Can a V-shaped reversal continue the bull market?🗞News side:
1. Hamas official: If a permanent ceasefire is achieved, control of the Gaza Strip can be handed over
2. Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rates are no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to fall to 2.2% in April.
3. Russia and Ukraine reached a ceasefire at the technical level
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday, the gold price staged a V-shaped reversal and once rose to close near 3244. Although the technical indicators in the hourly chart show a favorable situation, there has been no correction in the current round of gold price increase, and the rise is slow. In addition, the RSI has entered the overbought area, so we need to be alert to the possibility of gold price correction today. Focus on the 3250-3260 resistance on the top and the 3210-3200 support on the bottom.
SELL 3245-3250 TP 3210-3200
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Commodities
XAUUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.2564, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3266.64, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 3118.01, below a swing low support.
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Bullish bounce?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which acts as an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 60.07
1st Support: 57.67
1st Resistance: 64.55
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XAUUSD STRUCTURAL ZONE PLAN – MAY 16, 2025🔍 XAUUSD STRUCTURAL ZONE PLAN – MAY 16, 2025
No SL/TP – Only Clean POIs to Watch Like a Sniper.
🟥 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 ZONA 1: 3285–3295
→ Daily OB + extreme liquidity pocket
Clean unmitigated OB on Daily
Sweep risk above prior LH + inducement layer
If price gets here, we watch for top-out or violent rejection
🧠 Ultimate bull trap if news spikes high
🔻 ZONA 2: 3265–3275
→ H4 + H1 OB confluence
Reactive supply zone
FVG left unfilled + imbalance
Strong zone for reversal traps post-news
🧠 Ideal for NY session liquidity grab
🔻 ZONA 3: 3240–3252
→ Active intraday premium FVG
NY high sweep + imbalance fill
Close to 61.8% retrace from swing
Major inducement area
🧠 Watch for rejection behavior after sharp move up
🔻 ZONA 4: 3228–3235
→ M15 OB zone, micro trap
Minor supply zone inside HTF FVG
If rejected early in London, it can lead to NY sweep reentry
🧠 Less reliable alone – use with structure break
🟩 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟢 ZONA 1: 3165–3172
→ H4 demand zone retest
Key CHoCH area on H4
Previously unmitigated base
Inside 50–61.8% Fibo range
🧠 Best zone for continuation if structure remains bullish
🟢 ZONA 2: 3140–3150
→ M30 OB + breaker zone
Below liquidity shelf
If we see a sharp drop, this becomes a must-watch bounce zone
🧠 Entry only if confirmed M5 BOS/CHoCH post-sweep
🟢 ZONA 3: 3110–3125
→ Extreme demand zone
Daily structure sweep zone
Oversold + full mitigation level
Last line of defense before HTF shift
🧠 Deep discount – don’t enter without confirmation
🔐 STRUCTURE TRACKER – MAY 16
Level Type Price Range Description
🔼 Premium Roof 3285–3295 Daily OB cap, max squeeze trap
🔼 Supply Layer 3265–3275 Rejection zone – spike entry risk
🔼 Trap Area 3240–3252 NY fakeout risk zone
🔼 Micro OB 3228–3235 Intraday trap area
🔽 Reclaim Demand 3165–3172 Strong CHoCH demand zone
🔽 Break & Retest 3140–3150 OB + breaker base
🔽 Liquidity Sweep 3110–3125 Deep discount reaction zone
🎯 Final Note:
Don’t force setups. These are sniper POIs — if no structure break or CHoCH → no trade.
We don’t chase candles. We trap impulsive traders and ride the reaction.
News will hit. Flow will spike. Stay reactive.
USOIL RISKY SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL is going up to retest
A horizontal resistance of 62.00$
Which makes me locally bearish biased
And I think that we will see a pullback
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 60.62$
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTI Crude Returns to the $60 ZoneWTI crude oil has posted a drop of more than 4% in recent sessions as the market digests new announcements from OPEC+. The organization stated that current economic conditions could support growth in oil demand throughout 2025 and 2026. However, it remains firm in its decision to increase production starting in May and June, with monthly increments of 411,000 barrels per day, and has also announced another increase in July.
This stance has sparked concerns in the market about a potential short-term oversupply. If this strategy persists, selling pressure could return to WTI price action in the coming sessions.
Bearish Trend
Since January 20, a clear bearish trend has been forming, pushing the barrel’s price below the $60 mark. While a notable upward move is currently underway, it remains insufficient to break the prevailing bearish formation, which continues to be the dominant technical structure in the short term.
ADX
The ADX line was previously hovering around the 40 level, reflecting high volatility in price movements. However, it has begun to flatten, and if this continues, it could suggest a loss of directional strength, paving the way for a more neutral price behavior.
RSI
The behavior of the RSI mirrors that of the ADX. It is currently oscillating around the 50 level, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressure, and reinforcing the potential for a neutral phase in the short term.
Key Levels:
$65 – Current Resistance: Aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and acts as a key psychological level. A breakout above this level could extend the current bullish bias over the coming sessions.
$67 – Distant Resistance: Matches the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a sideways zone observed in March. Sustained moves above this area could challenge the existing bearish structure on the chart.
$60 – Crucial Support: Represents a consistent area of indecision in recent months. If the price returns to this level, the previous bearish structure could regain strength in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Potential bullish bounce?USO/USD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 60.39
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 57.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 64.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GOLD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,222.40 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,193.95.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS 🔥 XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS & PURE GOLD FLOW INCOMING 🔥
No setups. No predictions. Just sniper vision + POIs that matter.
– by GoldFxMinds
🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – POWELL DAY: LIQUIDITY MODE ON
Tomorrow, May 15, markets lock eyes on U.S. Unemployment Claims + Powell Speech at 15:30 (UTC+2).
After CPI’s downside surprise and increasing signs of a softer Fed tone, volatility is guaranteed.
We are in a recalibration phase, with panic selling possibly pausing... but not over — yet.
Expect:
Fakeouts before confirmation
Traps near equilibrium
Massive liquidity sweeps NY session
🧭 STRUCTURE FLOW – MULTI-TF ALIGNMENT
TF Bias Status
D1 🔻 Bearish CHoCH confirmed + BOS → rejection from 3455 FVG, now testing deep discount.
H4 🔻 Bearish LL formed. BOS at 3220 confirmed. Price now in strong OB at 3180–3174.
H1 ⚖️ Neutral–Bullish CHoCH + consolidation under 3200 = decision zone.
M15–M5 🔼 Corrective Bullish BOS from 3174 low. FVG + OB reaction at 3184–3187. No trend reversal yet.
⚡️ BIAS & SESSION EXPECTATIONS
Session Bias Notes
Asia Flat–Reactive Expect low-volume bounce/consolidation.
London Neutral–Bullish If price holds 3174 and reclaims 3187, possible pre-news pump.
NY Pre-News Bullish Bias Only if 3200–3205 breaks clean with structure shift.
Post-News Volatility Trap Zone Eyes on sweep + reversal OR fakeout > continuation. No early entries.
📍 ZONE MAP – EYES ON POIs ONLY
🟢 BUY WATCH AREAS (Do Not Buy Until Confirmed)
Zone Price Reason
🟢3180–3174 Deep Reactive Demand -Active OB that gave current bounce. Watch CHoCH on M5–M15 if price retests.
🟢3165–3150 Sweep Zone -Clean SL liquidity zone. If swept with reversal → sniper entry confirmed.
3125–3110 Final Demand POI-Deep OB + FVG unmitigated on H4. Perfect for fakeout spike if 3165 breaks.
🔴 SELL WATCH ZONES (Trap Reversal Areas)
Zone Price Reason
3200–3205 Bull Trap Supply-BOS zone from May 13. If we reject here → continuation down confirmed.
🔴3235–3245 NY Spike Trap→OB + FVG confluence. If spiked after news, look for rejection wick → sell setup.
🔴3285–3295 Final Premium Cap→ D1 OB supply. Only if price explodes post-news → expect top-out or massive rejection.
🔐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – LEVEL TRACKER
Type Level Status
Weak low 3174 Hit & reacting. Confirmed bounce.
Key invalidation SL zone 3165 Critical. If broken → 3125–3110 in play.
Bullish reclaim trigger 3200–3205 Flip this = momentum back to buyers short-term.
Trap zone 3235–3245 Watch for wick trap after Powell.
Final rejection cap 3285–3295 Premium OB. No further upside expected beyond here.
🧩 STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK FOR TOMORROW – NO SETUPS, ONLY SMART REACTIONS
DO NOT BUY blindly under 3200 — structure is still bearish until flipped.
If 3165 sweeps → wait for CHoCH M5/M15 and reclaim. Otherwise, let it drop toward 3125–3110.
If price pumps into 3205 before Powell → sell trap zone active.
If price pumps into 3235–3245 post-news → ideal premium reversal zone.
🎯 FINAL NOTES
This isn’t a day for basic setups. It’s a liquidity game.
We’re in sniper territory, and gold’s volatility is about to hit full throttle.
So tomorrow:
Track these POIs, not bias.
Let the market show you its cards.
React only to clean CHoCH or BOS.
💬 Comment below if you’re watching the reclaim… or waiting to slap the trap.
We’ll post a post-Powell recap + directional update.
No fear. No hope. Just levels.
— GoldFxMinds
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 32.513 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 32.783 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE Hey Everyone,
Another productive session on the charts, with our strategy of buying dips delivering solid results once again.
This is a follow up on our 4-hour chart setup. The week began with our initial bearish targets being achieved, each confirmed by decisive candle body closures. Additionally, momentum conditions allowed for EMA5 lock confirmations at key levels, reinforcing the validity of the moves.
Today, price action tested the secondary swing range following a confirmed break and EMA5 lock below the primary swing zone. This led to a clean retracement and a reaction from the secondary swing range, with price covering the full range of the swing, a strong technical sign of structure respecting prior levels.
Looking ahead, we are closely monitoring for one of two scenarios:
1. Primary swing range completion – If price continues its upward momentum and completes the move back to the primary range, this could set the stage for a potential breakout.
2. Rejection at current zone – Should price fail to reclaim the primary swing range, we anticipate a retest of the lower Goldturn zones as support. A successful hold and bounce from this level would reinforce the broader range dynamics and offer renewed long opportunities.
We'll remain reactive to price structure and momentum alignment, especially in relation to key support/resistance levels.
Mr Gold
GOLDVIEWFX
USOIL Temporary Drop seems inevitableOn Thursday, WTI crude oil futures prices fell approximately 3.5% during the session, extending losses after failing to test technical resistance levels. The decline was jointly driven by heightened expectations of a U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement and unexpected increases in crude oil inventories, both of which exerted heavy pressure on supply outlooks. Nevertheless, market analysis suggests the downside for the U.S. dollar may be limited. Improved global trade sentiment has reduced recession fears, leading markets to scale back expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts. Data shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September is now 74%, down from earlier predictions of a July cut.
Crude oil continued to decline today, breaking the previous upward pattern, with a high probability that prices will trade in a broad range going forward. Overall, the magnitude of the decline has increased, suggesting a higher likelihood of further downside. Today's trading strategy considers shorting on rebounds as the primary approach, while waiting for long opportunities at lower levels. Resistance is focused on the $62.0–63.0 area, with support at $60.0–59.0.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Hanzo | Gold min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
Bullish After Break Out : 3154
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Strong bullish reaction from a refined demand zone.
☄️Entry based on Smart Money Concepts: Break of structure + order block confirmation.
☄️Confluence with higher time frame support or key level.
☄️Bullish engulfing / displacement candle shows clear intent.
☄️Market in premium-to-discount transition zone.
Hanzo | Gold min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move
GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3203.1
Stop Loss - 3212.0
Take Profit - 3181.7
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold (XAUUSD) Reversal Setup - Watching for CHoCH on 1HGold has shown a strong bounce from a key support zone around $3,120, which previously acted as resistance. This area is now proving to be a solid demand zone.
✅ On lower timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m), we’re seeing a clear structure shift with Higher Highs (HHs) forming, indicating early signs of bullish momentum.
🧠 On the 1H timeframe, the Change of Character (CHoCH) level is around $3,270 — a clean break above this could confirm a bullish market structure shift.
🎯 If $3,270 is reclaimed with strength, potential upside targets could be:
$3,350 (mid-range supply)
$3,400 (previous weekly high)
This aligns with smart money concepts (CHoCH → BOS → expansion) and we are currently in the Discount zone, making this an attractive area for potential long positions.
📌 Levels to Watch:
Support: $3,120
CHoCH: $3,270
Targets: $3,350 / $3,400
Gold V-shaped reversal? How to solve the short order quilt🗞News side:
1.PPI has fallen for three consecutive months
2. Russia-Ukraine talks are ongoing
3. Powell says the era of long-term low interest rates is over
📈Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded from oversold in the European session, hitting a low of 3120 before pulling back and rising. After a second retracement to confirm 3130, it made a V-shaped reversal. Currently, gold is still testing the 3190-3200 resistance line. Before breaking the resistance range, gold may still usher in a second bottom detection
🎁SELL 3190-3200, SL 3210, TP 3170-3160
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD - Price can continue to decline to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price reached $3075 level, broke it, and then rose a little, but soon turned around and made correction movement.
Next, price entered to triangle, where it reached support line, at once, and then made an upward impulse.
Price broke $3075 level and soon reached and broke too $3290 level, after which Gold rose to resistance line.
After this, price turned around and corrected $3290 level, but then it came back to resistance line.
But recently, Gold dropped to support line of triangle, breaking $3290 level and making a gap, after which it exited from triangle.
Now I think XAU can make a retest, after exiting, and then continue to decline to $3075 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)After a strong drop of 700 PIPS overnight, Gold has now strongly recovered from today's low pushing up nearly 800 PIPS. A complete U turn, wiping out all of the sellers gains.
Will keep an eye out to see if this move is a short squeeze to take out sellers before dropping again, or will bulls be coming back in control soon.
CRUDE OIL Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL has retested a
Nice round horizontal
Support level of 60$
And we are predictably
Seeing a bullish reaction
From the level which we
Believe will take the price
A bit higher still
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
A wave of bargain hunting is giving short-term support to gold April’s U.S. CPI came in below expectations, cooling down hopes for Fed rate cuts. The U.S. Dollar index has also eased off its one-month high, while ongoing geopolitical concerns continue to back gold’s rise. On Wednesday morning (May 14), spot gold traded in a narrow range around $3,245 per ounce.
Inflation Data
April’s U.S. CPI rose only 0.2%, less than the expected 0.3%. This boosted gold as it doesn’t reduce the chances of Fed rate cuts, with markets still expecting cuts to continue in September. However, inflation could pick up again in the coming months due to tariff effects, so many investors still see gold as a solid hedge against inflation.
On Tuesday, both Do Nam Trung and Trump called on the Fed to cut rates.
Geopolitical Situation
Geopolitical tensions remain a strong support for gold. Talks between Ukraine and Russia are still uncertain, and although the India-Pakistan conflict has paused with a ceasefire, tensions haven’t eased much. These risks keep gold’s upside potential alive if markets face sudden shocks.
Gold Outlook
Gold faces three main challenges:
Progress in U.S.-China trade talks — even with a 90-day truce, tariffs remain in place.
Fed monetary policy — mild inflation data could pave the way for rate cuts.
Global geopolitical risks — especially the Russia-Ukraine peace talks and India-Pakistan tensions.
There’s little major economic data today. U.S. Secretary of State Rubio will attend a NATO meeting to discuss security priorities and the Russia-Ukraine war, while several Fed officials will speak, so investors should stay alert.
Technical Analysis (XAU/USD)
On the daily chart, gold is trading within a narrow range with short-term bearish pressure from the 21-day EMA. The 0.50 Fibonacci retracement near $3,228 is key support limiting further drops. If this level breaks, gold could fall toward $3,163.
For a new uptrend, gold needs to climb above the EMA21 and break through the $3,300 level.
Key levels to watch:
Support: 3,228 – 3,200 – 3,163 USD
Resistance: 3,245 – 3,292 – 3,300 USD
Wishing you a productive and successful trading day!