NATURAL GAS Channel Up getting ready for the next Leg to 6.600Natural Gas (NG1!) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 27 2024 Low and right now it is consolidating on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The last Higher Low was priced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which isn't far of, actually it sits at the bottom of the Channel Up. Given the strong symmetry on the Channel's initial Bullish Legs (+61.23%), we expect the new rally that is about to start to also reach the 1.618 - 1.786 Fibonacci extension Zone as the previous.
As a result, we see NG at a minimum of 6.600 by June - July.
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Commodities
DeGRAM | GOLD ready to continue the correctionGOLD is above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The price has already reached the dynamic resistance.
The chart has held under the upper trend line.
We expect a pullback after retesting the resistance level and consolidating under the 62% retracement level.
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Potential reversalAs always we must look for channels in which price is moving on a bigger timeframe, this one is in 4h candles giving a good medium term channel which it has respected at least 2 times before, so my idea is to wait for a breakout and retest or a reasonable rejection at this point positioning trades following price as we allways say.... don't go against the trend!
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H VIDEO UPDATE)As you can see from the video analysis, we’ve re-counted 5 Sub-Waves within the Major Wave 5 bull run. Now we’re waiting for some form of reversal📉
STRICT RULES GIVEN ON THE VIDEO AT WHAT PRICE WE WILL ENTER AGAIN. IF WAVE 3 HIGH BOS IS NOT BREACHED, THEN WE WON’T ENTER❌
Wave 3 BOS: $3,057
GOLD breaks and refreshes All-Time High, on PCE Data dayOn Friday (March 28) in the Asian trading session, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD unexpectedly accelerated and the gold price surpassed the level of 3,077 USD / ounce, up more than 20 USD on the day.
The threat of additional tariffs by US President Trump has affected the USD. Gold still maintains a positive growth momentum and is expected to reach a new record high.
The spot OANDA:XAUUSD closed up 37.50 USD on Thursday as new auto tariffs announced by President Donald Trump have increased trade tensions around the world and sent stock markets plunging, sending investors fleeing for safe-haven assets.
Gold traders will focus on U.S. PCE inflation data on Friday to gauge the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting path.
Markets will now focus on upcoming U.S. economic data. On Friday, the U.S. will release data on the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for February, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.
The U.S. core PCE price index is expected to have risen 2.7% year-on-year in February, up slightly from 2.6% in January.
“A mild PCE inflation reading could reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance and maintain support for gold”
Gold is traditionally seen as a safe haven from economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in low-interest-rate environments.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Continuing to rise, gold reached all the target levels sent to readers in the weekly publication and also broke these levels. With the current position, gold is expected to continue to rise with the next target at the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level.
The RSI is upright moving back to the 80 area, showing surprisingly strong buying momentum without any signs of weakening in the oversold area.
In the short term, the confluence of the upper edge of the price channel with the 0.50% Fibonacci extension will be the most important position to watch, as it acts as an expected resistance for a slight correction when the RSI enters the overbought zone. However, once gold continues to break $3,113, there will be nothing to stop gold from continuing to increase rapidly.
Overall, the overall bullish outlook for gold prices during the day will be focused on the following technical levels.
Support: $3,057 – $3,051
Resistance: $3,086 – $3,100 – $3,113
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3101 - 3099⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3105
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3087
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3004 - 3006⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3000
→Take Profit 1 3012
↨
→Take Profit 2 3018
DeGRAM | GOLD has grown againGOLD is above the ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower trend line, support level and has already consolidated above the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart maintains an ascending structure.
Trading volumes have decreased.
We expect XAUUSD to continue rising while the indicators are forming a bearish divergence on the 1W Timeframe. It should be taken into account that opening long positions now is quite risky.
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USOil:When it rebounds to the resistance, continue go shortIn terms of crude oil, in the short term, with the decline in US crude oil inventories, the escalation of US sanctions against Iran and Venezuela, and the resumption of hostilities between Russia and Ukraine, efforts at reconciliation have been ineffective. Therefore, the short-term market has hyped up the reduction in crude oil supply, causing crude oil to fluctuate repeatedly at high levels without being able to decline. However, as tariffs are upgraded and concerns about the global economic downturn intensify, the demand for crude oil has further decreased. At the same time, in order to control inflation, the control of crude oil prices remains a top priority.
Therefore, the medium- to long-term downward trend remains unchanged. Currently, from a technical perspective, when crude oil rebounds to the resistance level, it is advisable to continue taking short positions as before.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
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SILVER (XAGUSD): Strong Resistance Ahead
Silver is very close to the resistance based on the last year's high.
Watching how strong is the bullish momentum, I got a feeling
that it is going to be broken.
A daily candle close above that will provide a strong bullish confirmation.
The price will keep rising to the new highs then.
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USOil:Profit realized by shorting on reboundsOn Thursday, crude oil dipped and then rallied towards the end of the trading session, reaching a low of around 69.1. Today, it rebounded to around 69.8 and then started to decline. The short-selling strategy implemented in the morning resulted in a profit.
Next, attention should be paid to whether the upper resistance level of 70 can be broken through. If it cannot be broken through in a short period of time, consider shorting again during the subsequent rebound.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
CADCHF Bullissh or Bearish ??? Detailed analysisCAD/CHF is currently trading at approximately 0.6150, forming a bearish flag pattern—a continuation signal that typically precedes further downward movement. This pattern emerges after a sharp price decline, followed by a consolidation phase characterized by parallel trendlines. A breakout below the flag's lower boundary could potentially lead to a decline of over 100 pips, aligning with the target price of 0.6000.
Fundamental factors support this bearish outlook. The Bank of Canada (BoC) recently implemented a 25 basis point rate cut, reducing the benchmark rate to 2.75%. This move, aimed at stimulating economic growth amid trade tensions and weakened consumer confidence, has exerted downward pressure on the Canadian dollar. Conversely, the Swiss franc continues to benefit from its safe-haven status, attracting investors during periods of global uncertainty. Additionally, Switzerland's robust economic data, including a manufacturing PMI of 51.5 and a 4.0% rise in exports, further bolsters the franc's strength.
Technical analysis further reinforces the bearish sentiment. The CAD/CHF pair has been in a steady downtrend, with minor retracements occasionally. Currently, the price is preparing for another retracement aimed at retesting the immediate supply zone. The 4-hour timeframe chart shows that the supply zone falls perfectly between the 76% and 88% Fibonacci retracement levels. The presence of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and inducement contribute to the bearish leaning of the market sentiment. Analysts have set a target of 0.6051, with an invalidation point at 0.6231.
Given these technical and fundamental factors, the CAD/CHF pair appears poised for a bearish breakout from the flag pattern. Traders should monitor key support levels and employ robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
Gold H4 | Potential bullish bounceGold (XAU/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 3,049.57 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,990.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 3,109.51 which is a resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Silver Approaching ATH – Major Breakout Incoming?Silver is showing a strong bullish structure on the weekly timeframe. The price has been consistently forming Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), respecting a long-term ascending trendline that’s acting as dynamic support. This trendline has held multiple pullbacks, confirming strong underlying demand.
Currently, Silver is approaching its All-Time High (ATH) resistance near $34.83 while testing the upper resistance trendline of an ascending channel. A clean breakout above this level could trigger a major rally, potentially setting a new ATH. If the price faces rejection, a healthy pullback toward the support zone around $30 could offer another long-entry opportunity.
The structure remains bullish as long as Silver holds above the trendline support. A successful breakout above $34.83 could lead to a strong bullish continuation.
Still DYOR, NFA
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Gold Breaks Resistances_ Is a New All-Time High(ATH) on the Way?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($3,032-$3,021) and has managed to break the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 4 can be the breakdown of the resistance lines and the Resistance zone($3,032-$3,021) .
I expect Gold to trend upwards in the coming hours and can even create a New All-Time High(ATH) .
Do you think Gold can create a new All-Time High(ATH)?
Note: If Gold goes below $3,013, we should expect more dumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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EUR/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has moved exactly as expected since our last analysis. After reaching the supply zone between 1.083 and 1.093, the pair began a correction and is currently trading around 1.079. Keep in mind, only if the price stabilizes below the 1.080 level can we expect further downside from this pair.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-27-25 : Breakaway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern suggests the markets will continue to melt downward (possibly attempting to fill the Gap from March 24).
I strongly believe the SPY/QQQ are completing the "rolling top" pattern I suggested would happen near or after the March 21-24 TOP pattern my deeper cycle research suggested was likely.
At this point, things are just starting to line up for a broader market decline while the current EPP pattern plays out as a Breakdown of the EPP Flagging formation (moving into consolidation).
Gold and Silver are RIPPING higher. Yes, I do expect a little bit of volatility near these recent highs. But, I also expect metals to continue to rally higher from these levels over the next 10-15+ days. Watch the video.
Bitcoin is stalling/topping - just as I suggested it would months ago.
Now we see how the market move into this new trending phase and how far this current trend will drive price trends. I believe the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin will all continue to move downward while Gold/Silver move (RIP) higher on this breakaway move.
This is a PERFECT trader's market.
Get some.
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Gold Prices Doubled in 5 years. What Does It 'Historically' MeanOver the past five years, Gold prices OANDA:XAUUSD have experienced a significant surge, doubling in value over the past 5 years, from mid-March 2020 to mid-March 2025.
This is the 3rd time in history ever, the price of gold doubled in U.S. dollars (we counted only events when it has been observed first time only over 5-years time span).
🥇 The 1st time "A Doubling" event happened in the first quarter of 1973, when Gold hit $80 mark per ounce (google: "1973 Arab–Israeli War").
⚒ What happened next with Gold prices after that? - Hmm.. Gold doubled in price again! (and even more) over the next three years. Watch historical charts to learn more.
⚒ S&P500 Index folded in half over the same next three years.
🥇 The 2nd time "A Doubling" event happened more than 30 years later, in the first quarter of 2006 when Gold prices hit $500 barrier by the end of the year 2005, for the first time since 1987.
Some analysts blamed inflation in the US and concerns about the state of the global economy.
⚒ What happened next with Gold price after that? - Hmm.... Gold price also doubled in price again! (and even more) over next three years. Watch again historical charts to learn more.
⚒ S&P500 Index folded in half again over the same next three years (google: "2008 financial crisis").
🥇 Now is the 3rd time "A Doubling" event has happened with Gold prices, first time over last almost 20 years.
Several factors have contributed to this increase, including economic uncertainty, inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, central bank activity, and investment demand.
Economic Uncertainty: Times of economic turmoil often drive investors towards gold as a safe haven asset. The increase in global economic uncertainty has been a primary driver of gold's price surge.
Inflation: The threat of inflation also contributes to the rising price of gold. Investors often turn to gold as a hedge against the devaluation of fiat currencies during inflationary periods.
Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical instability encourages investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold. The Ukraine war, along with conflicts in the Middle East, have further fueled the rise in gold prices.
Central Bank Demand: Central banks' buying and easing cycles influence gold prices. Central banks often purchase gold to diversify their reserve holdings, and this demand can impact gold prices significantly.
Investment Demand: Demand from technology, jewelry, and investors influences gold prices. Gold price movements are sometimes driven by investor demand.
--
Best #GODL (Gold On Dear Life) wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Leading on from last night's video update, we're still waiting on a breach of previous Wave 3 high's at $3,057 to give us a 'BOS' & structure shift to the downside, turning the market bearish. Until then we're out of the market & letting Gold run higher if it chooses to.
As soon as Gold CLOSES BELOW $3,057 & gives us a 'selling confirmation', then we can put our 'Invalidation Level' above the previous high.
SILVER bullish and overbought at the new ATH SILVER bullish and overbought at the new ATH
Trend Overview:
Silver remains in a bullish trend, supported by an ongoing uptrend. However, a corrective pullback could present potential buying opportunities at key support levels.
Key Levels:
Support: 3400 (critical level), 3332, 3240
Resistance: 3440, 3488, 3555
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback to 3400 followed by a strong bounce could confirm support and drive prices towards 3440, with extended targets at 3488 and 3555 over the longer term.
Bearish Scenario:
A daily close below 3400 would invalidate the bullish outlook, signaling further downside towards 3332 and possibly 3240 in an extended correction.
Conclusion:
The bullish trend remains intact, but 3400 is the key level to watch. Holding above it supports further upside, while a break below could trigger a deeper retracement. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at support and resistance levels for trade setups.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Summer is almost over for gold, winter is coming.To me it's a clear 5-way Elliot cycle.
And as I always say, trends usually target the Fibonacci range between 1.618 and 2.618.
I would never push for more, would be an unnecessary risk.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
WTI Oil H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?WTI oil (USOIL) could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 68.65 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 67.53 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 71.06 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.