Gold can correct and then continue to grow to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and started to grow inside a broadening wedge. In this pattern, the price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and even broke it, after which continued to grow to the resistance line of the wedge pattern. After this, Gold made a correction to the seller zone and then in a short time backed up to the resistance line, but soon turned around and started to decline. Gold quickly fell lower the 2720 level, breaking it and also it exiting from a broadening wedge pattern. Then the price continued to fall and later reached the 2605 support level and even broke it too, after which made a retest and continued to fall to 2535 points. Later XAU turned around and started to grow inside the upward pennant, where it in a short time rose to a resistance level, breaking the 2605 support level, but then Gold made a downward impulse. After this, the price fell to the support line, but a not long time ago it exited from the pennant pattern and now continues to grow. In my mind, Gold can make a move down and then continue to rise to the 2720 resistance level. So, that's why I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Commodities
USOIL Will Go Down! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 71.095.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 70.000 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
How to Identify Significant Liquidity Zone in Gold Trading
A liquidity zone is a specific area on a price chart where the market orders concentrate.
In this article, I will teach you how to identify the most significant liquidity zones on Gold chart beyond historical levels.
Liquidity Zones
First, in brief, let's discuss where liquidity concentrates.
Market liquidity concentrates on:
1. Psychological levels
Above, you can see a clear concentration of liquidity around a 2500 psychological level on Gold price chart.
2. Fibonacci levels
In the example above, we can see how 382 retracement of a major bullish impulse attracts market liquidity on Gold XAUUSD daily time frame.
3. Horizontal support and resistance levels and trend lines.
In that case, an area based on a classic support/resistance level was a clear source of market liquidity on Gold.
Significant Liquidity Zone
A significant liquidity zone will be the area where psychological levels, Fibonacci levels, horizontal support and resistance levels and trend lines match .
Please, note that such an area may combine the indicators, or any other technical tools.
Such zones can be easily found even beyond the historic levels.
Look at a price chart on Gold on a daily.
Though the market has just updated the ATH, we can spot the next potentially significant liquidity zone with technical analysis.
We see a perfect intersection of a rising trend line, 2600 psychological level based on round numbers and a Fibonacci extension confluence of 2 recent bullish impulses.
These technical tools will compose a significant liquidity zone.
The idea is that Gold was rallying up because of the excess of demand on the market. We will assume that selling orders will be placed within that liquidity zone and the excess of demand will be absorbed by the supply.
It will make the price AT LEAST stop growing and potentially will trigger a correctional movement.
Learn to recognize such liquidity zones, it will help you a lot in predicting Gold price movements.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Geopolitical tensions will lead to gold strengtheningGold is trading in an ascending channel drawn by the Andrews fork. The support level of $2,646 acts as a critical point, and if it holds, there is a possibility of a rise to the resistance level of $2,702.
Technical and fundamental analysis
1- Technical analysis: The price is close to the lower Bollinger band and is likely to return to higher levels.
2- Geopolitical tensions: Increased tensions in the Middle East have increased demand for gold.
3- Weakness of the dollar: The decline in the dollar index and possible Federal Reserve policies have worked in favor of gold.
Conclusion
Holding the $2,646 level is essential for the bullish trend to continue, and any increase in geopolitical tensions could push the price towards $2,702.
Gold is nearing the retrace area.Hey Traders, In today's session we’re closely monitoring Gold for a potential buying opportunity around the 2655 zone. The price has broken through the 2655 resistance and is now in a corrective phase, approaching a key retracement area.
Stay vigilant and trade wisely!
– Joe
xauusd analysis for mondayTechnical Analysis
Key Levels:
Support:
Primary Support: $2,630–$2,640, a crucial level that has consistently held over the past weeks.
Secondary Support: A breakdown below $2,630 could lead to further declines toward $2,600 and $2,570
Resistance:
Primary Resistance: $2,670–$2,700, a zone gold must clear to confirm bullish momentum.
Extended Target: A sustained move above $2,700 could push gold toward $2,720 or higher, with the long-term target near $2,750
Price Action:
Gold has been consolidating around $2,650, indicating indecision in the market. Traders are awaiting a catalyst for a breakout in either direction
Indicators:
RSI: Neutral, indicating no overbought or oversold conditions.
Moving Averages: Gold is trading near its 50-day moving average, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Suggests the current correction phase might end soon, potentially paving the way for an upward movement
Fundamental Analysis
Key Drivers:
1. Federal Reserve Meeting:
A dovish stance or pause in rate hikes could weaken the USD, benefiting gold. Conversely, a hawkish surprise could pressure prices.
2. US Economic Data:
Housing Data: Strong numbers may support the USD, weighing on gold.
GDP Report: A weaker-than-expected reading could bolster gold's safe-haven appeal, while strong data might strengthen the dollar
3. Global Economic Factors:
Geopolitical Risks: Persistent uncertainties may sustain demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Inflation: Gold's role as an inflation hedge keeps it relevant amid ongoing inflationary pressures globally
4. Seasonal Trends:
December traditionally sees increased gold demand, linked to year-end portfolio adjustments and festive purchases.
Trading Scenarios
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Above $2,660
Targets: $2,700, $2,720, and potentially $2,750
Stop-Loss: Below $2,630
Strategy: Look for a confirmed breakout above resistance or positive market sentiment boosting gold.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Below $2,630
Targets: $2,600 and $2,570
Stop-Loss: Above $2,660
Strategy: Watch for rejection at $2,650 or stronger-than-expected US data supporting the USD.
GOLD--> Testing $2700: What Awaits with Upcoming PPI?OANDA:XAUUSD at the time of writing, prices are fluctuating around $2706, down 0.42% for the day, with not enough momentum to break the $2711 level.
Meanwhile, buyers seem to have paused as the market prepares for the upcoming Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday. This report is expected to shed more light on the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut trajectory, keeping investors cautious.
While prices are currently hovering around a minor pullback, some fundamental factors suggest that any drop may only be short-lived. Treasury yields have steadily declined throughout the year, a trend that typically supports gold. Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions remain a strong driver for safe-haven demand, reinforcing the allure of the yellow metal.
On inflation, while consumer prices have stopped rising aggressively, they remain stable. This stability makes it almost certain that the Federal Reserve will proceed with a 25 basis-point rate cut at its December 17-18 policy meeting. In fact, traders are pricing in a 96% probability of this move, up from 86% before the recent inflation report.
From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to escape its main range, breaking key resistance. The focus is on $2700 and $2670. If buyers hold their ground in this region even after the news, prices will continue to grow in the future, as key liquidity zones remain untested. This projected growth is expected to reach levels such as $2758 and $2790.
Always stay ahead of the market with Bentradegold—your trusted source for analysis and deep insights!
GOLD → Wedge has formed. What next?OANDA:XAUUSD consolidation has been completed as investors rush to take profits after the precious metal’s consecutive price increases, reaching the highest level in more than 5 weeks earlier in the session. Prices are currently testing the gap around 2683 - 2670 (FVG). What’s next?
Focusing on policy guidance related to the future of U.S. policies is crucial to determining the certainty of the market's next bullish wave. According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 98% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at next week's policy meeting. Alex Ebkarian, CEO of Allegiance Gold, notes that the Fed is in a very difficult position as the likelihood of a rate cut next week increases, but inflation remains elevated.
From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to escape the battlefield, crossing a key resistance level. A breakout at 2687 has already been established. In theory, the development tends to push prices higher. If gold breaks out of the resistance size, it will provide distribution momentum. Conversely, prices may consolidate further. Ultimately, everything depends on the dollar.
Best regards,
Bentradegold !
XAU/USD 12.12.2024OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello Traders,
Today, we’re taking a closer look at gold. As expected, gold is moving down in an ABC structure (yellow) within our larger orange wave 4. From here, we can anticipate either a 12345 structure or, if the price moves sideways, another ABC structure leading up to wave 5.
Wave 4 has likely reached its bottom, though there is still a possibility of a further decline to the 61% Fibonacci level. However, I consider this scenario unlikely. Overall, we are once again looking for higher prices in the near future.
XAG/USD 12.12.2024FXOPEN:XAGUSD
Hello Traders,
After this bearish calculated move to the downside, we have now identified our wave 4 bottom. We expect higher prices in the coming days or weeks, likely forming either a 12345 setup or an ABC pattern from wave (4) to (5). Time will tell us what unfolds.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A fantastic finish to the week with our chart idea targets all completed!
We traded the entire move up from Monday, all the way up, confirmed with cross and lock to give us plenty of time to get in for the action.
2645 - DONE
2661 - DONE
2679 - DONE
2697 - DONE
After our last target was hit, we now finished off perfectly today with the rejection for the move down.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
USOUSD Oil Long bets. Moving up slowly but surely. Daily TF.
The intraday chart around the 1hr and 2hr is a tad hectic with double / triple top, so the daily chart here has a triple bottom for structure support and a head'n' shoulders pattern which I dont think has triggered quite yet.
This trade I recommended on Monday for a long position and these price levels are a bit of a bargain.
If you wanted to buy in I would be buying the closing candle at 69.20
1 HR chart below. Price is just a nudge under 69 now
GOLD PRICES RETREAT AS STRONG DOLLAR PREVAILS AND ECONOMIC DATA Economic Data Impacting the Market
On December 12, 2024, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released important economic data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.4% in November, higher than the expected 0.2%, and showed a 3.0% increase over the year, marking the largest gain since February 2023. Additionally, the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, went up by 0.2% for the month and 3.5% annually. Initial jobless claims for the week ending December 7 reached 242,000, significantly above the expected 220,000, indicating rising unemployment. These mixed signals highlight ongoing inflation pressures alongside a weakening job market.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations Shift
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has decreased to 96.70% from 97.50% a day ago, signalling changing market expectations.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-13 : Carryover In ContertrendToday's pattern is a Carryover in Counter trend mode.
As you'll see in today's video, I'm highlighting many various new features and techniques to help traders understand price movement and context related to trading opportunities.
We need to understand how to target opportunities and how to avoid risks.
I had a long conversation with a subscriber yesterday - he's struggling to understand how to trade efficiently.
Trading is all about jumping on opportunities when they hit and trying to avoid risks and overtrading.
I see so many people try to trade everything that ticks - even when they should be sitting on the sidelines and waiting for better opportunities.
If you want to gamble with your trading account - throw a dart and pick BUY or SELL (RED or BLACK).
If you want to learn how to consistently target the best trade setups, then learn to WAIT for the best setups, execute your trades, then PULL PROFITS/EXITS as quickly as you can.
You should be able to trade only 2 to 3 times a day and do very well - if you don't get trapped in trying to WISH a trade into profits.
Remember, trading is unlike anything else you've ever tried. The more time you try to WISH something to happen, the more likely you are taking on excessive risks.
I'm working on new tools to help all of you develop better skills.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Gold can little correct and then grow to 2720 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time traded near the resistance level in the seller zone, and later price rebounded and started to grow. In a short time price rose to 2790 points and then turned around and started to decline inside the downward triangle. In this pattern, the price first broke the 2720 level and then declined to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, after which broke this level too. Next, Gold declined to support line of the triangle, after which at once made impulse up, breaking the 2625 level one more time. Then it made a retest and continued to grow to the resistance line of the triangle, and when Gold reached this line it at once dropped to the 2625 support level. Price some time traded near this level, after which fell to the buyer zone and then started to grow. In a short time, the price rose to a resistance level, exiting from the triangle, but recently it turned around and made correction. So, now, I think that Gold can decline to support line of the triangle and then rebound up to the 2720 resistance level. That's why I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can correct and then continue to grow in channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price bounced from $2710 resistance level and in a short time declined to $2536 points, breaking $2615 level.
Price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon broke $2615 level one more time and rose to resistance area.
But then, price corrected to support level, after which some time traded near it and then continued to grow.
In a short time, Gold rose to resistance level and then entered to resistance area, but later bounced down.
Thereby price makes a fake breakout of $2710 level, so, now I think that XAU can decline a little more.
After this, price can turn around and then rise to $2760, breaking resistance level inside a rising channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Black gold continues its decline!Oil prices are falling for several reasons:
• Saudi Arabia has decided to lower oil prices for buyers in the Asian market.
• A strong dollar continues to pressure black gold.
The drop in oil prices below $70 per barrel is likely being restrained by OPEC+ policies aimed at controlling supply volumes. The organization has decided to postpone the planned January 2025 increase in oil production to April 2025.
Traders dealing with Brent crude oil show the most pessimistic sentiment in recent months after OPEC+ countries decided to delay the resumption of oil production halted since 2022. At best, this postponement may only slow the price decline amid seasonal demand reduction in the first quarter. With the holidays approaching, market volatility is also decreasing, as traders exercise caution and avoid making aggressive bets on sharp price movements.
Morgan Stanley and HSBC have revised their forecasts for oil oversupply, expecting Brent crude oil prices to reach $70 per barrel by 2025. Bank of America analysts predict that the average price of Brent will be $65 per barrel in the coming years.
According to a survey conducted by the law firm Haynes Boone LLP, banks expect WTI crude oil prices to drop to $60 per barrel by 2027.
Trade #BRENT and #WTI crude oil with FreshForex and maximize your profits with leverage of 1:2000 and tight spreads.
This allows you to manage positions efficiently, minimize costs, and capitalize on price fluctuations for potential gains.