Commodities
Gold is reversing before reaching the round $3,000 mark.Gold is reversing before reaching the round $3,000 mark.
As you can see on the chart, we’ve hit the 227% Fibonacci level.
— Back in 2008, after testing this level, we went into a correction.
— I think we might see a similar scenario play out from here.
Dollar Index:
SP500/SPY:
XAU/USD: Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 2-hour timeframe for gold, we see that the price remains range-bound with no clear directional trend. Currently, gold is trading around the $2900 level, and if it fails to break above $2913 again, we can expect a downward correction. Potential targets for this correction are $2870, $2861, and $2853. Keep an eye on price reactions at each of these key levels, as all three could present opportunities for buy positions!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-12-25 : Rally111 PatternToday's Rally pattern in Carryover mode may prompt a powerful base/bottom move in the SPY/QQQ.
In today's video, I explain in great detail how I read these charts and why the Excess Phase Peak (EPP) patterns are so important.
We are moving into the Consolidation Phase of the EPP patterns for the SPY/QQQ.
We are already into the Consolidation Phase of an EPP pattern for Bitcoin
Gold and Silver are a bit mixed. Yet Silver has already broken above the upper EPP Peak, rallying into a new EPP Peak level. Meanwhile, Gold is still struggling to find momentum for a bullish breakout.
While I don't believe the US markets are poised for a big downward price move, today's video shows you what may be likely 4 to 12+ months into the future.
So, pay attention to today's video. It clearly illustrates how to use the EPP patterns with Fibonacci and shows you what I believe could happen over the next 6 to 12+ months.
If the SPY/I continues to try to rally higher today, it will be interesting. This means we have potentially found our consolidation base and are now moving into a very volatile sideways consolidation phase.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
XAUUSD: 12/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily chart resistance 2930, support below 2865
Four-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2865
One-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2900
Gold operation suggestions: Gold's technical side yesterday bottomed out and rebounded strongly in the volatile trading. The Asian session quickly stepped down and stabilized at the 2880 mark to bottom out and rebound. The European session broke through and stood on the 2900 mark to continue the strong shock. The US session further broke through the 2922 mark and fell back to close strongly. The daily K-line closed at the bottom and rebounded. The overall gold price was supported at the 2880 mark and stabilized and rebounded. In the short term, the 2880 mark has become a new key support area. At the same time, the upper 2930 pressure is still effective. At present, the gold price is likely to continue this range to maintain a wide range of long and short shocks. As for whether it can directly break through 2930, it is necessary to pay attention to the CPI data of NY time.
From the current trend analysis, we focus on the 2897-2903 first-line short-term support below, and the 2930-35 first-line short-term suppression above. Operationally, we can do certain shock operations around this range. Once a breakthrough occurs, we can continue to follow up later and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Buy: 2930near SL: 2925
Buy: 2892near SL: 2888
Sell: 2888near SL: 2892
WTI OIL Massive 4-year Support hit. Bullish reversal ahead??WTI Oil (USOIL) hit on last week's 1W candle the 1M MA100 (red trend-line), a massive long-term Support level that has been holding since the week of April 26 2021, i.e. almost 4 years.
At the same time, the price entered the 2-year Support Zone, which has produced all major Bullish Phases (green Rectangles) during this time span. The last one got rejected twice on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Given the fact that this most recent rejection formed the current 2-month Bearish Phase (red Rectangle), which even based on 1W RSI terms, is similar to all previous Bearish Phases that found Support on the 2-year Support Zone, we have a massive long-term Support Cluster in front of us.
Naturally, until the 1W MA200 breaks, that should be the first Target of any buy attempts. As a result, we expect $80.00 to be tested by June 2025 the earliest.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
USOIL BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 66.90
Target Level: 73.40
Stop Loss: 62.52
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 2915.2 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2900.3
Safe Stop Loss - 2922.1
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Ready for CorrectionThe price cannot break this resistance and has been repeatedly rejected, indicating a corrective move to 2.880.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
GOLD/USD Short Trade Setup - Bearish Outlook📉 GOLD/USD Short Trade Setup - Bearish Outlook (Higher Inflation Risk) 📉
🔴 Short Entry: 1910
🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1875 (First Target), 1850 (Extended Target)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 1930
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💡 Trade Rationale:
1️⃣ Macro Factors: Recent inflation data suggests higher-than-expected CPI, strengthening the USD and pressuring gold prices. Fed rate hike expectations could fuel further downside.
2️⃣ Technical Setup:
- Strong resistance zone at 1920-1930, rejecting multiple times.
- Support Breakdown: A break below 1910 confirms bearish momentum.
- RSI near overbought, signaling potential correction.
3️⃣ Risk Management: Tight SL to protect against unexpected volatility; TP aligns with key historical support levels.
📊 Watch for:
- Any hawkish Fed commentary reinforcing USD strength.
- A clean breakdown of 1910 with volume for confirmation.
- Potential retracements to 1925-1930 for better short entries.
🚨 Bearish Bias 🚨 – Short Gold on Breakdown Below 1910! Let’s see how it plays out! 💰💥
#GOLD #XAUUSD #Trading #Short #Inflation #Fed #Bearish
Fed Expectations Increase Silver PricesSilver surged to nearly $33 as the US Dollar fell sharply, with the DXY dropping to 103.35, its lowest in four months. Concerns over Trump’s tariff policies and their impact on the US economy fueled the dollar’s decline, supporting demand for silver.
Investors now await US CPI data for February, which could influence Fed rate expectations. A slower inflation rate may increase the likelihood of a May rate cut, with odds rising to 51% from 37% in a day, further supporting Silver’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
If silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
Recession Fears Support Gold's StabilityGold held steady above $2,910 per ounce, maintaining a 1% gain. Investor sentiment shifted after Trump reversed his plan to double tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, just hours after the announcement. Ontario Premier Doug Ford also paused a 25% surcharge on US electricity exports.
Trade uncertainties and US recession fears continued to support gold, though geopolitical tensions eased as the US restored military aid to Ukraine following a 30-day ceasefire agreement with Russia. Markets now focus on upcoming US CPI data for clues on the Fed’s rate outlook.
Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
SILVER Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 33.001.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 33.344.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WTI Crude Oil Analysis: Is the Downtrend Still in Play?Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic , and today we’re diving into a quick analysis of WTI Crude Oil (WTI) . Let’s break it down.
📉 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
In the 4-hour time frame, WTI has shown a very strong corrective move, and despite trying to hold the support zone PRZ, it even failed to maintain it, suggesting a potential downtrend. Now, we have an opportunity to focus more on our short setups, but we’ll need to manage the risk as well.
🔮 Short Setup
For short positions, a break below the 4-hour support at 65.183 would be a good trigger to enter a short position. Place the stop loss just above the broken PRZ, around 67.024 , and keep an eye on price action as a sharp movement down could follow. If the support breaks, we’re likely to see a continuation towards the next support level, so the move could be pretty sharp, but make sure your stop loss is tight to manage risk effectively.
💡 Long Setup
For the long setup, we’ll wait for a potential fake breakout below the support and then look for a return above 67.024 . If we break above the resistance at 67.639 , we’ll look for a possible long continuation. However, since the current trend is bearish, we’ll reduce our risk and wait for confirmation from the 4-hour or daily time frames before entering.
Let me know your thoughts and ideas on WTI! 💬 Drop any questions in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss them. Let’s grow together, not alone! 🔥
CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINThis chart shows a trading setup for Gold Spot against the US Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 2-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. Let’s break it down:
Entry Point: Around 2,915.00
Stop Loss: Set at 2,922.00 — this is the level where the trade will automatically close to prevent further losses.
Take Profit 1: Slightly below the entry point, aiming for a moderate gain.
Take Profit 2: Lower than the first target, indicating a more ambitious profit goal.
Last Target: Set at 2,900.00
TECHNIAL ANALYSIS SATUP
FALLOW RISK MANAGEMENT ✅
GOLD – Long-Term Bullish, But Wait for the Right Entry!🚀 GOLD – Long-Term Bullish, But Wait for the Right Entry! 🚀
“Gold looks great for the bigger picture, but smart traders know, timing is everything!”
🔥 Key Insights:
✅ Long-Term Bullish Trend Intact – No doubt, gold is strong.
✅ Short-Term? Not Yet! – We need a proper retracement before jumping in.
✅ Blue Box = The Ideal Buy Zone – Without a dip into this area, entries carry unnecessary risk.
💡 The Smart Plan:
Wait for Price to Reach the Blue Box – No rush, let the market come to you.
Look for LTF Confirmations (CDV, Market Breakouts, Volume Profile) – Precision matters.
No Blue Box = No Trade – We don’t gamble, we execute high-probability setups.
“Patience prints money. When gold gives the perfect setup, we’ll strike like snipers!” 🎯🔥
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakdown Potentialhello guys.
The previous trendline was broken, leading to a bearish move.
Price formed a range, consolidating between key levels.
A breakout occurred below the range, signaling weakness.
The current retest suggests a potential rejection and continuation to the downside.
If price fails to reclaim the range, we could see a drop towards the $2,875 - $2,860 support zone.
Traders should watch for confirmation of rejection before entering short positions.
MASSIVE IMPACT ON GOLD OVER KEY FUNDAMENTALS**Gold (XAUUSD) Market Analysis – Key Fundamentals Driving Volatility**
Gold (XAUUSD) has experienced significant volatility due to major fundamental events impacting the financial markets. The recent large-scale liquidations in stocks and cryptocurrencies, along with the Bybit exchange hack, have contributed to heightened risk sentiment. Additionally, the ongoing US tariff disputes with Canada, Europe, and China have created further uncertainty, weighing on global economic stability.
Following a sharp decline, gold saw a strong recovery after the release of weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, which raised concerns about the strength of the US economy. On the daily timeframe, a noticeable **market structure shift** has taken place. Price action has filled Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and tapped into an Order Block (OB), leading to a correction and potential imbalance in the market.
At present, we anticipate a move to the downside, provided key fundamentals align with expectations. The primary factors to monitor include Ukraine’s agreement to a ceasefire, the upcoming **US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data**, and the impact of **US-Canada trade tariffs**. If these events unfold as expected, we may see gold decline toward the established support zones at **$2830 and $2780**.
However, a bullish breakout above the highlighted **4-hour Order Block (OB) in the $2925-$2945 region** would invalidate this bearish outlook. In such a case, gold could push higher, breaking the current market structure.
### **Fundamental Impact on Gold and the Economy:**
1. **Stock & Crypto Liquidations** – Risk-off sentiment has supported gold’s recovery but added volatility.
2. **Bybit Hack** – Raises concerns about crypto security, leading investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold.
3. **US Tariffs (Canada, Europe, China)** – Trade tensions create uncertainty, impacting the US dollar and global demand.
4. **Ukraine Ceasefire** – A reduction in geopolitical risks may weaken gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
5. **US CPI Data** – Inflation data will shape Federal Reserve policy, directly influencing gold prices.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold remains highly sensitive to macroeconomic and geopolitical events. A **sustained rejection** below the $2925-$2945 region supports further downside, targeting $2830-$2780. However, any breach above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, leading to higher price levels. Traders should closely monitor fundamental developments before confirming a directional bias.
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 12.03.2025Gold dropped lower towards $2,882 which I said would happen & has now flown up towards our $2,913 TP! What's next?
Option 1: Gold DROPS lower from here towards $2,865.
Option 2: Gold keeps pushing higher towards a new ATH of $2,964.
Which option do you agree with more?