USOILHello friends
Due to the price falling in the identified support area, buyers were able to support the price, but given the weakness of the trend we are witnessing, it seems that sellers have more power...
Now, for the price to rise, the identified resistance must be broken, and for the price to fall, if the support is broken, the price will continue to fall.
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Commodities
Gold bulls are going crazy, need to be careful at this time
Gold bulls are too crazy and there is no chance of a pullback. So when the market is too hot, you have to be careful. You need to be cautious when doing long positions at high levels, and beware of gold falling back after a surge and starting to make a sharp adjustment.So at this position I think shorting would be better
GOLD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3025.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3011.4
Safe Stop Loss - 3034.8
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Will Oil Prices Ignite Amid a Middle East War?The global oil market is critical, with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East potentially leading to significant price fluctuations. Recent military actions by the U.S. against Yemen's Houthi group have contributed to rising oil prices, as Brent crude futures reached $71.21 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures hit $67.80 per barrel. Positive economic indicators from China, including increased retail sales, have supported oil prices despite global economic slowdown concerns.
The Middle East remains a focal point for oil price volatility due to its strategic importance in global oil supply. Iran, a major oil producer, could face disruptions if tensions escalate, potentially driving prices higher. However, global spare capacity and demand resilience might cap long-term increases. Historical events like the 2019 Saudi oil facility attacks demonstrate the market's sensitivity to regional instability, with prices spiking by $10 following the incident.
Analysts predict that if the conflict escalates to close the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices could exceed $100 per barrel. Nevertheless, historical data suggests that prices may stabilize within a few months if disruptions prove temporary. The delicate balance between supply shocks and market adjustments underscores the need to closely monitor geopolitical developments and their economic ripple effects.
As global economic uncertainties overshadow geopolitical risks, maintaining market confidence will depend on sustained positive economic data from countries like China. The potential for peace negotiations in Ukraine and changes in U.S. sanctions could also impact oil prices, making this a pivotal moment for global energy markets.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-18-25 : Gap Reversal Counter-TrendFirst off, thank you for all the great comments and feedback. I really love hearing from TradingView subscribers and how my research is helping everyone find success.
Just recently, I received some DMs from viewers saying my research has been "dead on" - which is great.
One thing is for sure, the big move in Gold/Silver is just getting started.
Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Gap-Reversal in a Counter Trend mode. The long-term & short-term bias is currently BEARISH - so I believe the GAP Reversal will be to the upside.
Meaning, I suggest we start the day with a mild lower GAP - followed by a moderate price reversal in early trading, leading to a continued melt-up type of trend for the SPY/QQQ
Gold and Silver are likely to attempt to melt a bit higher into the TOP pattern for today. I believe this is just a temporary resistance level for metals.
Bitcoin is struggling to find upward momentum - but I believe BTCUSD still has a $3k-$5k rally left to reach the current Consolidation highs. We'll see if it breaks higher over the next 3-5 days before rolling over into a new downtrend.
Again, I really appreciate all of my followers and viewers. I want all of you to learn to see, read, and understand price action more clearly than ever before.
That's why I don't use any technical indicators on my chart. I want you to understand PRICE is the ultimate indicator.
Get some..
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GOLD - Price can correct to support area and then continue growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it so long rose near support line and reached $2845 level.
Then Gold broke this level, exited from channel and started to trades inside flat, where it at once made retest.
After this movement, Gold started to grow and later grew to top part of flat, which coincided with $2955 level.
Price some time traded near this level and then corrected to support area, after which started to grow.
Gold rose to $2955 level and broke it, thereby exiting from flat too and then it continued to move up next.
Possibly, Gold can fall to the support area, correcting, and then continue to rise to $3040
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HelenP. I Gold will continue to move up in upward channelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see that the price entered the channel and began moving higher along the trend line. Soon, it climbed to Support 2, which aligned with the support zone, broke this level, retested it, and then continued its upward movement. Later, Gold reached Support 1, which also coincided with a support zone. Shortly after, it broke this level as well, reaching the resistance line of the channel before making a correction to another support zone. The price traded around this area for some time before making a corrective move below Support 1, even briefly breaking the trend line in a false breakout. However, it quickly resumed its upward movement within the channel. Gold then broke through Support 1 again, retested it, and rebounded from the support zone. Based on the current structure, I expect XAU/USD to make a corrective move toward the trend line before continuing its growth inside the upward channel. Given this scenario, my goal is set at 3070 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Skeptic | XAU/USD Ready to Break Out? Key Long & Short Setups!Welcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic . Let’s kick off the week with an analysis of XAU/USD , which seems to be giving us a long trigger right now! Let’s break down the 1-hour time frame.
🔍 Market Overview:
The major trend on the daily is still uptrend , so it’s best to trade in the direction of the trend (long) . Last week, as per our analysis, we hit a new ATH and managed to break the resistance at 2954.74 .
📈 Current Situation:
After a brief consolidation in the 4-hour time frame, a new uptrend momentum seems to be kicking off, which could lead to another price surge and a potential new uptrend.
🚀 Long Setup:
Our riskier long trigger will be activated after breaking 2994.16 , and it looks like the current candle is about to break it.
For a safer position, we’ll wait for a breakout above 3002.71 .
📉 Short Setup:
A short position below 2968.43 could work, although the uptrend momentum is quite strong, so there’s a higher chance of hitting the stop loss .
💡 This week, we have plenty of setups, so make sure to catch all the analyses and stay prepared.
Until the next analysis—stay sharp and trade smart! 💪🔥
Gold Forecast: Key Levels Above $3,000Gold remains persistent in targeting its inverted head and shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe, eyeing the 3,040-resistance.
However, monthly overbought conditions—seen in 2024, 2020, and 2011—raise caution for potential sharp reversals.
• In 2011, an overbought RSI led to a nearly 900-point retracement
• In 2020, a similar overbought condition resulted in a nearly 450-point decline
• In November 2024, another overbought reading triggered a nearly 250-point drop
• Now, gold has once again reached these overbought levels, raising caution for a potential momentum recharge.
Key Events:
🔹Israel-Gaza tensions escalate as the 2-month ceasefire ends
🔹Trump and Putin negotiate a ceasefire with #Ukraine
🔹The US Dollar weakens amid trade war risks, with focus on Wednesday’s FOMC for the long-term outlook
Key Levels:
🔺Above 3,040: The trend could extend to 3,080
🔻Below 3,040: A reversal may test 3,000, 2,955, 2,930, and 2,900
- Razan Hilal, CMT
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 3,023.60.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 2,981.07 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WTI OIL turned the 4H MA50 into Support and aiming higher.WTI Oil (USOIL) has broken above the bearish trend of the former Lower Highs and a Channel Up emerged. The 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) broke for the first time in almost a month and has now been turned into Support.
As long as this holds, we expect Oil to target the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at $70.
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Next Week's Trading Blueprint for USOILThis week, U.S. crude oil closed at $67.18, with a weekly increase of 0.2%. Next week, there is sufficient upward momentum. The United States has tightened sanctions on Iran, and there is a risk of supply contraction. Moreover, the decline in U.S. gasoline inventories far exceeds expectations, indicating strong demand. Technically, if the key resistance level of $69.00 is breached, an upward space will be opened, and the bullish forces are expected to push up the price of U.S. crude oil.
USOIL Trading Strategy for Next Week:
buy@ 65-66.5
tp:69-70
I firmly believe realized profit and a high win - rate are the best measures of trading skill. Daily, I share highly precise trading signals. These include clear entry points, stop - loss levels for risk control, and profit - taking targets from in - depth analysis. Follow me for big financial market returns. Click my profile for a trading guide on trends, strategies, and risk management.
SILVER BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,408.6
Target Level: 3,244.3
Stop Loss: 3,517.4
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
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XAUUSD: 18/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3030-50, support below 2978
Four-hour chart resistance 3030, support below 3000
One-hour chart resistance 3020, support below 3006
Gold operation suggestions: Gold was consolidated at a high level yesterday, and rose straight after entering the breakthrough. The US dollar is weak, and gold is still strong in the short term, but the attached indicator has entered the top divergence area, and there is a need for adjustment, with the previous continuous increase in volume. The current rise is a slow rise, and the callback is a fast retracement. It is also a deep retracement. At this stage, it is most likely to misjudge the direction, and the fluctuation range will become larger and larger. Remember, sideways trading does not mean the end of the rise. Heavy volume will soon lead to a new high. Avoid chasing highs.
From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the one-hour level 3006 and the four-hour level 3000 line, focusing on the important support of the 2978 line. The retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish, and the upper target still focuses on the new high. Before the daily level does not fall below the lower support, it still maintains a long-term transaction.
Buy: 3006near SL: 3000
Buy: 3000near SL: 2995
Gold has not reached the top yet!Continue to buy today, rely on the 5-day moving average to enter the market, and rely on the 10-day moving average to continue to be bullish at the extreme position. From the perspective of the morphological structure, the upper trend line pressure is around 3036, and the 4-hour level market is consolidating at a high level!
The high point of the daily chart continues to break through, which is an unstoppable rhythm. At the same time, the K line runs at a high level of 2990-3000. This is a sign of laying a solid foundation, sitting firmly at the bottom, and the moving average continues to run upward, which is also close to vertical upward. Wait for a decline to continue buying more!
At present, gold is still bullish and strong. As long as there is a chance to fall back, we will buy it. It is easiest to trade with the trend.
Key points:
First support: 2993, second support: 2982, third support: 2968
First resistance: 3016, second resistance: 3028, third resistance: 3040
Operation ideas:
Buy: 2988-2990, SL: 2981, TP: 3010-3020;
Sell: 3016-3018, SL: 3027, TP: 2300-2990;
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Continuation Ahead
Silver formed a strong bullish pattern on a 4H.
I see a bullish flag with a candle close above its resistance line.
I think that the market is going to continue rising.
Next resistance 34.2
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Silver Surges to $33.90 as Safe-Haven DemandSilver surged to $33.90, its highest since October 2024, driven by a weaker dollar, geopolitical tensions, and strong industrial demand. Recession fears and trade disputes have supported safe-haven buying, with Trump planning new tariffs on China, steel, and aluminum starting April 2. Middle East tensions added support, as Netanyahu confirmed intensified military action in Gaza. Supply constraints and record industrial demand, especially in solar, 5G, and automotive sectors, further fueled the rally.
If silver breaks above $34.00, the next resistance levels are $34.85 and $35.00. On the downside, support is at $33.80, with further levels at $33.15 and $32.75 if selling pressure increases.
Gold Surges Past $3,000 Amid Fed UncertaintyGold surged past $3,000, hitting a record high as safe-haven demand grew ahead of the Fed's rate decision. While rates are expected to remain unchanged, investors await economic projections and Powell’s remarks for policy clues amid trade tensions. Market jitters also rose after Trump warned Iran over Houthi rebel attacks and planned talks with Putin on ending the Ukraine war.
Key resistance stands at $3045, with further levels at $3100 and $3,150. Support is at $3000, followed by $2,980 and $2,916.