USOIL – Holding Support or Preparing for a Drop? USOIL – Key Market Outlook & Trade Setup
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) is trading near a critical pivot zone (71.78), struggling to break higher. The price action suggests a potential reversal or continuation, depending on upcoming confirmations.
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
If USOIL breaks and holds above 71.78, it may attempt to test 72.72.
A breakout above 72.72 could lead to further upside toward 77.37 in the coming sessions.
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break 71.78 or rejection from the pivot zone could push the price lower.
A break below the ascending support trendline (around 68.50 - 68.00) could trigger a bearish continuation toward 67.03 and 63.50.
Historically, pullbacks have occurred at this level, so buyers may step in again if price reaches key supports.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Pivot Zone: 71.78
🔸 🔼 Resistance: 72.72 | 77.37 | 79.49
🔸 🔽 Support: 68.53 | 68.00 | 67.03 | 63.50
⚡ Market Outlook & Strategy:
Above 71.78, bulls may take control, aiming for 72.72+.
Below 71.78, the price could retest lower supports around 68.50 - 68.00 before deciding its next move.
The monthly resistance trendline remains intact, making it a crucial level for long-term traders.
Commodities
WTI , road map on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI on high time frames, this analysis is based on the liquidity concept. Observing the chart, the price has surpassed the $69 level, which was significant for institutional orders. Consequently, I anticipate a decline towards lower prices. In my view, the next potential level could be around $64."
If you have any specific questions or require further assistance with your message, feel free to let me know!
USOIL Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 6,657.4.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 6,198.3.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 2,925.549 level area with our long trade on GOLD which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
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Gold, beware of a high-rise fallGold maintained a shock-washing mode yesterday, but eventually pulled up again to around 2930. In yesterday's article, the emphasis was on the idea of going long. Yesterday, we saw gold fall in the morning and evening, both suggesting going long. No matter how the market moves, no matter how the main force washes, direction is above all else, and the point determines the outcome. In a shock market, although it is bullish, once it enters the middle position, it will be extremely passive, so it is necessary to get stuck and be patient.
At present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2930, and the short-term upward momentum is insufficient. The short-term maintains a high-level shock operation. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the momentum was obviously insufficient. After being under pressure near 2930, it fell again. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, there is a high probability of shocks around a high-level large range. Even if it does not break through, the short-term is just a callback again, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to shock in a high-level large range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish.
Operation plan, the long positions last night are still held after reducing positions. Today, focus on whether it will break through 2930 again. If it still cannot break through 2930 to create a new high, all long positions need to be exited. If it breaks through 2930 again, it is not recommended to chase high. The strong pressure area above is concentrated in the 2930-2945 area, and the possibility of a sharp rise in the short term is not great. In the short term, once the pressure area is touched and a short signal appears, the short-term intraday short-term can wait for the opportunity to go short and see the support area below the retracement is concentrated in the 2900-2890 area. At the same time, this area is the area where pressure turns to support after the breakthrough. Therefore, to do more, you also have to wait for the retracement to this area again before there is room for operation. Since it has been characterized as a volatile market, do not chase the rise and sell the fall, and wait patiently for the operation position.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Analysis:
• 1H Chart: Clear uptrend with a pullback and price stabilizing near 2918.
• 15M Chart: Price has been consolidating after a recovery from a dip.
• 3M Chart: Market is forming higher lows, showing strength.
2. Indicators:
• MACD:
• 1H Chart: Bullish momentum, MACD line above signal line.
• 15M Chart: MACD recovering from a dip.
• 3M Chart: Weakening bearish momentum, signaling potential reversal.
• RSI:
• 1H Chart: 53.84 (neutral, with room for upside).
• 15M Chart: 50.50 (balanced, indicating neither overbought nor oversold).
• 3M Chart: 57.78 (leaning bullish).
3. Support & Resistance Levels:
• Support: 2910, 2895
• Resistance: 2928, 2946
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold’s recent movement is supported by:
• Dollar weakness due to expectations of Fed rate cuts.
• Geopolitical uncertainty keeping gold as a safe-haven asset.
• U.S. Treasury Yields stabilizing, giving gold more upside room.
Trade Execution:
• Entry: 2918
• Stop Loss (SL): 2908 (10 points)
• Take Profit (TP): 2938 (20 points)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1
Rationale for Trade:
• Momentum is bullish across timeframes.
• Good confluence of technical and fundamental factors supporting upside.
• Risk is well-managed with a strong RRR of 2:1.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
CRUDE is looking weak. Price connection is expected#CRUDE #Analysis
Description
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+ Crude has formed a nice descending triangle pattern and price has broken down the support line which formed over the years.
+ A clear breakdown from this support would push down the prices further.
+ Next target is 50-40$ range.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Analysis of the latest gold trend on March 5th
Analysis of the latest trend of gold market:
Analysis of gold news: Spot gold fluctuated narrowly at a high level in early Asian trading on Wednesday (March 5). Against the backdrop of escalating trade conflicts after US President Trump imposed new tariffs, the US dollar weakened to a nearly three-month low, and safe-haven demand increased, pushing gold prices up 0.84% (about $24) to $2,917.56/ounce on Tuesday, and the intraday high reached $2,927.66/ounce, which was a two-day increase. Against the backdrop of escalating trade conflicts after US President Trump imposed new tariffs, the US dollar weakened and safe-haven demand increased, pushing gold prices up on Tuesday. Given the potential economic instability and weak job market, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates ahead of schedule. Following three rate cuts last year, the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates stable. The market expects the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts in June and may cut further in September. Investors need to pay close attention to changes in the international trade situation. The latest news shows that the United States may ease the tariff issue. The rebound of U.S. stock index futures in early trading on Wednesday may weaken the safe-haven buying of gold, which is expected to provide short-term opportunities for gold shorts. This week's focus turns to Wednesday's ADP employment report and Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls report to find clues to the trajectory of the Federal Reserve's interest rate.
Technical analysis of gold: Yesterday, gold showed a more complicated trend. The price remained volatile below $2,895 during the Asian session. Entering the European session, the market saw a key turning point. The price successfully held the long-short watershed of $2,880-2,878 and quickly broke through $2,895. Then the bulls exerted their strength to push the price up sharply. During the U.S. session, the price of gold rose slightly, touched the high of $2,930 last Wednesday, and then fell back to $2,900. However, it rebounded again and finally closed with a large positive line on the daily line, with the closing price near $2,916. The daily line showed a trend of two consecutive positive lines. In view of the frequent alternation of positive and negative trends in the recent gold price trend, today we need to focus on whether the price will turn negative.
From the analysis of the market situation, after experiencing a sharp drop last week, gold has risen sharply for two consecutive days and has now retreated to the counter-pressure level formed by the trend support of $2614. After touching this retracement position for the first time, we still need to focus on whether the market will rise and fall back. At the same time, the pressure in the high point area of yesterday cannot be ignored. If the price is under pressure here, it is expected to usher in an adjustment; and once it breaks upward, the bullish rally is expected to accelerate further, and the target may be to break through the historical high of $2956. The low point of $2900-2905 formed during the US trading session has become a key support level. If this area is broken, it may start a second decline, and the price will gradually fall to $2880-2885, $2860-2855 and near the low point of last Friday; if the bulls can hold this support level, there is a high probability that it will continue to break upward after high-level fluctuations. In addition, judging from today's opening situation, the rebound high point of $2920 has become a short-term pressure level. In terms of today's operation, short selling is suppressed by the trend counter-pressure line and yesterday's high point. Radical investors use the high point 2920 as pressure to participate in short selling. Pay attention to the break of 2900 below. Consider adding positions if it breaks below. If it breaks upward, follow the trend and focus on the impact of 2945 and the historical high. Overall, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends that the short-term operation of gold today is mainly long on the callback, supplemented by short selling on the rebound. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2922-2927 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2895-2890 line of support.
GOLD → Consolidating around 2921 — Poised for a Breakout!OANDA:XAUUSD continues its upward trajectory amid rising economic risks and a weakening dollar. The metal is currently testing resistance at 2921 and appears poised for further gains.
The U.S. dollar has broken its bullish structure, driven by comments from the U.S. Treasury regarding potential rate cuts. This intervention has significantly influenced market sentiment. Theoretically, gold is unlikely to decline further due to trade war risks and expectations of a dovish Fed policy. Additionally, weak ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further bullish momentum for gold.
Key levels to watch are 2913 and 2903, which have already been tested and tapped into liquidity zones. Now, all eyes are on 2927—if this level holds, gold could retreat back to the 2913-2903 support zone. However, a breakout above 2927 could fuel further upside, with the next targets at 2942-2956.
Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!
Unswervingly short goldBrothers, good morning. Gold is still fluctuating in a narrow range. From the hourly chart, it is difficult for the price of gold to break through the upper resistance area of 2930-2940 in the short term. In the following trading rhythm today, we still maintain the attitude of shorting gold. The short-term focus below is to fall back to the support area of 2910-2900.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading. Accumulating profits is what changes life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
SILVER BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER is trending down which is obvious from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 31.462.
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XAU/USD Weekly Outlook: Potential Pullback or Breakout?XAU/USD Weekly Chart Analysis 🏆📉📈
1️⃣ Current Price: $2,919.35
2️⃣ Key Observations:
Distribution on H4: Potential sign of a short-term reversal. 📉
Divergence: Suggests weakening momentum at the highs, increasing the probability of a pullback. ⚠️
Multiple Unfilled Mitigation Blocks (MB): Areas of interest where price may retrace for liquidity grabs. 🧐
Fair Volume Ranges: Notable levels around $2,700 - $2,500, where price might stabilize if a correction occurs. 🔄 3️⃣ Potential Scenarios:
If price breaks down from the H4 distribution, expect a retracement toward the nearest MB unfilled levels (~$2,700).
If bulls hold momentum, breaking above current resistance (~$3,000) could push prices into price discovery. 🚀
💡 Conclusion: Watch for price action around the unfilled MBs and fair volume ranges. A correction seems likely unless buyers step in aggressively.
🔥 Trade Wisely & Manage Risk! 🔥
Oil Under Pressure Amid Tariff Tensions and OPEC+ UncertaintyMacro:
- Oil prices stabilised after hitting multi-month lows as the market weighed potential output increases in Apr and escalating tariff tensions among Canada, Mexico, China, and the EU.
- Meanwhile, the halted US military aid to the Eastern Europe conflict, and OPEC+ production decisions continue to pressure oil.
Technical:
- USOIL remains in a downtrend, consistently making lower lows while trading below both EMAs, signalling persistent bearish momentum. However, the price is nearing the oversold zone, supported by multiple key levels.
- If USOIL continues declining, it may retest 66.90 and 65.80, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension.
- Conversely, holding above 66.90 could lead to a short-term sideways movement, with a potential retest at 70.20, confluence with EMA21, and the descending channel’s upper bound.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
GOLD Range Bound Between 2918 and 2906 Ahead of BreakoutGOLD Analysis | March 4, 2025
Gold reached the resistance at 2918 and is now expected to move between 2918 and 2906 until a breakout occurs.
📉 Bearish Scenario: While below 2918, the price is likely to test 2906. A 4H or 1H candle close below 2906 could trigger a strong bearish continuation toward 2895 and 2880.
📈 Bullish Scenario: If the price closes a 4H or 1H candle above 2918, this could lead to a move toward 2934, followed by 2954.
Key Levels:
🔸 Resistance Levels: 2934, 2945, 2954
🔹 Pivot Point: 2918
🔻 Support Levels: 2906, 2895, 2880
📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 2918, bullish above 2918.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 67,037 (Wave C).The price is still in a downtrend and I believe that before the price starts an upward movement it needs to complete a big “ABC” correction and a small five-wave formation.
I think the price will reach the level of 67,037. This level is quite important, because in its area we need to look carefully for reversal patterns.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD: 5/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 2930, support below 2892
Four-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2884
One-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2912
Gold news analysis: Spot gold fluctuated narrowly at high levels on Wednesday and is currently trading around $2917/oz. Against the backdrop of escalating trade conflicts after US President Trump imposed new tariffs, the US dollar weakened to a near three-month low, and increased safe-haven demand pushed gold prices up sharply on Tuesday, reaching an intraday high of $2927.9/oz, which has risen for two consecutive trading days. Against the backdrop of escalating trade conflicts after US President Trump imposed new tariffs, the US dollar weakened and safe-haven demand increased, pushing gold prices up. Given the potential economic instability and weak job market, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates ahead of schedule. Following three rate cuts last year, the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates stable. The market expects the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts in June and may cut further in September. Investors need to pay close attention to changes in the international trade situation. The latest news shows that the United States may ease the tariff issue, which may weaken the safe-haven buying of gold and provide short-term opportunities for gold bears. This week's focus turns to Wednesday's ADP employment report and Friday's US NFP employment report to find clues to the Fed's interest rate trajectory.
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold fell slightly in the Asian session and stabilized at the 2880 mark, ushering in a strong rise after bottoming out. The European session accelerated to break through and stood above the 2900 mark to continue its strong upward trend. The US session accelerated to break through the 2927 line and fell under pressure and fell into a shock consolidation. The daily chart closed with two consecutive gains.
From the current trend of gold, today's lower support focuses on the one-hour level and the daily level are 2912-2892, respectively. The upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 2930. Continue to rely on this range to sell high and buy low during the day. If it breaks through 2930, it is expected to approach the historical high. Wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2892 near. SL:2887
BUY:2900 near. SL:2895
BUY:2912 near. SL:2908
SELL:2930 near. SL:2935
Trade with small size!
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDTAE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 🪙 Gold Traders Gold Ready for again take New bos). Choch) FVG level up trand) Gold still going to bullish trend 🚀 I'm want buying it target point 2945 + 2956 Technical patterns.
Key Resistance level 2945 + 2956
Key Support level 2911- 2900
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis – Key Levels & Trade Setups!Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis 🏆✨
1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones 🚧
Resistance Zones (Purple areas):
🔹 Lower resistance ~ 2,920
🔹 Upper resistance ~ 2,960
Support Zone 🛡️ around 2,900
2️⃣ Possible Price Movements 📈📉
✅ Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above 2,920, it may surge towards 2,960 🚀💰
❌ Bearish Scenario: If price gets rejected at 2,920, a pullback to 2,900 is likely ⚠️📉
3️⃣ Trend Analysis 📊
🔥 The price is in an uptrend after bouncing from 2,880
🔍 Watch the 2,920 level—break or rejection will decide the next big move!
💡 Trading Plan:
Bullish: Wait for a breakout 🔼 above 2,920, then target 2,960 🎯
Bearish: Short if price rejects 2,920, aiming for 2,900 📉
Gold Price ActionHello Trader,
I'm still waiting for this setup. I'll go short in the Hidden Supply Zone. Remember, never trade or follow analysis blindly. Be patient—wait for the liquidity sweep and then observe the candle formation. This analysis is based on a multi-timeframe approach, so always trade wisely.
Don't forget to manage your risk properly. Wishing you all the best and happy trading!
Thank you!