World gold prices increasedSpeaking in an interview with the press hosted by the New York Times yesterday, Chairman of the US Federal Reserve (FED) - Jerome Powell - said the US economy is now stronger than when the FED started cutting interest rates in September.
According to Mr. Powell, the positive news is that the FED can be more careful in setting neutral interest rates - interest rates that do not promote or inhibit growth. However, the FED Chairman did not directly mention the FED's policy direction at the meeting from December 17 to 18. However, some analysts believe that the FED's interest rate reduction process may slow down.
Gold prices often react sensitively to changes in the FED's interest rate policy. When interest rates fall, the opportunity cost of holding gold - a non-interest-bearing asset - also decreases, increasing the appeal of gold as an investment channel. Conversely, if the Fed slows down in reducing interest rates or keeps interest rates at a higher level than expected, this could reduce demand for gold, leading to downward pressure on prices.
🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 2643 - 2645🔥
💵 TP1: 2655
💵 TP2: 2665
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2637
Commodities
XPT/ USD "PLATINUM" Metals Market Heist PlanHola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist XPT/ USD "PLATINUM" Metals Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Prolonged accumulation, GOLD may need impact from NFP dataOn the Asian market on Thursday (December 5), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery maintained a moderate decrease during the day, gold prices are currently down to about 2,645 USD/ounce as of the time this article was completed.
In terms of economic data on Wednesday, data from the ADP Research Institute and the Stanford Digital Economy Lab showed that the number of private sector jobs in the United States increased by 146,000 in November, less than expected. This number is expected to be 163,000.
The ADP report shows mixed job growth across industries. The education, health care and construction sectors led the gains, while manufacturing employment had its biggest decline in more than a year. Hiring is also lower in the financial services and entertainment industries, according to data from the ADP Research Institute.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell participated in an exclusive interview with the "DealBook Summit" hosted by the New York Times on Wednesday. On monetary policy, he said at the meeting that policymakers may remain cautious about cutting interest rates further.
Regarding the US economy, Powell said the current situation is "very good" with falling inflation and relatively low unemployment. Powell noted that the US economy was stronger than expected in September, allowing the Fed to be more cautious in cutting interest rates.
Powell said that although inflation has not yet fully returned to the Fed's 2% target, there is no reason the economy cannot continue to grow.
New news of a ceasefire in the Middle East has affected the safe-haven asset OANDA:XAUUSD
Israel has made a new proposal to Hamas regarding a ceasefire in Gaza, including a request to release some of the remaining 100 people detained by Hamas, Axios News reported this morning (Thursday).
Israeli officials say Israel hopes the killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, a ceasefire in Lebanon and pressure from US President-elect Donald Trump will create an opportunity to resume negotiations that have been deadlocked for three months. recently.
According to the report, Israeli officials revealed that the updated agreement framework mentioned above was reached after a meeting between Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and several senior ministers and heads of security agencies on the 1st of this month. . The new plan is similar to the principles discussed previously, but has some adjustments and is subject to adjustment and negotiation.
Israeli officials say Hamas has shown more flexibility and begun implementing parts of the agreement.
There are still 100 hostages being held in Gaza, including 7 Americans. The Israel Defense Forces believe that between 40 and 50 hostages are still alive.
Gold is a risk-on haven asset, so if the market has less risk of conflict or geopolitical tensions it will become less attractive.
Next event
The next big event will be the November US nonfarm payrolls report on Friday.
Surveys show US nonfarm payroll employment is expected to increase by 214,000 in November, up from 12,000 in October.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, the accumulation phase of gold prices continues to last with increasingly narrower amplitudes without any sudden waves to create a short-term trend.
With the current position, it is difficult to distinguish which possibility gold is leaning more towards compared to yesterday's trading day. With price activity moving around the EMA21 and Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.618% and the technical point of 2,644USD. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is also at 50, not going above or below this level. Taken together with the current position, gold is still neutral in the medium and short term.
Meanwhile, a short-term bearish cycle has the opportunity to open if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci level then the target level is about 2,606 USD in the short term, more than 2,600 USD.
During the day, gold is currently in a neutral position, but in the long term, the falling price channel is still the main trend and notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,663USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2681 - 2679⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2685
→Take Profit 1 2674
↨
→Take Profit 2 2669
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2599 - 2601⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2595
→Take Profit 1 2606
↨
→Take Profit 2 2611
XAUUSD need to be careful Liquidity is extremely strong in this area, creating a high probability for price to move both up and down to trigger all stop-losses before continuing the downward trend.
What we expect:
The price breaks this box to the upside, grabs liquidity from the minor high, and then resumes the downward movement, aligning with the overall bearish trend for gold.
This scenario highlights the importance of staying cautious and planning trades carefully around these key levels.
Gold → Consolidation. One more step to distribution...OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuating slightly due to high risk ahead of the news. Meanwhile, at this moment, strong momentum is forming. The price is consolidating within a local range. Previously, the price broke through the local ascending support...
Ahead of economic data, traders are consolidating. Volatility is decreasing, and the market is not yet ready to take risks. Investors' attention will shift to the private sector employment report, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech, and the non-farm payroll report. Currently, the market is pricing in a 69% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 17-18 meeting.
Since there is no clear trend in the market and the price is within a channel, we will consider trading from its borders. Therefore, a false breakout of the key resistance level could trigger a drop to the support of the range.
RBOB post tariff structure and range to take advantage of!Hi guys today we are starting off with RBOB , which has been quiet for the past month and it has been trading in a structured range between 2.05 as a high resistance and 1.92 / 1.94 as strong support. As of today we are currently sitting at the given support line of 1.92 and the latest news which came from President Trump that he will impose tariffs on Canadian and Mexican Imports , which would probably impact and touch the Oil Industry. The U.S. imports 4M barrels of Crude Oil every single day from Canada and around 900-1M barrels of Oil Crude Oil from Mexico. These tariffs would definitely touch the consumer as a long term which would give us a boost into the overall demand / supply play around the prices of Petroleum Products.
Current entry RBOB (Gasoline)
1.9300 entry level, with two separate targets.
Target 1: 1.9755
Target 2: 2.0310
The strategy can be repeated after the targets are touched with a patient retracement of the lower support line and input similar targets.
Gold: Maintaining Downward Momentum
Gold Technical Analysis
The price recently tested resistance at 2651 before retreating.
Today, the price is expected to consolidate within the range of 2647 to 2638, showing bearish momentum. For the bullish trend to resume, the price must stabilize above 2647 by closing 4h candle above it, targeting 2661 as the next resistance. Conversely, as long as the price trades below 2647 and 2638, the trend is likely to remain bearish, with potential declines toward 2623 and 2612.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2647
Resistance Levels: 2661, 2678, 2706
Support Levels: 2625, 2612, 2585
Trend Outlook
Uptrend: Bullish momentum is expected if the price holds above 2649.
Bearish Momentum: Dominant as long as the price remains below 2647.
XAUUSD- SENSTIVE SITUATION WITH BEARISH MOMENTUM Gold Technical Analysis
The price is consolidating between 2637 and 2649, with stability above 2649 which is bullish toward 2661 and 2678,
Otherwise closing 1h or 4h candle below 2637 will support bearish toward 2624
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2637
Resistance Levels: 2649, 2661, 2678
Support Levels: 2625, 2612, 2585
Trend Outlook
Uptrend: Bullish momentum is expected if the price holds above 2649.
Bearish Momentum: Dominant as long as the price remains below 2647 and especially 2638.
Gold AnalysisOn the daily timeframe, we anticipate a downward movement in gold to the 2580 level. Upon reaching the daily ascending trendline, a price rebound toward the 2670 range and interaction with the 4-hour descending trendline is not unexpected.
This analysis is brought to you by the FXonbit Traders Team
Potential bullish rise?XAG/USD has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.68
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 30.056
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 32.02
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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NaturalGas enters resistance zone. H4 25.11.2024⛽️ NaturalGas enters resistance zone 📉
On gas the price has entered the zone of strong resistance 3.51-3.63 from which I expect a new exit of the price down. Now on the comeback a false break above is possible, but in general the zone for selling is strong. I aim for a bounce down to 3.0 and 3.15, and there will clarify. The main support is near 3.0 and there is the boundary of the ascending channel from which they can bounce up again.
FX:NGAS
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea delivered the goods with our weighted retracement level providing support and bounce like we highlighted.
We were once again able to buy dips inline with our plans with the movement from 2631 to 2647. However, now we have ema5 cross and lock above 2647 opening the range above.
We have been in a similar play range all week with both ranges below and above now left open. This is typical of ranging market conditions and as always our strategy to buy dips from our weighted levels allows us to navigate the traps and secure the pips.
Our lower weighted levels are in place for bounces inline with our plans, should we see a failure to fill the gap above and see a drop below.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2713
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2733
BEARISH TARGETS
2647 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2609 - 2592
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Technical Outlook for Gold Price (XAUUSD) 4/12/2024 Technical Outlook for Gold Price (XAUUSD)
On the daily chart, gold remains in a prolonged consolidation phase, with price action mainly hovering around the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA21) and the technical level of 2,644 USD.
Although gold has recovered from the previous decline, the overall picture still leans towards a bearish scenario, with the main trend being defined by the price channel (a). Additionally, pressure continues from the EMA21, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 mark. These factors create conditions for a bearish trend.
As long as gold stays within the price channel (a), its technical outlook remains biased towards a downward trend, and any upward movements should be considered short-term corrections.
On the other hand, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, it could continue to decline towards the next target range around 2,606–2,600 USD. Furthermore, a new bearish cycle would begin if gold drops below the key level of 2,600 USD.
For the day, the bearish technical outlook for gold is highlighted by the following key levels:
Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600 USD
Resistance: 2,644 – 2,663 USD
Spot Crude Oil Energies Market Heist PlanHola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist Spot Crude Oil Energies Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
SWING IDEA - RATNAMANI MET AND TUBRatnamani Metals & Tubes, a leading manufacturer of stainless steel and carbon steel welded pipes and tubes, is showing a potential swing trade setup with several bullish technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
3800 Zone Break Out : The 3800 level has acted as a strong resistance zone. The price is now breaking through this level, signaling the possibility of a continued upward move.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candle indicates strong buying interest, suggesting momentum may continue.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages, indicating overall bullish strength and long-term trend support.
Intact Trend : The broader trend remains intact, indicating that the current momentum is in line with the stock’s longer-term trajectory.
Gradual Increase in Volumes : A steady rise in volumes adds confirmation to the breakout, showing strong market participation in this move.
Target - 4270 // 4800
Stoploss - daily close below 3400
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