Gold, boring? I don’t think so! PipGuard’s Guide PT.2 Gold, boring? I don’t think so! PipGuard’s Guide PT.2 ✨
Hello, friends! 😎
Have you already read Part 1 ? If not, I encourage you to check it out right now! I’d love to hear your thoughts and, most importantly, see if you’ve placed your trust in your friend PipGuard. Come on, trust me now , won’t you? 😜✨
Before we start: an important reflection 🧐
Always evaluate the quality of information ! Don’t settle for pretty charts or superficial analysis. Dig deeper , stay curious , and, most importantly, be consistent . If you find my analyses useful, let me know with a comment or a boost . Every feedback is like gold … just like our protagonist today! 😏
Good morning again, everyone! 🌅
I’ve been a bit less active here on TradingView lately, but I’ve been working hard on my project. I haven’t forgotten about you, I promise! Those who follow me know that PipGuard never stops . 💪🔥
Today, we’re back with the second part of my gold analysis. The first part? Well, it performed perfectly as predicted… but is that really surprising? We are PipGuard! 😜 So, my friends, we are in an uptrend . Surprised? I wouldn’t think so! The price seems to be heading towards $3000 , just to add a little spice to the global economy. Don’t worry, we’ve got this covered! 💎
Note: This analysis is NEUTRAL 🧐
We have 2 possible options . Even though we are in an uptrend , nothing can be ruled out . Let’s follow every detail carefully.
Flashback: When we were at $700...
Many were expecting a drop as soon as we hit $800 . And yet… surprise! Not only did the price not fall, but it kept climbing, reaching a whopping $2900 . So, beware: the most obvious things are often the most costly . Think about it. 🤔✨
Today’s analysis: let’s focus on the latest impulse! 📈
The latest key movement ranges between $2835 and $2942 . Now, let’s break it down and analyze:
- Bullish Fibonacci : Between $2875 and $2860 , where the price might be attracted and reverse upward.
- Bearish liquidity :
1. First zone: $2896 – potential reversal point at the end of the retracement.
2. Second zone: Between $2887 and $2877 .
3. Third zone: Between $2870 and $2865 .
- If the price doesn’t react in these areas, watch out for the next liquidity zone! 😏
And to the upside? 🚀
- First confirmation: A close above $2911 – the first bullish signal.
- Second hurdle: Bearish liquidity between $2918 and $2921 . A close above this level? Bullish confirmation , and the target becomes the all-time high! 🎯
Let’s recap the key levels 🔑 :
- Pivot level: $2910 .
- Above: Bullish .
- Below: Bearish .
🎯 PipGuard’s exclusive targets:
- ** Bullish **: $2960-$2950 .
- ** Bearish **: $2865-$2860 .
If you enjoyed this analysis, leave a boost or a comment ! 📬 Every piece of feedback motivates me to keep delivering my best. See you soon, my friends.
Best regards, PipGuard 🚀💛
I’m already in the trade: entries at $2916/$2913/$2910 short .
Commodities
CRUDE OIL - WEEKLY SUMMARY 3.2-7.2 / FORECAST🛢 CRUDE – 10th week of the base cycle (28 weeks), likely completing the 1st phase. The extreme forecast on February 3 worked as a reversal from the combined resistance of the MA20 and the large triangle boundary, which I mentioned in my last post. Holding the short position from the February 3 extreme forecast. The first phase of the base cycle isn’t over yet, but it is very mature.
⚠️ Note that the pivot forecast on January 17 marked a triple top with the extreme forecasts of July 1 and April 12 (Retrograde Mercury). This is a very strong resistance level. I maintain my bearish stance, which I explained in my crude oil post from summer 2024. Next pivot forecast for crude: February 11.
GOLD - WEEKLY SUMMARY 3.2-7.2 / FORECAST🏆 GOLD – 13th week of the base cycle (15-20+ weeks), 3rd phase of the cycle. The pivot forecast on February 3 worked as a reversal of Monday’s overnight tariff hysteria. The major trend from the December 18 extreme forecast continues.
⚠️ By Friday’s close, we saw a breakout of the previous top at the October 28 extreme forecast level (2800 on the current futures contract). This level may now become strong support. I believe strong hands didn’t fall for the tariff hysteria and held their long positions from the January 29 extreme forecast. Next extreme forecast: March 3. Next pivot forecast: February 11.
Levels to watch In my earlier post, I mentioned that gold still has potential for upside, with $3000 being a possible target or a sign of FOMO. I’m not planning to sell into strength, but instead, I’ll wait for a close below $2800 before adding shorts, with a stop at the highs and a target closer to $2050.
GOLD skyrocketed then corrected down, main trend structureOANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading fluctuated strongly, sometimes soaring to a record high, but then plummeting nearly 40 dollars to the highest level. However, gold prices still increased during the day.
On Monday local time, US President Trump signed an executive order announcing a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports into the United States. Trump said there will be "no exceptions or exemptions" to these requirements. Trump also said he is considering imposing tariffs on cars, french fries and medicine, and will hold meetings on cars, medicine and french fries over the next four weeks.
During the Asian trading session on Tuesday, gold prices soared to 2,942.72 Dollar/ounce, setting a new record high. But then the price of gold suddenly dropped sharply, to the lowest level of 2,905.10 Dollar/ounce.
Gold prices then recovered and are currently at about 2,922 Dollar/ounce, up 0.49% on the day.
A stronger dollar, coupled with overbought conditions on the daily chart, has prompted some gold profit-taking. However, Trump-related worries seem to be limiting the downside of gold prices and is still the most potential support at present, which can impact gold's price increase at any time.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will attend congressional hearings on Tuesday and Wednesday, and the market is also paying attention to whether Powell's policy stance will affect gold price trends.
Powell will testify before the Senate Banking Committee on February 11. Testify before the House Financial Services Committee the next day. This is the first time he has answered questions from congressional delegates since July last year.
Powell's speech will be closely watched for clues about the Fed's interest rate cut roadmap, which will in turn affect the short-term dynamics of the US Dollar and create new directional momentum for gold prices.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has initially achieved the conditions for a new bullish cycle by breaking above the rising price channel, with a price action above the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level that will help it potentially move towards the $2,950 – 2,952 level which is the area of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension.
For the Relative Strength Index RSI, there is still no signal indicating the possibility of a downward correction. The signal for a downward correction is that the RSI bends and falls below the 80 level.
During the day, as long as gold remains in/above the price channel, the main outlook remains technically bullish. Notable levels will be listed again as follows.
Support: 2,909 – 2,900USD
Resistance: 2,927 – 2,950 – 2,952USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2955
→Take Profit 1 2944
↨
→Take Profit 2 2939
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2861 - 2863⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2857
→Take Profit 1 2868
↨
→Take Profit 2 2873
Gold is skyrocketing, tall buildings can collapse at any timeGold continues to maintain a bullish trend, and the structure is intact. The daily line hit a record high again at the beginning of the week, and the daily line rose sharply and closed. The MA10/7-day moving average continued to open and moved up to 2842/2867. The price continued to run along the upper track of the Bollinger Band. The RSI indicator has reached a high of 80 values. It is necessary to pay attention to the overbought indicators after a large increase.
The short-term four-hour chart formed three bullish sprints on Monday. The price continued to run along the upper track of the Bollinger Band. The MA10/7-day moving average continued to open upward and continued to maintain a bullish structure. The price continued to run in the trend, and the callback followed the trend and participated in low-long!
Since the opening of the Asian session gold price, gold has almost been in this continuous upward trend pattern during the day, without too much retracement, and every retracement is an opportunity to go long! We can't wait for a larger retracement. Gold is strong and the trend is difficult to change. Continue to be bullish!
Gold prices fell today and continued to go long near 2900! Seeing yesterday's market, I feel helpless, because the market has formed inertia and is becoming more and more irrational. Everyone is rushing into the market to buy gold, pushing up the price of gold. Is this really a correct trading behavior?
I dare not say anything else. From my own point of view, the risk of the gold market has become greater and greater, and the fear conveyed by the market has become stronger and stronger. In addition, gold has risen directly without a correction, and the highest rise has fallen to 2930! In addition, the inflow of funds and the recovery of positions in gold ETFs indicate the structural growth of investment demand.
It directly ignited market sentiment. From the hourly chart, it still maintains a good upward trend, with the previous high and low rising together, and bulls are still the main tone. Therefore, it is prudent to wait patiently for the price to fall back to the low level and play with the trend.
Key points:
First support: 2919, second support: 2907, third support: 2898
First resistance: 2938, second resistance: 2956, third resistance: 2973
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2905-2907, SL: 2896, TP: 2940-2950;
SELL: 2953-2956, SL: 2965, TP: 2930-2920;
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 61.8% Fibo lvl (2909).Colleagues, the price continues its upward movement and I believe that the wave “3” of the senior and middle orders has not completed its development.
At the moment it is quite difficult to predict the end of wave “3”, but I will try to assume that now there will be a correction to the area of 2809 level, then the upward movement will continue to the area of 61.8% Fibonacci expansion level (2909).
Or wave 3 will continue its development without correction and then we will expect a correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
How Can You Trade Energy Commodities?How Can You Trade Energy Commodities?
Energy trading connects global markets to the vital resources that power economies—oil and natural gas. These commodities aren’t just essential for industries and homes; they’re also dynamic assets for traders, influenced by geopolitics, supply, and demand.
Whether you’re exploring benchmarks like Brent Crude and WTI or understanding natural gas markets, this article unpacks the essentials of energy commodities and how to trade them.
What Is Energy Trading?
Energy trading involves buying and selling energy resources that power industries and households worldwide. These commodities are essential for modern life and are traded in global markets both as physical products and financial instruments.
Energy commodities include resources like oil, natural gas, gasoline, coal, ethanol, uranium, and more. In this article, we’ll focus on the two that traders interact with the most: oil and natural gas.
Oil is often divided into benchmarks like Brent Crude and WTI, which set global and regional pricing standards. These benchmarks represent crude oil that varies in quality and origin, impacting its trade and refining applications.
Natural gas, on the other hand, plays a critical role in electricity generation, heating, and industrial processes. It’s traded in various forms, including pipeline gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG), offering flexibility in transportation and supply.
What makes energy commodities unique is their global demand and sensitivity to external factors. Weather patterns, geopolitical developments, and economic activity all heavily influence their prices. For traders, this creates a dynamic market with potential opportunities to take advantage of price movements.
Additionally, energy commodities can act as economic indicators. A surge in oil prices, for example, might reflect growing demand from expanding industries, while a drop could indicate reduced consumption. Understanding these resources isn’t just about their practical use—it’s about grasping their role in shaping global markets and financial systems.
Oil: Brent Crude vs WTI
Brent Crude and WTI (West Texas Intermediate) are the world’s two leading oil benchmarks, shaping prices for a resource critical to industries and economies. Despite both being types of crude oil, they differ significantly in origin, quality, and market influence.
Brent Crude
Brent Crude is a globally recognised benchmark for oil pricing, primarily sourced from fields in the North Sea. Its importance lies in its role as a pricing reference for about two-thirds of the world’s oil supply. What makes Brent unique is its lighter and sweeter quality, meaning it has lower sulphur content and is easier to refine into fuels like petrol and diesel.
This benchmark is particularly significant in European, African, and Asian markets, where it serves as a key indicator of global oil prices. Its value is heavily influenced by international demand, geopolitical events, and production levels in major exporting countries. For traders, Brent offers a window into global supply and demand trends, making it a critical component of energy markets.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI)
WTI, or West Texas Intermediate, is the benchmark for oil produced in the United States. Extracted primarily from Texas and surrounding regions, WTI is even lighter and sweeter than Brent, making it suitable for refining into high-value products like petrol.
WTI’s pricing is heavily tied to North American markets, with its hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, a key point for storage and distribution. Localised factors, like US production rates and storage capacity, often create price differentials between WTI and Brent, with Brent typically trading at a premium. For example, logistical bottlenecks in the US can drive WTI prices lower.
The main distinction between the two lies in their geographical focus: while Brent captures the international market’s pulse, WTI provides insights into North American energy dynamics. Together, they form the foundation of global oil pricing.
Natural Gas: A Growing Energy Commodity
Natural gas is a cornerstone of the global energy market, valued for its versatility and role in powering economies. It’s used extensively for electricity generation, heating, and industrial processes, with demand continuing to rise as countries seek cleaner alternatives to coal and oil.
This energy commodity comes in two primary forms for trade: pipeline natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG). Pipeline gas is delivered directly via extensive networks, making it dominant in regions like North America and Europe.
LNG, on the other hand, is supercooled to a liquid state for transportation across oceans, opening up markets that lack pipeline infrastructure. LNG trade has grown rapidly in recent years, with key suppliers like Qatar, Australia, and the US meeting surging demand in Asia.
Pricing for natural gas varies regionally, with hubs like Henry Hub in the US and the National Balancing Point (NBP) in the UK serving as benchmarks. These hubs reflect regional dynamics, such as weather conditions, storage levels, and local supply disruptions.
Natural gas prices are also closely tied to broader geopolitical and economic factors. For example, harsh winters often drive up heating demand, while conflicts or sanctions affecting major producers can create supply constraints. This volatility makes natural gas an active and highly watched market for traders, offering potential opportunities tied to shifting global conditions.
Price Factors of Energy Commodities
Energy commodity prices are influenced by a mix of global events, market fundamentals, and local factors. Here’s a breakdown of key elements driving oil and gas trading prices:
- Supply and Production Levels: Output from major producers like OPEC nations, the US, and Russia has a direct impact on prices. Supply cuts or surges can quickly move markets.
- Geopolitical Events: Conflicts, sanctions, or political instability in oil and gas-rich regions often disrupt supply chains, creating volatility.
- Weather and Seasonal Demand: Cold winters boost natural gas demand for heating, while summer driving seasons often increase oil consumption. Extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, can also damage infrastructure and reduce supply.
- Economic Growth: Expanding economies typically consume more energy, driving demand and prices higher. Conversely, a slowdown or recession can weaken demand.
- Storage Levels: Inventories act as a cushion against supply disruptions. Low storage levels often signal tighter markets, pushing prices up.
- Transportation Costs: The cost of shipping oil or LNG across regions impacts pricing, particularly for seaborne commodities like Brent Crude and LNG.
- Exchange Rates: Energy commodities are usually priced in dollars, meaning currency fluctuations can affect affordability in non-dollar markets.
- Market Sentiment: Traders’ expectations, shaped by reports like US inventory data or OPEC forecasts, can influence short-term price movements.
How to Trade Energy Commodities
Trading energy commodities like oil and natural gas involves navigating dynamic markets with the right tools, strategies, and risk awareness. Here’s a breakdown of how traders typically approach energy commodity trading:
Instruments for Energy Trading
Energy commodities can be traded through various instruments, typically through an oil and gas trading platform. For instance, FXOpen provides access to oil and gas CFDs alongside 700+ other markets, including currency pairs, stocks, ETFs, and more.
- CFDs (Contracts for Difference): Popular among retail traders because they allow access to global energy markets without owning the physical assets. They offer leverage and provide flexibility to take advantage of both rising and falling prices. Additionally, CFDs have lower entry costs, no expiration dates, and eliminate concerns like storage or delivery logistics. Please remember that leverage trading increases risks.
- Futures: These are contracts to buy or sell commodities at a future date. While they provide leverage and flexibility, trading energy derivatives like futures is often unnecessarily complex for the average retail trader.
- ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds): Energy ETFs diversify exposure to energy commodities or related sectors.
- Energy Stocks: Shares in oil and gas companies provide indirect exposure to commodity price changes.
Analysis: Fundamental and Technical
Energy traders rely on two primary types of analysis:
- Fundamental Analysis: Examines supply and demand factors like OPEC decisions, weather patterns, geopolitical tensions, and economic indicators such as GDP growth or industrial output.
- Technical Analysis: Focuses on price charts, identifying patterns, trends, and important levels to anticipate potential market movements.
Combining these approaches can offer a broader perspective, helping traders refine their strategies.
Taking a Position and Managing Risk
Once traders identify potential opportunities, they decide on position size and duration based on their analysis. Risk management is critical to help traders potentially mitigate losses in these volatile markets. Strategies often include:
- Diversifying positions to reduce exposure to a single commodity.
- Setting limits on position sizes to align with overall portfolio risk.
- Monitoring leverage carefully, as it can amplify both potential returns and losses.
Risk Factors in Energy Commodities Trading
Trading energy commodities like oil and natural gas offer potential opportunities, but it also comes with significant risks due to the market's volatility and global nature.
- Price Volatility: Energy markets are highly sensitive to geopolitical events, economic shifts, and supply disruptions. This can lead to rapid price swings, particularly if the event is unexpected.
- Leverage Risks: Many instruments, like CFDs and futures, allow traders to use leverage, amplifying both potential returns and losses. Mismanaging leverage can lead to significant setbacks.
- Geopolitical Uncertainty: Events like conflicts in oil-producing regions or trade sanctions can disrupt supply chains and sharply impact prices.
- Market Sentiment: Energy prices can react strongly to reports like inventory data, OPEC announcements, or unexpected news, creating rapid shifts in sentiment and price direction.
- Overexposure: Focusing too heavily on a single energy commodity can magnify losses if the market moves against the position.
- Economic Factors: Slowing industrial activity or recession fears can reduce demand for energy, putting downward pressure on prices.
The Bottom Line
Energy commodities trading offers potential opportunities, driven by global demand and supply. Whether focusing on oil, natural gas, or other energy assets, understanding the fundamentals and risks is key to navigating this complex market. Ready to explore oil and gas commodity trading via CFDs? Open an FXOpen account to access advanced tools, competitive spreads, low commissions, and four trading platforms designed to support your journey.
FAQ
What Are Energy Commodities?
Energy commodities are natural resources used to power industries, homes, and transportation. Key examples include crude oil, natural gas, and coal. These commodities are traded globally as physical assets or through financial instruments like futures and CFDs.
Can I Make Money Trading Commodities?
Trading commodities offers potential opportunities to take advantage of price movements, but it also involves significant risks. The effectiveness of your trades depends on understanding of market dynamics, analyses of supply and demand, and risk management. While some traders achieve returns, losses are also common, especially in volatile markets like energy.
How Do I Start Investing in Energy?
Investing in energy typically begins with choosing an instrument like ETFs or stocks, depending on your goals and risk tolerance. Researching market fundamentals, monitoring geopolitical and economic factors, and practising sound risk management are essential steps for new investors.
What Is an Energy Trading Platform?
An energy trading platform, or power trading platform, is software that enables traders to buy and sell energy commodities. These energy trading solutions provide access to pricing data, charting tools, and news feeds, helping traders analyse markets and execute trades efficiently.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
"Gold Bullish Continuation XAUUSD is expected to reach 3000 soonThis chart shows a strong bullish momentum in gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour time frame, with a clear breakout above a recent high. The price action is following a rounded trend, indicating a continuation of the bull run. A key support zone (spot area) has been tested, and the price is pushing higher.
The 1st target is around 2,935, the 2nd target at 2,970, and the final target at 3,000. If gold holds above the spot area and continues respecting the trendline, it could move towards these targets. However, a breakdown below the spot area might lead to a pullback before further upside.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 06.02.2025Market Analysis:
Previous Price Action:
The price was consolidating in a range (blue zone) before a breakout.
A strong bullish move followed, but then price retraced sharply.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Key Support Zones: 2,910 – 2,902 and 2,898 – 2,890
Key Resistance Zones: 2,928 and 2,942
Price Behavior:
The price is currently testing 2,910, a critical zone.
If this support holds, we expect a bullish reversal.
If it breaks, the next support at 2,898 will be the next key level for buying.
📈 Trading Signal & Entry Plan:
✅ Setup 1: Buy from 2,910
Entry: 2,910
Stop Loss (SL): 2,902 (below recent support)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2,928
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 2,942
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2+
👉 If SL (2,902) is hit, move to the second setup.
✅ Setup 2: Buy from 2,898 (if price breaks below 2,910)
Entry: 2,898
Stop Loss (SL): 2,890
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2,928
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 2,942
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (higher probability trade)
📌 Conclusion & Trading Plan
✔ First buy at 2,910 – If it holds, price should move up to 2,928-2,942.
✔ If SL (2,902) hits, buy at 2,898 with a tighter stop.
✔ Both setups have a good risk-reward ratio, following a bullish bias.
Do not forget to like, comment and follow.
XAUMO Report & XAU/USD Institutional Trading Playbook📌 Executive Summary
This report consolidates the full-spectrum multi-timeframe analysis and trading strategy execution plan for XAU/USD. It provides precision-based entries, dynamic risk management, and advanced trade management techniques tailored for:
✅ Scalping (Tokyo Session)
✅ Breakouts (London Session)
✅ Volatility Setups (NYC Session)
The 30-minute chart serves as the primary execution timeframe, with 1H, 4H, and Daily charts providing macro-trend confirmation. Lower timeframes (5M/15M) are used for sniper entries.
This Institutional Trading Playbook integrates:
🔥 VWAP Deviations & Liquidity Traps
🔥 Ichimoku Kumo Structure & Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
🔥 Order Flow, Delta Imbalances & Market Maker Manipulation
🔥 Multi-Timeframe RSI/MACD Divergence for Trade Precision
🔥 ATR-Based Dynamic SL/TP & Risk-Managed Scaling Strategy
📊 Multi-Timeframe Market Overview
1️⃣ Daily Chart (Macro Trend Context)
• Trend: Bullish, but nearing exhaustion at $2,942.59 (Key resistance).
• Key Levels:
• Support: $2,910.10 (VWAP Lower Band & Institutional Demand Zone)
• Resistance: $2,942.59 (Liquidity Cluster)
• Ichimoku Analysis:
• Kumo Thickness: Supports trend but signals potential mean reversion.
• Chikou Span: Above price, confirming bullish sentiment but extended.
2️⃣ 4-Hour Chart (Institutional Liquidity Zones)
• Bullish Trend, But Price Overextended from VWAP & MAs.
• Liquidity Zones Identified:
• Demand Zone: $2,910 - $2,915 (VWAP & SMA 50)
• Supply Zone: $2,940 - $2,945 (Market Maker Trap)
• Unfilled Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
• $2,904 - $2,910 → High-probability retracement area.
3️⃣ 1-Hour Chart (Intraday Structure & Volume Profile)
• VWAP Anchoring:
• Upper Band: $2,942 (Market Maker Sell Zone)
• Lower Band: $2,910 (Buy Zone)
• Divergence Signals:
• RSI Overbought (75+) & MACD Bearish Divergence → Expect pullback.
4️⃣ 30-Minute Chart (Primary Trade Execution Chart)
• Trend: Bullish but nearing exhaustion above $2,942.
• Liquidity Traps Identified:
• Above $2,942 = Retail Buy Trap (Short Setup).
• Below $2,910 = Stop Hunt for Long Positions.
• VWAP Midline at $2,919.91 → Acts as a price magnet.
5️⃣ 5-Minute Chart (Precision Entry Execution)
• VWAP Interaction:
• Price consolidating around VWAP midline $2,919.91.
• Order Flow Analysis:
• Large Sell Orders Clustered Above $2,942 → Market Maker Activity.
🎯 Institutional Trading Playbook
✅ Entry Triggers (Technical Signals)
• VWAP Deviations
• 📌 Short when price sweeps above VWAP Upper Band ($2,942-$2,944).
• 📌 Buy when price retests VWAP Lower Band ($2,910-$2,912).
• Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
• 📌 Unfilled FVG at $2,904 - $2,910 → Ideal Buy Zone.
• Ichimoku Triggers
• 📌 Bearish TK Cross Above Kumo = Short Setup Confirmation.
• 📌 Chikou Span Losing Momentum = Trend Exhaustion.
• RSI & MACD Divergences
• 📌 RSI Overbought + MACD Bearish Divergence = Sell Signal.
• 📌 RSI Oversold + MACD Bullish Crossover = Buy Signal.
• Delta & Volume Confirmation
• 📌 Institutional Sell Orders Above $2,942 = Short Setup.
📈 Key Trade Scenarios & Execution
Scenario 1: Liquidity Trap Short Setup (High Probability)
• Entry: $2,942 - $2,944
• Stop-Loss: $2,948 (Above liquidity zone)
• Take Profit 1: $2,921.50 (VWAP POC)
• Take Profit 2: $2,910.10 (Lower VWAP Band)
• Take Profit 3: $2,904 (FVG Completion Zone)
• Trailing Stop: Move SL to $2,929 after TP1.
• Risk-to-Reward: 1:3+
• Justification: Market Makers will trap buyers above $2,942 before initiating a stop-run.
Scenario 2: Trend Continuation Buy Setup
• Entry: $2,910 - $2,912
• Stop-Loss: $2,904
• Take Profit 1: $2,921.50 (VWAP POC)
• Take Profit 2: $2,930 (EMA 8 Resistance)
• Take Profit 3: $2,942 (Liquidity Exit)
• Trailing Stop: Move SL to $2,919 after TP1.
• Risk-to-Reward: 1:2.5+
• Justification: Institutional buyers will likely defend the $2,910 VWAP zone.
🔁 Dynamic SL/TP & Trade Management
ATR-Based Dynamic Stop-Loss Adjustments
• Short Setup SL: Above ATR deviation at $2,948.
• Long Setup SL: Below ATR deviation at $2,904.
Scaling Strategy
✅ Short Entry Scaling:
• First Entry: $2,942
• Second Entry (Add-on): $2,945 (If liquidity sweeps higher)
✅ Buy Entry Scaling:
• First Entry: $2,910
• Second Entry (Add-on): $2,905 (If deeper retracement)
📊 Session-Specific Strategies
Tokyo Session (Scalping)
• Trade Setup:
• Buy $2,910 - $2,912, TP $2,921.
• Short $2,942 - $2,944, TP $2,921.
• Justification: VWAP deviations + liquidity traps.
London Session (Breakout Play)
• Trade Setup:
• Buy if price holds $2,910, TP $2,942.
• Short if price rejects $2,942, TP $2,910.
• Justification: Higher liquidity → More trend confirmation.
NYC Session (Volatility Play)
• Trade Setup:
• Watch for fakeouts above $2,942 or below $2,910.
• Justification: NYC session = Market Maker reversals.
🔥 Conclusion & Next Steps
✅ Market Makers likely to trap buyers above $2,942 before reversing.
✅ Short from $2,942 - $2,944, target $2,910 - $2,904.
✅ Buyers should wait for a retrace to VWAP lower band ($2,910).
✅ Execution must be precise, using volume confirmation & order flow mechanics.
Gold XAUUSD Weekly Analysis 10-14 FEB 2025Comprehensive Analysis of Gold
1️⃣ Market Structure & Pattern Formation
The gold displays a rounded bottom (cup-like formation of Arc), a bullish continuation pattern signaling potential upward momentum.
The price has broken out of the curved resistance, indicating strength in buying pressure.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels
Target Level: 🚀 2,920 USD (next bullish target).
Breakout Level: ⚡ 2,860 USD (important zone for confirmation).
Support Zones:
First support: 2,820 USD (possible retest area).
Second support: 2,780 USD (strong demand zone).
3️⃣ Trading Signals Based on Breakout Retest
📈 Buy Setup (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: If price retests 2,860 USD and holds above it (confirmation needed).
Target: 2,920 USD (next resistance).
Stop Loss: Below 2,840 USD (to prevent fakeouts).
📉 Sell Setup (Bearish Rejection)
Entry: If price fails to hold above 2,860 USD and shows a strong rejection.
Target: First support at 2,820 USD, second at 2,780 USD.
Stop Loss: Above 2,880 USD (for risk management).
4️⃣ Additional Considerations
Monitor candlestick patterns and volume confirmation before entering trades.
Use RSI & MACD for trend confirmation.
Avoid trading during high-impact news events for risk management.
📌 Conclusion
Bullish Bias is favored as long as price holds above 2,860 USD.
Bearish Scenario if rejection occurs at the retest zone.
Best to wait for confirmation before entering any trade.
Kindly show support by commenting, liking and sharing.
XAGUSD H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 31.98, aligning with a pullback resistance level and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This setup suggests a potential bearish reversal.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 31.658, where buyers may look to step in near a previous support zone.
The stop loss is set at 31.43, positioned above the previous swing high, providing sufficient room for fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GOLD Key Levels: Where To Take Profit?
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and as we are will
Be expecting the price to hit
The strong supply supply
Area around 3000$
From where some traders
Might wanna take some profits.
A correction by 7% from the
Resistance above is likely
With the retest of the
Horizontal demand area
Around 2790$
After the correction the
Uptrend will likely continue
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
what moved xauusd to 2940Gold prices have recently surged to a record high of $2,940 per ounce, driven by several key factors:
1. New U.S. Tariffs: President Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports has heightened concerns over potential trade wars and inflation. Investors are turning to gold as a safe-haven asset to hedge against these uncertainties.
2. Inflation Concerns: The impending release of inflation data has investors bracing for potential economic impacts. A weaker-than-expected reading could bolster gold's rally by increasing expectations of rate cuts, making non-yielding gold more attractive compared to interest-bearing alternatives.
3. Central Bank Purchases: Central banks, particularly in emerging markets, have been significantly increasing their gold reserves. This trend reflects a desire to diversify assets and reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar, further driving up gold demand and prices.
4. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global uncertainties, including conflicts in the Middle East and tensions between major economies, have led investors to seek the stability that gold offers during turbulent times.
These combined factors have propelled gold to its current record levels, as investors seek security amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties.
XAUUSD M15 | Bearish Drop Based on the M15 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 2927.40, aligning with a pullback resistance level and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This setup suggests a potential bearish reversal.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 2909.95, where buyers may look to step in near a previous support zone.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Market Forecast UPDATES! Tuesday, Feb 11In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher despite Trump’s tariff announcement. On the daily chart, the MACD buy signal remains intact, and the index posted a strong bullish candlestick, confirming an upward bias. However, given the lack of volume behind the move, the market remains within a range-bound structure rather than signaling a clear breakout.
For meaningful upside continuation, a decisive breakout above 22,000 is required. Until then, the market is likely to remain in a 21,000–22,000 range, as failure to break either side would prevent the MACD from creating a strong divergence from the signal line, leading to further sideways consolidation.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is attempting a bullish crossover, but the price is struggling to hold its gains. If the MACD fails to cross above the signal line and instead turns lower, a failed breakout scenario could trigger a sharp decline. Given the low-volume rally from yesterday, chasing longs at current levels is not ideal. Instead, it is safer to maintain a range-trading strategy, with buying near the lower bound and selling near the upper bound.
Additionally, if the index fails to break above the range high, a bearish MACD divergence could develop, increasing the risk of a downside move. Traders should avoid aggressive breakout buying and instead focus on disciplined range-bound positioning.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, reaching the 10-day moving average, as MACD attempted to reconnect with the signal line. The $70–71 support zone remains a strong demand area, making dip-buying strategies favorable.
As mentioned yesterday, the key question is whether oil will form a double bottom at $70–71 before breaking higher, or if it will continue rallying without a retest. Given the wide gap between the MACD and signal line on the daily chart, a failure to complete a golden cross could lead to another pullback, making chasing longs above $74 risky.
On the 240-minute chart, oil has confirmed a bullish divergence, triggering a strong upward move. For the first time in a while, strong buying pressure has returned, reinforcing the buy-on-dip strategy. However, traders should monitor price action carefully as resistance levels approach.
Gold
Gold closed at a new all-time high, rallying aggressively into overbought territory and even breaking through the upper Bollinger Band. Inflation concerns are intensifying globally, fueled by Trump’s escalating tariff rhetoric, which is driving a strong commodities rally in gold, copper, and other raw materials.
Since gold has been in a continuous uptrend since confirming its buy signal on January 16, traders should be mindful that sharp pullbacks can occur at any time. Additionally, with key U.S. economic data releases this week—CPI on Wednesday and PPI on Thursday—gold’s volatility is expected to remain elevated.
Given the overbought conditions, the best strategy remains buying on dips, rather than chasing highs. On the daily chart, the MACD would need to form a bearish crossover for a more structured correction to take place.
On the 240-minute chart, gold has been in a stair-step rally, with the 2940–2950 zone emerging as a key wave-based resistance level. However, overshooting this level is possible, making it critical to wait for confirmation before assuming a short position.
For now, the buy signal remains intact on the 240-minute chart, reinforcing the buy-on-dip approach. However, given yesterday’s strong rally, some short-term consolidation or profit-taking is likely today.
With Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release and Trump’s escalating tariff measures, global market volatility is increasing significantly. Risk management remains essential in this environment. Trade smart and stay disciplined!
Today's strategy will only be provided until the end of this week. For more detailed strategies, please contact us on Telegram. Thank you.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21770 / 21720 / 21670 / 21550
-Sell Levels: 21850 / 21905 / 21960 / 22020 / 22100
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 72.10 / 71.70 / 71.30 / 71.00
-Sell Levels: 72.95 / 73.35 / 74.50
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2934 / 2928 / 2922 / 2917
-Sell Levels: 2950 / 2955
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!