USDJPY H2 Best Level to SHORT/HOLD TP +100/+200 pips🏆USDJPY H2 Market Update H2 chart
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸trading in well defined range
🔸trading near range highs now
🔸range highs set 148.40/148.80
🔸range lows set at 140.80/141.40
🔸strategy: SHORT SELL from resistance
🔸SL 60 pips TP1 +100 pips TP2 +200 pips
🔸swing trade setup for patient traders
🌍 FX Market Snapshot — June 2025
🇪🇺 EUR/USD (~1.1500)
Euro climbs near 1.15 as eurozone inflation cools and ECB turns more dovish.
Stable German sentiment provides support, but softer CPI could limit gains.
🔑 Support: 1.1445 | Resistance: 1.1550
🇬🇧 GBP/USD (~1.3435)
Pound slips toward 1.34 after recent highs, as UK data remains mixed.
Manufacturing picks up, but falling inflation boosts BoE rate cut bets.
🔑 Support: 1.3400–1.3420 | Resistance: 1.3500
🇺🇸 DXY (US Dollar Index, ~99.14)
Dollar edges higher as investors seek safety amid geopolitical tensions.
Mixed US economic signals; eyes on upcoming job data.
🔑 Support: 98.80 | Resistance: 100.00
🇯🇵 USD/JPY (~147.4)
Dollar rallies above 147 as yen weakens; BOJ stays ultra-loose.
Oil price spikes add extra pressure on JPY.
🔑 Support: 145.0 | Resistance: 148.5
📊 Quick View
Pair Rate Support Resistance Key Theme
🇪🇺 EUR/USD ~1.1500 1.1445 1.1550 Dovish ECB, soft CPI
🇬🇧 GBP/USD ~1.3435 1.3400–1.3420 1.3500 Mixed UK data
🇯🇵 USD/JPY ~147.4 145.0 148.5 Yen weakness
🇺🇸 DXY ~99.14 98.80 100.00 Geopolitical risks
Commodities
Greatness ApproachingClear impulsive bullish move in 2024, followed by 18 or so long months of a triangle correction. The bullish move happened so quickly that this makes sense. The markets needed time to sort out what was going on here.
The breakout from that triangle is a big deal and coincided with silver breaking above major resistance. NYSE:AG is one of the best leveraged silver plays and I am very bullish silver above $35. Momentum and structure have both broken to the upside. We are just getting started.
Based on the way NYSE:AG acts as a leveraged play on silver prices, this count is conservative. It is entirely possible that the next wave 3 we are entering subdivides and we go even higher, but we won't know until we get more structure.
Huge Moves Coming for Silver MinersNYSE:PAAS has some of the best structure I've seen in any of the miners, along with NYSE:AG and $FSM. July 2024 was the beginning of a rising, complex correction. Price could always reject off the top of the channel and pull back to $26, but any dip here is a buying opportunity. We are headed for far higher prices going forward based on this structure.
The impulsive bullish waves in 2024 are clear.
The rising corrective pattern is mega bullish for the next wave.
I believe we are already in the next wave.
If this thing breaks above $30, it will fly.
I am taking no profits until we hit $55-60.
Crude Oil Strategy LayoutThe rise in oil prices on Monday will not only push up household daily expenses such as fuel and heating costs, but also increase corporate operating costs, which may in turn suppress consumption and investment activities. Ellen Zentner, Chief Economic Strategist at Morgan Stanley, pointed out in a Sunday analysis that against the backdrop of the Trump administration's high tariff policies, the U.S. economy was already facing pressure from a slowdown in growth, and the further increase in oil prices would exert "powerful pressure" on household consumption capacity. This may not only weaken consumers' willingness to purchase, but also drag down the pace of overall economic growth.
Crude oil showed a gap-up and then decline trend today, falling sharply from around $77.7. Oil prices gradually corrected today, with the lowest point touching around $72.5 and hovering there. Currently, oil prices are hovering above the support level of 72.0, which is expected to be the bottom support of the box movement. Taken together, crude oil is in a high-range consolidation. In terms of operation, it is considered to lay out long positions on pullbacks.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@72.0-72.5
TP:75.0-75.5
XAUUSD Channel Up bottomed, giving a strong buy signal.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up since the May 20 low and right now it is consolidating within and just outside the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA100 (green trend-line) zone. At the same time, it has touched the bottom of the Channel Up.
This is exactly the kind of price action the pattern had during its previous bottom formation following a Higher Low (June 9-11). With the 4H RSI having also formed a Higher Low pattern consistent with all previous 3 Lows, we expect the price to start its new Bullish Leg now. Our Target is 3495 (+4.75% from the bottom).
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 3,379.47 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 3,392.86 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3376.9 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3366.2
Recommended Stop Loss - 3383.0
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 36.262 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 36.171..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Crude Oil Eyes 3-Year Channel BreakoutCrude Oil trades between Israel-Iran-Conflict supply risks, overbought momentum, and the potential for a 3-year channel breakout.
While upside risks from a possible Strait of Hormuz closure remain uncertain, a firm hold above $78 could extend gains toward $80 and $83.50, keeping oil on a bullish edge for H2 2025.
A pullback into the channel may ease inflation concerns and reassert bearish pressure below the $80 mark. Key support lies at $72 for a potential downside resumption.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Hanzo / Gold 15 min - 0 draw down tactical Reversal Entrys🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish Reversal : 3347.5
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish Reversal : 3350
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish Reversal : 3373.5
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Crude Oil Prices Rocketing amid geopolitical risks
NYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1! NYMEX:BZ1!
Macro:
Geopolitical tensions remain high and markets are now likely to price in our scenario discussing ongoing air and missile war, given one-off intervention from the US thus far. According to Reuters, the U.S. now assesses that Iranian retaliation could occur within the next two days.What happens next is anybody’s guess but as traders, it is important to navigate these uncertainties with scenario planning and/or reduce risk to account for increased volatility.
We also get Services and Manufacturing PMI data today and PCE Price Index on Friday. Chair Powell is set to testify on Tuesday 9am CT.
Key levels:
Jan 2025 High: 76.57
2025 High: 78.40
2025 CVAH(Composite Value Area High): 75.68
Key LIS zone: 73.50-73.15
We anticipate the following scenarios in crude oil:
Scenario 1:
Prices remain elevated as tensions remain high, despite limited retaliation, however, the situation overall now escalated beyond return to diplomacy.
Scenario 2:
Any push towards de-escalation, unlikely in our analysis, but given the headline risk, crude prices may remain volatile and come off the highs.
Given our key LIS (Line in Sand) zone above, we favor longs above this and shorts below this zone.
Breakout from Demand Zone🟡 XAU/USD – 2H Chart Analysis
Title: “Compression Breakout From Demand Zone – Room to Revisit Highs”
Bias: Bullish (Momentum Confirmation)
Timeframe: 2H
Chart Reference: MJTrading – June 23, 2025
📍 Context & Structure:
Gold has just broken out of a multi-candle compression range after tapping into a well-defined demand zone between $3,333 – $3,346. This area acted as the launchpad for previous rallies and is now showing fresh signs of accumulation.
Two EMAs (15 & 60) are attempting a bullish crossover, supporting a shift in momentum.
📈 Trade Setup (Long Bias):
Entry: ✅ Market or retest at $3,366
Stop Loss: 🔴 Below the recent demand base at $3,330
Target 1: 🟢 $3,415 (local swing high)
Target 2: 🟢 $3,460–$3,480 (upper major supply / range top)
R/R Ratio: 🔁 ~2
🔍 Why It Matters:
✅ Price defended key demand zone
✅ Strong engulfing candle with decent volume signals a reversal
⚖️ MJTrading Note:
“Gold thrives on uncertainty — and this bounce from a high-confluence demand zone could be the beginning of a push back toward the highs, especially if macro data shifts in favor.”
#MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #chart #signal #buy #long
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-23 : CRUSH PatternToday's CRUSH pattern suggests the markets will struggle to find any support for a rally. A CRUSH pattern is usually a large breakdown type of price bar that moves aggressively against the dominant trend.
Som, today I'm expecting some fairly large price action and I believe the markets may start a breakdown move this week as we continue to get more news related to the Israel/Iran/US conflict.
This week will be a "resettling" week in my opinion. Buyers will start to actively liquidate and reposition assets as we move deeper into this conflict. When buyers turn into sellers (to get out), the markets usually react very aggressively in trend.
Metals continue to hold up without making any big moves. I believe the increased FEAR level could play out as a moderate rally for metals over the next 15-30+ days.
BTCUSD broke down very hard (more than 6%) over the past 3-4+ days. This is a big move downward for Bitcoin and could suggest US technology stocks/sectors could also collapse on fear of a "rollover top" in the US stock market.
Smart traders will hedge and pull capital away from this potential top - just like I've been suggesting for the past 2-3+ weeks.
Oddly enough, if we do get a rollover/top this week because of the Iran conflict, it plays right into my Excess Phase Peak pattern and the predictions I've been making over the past 4+ months.
No, I don't foresee events like this Israel/US/Iran conflict. I can't see into the future.
What I can do, and continue to try to deliver, is the best analysis I can offer without becoming BIASED by indicators, comments, or other inputs.
I just read the chart and will tell you what I see as the most likely outcome.
Get some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
USOIL Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 73.546.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 79.365 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold opens high and moves lower, focus on 3340 support📰 Impact of news:
1. Federal Reserve Board member Bowman speaks on monetary policy and the banking industry
2. The United States intervenes in the Iran-Israel conflict and pays attention to the geopolitical situation
📈 Market analysis:
In the early Asian session, gold prices surged but failed to break through the key watershed of 3405. The current risk aversion conflict failed to break through the key resistance level, so the short-term trend is still weak and bearish. On the hourly chart, gold continues to retreat. As the current short-selling momentum continues to gain momentum, we will first look at whether the double bottom support of 3340 is effective. If it fails to break through while retreating, we can consider a short-term upward rebound in the support and consider going long. Looking at the second decline point at 3370-3375, unless the news stimulates the gold trend, you can still consider placing short orders if it touches the 3370-3380 line! On the whole, pay attention to the resistance line of 3370-3380 above and the support line of 3345-3335 below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3350-3345-3335
TP 3360-3370-3380
SELL 3370-3380
TP 3360-3350-3345
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Trade Idea: Long XAUUSD (BUY STOP)1️⃣ Multi-Timeframe Structure
• 1 Hour (Macro):
• Trend: Bullish. 20 SMA is riding above the 50 SMA .
• Price has broken above the prior resistance at 3374.50 and is now retesting it as support.
• 15 Minute (Tactical):
• After a clear push down into 3340.37, price rallied back above 3374.50.
• SMAs have flipped back bullish, and volume during the retest shows absorption of selling pressure.
• 3 Minute (Entry Precision):
• Micro-green candle wicks show a small scratch of buyers stepping in just above 3374.50.
• Momentum is picking up to the upside, but we want confirmation of strength before committing.
⸻
2️⃣ Trade Execution
▶️ Entry: Buy Stop at 3379.50
• Wait for a clean 3 m/15 m push above the short-term swing high (~3379) to confirm buyers are in control.
✂️ Stop Loss: 3374.50
• Just below the broken resistance-turned-support level.
• True structural invalidation of this bullish thesis.
🎯 Take Profit: 3394.50
• Targets the next logical resistance cluster (round number area and prior swing highs) for ~15 pt gain.
Risk-Reward ≈ 1:3 (SL = 5 pts, TP = 15 pts)
⸻
3️⃣ Invalidation & Expiry
❌ Cancel the pending Buy Stop at 3379.50 if either:
1. A full 15 m candle closes below 3374.50 before entry.
2. It’s not triggered by 8:30 AM PST.
GOLD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 3,373.02.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 3,354.03 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold INTRADAY moving higher on Geopolitical riskGold price action signals bullish bias, with a recent intraday move higher. The possibility of further geopolitical escalation between the US and Iran could trigger increased demand for gold as a safe haven.
Gold’s price action sentiment remains bullish, underpinned by a well-established rising trend. However, recent intraday movement suggests a corrective pullback or short-term consolidation, likely in response to overbought conditions or short-term profit-taking.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3,330 – Key short-term support and previous consolidation zone; the critical pivot level for trend continuation.
3,315 – Secondary support; minor structural level.
3,300 – Psychological and technical support; near-term bearish target on a breakdown.
Resistance:
3,390 – Immediate upside target on a bullish continuation.
3,420 – Medium-term resistance; aligns with prior highs.
3,450 – Longer-term target, marking the upper boundary of the current bullish channel.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Continuation (Base Case):
If Gold maintains above the 3,330 level and confirms a bullish bounce, the broader uptrend is expected to resume, with upside targets at 3,390, followed by 3,420 and 3,450 over time.
Bearish Reversal (Alternative Scenario):
A daily close below 3,330 would negate the short-term bullish structure, exposing the market to deeper retracements toward 3,315 and 3,300, where further demand could emerge.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a bullish trend, with the current pullback seen as corrective. The 3,330 level is a critical inflection point: holding above it supports further upside momentum, while a breakdown below this level would challenge the bullish outlook and potentially signal a deeper retracement. Traders should monitor price action around this zone for directional confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Technical Analysis: Bullish Reversal FacesOf course. Here is a detailed analysis of the provided financial chart for USOIL (WTI Crude Oil).
### Executive Summary
This is a **weekly (1W) Heikin Ashi chart** for CFDs on WTI Crude Oil (USOIL). The chart displays a long-term view, with a prominent downtrend from a peak in 2022. However, there has been a very strong bullish reversal in the most recent weeks. The analysis points to a critical juncture where the price is testing a key long-term resistance level. The bullish momentum is strong, but it faces significant hurdles ahead.
### Detailed Breakdown
#### 1. Asset and Chart Type
* **Asset:** USOIL (WTI Crude Oil), traded as a Contract for Difference (CFD).
* **Timeframe:** 1W (Weekly). Each candle represents one week of price action. This chart is used for analyzing long-term trends.
* **Chart Type:** Heikin Ashi. Unlike standard candlesticks, Heikin Ashi candles are calculated using averages, which smooths out price action and makes trends easier to identify. Long green candles with no lower wicks indicate strong buying pressure, while long red candles with no upper wicks indicate strong selling pressure.
#### 2. Current Price Action
* The last visible candle is a **strong green Heikin Ashi candle**, indicating significant bullish momentum during that week.
* The data for this candle shows: **Open 69.22, High 77.10, Low 69.22, Close 75.41**. This represents a gain of **+4.19%** for the week.
* The price has bounced sharply from a recent low and is now in its third consecutive week of gains.
#### 3. Key Technical Indicators
**a) Fibonacci Retracement:**
* This tool is drawn from a significant low (marked as 1 at **$68.01**) to a major high (marked as 0 at **$123.24**). It's used to identify potential support and resistance levels.
* The price has been trading between the 0.618 and 1 levels for a prolonged period.
* The recent low was found just below the `1` level ($68.01), indicating a potential double-bottom or failure to break lower.
* The price has since reclaimed the `0.786` level ($79.83) and is currently trading around the **$75.41** mark. The next major resistance levels based on this tool are:
* **0.786:** $79.83
* **0.618:** $89.11
* **0.5:** $95.63
**b) Moving Average (MA):**
* A **50-period Moving Average (MA 50)** is present on the chart (the blue line), with a current value of **69.89**.
* On a weekly chart, the 50-week MA is a critical long-term trend indicator.
* The price has been consistently below the 50-week MA since late 2022, confirming the long-term bearish trend.
* **Crucially, the current price is attempting to break above this moving average.** A sustained close above the 50-week MA would be a strong bullish signal. Conversely, if this level acts as resistance and the price is rejected, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend.
**c) Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
* The RSI (14) is shown at the bottom. The purple line (RSI) is currently at **63.33** and its moving average (yellow line) is at **41.95**.
* The RSI is pointing upwards and has decisively crossed above its moving average, indicating **building bullish momentum**.
* It is not yet in the "overbought" territory (typically above 70), which suggests there could be more room for the price to move higher before becoming extended.
**d) Fibonacci Time Zones:**
* The vertical blue lines numbered 0, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8 are Fibonacci Time Zones. They are used to forecast potential turning points in the market based on time intervals.
* The recent major low occurred very close to the "8" time zone marker, which may have contributed to the timing of this reversal.
### Synthesis and Potential Scenarios
* **Bullish Scenario:** The combination of strong green Heikin Ashi candles, a rising RSI, and a bounce from a key long-term low points to strong short-term bullish momentum. If the price can decisively break and hold above the **50-week MA (around $70)** and the **Fibonacci 0.786 level ($79.83)**, the next major target would be the **0.618 level at $89.11**.
* **Bearish Scenario:** The long-term trend remains bearish as long as the price is below the 50-week MA. This level, combined with the psychological resistance at $80, could prove to be a formidable barrier. If the price fails to break through, it could be rejected back down to test recent lows around the **$68.00** area.
In conclusion, the chart shows a classic battle between short-term bullish momentum and a long-term bearish trend. The price's interaction with the **50-week moving average** in the coming weeks will be critical in determining the next major directional move for WTI Crude Oil.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation
Gold is retesting a recently broken trend line of a bullish flag
pattern that I shared with you earlier.
A double bottom pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
provide a strong intraday confirmation.
I think that the price may rise to 3392 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️