XAUUSD Elliott Wave . Wave (5) Targeting $3,700 After Pullback!The chart you’ve shared is a **2-hour Gold Spot (XAUUSD) analysis** using **Elliott Wave Theory**. Here's a clear breakdown of what’s happening:
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### 🧠 **Technical Summary:**
* **Larger Structure:** The chart shows a 5-wave Elliott Wave sequence. Waves (1) to (4) have already completed.
* **Current Situation:** The market is likely in a subwave structure of wave (5), with a small 5-wave formation labeled in **red** within the final wave (5).
* **Trend Channel:** The price broke out of the descending channel formed between waves (3) and (4), signaling a bullish breakout.
* **Pullback Zone:** A minor correction is expected before the final push upward, targeting the **\$3,650–\$3,700** area.
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### 🔍 **Key Observations:**
* 📉 **Corrective Wave Complete:** The drop from (3) to (4) formed a falling wedge/channel — typical in wave 4 corrections.
* 📈 **Impulse Wave Starting:** A new 5-wave upward impulse appears to be forming within wave (5).
* 🧱 **Demand Zone Highlighted:** A retracement into the support zone (\~\$3,250–\$3,270) is anticipated before a rally.
* 🎯 **Target Zone:** The final wave (5) is projected to hit between **\$3,650–\$3,700**, marked by the green target box.
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### 📌 **Outlook:**
* ✅ **Bullish Bias:** Long-term wave structure favors more upside.
* ⚠️ **Short-term Dip Possible:** A drop toward the demand zone is expected before further rally.
* 🕰️ **Timing:** Expect the final wave (5) to complete by early June, based on current structure.
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### ⚠️ **Disclaimer:**
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk properly and consult your own analysis or financial advisor before trading.
Let me know if you'd like a trading plan or want this chart translated into a Pine Script/EA.
Commodities
Daily Sniper Plan for Friday, May 23👋 Hey Gold Snipers, Ready to Slice Through the Noise?
The market has been throwing shadows and traps all day — but structure doesn’t lie. As we head into May 23, we’ve mapped out the real levels that matter. No hype. Just clean logic. You want sniper entries? Here's where we hunt 🧠🎯
🔭 Bias for May 23: Bearish-to-Neutral
Short-term bias is bearish as long as 3298 holds as resistance
If bulls reclaim 3300+ with momentum, we shift into bullish continuation bias toward 3332–3345
Until then, we’re playing inside structure → fading premium, buying deep discount only on confirmation
🧭 Market Update
Gold spent most of Thursday chopping inside indecision, dancing between reclaimed zones and rejected premiums. But smart money leaves a trail — and tonight, structure gave us the blueprint:
CHoCH confirmed from 3345 → now forming a lower high structure
EMA 5/21 still locked bearish on M15–H1, while price holds under the OB flip zone
RSI is showing divergence near key demand
FVGs still exposed both above and below = imbalance-driven reactions likely
Momentum is building... but direction depends on how we react to these zones👇
🧩 Plan for Friday, May 23 – Built Around Key Zones
🔺 Sell Zone: 3314–3320
💥 Premium OB reaction area
→ If price taps and rejects, this is where shorts load
→ EMA 100 and previous LH sit here — high probability fade level
→ Watch for M5 CHoCH or bearish engulfing to trigger sniper logic
⚖️ Flip Zone: 3292–3298
🧠 Former demand turned resistance — now the pivot of truth
→ If price rejects here again, expect quick drop to 3260s
→ BUT... if bulls reclaim and hold above 3300, this flips the script
→ In that case, structure opens doors to:
🟡3314
🟡3332
Even 3345+ (liquidity sweep zone)
We adapt with structure — not emotions.
🟩 Buy Zone #1: 3263–3273
✅ CHoCH support base + FVG + RSI bounce
→ This is sniper ground if price returns here cleanly
→ Look for EMA 5/21 bull lock + M15 BOS
→ Reactive zone, not for the impulsive — confirmation or nothing
🟩 Buy Zone #2: 3242–3250
🔑 Deep liquidity sweep + fib 78–88.6%
→ If price runs the 3260 zone and traps liquidity, this is the reload zone
→ Needs strong wick + RSI divergence + internal BOS to act
❌ Breakdown/Invalidation Zone: 3222–3230
🚨 Below here = no more sniper longs
→ Structure flips HTF bearish
→ If it breaks with volume and OB rejection on retest = prepare for deeper slide
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This isn’t about signals. It’s about structure.
Gold moves best when we wait — not when we guess. We mapped every key zone. Now we wait for confirmation, follow the logic, and let the amateurs get baited in between.
🎯 Bias stays bearish under 3298. Above 3300, we start building toward higher liquidity zones — but confirmation is king.
💬 Let me know which zone you're watching.
🔁 Share this plan if it helped clarify your direction.
🟡 Like + Follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level structure — every session.
XAU/USD: It's time for Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price continued to rise as expected and reached $3344. As I anticipated last week, the gap between $3311 and $3322 has finally been filled! This analysis has delivered a return of over 1090 pips so far. After hitting the $3340 zone, the price faced strong selling pressure and is currently trading around $3294. If gold manages to hold below $3284, we could expect further downside. This analysis will be updated!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
DeGRAM | GOLD moving in the range📊 Technical Analysis
● Rebound has met triple confluence: the H4 rising-wedge apex, the red 3 300-3 350 supply, and the roof of the broader descending channel – the same zone that capped rallies on 7 & 9 May.
● Bearish divergence appears on RSI while the wedge’s base is rising toward 3 284; a 4 h close beneath it should unlock the channel mid-line/blue trend support at 3 172, then the floor near 3 100.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US data stay firm – weekly jobless claims held near 227 k and May flash PMIs beat consensus, keeping 2-yr yields parked just under 5 % and the dollar bid.
● World Gold Council notes a fifth straight week of ETF outflows as higher opportunity cost dents investment demand.
✨ Summary
Fade strength inside 3 300-3 350; wedge breakdown < 3 284 aims 3 172 → 3 100. Shorts invalidated on a sustained H4 close above 3 350.
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GOLD Will Go Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,354.87.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,290.54.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bullish momentum to extend?The Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identiifed as a pullback support and xcould rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,287.49
1st Support: 3,211.03
1st Resistance: 3,413.48
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Understanding the Economic Calendar: A Must-Have Tool for EveryThe economic calendar is an essential tool that helps traders track economic events and indicators that may impact financial markets such as Forex, gold, and stock indices.
Common data listed in the calendar include interest rates, GDP, inflation (CPI), unemployment rates, retail sales, consumer confidence, FOMC minutes, and speeches from central bank officials. Each event shows the release time, the issuing country, detailed content, and an impact rating from low to high. Traders need to check the economic calendar daily to anticipate periods of high market volatility.
For example, when the U.S. releases interest rate decisions or the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, CAPITALCOM:GOLD gold and USD pairs often experience fast and strong price movements. Based on the calendar, traders can avoid trading right before major news to reduce risk, or take advantage of the volatility if they have experience. In addition, the economic calendar supports building medium- and long-term strategies based on economic cycles. Understanding macroeconomic trends allows traders to be more proactive and confident instead of reacting to price movements. Combining the economic calendar with technical analysis improves decision-making and risk management. Traders can access the calendar for free on reputable websites like Forex Factory, Investing, or directly within MT4 and MT5 platforms. This is a must-use tool for anyone aiming to trade professionally and with discipline.
Wishing you success and clarity in every trade.
HelenP. I Gold will reach trend line and then start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price traded inside the support zone, which coincided with the support level, and then dropped below. After this price turned around and made impulse up, reached the 3135 level, broke it, and made a retest. Next, price continued to move up and later it reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and even broke this level and rose to the trend line. But then Gold at once rebounded and fell below the 3385 level, breaking it again, and continued to decline next. When the price fell to 3215 points, it turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line, breaking the resistance level again, after which it turned around and started to fall. Gold broke the 3385 level one more time and later made a gap and then fell to the support level. But not a long time ago, it turned around and started to grow. At the moment, price has almost reached the trend line, so I expect that XAUUSD will reach the trend line finally and then rebound and start to decline. For this case, I set my goal at 3185 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
DeGRAM | GOLD coming to the border of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is back at the channel’s mid-band after two “false-break” spikes off the floor; every triangle that resolved upward inside 3 300-3 350 has been faded, preserving the series of lower-highs.
● Today’s run tags the slanted supply (3 330-3 350) while 1-h candles print bearish wicks and RSI stalls below its May peak – a momentum squeeze that usually precedes rotation to 3 284 support, then 3 210/3 120 at the base.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US durable-goods orders beat and Fed minutes repeated “higher for longer”, pushing 2-yr yields above 4.95 % and reviving ETF outflows (WGC), both headwinds for non-yielding gold.
✨ Summary
Sell 3 300-3 340; first targets 3 284 ➜ 3 210, stretch 3 120. Invalidate on hourly close above 3 350.
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Gold Slips Below $3,000 – Is the Bullish Momentum Fading?Hello traders, let’s dive into a quick discussion about gold!
Yesterday, gold had a rather rough session. After reacting to some key news releases, the precious metal quickly pulled back, and as of now, it's hovering just below $3,000, marking a drop of over $40 compared to the same time yesterday.
The main pressure came from economic data that boosted the U.S. dollar, reversing much of gold's recent bullish momentum. In addition, gold’s upside is being capped by the continued strength of the U.S. labor market, alongside profit-taking by investors. The dollar’s 0.2% gain also made gold less attractive to international buyers.
Adding to the weight is growing concern over the U.S. national debt. If upcoming tax cut plans are perceived negatively, gold may continue to consolidate or remain sideways around current levels.
However, on a longer-term perspective, the recovery narrative remains intact – the bullish trend is not completely off the table.
📌 Wishing you a smooth and successful trading day ahead!
GOLD: Short Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3330.6
Stop - 3337.3
Take - 3316.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 22 May 2025🧠 Technical Analysis
Price action recently broke down from a rising wedge formation—a classic bearish pattern—indicating a short-term correction. After forming a local top near the 3,345 supply zone, price is now retracing and approaching a key demand zone around 3,295/90–3,300, which previously acted as consolidation support before the breakout.
This zone also aligns with:
Previous demand / order block area.
Liquidity grab potential below minor structure.
Psychological round number 3,300.
If bullish structure forms (e.g., double bottom, bullish engulfing) in this zone, it would confirm buyers stepping back in.
Given the strong bullish momentum prior to the wedge, this current drop is likely a healthy retracement before continuation toward higher levels.
📈 Trade Setup (Buy Limit Idea):
Buy Entry: 3,295–3,300 (within demand zone)
Stop Loss: 3,285 (below zone, structure invalidation)
Take Profit 1: 3,320 (first supply reaction level)
Take Profit 2: 3,345 (prior high/supply zone)
Take Profit 3: 3,355 (liquidity sweep above highs)
Risk-Reward: ~2.5R to TP2
Confirmation Tip: Look for bullish price action (e.g., bullish engulfing, break of minor structure) on M5–M15 before entering.
SILVER INTRADAY supported at 3190Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3332
Resistance Level 2: 3365
Resistance Level 3: 3409
Support Level 1: 3188
Support Level 2: 3138
Support Level 3: 3090
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bullish bounce for the Gold?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,260.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,213.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,344.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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XAUUSD H4 I Bullish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 3270.91, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3357.68, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 3201.77, an overlap support.
Disclaimer
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GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Both the buying targets of $3,274 & $3,318 which I gave how now been smashed✅
Gold pushed a little higher than expected, but is dropping back down now. Will keep an eye on market structure, just in case Wave 4 corrective structure becomes invalidated by bulls.
USOIL A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 61.87
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 61.38
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
The latest technical analysis strategy for gold on May 22:
1. Current market dynamics
Price trend: Gold broke through the key psychological level of $3,300, and bulls dominated in the short term, but we need to pay attention to the strong resistance test of $3,370.
Key support/resistance:
Support level: 3295-3285 (short-term), 3273 (bullish strength and weakness boundary), 3253-3150 (medium-term strong support).
Resistance level: 3330-3340 (short-term), 3370 (see 3400 after breaking through).
2. Technical indicator analysis
(1) 4-hour chart - bulls dominate, but be wary of short-term corrections
Bollinger Bands: Opening upward, prices are running near the upper track, overbought in the short term, and may fall back to the middle track (near 3270).
Moving average system: MA5/MA10 golden cross, bullish arrangement, supporting price upward.
MACD: Golden cross and energy column is strengthened, but if there is a top divergence, it may trigger a pullback.
(2) Hourly chart - Pay attention to the rising trend line support
The rising trend line (3120-3155-3206 connection) is currently at 3270-3280. If it does not break after a retracement, it is still a long opportunity.
Weakened momentum: Compared with yesterday's unilateral rise, the current trend shows "one rise and three returns", and we need to be vigilant about short-term adjustments.
3. Today's trading strategy
✅ Main strategy: Buy low and go long (key support level layout)
Ideal long area: 3285-3273 (retracement trend line + previous top and bottom conversion support).
Stop loss: below 3250 (if it falls below, the trend may weaken).
Target: 3325→3347→3370 (look at 3400 after breaking through).
⚠️ Secondary strategy: short selling (only for testing positions at key resistance levels)
Short selling conditions: the price quickly rises to 3330-3340 and there are stagflation signals (such as long upper shadows, MACD top divergence).
Stop loss: above 3350.
Target: 3300-3285 (quick in and quick out).
4. Key risk reminder
Upward risk: If geopolitical conflicts escalate or expectations of a Fed rate cut increase, it may directly impact 3370-3400.
Downward risk: If it falls below 3250, it may trigger a deeper correction, and you need to be alert to trend reversals.
Summary
Short-term traders: Pay attention to the 3285-3273 support and go long, stop loss 3250, target 3325-3347.
Band traders: If it breaks through 3370, you can increase your position and look to 3400; if it falls below 3250, you need to re-evaluate the trend.
Operate with caution: Avoid blindly chasing long positions at 3330-3340, and wait for confirmation of a pullback or breakthrough.
Xauusd Parallel Channel AheadTrend: The asset is in a clear short-term uptrend, staying within a rising channel.
Support Zone: Price is currently testing the lower channel support, a common place for bullish reversals if the channel remains intact.
Resistance Zone: There is a horizontal resistance area marked in gray around the $3,340–$3,360 range, which aligns with prior price reactions.
Potential Setup: If the price respects the trendline, a long position with a target near the upper channel line (around $3,370–$3,400) could be considered. A stop loss might be placed just below the channel to manage risk.