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The Cocoa Code - Smart Money is Preparing for a Bullish MoveCocoa is setting up for a long trade upon a confirmed daily bullish trend change. The fundamentals underlying this market suggest a bullish move of some significance is brewing, and would confirm if we see a daily bullish entry trigger. Commercials at extreme in long positioning relative to last 26 weeks of positioning. Advisor Sentiment Index at bearish extreme, a great contrarian signal when juxtaposed with the commercials positioning. Open Interest is at a 3+ year low. Low levels of open interest are generally associated with market bottoms. Valuation measure against Treasuries & Gold shows Cocoa is undervalued. True Seasonal tendency for Cocoa to rally into April. Front month premium implies the commercials want this commodity so bad that they are willing to pay more to acquire it now than later in the future. This implies a commercially driven bull market is at hand. 130 day cycle points to bullish momentum for Cocoa until May. Accumulation by the commercials is evident via the ProGo & Ultimate Oscillator divergence. What does this all mean? It means the fundamental conditions underlying this marketplace point towards a bullish move on the horizon.
ICEUS:CC1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
XAU/USD 30-Min Analysis – Bullish Reversal & Breakout SetupGold (XAU/USD) - 30-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆📊 Key Observations: Market Structure Shift (CHOCH - Change of Character) 🔄 The chart marks a CHOCH, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. This suggests that the recent downtrend may have concluded, and buyers are stepping in. Liquidity Grab & Stop Hunt 🎯 The price dipped below the SELL STOP level, likely triggering stop-loss orders. A sharp rejection followed, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) as Dynamic Support 📈 The price tested the 200 EMA (2,885.011) and bounced off, reinforcing the bullish case. This suggests that institutional traders might be accumulating positions near this zone. Bullish Breakout Potential 🚀 The highlighted grey box represents a potential order block or accumulation zone. A breakout above this area could confirm the bullish continuation towards the target level (2,942.963). Trade Setup: Entry Zone: Retest of the grey accumulation zone (around 2,894 - 2,899). Stop-Loss: Below the recent low (around 2,880). Target: 2,942.963 (previous resistance & psychological level). Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1 (optimal for a trade execution). Final Thoughts: 🔸 If price holds above the breakout zone, we could see a strong rally towards 2,942. 🔸 If it fails to hold and falls below 2,880, expect further downside retracement. 🔸 Bullish sentiment is favored, but confirmation is key! ✅
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
2
XAU/USD Breakout – Targeting $2,950?XAU/USD (Gold) 1H Chart Analysis 🏆📊 🔹 Current Price: $2,926.285 🔹 Recent High: $2,927.305 🔹 Recent Low: $2,923.840 🔹 200 EMA Support: $2,870.242 (far below current price) Key Observations & Setup ✅ Breakout Confirmed: The price has broken out of a descending trendline, signaling bullish momentum. ✅ Target Zone: The red resistance zone near $2,945 - $2,950 is the next potential target. ✅ Potential Move: Price is expected to climb toward this resistance area before facing rejection or continuation. ✅ Support Levels: If the breakout fails, the previous resistance (now support) around $2,915 - $2,920 could be tested. Trading Plan 📈💡 Bullish Play: If price holds above the breakout level, targeting $2,945 - $2,950 could be a solid setup. Bearish Rejection: Watch for rejection at the resistance zone for possible short opportunities. EMA Support: The 200 EMA remains far below, reinforcing overall bullish sentiment unless a major pullback occurs. 📢 Final Thoughts: This is a classic breakout & retest scenario. If momentum sustains, we could see a push into the resistance zone. Stay cautious for any rejection signals! 🚀🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
USOIL(WTI) Price ActionHello Traders, I hope you all had a great weekend and made some profits last week! As the market opens today, I’ve identified another setup on USOIL (WTI) . Here’s the breakdown: 1. Zones Marked: - On the 4H chart, I’ve marked two key zones: a Supply Zone and a Demand Zone. - Switching to the M30 chart, I’ve marked an additional Demand Zone. 2. Liquidity Line: - You’ll notice a Liquidity Line on the chart. Wait for a sweep of this level before considering any trades. 3. Entry Strategy: - Move to the M15 chart for a precise entry to lower your risk. - Look for bullish momentum to confirm a long position. 4. Take Profit (TP): - The TP levels will remain the same as planned. 5. Volume Observation: - Volume is currently low, which could indicate a potential divergence. Keep an eye on this as it may impact the trade. 6. Risk Management: - Always manage your risk carefully. Avoid trading blindly and stick to your plan. Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Let’s make it a profitable week. Thank you!
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by SuvashishFx
1
OIL CallsThe market structure remains bullish as the Daily price broke the last swing high of $77.89 to make a new market top of $79.44. Even though in the short term the price is retracing down to fill inefficiencies left by the last rally, we can expect a reversal of the trend at either $69 or $67 supply zones. In case of such reversal the price can with high probability retest the last swing high or the first supply zone which sits outside the current structure at $80. On the other hand, if the price breaks below $66.80, it will signal the market is entering another bear run.
FXOPEN:XTIUSDLong
by Jakh_FX
Russia-Ukraine negotiations, next oil market analysis!!On Friday (February 15), international oil prices fell slightly, mainly affected by the expectation of easing the situation between Russia and Ukraine. The market generally believes that if the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine make substantial progress, the lifting of sanctions on Russia will greatly improve the global energy supply. However, the postponement of the implementation of the US reciprocal tariffs has provided support for oil prices and limited the decline in oil prices. Brent crude oil futures closed at $7,451 per barrel, while WTI crude oil fell to $70.57 per barrel. This week, Brent crude oil fell slightly by 0.23%, while WTI crude oil fell slightly by 0.69%. Despite the weak performance of oil prices, market sentiment remains relatively complex, greatly affected by the supply and demand pattern and global political dynamics. Market Dynamics Analysis Russia-Ukraine Situation: Changes in Supply and Demand Expectations Brought by Peace Talks One of the most important market news this week was that US President Trump instructed US officials to launch Russia-Ukraine peace talks. Both Russian President Putin and Ukrainian President Zelensky expressed their willingness to reach a peace agreement in separate phone calls with Trump. Market expectations for a possible turnaround in the Russia-Ukraine conflict are rising. If a peace agreement is reached and sanctions on Russia are lifted, the pressure on global energy supply will be significantly eased. The International Energy Agency (IEA) recently mentioned in its oil market report that if Russia's oil exports can circumvent new sanctions, they may still be able to remain at the current level, which will have an important impact on the global oil market. Nevertheless, the market still needs to pay attention to the further development of the situation between Russia and Ukraine, and there is still great uncertainty in the final realization of the peace agreement. US trade policy: The postponement of reciprocal tariffs provides support for oil prices US President Trump recently announced that he plans to postpone the implementation of reciprocal tariffs, and the relevant report is expected to be submitted on April 1. The market responded positively to this, and the decision to postpone tariffs has increased optimism about the outlook for global trade. IG market strategist Ye Junrong pointed out that Trump's tariff policy adjustment has warmed up the market's expectations for the global trade environment, driving a certain rebound in oil prices. However, it is worth noting that although the postponement of tariffs has brought support to the market, the final direction of this policy is still uncertain, and it may have a greater impact on the trend of global oil prices in the future. Global demand recovery and supply dynamics: energy market tends to balance Analysts at JPMorgan Chase pointed out that global oil demand has increased to 103.4 million barrels per day (bpd), an increase of 1.4 million bpd from the same period last year. In particular, the recovery in demand for travel and heating fuels has further increased the actual demand for oil. At the same time, the number of oil drilling rigs in the United States has increased for three consecutive weeks. The latest report from Baker Hughes shows that the number of active drilling rigs in the United States increased by 2 this week to 588. The increase in the number of drilling rigs usually indicates a recovery in future production and indicates that the US oil industry is gradually recovering. However, despite the recovery in demand, supply concerns remain. The economic pressure imposed by the Trump administration on Iran may also limit the growth of crude oil supply in the short term. Technical aspects and market sentiment: the pattern of oil price shocks From a technical perspective, Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil have been operating in a shock range recently, and there is great uncertainty in the short-term trend. Although the market is optimistic about the recovery in demand, potential disturbances in global supply and geopolitical risks still put pressure on oil prices. In terms of technical indicators, the prices of Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil have not broken through the upper limit of the recent fluctuation range, indicating that market sentiment is still in a wait-and-see state. Outlook for next week Looking ahead to next week, the crude oil market will still face the test of multiple uncertainties. First, whether the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks can make substantial progress will be an important factor affecting oil prices. If the situation between Russia and Ukraine eases and sanctions on Russia are lifted, global energy supply may ease and oil prices may be under great pressure. Second, whether the Trump administration's reciprocal tariff policy will continue to be postponed and its impact on global trade may continue to affect market sentiment. The market's expectations for the adjustment of the US trade policy are still relatively optimistic, which may provide some support for oil prices in the short term. In addition, the recovery trend of global oil demand is expected to continue, especially as the global economy gradually recovers, the increase in fuel and heating demand may further drive up oil prices. However, uncertainties on the global supply side, especially supply problems in Iran and Russia, will have a lasting impact on oil price trends. The increase in the number of drilling rigs in the United States indicates that the recovery of US oil production may have an impact on market supply in the coming months. If the US energy production capacity continues to expand, oil prices may face downward pressure. TVC:USOIL
TVC:USOILShort
by Beck_Ledley
Breaking news, an important news that will affect the market! ! According to the news, senior US and Russian officials will meet in Saudi Arabia next week to prepare for the Trump-Putin summit, which will be held at the end of the month at the earliest. The details of the meeting and the list of participants are still being worked out. Saudi Arabia has invited representatives from the United States, Russia and Ukraine to attend the meeting in Riyadh. According to the report, the goal is to finalize a date for Ramadan, which starts in March. 1. At first glance, this news may not be very relevant to businessmen, but it is not. There are three major themes dominating the current global financial market: First, the Trump administration; Second, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut Third, the possibility of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine The market has been hyped for many rounds on the first two points, and the market has become immune to these two factors in the short term (lost interest). The third point is the speculation that has just emerged, and the market has not yet fully priced it. 50% of the factors for the decline of the US dollar this week are due to news from Russia and Ukraine. The market also has a probability expectation for the "possibility of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine", just like the expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This probability has exceeded 50% this week (30% last week). 2. Judging from the news itself, Trump seems eager to reach an agreement with Russia, prompting Russia and Ukraine to accelerate the ceasefire. It means that the geopolitical game has entered a new stage of "open talks and secret wars", and the market pricing mechanism will switch between risk on/off modes more frequently. More content: The location is Saudi Arabia, and Saudi Arabia may mediate in the middle - Saudi Arabia had a tense relationship with the United States before, but recently it has also cooperated with Russia in OPEC+ The United States bypassed Europe and directly contacted Russia at a high level - the two sides may be testing a certain "post-conflict framework", and "interest exchanges" in certain areas are not ruled out (possibly involving energy cooperation or lifting of some sanctions) 3. The subsequent progress of negotiations will have a certain impact on the financial market. The analysis strategy is as follows: As far as the crude oil market is concerned, any progress in negotiations may trigger a decline. For the gold market, if the sudden plunge on Friday night is related to the "increased probability of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine", then there may be further declines in the future. The agricultural product market may also be a major trading country, because Ukraine is a food exporter, and any ceasefire or agreement may improve food exports and lower prices. In addition, Russian assets may also be revalued. It is important to note that the Ramadan time window is mentioned as (March 10-April 9) - history shows that the conflicting parties often reach a temporary ceasefire at this stage. If it fails to achieve this time, it may trigger a reverse bet in the market. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Beck_Ledley
SILVER Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for SILVER is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 32.147 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 32.524 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
2
Gold poised to extend rally to 3010 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at this chart, we can observe that a few days ago the price entered an upward channel and began to rise steadily. Shortly after, it climbed to the 2660 support level, which aligned with the buyer zone, and even broke through it. However, before making further progress, XAU corrected to the channel’s support line. Following this correction, the price retested the level and resumed its upward movement, eventually reaching the second support level located within a support area. Initially, there was another correction to the channel’s support line, but soon after, the price broke through the 2770 level as well and kept moving higher. Eventually, the price broke out of the first channel and transitioned into a new upward channel, where it reached the current support level, which also coincided with another support area. Gold managed to surpass the 2880 level and continued its bullish momentum. At the moment, the price is still climbing, and I anticipate that XAU will correct back to the channel’s support line before continuing its upward movement within the channel. For this scenario, I’ve set my TP at 3010 points, which aligns with the channel’s resistance line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
6
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2905 and a gap below at 2872. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2905 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2905 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2934 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2934 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2959 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2987 BEARISH TARGETS 2872 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2871 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2841 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2807 - 2781 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 2764 - 2740 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
24
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing ema5 play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2928 with a correction target above at 2890 before that with ema5 lagging and due a touch above. We need ema5 to cross below 2890 to open 2857 and lock above 2928 to open the range above. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2890 2928 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2928 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2959 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2992 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2992 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3024 BEARISH TARGETS EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2890 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2857 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2813 - 2785 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2744 - 2713 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone, This is an update on our daily chart idea that we are now tracking and playing out perfectly, as analysed. 2904 AXIS target was hit last week completing this level and also into the channel top for the perfect finish and rejection. We now have body close above 2904 AXIS but will need ema5 lock to confirm 2959, although the channel top is acting as resistance and therefore will need some ranging movement within the channel so it can slowly ascend into the 2959 respecting the channel dynamics. We also need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom. This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed. After completing 2729 and 2856, we were left with a very small body close above 2856 last week leaving 2976 open and we stated that will need ema5 lock to further confirm this. EMA5 is still yet to lock, however the body close already gave us a nice push up with over 700 pips. The full long term gap still remains open with a further candle body close left from last week. This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained Gold did not manage to update the All-Time High on Friday, retracing from a key daily resistance. The market is now trading within a horizontal range on a daily. Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries, I see 2 potential scenarios: Bullish Scenario If the price breaks and closes above 2943, a bullish continuation will be expected to the new highs. Bearish Scenario If the price breaks a demand zone based on a rising trend line and a support of the range and closes below that, a correctional movement will follow. Alternatively, with the absence of fundamentals, the market may stay within the range for a while, so be patient. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
OXY: Bullish Breakout PotentialA break above the 50.80 level could confirm the stock is ready to clear its descending channel and shift momentum in favor of the bulls. This price has acted as a pivotal zone in recent sessions, and a decisive close above it would suggest the downtrend may be reversing. A surge in volume above 50.80 would further strengthen the long setup, potentially targeting the high 50s or low 60s if buyers follow through. The RSI on this 2W chart is hovering near the middle (accumulation) range. It’s neither showing an extreme overbought nor deeply oversold condition. That gives price room to run in either direction. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve risk, and independent research or consultation with a professional is recommended before making any financial decisions.
NYSE:OXY
by MysticMads
Gold Weekly Analysis – Bullish & Bearish ScenariosCurrent Market Structure: Gold is trending upward within a well-defined weekly ascending channel and has not broken out yet. The market is currently near the upper boundary of the channel, meaning a breakout or a potential rejection could occur. Expected Movement This Week: Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability If Momentum Holds): A clean breakout above the channel resistance would signal continued bullish momentum. The price could consolidate briefly at the breakout level before pushing higher toward $3,000+. If a pullback happens after breaking out, we expect a retest of previous resistance (now support) before continuing upward. Confirmation: Strong bullish candles with increasing volume. Bearish Scenario (If Gold Fails to Break Above Resistance): If gold fails to break out and rejects from the upper boundary, a correction is likely. The first key downside target is around $2,760 (weekly level), aligning with previous structure. A deeper decline could lead to $2,571, which is another weekly support zone. Confirmation: A strong rejection wick, bearish engulfing pattern, or increased selling pressure. ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk and can result in substantial losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
COMEX:GC1!
by ScalpMasterPlus