COPPER at Key Resistance: Will Sellers Push Toward 4.5230?PEPPERSTONE:COPPER has reached a significant resistance level, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as strong supply, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers regain control.
If the price confirms a rejection within this supply zone, I anticipate a move downward toward the 4.5230 level. This setup suggests the possibility of a retracement after the recent upward movement.
Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejection wicks, before entering short positions.
Commodities
WTI Oil Short: Bearish Setup After Sharp RallyOil prices have surged impressively, fueled by recent fundamental-driven market moves. However, this swift upside has led WTI crude to my point of interest, offering a prime opportunity to short against the trend. My trade strategy includes taking partials at the $74 price zone. Here’s why this setup is supported by bearish fundamentals:
1. Rising U.S. Fuel Inventories
Recent data shows significant growth in U.S. gasoline and distillate stockpiles, hinting at a potential oversupply in the market.
2. Strengthening U.S. Dollar
A stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing global demand and weighing on prices.
3. Increased Non-OPEC Supply
With rising production levels from non-OPEC countries, analysts expect an oversupplied market in 2025, adding further pressure on oil prices.
4. Weakening Global Demand
Economic growth concerns in major markets like China and Germany are fostering expectations of reduced oil demand, reinforcing a bearish outlook.
These combined factors strongly support a short position on WTI crude oil. Stay strategic, take profits along the way, and manage your risk carefully in this volatile environment!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Silver bullish flag continuation pattern formingThe Silver (XAGUSD) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The price action creates a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The recent consolidation appears to be forming a bullish flag continuation pattern.
The key trading level is at 3171, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 3171 level could target the upside resistance at 3274 followed by the 3308 and 3340 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 3171 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 3125 support level followed by 3076.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Natural Gas Short: Testing the $4 Barrier – Opportunity Knocks!Natural Gas (XNG/USD) has spiked to revisit the $4 price zone, activating my short trade. This marks the second time in two years that the price has reached this significant resistance area. The $4 level is pivotal, serving as a key psychological barrier and a historic zone of strong price action. With the position now live, I am leveraging the resistance for a retracement opportunity.
Fundamentals:
• Weather and Seasonal Demand: Short-term spikes in demand are driven by cold weather in the U.S., but with futures traders starting to focus on spring, we may see waning bullish momentum in the coming weeks.
• Russian Gas Supply Constraints: Limited Russian gas flows to the EU continue to add uncertainty to the market, but the current rally seems to be pricing in short-term factors rather than long-term structural changes.
• Historical Levels: The $4 spot price has attracted significant attention as a resistance zone, with $3.40 acting as a key support in recent months. The bounce from this level earlier this year highlights its importance.
• Market Behavior: Futures traders’ sentiment and seasonality are critical drivers. As winter progresses, reduced speculative demand may favor a bearish pullback.
Technicals:
• Entry: $4.00 (Resistance Zone)
• Target: $2.60 - 2.70
• Partials: From $3,19
• Stop Loss: $4.40 (Above Recent Highs)
• Timeframe: 12H
This short trade aligns with technical, fundamental, and seasonal narratives. As the price has shown rejection at this zone, I will actively monitor for a breakdown toward the $3.40 level while managing risk prudently. Stay disciplined, follow your trading plan, and remember to pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Gold NEW ATH to $2,912?! (VIDEO ANALYSIS)4H chart has hit our resistance zone & rejected. But, on the smaller TF we're currently seeing a re-distribution schematic play out on Gold ahead of its sell off which means we MIGHT see 1 more new ATH. Re-distribution schematics normally take place in between Wave 3 high, Wave 4 low & Wave 5 high.
This sell off schematic normally builds up within a 'Flat Correction' channel, which traps in early sellers & late buyers into the market. This is why it's a hard pattern to recognise.
⭕️POI 1: $2,857 - $2,848
⭕️POI 2: $2,826 - $2,817
Gold at $2,918 – Breakout to New ATH or Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis
Gold is trading near $2,918, a key pivot level. A breakout or rejection at this level will define the next move.
🔑 Key Levels
📌 Pivot Point: 2918
📈 Resistance Levels: 2934, 2956, 2974
📉 Support Levels: 2896, 2880, 2872
Market Outlook:
A confirmed 4H candle close above 2,918 will push gold toward 2,934 and 2,956, with a possible retest of the ATH at 2,974.
A failure to hold 2,918 may trigger a correction toward 2,896 and 2,880.
💬 Will Gold break above 2,918 or correct lower? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
XAU/USD : Important Zones for BUY and SELL ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 30-minute gold chart, we can see that gold continued its bullish momentum yesterday, reaching a new all-time high at $2,942, as expected from our previous analysis. It was still too early to anticipate a correction, and the strong momentum pushed the price higher.
Currently, gold is trading around $2,900, and I expect the price to dip below $2,896 soon to collect liquidity before we assess its reaction to this level.
Additionally, there is an FVG between $2,929 and $2,934, which I expect to be filled soon as price moves higher. Keep a close watch on how gold reacts at this level for potential SELL setups.
The key BUY zones to consider are $2,875, $2,866, and $2,856.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold to $3,000? Key Levels to Watch-XAU/USD AnalysisGold has been on a tear lately, pushing up towards $2,942, and the big question now is: Do we see a pullback, or is $3,000+ on the horizon?
Here’s what I’m watching:
🔹 $2,942 – Key resistance level. If we break above, momentum could take us straight to $3,000.
🔹 $2,875 – A potential pullback zone where buyers might step in before another leg up.
Markets are moving fast, and this could get interesting. Are you bullish or bearish on gold right now? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
WTIhello trader, today the price drop back to main support and we see 4hr bullish candle.. the price will likely reverse but regardless use proper risk management as suggested on the chart... the target level is the resistances as shown.. the price will likely make higher highs based on trend changing...
good luck..
Trade Idea : XAUUSD Short ( MARKET)Analysis Summary:
• Daily Chart: Strong uptrend but overbought (RSI 76.73). Potential for a pullback.
• 15-Min Chart: Price has lost momentum, MACD is flattening.
• 3-Min Chart: Recent price action shows rejection near $2919-$2920 with weakening bullish momentum.
Given the overbought daily RSI, loss of momentum on the lower timeframes, and potential profit-taking, a short trade is the highest-probability setup.
Trade Setup:
• Entry: $2915 (Near resistance & rejection area)
• Stop Loss (SL): $2923 (Above local highs for protection)
• Take Profit (TP): $2899 (2:1 Risk-Reward Ratio)
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Could optimism on Ukraine undermine gold?I think there is a good case for gold to correct itself in the not-too-distant future, but a confirmed reversal stick needs to be formed for me to turn bearish on XAU in short-term outlook.
With Trump declaring that he will end the wars in the Gaza and Ukraine, one could argue that haven demand is going to drop back if he achieves those goals. What’s more, his protectionist and spending policies could keep US inflation elevated, pushing back rate cut expectations and supporting bond yields. Today’s hot PPI figures certainly point that way.
But for now, strong bullish momentum prevails, and traders are largely ignoring these considerations.
For now, dips continue to be bought in gold, as they have done so for a long time now. It is a mix of factors – ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, inflation concerns, central bank easing, and steady demand from central banks and retail investors – all combining to maintain the bullish trend.
Let’s see if in the coming days that trend changes.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 2-13: Harami Inside PatternToday's pattern is a Harami Inside pattern. This suggests the markets will stay rather muted today - attempting to stay within yesterday's high/low range.
I believe the markets are still struggling to identify a channel that will ultimately break to the downside.
You'll see in this video why I believe the markets are struggling and will attempt to confirm the multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns over the next 20+ days - attempting to move downward.
But, we do have a very interesting FLAG/CHANNEL setup on the NQ, which is somewhat confirmed on the ES.
What I can guarantee is that we will see extreme volatility over the next 20-30+ days as price moves into the Flag Apex - attempting to break away from the Apex level.
Thank you for all your support and understanding yesterday. Dad is good. No issues.
The VA out here is great (Long Beach). Probably the best center for spinal recovery in the US. I love the people up there and how they take care of my father.
I urge everyone to stay cautious until the end of this week. As you know, I expect a breakdown into new lows.
We'll see if it plays out as I expect over the next week+.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Gold Bullish Setup | Demand Zone Rejection & Upside Potential📈 Bullish Setup:
The price recently touched a demand zone (orange box) and reacted upward.
A large blue arrow indicates an expectation for price to rise towards the target area (gray box).
📊 Technical Indicators:
200 EMA (red line) at 2,894.263: The price is hovering around this level, which could act as dynamic support.
Current Price: 2,897.660: Above the EMA, indicating a possible short-term bullish momentum.
Key Support: 2,889.708 (orange label): If price breaks below, bullish bias might weaken.
🚀 Potential Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: Around 2,895–2,897 (just above demand).
Target: 2,912 (upper resistance).
Stop Loss: Below 2,889.
DeGRAM | GOLD correction after retest of the channelGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and is now holding under the resistance level.
We expect the correction to continue.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
USOIL Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 73.038.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 70.781 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD: Short-term strategy on February 13Technical analysis of spot gold
Daily resistance 2950, support below 2852
Four-hour resistance 2950, support below 2896
The previous suggestion to buy at 2910 has risen to 2918.
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold fluctuated downward in the Asian and European sessions. During the CPI period, the price fell to 2864 and then started to counterattack. As of today, the highest point has risen to 2922. Judging from yesterday's trend, the first half of the market was running well, and a deep V rebound occurred in the NY market. From the current market, the daily chart shows signs of a V-shaped pattern. Yesterday's bottoming and rebounding directly limited the range of today's adjustment, so today is still a shock, and it is expected that the bottoming and rebound will hit the second highest point.
At present, from the perspective of gold in the 4-hour period, today's support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2896-2900. If it falls back during the day, it will continue to look up and continue to rebound. The upper short-term resistance is 2928-35. Buy at a low price based on this range during the day and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
NY Market Strategy
BUY:2900near
Gold Price Up 10% Already in 2025. Is $3,000 Only the Beginning?Gold XAUUSD clocked a 27% rise in 2024 when a flurry of events aligned to position the safe-haven asset front and center for global traders. This year, the shiny stuff is already off the charts and into new horizons, nearing $3,000 per ounce.
Record after record, gold has defied all gloom-and-doom forecasters and permabears. But is that gold rush sustainable? Depends on who you ask. But the fundamentals are certainly there.
A surge in US shipments is driving the latest leg up in the price as gold traders and dealers scramble to import boatloads of it before Trump potentially slaps a tariff on the metal, which has historically been free from such tax charges.
A sweeping arbitrage trade is taking place between London and New York. The Americans are piling bullion bars on Comex, the New York commodity exchange while the Brits are seeing their gold reserves dry up, driving the cost of borrowing up by 10% or more (borrowers are usually commercial banks and gold-linked businesses).
What’s more, the waiting time to pull gold from the Bank of England has skyrocketed from mere days to between a month and two months.
The result of that arbitrage? Inventories in New York have soared roughly 100% since November’s Presidential election with stockpiles now sitting at more than $100 billion in value — that’s more than 1,000 tons. If it was easy to do it, then we could probably brush it off as pure speculation. But it’s a hassle.
Here’s how it works: The London gold is not acceptable in New York. To close a contract and stack up the glittery metal in the US, the heavy stuff that’s being transported on planes across the Atlantic needs to be in differently shaped bars.
Gold dealers need to first pass it through a refinery in Switzerland where it gets melted and reshaped into the shape Comex takes in New York. That’s how physical gold is different from pretty much any other physical asset like a stock certificate or a bond.
Apparently, the insane tariff drama that releases a new episode every day could easily drive the price of gold higher. And that’s what Wall Street thinks will happen. Goldman Sachs GS , the formidable investment banking giant that’s over 150 years old, said in a note that gold prices could top $3,000 this year. It almost happened already and we’re not even past February.
Gold hit a record high of $2,940 per ounce on Tuesday — cue the celebration among gold bugs.
Another big reason for gold to shine in 2025 is how central banks warmed up to it in 2024. Let’s roll back the tape a little bit — the World Gold Council estimates that central banks last year stacked up more than 800 tons of gold. The biggest buyer on that list is Poland with 80 tons of it. The next four — Turkey, India, Azerbaijan, China.
Digging a bit deeper, lower interest rates generally support the bullish narrative for gold, which is a non-yielding asset. Gold doesn’t generate passive income, it doesn’t pay dividends and doesn’t pay you any sort of return like a bond does.
When interest rates fall, the environment benefits gold because the opportunity cost of holding it is less and investors jump in more easily. This said, pay attention to the economic calendar for any hot data releases that may stir up gold markets.
With momentum being as strong as it is now, do you think gold has more room to the upside? Or are we now in froth land and prices could turn around? Share your thoughts on gold in the comments!
Silver Prices Soar on Electrification DemandSilver rose above $32 per ounce, nearing a three-month high with high demand in the electrification sector, offsetting concerns over a hawkish Fed. The US ISM manufacturing PMI's unexpected rebound improved the manufacturing outlook, while China, India, and Indonesia encouraged investments in solar and wind power. Meanwhile, the US inflation data reduced expectations for lower Fed borrowing costs, increasing the opportunity cost of holding precious metals.
The first resistance level will be 32.50 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 33.00 and 33.50. On the downside, 31.40 will be the first support level. 30.90 and 30.20 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
Gold Near Peak Level Despite Fed HawkishnessGold prices remained near a record high above $2,900 per ounce, as investors turned to trusted assets with rising trade tensions and economic uncertainty. The White House announced that Trump’s reciprocal tariffs could be introduced as early as Thursday, following his 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports. These add to existing tariffs, including 10% on Chinese goods and 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports, though the latter are paused. Meanwhile, U.S. inflation data exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts and weighing on gold’s appeal.
Technically, resistance stands at 2,949, with further levels at 2,975 and 3,000. Support is at 2,885, followed by 2,830 and 2,760 if declines continue.
GOLD - Price can make correction move to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon reached $2695 support level.
Next, price made a small correction and soon broke this level and continued to move up inside rising channel.
Later Gold corrected to support line and some time grew near this line, after which bounced and rose to $2880 level.
Soon, price broke this level too, and continued to grow to resistance line of channel, after which corrected.
After this movement, the price continued to grow, so, I think that Gold can rise a little more and then start to fall.
In my mind, XAU can decline to $2865 points, which is located inside the support area.
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