Commodities
USOIL (WTI) - More downside?The price action for the WTI Crude Oil chart shows that the higher probability move appears to be to the downside, targeting the lower orange box around the 70.00 level. The recent price structure has failed to establish any convincing bullish momentum, and after testing the upper orange box around 73.00, the price has shown weakness. Without any strong buying pressure or upside catalyst visible in the current price action, the path of least resistance suggests a continuation of the downward movement toward the lower support zone.
Gold turns lowerGold has turned lower on the session - making for a more interesting end to the week. Indeed, the markets have been quite intriguing this week, with the US dollar at the centre of the action. Despite hotter-than-expected inflation data, the greenback softened following Trump’s more measured stance on tariffs, while the euro found support amid his expressed willingness to end the Ukraine conflict.
Previously, gold was ignoring all the dollar strength and was rallying, breaking the historic negative relationship. That seems to be the case again today with the metal falling despite a weaker US dollar.
Is this the start of the correction I was eyeing?
I guess, time will tell.
To be fair, it needs a correction in the near future to remove some speculative froth. That said, a confirmed reversal signal would be needed before adopting a bearish short-term outlook on XAU/USD.
Trump’s declaration that he intends to bring an end to the conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine raises the prospect of reduced haven demand, should he succeed. At the same time, his protectionist stance and expansive spending plans could keep US inflation elevated, delaying rate cut expectations and lending support to bond yields.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
PLATINUM - Sell Setup at Key Resistance ZoneOANDA:XPTUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, an area where sellers have previously stepped in to drive prices lower. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, making it a level to watch for potential rejection.
If price struggles to break above and we see bearish confirmation, I anticipate a pullback toward the $1,021 level.
However, a strong breakout and hold above resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially leading to further upside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in.
I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
There are opportunities for short-term buying and selling todayGold continues to rise on the daily chart, and bulls increase their volume! The structure remains intact, and the moving average and K-line remain in a bullish arrangement. At present, the price of the daily chart continues to move up from the high point of the MA5-day moving average, and the MA10/7-day moving average keeps opening and moves up to 2880/2898. The price continues to extend to the upper track of the Bollinger Band. The RSI indicator daily chart is close to 80 again. It should be noted on Friday that when the gold price hits a new record high again, the indicator signal may be overbought. On the weekly chart, the gold price has risen for 8 consecutive weeks.
The short-term four-hour moving average also keeps opening upward, and the price moves up from the MA7-day moving average. The moving average keeps opening upward, and the price is running in the upper track of the hourly chart and the four-hour chart Bollinger Band channel. The trading idea on Friday is still mainly to pull back low and long, and then go short after the historical high or previous high key resistance test in the European and American markets.
Yesterday, gold fluctuated downward in the Asian and European sessions. The price in the NY market fell to 2864 and then started to counterattack. As of today, it has risen to 2932. Judging from yesterday's trend, the first half of the session was running well, and the NY market made a desperate counterattack. At the same time, today's rebound high exceeded our expectations. From the current market, the daily chart has signs of V. Yesterday's bottoming and rebounding directly limited the range of today's adjustment!
Gold is now under pressure at the top of the entity in the previous 4 hours, and gold has begun to stagnate. From the trend chart, the oscillating upward trend has not changed. If gold cannot go up in 1 hour, then gold may still form a double top structure. Before gold breaks through strongly, gold is currently blocked at a high level and falls back. Even if you go long, you must wait patiently for opportunities after the decline, and don't chase more at the top. So from a strategic point of view, both long and short positions have opportunities!
Key points:
First support: 2922, second support: 2915, third support: 2902
First resistance: 2938, second resistance: 2948, third resistance: 2957
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2913-2915, SL: 2904, TP: 2930-2940;
SELL: 2958-2960, SL: 2969, TP: 2930-2920;
GOLD / USD Long (Looking for Target 2 )After the news impact GOLD tends to move strongly.
XAUUSD
Long trade went incredibly great.
First Target has been meet.
GOLD looking for solid move towards target 2.
After target 2(which a major resistance for Gold) we might see a reversal
Best Regards,
The Panda
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSD
FX:XAUUSD
Gold (XAU/USD) |ATH Breakout or Correction? Key Levels to Watch! Gold (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
🔹 Market Overview:
Gold is trading near its ATH and maintains strong bullish momentum. A 4H candle close above 2,934 will confirm further upside toward new highs.
🔹 Current Price Action:
The bullish trend remains intact as long as Gold stays above 2,918 - 2,895.
A break above 2,934 will confirm bullish continuation to 2,956 and 2,974.
If price fails to hold above 2,918, a bearish correction toward 2,895 - 2,880 is possible.
🔥 Potential Bullish Scenario:
✅ A 4H close above 2,934 → Bullish breakout confirmed 🚀
📌 Targets:
📍 2,956 (first resistance)
📍 2,974 - 2,986 (next major resistance & extension target)
⚠️ Potential Bearish Scenario:
❌ A 4H close below 2,918 may trigger a pullback.
📌 Support Targets:
📍 2,895 (minor support)
📍 2,880 (strong demand zone)
🔑 Key Levels:
📍 Pivot Point: 2,934
📍 Resistance: 2,956 | 2,974 | 2,986
📍 Support: 2,918 | 2,895 | 2,880
📌 Conclusion:
✅ Gold remains bullish above 2,934, targeting 2,956+.
🚀 A breakout above 2,974 opens the door for 2,986+.
⚠️ Break below 2,918 may trigger a correction to 2,895 - 2,880.
💬 Will Gold push to new ATHs or pull back first? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-14-25 : CRUSH PatternHappy Valentine's Day - everyone.
Tell the people around you how much they mean to you and how important they are to your life.
Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a CRUSH pattern. These types of patterns are usually very large range bars that attempt to REVERT back to a mean price level - in this case - DOWNWARD.
Near the end of this video, I discuss some of my Custom Indexes and explain why the data tells me we are moving into a topping pattern for the US and global markets. Many of you watch my Plan Your Trade videos and probably think I make things up as I go.
Actually, a lot of data and research go into my decision-making. Ninety-nine percent of that data (usually in predictive modeling, Custom Indexes, and other resources) delivers a clear outcome. In this case, the result is "the markets are TOPPING."
So, even though the markets didn't cooperate with my Deep-V breakdown from Feb 10 to 13, I urge you to watch this video until the end, when I start sharing some Custom Index data/charts. Pay attention to what that data tells us.
Notably, the Smart Money Index and the Accumulation Phase Index are screaming, "The markets are TOPPING."
Gold and Silver move into a Gap-Revert-Stall-Flush pattern, again representing a reversion to the mean price level.
I believe today will be another moderately downward-trending Friday, as we've continued to see over the past three or more weeks.
Please spend a little time hitting the pause button and checking out some of my Custom Index charts. They are the data that drives much of my decision-making.
Get some.
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S&P internals and momentum show waekness These both divergences show short term weakness in the S&P 500
This does not mean that there are opportunities out there, european markets are showing strength
Even some S&P sectors still have good relative strength: AMEX:XSW AMEX:XLY AMEX:XLC
But commodities are even better, just see AMEX:DBA making new 52-week highs
Are sugar futures ready to extend further up?Looking at the technical picture of sugar futures, we can see that we have approached a key area of resistance. In order to get comfortable with further upside, a break of that territory is required. However, if we see the price struggling to move above all the EMAs on our daily chart, maybe the upside might off the table, at least for now.
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GOLD--> Test ATH 2942. Are buyers ready to act ?OANDA:XAUUSD testing ATH levels which could trigger growth momentum. The target of 3000 is getting closer day by day. Imminent in the near future...
Metals are consolidating after the price surge, maintaining an upward trend. Supported by Trump's tax plan and Fed easing expectations.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) and US Dollar Index (DXY) are significantly weaker. Markets are reacting to the delay in tariff implementation and comments from Trump and Powell about the need for interest rate cuts (requiring weeks or months before implementation), which has supported gold. Ahead lies potential profit-taking and impact from US Retail Sales data for January to be released.
Resistance levels: 2942, 2950
Support levels: 2929, 2923, 2908
Emphasis on key support levels. From there, price will realize growth potential. I don't rule out the possibility of retesting 2929-2922 before buyers continue their action.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
ehereum x silverCRYPTOCAP:ETH x NASDAQ:XAG 🔃
Bitcoin is digital gold, Ethereum is digital silver!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is gradually moving towards the market value of TVC:GOLD , then the same applies to eth silver and this is inevitable.
It should not be forgotten that crypto dynamics move faster and it will not take long for the market cap gap to be closed.
Gold → Accelerating Upwards NorthOANDA:XAUUSD returning to the trend following news (inflation). The northbound train may continue from 2907. Upcoming unemployment claims and PPI data.
Gold is supported by uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs and economic data from the United States. The Fed remains hawkish due to rising inflation, pushing bond yields higher and driving prices down to $2,865 briefly. However, buyers quickly returned, pushing prices back up.
Meanwhile, traders are awaiting PPI data which could influence Fed policy.
Technically, prices are consolidating in the buying zone compared to key points at 2900 and 2907. If buyers can hold and strengthen above the 2907 resistance level, gold could update ATH in the medium term. Additionally, focus is on 2918 - 2920. Price consolidation above this zone will also support prices.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
GOLD → Accelerating northward. Targeting $3000Hello dear friends, Ben here!
Today, gold continues its strong upward momentum. Taking inspiration from previous growth - high economic risk. The price is moving increasingly closer to the previously anticipated mark of $3000.
Accordingly, gold broke above the trend channel boundary and the $2850 mark at the start of the week in the US, but growth is being limited by the strengthening dollar due to escalating trade risks. Trump announced on Sunday that he would impose new 25% tariffs on all imported steel and aluminum products, exacerbating the pain for the Euro and commodity-linked Australian Dollar (AUD) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD), thereby channeling new buying interest into the safe-haven currency - the US Dollar.
Gold prices also benefited further from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) expanding its gold reserves for the third consecutive month in January and expectations of more stimulus measures from China. However, in the coming days, USD could extend its recovery if risk flows intensify or markets return to profit-taking on USD short positions before US CPI inflation data is released on Wednesday. Moderate expectations from the Fed, hopes for Chinese economic stimulus, and lurking trade war risks will help limit gold's downside.
Technically, we are currently monitoring around the psychological area of 2904 and the main support level is 2882.
Resistance level: 2904 (unconfirmed)
Support levels: 2882, 2870, 2853
Bulls seem to remain hesitant around the 2904 area with prices potentially continuing their upward trend without any reversals. But! The most likely scenario at this point is a false break of 2904, with a short-term correction to retest liquidity before bulls head northward.
GOLD → Heading into tonight: Is 3K still a valid target ?OANDA:XAUUSD has approached the 2950 level but has yet to reach the key psychological threshold. The current price action indicates a correction phase, allowing the market to rest and accumulate liquidity ahead of key news releases, with a potential move northward on the horizon.
Gold is currently testing the 2900 level following Trump’s new tariff announcement, maintaining strong demand. The primary focus remains on Powell’s speech and the U.S. inflation data, as these will be the key factors influencing expectations for a Fed rate cut, which is the main driving force behind gold’s movement... Theoretically, the situation remains unclear as gold approaches strong support levels.
From a technical perspective, a correction is a logical scenario in a strong market. Technically speaking, prices cannot rise indefinitely; they require energy, which is replenished through seller pressure.
Currently, key focus areas include 2912, Fibonacci 0.618, and Fibonacci 0.5 levels.
Resistance levels: 2912, 2930
Support levels: 2901 (Fibonacci 0.618), 2888 (Fibonacci 0.5)
Powell’s speech, scheduled for tonight, and tomorrow’s U.S. inflation data will be the main catalysts. High volatility is inevitable. However, overall economic conditions continue to support this precious metal.
Before moving higher, gold may first test 2901 and 2888. The target remains within the familiar range of 2950 to 3000.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
"WHEAT" Cash CFD Commodities Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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however I advise placing Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 2H timeframe (568.0) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
1st Target - 594.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
Final Target - 616.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
🌾"WHEAT" Cash CFD Commodities Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🌿Fundamental Analysis
Supply and Demand: Global wheat production is expected to increase by 2% in 2025, driven by favorable weather conditions in major producing countries
Weather Conditions: Weather forecasts indicate a high probability of drought in key wheat-producing regions, which could impact yields and support prices
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for wheat, particularly from emerging markets
Trade Policies: The recent trade agreements between major wheat-producing countries are expected to increase global wheat trade and support prices
🌿Macro Economics
Global GDP Growth: The World Bank forecasts global GDP growth to accelerate to 3.4% in 2025, up from 3.2% in 2024
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, driven by increasing demand and supply chain disruptions
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, supporting commodity prices
Unemployment Rate: The global unemployment rate is expected to decline to 5.4% in 2025, driven by job growth in emerging markets.
🌿COT Data
Net Long Positions: Institutional traders have increased their net long positions in wheat to 55%
COT Ratio: The COT ratio has risen to 2.2, indicating a bullish trend
Open Interest: Open interest in wheat futures has increased by 10% over the past month, indicating growing investor interest
🌿Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 60% bullish, 40% bearish
Retail Sentiment: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +30
🌿Technical Analysis
Moving Averages: 50-period SMA: 565.0, 200-period SMA: 540.0.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 4-hour chart: 62.21, daily chart: 58.14.
Bollinger Bands: 4-hour chart: 580.0 (upper band), 560.0 (lower band).
🌿Next Move Prediction
Bullish Move: Potential upside to 600.0-620.0.
Key Support Levels: 565.0, 540.0.
Key Resistance Levels: 600.0, 620.0.
🌿Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for wheat is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected increase in global wheat demand, favorable weather conditions, and low interest rates are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global trade policies and unexpected weather events.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
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XAUUSD: February 14 short-term bullish, long-term target 3000Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2950, support below 2852
Four-hour resistance 2950, support below 2896
Gold operation suggestions: Gold bottomed out and rebounded strongly to break a new high in the shock yesterday. The price of the Asian and European sessions was under pressure and fell back to the 2922 mark and then fluctuated repeatedly. The US session fell and stabilized for the second time at the 2906 mark and ushered in a strong rebound to break a new high. The gold price stood firmly above 2925 and continued the bullish strength. Today, the gold price hit the 2930 mark again at the opening of the Asian session. The short-term gold price experienced a slight adjustment and returned to the bullish strong range.
From the 4-hour analysis chart, today's support below is around 2900-2896, and the pressure above is around 2940-45. Rely on this range to wait for low-price buying during the day. The target is 2950 and then look at the 3000 mark. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 2896. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to buy at a low price.
BUY:2896near SL:2893
BUY:2910near SL:2906
BUY:2943near SL:2940
The strategy only provides trading directions.
"Gold Bullish Continuation: Waiting for Retest and Buy ConfirmatThis XAUUSD 4-hour chart shows a strong bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. A major support zone has been identified, and price is expected to retest this area before a potential continuation to the upside. The weak high suggests liquidity above, making it a potential target. The analysis indicates waiting for a retest at the support zone and confirming a buying opportunity before targeting higher levels. OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bullish
Rebound from the support
Below just as I predicted
And is now going up again
But Gold will soon hit a
Horizontal resistance
Level of 2942$ which is
Also an all-time-high
So we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Silver at $32.90, Asian Demand Fuels RiseSilver jumped to $32.90 on Friday morning, fueled by increased demand for safe-haven assets amid rising trade tensions and geopolitical risks. Additionally, strong demand from China and other Asian markets has further supported silver prices.
From a technical perspective, $33.15 is the first resistance level, with further targets at $33.80 and $34.50 if the price breaks higher. On the downside, $31.40 serves as the first support level, followed by $30.90 and $30.20 if selling pressure intensifies.