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Commodities

Gold prices remain on the riseLast week, the world gold price surpassed the historical peak of over 3,057 USD/ounce but quickly decreased due to profit-taking pressure from investors. However, the price remained above the psychological support level of 3,000 USD/ounce - a level that many experts predicted would be an important support in the coming time. The general sentiment in the market is still leaning towards optimism. Many central banks continue to increase their gold reserves as a way to diversify away from the USD. Meanwhile, individual investors and ETFs have also begun to return to the gold market. Data from the SPDR Gold Shares fund shows that the amount of gold held has increased by more than 37 tons this year, to 910 tons. Although this figure is still lower than in 2020, the upward momentum is returning due to concerns about inflation and escalating trade tensions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Crude oil-----sell near 69.00, target 67.00-66.00Crude oil market analysis: Recently, crude oil has been hovering at the bottom. There are short-term stabilization signals, but it is basically difficult to turn around if you don't buy at 70.00. Today's idea is still bearish. Crude oil is sold regardless of weekly or short-term. Today's idea is still to sell at a high price and bearish. Crude oil pays attention to the inventory data later. Operational suggestions: Crude oil-----sell near 69.00, target 67.00-66.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by BraveTigercat
"COTTON" Commodities CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "COTTON" Commodities CFD market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (66.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low or high level Using the 3H timeframe (64.200) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 68.500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamentals analysis, Macro Economics, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Seasonal Factors, Future Trend Move: 🧵COTTON🧵 Commodities CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bullish trend., driven by several key factors. ⭐☀🌟Fundamental Analysis⭐☀🌟 Fundamental analysis examines supply, demand, and external influences on cotton: Supply Factors: Weather: Major producers like the US, China, and Brazil drive supply. As of March 11, 2025, assume neutral weather conditions (no major droughts or floods reported). USDA Crop Progress reports might show stable planting for the 2025/26 season in the Northern Hemisphere, with Southern Hemisphere harvests ongoing. Crop Yields: Global production might be around 115-120 million bales, per historical USDA WASDE averages. Stable yields suggest no immediate supply shock. Production Costs: Rising energy and fertilizer prices (e.g., $70-80/barrel oil, ammonia costs up 10% YoY) could pressure margins, though subsidies mitigate this. Inventory Levels: Global stocks-to-use ratio might be 70-75%, with US carryover at 3-4 million bales (USDA estimate). Moderate stocks suggest balanced supply. Demand Factors: Textile Industry: Demand from the US, Europe, and Southeast Asia remains steady, driven by apparel and industrial uses. A hypothetical 2-3% demand growth aligns with global economic recovery. Export Markets: US exports to China and Southeast Asia are key. No major trade disruptions are assumed, though China’s synthetic shift might cap demand. Substitution: Polyester competition (cheaper at $1.20/lb vs. cotton at ~$0.65/lb) could limit upside. Government Policies: US Farm Bill subsidies and China’s stockpiling policies stabilize supply. No significant changes are assumed for March 2025. Conclusion: Neutral fundamentals with balanced supply/demand. Slight bullish tilt if demand outpaces expectations. ⭐☀🌟Macroeconomic Factors⭐☀🌟 Macroeconomic conditions affect cotton globally: Interest Rates: Assume US Federal Reserve rates at 4-4.5% (post-2024 normalization). Moderate borrowing costs support farmers, but higher rates strengthen the USD, reducing export competitiveness. Inflation: Global inflation at 3-4% (World Bank estimates) raises input costs (e.g., fuel, labor), potentially bearish if not passed to prices. USD Strength: USD Index at 105-110 (hypothetical) makes US cotton pricier abroad, a bearish factor for export-driven markets. Global Growth: US GDP growth at 2-2.5%, China at 5-6% (IMF projections) supports textile demand, mildly bullish. Energy Prices: Oil at $70-80/barrel (stable per OPEC outlook) keeps synthetics competitive, capping cotton’s upside. Conclusion: Mixed macro outlook—growth supports demand (bullish), but USD strength and inflation lean bearish. ⭐☀🌟COT Data Latest⭐☀🌟 The Commitments of Traders (COT) report from the CFTC (hypothetical for March 7, 2025, released March 11) tracks futures positions: Commercial Hedgers: Net short 50,000 contracts (producers locking in prices), down from 60,000 prior week, suggesting less hedging pressure. Large Speculators: Net long 30,000 contracts (up from 25,000), indicating growing bullish bets. Small Traders: Net long 5,000 contracts, steady. Open Interest: 220,000 contracts, up 5%, showing increased market participation. Conclusion: Speculative buying (bullish signal) outweighs commercial selling, suggesting short-term upward momentum. ⭐☀🌟Intermarket Analysis⭐☀🌟 Intermarket relationships influence cotton: Crude Oil: Stable at $70-80/barrel correlates with synthetic fiber costs. No sharp oil rally, so cotton retains competitiveness. USD: Stronger USD (105-110) pressures export commodities like cotton, bearish. Grains (Corn/Soy): Corn at $4.50/bushel, soybeans at $10/bushel (hypothetical). Stable grain prices suggest no major acreage shift from cotton, neutral. Stock Markets: S&P 500 at 5,500 (assumed) reflects economic optimism, supporting textile demand (bullish). Bonds: 10-year Treasury yield at 4% aligns with steady rates, neutral. Conclusion: Bullish stock market and stable grains support cotton, but USD strength is a headwind. Mildly bullish overall. ⭐☀🌟Technical Factors⭐☀🌟 Technical analysis for cotton futures (price 64.600 cents/lb): Trend: 50-day MA (64.00) crossed above 200-day MA (63.50) in Feb 2025, signaling a bullish trend. Support/Resistance: Support at 63.00 (recent low), resistance at 66.00 (Jan 2025 high). RSI: 55 (neutral, not overbought), room for upside. MACD: Positive crossover (bullish momentum) since early March. Volume: Rising with price, confirming trend strength. Conclusion: Bullish technicals with potential to test 66.00 if momentum holds. ⭐☀🌟Sentiment Factors⭐☀🌟 Market sentiment: News Flow: Hypothetical reports of steady planting and Chinese demand lift sentiment (bullish). Trader Chatter: Social media posts (searched March 11, 2025) show optimism about textile recovery, though some cite USD risks. Analyst Views: CME Group commentary (assumed) leans bullish on demand, neutral on supply. Conclusion: Positive sentiment supports a bullish bias, tempered by macro concerns. ⭐☀🌟Seasonal Factors⭐☀🌟 Cotton’s seasonal patterns: March Timing: Northern Hemisphere planting begins (US, China), while Southern Hemisphere harvests peak (Brazil, Australia). Prices often firm up pre-planting due to supply uncertainty. Historical Data: March-April typically sees a 2-5% price rise (CME Group data), favoring bulls. Conclusion: Seasonal strength leans bullish for short-term gains. ⭐☀🌟Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐☀🌟 Predicted trends with targets: Short-Term: Bullish, targeting 66-68. Medium-Term: Bullish, targeting 70-72. Long-Term: Bullish, targeting 80-85. ⭐☀🌟Overall Summary Outlook⭐☀🌟 Current Price: 64.600 Outlook: Long/Bullish (Short-Term), Neutral (Medium/Long-Term) Summary: Fundamentals show balance, but speculative buying (COT), technical strength, and seasonal factors favor a near-term rally to 66.00-67.00. Macro headwinds (USD, inflation) and intermarket pressures could cap gains beyond spring, with a broader range of 62.00-70.00 likely by year-end. No major bearish triggers unless supply surges or demand falters. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
PEPPERSTONE:COTTONLong
by Thief_Trader
Behind the Curtain The Economic Pulse Behind Euro FX1. Introduction Euro FX Futures (6E), traded on the CME, offer traders exposure to the euro-dollar exchange rate with precision, liquidity, and leverage. Whether hedging European currency risk or speculating on macro shifts, Euro FX contracts remain a vital component of global currency markets. But what truly moves the euro? Beyond central bank meetings and headlines, the euro reacts sharply to macroeconomic data that signals growth, inflation, or risk appetite. Using a Random Forest Regressor, we explored how economic indicators correlate with Euro FX Futures returns across different timeframes. In this article, we uncover which metrics drive the euro daily, weekly, and monthly, offering traders a structured, data-backed approach to navigating the Euro FX landscape. 2. Understanding Euro FX Futures Contracts The CME offers two primary Euro FX Futures products: o Standard Euro FX Futures (6E): Contract Size: 125,000 € Tick Size: 0.000050 per euro = $6.25 per tick per contract Trading Hours: Nearly 24 hours, Sunday to Friday (US) o Micro Euro FX Futures (M6E): Contract Size: 12,500 € (1/10th the size of 6E) Tick Size: 0.0001 per euro = $1.25 per tick per contract Accessible to: Smaller accounts, strategy testers, and traders managing precise exposure o Margins: 6E Initial Margin: ≈ $2,600 per contract (subject to volatility) M6E Initial Margin: ≈ $260 per contract Whether trading full-size or micro contracts, Euro FX Futures offer capital-efficient access to one of the most liquid currency pairs globally. Traders benefit from leverage, scalability, and transparent pricing, with the ability to hedge or speculate on Euro FX trends across timeframes. 3. Daily Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators For day traders, short-term price action in the euro often hinges on rapidly released data that affects market sentiment and intraday flow. According to machine learning results, the top 3 daily drivers are: Housing Starts: Surging housing starts in the U.S. can signal economic strength and pressure the euro via stronger USD flows. Conversely, weaker construction activity may weaken the dollar and support the euro. Consumer Sentiment Index: A sentiment-driven metric that reflects household confidence. Optimistic consumers suggest robust consumption and a firm dollar, while pessimism may favor EUR strength on defensive rotation. Housing Price Index (HPI): Rising home prices can stoke inflation fears and central bank hawkishness, affecting yield differentials between the euro and the dollar. HPI moves often spark short-term FX volatility. 4. Weekly Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators Swing traders looking for trends spanning several sessions often lean on energy prices and labor data. Weekly insights from our Random Forest model show these three indicators as top drivers: WTI Crude Oil Prices: Oil prices affect global inflation and trade dynamics. Rising WTI can fuel EUR strength if it leads to USD weakness via inflation concerns or reduced real yields. Continuing Jobless Claims: An uptick in claims may suggest softening labor conditions in the U.S., potentially bullish for EUR as it implies slower Fed tightening or economic strain. Brent Crude Oil Prices: As the global benchmark, Brent’s influence on inflation and trade flows is significant. Sustained Brent rallies could create euro tailwinds through weakening dollar momentum. 5. Monthly Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators Position traders and institutional participants often focus on macroeconomic indicators with structural weight—those that influence monetary policy direction, capital flow, and long-term sentiment. The following three monthly indicators emerged as dominant forces shaping Euro FX Futures: Industrial Production: A cornerstone of economic output, rising industrial production reflects strong manufacturing activity. Strong U.S. numbers can support the dollar, while a slowdown may benefit the euro. Likewise, weaker European output could undermine EUR demand. Velocity of Money (M2): This metric reveals how quickly money is circulating in the economy. A rising M2 velocity suggests increased spending and inflationary pressures—potentially positive for the dollar and negative for the euro. Falling velocity signals stagnation and may shift flows into the euro as a lower-yield alternative. Initial Jobless Claims: While often viewed weekly, the monthly average could reveal structural labor market resilience. A rising trend may weaken the dollar, reinforcing EUR gains as expectations for interest rate cuts grow. 6. Strategy Alignment by Trading Style Each indicator offers unique insights depending on your approach to market participation: Day Traders: Focus on the immediacy of daily indicators like Housing Starts, Consumer Sentiment, and Housing Price Index. Swing Traders: Leverage weekly indicators like Crude Oil Prices and Continuing Claims to ride mid-term moves. Position Traders: Watch longer-term data such as Industrial Production and M2 Velocity. 7. Risk Management Currency futures provide access to high leverage and broad macro exposure. With that comes responsibility. Traders must actively manage position sizing, volatility exposure, and stop placement. Economic indicators inform price movement probabilities—not certainties—making risk protocols just as essential as trade entries. 8. Conclusion Euro FX Futures are shaped by a deep web of macroeconomic forces. From Consumer Sentiment and Oil Prices to Industrial Production and Money Velocity, each indicator tells part of the story behind Euro FX movement. Thanks to machine learning, we’ve spotlighted the most impactful data across timeframes, offering traders a framework to align their approach with the heartbeat of the market. As we continue the "Behind the Curtain" series, stay tuned for future editions uncovering the hidden economic forces behind other major futures markets. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:6E1!Education
by traddictiv
XCU/USD "The Copper" Metals Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XCU/USD "The Copper" Metals market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (9500) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 10050 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook: XCU/USD "The Copper" Metals Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. ⭐Fundamental Analysis⭐ Overview: Fundamental analysis of XCU/USD involves evaluating the intrinsic value of copper based on economic, industrial, and external influences. At $9.70/lb, copper is at an unusually high level, suggesting strong demand, supply constraints, or external pressures. Economic Growth: Copper is a key industrial metal tied to global GDP growth, particularly in manufacturing, construction, and electrification (e.g., EVs, renewable energy). A price of $9.70 could reflect robust economic expansion, especially in emerging markets like China and India. Inflation and Currency: High inflation in 2025 could weaken the USD, pushing commodity prices like copper higher. Alternatively, a strong USD might temper this rise unless offset by other factors. Industrial Demand: Increased demand from green energy (e.g., solar, wind, EVs) and infrastructure projects could justify this price. Supply Constraints: Disruptions in major copper-producing countries (e.g., Chile, Peru) or reduced mining output could tighten supply, driving prices up. ⭐Macroeconomic Factors⭐ Interest Rates: If the Federal Reserve maintains high rates in 2025 to combat lingering inflation, this could strengthen the USD, typically pressuring commodity prices downward. However, at $9.70, demand might outweigh this effect. Global Growth: Strong GDP growth in China (a top copper consumer) or a global infrastructure boom (e.g., post-2024 recovery) could support high prices. Conversely, a recession would cap upside potential. Inflation: Persistent inflation in 2025 could make copper a hedge, boosting prices. A cooling inflation trend might signal a peak. USD Strength: A weaker USD (e.g., due to Fed rate cuts) would naturally lift XCU/USD, while a stronger USD could challenge the $9.70 level unless supply/demand dynamics dominate. ⭐Geopolitical Factors⭐ Trade Policies: Escalating U.S.-China tensions or tariffs in 2025 could disrupt copper flows, raising prices if China stockpiles or seeks alternative suppliers. Regional Instability: Political unrest in copper-rich regions like Peru or Chile (e.g., protests, strikes) could reduce output, supporting high prices. For instance, Peru’s flat production trends (noted in prior data) might persist. Sanctions/War: Geopolitical events, such as sanctions on Russia (a minor copper player) or conflicts affecting shipping routes (e.g., Red Sea disruptions), could increase costs and prices. Energy Transition: Global commitments to net-zero (e.g., post-COP29 agreements) might amplify copper demand, reinforcing the $9.70 level. ⭐Supply and Demand Factors⭐ Demand: Copper’s role in electrification (EVs, grids) and construction suggests strong demand. At $9.70, industries might face cost pressures, potentially curbing consumption unless offset by growth. Supply: Multi-month low inventories (e.g., Shanghai warehouses) and challenges in mining (e.g., declining ore grades, environmental regulations) could limit supply. A price this high implies significant tightness. Substitution Risk: High prices might encourage substitution (e.g., aluminum in wiring), though copper’s conductivity makes this limited in key applications. Stockpiles: LME warehouse data showing declining stocks would support $9.70; rising inventories could signal a reversal. ⭐Technical Factors⭐ Price Levels: At $9.70, XCU/USD might be testing a major resistance (e.g., a psychological $10.00 level). Historical highs (around $4.90 in 2022) suggest this is a breakout, potentially overextended. Moving Averages: If the 50-day MA ($9.50) and 200-day MA ($9.00) are below the current price, this indicates bullish momentum. A drop below these could signal a correction. RSI: An RSI above 70 (overbought) at $9.70 suggests a potential pullback; below 50 would indicate bearish momentum. Support/Resistance: Support might lie at $9.00–$9.20 (former resistance turned support), with resistance at $10.00–$10.50. ⭐Sentiment Factors⭐ Market Sentiment: At $9.70, sentiment is likely bullish, driven by optimism about industrial demand and supply fears. However, over exuberance could lead to profit-taking. X Trends: Discussions on X about unexpected commodity price spikes (akin to trending weather surprises) might reflect surprise at this level, hinting at speculative froth. Media: Positive coverage of copper’s role in green tech could fuel bullish sentiment; negative economic outlooks might shift it bearish. ⭐Seasonal Factors⭐ Construction Cycles: Spring (March–May) typically sees higher copper demand due to construction in the Northern Hemisphere, supporting $9.70. Chinese Demand: Post-Lunar New Year (Feb 2025) often boosts industrial activity in China, aligning with this price spike. Historical Patterns: Copper prices can peak mid-year if supply lags seasonal demand, suggesting $9.70 might hold short-term but face pressure later. ⭐Intermarket Analysis⭐ USD Index: A declining DXY (e.g., below 100) would support higher XCU/USD; a rising DXY could cap gains. Gold (XAU/USD): Copper often correlates with gold as an inflation hedge. If gold is also at highs (e.g., $2,900+), this reinforces bullish commodity trends. Oil Prices: High oil prices (e.g., $90+/barrel) increase mining costs, supporting copper prices but potentially slowing industrial demand. Equities: Strong industrial stocks (e.g., mining, EV firms) suggest copper demand; a broader market sell-off could drag prices down. ⭐Market Sentiment Analysis of All Types of Investors⭐ Retail Investors: Likely bullish at $9.70, chasing the trend via ETFs or futures, but prone to panic selling on dips. Institutional Investors: Hedge funds and banks might be long copper, betting on supply shortages, though some could hedge if overbought signals emerge. Industrial Users: Manufacturers (e.g., EV makers) might lock in prices via forwards, supporting the market, but high costs could prompt hedging or substitution. Speculators: High volatility at $9.70 attracts traders; sentiment could turn bearish if momentum fades. ⭐Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐ Short-Term: Likely a pullback to $9.20–$9.50 due to overbought conditions (RSI > 70) and profit-taking. Target: $9.30. Medium-Term: If supply remains tight and demand grows (e.g., China’s 5% growth goal), prices could test $10.00–$10.50. Target: $10.20. Long-Term: Sustained electrification trends might push prices to $11.00+, but economic slowdowns or substitution could cap at $9.00. Target: $10.50 (bullish) or $8.50 (bearish). ⭐Overall Summary Outlook⭐ Current Stance: At $9.70 on March 12, 2025, XCU/USD is in a Long/Bullish phase short-term, driven by strong demand, supply constraints, and a weaker USD. However, the extreme price suggests a Short/Bearish correction is imminent medium-term due to overbought signals and potential demand softening. Bullish Case: Continued supply disruptions (e.g., Peru/Chile strikes), robust Chinese growth, and green tech demand could push prices toward $10.50–$11.00 long-term. Bearish Case: Economic slowdown, USD strength, or inventory buildup could trigger a decline to $8.50–$9.00 within 6–12 months. Recommendation: Hold long positions short-term but prepare for a correction. Watch $9.50 support and $10.00 resistance for trend confirmation. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FUSIONMARKETS:XCUUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
XPT/USD "The Platinum" Metals Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XPT/USD "The Platinum" Metals market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (970.00) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 1025.00 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. XPT/USD "The Platinum" Metals Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict. Before start the heist plan read it.👉👉👉 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
ICMARKETS:XPTUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
Is Gold Ready to Drop? Key Levels & Strategy for the Next Move!📉🔥 Right now, XAUUSD (Gold) is pulling back from the highs and consolidating in a range. I'm watching for a buy opportunity if price breaks below the current range low and retraces into the previous swing equilibrium. 🎯 In the video, we dive into imbalances as key pullback targets, analyze price action and market structure, and discuss a potential trade setup—if the market presents the right conditions. 🚨 Not financial advice—trade smart! 🚀
FX:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
GOLD will have a long vacation from ascending - and opt for RED.GOLD, has been the most resilient and rosy asset for the entire 2024 till q1 of this year. It keeps breaking ATH on a regular weekly basis like its nothing -- reaching a parabolic high of an impressive 3057. Trend is currently shifting based on the current metrics which has started this friday, March 21, 2024. A reversal to the downside is in order from this peak range. Targeting below 3k levels again. It's doing a transition to new track pattern where it creates a healthy pull back to create another curve up trend for continuation to the upside. A 38.2 / 0.50 level of retracement. Last time it did this pattern was on October 2024. This transitional period is healthy for sustainable price growth. This red days will linger for a bit till it gets lighter -- but we may see a trim down of thousands of pips before we get to the most attractive bargain levels. For the mean time, shorts will have the best season for now. As for bulls -- stay in cash until it shifts again -- but more waiting is needed. Spotted at 3057. Target below 3000. Overextended target below 2900. Again these are all guidance. Be guided. It can be invalidated anytime. Trade safely always. TAYOR.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JSAL
2
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 24 - March 28]Last week, although the OANDA:XAUUSD had a sharp decrease in the last 2 sessions of the week, overall, the gold price this week continued to increase for the 3rd consecutive week. After opening at 2,985 USD/oz, the gold price increased to 3,057 USD/oz, but then dropped sharply to 2,999 USD/oz in the last session of the week, then recovered and closed the week at 3,023 USD/oz. The reason why the gold price decreased sharply in the last session of last week was because the USD increased again after the FED meeting, when some US economic indicators, such as initial unemployment benefits, production index... were all at a positive level, showing that the US economy has not shown any signs of recession. In addition, some FED officials said that the FED is not in a hurry to continue cutting interest rates, although the FED's dot chart previously showed that the FED will still aim to cut interest rates twice this year. This week, the US will release a number of important indicators, such as PMI, consumer confidence, revised Q4/2024 GDP, and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). Of these, PCE will receive special attention from the market, because this index is the inflation measure that the FED is most interested in. If PCE increases sharply, the FED will continue to cut interest rates. On the contrary, the FED will continue to keep interest rates unchanged in the upcoming meetings. 🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Several key economic data releases this week, including the S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs on Monday and the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index on Tuesday, will give the market a clearer picture of where the U.S. economy is headed. However, the most important data for investors will be the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, due Friday morning. Other notable data releases include new home sales on Tuesday, durable goods orders on Wednesday, and pending home sales, weekly unemployment figures, and U.S. fourth-quarter GDP on Thursday. 📌Technically, the key support level for gold this week is around $2,954/oz, while the resistance level is at $3,057/oz. If gold continues to break above $3,057/oz next week, it could open the door for a further rally towards the $3,100/oz resistance zone. On the contrary, gold could face profit-taking pressure, causing the price to fall to around $2,950/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,021 – 3,000USD Resistance: 3,051 – 3,057 – 3,065USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3101 - 3099⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3105 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2949 - 2951⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2945
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD at absolute fundamental support but RSI overboughtOANDA:XAUUSD have now fallen to around $3,048/ounce, down $9 from the historic high reached in early Asian trading today, March 20. On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced its interest rate decision and summarized economic expectations; Federal Reserve Chairman Powell held a press conference on monetary policy. The FOMC kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25% - 4.50% after the Trump administration imposed tariffs, while officials raised their inflation forecasts for this year and lowered their economic growth forecasts. After concluding a two-day monetary policy meeting, the Federal Reserve announced at 2 p.m. ET on Wednesday that it would maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25% to 4.5% and announced it would slow the pace of its balance sheet reduction starting in April. The Fed also released its FOMC statement, predicting rising U.S. inflation and lowering its economic growth forecast. Amid signs of stagflation, the Fed still announced that it would cut interest rates twice by 2025, similar to the dovish signal it gave when it cut interest rates sharply last September. The statement noted that recent indicators show that economic activity continues to grow at a solid pace. In recent months, unemployment has remained low, labor market conditions have remained strong, and inflation has remained moderately elevated. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell first mentioned tariffs at a press conference after the meeting, acknowledging that Trump’s policies have affected the economy. Powell also indicated that the policies of the new Trump administration will affect the economy, but he will be careful to avoid making too clear assessments of this impact. Powell also used the word “uncertainty” several times. He reiterated that there is still uncertainty about the potential impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy and highlighted the risks to the Fed’s expectations for employment and inflation. – Bloomberg – Last week, US President Trump raised tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 25% and said new reciprocal tariffs and industrial duties would take effect on April 2. On the geopolitical front, hostilities between Russia and Ukraine continued despite a 30-day ceasefire aimed at halting attacks on energy facilities. Meanwhile, conflict in the Middle East escalated as Reuters reported that an Israeli airstrike on Tuesday killed 400 people. Two UN staff were killed in an attack on the UN building in Deir el Balah, central Gaza Strip, a UN source told AFP on Wednesday. Gold prices have risen more than 15% this year. Gold has long been seen as a safe investment in times of economic or geopolitical uncertainty, and since it does not yield interest, it is even more attractive in a low-interest-rate environment. Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold continues to refresh its all-time highs as it finds support from the 0.50% Fibonacci extension noted by readers in yesterday’s edition and currently has no technical barriers ahead, with the next upside target being the 0.618% Fibonacci extension. While all technical conditions are in favor of the upside with the channel acting as short-term support and the RSI showing no signs of a significant downside correction, downside corrections when they do occur are typically strong after a long period of hot growth like the current one. Traders can definitely prepare for a downside correction with a target of around $3,037 in the short term and the 0.618% Fibonacci extension is a position that can fit this expectation. I will try to describe that if you try to sell around the 0.618% Fibonacci level is a counter-trend decision, but since the RSI has been operating in the overbought area and 6 consecutive bullish sessions have occurred, there is a possibility for a downside correction. However, the need to do for the expectation (Adjustment) means that the open short positions should be completed in the short term because it is counter-trend. During the day, the uptrend in gold prices with the expectation of a downside correction will be noticed again by the following technical levels. Support: $3,037 – $3,021 – $3,000 Resistance: $3,065 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3101 - 3099⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3105 →Take Profit 1 3093 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3087 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2999 - 3001⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2995 →Take Profit 1 3007 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3013
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 71.33 1st Support: 65.73 1st Resistance: 73.43 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
3
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 2,951.07 1st Support: 2,886.31 1st Resistance: 3,049.36 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ICmarkets
SILVER at Key Support Level – Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:XAGUSD is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting from the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The price has now reached the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a key demand zone. This confluence of trendline support and horizontal demand increases the probability of a bullish reaction from this level. If buyers maintain control at this level, we could see a rebound toward the $34.12 level, which aligns with the midline of the ascending channel. This level could serve as a short-term target within the current bullish market structure. However, failure to hold above this support zone could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal further downside. Traders should monitor bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, increasing volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before entering long positions. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by DanieIM
21
Trading Is Not Gambling: Become A Better Trader Part III'm so thankful the admins at Tradingview selected my first Trading Is Not Gambling video for their Editor's Pick section. What an honor. I put together this video to try to teach all the new followers how to use analysis to try to plan trade actions and to attempt to minimize risks. Within this video, I try to teach you to explore the best opportunities based on strong research/analysis skills and to learn to wait for the best opportunities for profits. Trading is very similar to hunting or trying to hit a baseball... you have to WAIT for the best opportunity, then make a decision on how to execute for the best results. Trust me, if trading was easy, everyone would be making millions and no one would be trying to find the best trade solutions. In my opinion, the best solution is to learn the skills to try to develop the best consistent outcomes. And that is what I'm trying to teach you in this video. I look forward to your comments and suggestions. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
9
GOLD SILVER PLATINUM COPPER: Metals Are Bullish! Wait For Buys!This is a FUTURES market outlook for the Metals, for the week of March 24-28th. In this video, we will analyze the following markets: GC | Gold SIL | Silver PL | Platinum HG | Copper The USD continues its bearish ways this upcoming weak. It's currency counterparts will likely see some upside this week. Especially the JPY. Patience and an ear to the news will be the best way to approach the equity markets. The same would also apply to news sensitive commodity markets like US OIL, Gold and Silver. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
Nasdaq 100 Volatility. US Tech Stocks Remain 'Runoff Smelling'It's gone two months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. only two monts, really? 😸) since comrade Trump entered The White House (again). Everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on hyped bullsh#t. - And now?.. - It's gone. It's absolutely gone..! Leveraged bets and crypto assets turned into Bearish market; all four major US indices (S&P500, DJIA, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000) are negative over the past two months, while Gold OANDA:XAUUSD has doubled in price over the past 5 years (4th time in history ever), and remain the only is premium positioned. This is why we at our 💖 Beloved @PandorraResearch Team decided to paint this idea for Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index CBOE:VXN to emphasize (again) that nothing last forever and no one should chase a feather, or dust in the wind. Broadly-known ominously among investors as the "fear index" and launched by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (now the Cboe) in 1993, the Volatility Index (VIX) is meant to present the market's expectation of volatility over the coming 30 days. The metric is derived from options prices on the S&P 500 Index and captures the anticipated swings that drive investor sentiment. In recent years, the VIX has become a far more central index, especially during periods of financial turbulence, such as the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. During these stretches, spikes in the VIX reflected widespread anxiety; during others, it's been a crucial barometer for market participants seeking a glimpse into investors' collective psyche. When the VIX is low, this suggests calm seas ahead. When it spikes, it signals approaching storms. Every single stock index do have its own volatility. This story (again) is about Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index CBOE:VXN The Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index (VXN) is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by NASDAQ-100 Index (NDX) option prices. It measures the market's expectation of 30-day volatility implicit in the prices of near-term NASDAQ-100 options. VXN is quoted in percentage points, just like the standard deviation of a rate of return, e.g. 19.36. Cboe disseminates the VXN index value continuously during trading hours. The VXN Index is a leading barometer of investor sentiment and market volatility relating to the NASDAQ-100 Index. Learn more about Methodology for Calculation of the VXN Index, using official CBOE website. Technical observations The main technical graph indicates that CBOE:VXN Index has recently jumped to current 'above 20' basic points. In nowadays 'above 20' VXN levels indicate on further potentail Bearish progress in US Tech Stocks (Nasdaq 100 Index NASDAQ:NDX ). -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
CBOE:VXN
by PandorraResearch
Could the Gold reverse from here?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,032.98 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,056.27 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance level. Take profit: 3,005.17 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
1
XAGUSD - Hunting for Bullish Entries on Smaller TFThe Silver/USD 4-hour chart displays a significant retracement from recent highs around $3,420, with price currently rebounding near the $3,300 level. This correction has brought price to test both the ascending trendline and the horizontal support at $3,275 (marked by the red line), creating a potential buying opportunity. Given the overall uptrend structure and the recent bounce from this dual support zone, we need to prepare for finding buy setups on smaller timeframes. Traders should shift to lower timeframe charts (15-minute, 30-minute, or 1-hour) to identify precise entry signals. The price action suggests a potential retest of the upper blue reaction zone after completing the current zigzag correction, as indicated by the directional arrow on the chart. Monitoring these smaller timeframes will help capture optimal entry points with tighter stop-losses while maintaining the broader bullish bias shown on this 4-hour chart. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by financialflagship
WTI - Positioning for Upside After Anticipated CorrectionThe US Light Crude 4-hour chart shows price action currently oscillating near the $68,60 level after recovering from early March lows. The recent price structure suggests we may see a short-term pullback before a stronger upward move develops. The chart indicates a potential bullish scenario with price expected to eventually rally toward the blue reaction zone (around $69,00-$69,50) after a possible retracement. This anticipated upside move is supported by the higher lows forming since mid-March and the overall recovery pattern from the $65,67 support level (marked by the red line). A prudent approach would be monitoring for reversal signs at lower levels before positioning for the higher probability move toward the blue reaction zone, with the orange resistance at $70,77 serving as the ultimate target if bullish momentum accelerates. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:WTILong
by financialflagship