Gold market analysis: 17-MAR-2025Good morning! Happy New Week! Happy New Day! Here's your daily Gold market analysis. Learn, grow, and trade wisely.
Commodities
Gold Price Analysis: Potential Head and Shoulders Breakdownhello guys.
In the 30-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD), A head-and-shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a potential bearish reversal. The price is currently consolidating near the right shoulder, and if a breakout below the neckline occurs, it could lead to a further downside.
The volume profile indicates a strong support zone around $2,962 - $2,965, which aligns with a key liquidity area. As illustrated by the red arrows, the expected price action suggests a minor pullback before continuing toward this support zone.
Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions, with a target near the highlighted demand area.
USOIL Market Outlook – Key Levels and Scenarios📌 Market Structure
🔹 Key Support Zone (~64.50 - 65.30 USD)
The price has tested this area multiple times, highlighted by the red dashed line at the bottom.
A pronounced lower wick suggests a possible exhaustion of bearish pressure.
🔹 Intermediate Resistance (~68.20 - 70.00 USD)
The price has reacted to this zone, which appears to be a former support turned resistance.
Caution is needed for potential rejections in this range.
🔹 Liquidity and Wider Supply Zone (~75.00 - 80.00 USD)
This area, marked with red/purple gradients, represents a selling zone with a high concentration of orders.
The price could be drawn to this level if the bullish phase continues.
📉 Bearish Scenario
Failure to break above 68.20 - 70.00 USD could lead to a retest of 64.50 - 65.30 USD.
A breakdown below this level could open the way toward 62.40 - 60.00 USD.
📈 Bullish Scenario
A weekly close above 68.20 - 70.00 USD could trigger a recovery toward 75.00 - 77.00 USD.
A breakout above 80.00 USD would invalidate the long-term bearish structure.
🔎 Conclusion:
The price is currently at a critical stage around 68 USD, with potential for a pullback.
Monitoring the reaction between 65.30 - 68.20 USD will be key in determining the next direction.
Volume and macroeconomic factors (OPEC, oil inventories, Fed policies) will be crucial in confirming the trend.
Gold Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 2920 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2920 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USOILSPOT "WTI CRUDE OIL" Energy Market Heist Plan (Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Buy above (68.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to placing the Buy Stop Orders above the breakout Level (or) placing the Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe, Entry from the most Recent or Swing low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 30mins timeframe (66.00) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Primary Target - 70.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Secondary Target - 72.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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🛢️ USOILSPOT "WTI CRUDE OIL" Energy Market Heist Plan (Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict.
Before start the heist plan read it.👉👉👉
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Bearish Structure & Gap Fill Target📊 Crude Oil Market Analysis – Bearish Structure & Gap Fill Target 🚨
📉 Crude oil is showing a bearish candle structure, indicating potential downside.
🔄 Bearish Outlook:
✅ Key Target: Price could drop to $67.31 to fill the gap.
✅ Bearish Confirmation: As long as price remains below the bearish candle formations, the trend stays bearish.
✅ Reversal Trigger: A breakout above the bearish candle structure would invalidate the bearish setup.
📌 Until a breakout occurs, the trend remains bearish! Watch price action closely.
Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming? 📊 GOLD (XAU/USD) 1H Timeframe Analysis – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming? 🚀
📉 Gold is forming a possible Head & Shoulders pattern on the 1-hour chart.
🔄 Key Levels & Scenarios:
✅ Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the blue support zone, the next targets will be at the green line levels.
✅ Invalidation: If the price moves above the right shoulder, the bearish structure is invalidated, and we could see a bullish continuation.
📌 Watch for a confirmed breakout before taking a position!
Silver XAGUSD at Resistance—Will We See a Deep Pullback?In this video, we take a deep dive into silver (XAGUSD) and its recent price action. Silver has been in a strong bullish trend 📈, but it's important to consider the broader market context. The stock markets have caught a bid and are rallying after trading into key support zones, triggering a strong retracement. Given this correlation, silver could follow a similar path as it approaches resistance.
Currently, XAGUSD appears overextended on both the weekly and daily timeframes, suggesting the potential for a deeper pullback 🔄. If this scenario plays out, I’ll be watching for a 50% Fibonacci retracement 📐 as a key buying zone—provided that price action aligns with the criteria outlined in the video.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
WTI increased slightly and decreased rapidly, downtrend TVC:USOIL prices rose slightly by about 1% in Asian trading on Monday before falling sharply, largely due to the continued US military crackdown on Houthi militias.
US Pete Hegseth said on Sunday that the US military will continue to fight the Houthis until they stop attacking international shipping lanes. The US has previously conducted airstrikes in Yemen, causing casualties among Houthi fighters.
The Houthis have hinted that they could take stronger retaliatory actions, adding to market concerns that the situation in the Red Sea will continue to escalate.
While geopolitical tensions pushed oil prices higher, concerns about global economic growth limited gains.
Goldman Sachs analysts have lowered their oil price forecasts based on the following points:
• The Trump administration’s new tariffs on Mexico and Canada could restrict global trade and lead to lower-than-previously expected US economic growth.
• The slowdown in economic growth will lead to lower oil demand, and Goldman Sachs expects oil demand growth in the coming months to be lower than previously estimated by the market.
• OPEC+ supply could exceed expectations, and while the market is currently focused on the situation in the Middle East, overall supply remains relatively abundant.
• The market expects signs of a slowdown in the US economy to keep oil prices under pressure in the long term, although geopolitical factors could still support prices in the short term. In addition, the market is paying attention to the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on March 18-19. The market expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged while continuing to assess the impact of the Trump administration's policies on the economy. If the economic outlook continues to deteriorate, the possibility of the Federal Reserve adjusting its policy this year cannot be ruled out.
WTI Crude Oil Technical Outlook Analysis TVC:USOIL
On the daily chart, WTI crude oil is temporarily in the accumulation phase but with the current position and structure, the downtrend is still dominant with the short-term trend being noticed by the price channel, the medium-term by the price channel and the nearest pressure from the EMA21.
The recovery momentum of WTI crude oil is also limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level, and as long as crude oil fails to move above the EMA21 and break above the price channel, it still has a main bearish outlook.
In the short term, the downside target is around $65, the low since September 10, 2024, followed by the 0.786% Fibonacci extension. Notable positions for the WTI crude oil downside trend will be listed again as follows.
Support: $66.63 – $65.33
Resistance: $67.85 – $68.52 – $69.07
XAUUSD 30 min, 17/03/2025, 08:35 AM.XAUUSD is forming an Head & Shoulder Pattern in 30 min TF.
Once it break down this will be forming an Sell setup.
Target as mentioned, SL as per candle formation.
Sit on hands! Wait for Gold to reveal its move!Letting monday play out. We should get a better, clear move on Tuesday after price has moved to establish a low for the week. not trying to be to early to the party so we wait for now.
$QQQ WARNING! April Fool's Market a Joke this year at SUB $400Is this happening? I'm going to have to bet my money on yes. I have been doing this for a long time. Pattern Chart Trading . This has a high probability of happening imo. Is it absolute? Of course not. Is it better to be prepared? Absolutely. Now for the technicals of it.. I'm trying to do better with this...
If we take a bearish perspective on the fib from the previous high in December , and the most previous lower low mid January , we have ourselves at the 1.61 Golden Pocket below. I have a Bullish perspective if we hold here and move above the 1.00 Fib Level, mid January Lows at $499.70 . Last defense would be a 50% retracement to the .786 FIB at the $508 area. Currently, I expect a rally to the 50 day SMA for a retest, then a SLAM to $380s in April . This is the possibility. Take it with a Grain of Salt. The possibility is there. I have one Bullish outlook.. I will post after this...
#USOIL/WTI 1 DAYUSOIL/WTI (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently trading near a key support level, which has previously acted as a strong demand zone. Buyers may step in at this level, leading to a potential reversal or bounce.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity is expected if the price holds above the support level and shows signs of bullish momentum. Confirmation through price action, such as bullish candlestick patterns or increased volume, can strengthen the trade setup.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider buying near the support level if the price confirms a bounce.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the support level to manage downside risk.
- Take Profit: Target resistance levels or previous swing highs for potential gains.
Market Sentiment:
If the support level holds, the market sentiment may shift towards the upside, leading to a potential bullish move. However, a breakdown below support could indicate further weakness, requiring reassessment.
ZW! | InformativeCBOT:ZW1!
Buy at support and sell at resistance. This pattern has worked for over a year, and based on data analysis and trends, it will likely continue—easy profit.
GOLD Weekly Analysis over $3000! 🚀 Gold Hits Another All-Time High! 🚀
Gold reached yet another record high last week! This confirms that capital is still flowing into gold, reinforcing the strong uptrend. While prices may seem elevated, that doesn’t mean they can’t climb even higher!
After breaking this key level, a pullback could be on the horizon, presenting a potential opportunity to join the trend—if we spot the right entry. Last week, multiple setups formed around liquidity grab zones. If you caught one, well done! But don’t worry, more opportunities will come.
⚠️ Thinking of Shorting? ⚠️
Keep in mind, we’re in a price discovery phase with limited structure. Shorting here carries increased risk, so patience is key before considering any bearish positions.
📢 If you found this post valuable, give it a boost and drop a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Thank you! 🙌
Bullish bounce off pullback support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 65.73
1st Support: 63.22
1st Resistance: 71.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD Analysis: Bearish Reversal with Potential for Liquidity📉 XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) Analysis - 3H Chart
🌟 Shooting Star Pattern Detected: The market has formed a shooting star, a bearish reversal candlestick, signaling potential weakness at the top.
📍 Key Resistance Zone (Purple Box): Price action has been rejected from this area, showing strong selling pressure.
🔍 If Break Scenario: Should the price break below the 2,949 support zone (🔵), we can expect a bearish drop 📉 with potential liquidity grab before a pullback for a new all-time high (ATH) 🚀.
🧐 Market Sentiment: Bearish bias for now, but watch for a potential reversal after liquidity is swept.
✅ Trader's Tip: Wait for a clean break and retest before entering a short position. 🎯
Bullish momentum to extend?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 32.93
1st Support: 32.10
1st Resistance: 34.88
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2993 and a gap below at 2968. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2993
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3011
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3011 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3039
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3039 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3049
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3049 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3068
BEARISH TARGETS
2968
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2968 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2942
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2942 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2922 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2906 - 2886
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
#202511 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Weekly chart. First green week after 7 consecutive bear weeks. Astonishing eh. Weak bull bar anyhow and sideways is more likely than anything above 70, for now at least. We have now seen higher highs but the 2024-04 highs were not broken and market failed below 80. So the multi-year contraction is still valid. Same for the downside. Lows were not broken for now and bears would need to get below the 2024-09 low to make new ones.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 65 - 70
bull case: Bulls have nothing. Still. They need a daily close above 70 to start having arguments again. For now they just stopped new lows after 7 weeks and any bounce is likely to get sold again. Daily 20ema at 68.4 is their next target and above that they could try for 70. Since we made higher lows and lower highs last week, we are obviously in a triangle, which could break on Monday.
Invalidation is below 64.
bear case: Bears needed to take profits and reduce risk at these lows that were previous support. For now I see the chance of another leg down as very low so I don’t have many arguments for the bears. If we close strongly below 65, it opens up 64, then 62 but we have so many previous lows (support) down here, it’s just not a good short trade.
Invalidation is above 71.
short term: Neutral again. No shorts for me down here. Want to see either 70 or 63 next week.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: Bear trend is getting weaker but I still see this going sideways around 70 instead of a range expansion.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Minor adjustments to the trend lines.
WTI - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 64.000, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 79.361 breaks.
If the support at 64.000 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
TVC:USOIL BLACKBULL:WTI
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 79.355 on 01/15/2025, so more losses to support(s) 64.900 and minimum to Major Support (64.000) is expected.
Take Profits:
68.354
70.182
72.434
74.449
77.410
79.361
83.961
87.000
93.882
100.802
109.192
126.350
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Natural Gas | Oil | Dollar | Silver | Gold Price ForecastPrice Action, Pattern, and Trend Forecast |
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