GBP/USD : First Long, Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.3625. I expect a new Fair Value Gap (FVG), formed by the recent sharp drop, to be filled soon.
The first target for this potential move is 1.3650, with the next bullish zone between 1.3670 and 1.3730.
Supply and demand zones are marked on the chart — keep a close eye on how the price reacts to these key levels!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Commodities
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
ADANI GREEN ENERGY Ready to FIRE ( LONG TERM IDEA ) !!!Weekly counts for ADANI Green Energy are recommended, with a bullish wave structure.
Both appear to be optimistic, and this stock's invalidation number is 758.
Investing in declines is a smart move for long-term players.
Long-term investors prepare for strong returns over the next two to five years.
The energy sector has a promising future.
Every graphic / chart used to comprehend the theory of elliot waves, harmonic waves, gann theory, and time theory
Every chart is for educational purposes.
We have no accountability for profit or loss.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week!!
We will now finish off with the Daily chart update, after following the 1h and 4h chart throughout the week. This will now remind everyone, how we broke down the overall structure into play.
The bounce scenario off 3272 has now officially played out, just as outlined.
After the clean rejection at the channel top near 3433, price moved precisely into the 3272 Goldturn support, where we were watching closely for structure to hold. That level held beautifully, providing a solid base for this week’s strong push upward.
This reaction once again highlights the precision and reliability of the Goldturn levels - 3272 acted as a critical pivot, and the market respected it perfectly. We didn’t get an EMA5 cross and lock breakdown, confirming that buyers were still in control at this support, and that was our green light for bounce structure to unfold.
As price grinds its way back up the channel, we’ll continue to monitor reactions at key resistance zones. The measured structural move from 3272 reinforces our approach of trading level to level with patience and confirmation, not emotion.
We’ll be back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3433 (channel top)
Support: 3272 (confirmed bounce zone)
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Go short before breaking 3350, go long before falling to 3320📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill
📈 Technical Analysis:
As I said, the US stock market closed early today, and the market will lack some momentum. It is difficult to have a large fluctuation. It is expected to fluctuate and consolidate. I also explained in the previous post that the upper pressure in the short term is at 3340-3350. If it is touched, we can try to short and defend 3360. If it falls back to 3323, we can try to go long for the first time. If it continues to fall, it is expected to reach 3315-3305. Therefore, if it first touches 3323, go long, SL 3316, and consider going long if it touches 15-05 below.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-33350
TP 3330-3320-3310-3300
BUY 3323
TP 3333-3340-3350
BUY 3315-3305
TP 3325-3333-3340
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
NZDCAD: High-Conviction Long - Fundamental Strength & TechnicalThis analysis identifies an extremely high-conviction long opportunity in the NZDCAD currency pair 📈🇨🇦🇳🇿. Our conviction is primarily driven by a significant divergence in monetary policy outlooks and economic fundamentals between New Zealand and Canada. New Zealand's economic resilience, underpinned by robust dairy prices and a less dovish central bank stance, contrasts sharply with Canada's decelerating growth, rising unemployment, and a central bank poised for further rate cuts amidst trade policy uncertainties. Technically, NZDCAD appears poised for an upward move from key support levels, supported by bullish momentum indicators on the 4-hour chart. This is a medium-term trade expected to play out over days to weeks. 🗓️
I. Fundamental Rationale: Diverging Economic Trajectories 📊🌍
The core of this trade lies in the starkly different economic paths New Zealand and Canada are currently on, creating a compelling fundamental case for NZD appreciation against CAD:
Monetary Policy Divergence:
New Zealand (NZD): The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) maintained its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 3.25% in June 2025. Analysts anticipate a hold at the upcoming July 9 meeting, balancing growth concerns with an "uncomfortably high near-term inflation outlook". This signals a less aggressive easing path. 🏦🇳🇿
Canada (CAD): In contrast, the Bank of Canada (BoC) held its policy rate steady at 2.75% in June 2025, after nine consecutive 0.25% cuts since June 2024. Market expectations for the upcoming July 30, 2025 meeting indicate a 33% chance of a further 25 basis point cut, with economists anticipating gradual cuts to 2.25% by mid-2025. This clear easing bias is driven by consistently below-target inflation (1.73% in May 2025). 📉🇨🇦
Impact: This creates a clear and widening interest rate differential fundamentally favoring the NZD. 💰
Inflation Outlook:
New Zealand: Annual inflation accelerated to 2.5% in Q1 2025, exceeding market expectations and marking the highest rate since June 2024. This reinforces the RBNZ's cautious stance. ⬆️
Canada: Canada's CPI registered 1.73% in May 2025, notably below the BoC's 2.0% target, providing ample justification for further monetary easing. ⬇️
Economic Performance & Labor Market:
New Zealand: GDP is projected to grow by 1.9% in 2025. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.1% in March 2025, with average hourly earnings increasing by 4.5% annually. 💼✨
Canada: Real GDP contracted by 0.1% in April 2025, with a flash estimate pointing to another 0.1% decline in May, implying an annualized loss of 0.3% in Q2 2025. The unemployment rate rose to 7.0% in May 2025, its highest since September 2016 (excluding pandemic years). 📉🏭
Impact: New Zealand demonstrates greater economic resilience and a more stable labor market. 💪
Commodity & Trade Dynamics:
New Zealand: Benefits significantly from surging dairy prices, its top export commodity, which saw a substantial 10% increase in Q1 2025, with Fonterra forecasting record milk prices and production volumes. This contributed to a robust monthly trade surplus of $1.2 billion in May 2025. 🥛🧀💰
Canada: While the CAD maintains a strong positive correlation with oil prices, energy exports decreased by 5.6% in May, with crude oil exports falling 4.0%. Furthermore, Canadian exports to the US have declined for four consecutive months due to ongoing US tariffs. 🛢️📉
Impact: Strong commodity tailwinds and a healthy trade surplus for NZD, versus tariff-induced headwinds and declining energy exports for CAD. 🌬️
Yield Differential: The New Zealand 10-year government bond yield (4.57% as of June 30, 2025) is notably higher than Canada's (3.38% as of July 3, 2025). This provides a positive carry for holding NZD over CAD. 📊
II. Technical Rationale: Chart Insights (4-Hour Timeframe) 📈🔍
The technical picture on the 4-hour chart supports a bullish reversal from current levels, complementing the fundamental outlook:
Current Price Action & Long-Term Trend: NZDCAD is currently approximately 0.8277 (as of July 1, 2025). While short-term analyses may show a "sharp bearish trend," the pair is described as "trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase" as it approaches a key support area. The 1-month change for NZDCAD is +0.13%, and year-to-date is +2.45%, indicating a longer-term bullish bias despite recent fluctuations. This corrective dip presents a favorable entry point. 📉➡️📈
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Entry Point (0.8270) is strategically chosen near the immediate support cluster, specifically around the Pivot Point 1st Support of 0.8276 and an identified buying opportunity zone around 0.82700. ✅
Take Profit (TP) of 0.8350 is positioned just below the Pivot Point 3rd Level Resistance of 0.8356. 🎯
Stop Loss (SL) of 0.8220) is carefully placed below the key support levels of 0.8240 (Pivot Point 3rd Support) and 0.8236 (Pivot Point 3rd Support). A sustained break below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis. 🛑
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (14): The 14-day RSI for NZDCAD is around 41.78 to 54.33, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment, with room for upward movement. 📊
MACD (12, 26, 9): A "bullish divergence" has been identified on the hourly timeframe, often signaling a return of buying interest. The MACD line is also observed to be slightly above its signal line, hinting at a potential bullish crossover. ⬆️
Moving Averages: The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is positioned slightly above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This configuration suggests a potential bullish crossover of longer-term moving averages, generally considered a positive long-term signal. 📈
III. Trade Setup: 📋✨
Currency Pair: NZDCAD 🇳🇿🇨🇦
Direction: Long (Buy) ⬆️
Entry Point: 0.8270
Take Profit (TP): 0.8350
Stop Loss (SL): 0.8220
Calculated Risk (in pips): 50 pips
Calculated Reward (in pips): 80 pips
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1.6:1 (A favorable ratio for a high-probability setup!) ✅
Key Considerations: Always adhere to strict risk management principles, risking no more than 1-2% of your total trading capital on this single trade. Be mindful of potential volatility around upcoming high-impact economic events in July, particularly the RBNZ and Bank of Canada interest rate decisions, and inflation data. 🗓️🔔
Gold will exit from pennant and then rise to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Recently, the price formed a pennant pattern after a sharp bullish impulse from the buyer zone (3275–3285 points). That upward movement started after the price bounced off the strong support level (3285) and broke out from the wedge structure formed earlier. This bullish momentum indicated strong demand near the lower boundary, reinforcing the current market structure. Now, the price is consolidating inside the pennant formation, slowly approaching its apex. At the same time, we are still above the support trendline and close to the upper border of the pattern. This suggests a possible breakout to the upside. I expect that gold will soon exit the pennant and start rising again toward the resistance level at 3385, which also matches the seller zone (3385–3395 points). This area previously acted as a major reversal zone, so if price reaches it, I will consider locking profits at that point. Given the breakout structure, recent bounce from the buyer zone, and current bullish consolidation, I remain bullish and expect GOLD to continue growing toward TP 1 at 3385. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold closing the week below our 'premium resistance zone', running roughly 170 PIPS in profit. Hope you all are in sells & running in profit like my Gold Fund investors as this was called live for you.
Don't forget we could also have a possible liquidity zone sitting just above $3,400 like I told you all earlier this week. Just something to be careful of & stay prepared in advance.
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3335.9
Stop - 3338.8
Take - 3330.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade End Of Week Update For 7-4Happy 4th of July
I've been very busy with projects and new tools for traders, as well as the new book I'm working on, and thought I would deliver an End Of Week update for everyone.
In this video, I cover the past Cycle Patterns and how they played out for the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and Bitcoin, as well as add some of my own insight related to the market trends.
All of my systems are still LONG and have not changed. I still believe this market is extremely overbought, and I believe it could roll over at any moment into a pullback - but we need to wait to see if/when that may/does happen.
Gold made a big move higher this week, and I believe that move could continue throughout July.
Bitcoin made a surprising Double-Top and is not rolling downward. Could be a breakdown in the markets as BTCUSD tends to lead the QQQ/NQ by about 3-5 days.
The SPY/QQQ rallied like a rocket all week. It was absolutely incredible to see the markets rally like this. But, I'm still cautious of a sudden rollover top.
I managed to catch some nice trades with options spreads this week, and my metals positions were on fire. I'm still trading from a "hedge everything" mode as I don't trust this rally, and I'm still watching for REJECTIONS near these new highs.
Stay safe and GET SOME.
DM me if you have any questions.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
DIESEL OIL GOES 'STILL-RUNNING', AND IT IS NOT A MEME AGAINDiesel Oil NY Harbor ULSD December 2025 futures contracts are trading around $2.25/gallon, once again above its 52-week average, with recent technical ratings indicating a strong buy.
The market has shown a 4.50% rise in the past 5-Day time span, reflecting bullish momentum.
Fundamental Perspective
Supply: Distillate inventories are 20% below the five-year seasonal average, the lowest since 2022. Refinery utilization is high at 94.7%, leaving little buffer for disruptions.
Demand: Distillate consumption has risen to 3.794 million barrels per day, up 260,000 b/d year-over-year, driven by robust industrial activity and summer travel.
Geopolitics: A U.S.-brokered ceasefire in the Middle East has reduced immediate supply risks, but the situation remains fragile and could quickly change.
Macroeconomic Risks: While fundamentals are bullish, potential U.S. recession risks and data reporting delays add uncertainty. Monitoring GDP growth and manufacturing PMIs is crucial.
Summary
ULSD futures are technically strong and fundamentally supported by tight inventories and robust demand, but traders should remain vigilant for macroeconomic and geopolitical shifts.
--
Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
CRUDEOIL1! at Best Support Zone !!This is the Daily Chart of CRUDEOIL1!.
CRUDEOIL1! having a good law of polarity at 5500-5600 level .
CRUDEOIL1! is currently trading between its quarterly pivot 5603 level and monthly pivot 5805 levels , indicating a range-bound movement."
Once the Crudeoil1! sustains above the monthly pivot, it may trigger a potential upside rally."
If this lop is sustain , then we may see higher prices in CRUDEOIL1!
Thank You !!
Gold Consolidating Ahead of Next Move Gold Consolidating Ahead of Next Move – Is 3390 the Bull Target or a False Breakout Trap?
🧭 Fundamental Outlook
Gold has entered a tight consolidation phase following a wave of high-impact macroeconomic events:
The US House of Representatives has passed Trump's “Super Bill”, raising expectations of increased fiscal spending and long-term inflationary pressures. In theory, this is supportive of gold prices.
However, strong NFP and Unemployment Rate figures released recently have reinforced dollar strength in the short term, suggesting the Fed may delay rate cuts → a temporary headwind for gold.
With Independence Day in the US, liquidity across global markets is expected to drop, increasing the risk of false moves or stop-hunt volatility.
🟡 The lack of immediate upside doesn’t mean bullish momentum has disappeared. Price may simply be building energy before its next leg.
📉 Technical Overview – XAU/USD
Gold has broken out of a minor descending trendline and is now testing a key supply zone around 3344–3345, which could determine the intraday trajectory.
🔍 Key Levels
Resistance Zones: 3345 – 3362 – 3374 – 3388 – 3390
Support Zones: 3330 – 3312 – 3304 – 3302 – 3298
🟢 Bullish Scenarios (Buy Setups)
📍 Intraday Buy Zone:
3313 – 3311
Stop Loss: 3307
Take Profit: 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350
📍 Deep Pullback Buy Zone:
3304 – 3302
Stop Loss: 3298
Take Profit: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340
These zones are ideal for trend-continuation entries, especially if supported by bullish candles or price action on lower timeframes.
🔴 Bearish Scenarios (Short-Term Only)
📍 Intraday Sell Zone:
3362 – 3364
Stop Loss: 3368
Take Profit: 3358 – 3354 – 3350 – 3346 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330
📍 High-Risk Sell Zone:
3388 – 3390
Stop Loss: 3394
Take Profit: 3384 – 3380 – 3376 – 3370 – 3365 – 3360
Bearish positions should be reserved for signs of exhaustion or rejection patterns at resistance levels.
🧠 Trading Bias for Today
With limited liquidity due to the US holiday, price may remain trapped in a sideways range between 3320 and 3340. Traders should stay nimble and avoid overexposure.
✅ Primary bias: Buy dips near major support
⚠️ Alternative view: Only short if price confirms reversal at resistance
💬 What’s Your Take on Gold Today?
Will gold break through the 3390 barrier this week?
Or are we looking at one more dip before a true bullish continuation?
👇 Share your thoughts and trading ideas in the comments!
Soybean Breakout – Time to Steal Profits!🚨 "SOYBEAN HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Ahead! 🎯💰 (Thief Trading Strategy)"
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌟
"The vault is unlocked—time to plunder the 🌱🍃SOYBEAN CFD market! Here’s your master plan for a smooth heist."
🔎 TRADE SETUP (Thief Edition)
Entry 📈: "Buy the dip or chase the breakout—bullish momentum is ripe for stealing!"
Pro Tip: Use buy limits near 15-30min pullbacks (swing lows/highs) for optimal theft.
Stop Loss 🛑: "Hide your loot!" Set SL at nearest 4H swing low (1030.00). Adjust based on your risk appetite.
Target 🎯: 1085.0 — or escape early if bears ambush!
⚡ SCALPERS’ NOTE:
"Only long scalps allowed! Rich? Raid now. Poor? Join swing thieves & trail your SL!"
🔥 WHY SOYBEAN? (Bullish Catalysts)
Technicals + fundamentals align for a bullish heist.
Check: COT reports, seasonals, macro trends, and intermarket signals (links below 👇).
⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = VOLATILITY
Avoid new trades during major news.
Trailing SLs = your escape rope! Lock profits before the cops (bears) arrive.
💎 BOOST THIS HEIST!
"Smash 👍 LIKE, hit 🔔 FOLLOW, and share the loot! Your support fuels our next raid."
🎯 Final Tip: "Profit is yours—take it and vanish! 🏴☠️"
📢 Stay tuned for the next heist! "Market thieves never sleep…" 😉
XAUUSD: July 4, market analysis and strategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3300
4-hour chart resistance 3365, support 3306
1-hour chart resistance 3352, support 3322
Last night, NFP employment data caused gold prices to fall sharply by $40, and then rebounded to 3338. The energy of the shorts caused by the NFP data has been basically digested. Next, the bulls will start to exert their strength. Gold can still be bullish if it falls back today.
Yesterday, the gold price quickly fell to 3311 and then rebounded. The low point of the second retracement was 3322, which is the short-term support level. You can wait for a retracement near 3322 to buy bullish. The 1-hour resistance is 3352. Pay attention to the reaction here and look for selling opportunities.
Buy: 3322near
Sell: 3352near
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 36.830 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level 36.903.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,336.61 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DeGRAM | GOLD around $3350📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls defended the 3 312 pivot where the rising-channel base and July trend-support intersect; successive higher-lows are squeezing price against 3 355—last week’s swing cap and channel median.
● A break of 3 355 completes a 1 : 1 wedge measured to 3 380, and the grey inner rail projects follow-through toward the prior range ceiling at 3 425.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US ISM-Services prices and falling 2-yr real yields curb USD demand, while IMF data show central-bank gold purchases rising for a third straight month—both underpinning bullion.
✨ Summary
Long 3 330-3 345; confirmed close above 3 355 eyes 3 380 then 3 425. Bull view void on an H1 close below 3 312.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD 1H – Breakout Retest or a Fragile Bullish Hope?👆🚀Boost it if you like it... (Thank you) 🚀👆
Gold has finally broken out above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. We’ve already seen Leg 1, an impulsive rally from the strong support zone, and a textbook retest of the broken trendline.
If bulls hold this level, a Leg 2 continuation could unfold.
Key Factors to Watch:
✅ Strong demand zone fueling the first leg up
✅ Clean breakout and retest of descending resistance
✅ Price still hovering around EMAs (15/60)
⚠️ However, the structure is fragile – lack of follow-through could trap late buyers
⚠️ If price loses the retest area decisively, sellers may reclaim control
Trading Insight:
This is a fascinating setup for bulls—but don’t fall in love with it. Stay adaptive. The market doesn’t owe us a second leg higher. Manage risk carefully and remember: probabilities, not certainties.
Trade Safely...
#MJTrading
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #PriceAction
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,350 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,350 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.