Gold Futures (GC1!) – Accumulation Brewing? Major Move IncomingGold has been stuck in a tight range since April, and to me, this looks like a textbook accumulation zone forming on the daily chart.
Price is coiling within a defined box, showing signs of both strength and weakness — classic behavior before a manipulative move (fake breakout) followed by distribution (true direction). This is where many traders get trapped, chasing the first breakout — only to get caught before the actual move begins.
I’m not committed to a direction yet, but here’s my roadmap:
🧠 First breakout = likely trap (manipulation)
🧭 Wait for confirmation of rejection/failure, then prepare for the real move out of the range
This kind of price behavior often precedes explosive volatility, so I’m watching closely for:
False breakouts above or below the box
Volume spikes or traps
Shift in market structure on lower timeframes
📍 No trade for now, but I’ll be reacting — not predicting.
What’s your bias? Do you think the breakout will hold or fake out?
Commodities
HelenP I. Gold can correct to trend line and then bounce upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that gold has formed a broadening wedge pattern with several touches of the trend line, which acts as a dynamic support. After a strong drop, the price found support near the 3295 level and rebounded, forming a local upward movement. However, bulls have not yet shown a strong impulse, and the price is still trading below the resistance zone between 3390 and 3400 points. Currently, the price is hovering just above the trend line, and appears to be testing this support again. I expect a short decline, possibly to the area around 3295 - 3285 points - that’s the key support zone. If this area holds and we see a bounce, it will confirm that buyers are still active and ready to push the price up again. In this case, we could see gold continue moving inside the wedge pattern and aim for the upper resistance. My goal is set at the 3390 level, right near the wedge's upper border and strong resistance. This target matches the local highs from previous attempts, and if bulls gain momentum, they may try to break through this zone. But for now, I remain cautiously bullish and expect gold to bounce off the trend line and move upward toward the resistance. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jul 07 - Jul 11]OANDA:XAUUSD opened the week at $3,246/oz due to low summer liquidity, easing recession fears and easing geopolitical tensions. However, they later recovered to $3,365/oz due to concerns about a possible re-escalation of the trade war, as some countries faced obstacles in negotiations with the US ahead of the July 9 tariff delay deadline. By the end of the week, prices had adjusted to $3,311/oz and closed at $3,335/oz.
In addition, the US Senate has passed the OBBBA tax cut and spending bill proposed by President Donald Trump. While it helps prevent the risk of a short-term default, the bill could increase the US public debt by more than $3,000 billion over the next 10 years, putting pressure on the bond market and raising concerns about the increasing supply of government bonds while demand is weakening.
However, US economic data over the weekend put downward pressure on gold. Specifically, the June employment report showed that the number of non-farm jobs (NFP) reached 147,000, exceeding the forecast of 111,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, lower than the expected 4.3%. At the same time, NFP data for April and May were also adjusted up to 158,000 and 144,000 jobs, respectively.
These positive numbers almost erased the expectation that the FED would cut interest rates in July. The FED also reaffirmed its stance on maintaining the current policy due to rising inflationary pressures.
Overall, gold prices are still stuck in a range, and a clearer prospect of interest rate cuts from the FED is needed to make a strong breakthrough in the near future.
📌Technically, the $3,310/oz level is now acting as an important support zone for gold prices next week. If this level is broken, prices may continue to fall further to the $3,245/oz area or even lower.
On the other hand, the $3,365/oz level is a strong resistance. If gold prices break through this area, there is a high possibility that they will approach the $3,400/oz mark. However, the upward momentum may be restrained afterwards due to profit-taking pressure from investors, especially when the US-China trade negotiations are still ongoing and have not reached a final agreement. Investors tend to be cautious, waiting for clearer signals before opening new positions.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3401 - 3399⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3405
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3294 - 3296⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3358 and a gap below at 3330. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3330
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283
3254
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3301 and a gap below at 3242. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3364
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3295
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3295 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3242
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
Please see update and plans for the coming week on our Daily chart idea that we have been tracking.
After wrapping up last week and actively tracking the 1h and 4h structures throughout last week within the daily chart overall structure. This brings everything together and reminds us how the broader structure has continued to evolve in our favour.
The bounce off at 3272 that we outlined has now fully played out, showing yet again how critical these Goldturn levels are in guiding our strategy.
Following the clean rejection at the channel top near 3433, price moved precisely into the 3272 support, where we were focused on structure to hold. That level held beautifully, giving us a strong technical base for upward continuation.
As we head into the new week, we’ve once again seen price find support at 3272, with a clean bounce that opens up the potential for price to fill the gap back toward 3433, as long as EMA5 remains above 3272. This dynamic will be a key technical trigger for us to monitor in the coming sessions.
There was no EMA5 cross and lock breakdown, which confirmed that buyers maintained control at this level. That absence of breakdown was our confirmation that the bounce structure was not only valid, but likely to continue unfolding into the new week.
As price grinds its way back up the channel, we’ll keep watching for reactions at key resistance zones, with special attention to 3433, the channel top. The measured structural reaction from 3272 has been perfect and supports our method of trading level to level, always with patience and discipline.
Key Levels to Watch This Week:
🔼 Resistance: 3433 (channel top, gap target)
🔽 Support: 3272 (confirmed bounce zone)
Thanks again for all the support, likes, comments, and follows are always appreciated.
Wishing you all a strong start to the week ahead!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
We’ve just released our new Monthly Chart idea, which we’ll now be tracking following the successful completion of our previous long term monthly chart idea. That one played out beautifully, and now it’s time to shift focus to the next big setup.
Currently, price is trading above the channel midline, and we’ve also seen an important EMA5 cross and lock above 3099, with a candle body close confirming a long term gap above at 3557.
While this confirms the bullish long term structure, we’re also mindful of the potential for a short term retracement, particularly around the EMA5 detachment zone (highlighted with a circle on the chart). This would offer a healthy dip opportunity, aligning perfectly with our strategy to buy into weakness on the way up.
For the bigger structure to remain intact, we’ll be looking for 3099 to continue holding as key structural support. As long as that level is respected, the long term gap toward 3557 remains firmly in play.
This is a higher timeframe idea that we’ll be building on as structure continues to unfold.
We will continue to use all support structures, across all our multi time frame chart ideas to buy dips also keeping in mind our long term gaps above. Short term we may look bearish but looking at the monthly chart allows us to see the bigger picture and the overall long term Bullish trend.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Weekly Recap – Week 27 (30 Jun – 04 Jul)🟡 XAUUSD | MJTrading
Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) staged a significant recovery this week after retesting a critical support zone. Price action reflected strong buying interest at lower levels, followed by consolidation near mid-range resistance.
🔹 Key Levels:
Strong Support Zone: 3,246 – 3,250
Weekly Low: 3,246.35 (30 June)
Weekly High: 3,365.77 (3 July)
Closing Price: ~3,343
🔹 Price Action Summary:
✅ Early Week Retest & Reversal
After the prior week’s decline, gold opened the week near the major support area around 3,246. This zone acted as a strong demand pocket, triggering a swift rejection and initiating a bullish reversal.
✅ Sustained Rally to Resistance
Price climbed steadily, riding the 15-period EMA to reach the weekly high of 3,365.77 on 3 July. This move represented a nearly 4% recovery off the lows, fueled by renewed safe-haven flows and short covering.
✅ Midweek Consolidation
Following the rally, gold entered a sideways consolidation phase between 3,340 and 3,365. EMA flattening reflected a pause in momentum as traders assessed the next directional catalyst.
✅ Late-Week Pullback
Toward the end of the week, price tested the 3,310–3,320 area before modestly bouncing into the Friday close. Overall, the market maintained a cautiously bullish tone while holding above the prior support.
🔹 Technical Perspective:
🔸 Bias: Cautiously Bullish
Price defended the strong support and printed a higher low structure.
Sustained closes above 3,300 maintain the bullish outlook.
🔸 Near-Term Resistance:
3,365–3,390 remains the immediate supply zone to monitor for breakout attempts.
🔸 Key Support:
The 3,246–3,250 area continues to be the primary downside line in the sand.
🔹 Special Note – 4th July US Bank Holiday
Trading volumes were notably lighter on Thursday, 4th July, due to the US Independence Day holiday. This contributed to reduced liquidity and muted volatility, with many traders and institutions off desks. The thinner market conditions likely influenced the late-week pullback and consolidation, as participation was limited heading into the weekend.
🔹 Sentiment & Outlook
The decisive rebound from support suggests that buyers are defending value zones aggressively. However, failure to close the week above 3,365 leaves gold vulnerable to another retest of mid-range levels if fresh catalysts don’t emerge.
Traders should watch for:
A clean breakout above 3,365 to confirm continuation higher.
Any sustained weakness below 3,300 as a signal of fading bullish momentum.
🧭 Next Week’s Focus:
Monitoring whether the consolidation evolves into accumulation or distribution.
Watching for a breakout or deeper pullback
Reactions to upcoming economic data
EMA alignment: If the 15 EMA continues to track above the 60 EMA, it supports a bullish bias.
Chart Notes:
The main chart highlights this week’s action, while the inset provides a fortnight overview of the broader decline and recovery for context.
Thank you for your time and your support...
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SILVER: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
SILVER
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry Point - 36.935
Stop Loss - 37.204
Take Profit - 36.369
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
USOIL: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the USOIL pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports and resistances for Gold for next week.
Resistance 1: 3356 - 3368 area
Resistance 2: 3391 - 3403 area
Resistance 3: 3443 - 3452 area
Resistance 4: 3493 - 3501 area
Support 1: 3230 - 3274 area
Support 2: 3120 - 3177 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Here's why oil prices continue to slumpBrent Crude remains under pressure and has really caught our eye. The weakness in recent weeks is significant. The price recently failed to hold above its 200-day moving average, reinforcing downside risks. Without momentum, prices could revisit June lows unless short-term hurdles at US$69 and US$72 are decisively cleared.
This weakness aligns with BP's latest Energy Outlook, which is due out this week (usually in July each year). We'll be keeping a close on global wind and solar capacities, which are projected to increase eightfold and fourteenfold, respectively, by 2050. This rapid growth in renewables, coupled with declining oil demand, suggests a structural shift in energy markets.
China is leading this shift. By 2030, it is projected to install over 500 gigawatts of solar capacity annually, surpassing the United States' total annual energy production. This underscores the scale of China's renewable energy expansion.
The technical rejection at the 200-day moving average, combined with BP's forecasted demand peak, indicates a bearish outlook for oil. Unless Brent can reclaim and sustain levels above key resistance points, further declines are likely.
The convergence of technical weakness and shifting demand dynamics underscores a bearish stance on oil. Traders should monitor key technical levels and remain cautious amid these evolving market conditions.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
GOLD - POTENTIALLooking at gold. Its still in a bit of limbo after the NFP reaction on Friday. However it is looking like the draw on liquidity is higher. Therefore my bias on gold for the start of the week is bullish so will be looking to get the most optimal entry to take some buys to the upside.
If we can manage to find a decent enough move price really could rally upwards.
July 7 - 11: Buy Stock Indices DIPs! Watch For Gold, Oil FVGs!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of July 7 - 11th.
Stock Indices are strong, so dip opportunities should present themselves next week.
Gold is bullish-neutral. Could see strength enter this market as July 9th approaches.
Silver is bullish. No reason to short it.
Oil is in a Monthly +FVG. If the FVG fails, it will confirm bearishness. Couple that with the fundamentals, I am watching for that confirmations to sell US Oil.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SILVER RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅SILVER has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a
Horizontal resistance of 3730$
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Inside My Gold Mind: Weekend Trade Log📌 Market Context / Bias
The majority of bullish price action on VELOCITY:GOLD occurred early in the week — specifically between Monday and Tuesday. From midweek through Friday, the market entered a period of consolidation, showing signs of compression.
Interestingly, despite positive economic data that favoured the USD, GOLD remained steady and resilient. This suggests underlying bullish pressure and potential accumulation.
My current bias is bullish going into the new week — with expectations of a price expansion to the upside.
🔍 Higher Timeframe Analysis
Weekly Candle: Shows early bullish expansion followed by consolidation — classic sign of absorption or reaccumulation.
Draw on Liquidity: Equal highs remain above, acting as a magnet for price.
FVGs: Price traded into a daily FVG earlier in the week and closed above it.
Order Block: Price respected a previous Bullish Order Block during Thursday’s retracement, reinforcing possible support.
🧩 Lower Timeframe Confluence
1H–4H: Price is forming relatively equal highs above the current range — potential liquidity targets.
Intraday Structure: No major shift to bearish order flow was confirmed; compression suggests a possible continuation move once expansion begins.
🧠 Fundamental Insight
Despite hawkish or strong USD fundamentals, GOLD held its ground. This divergence often precedes a strong move — likely driven by risk sentiment, upcoming Fed commentary, or global macro drivers.
🧠 Trade Plan Preview
Stay tuned for my daily updates where I’ll share:
My bias for the day
Market structure breakdown
Intraday trade plan (entry, targets, and session model)
⚠️ Reminder:
Trade with due diligence. This is not financial advice. Always align entries with your personal model and preferred session.
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or insightful, please drop a like 👍 and leave a comment — I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Follow me for more daily price action insights and trading strategies on XAUUSD and other key markets.
Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
All trading involves risk. You are solely responsible for your own decisions, so always conduct proper research and due diligence before taking any trades.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
May your final trades of the week be precise and profitable.
USOIL: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 66.47 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 66.19.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SILVER and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 36.935 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 36.582
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 66.47 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear (short / long) signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 66.79
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – July 7, 2025“You don’t chase gold. You set the trap, then wait.”
👋 Hey traders — we’re gearing up for a new week on gold, and the H4 chart is starting to speak clearly. After Friday’s clean push into premium rejection zones, price is now compressing beneath a key supply block. Structure is fragile, and the next move will likely come fast.
Let’s position with precision before the breakout.
—
🔸 H4 Bias
Structure remains bearish short-term, with clear lower highs forming below a major supply at 3344–3351.
The broader bias leans neutral as we trade between unmitigated demand and inducement-heavy resistance. Confirmation is everything.
—
🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Areas)
3344–3351
→ H4 Fair Value Gap + OB combo inside premium
→ If price wicks above recent highs and rejects here, it could trigger a clean swing sell.
3380–3394
→ Origin of the last bearish leg + liquidity wick
→ High-risk, high-reward rejection zone if price spikes impulsively this week (e.g. post-Fed tone or surprise volatility).
—
🟢 Demand Zones (Buy Areas)
3265–3275
→ H4 FVG + flip zone + prior sweep level
→ If price taps and holds here, we may see re-accumulation for a move toward 3327–3340.
3235–3246
→ Strong unmitigated OB + discount level
→ Ideal sniper long zone only on clean rejection + structure shift (BOS on M15+).
—
🟡 Flip / Decision Zone
3299–3305
→ EMA50 + micro-range equilibrium
→ If price breaks and holds above this zone with strength, bias turns short-term bullish. If it rejects, continuation down is favored.
—
🎯 Execution Notes
EMA21/50 are acting as active compression bands — watch for rejection pressure
RSI shows no clear divergence yet — but volume is thinning
Liquidity is building above 3340 and below 3265 — prepare for traps both ways
—
🔚 Final Words
Sniper traders aren’t early — they’re precise. If you’ve been reacting too fast lately, this is your week to reset. Gold is telling a story here… but only structure speaks the truth.
🚀 If this helps bring clarity to your outlook, tap follow — we do this daily, with structure, not signals.
—
📢 Disclosure: I use Trade Nation’s broker feed on TradingView and I’m part of their influencer program.
📉 This is educational content, not financial advice.
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – July 7, 2025👋 Hey traders, welcome to the fresh week! After the Friday selloff, gold is approaching a key inflection point. Let’s break down what’s happening on the Daily chart and how to approach it with clarity — no guessing, just precision.
Stay focused. The real opportunity is always in how you prepare.
🌍 Macro + Sentiment
Market remains sensitive to yield shifts and broader risk sentiment (BRICS summit also continues)
Price remains elevated in premium territory after months of vertical flow — but structure is finally showing re-accumulation or re-distribution?
📈 Daily Bias
Neutral to bearish until the 3330–3344 zone fully flips cleanly as support
Structure shows lower highs, strong wick rejections in premium zones, and a need for confirmation
🧠 What the chart tells us:
Price is compressing between a D1 FVG (below) and unfilled premium OB (above)
Friday’s low wicked into a small imbalance — but was not a clean tap into the main OB
RSI is midrange, EMAs are flat, and momentum is indecisive
We're either gearing up for a bullish FVG reclaim or prepping for a deeper drop into discount
⚠️ Key Zones to Watch
🔵 Support Zones (Buy Zones)
3230–3208
→ D1 Fair Value Gap + unmitigated bullish OB + discount pricing
→ Valid only with clean bullish rejection. High interest for sniper entries if price returns.
3170–3154
→ Untapped daily OB + historical support wick + aligns with deeper discount zone
→ Stronger bounce zone if 3230 fails. Confluence with fib retracement & RSI likely oversold here.
🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Zones)
3420–3450
→ Premium FVG + D1 OB combo + previous bearish rejection wick
→ High probability inducement area. Valid only if price fails to hold 3344 flip.
3388–3402
→ Minor supply + internal structure break level
→ Short-term reaction area. Lower conviction but watch for rejection if price overextends.
🟡 Decision / Flip Zone
3327–3344
→ Former support now turned resistance
→ If this zone flips bullish and holds, bias shifts to continuation. If rejection occurs, confirms retracement deeper into discount.
✅ Conclusion
The market is entering a decision week — no rush. Let the chart guide you.
Clarity comes not from prediction, but preparation. This chart isn’t hindsight — it’s a live framework.
✨ Final Thought
If this chart feels clear, that’s because it was built with intention — not after the move, but before it happens.
The difference between noise and precision is structure.
And we don’t guess — we prepare.
🚀 If you appreciate detailed, real-time structure like this, hit follow and join the traders who value clean execution over hype.
💬 Drop your bias below — bullish or bearish this week?
📢 Disclosure: I use Trade Nation's broker feed on TradingView and I'm part of their influencer program.
📉 This is educational content and not financial advice.
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | July 7–11, 2025“The market always whispers before it roars. The wise trader listens to structure.”
Hello beautiful minds 💬
We enter the second week of July with strong macro undercurrents and new structure shifts beginning to show. While the U.S. celebrated Independence Day, the market quietly set up key zones for next week’s liquidity sweep.
🔸 Macro & Geopolitical Overview
🟠 Geopolitics: Tensions continue post-BRICS Summit, with a focus on further de-dollarization talks.
💰 U.S. Economy: Consumer credit and NFIB small business confidence to kick off the week.
🔔 Big catalysts:
Wednesday: Fed speeches (Mouslem, Waller, Daly)
Thursday: Unemployment Claims + Bond Auction
Friday: Federal Budget Balance (a key fiscal stress indicator)
📉 Expect spikes in volatility mid-week and dollar reactions post-FOMC speeches.
🔸 WEEKLY BIAS:
Still bullish to neutral, but momentum is cooling inside a premium rejection range.
Price broke structure to the upside in May-June, forming a new weekly higher high (HH) above 3380 — but failed to hold convincingly above the volume imbalance (void zone) around 3430–3480.
We are now rejecting premium and hovering just under the 3327 level — previous institutional support and the midpoint of the weekly FVG.
🔹 Weekly Key Zones
🟢 Support zone to watch (buy interest)
3204–3230 = Weekly FVG + equilibrium retrace + EMA50 rising
This is the main discount reaction zone. If price taps in with bullish PA, we look for bullish continuation toward 3327 then 3380.
🟡 Mid-level (decision point)
3327 = prior key support now acting as resistance
Watch how price reacts here — if it flips cleanly with a daily close, short-term bullish pressure may return.
🔴 Supply zone / resistance (sell interest)
3420–3480 = Weekly FVG + premium OB + liquidity sweep zone
This is the main premium rejection area. If tapped again without strong volume or fundamentals, this may fuel a swing short setup.
🔸 What This Means for You
This week is about patience and precision. The cleanest setups may come after volatility spikes during Fed speeches. Structure will tell — but emotional control will confirm.
If you feel like you’ve been chasing trades lately… this is the week to reset.
Focus only on sniper setups. Wait for them to form. Let others rush.
🔚 Final Words from the Team
Clarity beats chaos. Always. This weekly map is your compass — now it’s your job to wait, watch, and act with precision.
🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for structured gold planning that respects both price and time.
🗨️ Drop a comment with your bias — bullish or bearish this week?
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📌 Disclosure: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects market structure at the time of writing. No financial advice.
renderwithme | XAUUSD - GOLD Pre-NFP Technical AnalysisCurrent Market ContextPrice Levels: Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,341.79 as of July 4, 2025, with recent price action showing consolidation between $3,300 and $3,400 after a pullback from highs near $3,500.
Recent Performance: Gold rose slightly by 0.27% to $3,335.17 per troy ounce on July 4, supported by positive momentum from trading above the 50-day EMA. However, it has faced resistance near $3,400 and experienced low liquidity due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday.
Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment remains cautiously bullish, driven by a weakening U.S. dollar amid concerns over U.S. fiscal imbalances (e.g., Trump’s tax-cut bill adding $3.4 trillion to the national debt) and expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy. However, short-term volatility is expected due to holiday-thinned liquidity and upcoming economic data
# Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If gold holds above $3,300 and breaks $3,353, it could retest $3,400 and potentially climb toward $3,435–$3,451. A weekly close above $3,400 would negate near-term bearish risks and signal a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Bearish Scenario: A sustained break below $3,300 could trigger a deeper correction toward $3,248 (monthly low) or $3,226–$3,203. A drop below $3,203 would challenge the medium-term uptrend, potentially opening the door to $3,150 or lower.
Range-Bound Expectation: Due to low liquidity and pending NFP data, gold may consolidate between $3,320 and $3,340 early next week, with volatility increasing post-NFP
Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
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