Get started

Commodities

Gold Eyes 3365 as Tariff Tensions Support Bullish MomentumGOLD OVERVIEW Gold extended gains to around $3,329 amid a weaker dollar and ongoing tariff tensions, with markets reacting to new U.S. trade actions and divided Fed minutes on rate cuts. Technical Outlook: Gold remains bullish while above 3320. A 1H close above 3342 opens the door to 3365. A 1H close below 3314 will turn sentiment bearish toward 3297 and potentially 3282. Resistance: 3330, 3342, 3365 Support: 3309, 3297, 3282
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
1
Gold Looks Bullish: technical and fundamentalHi Guys! Gold is starting to flash major bullish signals, and this time, it’s not just about the chart. The technical setup is clean, but we’re also seeing fundamental tailwinds that could fuel a bigger move. Let’s break it down 1. Technical Setup: The QML Reversal Is In Play On the 1H chart, Gold is showing a textbook Quasimodo (QML) reversal pattern. Price made a lower low, then reversed up to break structure, and now it’s pulling back and respecting the key QML zone around $3,296. This zone has turned into strong support. As long as we stay above it, the structure suggests a continuation toward $3,367 — a clean upside liquidity target and the previous high. Strategy: Look for pullbacks into $3,296 for potential long entries with targets around $3,367 or higher. 2. Fundamental Tailwinds: Why Gold Is Gaining Strength The fundamentals are stacking up in Gold’s favor right now. Here’s what’s fueling the move: - Weakening USD & Rate Cut Expectations With the Fed increasingly signaling rate cuts by late 2025, the US dollar is losing steam. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Gold, making it more attractive to investors. Traders are already pricing this in. - Softening Economic Data Recent U.S. data, including weaker-than-expected job growth and declining manufacturing numbers, points to a slowing economy. That puts more pressure on the Fed to pivot dovish, which historically sends Gold higher. - Central Bank Demand Global central banks (especially in Asia) continue to accumulate physical Gold as part of their long-term reserve strategy. That institutional demand provides strong support at lower levels. Technical + Fundamental = Strong Bullish Bias We’re seeing a solid confluence here: Chart says long (QML + bullish structure) Macro says long (dovish Fed + weaker dollar + safe haven demand) Drop your thought here!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
8
Gold Trade Setup – Long Invalidated, Watching Retest for ShortGold has been consolidating between $3,200 and $3,500, recently pressing against a descending resistance line that has rejected price several times. I was favoring the upside, but our long setup was invalidated — the stop loss at $3,330 was hit. Price is now retesting ascending support, and I'm shifting focus to a short opportunity, using our previous long entry level (~$3,333) as a key area of interest for entries. Here’s the updated plan: Short Entry: Around $3,333 Stop Loss: $3,340 Take Profit: $3,303 Remaining cautious but opportunistic — the larger structure is vulnerable and could break further if support fails.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
2
NATURAL GAS Best buy opportunity of the Channel Up.Natural Gas (NG1!) touched yesterday the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 1.5-year Channel Up, marginally below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and is reacting so far today with a bullish tone. If this evolves in a full-scale rebound, then technically it will be the pattern's new Bullish Leg. The previous one rose by +161.12% and a repeat of that will take this Leg back to the top of the Channel Up. Our Target is marginally below that mark, on the 2.5 Fibonacci extension level at 6.800. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by TradingShot
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Absolutely beautiful to see our 1h chart idea playing out perfectly. After completing the bearish targets earlier this week, we had the ema5 cross and lock below 3306 opening the swing range. - This played out perfectly hitting the first swing range level and doing exactly what it say son the tin giving the full swing into 3306 just like we highlighted. We will now look for ema5 lock above 3306 for a continuation into the bullish targets above or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns for suport and bounce. If it continues to fail breakout above, into the first Bullish target, then we are likely to see the full swing range tested on the rejections. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3358 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3389 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3416 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 BEARISH TARGETS 3330 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3306 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3283 - DONE 3254 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
XAUUSD - Sell or Buy ? Hello everyone, great to see you again! Today, OANDA:XAUUSD remains under notable pressure as the U.S. continues to signal a tougher trade stance. The latest move: the U.S. President announced a 50% import tariff on copper and a potential 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, following a previous tariff notice ranging from 25% to 40% sent to 14 countries — including Japan, South Korea, Thailand, and Malaysia. This isn’t just about protectionism. These measures fuel fears of global inflation, supply chain disruptions, and a broader economic slowdown. With surging prices in raw materials and essential goods, consumers may be forced to cut back spending, a classic warning sign for future growth. In this environment, investors had hoped gold would shine again as a safe haven asset. However, the recent bullish momentum has been underwhelming, signaling ongoing market hesitation. 📉 On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is being squeezed into a descending pattern, which typically carries a high probability of a downside breakout. If the current support fails, the next target could fall below the 32xx area. On the flip side, if supportive news emerges — such as a hint of rate cuts from the Fed — gold must break above the $3,335 level to revive bullish sentiment. 🔎 What do you think? Will gold break lower — or bounce back? Drop your thoughts below!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
GBPJPY - Multi-Year Short Update! In our last setup for GBPJPY, we identified a massive diagonal pattern, with price completing wave 4 and preparing for a multi-year drop into wave 5. Since then, price has played out exactly as forecasted — we've seen a clean impulse lower for wave 1, followed by an ABC correction for wave 2, which looks to have now completed. This sets the stage for the next major leg — wave 3 of 5 — which historically carries the most power and momentum. 📉 See monthly chart here: 📊 GBP/JPY Wave‑3 Trade Idea Background: We’ve completed wave 1 down and wave 2 up (ABC correction). GBPJPY is now positioned to start a powerful wave 3 down — the most impulsive leg in an Elliott sequence. 🔍 Current Price Action: Price is rejecting major resistance (previous wave A high + shaded zone) Structure shows a completed 5-wave move up within C, suggesting exhaustion. A clean ascending trendline (red) has formed under wave v — a break here signals the first confirmation. Option 1 – Aggressive Entry: - Trigger: Break and close below the red trendline (~198.00–197.80 zone) on the daily. - Entry: On candle close below trendline - Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower Option 2 – Conservative Entry (preferred): - Trigger: Trendline break + correction - Entry: On bearish confirmation and then a correction to indicate further downside - Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower Take Profit Levels: - TP1: 192 - TP2: 180 - TP3: 175 - Final Target: Trail for extended move toward wave (3) lows (could be 10,000+ pips over long term) 🔐 Invalidation: Daily close back above 200.00 or impulsive rally beyond the pink resistance zone invalidates the short bias in the short term. ✅ Summary: This is a high-conviction, structure-backed setup with: - Wave count + Fib confluence - Bearish structure at key resistance - Confirmation-based trigger (trendline break + retest) - Excellent long-term risk-to-reward profile 📂 Previous GBPJPY Setups (Track Record): 📌 Free Setup (Big Picture Outlook) – Multi-Year Shorts Incoming (Wave 4 Completion) ✅ Swing 1 – 1,200 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Long) ✅ Swing 2 – 1,000 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short) ✅ Swing 3 – 1,100 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short) ✅ Swing 4 – 700 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)
by WicktatorFX
Nasdaq Surges to New Highs – 23,200 and 24,000 in Sight? (READ)By analyzing the Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the index is currently trading around the 22,700 zone and has followed the main analysis perfectly so far — continuing to print new all-time highs. According to the original outlook, as long as the index holds above 22,150, we can expect further bullish continuation toward the next targets at 23,200 and 24,000. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
IG:NASDAQLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
1
GOLD (XAUUSD): Time to Recover?! Gold reached an important rising trend line on a daily. I see 2 nice intraday bullish reactions to that on a 4H time frame and a double bottom pattern formation. Its neckline breakout and a 4H candle close above 3309 will confirm a start of a bullish correctional movement. Goal will be 3327. Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the trend line will push the prices lower. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
3
DeGRAM | GOLD forming head and shoulders📊 Technical Analysis ● A double rejection at 3 358—confluence of the May-July descending trend-line and the long-term channel roof—has carved successive lower highs; the break of the inner up-trend (circled) shifts structure bearish. ● Price is now slipping out of a contracting pennant; sustained trade beneath 3 246 (pattern base / April pivot) exposes the mid-channel magnet at 3 202, with the outer rail projecting 3 121. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Surprise rise in NY Fed 1-yr inflation expectations and Daly’s “no urgency to cut” remarks lifted 2-yr real yields and the DXY, while ETFs saw a fifth straight day of outflows, signalling fading bullion demand. ✨ Summary Sell 3 300–3 320; break below 3 246 targets 3 202 → 3 121. Short view void on a 4 h close above 3 358. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
13
USOIL Will Go Lower! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 66.917. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 62.519 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
1
Gold: Market analysis and strategy on July 11Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance: 3375, support: 3285 Four-hour chart resistance: 3360, support: 3310 One-hour chart resistance: 3345, support: 3324. For the current market trend, pay attention to the resistance of 3340-3345 on the upper side during the day. This is the high point concentration area that has suppressed the upward trend of gold prices many times in the early stage. If it is treated as a volatile market, sell at highs in the 3340~3345 range. If it breaks through 3345, it may trigger stop-loss buying and continue to rise to the 3355~3360 area. The key support below is still at 3310, but from the 1-hour chart, the trend is rising in steps, and the short-term support is around 3324. Buy back here. After the Asian market was blocked near the previous high of 3345, it entered a short-term correction, and the long and short saws. It is suitable for fast in and out, and follow up and buy after breaking through 3345. Buy: 3324near Buy: 3310near Buy: 3345near Sell: 3344near
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold fluctuates, consolidation in the 3330-3310 range📰 News information： 1. Waller meeting on interest rate cuts 2. Trump tariff issues 📈 Technical Analysis： Waller will participate in the meeting in more than two hours and pay attention to whether there is any news of interest rate cut. The key is to operate around the 3330-3310 range. Continue to pay attention to the support of 3310-3305 at night. If gold falls below 3310,-3305 again, the downward trend will continue, and it is expected to touch 3280 again, or even 3250. If it rebounds above 3330, it is likely to continue to rise. In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
Silver bullish breakout support at 3686The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 3686 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 3686 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 3814 – initial resistance 3865 – psychological and structural level 3920 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 3686 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 3645 – minor support 3590 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 3686. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by TradeNation
Natural Gas - The Epic Reversal? Natural gas had an astonishing move to the upside. Closing up over 5% today. This volatility can make all tarders head spin if youre not used to it. Why did Nat gas pop today? Partly from being oversold and into really good technical support, Natural gas inventories were released today at 10:30am. The inventories showed a smaller build than the market expected which implies stronger demand. 56B consensus vs 53B actual. This could potentially be the start to a new bullish trend. Names like EQT & AR hit some major support today. Some call options on these names have been accumulated.
NYSE:EQTLong
by Trading-Capital
SILVER (XAGUSD): Correction is Over?! It looks like Silver has finally completed a consolidation within a wide horizontal parallel channel on a daily. A new higher high formation today indicates coming growth. Because if its Friday, I suggest looking for trend-following buy from Monday. Let the market close above the underlined resistance to let it set a Higher Close as well. Look for buying after a pullback, aiming at 38.0 as the first goal. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Gold - Sell before longer term buyLooking at gold we are a matter of a few pips away from entry. looking to play gold down till our larger 4H area of demand seeing as we have had a CHoCH to the upside. There for i will be looking to take my sell position down to 3283.5 at a bare minimum as it was the previous structure level in which we turned around. Lets see if we get tagged in. If not i will jump down to the lower TF and see if we can get a confirmation that price is going to turn from here.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenFxLDN
1
XAGUSD Analysis : Squeeze + Curved Support Break + Bearish SetupThe XAGUSD 4-hour timeframe presents a structurally rich bullish setup, displaying signs of smart money accumulation and directional bias toward a potential breakout. Price action is currently compressing beneath a major horizontal resistance, supported dynamically by a Black Mind Curve, indicating progressive demand absorption by larger players. This structure — characterized by rounded, ascending support and multiple rejections off a flat resistance — resembles a re-accumulation cup-like formation beneath a key supply level. These conditions often precede high-probability breakouts, driven by liquidity engineering and retail trap setups. 🔍 Key Technical Elements: 🟢 1. Black Mind Curve Support (Dynamic Demand Zone) The curved trendline support represents an institutionally significant accumulation level, respected over multiple sessions. Note the price’s consistent reaction at this curved support, producing long lower wicks and bullish engulfing candles — both signs of liquidity grabs followed by strong buyer commitment. This curve essentially acts as a visual footprint of algorithmic buying interest — creating a controlled, higher-low structure leading into the resistance wall. 🔵 2. Major Horizontal Resistance Zone (~37.20–37.40) This level has served as a historical sell-side liquidity pool, having rejected multiple attempts to break higher over the past weeks. Each approach has been met with selling pressure, but the gradual compression of price against this zone hints at an impending breakout. Repeated testing of resistance with higher lows builds pressure — a classic ascending re-test model. 🟡 3. Break of Structure (BOS) Levels: Confirmation Zones Minor BOS (~36.20): Confirmed. Indicates bullish intent and short-term trend shift. Major BOS (~35.80): The ultimate invalidation level. If broken, the bullish thesis is compromised, and price may re-enter the lower consolidation zone. A bullish BOS above 37.40 would mark a true breakout and open the door to 38.00+ levels. 🔴 4. Liquidity & Smart Money Behavior The long wicks and deep retests into the Black Mind Curve suggest stop-loss hunts and liquidity inducement. Institutions often use such zones to trap breakout traders early, accumulate orders below swing lows, and then reverse the move. The price action around July 3–10 reflects this behavior clearly. ⚫ 5. Volume & Momentum Consideration While not shown in the chart, volume confirmation is critical here. A breakout above resistance should ideally be supported by increased volume and momentum divergence on RSI/MACD. A failure to confirm could indicate a fakeout trap, which is not uncommon in commodity markets like Silver. 📌 Strategic Trade Scenarios: 🟢 Bullish Continuation Setup: Trigger: Break and 4H candle close above 37.40 resistance Retest Entry: Wait for price to retest broken resistance (now support) with bullish confirmation (engulfing, pin bar, etc.) Targets: TP1: 38.00 (psychological round number) TP2: 38.60–38.90 (measured move target from structure base) TP3: 39.50 (extension target) Invalidation: Break below 36.00 with strong bearish volume 🔻 Bearish Rejection Scenario: Trigger: Sharp rejection from resistance zone followed by breakdown below the Black Mind Curve and BOS levels Confirmation: Close below 36.20 with high volume Targets: TP1: 35.80 TP2: 35.20 (curve base) TP3: 34.80 (range bottom liquidity zone) Invalidation: Return above 36.80 after rejection 📘 Market Context & Professional Insight: This is a high-probability continuation pattern in a bullish macro context. With interest rates stabilizing and commodity demand remaining firm, silver often trails gold in performance but catches up with volatility. Traders must watch the behavior around the resistance level, as that’s where smart money will show their hand. Institutional traders typically accumulate below resistance and engineer a breakout with controlled price action — and this chart is a textbook display of that setup. The Mind Curve structure mimics Wyckoffian schematics in the re-accumulation phase. Timing is crucial — breakout traders should be patient and disciplined, avoiding premature entries before a valid confirmation of strength. ✅ Conclusion: Silver (XAGUSD) is approaching a critical juncture. The chart structure suggests an imminent breakout above major resistance, supported by institutional behavior along the Black Mind Curve Support. However, traders must remain agile — watch for breakout confirmation or signs of a false move followed by distribution. This chart embodies a calculated bullish bias, and offers a great risk-to-reward opportunity for both trend followers and breakout traders.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
1