XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H1chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3234, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3192.27 , a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 3273.93, above a swing high resistance.
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Commodities
XAUUSD Bounce from Trendline Support Targets 3420 ResistanceGold (XAUUSD) remains in a strong long-term uptrend, consistently respecting ascending trendline support since early stages of the rally. The chart shows multiple successful retests of the trendline, with the most recent bounce occurring near the $3,120 level, aligning with prior horizontal support and trendline confluence.
This rejection from support suggests bullish continuation is likely, provided that price remains above $3,120. A bullish move from current levels targets the recent high and resistance zone around $3,420. This area has previously acted as a supply zone, so it is reasonable to expect sellers to step in again around that level.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Current market price near $3,215–$3,220 (after confirmation of bounce)
Take Profit (TP): $3,420
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,120 (ideally around $3,095 to allow buffer below trendline)
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio while trading in the direction of the prevailing uptrend. Break below $3,120 would invalidate the setup and open potential downside toward the next major support around $2,960.
Buyers Stand By And Be Ready! In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 18 - 24th.
The Stock Indices remain bullish. So buys are warranted for next week.
Gold and Silver pulled back last week on news of Trump's deals and sanction relief. But Gold is at support now. Watch for bullish setups for buys or a bearish market structure shift before seeking sells.
Crude Oil is near buy side liquidity. Look for short term buys before a longer term, high probability sell setup to form.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
LITCOIN : So what is an ETF ?Hello friends
Be careful with the recent fluctuations of this coin because the movements of this coin have become unpredictable and we suggest that if you want to buy, buy in the specified support areas and in steps, of course with capital and risk management...
We have also specified targets for you.
*Trade safely with us*
Market Closed, Breaking Down Gold Outlook...While the market is closed you take the time to clear you thoughts and reset, preparing for a new week. making notes on what I'm thinking we can expect from Gold the coming week. I'm thinking they want to move bullish but I need to see how they want to play it Monday. Monday needs to break levels and hold above those levels to give more confidence hat they want to push bullish. We should find a entry after seeing that.
XAU/USD) back up Trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bullish reversal setup from a key support zone. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone (Yellow Box at ~3,100–3,140):
The price recently touched a significant support area marked by multiple previous bounces (green arrows).
The latest green arrow shows a bullish reaction from this zone, indicating potential for an upward move.
2. Resistance Zone (~3,220–3,250):
This intermediate zone is expected to be the first area of interest for bulls.
The analysis suggests a brief pullback or consolidation before continuation.
3. Target Point (~3,375):
The chart outlines a projected move to around 3,375, aligning with a previous supply zone and the upper channel line.
This is likely the main target for a swing trade.
4. EMA 200 (Blue Line - ~3,221):
Price is hovering around the 200 EMA, acting as a dynamic resistance.
A breakout above this would add bullish confirmation.
5. RSI Indicator (~41):
RSI is recovering from an oversold region (~38), indicating potential momentum building for a reversal.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion:
This is a bullish reversal setup with:
Entry zone: Around 3,120–3,140
Short-term resistance: ~3,220–3,250
Final target: ~3,375
Invalidation: A clear break and close below the yellow support box (~3,100)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAU/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot price against USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, featuring a Smart Money Concept (SMC) approach. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented:
---
1. Downtrend & Trendline Break
The chart initially shows a downtrend with two red arrows marking lower highs.
A trendline is broken, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
CHOCH (Change of Character) is labeled — a key SMC concept signaling a reversal from bearish to bullish structure.
---
2. Orderblock & FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A bullish orderblock is highlighted, indicating an area where institutional buying may have occurred.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is shown, which often acts as a magnet for price to fill inefficiencies before continuing in the intended direction.
---
3. Resistance & Target Zones
A resistance level is marked near 3248–3250, which price may revisit and possibly break.
Two target points are identified:
First target: ~3344
Final target: ~3433
---
4. EMA 200
The EMA 200 is acting as dynamic resistance; a break above it adds confluence to the bullish bias.
---
5. Expected Move
The analysis anticipates:
1. A pullback into the FVG or orderblock.
2. A bullish continuation after mitigating those zones.
3. Price aiming for the resistance and eventually the upper targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion
This is a bullish outlook based on a structural break (CHOCH), institutional demand (orderblock), and gap-filling logic (FVG). The price is expected to pull back slightly and then rally toward the 3344 and 3433 levels if it holds the orderblock zone.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3215 and a gap below at 3170. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3215
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3215 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3298
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3298 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3394
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3394 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3170
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3170 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3120
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3120 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3077 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3236 - 3176
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3176 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3033 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
2025 Gold Rush📈 Gold Investment Guide: Stocks, ETFs, Futures 🚀 (May 19-25, 2025)
Gold’s shining bright at ~$3,203/oz! 📊 With prices eyeing $3,200-$3,300 next week, here’s how to invest via stocks, ETFs, & futures. Bullish vibes from central bank buying & geopolitics, but watch for pullbacks to $3,120-$3,167. 🧵👇 #Gold #Investing
Best Strategy: Diversify!
• 🪙 Miners (50%): Barrick Gold (GOLD HKEX:GDU1! CMCMARKETS:GOLDM2025 ), Agnico Eagle (AEM), Harmony Gold (HMY) for big gains.
• 💰 Royalty (30%): Franco-Nevada (FNV) for stability.
• 📈 ETFs (20%): SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) for simplicity.
Pros: ✅ Miners crush it in bull markets (AEM: 401% Q1 earnings! 🔥) ✅ Hedge vs. inflation & chaos ✅ Easy to trade vs. physical gold ✅ Dividends from AEM (1.5%) & FNV (1.2%)
Cons: ❌ Stocks swing 5-10% daily ❌ GLD: No dividends ❌ Miners face cost risks ❌ Dollar strength could cap gains
Trade Setups (3:1 reward:risk):
• GOLD: Buy @ $20 | Stop: $18.80 (6%) | Profit: $23.60 (18%)
• AEM: Buy @ $106.45 | Stop: $100.06 (6%) | Profit: $125.61 (18%)
• HMY: Buy @ $10 | Stop: $9.22 (7.8%) | Profit: $12.34 (23.4%)
• FNV: Buy @ $130 | Stop: $122.20 (6%) | Profit: $153.40 (18%)
• GLD: Buy @ $250 | Stop: $235 (6%) | Profit: $295 (18%)
Futures (COMEX GC, ~$3,205/oz):
• Buy @ $3,205 | Stop: $3,012.70 (6%) | Profit: $3,781.90 (18%) | ⚠️ High risk!
Tips: 📲 Trade via brokerage; set stops/profits. 👀 Watch AEM’s Q2 earnings (7/30) & Fed moves. 📉 Resistance at $3,238-$3,501.
Verify prices & consult advisors. Let’s ride this gold wave! 🌟 #GoldRush #Finance
XAUUSD - Critical Reaction Zone to Determine Next Major MoveGold is currently trading at $3,202.25, showing recovery momentum after forming a recent bottom near $3,120. The price action suggests a continued upward movement toward the highlighted "important reaction area" around $3,240-3,260, which previously served as both support and resistance in mid-May. There is a high probability that price will reach this critical zone given the current bullish momentum and the established pattern of higher lows. Once gold reaches this reaction area, traders should exercise patience and closely observe how price behaves – a decisive break above could trigger an extended rally toward $3,360 as indicated by the upper green arrow, while rejection might initiate a significant correction toward $3,140 as marked by the red arrow. The market's response at this important reaction area will likely determine gold's directional bias for the next trading period, making it essential to watch for specific candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or momentum shifts before establishing new positions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Double Top Breakdown & Target – Bearish Reversal in Play?In today’s analysis, we focus on Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe, which is currently presenting a high-probability bearish reversal setup. The price action has completed a Double Top pattern — a classic reversal formation — and has broken down below its neckline support, signaling a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
This chart setup is particularly valuable for swing traders, pattern traders, and anyone seeking to anticipate mid-term directional moves in the commodities market.
📐 Technical Breakdown:
🔷 1. Double Top Formation:
The Double Top pattern forms after a sustained uptrend and is identified by two peaks at nearly the same level.
In this case:
Top 1 formed near $35.5.
Top 2 retested the same zone but failed to break above.
The neckline support — drawn across the $28 zone — was eventually broken.
This price action confirms the classic M-shaped structure, signaling distribution and potential bearish continuation.
🔷 2. Neckline and Breakdown:
After failing at Top 2, price dropped below the neckline, breaking critical horizontal support.
This move completed the pattern, triggering many technical sell signals.
Price is now retesting the neckline zone, a common phenomenon where broken support becomes resistance (known as a "retest").
This retest offers a textbook short opportunity if bearish confirmation follows.
🔷 3. Curve Resistance:
The upper curved blue line represents dynamic resistance.
It has successfully capped price action across multiple attempts and aligns with the pattern's second top — enhancing the strength of this rejection area.
🧱 Support & Resistance Zones:
Resistance Zone: $34.50–$35.50
Strong resistance from both peaks (Top 1 & Top 2) and historical sellers.
Neckline / Retest Zone: ~$28.00
Now acting as resistance — this is the critical level to watch for rejection or breakout.
Support Zones / Take-Profit Levels:
TP1: ~$26.40 — aligns with recent horizontal structure and minor support.
TP2: ~$22.58 — matches major historical support and measured move projection from the Double Top pattern.
📉 Measured Move Target (Pattern Projection):
To calculate the target from a Double Top:
Measure the height from top to neckline.
Project that downward from the neckline’s breakout point.
In this case:
Height: ~$35.5 – $28 = $7.5
Breakdown point: $28 – $7.5 = Target near $20.5–22.5
The TP2 at $22.58 matches this logic — further validating the downside potential.
🔄 Market Psychology & Sentiment:
This pattern reflects a shift in sentiment:
Bulls tried and failed twice to push through resistance.
The eventual breakdown shows bearish conviction, and the ongoing retest represents a decision point.
If sellers hold this level, we could see a cascade of downside pressure as stops are triggered and momentum builds.
🛠️ Trade Setup & Scenarios:
📌 Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation (High Probability):
If price fails to reclaim the neckline (now resistance) and forms bearish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, rejection wick, breakdown below $31), this confirms a likely move toward TP1 and TP2.
Entry Idea: Short on rejection from the $28–$29 zone
Stop-Loss: Above $30
TP1: $26.40
TP2: $22.58
📌 Scenario 2 – Invalidated Pattern:
If bulls push price back above the neckline ($29–$30 zone) with strong volume and daily close, this invalidates the setup and may lead to:
Bullish continuation toward $32–$34
Possible trend resumption if curve resistance breaks
🧠 Educational Notes:
Double Tops are most reliable when:
Formed at the top of strong uptrends.
Followed by a neckline break with volume.
Retested with rejection.
The retest phase is often the best risk/reward entry because:
It confirms resistance.
Offers clear invalidation levels.
Keeps your stop tight while targeting deeper moves.
📢 Final Thoughts:
Silver is currently at a critical technical juncture. The Double Top breakdown has played out, and now all eyes are on the retest. If bears defend the neckline, this setup provides a strong case for continued downside, offering a clean structure with well-defined targets.
⚠️ Risk Management is crucial — always manage your position size and respect invalidation zones.
XAUUSD H4 OUTLOOK – “Bounce, Trap or Breakdown?🧠 Market Context:
Gold is consolidating between a major bullish defense zone (3090–3110) and multiple bearish supply layers above. We remain below the last major lower high and within a bearish H4 flow, though macro HTF structure is still bullish. If 3090 fails, the next deeper demand blocks will be critical.
🔁 STRUCTURAL FLOW:
Bias: Bearish ST | Bullish HTF
Trend: Lower highs | Weak demand bounces
Flow: Retesting internal supply | Reaction from demand confirmed
📍 SNIPER ZONES
Type Price Range Description
🔴 Extended Premium Supply 3365–3380 HTF OB + imbalance + wick zone
🔴 Premium Reversal Block 3312–3325 Upper imbalance + internal LH supply
🔴 Mid-Term Supply 3275–3285 May 13 rejection zone
🔴 Internal Trap Supply 3240–3255 Retest of old OB + inefficiency
🟢 Reactive Demand Zone 3160–3172 Internal CHoCH + RSI confluence + bounce base
🟢 HTF Buy Block 3090–3110 Final CHoCH origin + strong rejection
🟢 Deep Discount Demand 3050–3072 Unmitigated WICK OB below liquidity
🟢 FVG-Demand Layer 2980–3000 Weekly imbalance + final LTF liquidity pocket
🟢 Weekly Strong Low Zone 2890–2925 Last major HL before macro expansion
⚠️ Notes:
Above 3325, price would need a strong break in structure to flip bias short-term.
Below 3090, watch for bounce reactions at 3050 or the full discount zone into 2980.
Until then, internal traps are likely during news week flow.
🔥 Follow @GoldFxMinds for sniper updates and market recaps
🧠 Which zone do you expect to be hit first: 3380 or 3050? Drop your thoughts below 👇
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [May 19 - May 23]During the week, OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuated strongly, falling from $3,292/oz to $3,120/oz and then recovering to $3,202/oz. The main reason was that the US and China reached a trade agreement, according to which the two sides agreed to significantly reduce tariffs from May 14, creating positive sentiment for the market.
This week’s gold sell-off was the steepest since mid-June 2021, even steeper than the drop after Donald Trump’s election victory in November 2024. President Trump said there are currently about 150 partners who want to negotiate trade with the US, but the US cannot handle them all at once. In the next 2-3 weeks, the US will announce the export tax rates that partners will have to pay when selling to the US market.
The Trump administration will impose specific tariffs on partners that have not yet negotiated with the US, at what level, has not been specifically announced. If the new tariffs remain as high as the initial list of reciprocal tariffs, there is a risk that many partners will retaliate, making the tariff war hotter, pushing gold prices up sharply. On the contrary, if the new tariffs are much lower than the initially announced tariffs, gold prices may only increase moderately, then continue to adjust.
After the recent sharp sell-off, profit-taking sentiment is still dominating the market. However, safe-haven demand remains strong due to geopolitical tensions that have not yet ended and concerns about a global economic recession.
📌The gold price trend next week is likely to fluctuate in the range of 3,055 - 3,270 USD/ounce, with a slight decrease scenario being preferred due to profit-taking pressure and the potential recovery of the USD. However, if there is a positive signal from the Fed policy or increased geopolitical instability, the gold price may recover to the range of 3,260 - 3,270 USD/ounce. Investors need to closely monitor economic data and geopolitical fluctuations to make appropriate decisions.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,162 – 3,100 USD
Resistance: 3,228 – 3,250 – 3,292 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3271 - 3269⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3275
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3054 - 3056⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3050
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 19, 2025“Between Bounce & Breakdown – Watch the Mid-Zone Traps 🎯”
🧠 Market Overview:
Gold bounced last week from the 3160–3172 buy block, confirming demand at discount, but price remains stuck under multiple bearish supply layers.
Until we reclaim structure above 3285, this is still a bearish pullback inside a bullish macro trend.
→ We’re now trading between sniper zones, where volume fades, fakeouts rise, and only confirmation wins.
🔍 STRUCTURE FLOW
🟩 3160–3172 → Confirmed buy zone from last week, clean bounce with CHoCH
🔴 3365–3375 → Daily rejection supply zone, created by imbalance wick & H4 OB
🟧 Price is now inside “mid-trap” territory (3205–3285) = avoid trading blindly
📌 KEY SNIPER ZONES (REFINED)
🔹 Zone Type Price Range Confluences
🟢 Buy Zone 1 3160–3172 OB + EQ liquidity + confirmed CHoCH (D1-H1 confluence)
🟢 Buy Zone 2 3212–3225 Internal FVG + H1 OB origin + 61.8% fib retrace
🔴 Sell Zone 1 3275–3285 Previous H4 OB + bearish NY reaction trap zone
🔴 Sell Zone 2 3312–3324 Internal liquidity sweep + imbalance fill
🔴 Sell Zone 3 3365–3375 Strong rejection + top of H4 imbalance
⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:
EMA50/100 now sloping down = bearish short-term tone
RSI near neutral (no divergence = trend-follow only)
Daily candle closed inside mid-zone → no clear momentum = trade only on LTF CHoCH confirmations
🔔 RISK EVENTS (THIS WEEK)
Thu, May 23 → Unemployment Claims + Flash PMIs + Housing Data
Fri, May 24 → New Home Sales + FOMC Financial Stability Report (tentative)
→ Expect fakeouts ahead of these. Stay reactive, not predictive.
🧭 DAILY PLAN
🔽 If price reclaims 3275–3285 and fails → sniper sell entry → TP 3225 / 3172
🔼 If price dips to 3212–3225 with M15 CHoCH → scalp buy to 3260–3270
❌ Avoid entries in 3230–3265 → mid-zone chop trap
🧠 Final Thoughts:
You don’t chase gold in mid-range. You don’t sell bottoms or buy tops.
You wait at the edge of structure — with logic, confluence, and confirmation. That’s sniper mode.
🔥 Like & Follow @GoldFxMinds for intraday sniper plans
💬 Drop your bias below — Break below 3172 or bounce back to 3320?
XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook | May 19–23, 2025“Sniper Zones Reloaded – Gold Pullback Season or Just a Tease?”
🔍 Macro View:
Gold just closed a massive -3.6% weekly candle off the top at 3435 — a clear sign of rejection from a premium exhaustion zone. After weeks of uninterrupted bullish madness, we finally have signs of cooling. But is it the start of a deeper correction or just Friday’s fade?
➤ Dollar Strength picked up again after UoM Sentiment miss + sticky inflation expectations.
➤ FOMC minutes (Wed) + Unemployment Claims (Thu) = the potential catalysts for the next impulsive leg.
🔄 Weekly Market Structure:
✅ BOS to the upside still valid – no CHoCH printed yet on W1
📍Current candle printed a clear top wick rejection after liquidity sweep
🕳️ Internal structure on LTFs is bearish – signaling potential deeper pullback
🧭 Key Weekly Zones (Sniper-Ready):
Zone Type Price Range Description
🔻 Supply #1 3435–3465 Premium FVG top + rejection wick
🔻 Supply #2 3285–3320 Imbalance left behind on the last push up
🔻 Sell Zone 3210–3240 Mitigated OB, possible retest
🟩 Buy Zone #1 3095–3120 Weekly FVG + Fibo 38.2 retrace
🟩 Buy Zone #2 2980–3030 Unmitigated demand block, old resistance turned demand
🟩 Buy Zone #3 2850–2890 Weekly CHoCH zone & deep Fibo retrace
📈 Fibonacci Extensions (from last major HL–HH):
FE 100% = 3435 ✅ hit
FE 127% = 3580 (remains next upside target IF retracement holds at key support)
FE 161.8% = 3720 (only if we reclaim 3435 cleanly)
🔺 Weekly Bias:
Short-Term: Bearish pullback (especially early week if no bullish LTF CHoCH)
Mid-Term: Bullish continuation still valid if 3090–3120 holds
🧠 Key Notes:
Expect trap zones and tricky NY opens if no clean confirmation
3210 = likely re-entry point for bears if price retraces
3090–3120 = key defensive line for bulls; invalidation of this = possible slide to 2980
If 3435 gets swept again with strength and closes above → bullish continuation unlocked
🧨 High-Impact Risk Events – This Week
📅 Thu, May 22
📉 Unemployment Claims – 2:30pm
📊 Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI – 3:45pm
🏠 Existing Home Sales – 4:00pm
📅 Fri, May 23
📊 New Home Sales – 4:00pm
📑 FOMC Financial Stability Report (tentative)
📌 Gold Weekly Outlook – “Sniper Zones Reloaded 🔫”
After weeks of pure bullish momentum, gold finally showed signs of exhaustion with a clean weekly rejection from the premium zone.
Is this the start of a real pullback? Or just another fakeout to shake out retail before continuation?
We’ve mapped the structure:
🟥 3435 is the stronghold
🟩 3090 is the battlefield
With Unemployment Claims, PMIs, and housing data lined up this week, expect volatility — but don’t force entries.
Trade light. Stay patient. Let the sniper setup come to you. 🎯
🔥 Like & Follow @GoldFxMinds for sniper-level breakdowns
💬 Drop your bias below — correction or continuation? 👇
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3236 and a gap below at 3184. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3236
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3278
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3278 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3308
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3373
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3373 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3418
BEARISH TARGETS
3184
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3184 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3146
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3146 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3103
3069
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3069 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3030
2981
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
Please see the daily chart update. As shown, the Goldturn channel is still being respected by price action. After a failed breakout attempt above the channel alongside the EMA5, we saw a rejection back toward the channels half line, a level we've identified as a potential support zone.
This support held, resulting in a bounce that aligns with our strategy of buying dips. As long as price continues to hold above this level and the EMA5 remains supportive, we could see a gradual move back toward higher levels. However, if the midline is retested and fails, and the EMA5 crosses below the half line, this could signal a potential move toward the lower boundary of the channel.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here’s our weekly chart update. Once again, the Goldturn channel is proving reliable, with price action unfolding as expected. Over the past few weeks, we saw multiple attempts to break above the top of the channel, but each was rejected , confirmed by the EMA5 failing to break through.
Following this, price dropped to as low as 3189 and nearly reached 3094, aligning closely with the channels half line, a key support level we've been monitoring. We caught an early bounce there and capitalized on it using confluence from our lower time frame analysis, also shared with you all, on our 1h and 4h chart ideas.
As long as price holds above the channels half line, we’ll continue to look for bounce opportunities using levels from our smaller time frame setups. However, if price crosses and holds below the half line, it may open the door for a move toward the lower boundary of the channel.
As always, patience and precision are key. We'll continue using the 1H and 4H timeframes to buy dips on retracements into these support zones, targeting clean 20–40 pip moves. These levels and pullbacks offer ideal opportunities, especially in ranging conditions where our Goldturn method truly shines.
This is exactly why we rely on our Goldturn Channels, our proprietary system built on weighted averages. It filters the noise, helps us spot real breakouts vs. fake-outs, and gives us the confidence to act with clarity and discipline.
Thanks again for all the support, your likes, comments and follows.
MR GOLD
GOLDVIEWFX
HelenP. I Gold can break resistance level and continue move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. At the moment, price is forming a tightening triangle structure, and the market appears to be respecting both the horizontal support levels and the rising trend line that frames the lower boundary of this pattern. After bouncing strongly from the support zone around 2970 - 2940 points, the price rebounded right off the trend line, confirming it once again as a key structural level. Recently, XAU approached the resistance zone between 3205 and 3230, which has acted as a cap for the price several times before. But this time, the move into resistance comes from a place of strength. Momentum is building steadily after each pullback, and buyers have consistently stepped in near the ascending support. Given the context sustained higher lows, compression within a triangle, and a base forming just under resistance, there’s a strong chance the price could push through the 3205 level on a renewed attempt. A clean breakout above this resistance, followed by a retest, would offer strong confirmation that bulls are ready to extend the move. That’s why I’ve set my current goal at 3320 points, which almost aligns with the upper range of the triangle projection. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD MONTHLY OUTLOOK — MAY 2025🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly
📍 Current Price: 3204
📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral
📏 Trend: Long-term bullish | Near-term exhaustion
🔎 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW
✅ HTF Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed above 2075 (2020/2022 resistance)
✅ Sustained higher highs + strong impulse candles since Oct 2023
⛔️ Price just wicked into Monthly FIB Extension Zone (1.618–2.0) = 3440–3500
⚠️ Bearish wick formed near 3500, suggesting premium rejection
🧠 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES (Monthly)
Zone Type Price Range Notes
🔼 Premium Supply 3440–3500 Monthly FIB Extension zone + rejection wick + final extension of long-term bull leg
🔼 Resistance 3222–3242 Previous OB and last BOS area before wick spike — possible retest point
⚠️ Mid-Zone 3160–3185 Equilibrium / liquidity trap area seen on H4/D1
🟩 Monthly Demand 2960–3050 Large unmitigated zone + FVG + consolidation base before impulse
🟦 Discount Range 2800–2950 Key reaccumulation blocks from 2023 rallies
🔮 MACRO + MARKET CONTEXT
💬 Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing inflation concerns and Fed credibility under fire after CPI/UoM combo
📉 UoM Sentiment: Dropped below expectations = recessionary anxiety
📊 Inflation Expectations: Came in hotter = market confused, no clean direction
🗣️ Powell speech + May FOMC aftermath = market lacks conviction, stuck in uncertainty
🧭 STRATEGIC SCENARIOS
✅ Bullish Continuation (if retracement holds above 3160–3180)
Potential reentry toward 3240–3250 and re-test upper wick zone >3440
Must see H4 CHoCH + volume confluence
❌ Bearish Retracement (if lower timeframes lose 3160)
Deeper move likely toward 3050–3080 = Monthly demand base
Below that = consolidation back to 2960
⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION
Applied from breakout leg Oct 2023 (Low ~1810 to High ~2222 → projected from pullback at ~1984)
Extension targets:
1.272 = ✅ Reached
1.618 = 3440 = tapped
2.0 = 3500 = wick rejection
We are now reacting inside a fully extended bullish range, which supports a monthly cool-off.
🧠 FINAL WORD
Gold hit the monthly moonshot. Now it’s all about real structure and rotation:
💡 Watch how price respects the 3160–3180 range. Lose that — and we dive back toward 3050–3080.
Hold it — and we reload for the final frontier above 3440.
Gold’s Monthly Jetpack Ran Out of Fuel at 3500 🚀🔥 — Now It’s All About Gravity and Structure."
From FIB extensions to wick rejections, this is not the time to chase... it’s the time to react.
Comment, follow, and stay sharp — sniper mode never sleeps.
— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
GOLD consolidated below a key level on FridayGold is in a downtrend forming a counter-trend correction. Friday's trading session closes below the key level of 3203-3205. Buyers are weaker than sellers.
But, before the continuation of the fall MM is quite likely to test the resistance to provoke ordinary buyers before the fall
Scenario: the growth attempt may turn out to be false. A retest of 3203 resistance, a false breakout and price consolidation below 3203 is a sell signal.
Additional scenario: MM trap to provoke buyers to buy. A retest of the far resistance 3230, a false breakout and a price fixing below 3223 could start a decline