SILVER (XAGUSD): Where is the Next Resistance?!
What a rally on Silver this week.
The market easily violated a resistance cluster
based on the last year high.
Analyzing a historic price action, the next strong resistance
that I found is around 37.4
It is based on an important high of 2012.
That can be the next mid-term goal for the buyers.
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Commodities
Long positions have made profits, focus on support📰 Impact of news:
1. The United States issues new sanctions on Iran
2. Trump continues to criticize the Federal Reserve
📈 Market analysis:
At present, the gold price has touched 3340. If it stabilizes here, we can arrange to go long. However, the gold price is constantly testing downwards, which is why I did not arrange to go long immediately. At the same time, we need to be vigilant about whether the gold price will fall below the important support of 3330. If it really falls below 3330, the gold price may test the support of the integer mark of 3300, which will also determine the future market trend.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3400-3370
TP 3340-3330-3300
BUY 3335-3330
TP 3350-3370
SELL 3325-3320
TP 3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Rejected Below $3370 — Eyes on Lower Demand Zones! (READ)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price climbed to $3388, giving us nearly 150 pips of return. However, gold was rejected from that level and failed to hold above $3370, eventually dropping below $3360.
Currently, gold is trading around $3348, and we may likely see further decline toward lower levels. The potential downside targets are $3338, $3332, $3326, and $3317.
Key demand zones to watch are:
→ $3327
→ $3311
→ $3298–$3300
→ $3278
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USOIL:The strategy of going short
USOIL: Same thinking, still maintain the short strategy. Friends with short orders at 63.3-63.5 continue to wait, can increase short orders near 63.8, the target is 62.5-62.3 unchanged
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-6 : Inside-Breakaway Counter-TrendToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt a Counter-trend type of Inside Breakaway pattern.
I read this as a downward price trend (counter to the current upward price trend).
The markets seem to have bounced overnight - prompting a potentially strong opening price level.
If my Inside-Breakaway shows up today, things could get very interesting if a breakdown in price sets up.
Many of you know I've been expecting a broader market breakdown to take place - sending the SPY/QQQ down about 7% to 13% or more.
It hasn't happened yet and the SPY/QQQ continue to try to push a bit higher - but, until we break to new highs, the breakdown event is still possible.
Let's see how things play out today. Platinum is showing that the global markets are entering an extreme speculative phase (very similar to 2000-2008). Transports are stalling, showing the US economy is expected to weaken over the next 3+ months.
Imagine that. Speculation is ramping up while the US market may move into a recession in H2:2025. Wow.
We certainly live in interesting times.
Get some.
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Gold Analysis June 6: Focus on Nonfarm Payrolls vGold, after rising around 3400, has been under strong downward pressure after US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping had a productive phone call. Today the market focuses on Nonfarm Payrolls
- Technically.
Gold has been under downward pressure from around 3400 and yesterday's decline was good, gold is currently trading below the 3400 zone. However, it has met support at the 3346 - 3340 zone.
Before today's NFP news, you can trade according to the above support zone to buy up, and sell at the psychological resistance zone of 3400.
GOLD Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 3,360.39.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 3,295.58 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Ivanhoe Mines - a 50% discount opportunity !The share price of this mining monster has suffered a 50% price decline in the last 6 months.
One of the main reasons for the share price decline is the suspension of underground operations at the Kakula mine due to seismic activity. This suspension has led to a withdrawal of production and cost guidance for 2025, causing investor uncertainty and a subsequent drop in share price 1,2,3 Additionally, the company has faced challenges with its smelter, including a fire that damaged onsite generators and caused a three-month delay in commissioning. These issues, combined with power constraints and grid instability in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), have contributed to a more conservative production outlook.
However there are lots of positive catalysts for Ivanhoe Mines: the upcoming rise in precious metal prices, especially the wake up of the severely undervalued PLATINUM prices.
Platreef PGM project in South Africa contains 7 million ounces of gold (0.25 gpt) and 50 million ounces of AuEq. About 90% of annual production (1 million ounces) will consist of PGMs (platinum group metals), making it the largest PGM mine in the world ! Platreef is expected to have low all-in production costs, though more precise figures will become available after the ramp-up phase, scheduled for the second half of 2025.
Platreef PGM, Kakula-Kamoa (massive copper mine, the largest high grade mine globally) and Kipushi (a high-grade zinc operation); With all three of their mines expected to be in production, 2025 could be a pivotal year for them.
Chart wise, the price is still rising in a long term rising wedge. Price just found support on the lower resistance and is bouncing strongly. OBV on balance volume is still on a steady rise. I own Ivanhoe Mines since I got in at sub 1$ (thanks to Rick Rule's reccomandation - God may bless him). and I am not willing to let go before we reach 50$, which is my long term target.
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GOLD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry - 3360.4
Stop - 3353.9
Take - 3375.0
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD will it pump again? Gold free signal!!!Hello everyone.
I want share my idea about XAUUSD (Gold).
This week we started little bit bearish, week open we see big FVG at 4h chart which was not tested and till today it was coming down, but we see today after US news price was before into daily Gap zone and then show us aggressive buy.
Why we got aggressive buy today?
Gold (XAU/USD) staged an aggressive rally, climbing from a one-month low near $3,155 to around $3,219.81. The catalyst? U.S. economic news, likely softer-than-expected PPI data and growing concerns over a $1.049 trillion fiscal 2025 deficit, sparked safe-haven demand. A weaker dollar and renewed Fed rate-cut bets (possibly starting October) further fueled the surge. Gold’s appeal as a hedge against uncertainty shone through as markets digested mixed signals on Trump’s tariff policies.
Gold’s technical rebound could push it toward $3,400 if it holds above $3,200, but trade optimism or a hawkish Fed might cap gains. Long-term, analysts see gold hitting $3,700 by year-end, driven by inflation and policy risks.
Here is the setup for long side trade, my technical analysis is simple i am following trend, we have some shifting but that's not problem for, only i will be wrong if DXY will continue uptrend.
3212 open long position
3150 stop loss
3400 take profit
In my last analysis about gold i was wrong, my prediction was long but as i mentioned in my last post there was 2h FVG which worked well, and broke daily FVG zone plus last week low. If you want see my last post about gold it will be linked in this post.
SILVER: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 36.190 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 35.901.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,358.70 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Harmonic AB=CD Pattern Guide for TradingViewThe Harmonic AB=CD pattern is a powerful technical analysis tool used to predict price reversals in financial markets. Based on Fibonacci ratios, it helps traders identify high-probability entry and exit points. This concise guide is designed for TradingView users to apply the pattern effectively.
Pattern Overview
- Structure: Four points (A, B, C, D). AB and CD legs are equal in length or follow Fibonacci ratios.
- Fibonacci Ratios:
- BC retraces 61.8%-78.6% of AB.
- CD equals AB (1:1) or extends 1.272/1.618 of BC.
- Types:
- Bullish: Signals a buy at point D (price rises).
- Bearish: Signals a sell at point D (price falls).
How to Identify and Trade
1. Spot AB: Find a clear price swing from A to B.
2. Measure BC: Use TradingView’s Fibonacci Retracement tool to confirm BC retraces 61.8%-78.6% of AB.
3. Project CD: Use Fibonacci Extension to project CD, matching AB’s length or extending 1.272/1.618 of BC.
4. Confirm D: Check for confluence with support/resistance, candlestick patterns (e.g., doji), or indicators (e.g., RSI divergence).
5. Trade Execution:
- Bullish: Buy at D, set stop-loss below D, target point C or A.
- Bearish: Sell at D, set stop-loss above D, target point C or A.
Tips for TradingView
- Use TradingView’s Fib tools for precision.
- Confirm signals with additional indicators (e.g., MACD, volume).
- Avoid choppy markets; focus on trending or range-bound charts.
The AB=CD pattern is a reliable method for spotting reversals when used with proper confirmation. By mastering Fibonacci tools on TradingView and combining the pattern with other signals, traders can enhance their decision-making and improve trade outcomes. Practice on historical charts to build confidence.
What to Expect from Payrolls Data and Gold's Reaction to ItToday’s non-farm payroll (NFP) expectation is 126k, and the unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2%.
Throughout the month, employment data has been weak. Both initial jobless claims and continuing claims have increased, and the ADP report also came in low.
The only partial strength was seen in last month’s JOLTS job openings data, but even that can be largely discounted due to reduced reliability in data collection.
In May, hiring typically increases in tourism, restaurants, and other service sectors. However, this year, tourism in the U.S. has been weak, and when considering tariffs, and low economic activity data and less business travel to US due to it, a soft NFP reading can be expected.
I also don’t think it would be wrong to expect slower hiring in logistics. If we assume that government sector hiring has also slowed, I believe we could see a double-digit NFP figure and an unemployment rate of 4.3%.
1- If the NFP comes in at 50k or lower, recession fears may trigger a rise in gold prices and if the figure is negative, the reaction could be even stronger.
2- If the result is between 100k–140k, I expect a sideways to mildly bearish reaction in gold.
3- If it comes in above 140k, I would expect a negative move for gold.
Over the past 12 months, gold's 6-hour return following U.S. payrolls data typically falls within a ±1.5 standard deviation range. On the upside, +1.5 standard deviation corresponds to a 0.71% gain, while on the downside, -1.5 standard deviation equates to a -1.70% drop. This asymmetry shows that gold tends to react more sharply to downside surprises in the data. Regardless of the direction, traders should not expect moves exceeding ±1.5% within the initial 6 hours after the release. If the returns passed 1.5%, profit taking should be considered for short-term trades.
Technically, gold has been in an uptrend since the May 29 bottom. As long as this trend remains intact, the short-term bias will likely stay to the upside.
Gold INTRADAY Bullish continuation consolidationThe Gold price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 3350, which is the previous consolidation trading range zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 3300 level could target the upside resistance at 3410 followed by the 3430 and 3460 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 3300 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 3275 support level followed by 3240.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Long and short battle break out before NFP,gold operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. NFP data released
2. Geopolitical situation worsens
3. Trump and Musk start a war of words
📈 Market analysis:
During today's U.S. trading session, we need to pay close attention to the impact of NFP on the market. Bros who trade independently must do a good job of risk control. The gold 1H chart shows that the current gold price is suppressed by the downward opening of the Bollinger Bands. Gold shorts dominate in the short term, and the MACD indicator has a tendency to form a death cross. At the same time, the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a death cross and move downward, indicating that the gold price is still facing adjustment pressure in the short term. Looking at the 4H chart, we can find that although gold is currently rising on the 4H trend line, gold has not yet fallen back to the right level. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility that gold will continue to fall back in the future. The key resistance level above is 3390-3400, and the support level below is 3350-3340, with a focus on the important support level of 3330. Participate in high-altitude and low-multiple in the European session today, and consider retreating to 3350-3340 to place longs
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3350-3340
TP 3365-3385-3395
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
SILVER BUY BUY BUY...TARGET 40Silver price rose to multiyear high today morning at $36.35/oz as the price finally closed above its key resistance of 35.05-35.45. Price is in a strong bullish trend to target the upper trendline of yellow ascending channel at 36.75 which will act as temporary resistance and may trigger a pull back towards 35.50 region before bouncing back.
Stability above 35.05-35.45 will send price soaring towards 37.50 followed by 40.00-41.00 region.
Break below 35.05 will trigger correction towards 33.60-34.20 area.
On medium term basis Silver's bullish trend will remain valid till the price is stable above 33.60. Break and stability below 33.60 will send the price towards 32.70, 31.80 and 29.20 levels.
What are Harmonic Price Patterns?Harmonic price patterns are chart patterns based on Fibonacci ratios and market geometry, used to identify potential reversal points in Forex. They rely on Fibonacci levels (e.g., 0.618, 0.786, 1.618) to measure price structures, predicting reversal zones (PRZ - Potential Reversal Zone).
Key Features:
- Based on Fibonacci ratios.
- Geometric structure with 4-5 points (X, A, B, C, D).
- Identifies PRZ for buy/sell opportunities.
- Symmetrical, reflecting market psychology.
Key Harmonic Patterns in Forex:
1. Gartley:
- AB retraces 61.8% of XA.
- D at 78.6% of XA.
- Buy/sell at D.
2. Bat:
- AB retraces 38.2-50% of XA.
- D at 88.6% of XA.
- High-precision at D.
3. Crab:
- CD extends 161.8% of XA.
- D at extreme levels.
- Suited for strong volatility.
4. Butterfly:
- AB retraces 78.6% of XA.
- D extends 127-161.8% of XA.
- End of strong trends.
5. Shark:
- AB retraces 113-161.8% of XA.
- D at 88.6-113% of XA.
- Volatile markets.
6. Cypher:
- CD retraces 78.6% of XC.
- Short-term timeframes.
How to Use:
1. Measure Fibonacci ratios to identify the pattern.
2. Locate PRZ at D, combine with support/resistance, RSI, or candlestick patterns.
3. Set stop-loss beyond PRZ, aim for risk/reward ≥ 1:2.
4. Enter trades at D after price/indicator confirmation.
Notes:
- Requires precise measurements.
- Combine with other tools for reliability.
- Practice on a demo account first.
- Avoid during high-volatility events (e.g., news releases).
Let me know if you need details on a specific pattern!
GLD Swing Setup – Long Call Into Gold’s Weekly Strength🪙 GLD Swing Setup – Long Call Into Gold’s Weekly Strength
📆 Date: June 6, 2025
📈 Outlook: Moderately Bullish (14-day swing)
📊 Strategy: Long call aiming for continuation above key resistance
🔍 Model Consensus
Model Bias Strike Entry Target(s) Stop Confidence
Grok Mod. Bullish 311C 3.90 5.07 1.95 70%
Claude Mod. Bullish 312C 3.40 5.10 / 6.80 2.04 70%
Llama Mod. Bullish 320C 1.19 1.75 / 2.38 0.60 75%
Gemini Mod. Bullish 320C 1.20 1.75 / 2.35 0.60 75%
DeepSeek Mod. Bearish 308P 3.60 1.80 (fade) 5.40 60%
✅ Majority Bias: Bullish
💡 Preferred Strike: $320 Call (3:1 model preference)
📈 Chart Levels:
Support: $301.50 – $303.00
Resistance: $310.25 – $311.67 → breakout zone
Max Pain: $308 (gravitational pull zone short-term)
⚙️ Technical Summary
Daily/Weekly Charts: Price above mid BB, above EMAs, MACD trending positive
RSI: Neutral-to-bullish (daily ~56, weekly ~66)
VIX: Low = stable sentiment & slower decay
News: Bullish gold flow / macro sentiment steady
OI Skew: Heavy 297–299 puts, but aggressive calls up to $320 → breakout pressure
✅ Trade Setup
Metric Value
Instrument GLD
Direction CALL (Long)
Strike $320
Expiry 2025-06-18
Entry Price $1.19 (ask)
Profit Targets $1.75 / $2.35
Stop-Loss $0.60 (50% risk)
Position Size 1 contract
Confidence 75%
Entry Timing Market Open
📈 Trade Management Plan
🎯 Targets
Scale out 50% at $1.75
Final exit at $2.35
🛑 Stop Triggers
Break below $307.50 support
Premium drops to $0.60
📆 Hold Time
Max 10 trading days
Exit early if price stagnates near $308
⚠️ Key Risks
Triple-top near $310.25 could stall breakout
Low VIX reduces premiums faster in chop
Gold news or dollar spikes can flip the narrative fast
Max Pain at $308 could cap rallies short-term
XAUUSD - Gold awaits NFP!Gold is trading in its ascending channel on the hourly timeframe, between EMA200 and EMA50. We should wait for a valid breakout of the pattern we identified yesterday, from which we had a Fick break above. We can enter the trade after it breaks in the formed pattern, and on the other hand, if gold corrects towards the demand zone, we can buy it in the short term with a reward at an appropriate risk.
Gold came under downward pressure amid renewed optimism regarding U.S.-China trade talks. Although prices surged to a four-week high earlier in the day due to strong demand from Asian and European buyers, a wave of selling during U.S. trading hours reversed part of that gain.
This shift in momentum coincided with rising U.S. Treasury yields and a boost in market sentiment following a phone call between the presidents of China and the United States. While no official statement has been issued yet, the decision to initiate a new round of high-level negotiations was seen as a positive signal. In recent months, gold has become a key indicator for gauging geopolitical and trade-related risks, having previously surged to an all-time high of $3,500 after the “Freedom Day” tariffs were implemented.
Despite ongoing concerns over Ukraine, Iran, and the growing U.S. fiscal deficit—which provide fundamental support for gold—the metal’s inability to break above the key resistance level of $3,437 has cast doubt on the short-term bullish outlook.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has projected that the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report for May will show a 125,000 increase in jobs. The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2%, and monthly wage growth is estimated at 0.3%. The bank also anticipates a 10,000-job decline in the public sector, largely due to tariff-related policies and reduced hiring. Overall, Goldman Sachs expects the report to be balanced and free of surprises, which should encourage the Federal Reserve to maintain its current policy stance.
Although gold has managed to stabilize above $3,000 per ounce in recent weeks, many investors remain focused on reclaiming the historic peak reached in April. According to one research firm, it’s only a matter of time before that level is tested and broken again.
In the annual “Gold Focus 2025” report published Thursday by the UK-based firm Metals Focus, analysts stated that gold retains strong momentum for further gains in 2026. They forecast that the average gold price this year could reach an unprecedented $3,210, with new highs likely in the second half of the year.
In an interview with Kitco News, Metals Focus CEO Philip Newman said it is difficult to envision a scenario that would derail the current bull market. While this perspective isn’t included in their formal forecasts, he believes the rally could extend into 2026.
Newman added, “If you look at what’s happening across the global economy, all the ingredients for a structural bull market are present.” He highlighted that one of gold’s unique traits is how quickly investors adapt to new price levels, often converting previous resistance levels into future support. A year ago, he admitted he would have expected $3,000 to trigger widespread profit-taking.
However, despite ongoing economic uncertainty and geopolitical instability, investors have not been discouraged by current price levels. Newman emphasized that what makes 2025 distinct is that new investors are just now entering the market. While gold has been rallying since 2023, much of the demand until recently came from central banks and Asian markets—particularly China.
Newman noted that only in Q4 of last year and early this year did retail investors begin to decisively adopt a bullish stance. “We’ve seen strong growth in investment demand this year,” he said, “but there’s still a large amount of capital that hasn’t entered the market yet. This is not a bubble—this is a well-supported, structurally sound market.”
He concluded by identifying changing perceptions of the U.S. dollar as a major driver behind increased gold investment.While the dollar remains a traditional safe haven, ongoing trade tensions and unsustainable government debt levels have eroded market confidence, prompting investors to seek safety and diversification through gold.
Gold Holds the Line – Will Bulls Take Control into the Weekend?Hey traders! Let’s take a quick look at what’s happening with gold as the week wraps up.
Yesterday, OANDA:XAUUSD saw a sharp drop during the U.S. session, sliding more than 600 pips. But by this morning, the metal bounced back with a short-term recovery, finding strong support around the $3,342 level.
The move came after U.S. jobless claims data came in higher than expected — a sign that the labor market may be losing steam. That’s fueling speculation that the Fed could move toward cutting interest rates sooner, which tends to weaken the dollar and push gold higher.
On top of that, ongoing global economic uncertainty keeps investors turning to gold as a safe-haven asset.
From a technical standpoint, the $3,340 support zone is still holding firm. If buyers defend this level, the path of least resistance remains to the upside — at least in the short term.
What’s your take? Will gold finish the week stronger or face more pressure? Let’s talk in the comments 💬
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 6Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3412, support below 3322
Four-hour chart resistance 3367, support below 3350
One-hour chart resistance 3374, support below 3360
Gold news analysis: Gold fell sharply during the US trading session on Thursday. Although the slight rebound of the US dollar limited the upside of gold, the expectation of Fed rate cuts, lower US bond yields, US fiscal concerns, and trade and geopolitical risks still supported the strong gold price. The market is in a wait-and-see mood, with the focus on the upcoming NFP employment report. Technical indicators show that gold still has short-term upside potential, and breaking through $3385 will open up further upside space. The instability of the global economic environment, especially the unexpected contraction of the US service industry, the sluggish employment data and the impact of the Trump administration's new tariff policy, has provided strong impetus for the rise of gold. At the same time, the tension between major powers, the progress of EU-US trade negotiations, and the market's expectations of Fed rate cuts have further ignited the enthusiasm of the gold market, and the possibility of gold prices rising to the 3400 mark has increased.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the first-line support of 3350-3322, and the pressure above focuses on the one-hour level 3374 and the four-hour level 3412. The short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line is 3350. Before the four-hour level falls below this position, continue to maintain the rhythm of buying on dips and look to 3412-3450-3500.
Buying strategy after breakthrough:
Buy: 3375near SL:3370
Buy: 3388near SL:3383
Buy: 3400near SL:3395