Gold long-time analysis, bull run is coming.The possibility of a global recession
Successive increase in interest rates in all economies of the world and imposing costs on economies.
Political tensions (Ukraine/Taiwan/Iran)
Printing money without backing(just see USM2 chart).
Inefficiency of the crypto market.
Commodities
GOLD - $3,000 is a Magnet!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After recording a new all-time high this week, GOLD has been surging in a parabolic manner.
🎯 Next target? The $3,000 round number is lining up perfectly with the upper bound of the rising channel marked in red.
🏹Meanwhile , every bearish correction would be an opportunity to look for trend-following longs, targeting the $3,000 mark.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Rally Continues
With a yesterday's strong bullish movement, Silver
broke and closed above a key daily resistance cluster.
Watching how strong is the bullish momentum today,
I think that the market will continue rising.
Next resistance - 3440
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Silver Holds Near $33.80 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Provide SupportSilver edged lower to approximately $33.80 during early Asian trading on Friday, losing momentum. However, the downside may remain limited, as softer U.S. consumer and producer inflation data could provide room for the Federal Reserve to consider an interest rate cut in June, offering some support for the metal.
Additionally, concerns over U.S. President Donald Trump's protectionist policies potentially pushing the world's largest economy into a recession could further support silver's appeal.
If silver breaks above $34.00, the next resistance levels are $34.85 and $35.00. On the downside, support is at $33.80, with further levels at $33.15 and $32.75 if selling pressure increases.
XAUUSD: 14/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000-3030, support below 2950
Four-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2950
One-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2980
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, we focus on the one-hour level 2980 and four-hour level 2950 first-line support below, and focus on the 3000 integer level break above. If the strength is strong, we will see the first-line pressure near 3030. In terms of operation, we can follow the trend to step back on the one-hour and four-hour support. The intraday price above 2950 is still in the bullish strong area and the target is to see a new high.
Buy: 2980near SL: 2975
Buy: 3000near SL: 2995
XAUUSD Showing Strength on the 4H Chart📈 XAUUSD Gold 🟡 has been demonstrating strong resilience, maintaining a clear bullish trend on this 4H timeframe. Price action continues to align with an upward trajectory, with my target set at the previous high marked on the chart 🎯.
A pullback is expected, potentially offering an opportunity to enter at a discount before a continuation toward the target zone 🚀.
⚠️ Not financial advice—always manage risk appropriately!
GOLD nears $3,000 as trade tensions escalateOANDA:XAUUSD have surged to an all-time high, just shy of the key $3,000-an-ounce mark as global trade tensions and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut push them closer to a record high. They have risen nearly 14% this year, following a 27% gain in 2024.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Donald Trump on Thursday threatened to impose 200% tariffs on wine, champagne and other alcoholic beverages from France and the rest of the European Union, marking a further escalation in global trade tensions.
Trump tweeted Thursday that he would impose import tariffs if the European Union continues to impose duties on U.S. whiskey exports. The EU's move is in retaliation for Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs that took effect on Wednesday.
Trump also had harsher words for the European Union. The EU has been one of the United States' closest allies for decades. Trump posted on his Truth Social platform: "The European Union is one of the most hostile and abusive tax and tariff organizations in the world, and their sole purpose is to take advantage of the United States. They just put a disgusting 50% tariff on whiskey. If this tariff is not removed immediately, the United States will soon put a 200% tariff on all wine, champagne and spirits coming from France and other EU member states. This will be a tremendous boon to the American wine and champagne industry."
Trump’s trade policy changes have boosted the price of gold, an asset favored by investors during times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
In addition, the Wall Street Journal reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin had rejected plans for an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine, which also contributed to the safe-haven buying of gold.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said Thursday that Russia will not agree to an immediate end to fighting in Ukraine and called for further discussions on ending the war permanently, The Wall Street Journal reported. Moscow’s military is now advancing rapidly, aiming to push Ukrainian troops out of the Kursk region. Putin said any ceasefire at this stage would be in Ukraine’s interests because Russia is winning on the battlefield and there are many issues that need to be resolved before a ceasefire can be reached.
SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, said its holdings rose to 907.82 tonnes on February 25, the highest since August 2023. Meanwhile, data from China's central bank showed China bought gold for a fourth straight month in February.
Over the weekend, data on US consumer confidence and inflation expectations will be less in the spotlight than tariffs and geopolitical headlines.
For economic data, readers can find more details in the signature section through brief comments during the day.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is down slightly year-to-date after approaching the important raw price level of $3,000.
The current correction is also not significant as the uptrend will still dominate the chart with the price channel as the nearest support at present, the main support is noted by the EMA21 and the other support is the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has not yet risen above the overbought zone, indicating that there is still room for upside.
Intraday, as long as gold remains above the price channel and the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level, its main short-term outlook remains bullish. Even if gold falls below the aforementioned support area, it remains in an overall bullish trend, so the current declines should be viewed as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity.
Next, the target will be the full price point of $3,000 in the short term and more at the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level.
The notable positions for the day are listed as follows.
Support: $2,977 – $2,956
Resistance: $3,000 – $3,021
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3037 - 3035⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3041
→Take Profit 1 3029
↨
→Take Profit 2 3023
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2949 - 2951⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2945
→Take Profit 1 2957
↨
→Take Profit 2 2963
Wheaton precious Metals can push on to $90It could be a HOT summer for the gold and silver bugs
And the speculators in the mining sector!
WPM ( formerly Silver Wheaton #SLW)
Has a broken out of a inverse head and shoulders
Two targets provided
Also important to note this inv head and shoulders is a continuation pattern not a bottom pattern.
Silver (XAG/USD) Analysis: Ready for the Next Move?Welcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic , and today we're diving into an analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) on the 1-hour time frame to spot potential long and short triggers.
🔮 Daily Time Frame Insight
XAG/USD remains bullish on the daily chart as we’re consistently printing higher lows, maintaining the overall uptrend. Given the current economic and geopolitical tensions, caution is essential, but the bullish structure remains intact, so we can still anticipate further upward movement.
📈1-Hour Time Frame & Long Trigger
In the 1-hour time frame, the bullish momentum is clearly visible. Pullbacks are lengthy with large candles, while uptrends are sharp with smaller, more concentrated candles. This pattern indicates strong buying interest when momentum picks up.
Our primary long trigger will be a break above the 4-hour resistance at 33.00237 . Additionally, if the RSI re-enters the overbought zone during the breakout, it will add more confirmation and confidence to the long position, allowing us to increase our risk slightly.
📉 Short Trigger
For short setups, I’ll wait for a clear break of the support at 31.92637 , which also coincides with the previous low. If the downward move is sharp and decisive, this could signal a potential short entry. Until then, I’ll stay on the sidelines for shorts, as the overall trend remains bullish.
Let me know your thoughts and ideas on XAG/USD! 💬 Drop any questions in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss them. Let’s grow together, not alone! 🔥
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,990.27
1st Support: 2,955.64
1st Resistance: 3,004.91
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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GOLD PLAYGROUND AROUND $3000-$3100? FED SPEECH NEXT WEEK!!!GOLD currently trade at $2987 when i write this idea. GOLD bullish momentum started when CPI data released followed by PPI data. Both of data show inflation slowdown. Last Tuesday, job opening data also showed us a neutral level and we can conclude that the labor market is still in slow pace. A week ago NFP also showed us weak data and slow down in labor market. Fundamentally, this labor market slow down and inflation that coming up in a lower level will give THE FED to cut rate in the next May or June.
Besides all that the trade war still heating up and there is no clear way how to end the geopolitical war in Russia - Ukraine and also Middle East. Traders seems just make early entry and buying GOLD as safe haven commodity and assume THE FED will cost lower borrowing rate.
Technically, GOLD just broke it's resistance trendline on symmetrical triangle pattern. It's just indicates that bullish movement of this instrument still going on and we don't know where it will stop. I see $3032 as the next level if $2986-$2987 broke up.
Is there any surprises in the next week? IF THE FED revised it's Federal Fund Rate to 3.4% or lower i see GOLD will play at $3000-$3100 for a few next month
Do you have any opinion guys?? Just give your comments below!
GOLD → Strong consolidation. What’s Next?OANDA:XAUUSD is consolidating within the 2926 - 2890 range. The overall market remains bullish, but there are signs of short-selling or pre-news selling ahead of the major economic data release scheduled for Wednesday.
Accordingly, the market is eagerly awaiting U.S. inflation and employment data, which could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s next move. Despite a weaker dollar and rising expectations of monetary easing, Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains cautious, signaling a measured approach to policy adjustments.
Meanwhile, gold demand remains strongly supported by China as the country ramps up its purchases. Additionally, growing concerns over stagflation in the U.S. further strengthen gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. However, traders are keeping a close watch on upcoming economic reports and the potential impact of China's tariffs on U.S. goods, which could introduce further market volatility.
The key focus now is 2926, where price action is shaping a potential accumulation phase before a breakout. If price stabilizes above this resistance, it could trigger a significant bullish impulse, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
However, a major challenge remains—if the price accelerates too quickly toward resistance, the risk of a false breakout increases. In such a scenario, the market may pull back to 2890 to test liquidity zones, ensuring structural confirmation before making a legitimate move back toward 2926 and beyond.
What are your thoughts on gold?
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Blood Moon Bottom? Lunar Study on Bitcoin Price Action.In my years as a commodity trader, it crossed my desk multiple times the incredible frequency in which full moons aligned with significant price action sessions amongst precious metals; almost with a degree of precision that is hard to believed if measured too closely.
Tonight there will be the first Blood Moon since 2022, which stood out to me on the session that gold set new all time highs and silver showed signs of incredible strength and momentum.
I was curious of the rarity of Blood Moons, and upon learning the date of the last occurrence, something stood out to me. I knew it was right around the time that the FTX disaster found a bottom, and a new bull market kicked off in equities on the back of AI exuberance.
Then I looked a little closer. They were not just close in proximity, but the last Blood Moon occurred nearly at literal Bitcoin bottoms in the wake of the FTX disaster .
Whoa. Okay, certainly there are coincidences out there, and I've seen technical analysis referred to as "astrology for men" enough times to exercise a little restraint on this topic, but I found it fascinating.
Will this Blood Moon mark a local low before resumption of bullish momentum? Will equities have marked a bottom too?
RSI around both events reached very similar levels too.
For those that want to investigate further, check out the 2014 Blood Moons on top of a Bitcoin chart.
GOLD READY TO SURGE? USD WEAKNESS SIGNALS A BIG MOVE!📌 Market Overview
The US Dollar (USD) has been weakening for the past three months, signaling significant shifts in global financial markets. The latest CPI report came in weaker than expected, putting additional short-term pressure on the USD. However, long-term projections suggest a possible recovery.
Meanwhile, Gold continues to gain momentum, benefiting from USD weakness on both fundamental and technical fronts. As per our previous analysis, the bullish trend remains intact, and we will continue looking for BUY opportunities at key support levels while monitoring resistance zones near all-time highs (ATH).
📊 CPI Impact on USD & GOLD – What’s Next?
🔹 Short-term USD Weakness, But Potential Recovery?
The lower-than-expected CPI report has increased bearish pressure on the USD.
However, in the long run, the USD may find stability and enter a recovery phase.
For now, USD weakness continues to support Gold’s upside potential, bringing it closer to key resistance zones.
🔸 Gold’s Strength – Will It Hit New All-Time Highs?
With USD weakening and market uncertainty rising, Gold remains a preferred safe-haven asset for investors.
Our primary strategy remains BUY on dips, anticipating further upside.
Tonight’s Producer Price Index (PPI) report could be a major catalyst for USD and Gold volatility.
📉 Key Technical Levels for GOLD
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
2,945 - 2,956 - 2,972 - 2,988
🔻 Major Support Levels:
2,931 - 2,922 - 2,914 - 2,906 - 2,898
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2,922 - 2,920
📍 SL: 2,916
🎯 TP: 2,926 - 2,930 - 2,935 - 2,940 - 2,950
🔴 SELL ZONE: 2,955 - 2,957
📍 SL: 2,961
🎯 TP: 2,950 - 2,946 - 2,942 - 2,938 - 2,930
⚡ PPI Report Tonight – Market Volatility Alert!
📌 The US Producer Price Index (PPI) report is set to release today, a key indicator of inflation at the production level.
📌 If PPI data is weaker than expected, USD could face further pressure, pushing Gold higher.
📌 On the other hand, stronger PPI figures could help the USD recover, leading to potential Gold corrections.
📢 Are you ready for high volatility? Stick to your TP/SL to keep your capital safe! 🚀🔥
💬 Will Gold hit a new all-time high, or is a USD recovery imminent? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
XTI/USD "WTI LIGHT CRUDE OIL" Energy Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XTI/USD "WTI LIGHT CRUDE OIL" Energy market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Buy above (68.00) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to placing the Buy Stop Orders above the breakout Level (or) placing the Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe, Entry from the most Recent or Swing low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (66.00) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Primary Target - 71.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Secondary Target - 74.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
🛢️ XTI/USD "WTI LIGHT CRUDE OIL" Energy Market is currently experiencing a neutral trend (high chance to bullishness),., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict.
Before start the heist plan read it.👉👉👉
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
GOLD → Consolidating around 2921 — Poised for a Breakout!OANDA:XAUUSD continues its upward trajectory amid rising economic risks and a weakening dollar. The metal is currently testing resistance at 2921 and appears poised for further gains.
The U.S. dollar has broken its bullish structure, driven by comments from the U.S. Treasury regarding potential rate cuts. This intervention has significantly influenced market sentiment. Theoretically, gold is unlikely to decline further due to trade war risks and expectations of a dovish Fed policy. Additionally, weak ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further bullish momentum for gold.
Key levels to watch are 2913 and 2903, which have already been tested and tapped into liquidity zones. Now, all eyes are on 2927—if this level holds, gold could retreat back to the 2913-2903 support zone. However, a breakout above 2927 could fuel further upside, with the next targets at 2942-2956.
Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!
XAUUSD - Daily, Gold’s Next Big Move: Be Ready!XAUUSD - Daily Update 📈
With most analysts focusing on Gold’s bullish momentum, let’s step back and analyze where we are in the bigger picture and where we should secure profits before a potential correction.
Gold has been in a strong uptrend since the $2,000 zone, forming three major bullish legs as highlighted in the chart:
🔹 First leg correction: ~$150 drop
🔹 Second leg correction: ~$250 drop
🔹 Third correction may be deeper, so caution is needed in the target zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Potential Target Zone: $3,050 - $3,150
✔️ Measured Move: Previous legs suggest an extension into this zone.
✔️ Liquidity Grab: Gold tends to hunt liquidity over round numbers—just as it did at $2,000 → $2,060, it may break $3,050 before reversing.
✔️ Ascending Channel: The price is approaching the top of the channel, where market makers may trigger a fake breakout before a significant pullback.
🚨 Trading Strategy:
Swing traders: Secure profits near $3,050 - $3,150.
Daily traders: Use pullbacks as short-term profit opportunities.
💸 If you missed this rally, stay ahead for reversal signs & upcoming moves! Follow for more insights! 🚀
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update for 3-13-25What a crazy day. The markets certainly decided to burn the longs almost all day.
I got a few messages from traders who continued trying to pick bottoms in this downtrend. FYI, that can be very dangerous.
If you are a short-term trader and are trying to pick a base/bottom all day today - you have to have a limit in terms of how much you are willing to risk within a single day.
I've seen dozens of traders blow up their accounts in a big, trending market.
Please learn from your actions. Develop a STOP POINT related to your trading decisions.
There is no reason to continue to try to execute "bounce" trades when the markets are trending as strongly as they are today.
This video should help you understand what I see as the potential over the next 5+ days.
We are still trying to hold above critical support near the 50% retracement level on the SPY.
Everything depends on what happens in DC and how the markets perceive risks.
Gold/Silver rallied very strong today. This is FEAR related to risks.
If the US government enters a shutdown, Gold and Silver could skyrocket much higher.
Get some.
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Gold surges, just $17 away from $3,000 Gold is sprinting to new all-time highs and approaching the $3000 level. The price has just reached $2983 at the time of writing, just $17 away from the key $3000 level.
Alex Ebkarian from Allegiance Gold forecasts “prices to trade between $3,000 and $3,200 this year,”.
Momentum is currently being driven by uncertainty around Trump tariffs and stalled ceasefire talks with Vladimir Putin, who has outlined sweeping conditions for any potential truce.
The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting next Wednesday could also be influencing prices. While the central bank is expected to keep its rate at 4.25%-4.50% until at least June, with the current economic environment, a change in guidance from the Fed might be warranted. A delay in the anticipated June rate cut wouldn't be helpful for the gold price