SILVER: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 36.830 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level 36.903.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Commodities
GOLD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,336.61 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DeGRAM | GOLD around $3350📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls defended the 3 312 pivot where the rising-channel base and July trend-support intersect; successive higher-lows are squeezing price against 3 355—last week’s swing cap and channel median.
● A break of 3 355 completes a 1 : 1 wedge measured to 3 380, and the grey inner rail projects follow-through toward the prior range ceiling at 3 425.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US ISM-Services prices and falling 2-yr real yields curb USD demand, while IMF data show central-bank gold purchases rising for a third straight month—both underpinning bullion.
✨ Summary
Long 3 330-3 345; confirmed close above 3 355 eyes 3 380 then 3 425. Bull view void on an H1 close below 3 312.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD 1H – Breakout Retest or a Fragile Bullish Hope?👆🚀Boost it if you like it... (Thank you) 🚀👆
Gold has finally broken out above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. We’ve already seen Leg 1, an impulsive rally from the strong support zone, and a textbook retest of the broken trendline.
If bulls hold this level, a Leg 2 continuation could unfold.
Key Factors to Watch:
✅ Strong demand zone fueling the first leg up
✅ Clean breakout and retest of descending resistance
✅ Price still hovering around EMAs (15/60)
⚠️ However, the structure is fragile – lack of follow-through could trap late buyers
⚠️ If price loses the retest area decisively, sellers may reclaim control
Trading Insight:
This is a fascinating setup for bulls—but don’t fall in love with it. Stay adaptive. The market doesn’t owe us a second leg higher. Manage risk carefully and remember: probabilities, not certainties.
Trade Safely...
#MJTrading
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #PriceAction
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,350 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,350 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bank Holiday: Which Zone Will Hold as Liquidity Thins?XAUUSD – Awaiting Breakout as Market Stalls Post-Macro Storm
Gold remains in consolidation mode following a barrage of high-impact macro events — from Trump's Super Bill approval to unexpectedly strong NFP data. Despite these catalysts, price action has stalled as traders weigh conflicting signals. With U.S. markets closed for Independence Day, liquidity remains thin — and that opens the door for liquidity grabs and fake breakouts.
🔍 Macro Analysis – Mixed Signals for Gold
Trump’s Super Bill: Expected to fuel fiscal deficit → long-term bearish for USD → potentially bullish for Gold.
NFP & UR Data: Surprisingly strong → Fed may delay rate cuts → bearish short-term for Gold.
U.S. Holiday: Low liquidity means markets may range, fake moves are likely. Don’t chase impulsively.
🧠 Key insight: A lack of immediate bullish follow-through doesn’t invalidate the long-term upside. Market could be quietly accumulating...
📈 SMC Technical Outlook – Key Liquidity Zones in Play
Price structure on H1 shows a clean CHoCH (Change of Character) and current price action is reacting near a reclaimed demand zone.
There are two possible paths:
Rejection near PDH / FVG area → SELL opportunity.
Deep retracement towards SSL liquidity zone → Strong BUY setup.
📊 Key Levels to Watch
🔼 Major Resistance Zones:
3366 – 3368 (Scalp)
3388 – 3390 (Swing Reversal)
3362 – 3374 – 3394 (Upper Liquidity Sweep Area)
🔽 Major Support Zones:
3312 – 3310 (Scalp BUY)
3302 – 3300 (Primary BUY Zone)
3298 – 3295 (Invalidation Below)
✅ Trade Plan for Today
🟢 Buy Setups (Priority with Trend)
Scalp BUY Zone:
📍 3312 – 3310
🛡 SL: 3307
🎯 TP: 3316 – 3325 – 3335 – 3345 – 3360
Swing BUY Zone:
📍 3302 – 3300
🛡 SL: 3298
🎯 TP: 3310 – 3320 – 3340 – 3360 – 3388
These align with SMC liquidity zones and fair value gap re-tests — a strong long bias remains valid above 3298.
🔴 Sell Setups (Only If Confirmed)
Scalp SELL Zone:
📍 3366 – 3368
🛡 SL: 3371
🎯 TP: 3358 – 3348 – 3338
High SELL Zone:
📍 3388 – 3390
🛡 SL: 3394
🎯 TP: 3382 – 3375 – 3360
Use confirmation on lower timeframes. Don’t sell blindly into trend.
🔮 Bias for the Session
🟨 Primary Bias: BUY dips into 3300–3310 zone
🟥 Alternate: Short-term SELLs only from 3366–3390 zones with price rejection
💬 What Do You Think?
Is this just a trap before the real breakout to 3400+?
Or are we heading into a liquidity sweep before deeper correction?
BTCUSD| Bitcoin’s Historic Parabolic Pattern🔥 Parabolic Pattern | Institutional COINBASE:BTCUSD Demand Mirrors Gold ETF Era 🔥
COINBASE:BTCUSD vs SP:SPX vs TVC:GOLD
The market is whispering something big — and it's not retail noise this time. For the third straight quarter, listed corporations have outpaced ETFs in Bitcoin purchases, a seismic shift that echoes one key moment in history: the launch of the Gold ETF. Companies like NASDAQ:MSTR contiune to buy and others are following. Will NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:META and NASDAQ:GOOG be next ? Let me know in the comments who you think will be next to buy?
Back then, companies rushed to gold as a hedge against inflation and a store of value as fiat cracks widened. Fast forward to now — we're seeing the same institutional footprints in Bitcoin. The buy-the-dip narrative isn't just alive — it's being driven by corporate balance sheets.
Rumors are circulating that the U.S. government plans to buy 1 million BTC — a move that would shake the global financial system to its core. If true, this isn’t just bullish — it’s historic. The last time governments got this aggressive with a hard asset was during the Gold Reserve buildup. Bitcoin isn’t just digital gold anymore — it’s becoming sovereign-level collateral. 📈💥
💬 Drop your thoughts below. Is this the beginning of the next parabolic era?
In this episode, we break down the parabolic pattern forming on the chart, why it may signal the next explosive leg up, and how history is repeating with BTC playing the role of digital gold.
📊 Technical breakdown. On-chain behavior. Smart money moves.
Don’t blink. Parabolas end in fireworks.
I've been trading for 17 years
👍 If you found this useful, drop a like.
💬 Got questions or thoughts? Leave a comment below — I always respond and happy to help.
👍
Best Regards
MartyBoots
THE KOG REPORT - Update & NFP analysis End of day update from us here at KOG:
We managed to get the move into the red box we wanted which should have been a enough for the day. However, the levels were so clean during NY that we managed to get another decent trade into the Excalibur target to complete the day.
With NFP tomorrow and a US holiday on Friday, we're going to share our levels and view but due to unforeseen circumstances, I won't be around for the rest of the week to see it through.
We've added the updated red boxes, the key levels and the potential move if they break. So far, we've had a good week, so these levels are simply for reference and unless there is a clean set up, our traders will stay away until Monday.
Red boxes:
Break above 3350 for 3355, 3362, 3373, 3375 and 3390 in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3320, 3316, 3310. 3306, 3298 and 3285 in extension of the move
The week so far:
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297✅ and above that 3306✅
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD (XAUUSD): Potential Scenarios Explained
Here is my updated technical outlook for Gold with potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
The price is currently testing a significant daily resistance cluster.
Its bullish breakout and a daily candle close above 3368 will
provide a strong confirmation.
More growth will be expected then.
Bearish Scenario
For now, the market is consolidating on the underlined resistance.
The price is stuck within a horizontal range on a 4H time frame now.
Your bearish signal will be a breakout of its support and a 4H candle
close below 3310.
It will provide a strong bearish confirmation.
The market might be weak and remain within a 4H range today.
But, everything can happen, so watch carefully.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,341.95
Target Level: 3,259.01
Stop Loss: 3,396.95
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
OIL fell sharply, opportunity for upside target of 70$OIL fell sharply and has now been in a contraction for a while, I am taking it into account for a potential breakout, as it shows tightening price action, which reflects market indecision.
Price action has now coiled into a symmetrical triangle, this is often a classic continuation or reversal pattern, and it’s building pressure for a potential breakout. So, if we do get a clean breakout above this pattern, with strong bullish candles, volume, or bullish divergence, that’s your confirmation cue.
This is totally achievable. It aligns beautifully with the 0.25 to 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone from the recent swing high to low. It’s not just a psychological round number, it’s technically supported.
If the lower boundary of the triangle is broken with momentum, you’ve got to step back. No trade is better than a bad one. Watch how price interacts with the zone. If it loses it, you could be looking at a deeper leg down, potentially revisiting deeper support levels from prior bullish structure.
MACRO 3-Drive Pattern on Bitcoin | Major Reversal Ahead?Is Bitcoin completing a massive 3-drive structure on the macro chart?
Three clear pushes higher, each with fading momentum, are flashing a major reversal signal.
This could be the final phase before a long-term shift — are you ready for what’s next?
📚 3-Drive Structure Trading Strategy — Full Breakdown
The 3-Drive Pattern is a powerful reversal-based price structure used to spot major turning points in trending markets. It works by identifying three consecutive drives (or pushes) in one direction, typically ending with exhaustion and a high-probability reversal.
Each drive forms a new high or low, but with weakening momentum — especially visible using RSI, MACD, or volume divergence.
🔍 What is the 3-Drive Pattern?
3 consecutive higher highs (or lower lows)
Each drive followed by a shallow pullback
Momentum weakens on each push (divergence forms)
Fibonacci symmetry often present:
- Drive extensions: 127.2%–161.8%
- Pullbacks: usually 61.8%
📉 Bearish 3-Drive (Reversal from Uptrend):
Drive 1: Price makes a higher high with strong momentum
Drive 2: Another higher high, weaker strength
Drive 3: Final high with clear divergence
Reversal: Entry when price breaks below structure
🎯Entry Criteria:
Wait for all 3 drives to form
Confirm with divergence on Drive 3
Use a confirmation candle or structure break
Stop-loss: just beyond the 3rd drive’s high
🎯 Targets:
Conservative: Return to Drive 2 base
Aggressive: Full trend reversal (50%–100% Fib retracement)
🧠 Pro Tips:
Best on 4H, 1D, 3D or 1w timeframes
Confirm with RSI, MACD, or volume divergence
Combine with key S/R or supply-demand zones
💡 Summary:
The 3-Drive pattern is one of the most reliable reversal structures when combined with divergence and Fibonacci symmetry. It's especially powerful at market exhaustion zones and works best with confirmation-based entries.
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, USDCAD, BITCOIN, SILVER
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
The market nicely respected a rising trend line
and bounced from that, forming a high momentum bullish candle.
I think that the pair will continue rising and reach 145.8 level soon.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
The price is currently approaching an important confluence
zone based on a falling trend line and a horizontal support.
I will expect a pullback from that.
3️⃣ #BITCOIN #BTCUSD daily time frame
The price successfully violated a resistance line of a bullish
flag pattern and closed above that.
It is a critical bullish signal. I believe that the price will test
a current high then and will violate that with a high probability.
4️⃣ #SILVER #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙
The market broke a resistance line of a bullish flag.
Uptrend is going to continue, and the price is going to reach 37,14 level soon.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC - Will the Bearish Channel continue?Market Context
After a strong impulsive rally earlier in the year, BTC has been trading within a descending channel on the daily timeframe. This corrective structure suggests a period of consolidation and redistribution, as price oscillates between the channel's boundaries. The repeated rejection from the upper trendline and the inability to break through key highs reinforce the bearish bias in this structure.
Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Potential
Price is currently positioned just beneath a relatively clean swing high, sitting above the mid-range of the channel. This high represents a clear area of Buy Side Liquidity—stop losses from short positions and pending breakout orders from longs are likely clustered there. An engineered sweep of this high would serve as a strategic move for larger participants to collect liquidity before driving price lower.
Fair Value Gap as a Pivot Point
Beneath current price lies a Fair Value Gap—a visible inefficiency formed during a fast upward move earlier in the structure. This Gap remains unfilled and offers a compelling target for price once the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep occurs. It represents a logical zone for price to rebalance before deciding on continuation or reversal. Should price break below the Gap cleanly, it would confirm the bearish intent and potentially accelerate toward the lower bounds of the channel.
Channel Continuation Structure
The overall geometry of the channel remains intact, and the price respecting both upper and lower boundaries strengthens the likelihood of a continuation toward the downside. If the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep and subsequent rejection occur, the market could be poised for another leg lower—possibly seeking the next structural support closer to 90,000 or even toward the lower extremities of the channel around 80,000–82,000.
Final Thoughts
This chart reflects classic price delivery behavior: corrective structure, engineered liquidity sweeps, and the magnetic pull of inefficiencies like Fair Value Gaps. Whether you’re actively trading or simply observing, this is a clean, educational setup to learn from.
If this breakdown helped you see the market a bit clearer, I’d really appreciate a like. And feel free to share your thoughts or counterviews in the comments—your insights make the analysis even more valuable.
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 68.28 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 70.90 which is a level that sits above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 63.86 which is a pullback support that aligns closely with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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Crude oil moves up alternately during the day
💡Message Strategy
WTI crude oil prices snapped a three-day winning streak and were trading around $66.00 a barrel in early European trading Thursday. Crude oil prices fell as rising U.S. crude inventories heightened concerns about weak demand in the United States, the world's largest oil consumer.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil fluctuates upward in the medium term and tests around 78. The K-line closes with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged.
However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern.
The short-term trend of crude oil (4H) fluctuated and consolidated for two trading days. The oil price repeatedly crossed the moving average system, and the objective trend direction fluctuated. From the perspective of the primary and secondary rhythms, the current rhythm is a secondary oscillation rhythm. According to the law of primary and secondary alternation, the subjective trend still maintains an upward direction. In terms of momentum, there are signs of weakening upward momentum, and it is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to be mainly upward.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:65.50-66.00,SL:64.50,Target:69.00-70.00
Final Trading Day Outlook for GOLD – Friday Bias and Trade PlanAs we head into the last trading day of the week, here's my outlook for GOLD ( CAPITALCOM:GOLD ):
Bias and Expectation
I was expecting a retracement from the 75% Draw on Liquidity (DRT) level — not just because of the level itself, but also due to its confluence with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Bearish Order Block. And that retracement did occur.
Thursday delivered that deep retracement, courtesy of economic data and news releases. That pullback tapped into a Daily FVG and is now trading above its Consequent Encroachment (CE) at the time of this analysis.
✅ If today’s candle closes above the midpoint of that FVG, it will further confirm my bullish bias.
✅ Even more convincing will be a close above the upper boundary of the FVG, suggesting strength and possible continuation.
Market Structure Across Timeframes
🔸 4H Chart:
Price has raided sell-side liquidity and formed relative equal highs, a sign that the market may seek to attack that zone next — possibly as a liquidity target.
🔸 1H Chart:
The market is currently trading in the premium zone of the FVG, and shows a clear inability to trade lower, further supporting the bullish outlook.
Trade Plan
My trade idea for Friday is as follows:
Wait for a purge (liquidity sweep) on the sell-side, ideally during a Kill Zone (London or NY).
Look for confirmation and confluence based on my model (e.g. displacement, market structure shift).
Enter long positions targeting the next liquidity pool, particularly the equal highs formed on the 4H timeframe.
⚠️ Reminder:
Trade with due diligence. This is not financial advice. Always align entries with your personal model and preferred session.
📌 Final Note
Today may present strong opportunities — but patience, timing, and context are everything. Let the market show its hand, then act.
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or insightful, please drop a like 👍 and leave a comment — I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Follow me for more daily price action insights and trading strategies on XAUUSD and other key markets.
Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
All trading involves risk. You are solely responsible for your own decisions, so always conduct proper research and due diligence before taking any trades.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
May your final trades of the week be precise and profitable.
Gold - This is the official top!Gold - TVC:GOLD - might top out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Since Gold confirmed its rounding bottom in 2019 it rallied more than +200%. Especially the recent push higher has been quite aggressive, squeezing all bears. But now Gold is somehow unable to create new all time highs, which could constitute the a top formation.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $3.000
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)