Defensive Sector with Growth PotentialSupporting Arguments
Current Market Uncertainty Sustains Demand for the Defensive Sector. NEE represents the defensive utility sector. Given the current political and economic uncertainty in the market, there could be an additional catalyst for the company's stock price growth.
Demand for Green Energy from the IT Sector. More than 80% of the company's portfolio consists of renewable energy sources (RES). Demand from data centers in the IT sector may allow the company to outperform competitors.
Attractive Valuation Levels and Technical Outlook
Investment Thesis
NextEra Energy (NEE) has strong long-term growth prospects due to the increasing demand for RES and the electrification of various sectors. Their integrated business model, combining the regulated utility business FPL and the competitive renewable energy business NEER, ensures both stability and growth opportunities. NEE's leadership in RES production, along with investments in battery energy storage and gas infrastructure, allows the company to benefit from the growing demand for clean energy solutions.
Current Market Uncertainty Could Drive Stock Price Growth. Tariffs imposed by the administration on imports and their potential impact on the U.S. economy remain in investors' focus. The market has responded to high uncertainty with a significant correction in overheated sectors, and pressure may persist for some time. As a representative of the utility sector, NEE benefits from uncertainty and may continue its growth.
Demand for Green Energy from the IT Sector. The largest public companies continue to increase capital expenditures on AI infrastructure to stay competitive. A key component of such infrastructure is data centers, which consume large amounts of energy and contribute to increased environmental pollution. As a result, data center owners create strong demand for companies that provide access to RES. More than 80% of the company’s portfolio consists of renewable energy sources. Already, the company’s annual profit growth rate is twice as high as that of its competitors.
Attractive Valuation Levels and Technical Outlook. The company's stock is trading at the 200-day moving average and recently rebounded from the resistance line at the 50-day moving average, which could serve as a strong catalyst for movement toward the previous peak of $84.8. Based on the forward PEG ratio, the company is trading at about the same level as companies engaged in traditional energy sources for household supply, while maintaining profitability 5-15% higher than competitors. Based on the forward P/E ratio, the company appears cheaper than its closest direct competitors (18x vs. 20.5x).
Our target price is $82, with a "Buy" recommendation. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $64
Commodities
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 161.8% Fibo lvl area at 3038.Dear colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet. The bulls have gained strength and the upward five-wave movement is not over yet!
I expect that the wave “3” of senior and middle order is not yet complete. Possible correction to the area of 2955.837, then I expect an upward movement to the area of 161.8% Fibonacci extension 3038.730.
As usual - the upward movement is in priority, so I do not recommend short positions, but I recommend long limit pending orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gaza conflict and Trump tariffs push GOLD higher againOANDA:XAUUSD rose more than 1% on Tuesday to a new record high and are currently trading around $3,035/oz, close to yesterday's peak. Trade uncertainty due to rising tensions in the Middle East and US President Trump's tariff plans have boosted investor demand for safe-haven assets.
Israeli airstrikes kill more than 400 in Gaza
Early Tuesday morning local time, the Israeli military carried out heavy airstrikes on Gaza City in the northern Gaza Strip, Deir el Balah, the Nusayrat refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip, as well as Khan Yunis and Rafah in the south.
The British news agency Reuters reported that Israeli airstrikes killed more than 400 people in Gaza, threatening a two-month ceasefire.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the airstrikes were carried out because Hamas has repeatedly refused to release Israeli detainees. Defense Minister Israel Katz warned that if Hamas does not release the detainees, "our attacks will intensify."
Hamas said Israel's move was a unilateral end to the ceasefire, leaving Israelis held in Gaza "to face an unknown fate."
There were unconfirmed reports that an Iranian vessel collecting intelligence during the Gaza offensive was sunk by US forces, escalating tensions in the Middle East.
Saudi media reported on Tuesday that the Iranian Navy's most advanced intelligence ship, the Zagros, was hit by an unidentified missile in the Red Sea on Monday evening local time, causing its hull to be damaged, leaking and sinking.
World Media reported that the US military was then attacking Houthi armed forces in the area outside the Red Sea, while the Israel Defense Forces conducted a large-scale bombing of Gaza, and the origin of the missile that hit the Iranian naval vessel could not be determined.
Trump's Tariffs
Meanwhile, US President Trump has proposed a series of US tariff plans, including a 25% flat tariff on steel and aluminum (which took effect in February), as well as reciprocal tariffs and sectoral tariffs that will be applied on April 2.
Trump said he would impose general reciprocal tariffs on April 2, with additional tariffs targeting specific industries. Trump told reporters on Air Force One on Sunday that both tariffs would be applied to foreign goods imported into the United States “under certain circumstances,” “They tax us, we tax them, and then we’ll tax other industries beyond autos, steel, aluminum.”
Ultimately, Gold is often considered a safe investment in times of economic or geopolitical uncertainty, and in the current environment, it is still fundamentally well supported.
There are also many other supports such as demand from central banks, national reserves, and ETF volumes, the decline of the Dollar, the Fed's monetary policy, etc. Readers can review previous publications for more information.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, although the RSI is operating in the overbought area, it has not shown any signal to indicate a significant downside correction. A signal for a correction is a crossover of the RSI below 80.
Meanwhile, the sustained price action above the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level is a positive signal with the expectation of further upside and the next target is the 0.618% Fibonacci extension position at the price point of $3,065.
Currently, there is no notable resistance ahead, so until the level of 3,065 USD gold can still rise freely.
The intraday uptrend of gold will be noticed again by the following notable positions.
Support: 3,021 – 3,000 USD
Resistance: 3,065 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3068 - 3066⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3072
→Take Profit 1 3060
↨
→Take Profit 2 3054
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2984 - 2986⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2980
→Take Profit 1 2992
↨
→Take Profit 2 2998
Trading Plan for the Day (March 19) | XAU/USDMarket Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its upward movement. I will wait for the price to break out of the current structure and form a candlestick pattern.
🎯 Key Scenarios:
Breakout Scenario:
A candle must close within the body of the previous candle, confirming the breakout.
After confirmation, I will look for an entry setup on a lower timeframe (e.g., M15 or M5).
Pullback Scenario:
If the breakout does not occur, I will consider long positions during a corrective move toward the OB IDM (Order Block Initial Drive Momentum) zone.
📉 Short Positions:
For short positions, I will consider them only if liquidity builds above PDH (Previous Day High) to break the current structure.
📊 Trading Plan:
Monitor the price action closely:
If no short opportunities arise, I will focus on long positions.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Ensure position size does not exceed 1% of your trading capital to manage risk effectively.
📢 Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
Will Mixed Geopolitical News Limit the Downside of Oil Prices?Macro:
- Oil prices continued their decline following an agreement between the US and Russia to halt attacks on energy infrastructure, though without implementing a complete ceasefire.
- The market turned bearish amid expectations that Russian sanctions may be eased, potentially increasing the oil supply surplus.
- Uncertainty lingered as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East sent mixed signals. While the possibility of increased supply pushed prices down, fears of conflict disrupting oil production kept some upward pressure.
Technical:
- USOIL retested its descending channel's upper bound before rejecting the boundary and forming a bearish Engulfing Candlestick, which may provide a hint that bears are in control. The price is below both EMAs, indicating persistent bearish momentum.
- Breaking below the support at 65.80 may prompt another plunge to the 100% Fibonacci Extension at 64.00.
- Closing above 68.40 and breaking the descending channel's upper bound may shift the current structure sideways before retesting the following resistance at 70.20.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
GOLD in coming days...The price, as we expected, grew to the (ab=cd) extent after breaking out of this cup-and-handle pattern, and now, technically speaking, it needs some correction, which depends on the level of tensions.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
AUD/CAD Breakout in Motion – Bulls Targeting Higher LevelsTechnical Overview:
The AUD/CAD pair has formed a clear ascending triangle pattern, signaling bullish momentum.
A successful breakout above the resistance zone indicates potential upward movement toward key levels.
Price is currently testing a resistance level near 0.9093, and a clean break above could trigger a strong rally.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Above 0.9093 (breakout confirmation)
First Target (TP1): 0.9163
Second Target (TP2): 0.9299
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.9008 (previous structure support)
Supporting Factors for Bullish Bias:
✅ Trendline Support: The ascending trendline is holding strong, reinforcing bullish structure.
✅ Higher Lows Formation: Indicates buyers are stepping in aggressively.
✅ Breakout Confirmation: If price sustains above 0.9093, momentum will likely continue.
USOIL BREAKOUT FROM THE WEDGE|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL is trading in a
Downtrend and the price broke
Out of the bearish wedge pattern
And the breakout is confirmed
Because the 4H candle closed
Way below the wedge's support
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Why gold may—or may not—reach $3,060 next Gold is now up 15.57% in 2025 after gaining 27.2% in 2024.
If the current momentum continues, traders may target the upper parallel trendline near $3,060 and rising.
Safe-haven demand is a key driver of this rally, but what could disrupt it?
For one, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke for 90 minutes today, agreeing on steps toward a peace deal in Ukraine, including a pause on attacks on energy infrastructure. However, Putin declined to accept a broader 30-day ceasefire proposed by U.S. and Ukrainian officials.
NEXT MOVE POSSIBLEHello everybody I hope you are doing well and you had a profitable trades during manipulation last week.
Today I'm here with an idea as you saw the marketing was running crazy last week.
flying since last week, breaks all the resistance and still making ATH and ATH.
Most of the people are still confused those who trades with support and resistance, They are still finding the zones for sell and buy but the market respects their support but not resistance still breaking the resistance and making all time high.
here is the point where gold can change the trend bullish into bearish. If price breaks 3041then gold can follow the same bullish trend, as I said gold can change the direction bullish into bearish yup its possible at the price 3040there is a sell liquidity if price hits their liquidity and breaks 3028 with strong candle gold can fall till 3000.
$XAUUSD | Gold - Nearing ExhaustionGold has seen a strong rally over the past week – technically impressive, but from a Risk-On perspective, it’s more of a warning sign. As I mentioned in my Nvidia market report, I don’t think the Risk-Off phase will last forever. But for now, I believe we’re not quite done with it yet.
From where I stand, Gold could push a bit higher. My next target is the 161.8% Fibonacci extension at $3,038, which I expect to act as a reaction level. After that, I’m targeting a drop back down into the $2,955 to $2,930 area – this is where I expect sub-wave ((iv)) to complete.
What happens next will depend on how price reacts within that zone. Ideally, we’ll see one final move up to complete sub-wave (v) or roman ((iii)), but where exactly that ends is still unclear – I’ll reassess as we approach the zone.
For now, Gold remains strong – but I believe it's nearing exhaustion.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts once again with our analysis playing out to perfection!!
After completing our 2993 Bullish target yesterday, we stated that we now have a ema5 lock above 2993 opening 3011. This target was hit today just like we said, followed with a further cross and lock above 3011 opening 3029, which was also hit today completing this range.
We now have a lock above 3029 opening 3049. We now need to keep in mind we have had no corrections from the last two days momentum. Failure to lock above the next level will follow with a rejection to find support at the lower Goldturns for bounce and then further cross and locks will confirm the next range for us.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2993 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3011 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3011 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3029 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3029 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3049
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3049 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3068
BEARISH TARGETS
2968
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2968 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2942
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2942 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2922 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2906 - 2886
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Crude oil turns lower on Putin-Trump callBoth oil contracts are now lower on the day, giving up earlier gains. From the day's high, WTI is now 2.8% lower and counting as prices test the day's lows. Oil prices moved lower on hints/hopes of peace from the just-finished Trump & Putin talks. The rationale here is that any peace progress would increase the chances of removing sanctions on Russian oil shipments, increasing global supplies.
WTI has held the trend resistance and old support-now-resistance at $68.45. The inverted daily hammer candle, if completed, would point to more weakness in the days ahead. As such, we could see prices dip down to test waters below recent lows of just north of $65.00 handle - a level last tested back in September 2024. A potential break below that could pave the way for a test of the May 2023 low of $63.60.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Why GBPJPY is Bullish?? Detailed technical and fundamentalsThe GBP/JPY pair has recently confirmed a bullish reversal by breaking out of a falling wedge pattern, aligning with our earlier analysis. Currently trading at 194.000, the pair is on track toward our target of 199.000.
Technically, the breakout from the falling wedge—a pattern typically indicative of bullish reversals—suggests increased buying momentum. This is further supported by the pair's ability to maintain levels above key resistance points, now acting as support. The next significant resistance is anticipated around the 195.000 level, a psychological barrier that, if surpassed, could pave the way toward our 199.000 target.
Fundamentally, the British pound has been bolstered by positive economic indicators, including robust GDP growth and a resilient labor market, enhancing investor confidence. Conversely, the Japanese yen has experienced depreciation due to the Bank of Japan's commitment to ultra-loose monetary policies, aiming to stimulate inflation and economic growth. This monetary policy divergence has contributed to the upward trajectory of GBP/JPY.
In conclusion, the confluence of technical and fundamental factors supports a bullish outlook for GBP/JPY. Traders should monitor upcoming economic releases and central bank communications, as these could impact market sentiment and price action. Maintaining a disciplined approach with appropriate risk management strategies is essential as the pair approaches the 199.000 target.
Buy directlySupply and Demand Aspect
Supply: In 2025, the expected increment in global crude oil supply has been generally lowered. The production increase in non-OPEC+ countries is limited, and the actual effect of OPEC+'s gradual lifting of production cuts is lower than expected. However, the US shale oil production is on a strong upward trend. The EIA predicts that the total US crude oil production in 2025 will reach 13.61 million barrels per day, making it the largest source of supply growth in the world. If OPEC+ continues to increase production, the IEA predicts that the global crude oil supply surplus in 2025 may expand to 1 million barrels per day. At the same time, the uncertainties in the US sanctions policies against oil-producing countries such as Iran and Venezuela, and the fact that Russia's crude oil exports have climbed to a yearly high of 5.7 million barrels per day further increase the pressure on the supply side.
Demand: The demand side shows a differentiated trend. In March, the IEA lowered the global crude oil demand growth rate in 2025 by 70,000 barrels per day to 1.03 million barrels per day, mainly reflecting the impact of the escalation of trade frictions on the macro economy. On the other hand, OPEC maintains an optimistic forecast of 1.45 million barrels per day, emphasizing the resilience of air travel and consumption in emerging economies. The EIA has raised the demand growth rate to 1.37 million barrels per day and expects the growth rate to further rise to 1.61 million barrels per day in 2026.
USOil
🎁 Buy@66.80 - 66.90
🎁 SL 66.50
🎁 TP 68.80 - 69.00
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Gold Bullish to $3,030 (VIDEO UPDATE)As you remember from Saturday’s update I did say that Gold has surpassed $3,000, which opens up potential upside towards $3,030 - $3,060.
2 Scenario’s On How It’ll Play Out👇🏻
Scenario 1: Gold has a 3 Sub-Wave correction towards $2,964 - $2,940 (Wave 4), before buyers come in.
Scenario 2: Impulse move towards $3,030 carries on from CMP.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 17 - March 21]Last week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply, from 2,880 USD/oz to 3,005 USD/oz. Then, profit-taking pressure caused the gold price to drop to 2,978 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,986 USD/oz.
The reason for the sharp increase in gold prices in recent days is that US inflation figures (CPI, PPI) have decreased more sharply than expected, raising expectations that the FED will cut interest rates twice more this year.
In addition, concerns about US public debt have increased as the US Congress is unlikely to pass the Budget Bill, putting the US government at risk of a shutdown.
The FED meeting next week will play an important role in shaping expectations about the FED's interest rate policy. This could be the main driver for gold prices next week, given the inverse correlation between gold and the USD.
However, in recent comments, the FED Chairman has remained cautious about inflationary pressures due to concerns that the Trump administration's tariff policies will fuel inflation in the medium and long term. Therefore, it is possible that the FED Chairman will continue to maintain interest rates at current levels in the next meetings. If so, this will be a shock to gold prices next week, causing gold prices to fall next week.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
This week is shaping up to be a volatile one for gold, with markets digesting a number of key economic releases.
Central banks continue to dominate the calendar, with the Bank of Japan announcing its interest rate decision on Tuesday, followed by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday and the Swiss National Bank and Bank of England on Thursday.
There are also a number of key US economic data releases, including Retail Sales and the Empire State Manufacturing Index on Monday, Housing Starts and Building Permits on Tuesday. On Thursday, markets will be watching the weekly Unemployment Report, Existing Home Sales and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey.
📌Technically, in the short-term perspective on the H1 chart, gold prices next week may maintain their upward momentum to find the 161.8 fibo level around 3035. Or they may temporarily reduce and adjust around the Trendline at 2915.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,977 – 2,956 USD
Resistance: 3,000 – 3,021 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3036 - 3034⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3040
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2914 - 2916⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2910
GOLD surges as geopolitical risks unexpectedly boost gainsOANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise in the short term, with gold prices just hitting a new all-time high of $3,014/oz.
As investors focused on US economic data, which raised concerns about an economic slowdown, and escalating tensions in the Middle East, the precious metal's appeal as a safe haven was highlighted.
Israel Strikes Hamas Targets Across Gaza, Killing Over 200
Israel said it carried out military airstrikes on Hamas targets in the Gaza Strip, a move that risks derailing a fragile ceasefire. Palestinians reported multiple airstrikes by Israel on various areas of the Gaza Strip. Traders were also looking at U.S. retail sales data, which showed a smaller-than-expected increase in February. Falling yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes also helped boost non-interest-bearing gold.
Israel has launched a series of airstrikes on the Gaza Strip as a nearly two-month-old ceasefire appeared to be rapidly unraveling, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu saying his government would “increase its military force” against Hamas.
Palestinians reported Israeli airstrikes in several areas of Gaza on Tuesday morning, and an Israeli statement confirmed the attacks took place across Gaza.
Hamas’ media office said on Tuesday that Israeli airstrikes on the Gaza Strip had killed more than 200 people.
The attack shattered a fragile ceasefire that had been suspended for 15 months in the war ravaging the Gaza Strip. It was the heaviest bombing since a ceasefire brokered by Egypt, Qatar and other countries took effect in January.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After reaching and breaking the original price level which is also the bullish price target of 3,000 USD, gold is continuing to aim for the target level behind that, pay attention to readers last week at 3,021 USD in the short term, which is the location of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sloping up with a significant slope and has not completely moved above the overbought area, showing that momentum and room for growth is still ahead.
Next, the main trend and outlook remains bullish with price channels and mid- to short-term trend. The main support is seen by the EMA21.
As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it remains technically bullish, the current dips should only be considered as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity.
The following areas of interest will also be noted.
Support: $3,000 – $2,977
Resistance: $3,021 – $3,065
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3036 - 3034⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3040
→Take Profit 1 3028
↨
→Take Profit 2 3022
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2949 - 2951⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2945
→Take Profit 1 2957
↨
→Take Profit 2 2963