Commodities
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
Yesterday we completed our 1H chart idea and today we update you on our 4h chart idea that we shared earlier this week.
Once again we started with our Bullish target hit at 2867 followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 2894, which was hit perfectly with a further cross and lock above 2894 opening 2924 also hit completing this range. No further cross and lock above 2924 confirmed the rejection for the move down.
The lower Goldturns are providing support for the bounce and establishing a range between 2867 and 2924. We will look for a test and cross and lock on either level to determine the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2867 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2867 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2894 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2924 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2924 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2952
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2952 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2979
BEARISH TARGETS
2833
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2833 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2800
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2800 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2771 - 2743
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Daily Market Outlook: BTC & Forex Setups (#2)Today’s market saw extreme volatility following the USD CPI data release. Inflation appears to be rising due to Trump’s recent tariff actions on countries like Canada, Mexico, and China, adding further pressure to markets. This led to a major sell-off in crypto and stocks, while pairs like USD/JPY surged.
📉 BTC 4H Analysis – Holding Support or Breaking Down?
BTC dropped hard to $94K after the CPI release but found some rejection and is now still holding above the 4H support at $95K.
📊 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ If BTC stabilizes above $95K, we could see a breakout above $98,500, triggering long setups.
2️⃣ If $95K fails, expect a test of lower supports at 92K and possibly $85K if rate cuts don’t continue.
📌 Recommendation: Stay cautious and wait for clear structure before entering.
🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Bullish Recovery After Support Test
Gold remains in a major uptrend and recently completed a price correction to the $2,884 support zone. After a fake breakout, it is now recovering and pushing higher.
📊 Trade Idea:
✅ Long trigger above $2,910 for confirmation.
✅ More aggressive entry: Buy early if we see higher highs forming.
⚪ XAG/USD (Silver) – Momentum Building for a Breakout
Silver has been forming an accelerating uptrend curve, indicating increasing bullish momentum. This suggests the potential for high R/R trades if we catch the right move.
📊 Key Trade Setup:
✅ Breakout above $32.19 = Long Entry.
✅ Aggressive traders: Enter before breakout with stop-loss below the trendline.
📌 GBP/CHF Update – Holding for Bigger Move
📊 Our GBP/CHF long position triggered, but we didn’t enter just for a small range move—the goal is to catch a breakout of the daily range for at least R/R 2.
✅ Stop-loss remains below the 4H range bottom.
✅ Holding position unless market structure shifts.
Final Thoughts & Risk Management
⚠ Markets are volatile after CPI—don’t FOMO.
⚠ Keep stop-losses tight & follow structure.
⚠ See you tomorrow with another breakdown!
📌 If you missed yesterday’s analysis, go check it out for better context!
⚠ Disclaimer : These trade setups are based on my personal analysis and are not financial advice . If you don’t have a solid risk management plan , these triggers may not be suitable for you . Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. 💡
CPI vs. Core CPI: The Gold Market MoversConsumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI are key economic indicators that significantly impact XAUUSD (gold prices). CPI measures the overall change in consumer prices for goods and services, reflecting inflation’s pace. Core CPI, however, excludes volatile food and energy prices, providing a clearer view of underlying inflation trends. When CPI or Core CPI figures are higher than expected, it signals rising inflation, prompting the Federal Reserve to consider tightening monetary policy by raising interest rates. This typically strengthens the US dollar and puts downward pressure on XAUUSD, as gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies. Conversely, lower-than-expected inflation can weaken the dollar, driving up gold prices as investors seek inflation hedges and safe-haven assets. Traders closely monitor these releases to anticipate XAUUSD movements and adjust their strategies accordingly. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
WTI OIL Weak price action on the medium-term.WTI Oil (USOIL) is extending the Bearish Leg of the Triangle pattern after the recent January 13 rejection on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Until the 1W RSI turns bearish again, and more importantly the Support Zone gets hit, we expect this bearish trend to be extended.
The strongest Demand Level for the past 2 years has been this Support Zone, so our medium-term Target is on its top at $68.00.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-12: Base Rally PatternAlthough I believe the Base Rally pattern is still valid, the markets have been wound tightly near recent highs and I belive this unwinding/breakdown is what I have been suggesting (the Deep-V breakdown) for more than 35+ days.
I believe the sticky inflation data (CPI) will overpower the Base Rally pattern today and we will see the SPY/QQQ move downward into the Deep-V lows - likely setting up by Friday/Monday of this week.
I'm sorry I'm not able to create a morning video. I'm taking my disabled VET father to his annual checkup this morning. He is still sleeping and I don't want to wake him up.
So, you get this content as a substitute.
Be prepared for the markets to FLUSH OUT a low and try to grab some easy profits throughout today and tomorrow as the markets struggle to find support.
Remember, the broader cycle patterns can sometimes overpower the Daily Cycle Patterns. This happens when NEWS overpowers a Daily cycle pattern construct. In this case, the CPI data is overpowering the Base Rally Daily Cycle Pattern.
Ultimately, the markets will find support and move into a brief recovery phase.
Get some.
GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2935.0 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2820.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
💠 Fundamental Analysis
The GC1 contract is influenced by global economic trends, monetary policies, and commodity market fluctuations. Central banks' cautious approach to interest rates and inflation management impacts gold prices.
💠 Macroeconomic Analysis
GDP Growth Rate: Global economic growth slows down, with the US GDP growth rate at 3.3% in Q4.
Inflation Rate: Inflation trends show moderation, with the US inflation rate at 1.0% annualized.
Employment and Labor Market: The US job market remains solid, with 353,000 jobs added in January.
💠 COT Data Analysis
Institutional Traders: 55% long, 45% short.
Retail Traders: 52% short, 48% long.
Large Banks: 57% long, 43% short.
💠 Market Sentimental Analysis
Market Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish.
Trader Sentiment: 29% long, 71% short.
💠 Market Sentiment by Trader Type
- Institutional Traders: 60% bullish, 40% bearish
- Hedge Funds: 55% bearish, 45% bullish
- Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
💠 Positioning Data Analysis
Bullish Trend: 45% likely.
Bearish Trend: 55% likely.
💠 Overall Outlook
GC1 prices may fluctuate due to central banks' monetary policies, inflation trends, and geopolitical tensions. Investors are cautiously optimistic, with a focus on technology and innovation-driven sectors.
Key Factors Influencing GC1 Prices
Monetary Policy Adjustments: Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Inflation Trends: Global inflation rates.
Geopolitical Risks: Middle East tensions and commodity market fluctuations.
Technology Sector Resilience: Growth potential in AI and semiconductor fields.
Cryptocurrency Market Volatility: Bitcoin's impact on traditional markets.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold Price ActionHello Traders!
Let’s break this down in a simple and friendly way. If you’ve noticed, gold is dropping even though the overall market is in an uptrend. Here’s what you can do:
1. Switch to the 2-hour timeframe and use my Supply and Demand Analyzer Indicator. You’ll see that the price has reversed from a fresh demand zone, which is a good sign.
2. Now, check the 30-minute timeframe. You’ll notice liquidity at the top, along with fresh supply zones. If the price continues to follow the overall trend, there’s a high chance it could move upward.
3. Always manage your risk! Even if your win rate is around 30-40%, solid risk management can keep you ahead in this business. Remember, protecting your capital is key to long-term success.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Stay disciplined and trade smart. 😊
Gold Awaits CPI – Will 2,872 Hold or Break?✅ Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – CPI Impact in Focus
Gold is currently facing bearish pressure, with expectations of a 3.00% CPI release, which could negatively impact prices. A break below 2,872 is required to confirm further downside movement.
📉 Bearish Scenario (CPI at 3.00% or Higher):
If price breaks below 2,872, it will enter a bearish zone.
A confirmed stabilization below 2,872 will extend the drop toward 2,859 and 2,840.
Further bearish pressure could drive prices to 2,823 if inflation remains high.
📈 Bullish Scenario (CPI Below 3.00%):
If price holds above 2,872, a recovery toward 2,896 and 2,918 is possible.
A break above 2,918 could push gold back toward 2,938 in a bullish reversal.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2880
Resistance Levels: 2896, 2918, 2938
Support Levels: 2860, 2840, 2823
Trend Outlook:
Bearish if CPI remains high (≥3.00%) & price breaks 2,872
Bullish if CPI drops below expectations & price holds above 2,872
💬 How will CPI impact Gold? Will it break down or reverse? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇🔥
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 Chart - Channel Breakout (12.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2835
2nd Support – 2797
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Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
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Thank you.
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? Let's see! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the daily USD/JPY chart, we can see that, as expected from the previous analysis, the price continued its downtrend, correcting down to 151.
Currently, USD/JPY is trading around 153.620, and I expect it to resume its decline soon from the current zone (153.68 - 155.3).
This analysis will be updated as price action develops. The next potential bearish targets are 152.70, 151.70, and 151.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Main Elements of Profitable Trading Strategy (Forex, Gold)
There are hundreds of different trading strategies based on fundamental and technical analysis.
These strategies combine different tools and trading techniques.
And even though, they are so different, they all have a very similar structure.
In this educational article, we will discuss 4 important elements and components every GOLD, Forex trading strategy should have.
What Do You Trade
1️⃣ The first component of a trading strategy is the list of the instruments that you trade.
You should know in advance what assets should be in your watch list.
For example, if you are a forex trader, your strategy should define the currency pairs that you are trading among the dozens that are available.
How Do You Trade
2️⃣ The second element of any trading strategy is the entry reasons.
Entry reasons define the exact set of market conditions that you look for to execute the trade.
For example, trading key levels with confirmation, you should wait for a test of a key level first and then look for some kind of confirmation like a formation of price action pattern before you open a trade.
Above, is the example how the same Gold XAUUSD chart can be perceived differently with different trading strategies.
3️⃣ The third component of a trading strategy is the position size of your trades.
Your trading strategy should define in advance the rules for calculating the lot of size of your trades.
For example, with my trading strategy, I risk 1% of my trading account per trade. When I am planning the trading position, I calculate a lot size accordingly.
Position Management
4️⃣ The fourth element of any trading strategy is trade management rules.
By trade management, I mean the exact conditions for closing the trade in a loss, taking the profit and trailing stop loss.
Trade management defines your actions when the trading position becomes active.
Make sure that your trading strategy includes these 4 elements.
Of course, your strategy might be more sophisticated and involve more components, but these 4 elements are the core, the foundation of any strategy.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2880.7 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 2895.0
Recommended Stop Loss - 2872.9
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD - Price can continue to move up inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to trades inside flat, where it at once broke $2745 level, but soon fell back to support area.
Next, price bounced up to the top part of flat and then corrected back to support area, where it some time trades.
After this, Gold exited from support area and soon exited from flat and continued to move up inside rising channel.
In channel, price corrected to support line and then in a short time rose to $2850 level and broke it.
Then price reached resistance line of channel and fell to support area, after which it continued to move up.
So, I think that Gold can make a correction and then continue to move up to $2945 resistance line of channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
$GOLD EASES FROM RECORD HIGHS AHEAD OF U.S. INFLATION DATAGOLD EASES FROM RECORD HIGHS AHEAD OF U.S. INFLATION DATA
1/7
Gold hit a record high of $2,942.70/oz on Feb 11, fueled by safe-haven demand amid fresh U.S. tariffs. Today, it’s dipped 0.2% to $2,892.50 as investors take profits and watch U.S. inflation data. Let’s dig in! 💰⚖️
2/7 – RECENT PRICE ACTION
• All-time high at $2,942.70/oz—sparked by President Trump’s 25% tariffs on steel & aluminum
• Spot gold now at $2,892.50 (↓0.2%), with futures at $2,931.40 (↓0.1%)
• The rally’s paused—are we in for a short breather or a bigger correction? 🤔
3/7 – TARIFF TENSIONS
• 25% tariffs raise global trade war fears, boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal
• Markets worried about inflation, as import costs could climb
• Gold remains a hedge against economic uncertainty and currency devaluation 🌐⛔️
4/7 – MACROECONOMIC DRIVERS
• Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish comments on rate policy sent gold lower—higher rates often weigh on non-yielding assets
• U.S. inflation data (due soon) could shape the Fed’s next move—any upside surprise might strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold further
5/7 – INVESTOR SENTIMENT
• Profit-taking: After a massive run-up, traders might lock in gains
• Safe Haven: Still an underlying bullish sentiment if tariffs escalate
• The $2,900–$2,950 range is in focus—will gold consolidate or stage another breakout?
6/7 Where’s gold heading next?
1️⃣ Above $3,000—safe haven demand remains strong ✨
2️⃣ Sideways around $2,900—pausing for data 🏖️
3️⃣ Back under $2,850—hawkish Fed sinks gold ⬇️
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – STRATEGY WATCH
• Short-Term: Watch U.S. inflation data & dollar moves—gold typically moves opposite the greenback
• Long-Term: If tariffs stoke inflationary pressure, gold may shine even brighter. Keep an eye on geopolitical developments! 🌎
GOLD: Still in breakout, first down closing day!Hello everyone and welcome back to my channel, I don't share very often, also because I try to put many informations and details in what I describe.
First of all, as always, this is not a trade recommendation, neither a forecasting to know what the market is going to do or which direction is going to take.
My job, as a trader, is taking best trade setups, regardless the direction and what other people think. Guessing is 50/50, taking best trade setup is 90/10 😉
Gold.. is apparently in an interesting situation and today, is the only market I'm going to follow, and potentially be looking for a setup after major red news release at 10am NYT.
It can actually setup either for a short scenario, going to complete the 3 days pump and dump from Monday, or keep going higher considering the overall strong uptrend. But let's analyse both the scenarios, having a deeper look.
Little premise, January was a trending month, so I don't expect crazy shorts all in during a couple of days...
Previous week, beginning of the month, the market kept pushing higher, placing a little lower low on Thursday, stops eventually are placed below that level and in the future can be a level where the market can retest (stopping everybody still holding long positions).
Monday, the market broke through the weekly high, closing in breakout (This is what I consider a pump day)
Tuesday, Asian session pushed higher, placing the "all time high" and strongly reversing back inside the range of Monday, closing eventually as a first red day.
Today, Wednesday, the market is consolidating into the Tuesday's LOD, and as well the weekly breakout level, that's why this market can be pretty tricky and is important to identify the right setup.
SHORT SCENARIO
As I previously said, this can be a pump and dump in 3 days, and the first red day, up high into the "all time high", can be the beginning of a short move.
Obviously this market can blow off with news at 10am (look picture)
or it can start the retest of the current weekly high, consolidating up high for better filling and stronger market for a short move during the upcoming days ( we still have Thursday and Friday)
LONG SCENARIO
But very important, the market is still trending higher, Tuesday place a higher high and the consolidation down low, above the last weekly level, can be preparing for a bullish major move, today, and/or during the next days.
So.. how will I take advantage of it?
The days is keep going, news are on schedule, what I will do is:
1. Waiting for news to be released
2. After the news:
- Is the market setting up for a long trade? (buy low opportunity), then I will be targeting the current HOW
- Is the market setting up for a short trade? (sell high opportunity), then I will be targeting the current LOW and if the market keep blowing off, I would be willing to target as well the Thursday's low.
During the NY session I will be updating this post :)
Please, do not forget to follow me and support my work with a comment and like!
Thanks and have a good trading day!
Gianni
GBP/CAD Bullish Rebound Fibonacci Support Signals 1.8200 Target GBP/CAD is trading at approximately 1.7800. Our target price of 1.8200 suggests an anticipated upward movement of 400 pips. This projection aligns with a bullish outlook, particularly as the pair appears to be finding support between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
Technical analysis indicates that GBP/CAD is approaching a pullback support level near 1.7806, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. This area may serve as a foundation for a potential bullish bounce toward the first resistance level at 1.7968. The confluence of the Fibonacci retracement and support levels strengthens the case for a rebound.
Fundamentally, the British Pound has been influenced by the Bank of England's interest rate decisions, while the Canadian Dollar has faced pressure from declining oil prices. These factors contribute to the current bullish sentiment for GBP/CAD.
In summary, GBP/CAD is exhibiting bullish potential, supported by key technical levels and fundamental factors. Traders should monitor the 1.7806 support level and the 1.7968 resistance level, as well as broader economic indicators, to make informed trading decisions.
Gold Price Analysis: Is a Deeper Pullback Coming?Since the beginning of the week, I have been writing that although the overall trend remains bullish, Gold is due for a correction.
Indeed, after a blow-off top to a new all-time high of 2943, the price started to decline and reached the confluence support zone at 2885.
At the time of writing, the price has returned to this support level, and there is a high probability of a break below this level, leading to a continuation of the correction.
In such a scenario, traders could anticipate a test of the 2840 support zone.
My strategy is to look for selling opportunities on rallies above 2900.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTI on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI, the price has hit the daily order block at $73.5 and experienced a strong rejection on the 4-hour chart. The price has broken below the trend line and is indicating potential downward movement during the Asian session today. It's important to note that there is a CPI news release during the U.S. session today, so exercise caution in your trading decisions."
If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your message, feel free to ask!