SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-21 : Top Pattern Counter TrendToday's Top pattern in Counter-Trend mode suggests the markets will attempt to move downward, seeking a new support level, then find a base and attempt to roll a bit higher.
I don't expect a big breakdown to take place today, but the YM is already struggling to maintain support - so we may see the ES/NQ break downward if the major markets continue to weaken throughout the day.
I do expect the markets to move into my Major Bottom pattern over the next 3-5+ trading days. So, overall, I expect the markets to reject these recent highs and attempt to move downward.
Gold and Silver should continue to rally with Gold trying to break above $3k and silver trying to break above $35.
Bitcoin is moving into an early stage Excess Phase Peak flagging formation. This should prompt a fairly solid rally phase for Bitcoin over the next few days/weeks.
If my longer-term research is correct, the recent new highs will be rejected and price will roll into a double-bottom type of setup between now and the end of March 2025.
I suspect traders are not prepared for this move and will continue to try to BUY any dip they see over the next 30+ days.
My only advice is to play the short-term trends and avoid position or swing trading too heavily.
The markets are going to become very volatile over the next 30+ days.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Commodities
Gold’s Rally Continues – Next ATH?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) again managed to form a new All-Time High(ATH) . Are you used to this?
Gold has already managed to break the Uptrend line . But as long as Gold is above 100_SMA(1-hour) , we can hope for the continuation of the upward trend .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 3, so that the main wave 3 was extended .
I expect Gold to start rising again after a temporary decline from the levels I charted and create a new All-Time High(ATH) .
Note: If Gold can go below 100_SMA(1-hour) again, we should expect more dumps.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea is playing out, as analysed.
After hitting our first Bullish target, we stated yesterday that we had the lock above 2905 opening 2934. This gave a nice push up of over 200 pips but the gap remained open and still valid.
- This was hit today completing this target. Our next range is now open above at 2959 but as we enter into the ATH range, we need to take caution. We are seeing EMA5 break back into 2934 also opening 2905. Range is now big but structure is still very much Bullish and therefore we will continue with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2905 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2905 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2934 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2934 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2987
BEARISH TARGETS
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2871 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2841
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2807 - 2781
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2781 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2764 - 2740
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to area of 2972.207.Colleagues, if you look at this upward movement, what can you say? Of course the lower order wave “3” continued and updated its top. This means that we can expect 2 variants of events:
1) Price will continue the development of wave “3”.
2) Wave “4” will make a correction and then wave “5” will start.
The target is the area of 2972.207.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold Prices Surge to a New RecordToday, global gold prices continue their strong rally, reaching a new all-time high of $2,955 per ounce, moving closer to the $3,000 mark.
This surge is driven by increased safe-haven demand, as investors react to fears of a global trade war following President Donald Trump’s new tariff threats. Additionally, continued gold purchases by central banks have further contributed to the price surge.
Forecast:
📌 Goldman Sachs has raised its year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,100 per ounce.
📌 If concerns over U.S. debt escalate, gold could reach $3,250 per ounce by December 2025.
🚀 With strong momentum, will gold break above $3,000 soon?
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 17-21 FEB, 20251. Double Top Formation:
First Peak: The price reached the resistance zone ($2,940) and got rejected.
Second Peak: The price attempted to break this level again but faced rejection, forming the second top.
Neckline (Support Zone at $2,875 - $2,885): The price is now testing this area, which acts as a key decision point.
2. Bearish Confirmation (If Breakdown Happens):
If the price breaks below $2,875 and closes below this level, it confirms the double top.
The next potential downside target would be around $2,800 - $2,810 (measured move from the top to neckline).
3. Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Rebound (Invalidates Double Top):
If the price holds $2,875 - $2,885 and bounces up, it could retest $2,940 - $2,960 again.
This would turn the pattern into a fakeout, leading to another bullish move.
❌ Bearish Breakdown (Confirms Double Top):
A clean break and close below $2,875 signals more downside.
Target: $2,810 (or lower if momentum continues).
4. Trading Strategy:
Short Entry (Bearish):
If price breaks below $2,875, enter a sell position.
Stop-loss: Above $2,890 (to avoid fakeouts).
Take profit: $2,810 (or trail SL if trend continues).
Long Entry (Bullish Reversal):
If price holds $2,875 - $2,885 and forms bullish confirmation (like a hammer or engulfing candle).
Stop-loss: Below $2,870 to protect from a fake breakout.
Take profit: $2,940 - $2,960.
Final Thought: If this is truly a double top, a break below the neckline could trigger a bigger correction. But if buyers step in, it could flip into a breakout-retest strategy instead.
USOIL: Heavy trading plan is comingOPEC's production cut plan is about to be implemented, oil prices are about to rise sharply again, and geopolitical uncertainty has once again accelerated the growth of oil prices.
Technical support still exists. 72.4-72 is a reasonable trading range. As a short-term retracement point, this position has a strong support strength. The next round of USOIL is expected to exceed 73, or even reach 75.
Based on the above, the following operation suggestions are given for reference:
USOIL:
BUY 72.4
BUY 72
TP 73.12
TP 73.68
TP 74.48
SL 71.7
Silver H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 32.41 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 31.70 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 33.78 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USOIL (WTI) - New uptrend? Based on the technical analysis of West Texas Oil (WTI) on the 4-hour timeframe, we're monitoring a potential bullish setup. If the price successfully breaks above the upper blue box resistance zone around 74.000, we'll maintain patience and wait for a healthy retracement. Once we observe clear confirmation signals during this pullback, such as bullish candlestick patterns or strong momentum indicators, we can look to enter long positions. The anticipated target would be the previous resistance level marked by the red horizontal line at approximately 80.800.
SILVER: Three days breakout traders long in the marketHello everyone and welcome back to my channel! Please do not forget to support my analysis, leave me a comment and feel free to share your opinion, critics are always well accepted if not offensive!
Silver, a market that I don't typically trade that much, but sometimes it setups perfectly for interesting trades. Currently this template can lead to a strong short move if reacts how I could expect.
Before going deeper inside the analysis, as always, this is not a forecast, guessing the direction is pretty much 50/50, especially with the trading instruments we have. What I do and my "forecasting", is about the setup I'm interested in, if setup correctly.
"Chasing market movements and position yourself in a market that is potentially going to explode, are two completely different things", hope it makes sense!
Silver it's may be building a great pump and dump scenario, which can fail during the major red news today, 9:45am NYT USD PMI, or during the upcoming week, but let's see the logic behind.
Previous week, the last Tuesday placed the low, Friday placed the high, weekly and monthly level, creating as well a "box" where I'm interested to see the behaviour of price once will reach the extreme.
Monday was pretty much a narrow range, nothing special really happened, a part for triggering short breakout traders in the market.
Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday the market proceeded breaking higher and higher, triggering breakout long traders in the market for 3 days in a row. Apparently we have still bullish strength, but don't forget that we are still inside a monthly "box".
Today, I would say the market is in "narrow range" as well, but it's a classic situation when major red news are on schedule, however, a great bulk of volume looks like be trapped up high.
Thesis...
My main thesis is a short move, not necessarily today, but understand that major red news PMI can drastically be volatile and complete the move (in this scenario I may won't have a good fill to join this short)
As well, what I could expect, is the market pumping back up into the current monthly high, failing the breakout and starting the bearish backside process during the upcoming days, eventually reinforcing the thesis with a first red day signal.
I will definitely be following and keep this market in watchlist.
But what about a bullish move?
The only bullish setup I'm willing to take, is a scalp long back into the monthly high, if a buy low setup can be identified, targeting at maximum that level, with no huge size considering I would be buying almost into the high, but still a scalp, well managed, can be a lucrative opportunity.
During the NY session and upcoming days I will be updating this post, so don't miss it!
Gianni
XAUUSD Update – Key Levels in Play!🚀 XAUUSD Update – Key Levels in Play!
📉 Major Support & Rebound
As predicted in our recent analysis, gold found strong support at $2880, triggering a bullish reversal. This move has sent XAUUSD soaring back above $2950, securing a +2.58% gain in the process.
🔥 Technical Setup & Key Observations
✅ Head & Shoulders Formation on Hourly – A clear bearish structure is forming, but confirmation is still required.
✅ Failed Breakout at $2940 – Gold attempted to push higher but failed to hold above resistance, moving back into the range.
✅ Critical Support at $2925 – This is the key level to watch. A confirmed break below could trigger a further drop toward $2900.
📊 What’s Next?
🔹 Bearish Scenario – If price breaks $2925, expect a decline toward $2900, with further downside possible.
🔹 Bullish Invalidations – If XAUUSD reclaims $2940, the head & shoulders pattern fails, and we could see a renewed rally toward $2960+.
🔹 Watch Volume & Momentum – Increased selling pressure will validate the bearish move, while strong buying at key levels may shift the trend.
🎯 Trading Plan & Strategy
📌 Short positions on a confirmed $2925 break, targeting $2900.
📌 Long positions only above $2940, with targets at $2960 and beyond.
📌 Stay cautious—this is a key inflection zone, and price action will dictate the next move.
💡 Gold’s next major move is in the making—are you positioned correctly? 🚀📊
GOLD Approaching New Highs | Will It Hit $3000 Soon?GOLD Analysis | February 20, 2025
Gold continues its strong uptrend, pushing above the ATH and confirming its bullish momentum as we mentioned before. The price is currently trading around 2951, holding above the pivot line of 2935, indicating stability within the breakout structure.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as 2935 holds as support, the price is expected to continue its movement toward the resistance zone of 2956 - 2975.
A strong breakout above 2975 could signal further bullish momentum, with the next key target around 3000.
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from the ATH could lead to a retest of 2935 and 2918.
If a 4H candle closes below 2918, this may trigger a correction toward 2873 before any potential rebound.
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Pivot Point: 2956
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2975, 2985, 3000
🔹 Support Levels: 2935, 2918, 2873
💬 Will Gold sustain its momentum and reach new highs, or is a correction coming? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
GOLD's rise has been steady, limited by its all-time peakDuring the Asian trading session, OANDA:XAUUSD spot delivery at about 2,930 USD/ounce; Yesterday the price of gold skyrocketed to 36USSD. On this trading day, the Federal Reserve meeting minutes are expected to cause major volatility in the gold market.
On Tuesday, as US President Trump's tariff plan sparked market concerns about US economic growth, funds poured into the gold market in search of a safe haven. Spot gold closed up 36.28 USD, equivalent to 1.25%, at 2,934.87 USD/ounce.
The Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its January monetary policy meeting at 02:00 Hanoi time on Thursday. The market expects more information from the minutes on how decision-makers assess the risks of a global trade war that could be triggered by Trump's tariff policy.
Last week's data showed the US consumer price index (CPI) rose at its fastest pace in nearly 18 months in January, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's stance that it is in no rush to cut interest rates.
The minutes will be closely scrutinized for clues about the Fed's path forward, especially in light of recent data showing solid price growth, weak consumer sentiment and weaker-than-expected retail sales.
If the Fed meeting minutes have a tough stance, the US Dollar could be boosted, which would put gold prices at risk of falling. And vice versa, if the minutes show the possibility that the Fed will continue with its goal of cutting interest rates, the USD will weaken and create room for gold prices to increase.
CME Group's FedWatch tool now shows that the market actually sees no chance of a rate cut in March and about a 20% chance of a 25 basis point cut in May.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold's gains were temporarily halted by its all-time high but the technical outlook remains overwhelmingly bullish.
The technical structure remains unchanged with the price channel as the main trend and main support by EMA21.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, above EMA21, pullbacks should only be considered short-term corrections without changing the trend, and should be seen as a buying opportunity.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index has not really sent out any reliable signals for a possible downward correction.
To summarize, the intraday technical outlook for gold is bullish, notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,911 – 2,900 – 2,881USD
Resistance: 2,942USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2955
→Take Profit 1 2943
↨
→Take Profit 2 2937
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2904 - 2906⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2900
→Take Profit 1 2912
↨
→Take Profit 2 2918
XAUUSD UPDATED VIDEO ANALYSIS XAU/USD Analysis for 21 February 2025
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the factors influencing Gold (XAU/USD) for tomorrow, based on technical and fundamental insights from recent market data and forecasts:
1. Technical Analysis & Key Levels
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance at 2,940–2,943 USD (record high observed on 19 February)
A breakout above this zone could target 2,970 USD (next psychological barrier) or even 3,030 USD (Triangle pattern completion)
Support Levels:
Critical support at 2,887–2,906 USD. A drop below this range might trigger a deeper correction toward 2,850 USD
Indicators:
RSI (54.58): Neutral but leaning bullish.
MACD & Williams %R: Buy signals
Stochastic Oscillator: Overbought, suggesting short-term correction risks, though the broader uptrend remains intact
2. Fundamental Drivers
Fed Minutes Impact:
The release of the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes (scheduled for 19–20 February) is critical. A hawkish tone (e.g., delays in rate cuts) could strengthen the USD, pressuring Gold. Conversely, dovish hints may fuel bullish momentum
Geopolitical Tensions:
Ongoing US-Russia negotiations over Ukraine and Trump’s renewed tariff threats (e.g., 25%+ tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors) may sustain safe-haven demand for Gold
Dollar Dynamics:
The inverse correlation between XAU/USD and the USD remains pivotal. A weaker dollar (due to risk-off sentiment or Fed easing expectations) could propel Gold higher
3. Price Action Scenarios
Bullish Case:
A sustained break above 2,943 USD confirms the Triangle pattern breakout, targeting 3,030 USD
Continued safe-haven demand (geopolitical risks, tariffs) and dovish Fed signals may drive prices higher
Bearish Risks:
Failure to hold 2,900 USD support could trigger a correction toward 2,850 USD
Hawkish Fed rhetoric or USD strength (e.g., strong economic data) may cap gains
4. Strategic Takeaways
Entry Points:
Long positions: Consider buying on dips near 2,900–2,877 USD with a stop loss below 2,850 USD
Short-term traders: Target 2,970 USD if resistance at 2,943 USD breaks
Risk Management:
Monitor Fed Minutes and USD volatility. Adjust stop-loss levels dynamically based on news flow
Conclusion
Gold remains in a bullish trend, supported by geopolitical uncertainties and inflation hedging. However, tomorrow’s Fed Minutes will be pivotal in determining short-term momentum. A breakout above 2,943 USD opens the door to new highs, while a breakdown below 2,900 USD signals profit-taking or a deeper correction. Traders should align positions with technical levels and news-driven volatility.
LIKE US BOOST US SHARE OUR IDEA COMMENT AND MOTIVATE
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Drop ?Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 2942.88, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 2928.91, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 2955.79, above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long (BUY LIMIT)Gold is in a strong uptrend on the Daily chart, making higher highs and showing strong momentum. The RSI is above 70, indicating overbought conditions, but this is typical in strong trends. The MACD is bullish and confirms momentum.
On the 15-minute chart, Gold is consolidating after a strong rally, suggesting a continuation higher. The RSI is neutral (49.33), giving room for more upside.
On the 3-minute chart, Gold is experiencing a pullback, creating an opportunity to buy at a better price. The MACD is near neutral, signaling that a bullish reversal could be setting up.
Trade Setup
• Entry: 2936 (Near recent consolidation area)
• Stop Loss (SL): 2928 (Below recent support, limiting downside risk)
• Take Profit (TP): 2952 (Near next resistance level, maintaining a 2:1 RRR)
Fundamental Justification
• Gold is bullish due to inflationary concerns and continued demand for safe-haven assets.
• Interest rate expectations remain dovish, supporting Gold’s strength.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
WTI Crude oversold bounce The WTI Crude (US Light Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 7300. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7300 level could target the downside support at 7100 followed by 6955 and 6870 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7290 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7360 resistance followed by 7455 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOIL Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 7,215.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 6,999.3 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold (XAU/USD) Triangle Pattern – Key Support Test Incoming!Gold (XAU/USD) Triangle Pattern – Key Support Test Incoming! ⚠️
📊 Timeframe: 4H
💰 Current Price: $2,939
📉 Pattern: Ascending Triangle Breakdown Potential
Market Overview:
Gold has been forming an ascending triangle, with price reacting between the top resistance line and the rising trendline support. The price is now rejecting the upper boundary and could head towards key support zones before making its next move.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ First Support Area: $2,925 - $2,930 (Short-term bounce zone)
✅ Next Support Area: $2,900 - $2,910 (Stronger demand zone & trendline support)
✅ Resistance: $2,950 (Breakout level for bullish continuation)
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Price Rejection at the Top Line of Triangle: Selling pressure is increasing near resistance.
🔹 Support Retest Possible: If price moves lower, the first support area could act as a minor bounce zone, but if broken, we may see a drop to the next support area at $2,900.
🔹 Trendline Test Incoming: The bottom line of the triangle is critical—if it holds, we could see a bullish reversal. A breakdown would signal further downside.
Trade Plan:
🔹Bearish Scenario:
- If price breaks below $2,925, it could drop towards $2,900 support.
- Short Entry: Below $2,925
- Target: $2,900
- Stop Loss: $2,945
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
- If price holds the trendline support and shows bullish confirmation, we could see a **bounce back towards $2,950.
- Long Entry: Near $2,900 with confirmation
- Target: $2,950
- Stop Loss: $2,885
Minutes of the Federal Open Market CommitteeCommittee participants began discussions related to their review of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy framework. This review is focused on two specific areas: the Committee's Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy, which presents the Committee's approach to the conduct of monetary policy, and the Committee's policy communication practices. The Committee's 2 percent longer-run inflation goal will be retained and is not a focus of the review.
The manager noted that inflation offsets overall increased slightly. However, both the survey measures of inflation expectations and prices in the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities market remained fairly consistent with predictions that inflation would return to the Committee's 2% inflation target.
In money markets, the manager noted that a quarter-point lowering of the target range for the federal funds rate in December was fully carried over to other short-term rates. Additionally, the 5 basis point technical adjustment to the overnight reverse repurchase agreement (ON RRP) offering rate made in December appears to have been passed through almost entirely to the repurchase agreement (repo) rate.
EURUSD Analysis... and MORE!Here is some analysis on EURUSD, USDCHF, and a couple of other things.
I'm expecting higher prices on EURUSD and likewise some lower prices on USDCHF. I've already entered some positions, but there may be opportunities for more re-entries down the road as we may have some days or weeks to get to my targets.
I use ICT concepts along with my own revelations. I hope you find it useful.
Happy trading.
- R2F Trading