Quick Gains from Black Gold: A Short-Term Strategy for Oil🚀 Bullish Analysis for Crude Oil:
Current Price: 73.11 USD.
Support: The price is bouncing off the lower trend line of our ascending channel, acting like a solid floor! 🛑
RSI: At 39.10, we're not even halfway to overbought territory, plenty of room to climb! 📈
Entry: Buy now at 73.11 USD.
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 Take Profit 1: 73.60 USD
🎯 Take Profit 2: 74.25 USD
🏆 Take Profit 3: 75.00 USD
Stop Loss: Set your safety net at 72.40 USD, just below our support line. 🛡
This setup is not just good, it's electrifying! With a stop loss that's a safe distance away, you're setting up for a potential win with a solid risk-reward ratio. Let's ride this wave! 🌊
Commodities
Oil is heading for $80Light Crude Oil (CL) is showing bullish signs after the confirmation of an upside break of the long term downtrend line “K” at $73.
Now the contract is hitting the resistance of $76 where if it breaks to the upside then the space that can be stretched "unfortunately" goes up to $80.
Above that, inflation alarm bells will start to ring. It is a thorny element that can spoil the upward momentum of the markets since it will make central bankers more frugal in their decisions to further reduce interest rates.
For something to change here, the contract will have to declare a strong weakness of permeability at the level of $76 to $77.
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?XAG/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.69
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 31.40
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 29.88
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold completes bearish move and re-orbits towards $2800The gold contract appears on the two-week price chart to have completed its downward movement that it made in the two months of November - December 2024 and is preparing to resume the upward path that will lead it towards the level of highs between $2,750 and $2,800.
In order for us to be able to say in the coming days that the bullish scenario remains in force, the contract must not slip below the $2,600 limit. A fall now of the highs to $2,800 will open a communication channel with the psychological limit of $3,000.
#xauusd CPI week price range Gold tapping 2698 on NFP day was the perfection of KRI +Fib technique.
Bull is still in control with the intraday support of 2680 targeting 2.618 extension which is 2755/66 zone.
A break below intraday support 2680, short scalp targeting 2640/45, which is pre-jolts level. Bear will take over if it breaks below 2640/45 targeting 2588/92
EURAUD - Start 2025 with a BIG Win!EURAUD has given us a fantastic opportunity to get in at the very start of a BIG move.
We are currently in an ABC correction. We'e completed waves A and B and now currently in wave C. We're expecting 5 waves from wave C and looks as if we've completed wave 1 and currently in wave 2. We're looking to catch the rest of the move on the break of the trendline.
Trade Idea:
- Safe entry on break of trendline
- Riskier entry within the fibs or anywhere below invalidation
- stops above invalidation
- Targets: 1.6 (700pips), 1.156 (1100pips)
- Taper as we move lower
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
USOIL USOIL is still in an uptrend. Previous analysis on 1/12/2024, the price is up as expected and we expect the price to test the resistance zone 78-79. If the price cannot break through the 79 level, we expect the price to go down in the short term. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
USOIL Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 76.54
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 75.36
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [January 13 - January 17]Over the past week, international OANDA:XAUUSD increased from 2,614 USD/oz to 2,698 USD/oz and closed at 2,688 USD/oz. The main reason is concerns about rising inflation in the US due to President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary fiscal policies, tariffs and tightening immigration policies. Although high interest rates are often detrimental to gold prices, in the context of strong inflation, real interest rates decrease, creating a positive impact on gold prices.
That is also the reason why the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report for December 2024 increased by 256,000 jobs, far exceeding Reuters' forecast of 160,000 jobs and surpassing November's revised figure of 227,000 jobs, but gold prices still increased sharply this week.
With the inauguration day (January 20, 2025) of President-elect Donald Trump approaching, it is likely that next week's gold price will still be supported. Because Mr. Trump's expected policies, especially expansionary fiscal policy, tariff policy, and immigration policy, will all have the risk of increasing inflation. In particular, although tariff policy can reduce the US trade deficit, it will push up consumer prices. Tighter immigration policies will increase labor costs, causing product prices to increase, thereby also risking increasing the consumer price index...
Meanwhile, the FED has announced that it may only cut interest rates once this year, or may not even cut interest rates this year, if Mr. Trump's above-mentioned policies push US inflation to skyrocket.
📌Looking at the chart, next week's gold price will likely continue to move upward with the next important resistance levels being 2,725 - 2,790 USD/oz. Meanwhile, the level of 2,585 USD/oz is an important support level for gold prices next week.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,676 – 2,664USD
Resistance: 2,693 – 2,700USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2761 - 2759⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2765
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2649 - 2651⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2645
HelenP. I Gold will rebound down from resistance zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the trend line and rose to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and broke it. Then price continued to grow and later reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and even broke this level and rose a little more. After this, Gold turned around and made impulse down to the support level, breaking the resistance level, after which turned around and started to grow. Later, Gold reached the 2690 level one more time and broke it one more time, but this time it rose a little higher than the past breakout, to 2726 points. After this movement, the price in a short time declined to the support zone, breaking resistance with the support level and also the trend line too, and then started to grow inside the upward channel. In the channel, the price grew to the trend line and recently it even entered to resistance zone, exiting from the channel. But soon, Gold started to decline and for this case, I expect that XAUUSD will enter to resistance zone and then rebound down to the channel, where it falls to 2655 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can exit from wedge and rebound down from resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to downward wedge, where it at once started to decline and soon reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it. Next, the price continued to fall and later declined to support line of the wedge, breaking the support level as well. But when Gold touched the support line, it at once made a strong impulse up to the seller zone, breaking the support level one more time. Then price little grew higher than the seller zone, after which it turned around and made a correction to the support level, breaking the 2690 level one more time. After this, Gold some time traded near the support level and then backed up to the seller zone rose higher than this area again, and then rebounded down to the support line of the wedge. Then price turned around and started to grow and in a short time rose almost to the resistance line of the wedge. So, in my opinion, Gold can exit from the wedge, reach resistance level, and then start to decline. For this reason, I set my TP at 2620 points, which coincides with the support line of the wedge. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2691 and a gap below at 2679. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2691
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2691 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2706
POTENTIALLY 2719
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2719 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2736
BEARISH TARGETS
2679
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2679 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2668 - 2654
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2654 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640 - 2624
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 and price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2694 and a gap below at 2665. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2726 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2665
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2665 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2633
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2600
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range.
Last week we confirmed we had ema5 lock above 2629 further confirming the previous candle body close opening 2686
We continued to buy dips all the way into 2686 completing this gap. This played out perfectly. We now have a candle body close above 2686 opening 2760 but will need ema5 lock to further confirm this, only as a along range/term gap.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
Last week we stated that the channel top was continuing to provide support like we stated for the past few weeks.
We also stated that, as long as we see no ema5 cross and lock below into the channel, we can safely continue with our plans to buy dips in this range.
- This played out perfectly. You can see although we had the break into the channel with candle, ema5 failed to break inside, confirming the rejection and providing support above the channel like we stated. This followed with the perfect bounce inline with our plans to buy dips.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Ema5 is still playing above the channel top and has not broken into the channel providing support above the channel.
We will continue to track the movement down and trade the bounces up, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps above for the future.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Analysis of gold market trend next Monday:
On Friday (January 10), after the US non-farm report, spot gold once fell sharply to around $2,663/ounce, and then the gold price suddenly soared, reaching a high of nearly $2,698/ounce. The non-agricultural report released on Friday showed that 256,000 new jobs were created in December last year, much higher than the expected 160,000, and the largest increase in nine months; the unemployment rate in December was 4.1%, also lower than 4.2 % predicted value. After the non-farm data was released, the gold price once fell sharply to $2,663.73/ounce. But then the gold price rebounded rapidly, reaching a high of $2,697.98/ounce. As of the close of Friday, spot gold rose by $19.94, or 0.74%, to $2,689.71/ounce. Gold remained strong despite the much stronger-than-expected employment report. One of the factors supporting gold is the uncertainty before the inauguration of the US president. US President-elect Trump will take office on January 20, and investors are concerned about his proposed policy of imposing tariffs on a large number of imported products. I think the reason why gold prices rebounded after falling on Friday is that although the US non-farm payrolls data was stronger than expected, reducing the possibility of a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year, the uncertainty caused by the upcoming Trump administration policies has increased the safe-haven appeal of gold.
At the beginning of next week, investors will pay close attention to China's December trade account data. The significant increase in China's trade surplus may support gold prices during the Asian trading session next Monday. Next Wednesday, U.S. inflation data for December may trigger the next big move in gold. The market expects the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) to rise by 0.3% month-on-month in December, but the core CPI will fall by 0.1% during the same period. If the core CPI reaches a positive value, the immediate reaction of the market may boost the US dollar and cause gold to fall. On the other hand, negative data may make it difficult for the US dollar to find demand and help gold hold its ground. During next Friday's Asian trading session, China's fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data may influence gold trends. Analysts expect China's fourth-quarter GDP annual growth rate to reach 5.1%, higher than the third-quarter growth rate of 4.6%. A positive surprise could help gold prices higher, while disappointing GDP data could weigh on them. Market participants will also be keeping a close eye on new developments surrounding Trump's tariff strategy. While gold has been benefiting from risk aversion, a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields could limit gains. Gold prices held up despite a much stronger-than-expected jobs report… One of the factors supporting gold prices is the uncertainty that has emerged in the run-up to the U.S. presidential inauguration. As President-elect Donald Trump's Jan. 20 inauguration approaches, investors are concerned about his promise to impose tariffs on a wide range of imports, fearing that the move could fuel inflation and further limit the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates. While gold is seen as a safeguard against inflation, high interest rates have undermined its appeal as a non-yielding asset.
Technical analysis of gold: The non-agricultural data on Friday was very bearish, but the trend was beyond the market's expectations. Although there was a pullback, it eventually formed a bottoming out and rebound situation. This may be because the bulls are still strong, and the short-selling impact of the non-agricultural data was just a short-term wash. It began to pull back after reaching the lowest point near 2664, and stopped after reaching the highest point near 2697, closing at 2690. The daily line closed in the form of a positive line again, forming a strong four-day positive line, and the weekly line also closed with a big positive line. The overall trend is still strong, and the upper pressure is at the integer level of 2700. This position may still be broken next week, but the key suppression point and watershed remain near 2710. Once this position is broken, the upward momentum of the bulls may explode again, but there is also the possibility of a reversal next week. Since the pullback from 2583, the amplitude has reached about 110 US dollars, and the support below is first of all the 2680 line. If it is still in For bulls, this position may form a certain support effect, and it is also the first position to be digested. So we still need to maintain the bullish thinking for gold next Monday. For example, we can go long at 2680 first. If the European session continues to retreat, the support needs to be adjusted to 2665 to continue to look long.
From the four-hour level, after breaking through 2665 US dollars, gold has accelerated its rise, and the highest point has reached around 2697. According to the extension line, it can be inferred that the resistance level is around 2727, and the lower support level has moved up to around 2680 US dollars. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a golden cross and the bulls are arranged upward. However, the daily support is around 2670. If the market fluctuates and touches here, you can try to go long. Traders must manage their positions reasonably, with the target around 2700-2710; if it reaches around 2710 and does not break, you can try to short sell and continue to go long after falling back. The trend is relatively clear and does not require too much analysis.
Taken together, in terms of short-term gold operation ideas next Monday, our team recommends to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus will be on the 2710-2720 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus will be on the 2670-2677 first-line support. It is recommended to go long next Monday when gold is close to 2670. If the gold Asian market strengthens, you can first light your position and try to buy long near 2682.
$USOIL USOIL WT CRUDE OIL Descending TriangleTVC:USOIL USOIL WT CRUDE OIL price action has formed a Descending Triangle on the Weekly timeframe.
Current Price: 70.3
In previous years, #USOIL reached a high of 149 and retraced to a low of 66.4 (A retracement of over 50%)
A breakout of Descending triangle can lead to higher prices: 73.9, 84.4, 94.3
A break below 66.4 can lead to prices down to 42.7!
It remains to be seen...
CL Week Review 01/06/25 - 01/10/25Looks like my Directional Bias for CL was off. Instead of price coming lower to fill in the BISI and take the PDLs it rallied higher through the Volume Imbalance and raided all the BSL. Now that wick higher on Friday did not stop at a random spot. Look closely and you will notice its the Premium Daily 50% CE level of the wick and price reversed nicely off from there.
Now the question remains does price justify to continue higher and take the BSL at 78.46 or does price reverse from there and then target the SSL and the D BISI?
Currently its still looking Bullish since price closed above the Volume Imbalance and the PDH from Thu Oct 10 2024 at 76.24 but lets see how price opens on Sunday and we can definitely expect a volatile week since there is a good amount of economic news drivers.
Levrage During this Metals Bull - finding the next Newmount?Relatively safe ways to gain exposure to leveraged plays in the form of mining companies.
Many established miners are way too unbelievably low with current metals prices. Here we look at the technical perspective on why I am bullish on these cyclical mining stocks and why they could yield outstanding returns - which is to say now may be the time to scale in before they catch up to precious metals prices.
FSM
ASM
SBSW