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XAUUSD: Gold in 2025!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has exited its short-term ascending channel. In case of a valid break of the resistance range, we can witness the continuation of the rise of gold and see the supply zone. Correction of gold and pullback to the broken channel will provide the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward. According to a recent report by UBS, the price of gold is expected to reach $2,900 per ounce by the end of 2025. UBS highlights that one of the main drivers of this price increase is the continued demand for gold by central banks. These institutions are motivated by a desire to reduce reliance on the dollar and diversify their reserves, and they are expected to maintain their purchasing momentum in 2025, supporting high gold prices. In addition, investor demand for gold as a safeguard against geopolitical and policy-related uncertainties will also play a critical role in sustaining elevated prices. UBS points to ongoing concerns about the Russia-Ukraine conflict, tensions in the Middle East, and uncertainty surrounding U.S. fiscal and trade policies under President Donald Trump as factors that could boost investment in gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Furthermore, declining interest rates and a weakening U.S. dollar are other key factors contributing to gold’s rise. UBS anticipates that interest rates will continue to drop and that a weaker dollar will drive higher demand for gold. Beyond gold, UBS also highlights opportunities in copper and other energy-transition metals. The bank identifies global investments in electricity generation, energy storage, and electric transportation as long-term drivers of demand for these metals. Meanwhile, according to surveys conducted by the Financial Times, Trump’s economic policies, known as “Maganomics,” could pose risks to economic growth. The findings suggest that many economists believe Trump’s protectionist measures might overshadow the benefits of his other policies. More than half of the 220 economists surveyed across the U.S., UK, and Eurozone believe Trump’s policies could lead to higher inflation and force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more cautious stance on cutting interest rates. However, most analysts, including those from the IMF, OECD, and European Commission, forecast that U.S. economic growth in 2025 will outpace that of Europe.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Gold H4 | Potential bearish reversalGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 2,636.57 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 2,670.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 2,585.26 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
Competition for gold longs and shorts intensifies The current gold market has entered a wide consolidation stage after many fluctuations. Judging from the hourly line, the price has rebounded and risen, but the resistance above the 2637 line is obvious. If this level is exceeded, gold may return to its previous upward channel. In terms of form, gold shows a head-and-shoulders bottom breakout structure. If it successfully breaks through, the market outlook may test the 2655-2660 area. The lower support is at the 2625 line. If the price falls below this support, the short-term rebound will come to an end, and gold may once again enter the downward adjustment stage. Overall, the general trend of gold is still in the downward adjustment stage, and long-short games will still be frequent in the short term. There are certain risks in both long and short operations in the current market. If there is no significant retracement before the US market, you can do short-term lows in the 2625-2630 area. But looking at the overall shape, individuals tend to go short, especially if the price does not stabilize above 2645 and return to the upward channel, or form a triangle convergence breakthrough. Aggressive investors can try short operations in the 2638-2640 area.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by RonPeter_Trading
Can One Bean's Rally Reshape Global Markets?The extraordinary trajectory of cocoa in 2024 has rewritten the commodities playbook, outperforming traditional powerhouses like oil and metals with a staggering 175% price surge. This unprecedented rally, culminating in record prices of nearly $13,000 per metric ton, reveals more than just market volatility—it exposes the delicate balance between global supply chains and environmental factors. West Africa's cocoa belt lies at the heart of this transformation, where Ivory Coast and Ghana face a complex web of challenges. The convergence of adverse weather conditions, particularly the harsh Harmattan winds from the Sahara and widespread bean disease, and the encroachment of illegal gold mining operations, has created a perfect storm that threatens global chocolate production. This situation presents a compelling case study of how localized agricultural challenges can cascade into global market disruptions. The ripple effects extend beyond just chocolate manufacturers and commodities traders. This market upheaval coincides with similar pressures in other soft commodities, notably coffee, which saw prices reach forty-year highs. These parallel developments suggest a broader pattern of vulnerability in agricultural commodities that could reshape our understanding of market dynamics and risk assessment in commodity trading. As we look toward 2025, the cocoa market stands as a harbinger of how climate volatility and regional production challenges might increasingly influence global commodity markets, forcing investors and industry players to adapt to a new normal in agricultural commodity trading.
ICEUS:CC1!Long
by UDIS_View
Based on the chart, here’s a potential trade setup for **gold Based on the chart, here’s a potential trade setup for **gold (XAU/USD)**: **Key Levels:** - **Resistance Zone:** Around 2,640-2,645 (gray area in the chart). - **First Support Level:** 2,620. - **Second Support Level:** 2,610. - **Deeper Target:** Below 2,610, likely toward 2,600. --- **Trade Setup (Sell):** 1. **Entry:** - Wait for a bearish rejection near the 2,640-2,645 resistance zone. Look for signs like a bearish engulfing candle or wicks rejecting the resistance. 2. **Stop Loss:** - Place your stop loss slightly above the resistance zone at around 2,650 to protect against false breakouts. 3. **Take Profit Targets:** - **1st Target:** 2,620 (Support zone). - **2nd Target:** 2,610 (Deeper support). - **3rd Target (Optional):** 2,600 if the price breaks below 2,610 with strong momentum. --- Alternate Scenario (If Resistance Breaks):** - If gold breaks and closes above 2,645 on the 1-hour chart, this would invalidate the sell setup. - Look for a potential **buy opportunity** on a pullback to 2,640 with a target of 2,660. --- **Tips for Execution:** - **Confirmation:** Wait for confirmation (candlestick patterns or momentum indicators like RSI divergence) before entering. - **Risk Management:** Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure profitability. - **Monitor News:** Be aware of economic news that could impact gold (e.g., USD strength or weakness). CAPITALCOM:GOLD
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Bearish reversal?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support level which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 72.98 1st Support: 71.53 1st Resistance: 75.24 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
3
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Silver (XAG/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 29.52 1st Support: 28.81 1st Resistance: 29.81 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAGUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Could the Gold drop from here?The price is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the pullback support level. Pivot: 2,636.83 1st Support: 2,608.00 1st Resistance: 2,657.44 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
PLATINUM Weekly Forecast: Bearish! Look for SHORTS!Keep an eye on this one, as it makes its way down to 911.7. I'm looking for the highlighted lows to be swept this week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NYMEX:PL1!Short
by RT_Money
17
World gold price todayOver the past 10 years, January has typically been the best month for gold. However, Low said that is not necessarily true in the post-pandemic era when countries are still struggling. He pointed out that while recent data shows that Chinese gold demand has been strong over the past 12 months, some US factors could hold back gold prices this month. Investors are still looking at the hawkish factors at the US central bank’s final policy meeting of the year, he said. The revelation that the Fed will slow its pace of rate cuts this year has put the US dollar in a good position, which is not very positive for the precious metal. Another issue Low noted was that the technical outlook for the yellow metal had deteriorated somewhat over the past week. He observed that prices had fallen below the 100-day moving average for the first time in more than a year. Although prices have rebounded in subsequent sessions on the back of buying from investors, he noted that this is also a negative sign for gold.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold price today 1/2/2025Safe haven demand and central bank rate cuts are the catalysts for gold’s rise in 2024, with the precious metal likely to rise more than 26% in the year, its best performance since 2010. Experts say these factors will continue to drive the precious metal in the new year. However, sentiment is likely to turn more cautious given the policy shift under US President Donald Trump. Geopolitical tensions are expected to remain elevated next year, as central banks continue to buy gold, while the US debt problem could return. Donald Trump. All of this will provide safe haven demand for the precious metal... This expert commented that this year will be a bit difficult for gold as the price of this precious metal has increased by nearly 27% in 2024. Prices cooled down in November and December but mainly due to the US election results as it somewhat affected the outlook of the US Federal Reserve (FED) this year. 🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2636 - 2638🔥 💵 TP1: 2615 💵 TP2: 2605 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2645
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Silver - Another Textbook Trade For 2025!Silver ( TVC:SILVER ) is again approaching strong support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Silver has now been consolidating for more than 6 months and is slowly but steadily approaching the previous horizontal support. Another retest would perfectly match with the overall bullish trend, the rising channel formation, as well as the fact that Silver will soon catch up with Gold. Levels to watch: $27.0, $34.0 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SILVERLong
by basictradingtv
3
Gold short position XAUUSD - Medium TermOANDA:XAUUSD #Gold #XAUUSD has been declining since March, and has shown an accelerated move to the downside (mid april to mid may) signaling a short position. After almost a month of moving side ways and failing to reclaim above the broken trendline, a bearish continuation is now in play aiming at 1721 and 1687 The third continuation wave should bring the price lower to these levels. Short position can be taken between 1829 - 1845 $ TP1 1721 $ TP2 1687 $ SL = 1D close above 1880 $ Risk/Reward = 2.9
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Samurai_07
1
The last gold analysis of this year Gold just rebounded and did not reverse. Rebounding is normal, but the trend has not changed. The rebound of gold is an opportunity for shorts. The hourly moving average of gold is still dead cross downward short divergence, so the short position of gold has not ended. Gold is just rebounding now. Yesterday, the rebound of gold in the US market was under pressure at 2622 and continued to fall and then hit a new low. The short-term rebound of gold in the intraday was suppressed near 2610. We pay attention to the short-term suppression of 2610-2612 above, and there is still room for shorts below. From the 4-hour analysis, gold will focus on the 2610-2612 first-line short-term suppression in the short term. If the rebound touches this position, you can enter a short-selling order. Focus on the 2635-40 first-line suppression situation. The lower part will focus on the 2596-2600 first-line short-term support. In operation, use the rebound to short. Mainly, be cautious in pursuing orders in the middle position and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold rebounds to 2620-2625 and is short, and rebounds to 2630-33 to cover short positions. Stop loss is 2637 and target 2596-2600;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Caesar_Gorman01