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XAUUSD Analysis – July 2–3, 2025: Resistance Holds Gold is currently trading around 3,337 USD, having tested the 3,350 USD resistance zone without a successful breakout. The price remains under pressure from key macroeconomic factors: - The Dollar Index (DXY) is stable above 106 – a sign of continued demand for the greenback, which weakens gold. - U.S. 10-year Treasury yields hold around 4.35%, reinforcing the view that the Fed will keep interest rates high. - The Core PCE report for June remains above the Fed’s 2% inflation target, decreasing expectations of a rate cut in Q3. - Safe-haven demand is weak, as geopolitical tension in the Middle East and Eastern Europe remains subdued. ➡ Overall, these factors confirm that XAUUSD remains under bearish pressure in both the short and medium term, especially while key resistance remains intact. 1. Technical Analysis – XAUUSD on D1 Chart - Price recently tested the 3,340 – 3,350 USD resistance zone, a confluence of: Previous supply zone - Fibonacci retracement 0.5–0.618 from 3,399 USD - Key Change of Character (CHoCH) level - RSI is forming a mild bearish divergence, signaling weakening bullish momentum. - EMA20 and EMA50 are both sloping downward – confirming the prevailing bearish trend. This setup is typical of a Sell on Rally pattern, with each retracement being rejected at strong resistance. 2. Key Technical Zones to Watch Technical Role - 3,350 – 3,340 Major resistance (Fibo 0.5–0.618 + supply + CHoCH) - 3,294 – 3,285 Nearest support – previously a resistance-turned-support - 3,255 – 3,235 Short-term target zone – June low - 3,223 – 3,205 Strong medium-term support – April low + extended Fibo 3. Suggested Trade Setup Preferred Scenario: SELL below 3,350 Entry: 3,345 – 3,347 Stop Loss: 3,351 Take Profit 1: 3,335 Take Profit 2: 3,330 Take Profit 3: 3,320 Ps : XAUUSD is retesting a major resistance zone without macro or technical catalysts for a sustained breakout. The best approach remains to sell at resistance and take profit near support, in alignment with the ongoing bearish trend. The strategy will be updated regularly – don’t forget to save and follow to stay ahead of market opportunities. The analysis was provided by @Henrybillion
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
5
Copper is gonna to complete the 2nd leg??Hi all trading lovers and copper buyers... Seems that after BREAKOUT from Descending Triangle and Pullback to breakout level, price is going to complete the 2nd BULLISH Leg in Weekly uptrend with a round level target (5.5555)... (Pullback could be a bit deeper...) PLEASE NOTE THAT IS ONLY AN ANALYSIS AND COULD BE WRONG... MARKET IS BASED ON POSSIBILITIES AND UNCERTAINTIES... MANAGE YOUR RISK... #Forex #Trading #Analysis #Copper #Chart #Spike #Wedge #Uptrend
FX:COPPERLong
by MJElahifx
As expected, it will fall and form a head and shoulders bottom📰 News information： 1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data 2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments 3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market 📈 Technical Analysis： Yesterday we expected gold to retreat to the 3330-3320 area. Today, gold hit a low of around 3328 during the Asian session, which is in line with our judgment of the market trend. In the short term, gold may still fall. First, it may test the 3323 support line. If it falls back to this position during the day, you can try to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3315-3305 long-short dividing line below. If gold gets effective support below, it is expected to form a head and shoulders bottom pattern. The short-term decline will accumulate momentum for the future rise. Pay attention to the ADP data during the NY period 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3323-3315-3305 TP 3340-3350-3360-3375 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold 30M Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bearish Wave Coming From Now : 3333 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. Gold 30M Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
HelenP. I Gold will make small correction and then continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price declined to the 3245 support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then started to grow. In a short time, it reached the 3395 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then dropped to the trend line, breaking two levels, and made a gap. After this movement, the price started to grow in a wedge and soon reached the support level, which broke it and continued to rise next. Later, it made a correction to the 3245 level and then continued to move up and reached the resistance level. Price bounced from this level and corrected, after which it turned around and rose to the resistance line of the wedge pattern, breaking the 3395 resistance level. But soon, it turned around and corrected to the trend line. Not a long time ago, price exited from the wedge, fell to the support level, and then started to grow. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make a small correction. Then I think it can continue to grow and reach the 3395 resistance level, which is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
7
NATURAL GAS - Who can Predict this wild beast?Natural gas got demolished today, down over 8%. The one headline we saw hitting the tape that is having some partial influence: "Vessel Arrives at LNG Canada to Load First Cargo, Strengthening Global Supply Outlook – LNG Recap" Today, we did hedge our core long UNG position with a short dated $56 put on EQT. We are already green on that trade and looking for $56 level to come into play. Natural gas volatility sure trades in a world of its own which is why it is key to size accordingly.
NYSE:EQT
by Trading-Capital
6
How do we plan before ADP and NFP?📰 News information： 1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data 2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments 3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market 📈 Technical Analysis： The market will continue to fluctuate before the ADP data, and the market will continue to rise after the adjustment. In the 4H cycle, the upper rail of the pressure is temporarily suspended, and the Bollinger Bands also close. This is why I emphasize the need to pay attention to the 3323 support line below. At present, gold rebounded, I think it will touch 3348 at most, that is, it rebounded to 50%. Therefore, before the ADP data, I still hold the position of 3340-3350 for shorting, and find support for long at 3325-3315 below. I have marked the pattern of head and shoulders bottom in the figure. I have been engaged in spot, futures, foreign exchange and other transactions for many years. My analysis ideas can be referred to by brothers 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3340-3350 TP 3330-3325-3315-3295 BUY 3323-3315-3305 TP 3340-3350-3360-3375 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Failed Breakout Sets the Stage for Bullish Continuation"Boost it, if you like it (Thanks)" Gold is showing resilience after a failed breakout attempt, bouncing strongly off the 3,250 support zone. This 4H chart suggests bulls are regaining control, with momentum building toward the next key resistance. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Failed Breakout (Failed MTR Structure): Price briefly dipped below the trendline but reversed sharply, invalidating the bearish move. Dynamic Support: The ascending trendline near 3,250 has held firm, reinforcing bullish structure. EMA Structure: 15 EMA: 3,323.84 60 EMA: 3,331.61 Price is now trading above both EMAs, signaling bullish momentum. Current Price: 3,339.0 Target: 3,434.34 – the first major resistance zone before ATH retest. 🧠 Market Psychology: This setup reflects a classic “shakeout” – weak hands were flushed out below support, only for price to reclaim the level with strength. This often precedes a strong directional move as confidence returns. 🎯 Trade Setup: Entry: On a confirmed break above 3,345–3,350 Stop Loss: Below 3,325 TP1: 3365 TP2: 3385 Final TP(x): 3,434.34 ⚠️ Watchlist: Monitor price action near 3,360–3,370 for signs of rejection or continuation. A clean break above 3,434 opens the door for an ATH retest. #MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FailedBreakout #SupportAndResistance #EMA #BullishSetup #PriceAction #ForexTrading #GoldBulls #MarketPsychology
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
1
GOLD – Bullish Flag Breakout After Demand Zone Test Price pulled back into the major demand zone (blue area), rejected with a strong wick, and formed a bullish flag structure. The breakout above the flag channel suggests continuation toward recent highs. Trade Plan: ✅ Entry: Above 3344 (breakout confirmation) ✅ Stop Loss: Below 3332 (last swing low) ✅ Target: 3357–3360 (previous resistance zone) Context: • Demand zone respected • EMA support aligning • Clear breakout candle with volume Risk Management: Max risk per trade: 1% Zoom in M5: #Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #MJTrading #ForexSignals #CommodityTrading
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MJElahifx
1
USOIL:Narrow trading strategy USOIL: There is no update in the past two days, because the oil price still continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, and the space for volatility is gradually reduced, which is not very different from our overall trading idea. The original long target of 65.9-66.4 can be adjusted to 65.8-66.2 with the reduction of the space for volatility. It is expected that the trend will come out this week, and we will adjust our thinking then. Friends who do not trade at present can refer to the interval trading strategy within a day: BUY@64.7-65 TP: 65.8 to 66.2 SELL@65.8-66.2 TP: 64.7-65 More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
DeGRAM | GOLD held the support area📊 Technical Analysis ● Bullish rebound from the green 3 250-3 300 demand, where the rising-channel base and May’s inner trend-line intersect, prints a higher low and invalidates the prior break. ● Price is reclaiming the channel median; a push through 3 378 unlocks the June swing cap at 3 434, while risk is contained by the fresh pivot turned support at 3 300. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Softer US ISM-Mfg prices and a dip in 2-yr yields eased dollar pressure, while IMF data show another uptick in official gold purchases—both restoring near-term bid. ✨ Summary Long 3 300-3 320; hold above aims 3 378 → 3 434. Invalidate below 3 250. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
21
Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback?XAUUSD 02/07: Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback? 📉 Technical Analysis – Gold Faces Short-Term Pullback After Strong Rally Gold has been experiencing a clear rally in recent days, but it’s currently undergoing a brief correction. The price has recently dropped slightly, prompting traders to keep a close eye on key levels for potential reversal or continuation of the bullish move. 🌍 Macroeconomic Context – Factors Impacting Gold's Price USD Fluctuation: The weakness in the US Dollar continues to affect gold prices, creating opportunities for the precious metal to maintain its upward movement. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions, including the US-Iran conflict, act as a safe-haven factor, supporting gold demand. Interest Rate Expectations: The market is closely watching for any changes in interest rate policies. Any future rate cuts by the Fed could further bolster gold's price. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1 – H4 – D1) Short-Term Trend: On the H1 timeframe, the price of gold touched a key level near 3340. From there, the price began to experience a pullback. However, the upward momentum remains strong on higher timeframes. Key Support Levels: The 3300 level remains a crucial support. If the price stays above this, there’s a chance for gold to continue rising towards higher levels. Key Resistance Levels: 3360 and 3380 are critical resistance levels. If breached, gold could move towards new highs. 📍 Important Support and Resistance Levels: 🔺 Resistance: 3345 – 3360 – 3380 – 3400 🔻 Support: 3300 – 3290 – 3270 – 3250 💡 Trading Plan for Today, 02/07: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 📈 Entry: 3305 – 3303 📉 SL: 3297 💰 TP: 3315 → 3325 → 3340 → 3360 🔴 SELL ZONE: 📉 Entry: 3360 – 3362 📈 SL: 3368 💰 TP: 3350 → 3340 → 3320 📣 Conclusion: Gold is showing signs of short-term correction but remains a strong asset due to geopolitical factors and monetary policies. Buying opportunities continue to be attractive at support levels, while key resistances will play a crucial role for any breakout. Keep an eye on the mentioned levels to capitalize on market movements. Happy trading and best of luck to all traders!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
USOIL Will Fall! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 65.603. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 59.910 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
1
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 67.15 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 70.90 which is a level that sits above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 62.51 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
XNGUSD Technical Update – What the Chart Is Telling Us NowIn this video, I break down the current XNGUSD (Natural Gas) chart using pure price action analysis on the daily timeframe. This update builds on my previous post, where I shared a comprehensive outlook supported by fundamentals, including supply/demand imbalances, geopolitical risks, and long-term LNG export growth. In this video, I focus purely on the technical picture—highlighting key levels, market structure, recent consolidation, and where I see potential opportunities unfolding next. 📈 If you're trading or investing in Natural Gas, this is a must-watch update to stay in tune with the current market dynamics. Remember: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by fxtraderanthony
1
LNG Bull Market: How Geopolitics and Demand Are Fueling XNG🔥 The Natural Gas market presents a compelling risk/reward opportunity with strong fundamental support from ⚖️ supply/demand imbalances and 🌍 geopolitical factors. The technical chart shows a healthy 📊 consolidation after the explosive 🚀 February–March rally, with the potential for another leg higher. 📌 Key Investment Thesis: • 📈 Structural bull market driven by demand growth outpacing supply • 🌐 Geopolitical premium supporting price floor • 🌦️ Weather-driven volatility creating trading opportunities • 🛳️ LNG export growth providing long-term demand foundation 🧭 Recommended Approach: • 💰 Accumulate positions on weakness near $3.00–$3.40 levels • 🎯 Target initial resistance at $4.00, with extended targets at $5.00+ • ⚠️ Maintain disciplined risk management with stops below $2.60 • 👀 Monitor weather patterns and geopolitical developments closely 📊 Risk Rating: MODERATE TO HIGH (due to volatility) 💵 Return Potential: HIGH (⏫ 50–100% upside potential over 12–18 months) ❗ This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. ⚠️ Natural gas trading involves significant risk and volatility. 📚 Always consult with a qualified financial advisor and conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by fxtraderanthony
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3450 (Wave 3).Colleagues, it seems that the correction turned out to be a little deeper than I thought. This means that wave “1” of the middle order has been formed and now correction wave “2” is ending. I still expect an upward movement. I believe that the maximum of wave “1” — the resistance area of 3450 — will be reached within wave “3”. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
13
GOLD 02/07 – WAVE (5) IN FOCUS WHILE ABOVE 3330 SUPPORT📊 MACRO FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT: The market is closely watching today's ADP Non-Farm Employment report (forecast: 99K vs. previous: 37K), which will serve as a key signal ahead of Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls. At the same time, President Trump’s remarks on the tax reform bill triggered renewed concerns over the growing US budget deficit, raising demand for gold as a hedge. Overall, the macro outlook remains mildly bullish for gold, especially in the context of a weakening US Dollar and rising fiscal risk. 🧠 ELLIOTT WAVE + SMC STRUCTURE OVERVIEW: Price has likely completed a Wave (4) correction, supported by Fibonacci confluence (0.382 – 0.5 – 0.618 zone). We are now entering Wave (5), targeting the FE 1.618 zone near 3380 – 3413, aligning with key external liquidity and the previous supply imbalance. Short-term structure confirms CHoCH → BOS → MSS in alignment with ICT model, reinforcing the internal structure of bullish market flow. 🔍 KEY LEVELS & TRADING ZONES: 🔼 BUY ZONE: 3306 – 3304 (Demand zone + Fib retracement area) 📍 Stop Loss: 3300 (Below SSL and last swing low) 🎯 Take Profits: 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 🔽 SELL ZONE (SCALP): 3388 – 3390 (Potential liquidity grab & reversal) 📍 Stop Loss: 3394 🎯 Take Profits: 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 → 3365 → 3360 → 3350 📈 PROJECTED SCENARIOS: ✅ Scenario 1 – Preferred (Wave (5) Extension Active): If price consolidates and holds above 3330 – 3335, we expect an impulsive continuation towards 3380 – 3410. Structure remains aligned with bullish wave count, with minor retracements forming flags or wedges. ⚠️ Scenario 2 – Controlled Pullback: If price retraces to 3310 – 3320, it may tap into remaining imbalance before resuming the uptrend. This remains within the bullish framework unless structure breaks below 3300, which would invalidate the current wave structure. 🕵️‍♂️ OBSERVATION: Current Asian session shows tight consolidation after the US correction, suggesting bullish absorption. A breakout above 3345 will reconfirm the momentum and may attract new volume before the ADP release. ⚙️ FINAL REMARK (STRUCTURAL SUMMARY): The overall structure remains bullish with caution, as price currently navigates the tail end of Wave (4) and potentially the start of Wave (5). Patience is required at key levels – chasing price here is risky. Ideal approach: Wait for pullbacks into demand zones or breakout confirmations.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EliseLunaTraders
2