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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-04: Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will run into resistance in early trading and roll downward at some point after reaching resistance. I see the markets opening much higher this morning as the SPY/QQQ are both broadly rallying overnight. This type of GAP UP opening often leads to the identification of price resistance and a rollover topping formation where price attempts to trail downward to fill the GAP. The concept that my SPY Cycle Patterns new this was likely many months before today's price action happens is rather unique. And this is why I love my SPY Cycle Patterns. The is no other place where you can attempt to clearly see into the future like using my SPY Cycle Patterns. Gold and Silver are still struggling today - but should attempt to make a rally move higher over the next 5+ trading days. Until we break above the Flag High level, Gold and Silver are trapped in a sideways price range. Bitcoin is also trapped in a sideways price range after reaching recent highs. As I warn in this video - be prepared for very unusual price action and events over the next 30+ days. I believe we are about to see some very unusual political and economic events play out. Keep a healthy CASH reserve and trade small quantities right now. Better to protect cash than to risk it on unknowns right now. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
OIL: Day 3, market in breakoutLooking at this chart, I can see a great potential to complete a 2 weeks dump and pump scenario, which it can end up today with the OIL major red new on calendar at 10:30am NYT. But let's analyse this market, trying to understand what and why specific moves can happen. Starting from the last week, Monday was a dump day and Tuesday slightly expanded the range to the downside. Most of the week just consolidated down low without achieving to push the price lower, and Friday it was the first time in the week where we could see the market pushing higher, breaking the high of day. It doesn't necessary mean that something was going to change in the market, but for sure now also long breakout traders are involved. Friday as well, closed in breakout short, placing the new low of week. Monday starts the new week and we could see the price retesting the LOW, is now important to understand the behaviour of price once the market reaches levels of interests and this double bottom formation into the previous LOW it may locks the low for the entire week. Tuesday typically expands the range, which it happened and closed in breakout long. Today, the market looks like coiling into the current high of day/how of week and I won't be surprise to see a parabolic move! I currently have a better long thesis pushing up back into the previous HOW, however, I cannot guess how the market will behave during the NY session. I cannot exclude that price can break down starting a reversal process during Thursday and Friday. For the long view I would like to see the market coiling into once of these level marked For the short view I would like to see a market breaking down, pumping back up into the HOD during NY session for a short scalp trade. I will update the post during the day :) Have a good trade and for any question feel free to ask!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE
by GianniPichichero
9
Markets Slowing Down Ahead of NFP, What To Lookout ForHey There, The dollar has been in demand so far this week, boosted by it being seen as a safe-haven amid political turmoil in both South Korea and Europe as well as ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine. With France’s government facing “No Confidence votes” that could spell the end of the short-lived administration of Prime Minister Michael Barnier, pushing the country into uncharted waters of political chaos. Gold Prices rose marginally as political turmoil in South Korea spurred some safe haven demand along with fears of a collaps in the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire. However, trades continue to remain on the sidelines amid anticipation for more cues on U.S interest rates. But any gains in gold were largely limited by a spike in the dollar as it soared on uncertainty over the long term outlook for U.S rates.
by DeanMuller
4
WTI OIL Bullish break-out to $76 imminent.WTI Oil (USOIL) is so far following our last call (November 26, see chart below) on high precision as, after once last pull-back to the Support Zone, it is now rebounding: As you can see now on this 1D chart, the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) today but based on the other 2 November attempts, even a candle close above it doesn't translate into a sustainable break-out. Contrary to that, however, those 2 attempts weren't supported by a 1D RSI Higher Lows base similar to September's. As you can see that same pattern was that initiated the rebound on the Support Zone that broke above the 1D MA50 and extended even above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and tested the bottom of the 4-month Resistance Zone. As a result, our $76.00 Target remains intact, which is marginally above the 0.786 Fib and projected to be just below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
1
US OIL Trade Log USOIL Short Position Analysis Technical Indicators : - 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG): Current price is within the 1-hour FVG, indicating a potential short entry point. - MACD Divergence: A bearish divergence between the MACD indicator and price action suggests weakening upward momentum. - Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Divergence: Bearish CVD divergence indicates increasing selling pressure despite rising prices. - Ichimoku Kijun Levels: Price is above the 1H, 4H, and daily Kijun lines, placing it in a relative premium zone, which may precede a downward correction. Fundamental Factors : - Fear Premium: Recent price increases are attributed to geopolitical tensions, such as conflicts in the Middle East, leading to a 'fear premium' in oil prices. - Bearish Macro Outlook: Rising U.S. oil inventories and weak global demand projections, especially from China, suggest a bearish outlook for oil prices. Trade Parameters : - Position: Short USOIL - Entry: Within the 1H FVG at current market price. - Risk Management: - Risk per Trade: 1% of trading capital - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Fondera
3
XAUUSD - China, still buying gold?!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. The continuation of the movement of gold depends on the failure or failure of this channel, and you can trade in that direction. In case of breaking the bottom of the channel, we can see the continued decline and see the demand zone and buy within that range with the appropriate risk reward. Maintaining the channel has paved the way for gold to rise to the supply zone, and gold can be sold within that zone. Recent credible research analyzing undisclosed purchases since May 2024 confirms that China has been secretly buying gold. A recent analysis has validated long-held suspicions that, since the beginning of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, China has been a significant and covert buyer of gold beyond officially reported levels. Goldman Sachs had previously hinted at such activity, and new findings by the analyst at Money Metals further substantiate this claim. According to the report, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) discreetly purchased approximately 60 tons of gold in September alone. This trend has been ongoing since May 2024, with evidence suggesting a drawdown from London reserves dating back to May this year. While the PBOC has not reported any gold purchases since April, Goldman Sachs’ NowCast data estimates that around 50 tons of institutional gold purchases were conducted by China in May through the over-the-counter (OTC) market in London. This strategy is not unique to China. Other nations, such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia, also employ similar tactics to accumulate gold discreetly while avoiding price spikes. The covert nature of these transactions reflects their intent to bolster reserves while maintaining low market prices. One market analyst has cautioned investors hoping for a Christmas rally in gold prices to proceed with caution, as recent volatility may signal a peak in prices, at least for this year. Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, noted in his latest report that gold has consistently experienced price increases in December over the past seven years. However, he warned that while recent price corrections might attract bargain hunters in the final month of 2024, gold’s current high prices remain a risk factor. In his note, Hansen stated that the greatest challenge is the 28.3% rise in gold prices this year, bringing it close to the 29.6% growth seen in 2010 and 31% in 2007. While the fundamental supportive outlook for 2025 remains intact, such significant growth could prompt profit-taking and position adjustments before the year ends. Hansen predicted that while gold may struggle to achieve new highs in December, his outlook for 2025 remains bullish, with prices expected to reach $3,000 in the new year. He added that geopolitical uncertainties will continue to support the precious metal as a safe haven. At the same time, the introduction of new trade tariffs on U.S. imports next year is generally perceived as a positive factor for the U.S. dollar. However, the side effects of a stronger dollar could ripple through the global economy, particularly affecting countries reliant on dollar-denominated debt, commodity trade, and export-driven growth. This dynamic might sustain interest in alternative investments like gold and silver. Hansen further emphasized that Trump’s plans for tariffs, tax cuts, and immigration policies could exacerbate inflation and debt—two key risks that gold investors seek to hedge against.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Ali_PSND
GOLD → Consolidation. Which way will the momentum go?FX:XAUUSD in consolidation phase. The market is nervous because of misunderstanding of further actions in anticipation of news. What to expect and what can happen? The US labor market is stronger than expected, but the dollar remained cold amid expectations of more important news. At the moment, there is a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut. But, the dollar is still in demand due to the unstable geopolitical background. At the moment gold depends on the US employment data, ADP and Powell's speech Bad employment data may increase the probability of further Fed rate cuts in 2025. And vice versa. But, this background is unlikely to create a medium-term potential for gold..... Also, in the perspective of NFP... Technically, gold is in consolidation and the price exit from the flag boundaries may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The probability of a further fall is a little higher... Resistance levels: 2651, 2660 Support levels: 2636, 2618 Gold continues to test the support 2636, which only increases the probability of a breakdown and further fall. But on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance before a further fall Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
3
GOLD Will Go Down! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,641.783. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,628.904 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Copper - Markets await employment data!In the 4H timeframe, copper is located between EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its descending channel. Copper moved down from the supply zone of the previous analysis. If the upward trend continues, it is possible to sell copper in the next supply zone. The downward correction of copper will provide us with the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward The governor of the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has stated that the central bank will maintain its accommodative monetary policy in 2025. The bank also aims to promote sustainable development in the real estate and capital markets through effective utilization of structural monetary policy tools. Meanwhile, the United States has imposed new export restrictions designed to curtail China’s ability to advance its high-tech semiconductor industry and slow the development of military applications for artificial intelligence (AI). In response, the China Internet Association has expressed that these restrictions will significantly harm the healthy and sustainable growth of China’s internet industry. The association has also urged domestic companies to exercise caution when purchasing American chips and to seek expanded cooperation with chip manufacturers from other countries. In a retaliatory move, China’s Ministry of Commerce has announced a ban on exporting key rare earth metals to the U.S. and is considering stricter reviews for graphite exports. These raw materials are critical for industries such as semiconductors, military systems, electric vehicle batteries, and solar technologies. The ongoing trade tensions between the two nations could have far-reaching consequences for both sides. In the U.S., it is anticipated that November’s employment figures will reflect recovery after being weighed down by recent storms and a major strike.This aligns with a labor market that remains healthy but is gradually normalizing. According to a Bloomberg survey, nonfarm payrolls (NFP) likely increased by 200,000 in November, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. As the Boeing strike ends and recovery efforts from recent storms begin, November’s job report is expected to be less affected by unusual factors. However, a consistent decline in job openings, moderate employment growth, and layoff plans from companies like Boeing and General Motors indicate a softer labor market overall. These developments, along with Friday’s employment data, could significantly influence future Federal Reserve policy decisions and market expectations for interest rate cuts. The Wall Street Journal reports that the U.S. construction industry is facing new challenges. The Trump administration’s immigration and trade policies have left homebuilders in a vulnerable position. New tariffs and restrictions on immigrant labor are two key pressures confronting the industry. For instance, McKinney, Texas, which two decades ago was accessible only via a two-lane highway, has now grown to a city of over 200,000 residents, becoming one of the fastest-growing areas in the country. This city’s development has relied heavily on immigrant labor and industries dependent on imported steel and commodities. However, recent policies are imposing new challenges, leaving homebuilders grappling with even greater difficulties.
CAPITALCOM:COPPERLong
by Ali_PSND
9
XAUUSD: Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2653, support below 2622 Gold operation suggestions: Gold rose and fell in the volatile trading yesterday, and was repeatedly pulled. The price of the Asian and European sessions stabilized and rebounded slightly based on the 2634 mark. The European session broke through the 2650 mark and fell into a volatile range. The US session gold price rose again and broke through the 2655 line under pressure and fell, and finally closed at around 2640. From the current 4-hour line trend analysis, we focus on the 2652-2655 line suppression above, and the 2622 line short-term support below. The focus is on the next level of support of 2606-2612, and keep participating in the operation. BUY:2634near BUY:2623near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2717.733.Colleagues, the previous forecast is still active, but I decided to make a new one to show in more detail what exactly is going on. I believe that the price is in a five-wave upward movement and now we are expecting a lower and middle-order wave “3”. Therefore, I believe that the upward movement will continue and the price will reach the level of 2717.733. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
1
Gold “sideways” ahead of important Fed speechGold prices (XAU/USD) maintained a positive trend for the second consecutive day on Wednesday but remained confined within a familiar range. Investors appeared cautious, awaiting clearer signals on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut trajectory before making decisions. The focus now shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later today and the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. These events will significantly impact monetary policy decisions and the short-term outlook for gold. Personal opinion: Recently, prices have been trading in a narrow range, signaling a consolidation phase after last week’s downtrend. The recent break below the four-day ascending channel supports the bears, but any drop below $2,622-2,621 could find solid support near $2,600. On the upside, the $2,655 and $2,666 levels are immediate resistance. A break above $2,678 could push prices toward the $2,700 mark. However, a sustained move beyond the strong resistance zone at $2,721-2,722 is needed to open the door for significant gains. Pay attention to price range: SELL ZONE: 2655 - 2657 SL: 2672 BUY ZONE: 2637 - 2635 SL: 2630 BUY ZONE: 2627 - 2625 SL: 2620
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
Will an upcoming supply delay from OPEC+ boost the oil price?Macro theme: - The US sanctions on 35 entities tied to a top-exporter Middle East country supported oil prices. - OPEC+ reportedly considers a three-month delay in output hikes, easing fears of oversupply ahead of Thu's decision. - Meanwhile, according to API data, US crude inventories rose by 1.232 mln barrels last week, following a 5.935 mln-barrel drop the week prior. Technical theme: - USOIL is between both EMAs, indicating a consolidating structure. The price is trading within the range of 66.80-71.80, awaiting an apparent breakout. - If USOIL breaks above 71.80, it may prompt a continuation to retest the subsequent resistance at 77.00. - On the contrary, closing below 66.80 may prompt a test of the previous swing low at 65.00. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by DatTong
Gold prices on the international market increased slowlyGold prices in the international market increase slowly due to large selling pressure every time gold moves up and the USD strengthens as Donald Trump's US presidency approaches. Gold prices increased again mainly because of the previous strong downward adjustment and investors still expect a long-term upward trend of this precious metal product when the US and the world are entering a down cycle. interest rates to support economic growth. It is expected that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will reduce interest rates by another 0.25 percentage points at the December meeting and will reduce them several more times in 2025 and the bottom may fall in early 2026. When the Fed reduces interest rates interest rates, the USD will theoretically depreciate. The prospect of a weaker USD has clearly decreased with new moves from Mr. Donald Trump. However, when countries step up pumping money and Mr. Trump also wants to intervene in the Fed to gain an advantage in trade, inflation in the US as well as around the world may escalate. This is a factor that is beneficial for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Bullish bounce?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 69.74 1st Support: 68.18 1st Resistance: 71.65 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 30.69 1st Support: 29.80 1st Resistance: 31.51 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAGUSDLong
by ICmarkets
GOLD is stable, trading day with lots of big data and eventsOn the Asian market on Wednesday (December 4), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable, gold price is currently around 2,644 USD/ounce. In New York trading on Tuesday, gold hit a daily high as South Korea's martial law boosted safe-haven demand. South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue gave an emergency speech at the Yongsan Presidential Office in Seoul on Tuesday evening local time and issued an emergency martial law order. After this news arrived, spot gold soared to 2,655.64 USD/ounce. Gold prices then gave up gains when South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue announced the lifting of martial law. As of the end of Tuesday, spot gold increased 0.2%, closing at 2,643.38 USD/ounce. On this trading day, there are multiple event risks in the US, including the ADP employment report, ISM services PMI, Federal Reserve Begie Book and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech . Among them, the ADP jobs report and Powell's speech attracted the most attention. Today (Wednesday), US ADP employment change data for November will be released. This data is known as “small non-farm” and is expected to create a significant impact in the market. Surveys show that US ADP employment is expected to increase by 150,000 in November. Previously, US ADP employment increased by 233,000 in October. On the same day, the US ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) for November will be published and is expected to be 55.5. Fed President St. Louis Mussallem will give a speech. On Thursday, the Federal Reserve will release Begie Bôk on economic conditions. On Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will be invited for an interview at the DealBook/Summit conference hosted by the New York Times. In his final speech in November, Powell said the Fed was in no rush to cut interest rates, citing a solid job market and inflation remaining above its 2% target. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is still in a state of prolonged accumulation with price activity mainly sticking around the 21-day moving average (EMA21) and the technical point of 2,644USD. Although gold has recovered after the previous decline, the overall picture is still inclined to decrease in price with the main trend from the price channel, on the other hand, pressure is still created from EMA21 along with activity. of the Relative Strength Index RSI remains below 50. These factors provide gold with conditions for a bearish trend. As long as gold remains within the price channel, its technical outlook remains tilted to the downside and rallies should be considered short-term recoveries. On the other hand, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level it will likely continue to decline to a subsequent target of around $2,606 – $2,600. In addition, a new bearish cycle will be opened once gold is sold below the original price of 2,600 USD. During the day, the bearish technical outlook for gold will be noticed by the following points. Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600USD Resistance: 2,663USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2681 - 2679⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2685 →Take Profit 1 2674 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2669 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2599 - 2601⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2595 →Take Profit 1 2606 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2611
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading