strength (e.g., strong economic data) may cap gains
4. Strategic Takeaways
Entry Points:
Long positions: Consider buying on dips near 2,900–2,877 USD with a stop loss below 2,850 USD
Short-term traders: Target 2,970 USD if resistance at 2,943 USD breaks
Risk Management:
Monitor Fed Minutes and USD volatility. Adjust stop-loss levels dynamically based on news flow
Conclusion
Gold remains in a bullish trend, supported by geopolitical uncertainties and inflation hedging. However, tomorrow’s Fed Minutes will be pivotal in determining short-term momentum. A breakout above 2,943 USD opens the door to new highs, while a breakdown below 2,900 USD signals profit-taking or a deeper correction. Traders should align positions with technical levels and news-driven volatility.
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XAUUSD: 3,400 could be the top of this Cycle.Gold is overbought both on its 1W (RSI = 75.261, MACD = 100.240, ADX = 43.694) and 1M (RSI = 79.749) technical outlooks and has entered the final (and perhaps most aggressive) phase of the latest bullish wave. With the 27 year pattern being a Channel Up we can calculate the next high to be within the 3.0 and 3.5 Fibonacci extension levels. Last time the price crossed over the R1 level, it peaked just under the 3.5 Fib. This gives a final target (TP = 3,400) close to the end of 2025.
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GOLD Approaching New Highs | Will It Hit $3000 Soon?GOLD Analysis | February 20, 2025
Gold continues its strong uptrend, pushing above the ATH and confirming its bullish momentum as we mentioned before. The price is currently trading around 2951, holding above the pivot line of 2935, indicating stability within the breakout structure.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as 2935 holds as support, the price is expected to continue its movement toward the resistance zone of 2956 - 2975.
A strong breakout above 2975 could signal further bullish momentum, with the next key target around 3000.
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from the ATH could lead to a retest of 2935 and 2918.
If a 4H candle closes below 2918, this may trigger a correction toward 2873 before any potential rebound.
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Pivot Point: 2956
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2975, 2985, 3000
🔹 Support Levels: 2935, 2918, 2873
💬 Will Gold sustain its momentum and reach new highs, or is a correction coming? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥