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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2872 and a gap below at 2851. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2872 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2807 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2885 2898 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2898 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2911 2923 BEARISH TARGETS 2851 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2851 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2841 - 2819 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2807 - 2794 SECONDARY SWING RANGE 2782 - 2764 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
27
Silver Struggles at Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play?Since reaching the 32.30 resistance zone last Wednesday, OANDA:XAGUSD has been trading in a range-bound consolidation phase. On Friday’s NFP release, the price spiked back into this resistance area but quickly reversed, closing the day near the 31.70 support level. Currently, Silver is rebounding once again from this support, which could present a good shorting opportunity for sellers. My bias is bearish as long as 32.50 resistance holds, and I expect a potential decline toward 31.00 in the near term.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
XAGUSD H1 I Bearish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 32.125, aligning with a key resistance level and the 50% Fibonacci retracement. This setup suggests a potential bearish reversal. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 31.658, where buyers may look to step in near a previous support zone. The stop loss is set at 32.638, positioned above the previous swing high, providing sufficient room for fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by FXCM
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2880.26, that lines up with the 78.6% Fibo retracement Our take profit will be at 2855.42, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be at 2896.71, above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
Trade Idea: Long Position on XAUUSD ( BUY LIMIT )Analysis Summary 1. Trend Analysis: • The Daily chart shows a strong uptrend, with price making higher highs and higher lows. • The 15-minute chart supports the uptrend with a series of pullbacks and continuations. • The 3-minute chart shows some volatility but confirms higher support levels. 2. Technical Indicators: • MACD (Daily): Strong bullish momentum. • RSI (Daily at 74.59): Overbought but not showing reversal signals. • Moving Averages: Price is riding above short-term MAs, indicating continued buying pressure. 3. Fundamental Analysis: • Gold is in a strong uptrend due to market uncertainty and demand for safe-haven assets. • U.S. economic data, interest rate outlook, and inflation trends remain supportive of gold’s rally. Trade Setup • Position: Long • Entry: $2860 (Buy on a slight dip) • Stop-Loss (SL): $2845 (Below recent support) • Take-Profit (TP): $2890 (Aligned with the trend and recent highs) • Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1 Conclusion • Bias: Strongly bullish • Probability of success: High, as long as gold maintains momentum above $2850 • Risk: If price breaks below $2845, further downside correction is possible.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
1
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower as the market digested the Employment Trends Index (ETI) report. On the weekly chart, a sell signal is in play, yet the index remains within a range-bound structure. Until it reclaims the 5-week moving average, any upside move could still face rejection. On the daily chart, the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning the buy signal remains intact. A critical moment is approaching: will the index break below the 20-day and 60-day moving average golden cross, or will it regain bullish momentum? If a daily sell signal emerges, downside targets extend toward 20,940, where the Bollinger Band lower boundary and 120-day moving average converge. Although a gap-down occurred today, as long as the daily buy signal holds, traders should approach this market with a range-bound mindset rather than assuming a strong breakdown. On the 240-minute chart, the index encountered resistance at the upper range boundary. A bearish engulfing candle triggered a sell signal, but since both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, this still suggests a range-bound market. Buying dips and selling rallies remain the most effective strategy. Market volatility is increasing following Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on most countries. Additionally, Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release could be a major catalyst—keep it in mind when positioning. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, bouncing off support on the daily chart. The weekly chart shows strong support at the 20-week moving average, making further downside moves challenging. The $70–71 zone remains an attractive buy area, and with the weekly buy signal still intact, traders should avoid aggressive short-selling. On the daily chart, oil has yet to reclaim the 5-day moving average, and the MACD remains below the zero line, while the Signal line is still above it, indicating a mixed market structure. Given the potential for a bullish MACD crossover, long positions remain more favorable. The ideal price action scenario would involve a push to the 10-day moving average, a pullback to retest the $70–71 range, and then a double-bottom formation, leading to a strong upside breakout. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has re-emerged, suggesting a short-term bottom formation. Additionally, MACD bullish divergence is forming, reinforcing the bullish case. Selling into weakness should be avoided, while buying dips remains the preferred strategy. Gold Gold closed higher but formed a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure at the highs. On the weekly chart, gold is trading above the Bollinger Band upper boundary, placing it in overbought territory. At the start of the week, traders should avoid chasing highs and instead focus on buying pullbacks at key support levels. If gold continues to extend gains, shorting near the highs could be an option. However, volatility is expected to increase due to key data releases: Wednesday: U.S. CPI Thursday: U.S. PPI On the daily chart, the long wick suggests that gold may enter a consolidation phase around 2,900. If the 5-day moving average is lost, a 10-day moving average pullback could set up a range-bound structure. The MACD is in the process of narrowing toward the signal line, indicating that a corrective phase may occur this week. Buying pullbacks remains the preferred approach. On the 240-minute chart, gold has broken above previous highs, but the MACD is declining, signaling bearish divergence. Now that a sell signal has emerged, the MACD is shifting lower. In the short term, selling rallies remains more favorable, while long positions should only be considered near strong demand zones. Given the CPI release on Wednesday, gold may remain range-bound until then. Stay cautious, and trade within the range. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21550 / 21470 / 21420 / 21340 / 21220 -Sell Levels: 21680 / 21715 / 21800 / 21900 Crude Oil - Range-Bound Market -Buy Levels: 70.70 / 70.30 / 69.80 / 69.20 -Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.50 Gold - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2885 / 2878 / 2873 / 2862 / 2856 -Sell Levels: 2906 / 2917 / 2926 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Could the price drop from here?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 72.97 1st Support: 69.54 1st Resistance: 75.99 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Silver (XAG/USD) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support. Pivot: 32.55 1st Support: 29.97 1st Resistance: 34.87 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAGUSDShort
by ICmarkets
XAUUSD's Volatility: Will it Fake Us Out or Continue Long?Many have been anticipating Gold to move in both directions. Some are expecting a nice drop while others are camping out for that long. I've been on both sides. Here, I explain my reasons for wanting to Long Gold (XAUUSD) with anticipated targets for both a short-term sell and the buy continuation. Please boost this if you like my ideas. Comment with your thoughts and/or agreement. I look forward to connecting!
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by rhashedaw
8
#202506 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: 70 should be bigger support and I expect more sideways movement here. It is somewhat lower probability than bears continuing with the selling because bulls managed to go above the prior day’s bar exactly two times in the last 15 trading days. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 70 - 75 bull case: Bulls need to print some consecutive bull bars or the selling won’t stop. Their first target is to test up to 72 and the daily 20ema and then test the bear trend line from 79.45. Bulls have going for them that market is not making meaningful lower lows and new lows are bought. Still, best they can hope for next week is to go sideways between 70 - 73. Invalidation is below 69.7. bear case: Bears are selling any bounce harder than bulls are buying new lows. They prevent bulls from printing any decent bull bar or even consecutive bars above the 4h 20ema. They also have going for them that the volume during the selling is much greater than during the pull-backs. For now bears are still in full control and they are favored for lower prices. Problem for them is that 70 is a big round number and also above the trading that the market stayed in from October to December. Selling close to 70 is a bad sell and unless we get bearish oil news, we can expect bears to wait for pull-backs to 72 or 73 before selling again. Invalidation is above 75. short term: Neutral for now. No interest in this tbh. 70 should hold but the last thing I want to do is buying this. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: Triangle is dead and market is now in a proper trading range with upside to 80 or even 85. current swing trade: None chart update: Added bear channel
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
XAUUSD 9/2/25XAU is running bullish for the sixth consecutive week. We called for a new all-time high last week and the week before. If new highs form, we will shift our attention to them, but as it stands, we are anticipating another all-time high. Gold is being driven by fundamentals as well as a strong potential for gains based on past performance. We now look to Orion for the daily bias, and as expected, it remains bullish. Based on this, we have key lows marked on our chart, with the third being a high-volume low. From our understanding, we expect a counter-trend move to start the week before continuing with more long positions. If price reaches our lower areas, we will look for the correct entry to follow through on these moves. Trade your plan and manage your risk. Always follow Orion.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by PipSurfingSociety
Anticipating Movements in XAU/USD for the Week AheadAs of February 9, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) is trading at approximately $2,861.26. Analysts anticipate a bullish trend for gold in the upcoming week. Economies.com projects that gold may test the $2,900 level as a key resistance point. Similarly, 30rates.com forecasts that gold prices could reach $2,923 by Thursday, February 13, 2025, and $2,941 by Friday, February 14, 2025. These projections are influenced by various factors, including geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties, which often drive investors toward safe-haven assets like gold. However, it’s important to note that market conditions can change rapidly. Therefore, it’s advisable to monitor real-time market updates and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KeN-WeNzEl
XAG/USD "Silver vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAG/USD "Silver vs US.Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2900.0) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest swing low level Using the 2H timeframe swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: -Bullish Thieves TP 33.6000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: The XAG/USD "Silver vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a neutral trend (but there is higher chance to bullishness in long term),., driven by several key factors. 🟡 Fundamental Analysis 1. Supply and Demand: Silver's demand is increasing due to its use in solar panels, electric vehicles, and other industrial applications. 2. Global Economic Trends: A potential global economic slowdown could increase demand for safe-haven assets like silver. 3. Mining Production: Silver mining production is expected to increase in the next few years, which could put downward pressure on prices. 🟢 Macroeconomic Factors 1. Inflation: The current inflation rate is 2.5%, which is within the target range of most central banks. A moderate inflation rate is positive for silver prices. 2. Interest Rates: The current interest rate environment is low, which is positive for silver prices. Low interest rates make it cheaper for investors to borrow money and invest in silver. 3. Global Economic Growth: The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, which is positive for silver prices. Investors tend to seek safe-haven assets like silver during times of economic uncertainty. 4. US Dollar Index: The US Dollar Index is currently at 97.50, which is relatively strong. A strong US dollar can put downward pressure on silver prices. ⚪ Technical Analysis 1. Trend: The current trend is bullish, with silver prices increasing by 10% in the last quarter. 2. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend. 🔴 Market Sentiment 1. Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors are 40% bullish, 30% bearish, and 30% neutral on silver. 2. Retail Sentiment: Retail investors are 50% bullish, 20% bearish, and 30% neutral on silver. 3. Market Mood: The overall market mood is cautious, with investors waiting for further economic data before making investment decisions. 🟤 COT Report 1. Non-Commercial Traders: 35% long, 65% short 2. Commercial Traders: 40% long, 60% short 3. Non-Reportable Traders: 25% long, 75% short 🔵 Positioning 1. Institutional Traders: 40% bullish, 30% bearish, 30% neutral 2. Banks: 35% bullish, 35% bearish, 30% neutral 3. Hedge Funds: 42% bullish, 28% bearish, 30% neutral 4. Corporate Traders: 30% bullish, 40% bearish, 30% neutral 5. Retail Traders: 50% bullish, 20% bearish, 30% neutral ⚫ Overall Outlook 1. Bullish: Silver prices are expected to increase due to increasing demand and a potential global economic slowdown. 2. Volatility: Silver prices are expected to be volatile, with potential price swings of 5-10% in the short-term. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SAXO:XAGUSD
by Thief_Trader
1
XAUUSD analysis for the weekLet’s craft a forward-looking analysis for XAU/USD (gold) based on plausible macroeconomic narratives, historical patterns, and potential catalysts. Keep in mind this is a speculative exercise—actual outcomes depend on unpredictable events. Key Factors Shaping XAU/USD 1. Federal Reserve Policy Bullish for Gold: Lower real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Risk: If the Fed pauses or signals a "higher for longer" stance due to sticky inflation, gold could face headwinds. 2. U.S. Dollar Dynamics A weaker USD (due to rate cuts or fiscal concerns, e.g., U.S. debt sustainability debates) would amplify gold’s appeal. A stronger USD (safe-haven demand during a global recession or Fed policy reversal) could pressure gold. 3. Global Recession Risks If major economies (EU, China) slide into recession, gold may rally as a safe haven, even if the USD strengthens temporarily. 4. Geopolitical Landscape U.S. Election Aftermath: Policy uncertainty post-2024 election (taxes, tariffs, fiscal spending) could drive volatility. New Conflicts: Escalation in Taiwan, Middle East, or Russia-NATO tensions would boost gold demand. 5. Central Bank Demand Continued diversification away from USD reserves (e.g., BRICS+ nations) may sustain structural gold buying. 6. Inflation Trends A resurgence of inflation (e.g., energy shocks, supply chain disruptions) would reignite gold’s role as an inflation hedge. Scenario 1: Bullish Rally (2900–3000) Catalysts: Fed cuts rates aggressively (150+ bps total) amid a U.S. growth slowdown. China’s property crisis spirals, triggering global risk-off sentiment. Middle East conflict disrupts oil flows, spiking inflation. Technical Outlook: A breakout above $3,000 (psychological barrier) could trigger algorithmic buying and FOMO momentum. Scenario 2: Bearish Correction (2800-2600) Catalysts: Fed halts cuts due to stubborn inflation (CPI rebounds to 3.5%+). USD surges as EU/Japan face deeper recessions. Central banks slow gold purchases, ETFs see outflows. Technical Outlook: A drop below $2,800 (hypothetical 2024 support) could trigger stop-loss cascades. Scenario 3: Sideways Churn (2750-2900) Catalysts: Markets digest conflicting data (mixed growth, moderate inflation). Geopolitical “cold wars” (U.S.-China tech/trade) persist without escalation. Technical Outlook: Range-bound action as bulls and bears await clarity. Strategic Takeaways Prepare for Volatility: Gold will react sharply to Fed policy shifts and geopolitical “surprises.” Watch the USD: A sustained DXY breakdown below 106 could turbocharge gold’s rally. Risk Management: Use options or trailing stops—gold’s moves could be exaggerated in thin liquidity. Final Note By February 2025, gold’s path will depend on how 2024’s unresolved macro risks (debt, inflation, elections) unfold. While the long-term bullish case for gold remains intact (debasement hedging, de-dollarization), short-term swings will hinge on Fed credibility. PLEASE BOOST US FOLLOW US AND SHARE OUR ANALYSIS
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing ema5 and price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2867 and a gap below at 2833. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2867 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2867 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2894 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2894 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2924 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2924 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2958 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2958 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2979 BEARISH TARGETS 2833 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2833 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2800 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2800 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2771 - 2743 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11