GOLD (XAUUSD): Massive Breakout
FED rate decision and FOMC made Gold very bearish yesterday.
The price violated a support line of a wide horizontal range on a daily.
Its breakout signifies a strong bearish pressure.
It opens a potential for more price depreciation.
Next support - 2563
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Commodities
Could the price reverse from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 2,627.26
1st Support: 2,585.13
1st Resistance: 2,664.57
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Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,647.58
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,649.06
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,562.07
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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GOLD → Interest rates are dropping, so why is gold falling?Hello, dear friends! Ben here!
Gold prices remain consolidated below the $2,600 level following a strong two-way price movement in the previous session and stay near their lowest point in over a month.
The primary reason for the decline in gold prices is the recent decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates by an additional 0.25%. While this move was widely anticipated, the Fed also indicated that it plans to reduce rates at a slower pace in 2025. The impact of recent Fed rate cuts had already been priced into gold. At this point, investors are eager to know how many rate cuts the Fed will execute in 2025.
According to the Fed's latest interest rate projections, only two rate cuts are expected in 2025, compared to four cuts projected in the September forecast. In theory, the Fed’s hawkish stance has worked effectively: the dollar has strengthened, and the markets have weakened.
Today, all eyes are on GDP and the PCE data—an index the Fed considers a key measure of inflation.
From a technical perspective, after retesting the previously broken channel boundary and an imbalance zone, gold prices have dropped further. As a result, a clear trend is emerging that warrants close observation. If the price fails to hold above the critical support level around $2,586/ounce, it is highly likely to decline toward the $2,521/ounce area.
Sincerely,
Bentradegold!
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 2619.7
Stop Loss - 2595.8
Take Profit - 2662.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-19 : Top PatternToday, we should expect the SPY/QQQ to move a bit higher - trying to form a short-term top before price rolls downward again.
I urge traders to stay very cautious of early trending and look for a bigger opportunity later in the day as price rolls downward.
Gold and Silver are struggling. I still believe Gold and Silver will rally higher as fear elevates. But right now - that is not happening.
I need to see Gold and Silver move away from this panic selling before I can become move convinced of a trend.
Stay cautious if you are trying to trade Gold and Silver right now.
Bitcoin is moving through an EPP pattern very cleanly - actually a DUAL EPP pattern.
$95-$99k should be the downside price target throughout this move.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-18 : Gap Up LowerPay attention to the SPDR Sectors and how they appear to be moving downward (potentially rolling into a topping pattern).
I believe the US markets may roll into a topping pattern before the January inauguration. President Biden could throw a bunch of curveballs at the US before he ends his term.
I urge traders to stay agile and protect assets. We'll have lots of time to deploy our capital after the Inauguration event.
With only a week before Christmas, I urge everyone to start trading much smaller positions and prepare for a very light trading week through Christmas.
Remember, the markets typically begin to move more aggressively after January 7-10.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
GOLD: Assessing Recent Market Shifts and Future OutlookFollowing a significant drop triggered by the recent USD economic news, gold prices have begun an intraday recovery from a one-month low of approximately $2,602 as I write this article. The global risk sentiment has notably deteriorated in response to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance announced on Wednesday. Geopolitical uncertainties and concerns regarding trade conflicts have also contributed to heightened demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
From a technical perspective, the bearish momentum does not appear to be over. There exists the possibility that gold prices could experience a pullback, potentially retesting a previous demand zone that may provide some support.
Furthermore, the Fed’s indication to decelerate the pace of interest rate cuts has resulted in rising yields on US Treasury bonds, which typically strengthens the US dollar. This dynamic may serve to limit any further upward movement for gold, which does not yield interest, making it less attractive in comparison to interest-bearing assets. As a result, traders with bullish positions should exercise caution as the market navigates these complex influences.
Previous Forecast :
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GOLD Bearish Breakout! Selll!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a
Downtrend and the price
Made a bearish breakout
A retest and pullback
From the key level of 2620$
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Gold has officially broken below the 'Flat Correction' channel & Wave 3 sell's are in full effect! This sell volatility was induced by the Federal Reserve lowering the Interest Rate down to 4.5% last night.
As per usual fundamentals come into effect AFTER and push price towards our technical bias. I've said it before & I'll say it again. Politics & Economic data is one of the most manipulated facades out there😉
GOLD --> The Downtrend Persists. What’s the Next Target?Dear Friends,
Gold has seen a modest rise amidst a broader bearish trend, currently trading around $2,617, up 1.27% on the day.
This slight uptick can be attributed to sellers pausing their pressure, coupled with the fundamental appeal of gold increasing. As the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding precious metal decreases due to lower interest rates, gold becomes more attractive.
However, the Federal Reserve's cautious outlook on rate cuts—suggesting smaller reductions than expected next year—could weigh on gold's upward momentum.
Additionally, US Treasury yields edged higher on December 18, with the 10-year yield reaching its highest level since May. Treasuries, often considered a direct competitor to gold due to their interest-bearing nature, could diminish gold's appeal if yields continue to rise.
Ben personally advises waiting for a decisive candle close below the 2636 liquidity zone before taking further advantage of the market trend.
USOIL Will Move Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 70.05.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 72.85 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Gold - Starting A Major -25% Correction!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is starting to reject resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After rallying an incredible +35% during 2024, Gold is now (finally) starting to show some expected weakness at a major resistance trendline. Following this quite significant overextension, it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term bearish correction now.
Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 2,698.246 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the GOLD pair.
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XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Continuation?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2618.36, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 2577, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be at 2665.40, an overlap resistance close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USOIL Best Level to Short/Hold 10% swing trade setup🔸Hey guys, today let's review the 2 hour chart for US oil . Any upside is
limited by strong overhead resistances, currently trading near range highs
so overall risk/reward shifting in bears favor.
🔸Strong resistances will cap upside at 72.00 usd / 72.50 usd. right now
locked in tight trading range, however expecting final pump to trigger overhead stop losses before reversal and subsequent sell off event.
🔸Recommended strategy for BEARS: wait for the final pump before short selling from strong overhead resistances at 72.00 and 72.50 SL fixes at 74.00 usd, TP1 bears is 68 usd TP2 bears is 66 usd. swing trade setup, patience required. good luck!
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Gold price trend analysisGold daily line maintains a short structure, and the continued rise of the US dollar index has a certain negative impact on the gold and silver markets. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow and a small positive, and the short-term chart four-hour roller coaster price continued to move down along the high and low points of the MA10-day moving average, and the price continued to run along the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands. The hourly chart Bollinger Bands opened downward, and the RSI indicator ran below the middle axis. Today's trading ideas remain unchanged, mainly rebounding high and high, and low-multiple short-term auxiliary.
Gold 1-hour moving average is still short-term divergent arrangement, without any signs of turning, and there is still room for gold to go down. Gold did not stand firm at 2600 to close, and continued to sell at highs below 2613 today!
First support: 2582, second support: 2572, third support: 2563
First resistance: 2605, second resistance: 2613, third resistance: 2628
Trading strategy:
BUY:2583-2585
SELL:2611-2613
GOLD - Should I sell?Brian, hello everyone!
Gold prices “plunged” and fell more than 2% to a one-month low in mid-week trading after the Fed decided to cut interest rates as expected, but noted that it would slow the pace of borrowing cost reductions in the near term. The Fed’s stance boosted the USD and bond yields.
Based on the performance of gold on the 4-hour time frame, along with indicators from EMA and RSI, a bearish trend is expected in the coming period. With the current unfavorable situation for gold, the price of gold is likely to reach $2,537 in the near future.