Weekly Market Forecast Feb 17-21stThis is an outlook for the week of Feb 17-21st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
FOMC on Wednesday. The news could impact the direction of the USD Index, so be mindful of it. The markets had a relatively bullish week. Trumps reciprocal tariffs study announcement eased some of the tension in the markets also allowed equities to run higher.
The metals saw a bearish turn at the end of the week, but caution should be taken if considering shorting these markets. The overall bullish trend is still in tact.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Commodities
GoldEntry Analysis from 2878 on Gold Chart (XAU/USD) – 1-Hour Timeframe
✅ Current Market Condition:
- The overall trend is bearish, and the price has found support around 2863.36.
- Entering from 2878 implies that you expect a bullish correction before the price resumes its downward movement.
- The 2878 level is near the Volume Profile area, where selling pressure may increase.
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📉 Entry Scenario at 2878 (Sell After Correction)
✅ Entry: 2878 (Only if the price reaches this level and shows bearish confirmation)
- We expect the price to reach this level after a corrective move and then face selling pressure.
- Confirmation through bearish candlestick patterns (such as engulfing patterns or strong selling candles) is required.
🎯 Suggested Targets:
1. First Target: 2863 – 2860 (Previous support level)
2. Second Target:** 2845 – 2840 (Next support in lower timeframes)
🚨 Suggested Stop Loss:
- Above 2885 – 2890, where strong resistance is located.
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📌 Conclusion & Recommendation:
- A short entry at 2878 with bearish candlestick confirmation is a logical scenario to follow the downtrend.
- If the price breaks above this level, be cautious about the potential rise towards 2890 – 2895.
- This setup requires careful monitoring of candlestick formations and trading volume to avoid false entries.
📉Result and Success Probability Estimate:
Based on market structure and technical signals, I estimate the probability of a successful sell from 2878 to be around 65% - 70%.
- If a strong bearish confirmation candle (such as an Engulfing) forms at 2878 , the probability increases to 75% .
- If the price stabilizes above 2885 , the probability of success decreases, making the trade riskier.
GOLD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2931.9
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 2939.6
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 2917.6
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BATMAN Formation Gold has appread to be down to 2788 USDThis chart provides a 4-hour timeframe analysis of the Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) pair, indicating several technical aspects and current market conditions.
Price Action and Trend Analysis:
Current Trend: The chart shows a recent bearish movement as indicated by the sharp red candle that breaks below the previous consolidation area and moving average lines. This could suggest a potential reversal or pullback in an otherwise bullish context.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance is potentially around $2,907 and $2,900, highlighted by the MA Ribbon lines.
Immediate support is near the $2,850 mark, as shown by the lower green zones and moving averages.
Technical Indicators:
Moving Average (MA) Ribbon:
The price has fallen below the MA Ribbon, suggesting a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish in the short term. Watch for these averages as dynamic resistance levels on potential pullbacks.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD line is below the signal line and moving into negative territory, indicating increased bearish momentum. The expanding histogram in the negative region further supports this view.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is near 41, which is below the midpoint of 50, suggesting bearish momentum. It is not yet in the oversold region (below 30), which indicates that there may still be room for further downside.
Volume:
There appears to be a notable volume spike associated with the recent price drop, which can be seen as validating the bearish move.
Market Sentiment and Potential Strategy:
Short-Term Bearish Signal: The break below key moving averages and the recent bearish candle supported by increased volume suggest that bears are currently in control. Traders might consider looking for short opportunities on pullbacks to resistance levels.
Watch for Potential Reversal: Keep an eye on the RSI and MACD for any signs of divergence or flattening that may suggest weakening bearish momentum. If the price stabilizes or rebounds at the $2,850 support, it could indicate a possible reversal or retracement back towards the moving averages.
Risk Management:
Ensure proper risk management strategies are in place, considering stop-loss orders above the recent swing high or around the MA Ribbon resistance levels. Adjust positions according to real-time market feedback and changes in technical indicators.
USOIL Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 70.49 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 71.21
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GOLD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry - 2882.4
Stop - 2875.1
Take - 2898.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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XAUUSD LONG🚀 XAUUSD (GOLD) Technical Analysis - Long Trade Setup
Current price action suggests a bullish reversal forming near the 2,882 support zone. Strong momentum indicators (RSI/MACD) align with a potential uptrend continuation.
Entry Zone: 2,882 - 2,900 (Optimal long entry on retest)
Target: 3,100 🎯 (Key resistance level + Fibonacci extension)
Risk Management: Always use stops below key support (2,850-2,860).
Chart patterns and institutional buying signals support this move. Let’s ride the wave! 🌊
Always trade with discipline and adjust position sizing to your risk tolerance.
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#XAUUSD #GOLD #TradingView #Forex #Commodities #Investing
Copper The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The COPPER price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective pullback. towards the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. .
The key trading level is at the 9260 level, the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 9260 level could target the upside resistance at 9445 (200-day moving average) followed by the 9650 and 9950 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 9260support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 9130 (50 Day Moving Average) support level followed by 9060.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI Crude The Week Ahead 17 Feb 25 The WTI Crude (US Light Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 7290, 50 Day Moving Average level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7290 level could target the downside support at 7100 followed by 6955 and 6870 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7290 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7360 resistance followed by 7455 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver Bullish Pennant breakout retestThe Silver (XAGUSD) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The price action creates a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The recent consolidation appears to be breakout and a retest of a bullish pennant.
The key trading level is at 3171, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 3171 level could target the upside resistance at 3274 followed by the 3308 and 3340 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 3171 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 3125 support level followed by 3076.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD The Week AheadThe GOLD (XAUUSD) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective pullback. towards the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. .
The key trading level is at 2860 level, the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the2860 level could target the upside resistance at 2907 followed by the 29350 and 2955 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 2860support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 2840 support level followed by 2800.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 14.02.2025Market Analysis & Buy Signal
Trend: The market is in an uptrend, trading above the middle Bollinger Band.
Resistance & Support: Key resistance levels are marked in red, while support levels are in blue.
Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken above a key resistance, confirming bullish momentum.
Buy Signal: Enter at 2,933.42, targeting 2,944.00 (TP) with a stop-loss at 2,926.33 (SL).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable for long entry.
Recommendation:
Go long while maintaining risk management strategies. 🚀
USOIL LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 78.25 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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Silver's Bullish Momentum: Can It Rally Another +12.14%?Hey Realistic Traders, A lot of uncertainty looms after Donald Trump was officially sworn in as President. Will Safe Haven Assets, such as OANDA:XAGUSD Rise Again?
Let's dive into the analysis...
Silver has tested the EMA-200 line more than twice in the past year. This retracement often signals a strong bullish trend.
On the daily chart, Silver has formed a falling wedge pattern, followed by a breakout. The breakout, combined with a bullish MACD crossover, suggests the trend is likely to continue upward.
Based on these technical indicators, the price is projected to rise toward Target 1 at $33.0811 or potentially Target 2 at $34.5649, as long as it stays above the critical stop-loss level of $28.7040
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"Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver".
XAUUSD Trade Recap & Next Big Opportunity!⭐️ Premium Club Short Trade @ 2929 - Target Achieved! 💰
Our recent short position from 2929 played out perfectly, hitting all targets with an impressive +290 pips in profit! 🎯
📉 Scalping the Golden Zone
As expected, we capitalized on the key support zone, securing an additional 100-120 pips on a quick long scalp. These fast-moving plays continue to deliver solid returns!
➡️ What’s Next for Gold?
Strong Support Zone Identified – Price has reached a critical demand area, signaling a potential short-term pullback.
1H Order Block Retest – We anticipate a retracement or a possible tag-in before further movement.
Risk-Reward Setup – A well-structured long entry from this zone could yield another profitable trade when markets open Monday.
Major Resistance in Place – Despite a bounce, selling pressure remains strong, and Friday’s momentum suggests further downside in the near term.
📈 Trading Plan:
🕹 Look for long setups at the identified support with a tight SL & proper R:R.
🕹 Keep an eye on the 1H bearish price action for confirmation of a continued move down.
🕹 If resistance holds firm, we could see another strong sell-off later in the week.
💡Stay ready for the next high-probability setup! 🚀
GOLD patience needed until this Bull Flag targets 3080.Gold / XAUUSD is correcting aggressively today on the 1day timeframe with the 1day RSI neutralized from previously overbought to just bullish now.
This is so far the strongest correction since the rally started on the December 18th 2024 low.
Based on those parameters, we believe that this is a Bull Flag similar to late September's.
We expect it to be completed by the end of the month.
Buy and target 3035 (the 1.236 Fibonacci extension).
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COPPER: Resistance breakout aims for 5.1985.Copper is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.919, MACD = 0.127, ADX = 33.191) and having crossed today above the R1 level, it is a healthy sign of bullish continuation. This is the 3rd main bullish wave of the long term Channel Up and every time the two prior crossed above their R1 levels, the extended to a new HH. The natural target is the R2 level (TP = 5.1985).
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GOLD MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week once again with all our chart ideas playing out, as analysed.
This is an update on our new daily chart idea which we shared on last Sunday, which also played out perfectly .
We had candle body close and ema5 above lock above 2827 leaving target to 2904 AXIS. This was hit perfectly this week completing this level and also into the channel top for the perfect finish and rejection.
We have body close above 2904 AXIS but will need ema5 lock to confirm 2959, although the channel top is acting as resistance and therefore will need some ranging movement within the channel so it can slowly ascend into the 2959 respecting the channel dynamics.
We also need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (UPDATE)Gold prices have plummeted today, down 460 PIPS so far. Price remains within a range if you look at price on the left, so I'll be keeping an eye to see how market closes & if price will push back up again.
If price does push up, I do have a possible buy scenario in play. For now we just let price do its thing & create a structure.