Crude Oil Trade Idea: Intraday mechanicsNYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1!
Bigger Picture:
Traders should note that news headlines do not always drive the price action. More often, news outlets look for narrative to align with the price action.
Previously, it was about the supply glut and worsening demand due to an uncertain outlook. Now the latest news flow is about Aramco OSP rising, OPEC+ adding another 548K bpd in August — higher than anticipated 411K — of the wounding of involuntary cuts. News outlets now view this as signs of demand growth and low inventories.
What has the market done?
Market has consolidated, building acceptance around microComposite Volume Point of Control at 65.50 (mcVPOC). Market then broke out of this balance.
What is it trying to do?
Market is building value higher; 2-day mcVPOC is at 68.29.
How good of a job is it doing?
Market is holding support and has tested resistance multiple times. It has also held support.
What is more likely to happen from here?
Further movement higher as long as it holds above support and yearly open confluence in the short term.
Key Levels:
• Resistance zone: 68.95 - 68.85
• pHi: 68.87
• 2-day VPOC: 68.29
• pSettlement: 68.38
• yOpen: 67.65
• Support zone: 67.70 - 67.50
• pLow: 67.89
Primary Scenario:
Crude oil pit session begins with open auction in yesterday’s range. Prices move lower to test prior day's low, 2-day balance support in confluence with yearly open. Prices push back higher towards yesterday's settlement and 2-day Volume Point of Control (VPOC) at 68.33.
Secondary Scenario:
Crude oil pit session begins with open auction in yesterday’s range. Market consolidates and chops around pSettlement and 2-day VPOC. Market takes out overnight high, fails to go further higher, and reverts lower. Settles below overnight low, however staying above prior low to continue one-time framing higher for the regular trading hours (RTH).
Commodities
Gold: Market analysis and strategy for July 10.Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3345, support level 3245
Four-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3285
One-hour chart resistance level 3330, support level 3310.
Yesterday, gold bottomed out and rebounded, standing above 3310, breaking the previous downward rhythm. The breakthrough of the previous opening means that gold is likely to continue to rise. The current market is bullish above 3310. You can buy around 3310. The upper resistance is 3340/45 area. The gold price runs in this area. If the top signal appears at a small level, you can sell.
In terms of intraday operations, it is recommended to sell in the 3340-45 range after rising, and buy when it falls back to 3310. It runs in a narrow range and can be scalped.
SELL: 3343 near
BUY: 3310near
Gold Holds Its Structure – Retest in ProgressOANDA:XAUUSD Price continues to follow a clearly defined ascending channel, with consistently higher highs and higher lows – a textbook sign of a sustained uptrend. This bullish momentum indicates buyers remain in control, reinforcing the case for further upside.
A key resistance level was recently broken, and we’re now observing a classic retest scenario. That breakout? It matters. It’s not just a price move – it’s a structural shift. If the former resistance holds as support, this opens the door for a potential rally toward 3,351 – the upper boundary of the current channel.
But if that level fails, a mild pullback is likely, possibly a temporary drop before the market decides on its next move.
Bottom line: respect the structure. Don’t force trades without clear confirmation.
GBPJPY - Multi Year SHORTS Coming! (Over 10,000pips)Here we have the 2 month chart of GBPJPY. We can see that we're in a massive ending diagonal made up of 5 waves.
We are currently on wave 4 and have almost completed. At the moment we are working within the parameters of a channel however we must be aware that we may exceed the channel. The channel is just there for us to use as a guideline.
In 2007, we have a really nice ending diagonal (expanding) before we made that ridiculous +13k pip drop.
See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart from 2007:
We can see that the lower timeframe diagonal broke down beautifully.
We are anticipating something similar this time round!
See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart of the current diagonal:
We've got an almost identical price action as 2007. We just got to wait a little and watch for the break of the red trendline and enter and hold.
See below for the 2week chart of GBPJPY:
Trade Idea:
- Watch for a break of the ending diagonal
- Alternatively, you can wait for a pullback after the ending diagonal breaks
- stop loss above highs once entry trendline breaks
- Swing Target: 100 (10,000pips)
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Bulls rise, beware of Friday's black swan📰 News information:
1. Pay attention to the impact of Trump administration tariffs
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold rose as expected and touched around 3344, which was in line with our judgment last night. However, from the market point of view, the K-line entity did not stand firmly above 3335. There are only two possible scenarios for the subsequent trend of gold. One is to stand directly above and test the 3345 resistance again, and the other is to fall in the European and American markets due to timeliness and retest the key support of 3310. At present, the upper positions are 3345 and 3365 respectively. If 3345 is repeatedly not broken and the European market falls with acceleration, then the 3310 area will still need to take back the long positions, which can be defined as a long wide-range wash. 3330-3320 is a very critical support position, and 3310 is a strong support. Therefore, the best position for shorting during the day is around 3335-3345, with the target at 3330-3320. Consider long positions after falling back and getting support here.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3335-3345
TP 3330-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3345-3365
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Reversal Entry's Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal 3285 : 3272 Zone
🩸Bearish Reversal 3326 : 3334 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Reversal Entry's Detected )
Gold bullish breakout support at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADING IDEA - US CRUDE OIL - BEARISH FLAG, CONCERNS ON GLOBAL EFOREXCOM:USOIL
The US Crude Oil prices went down yesterday, mostly because of the tariffs and concerns on demand.
Here is what the Bloomberg is writing: " OPEC+ is discussing a pause in its oil production increases from October is fueling concerns about a slowdown in global energy demand. In addition, the intensification of US tariffs risks slowing global economic growth and energy demand after President Trump ramped up tariffs on numerous countries this week, including a 50% tariff on Brazil."
So, despite the pause in oil production increase, which is supposed to be bullish factor the oil prices, we may see the slowdown in global economy and supposedly a recession because of Trump's tariffs. This is a long-term bearish factor for the oil. I think that we will see another bearish impulse here, according to what we observe on the chart.
There is a nice bearish flag and i am planning to short it with a target nearby 6,540.00 support level.
🔽 a pending sell stop order at 6615.3 with
❌a stop loss at 6680.9 and
🤑a take profit at 6544.0
Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!
Bullish bounce>WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 65.65
1st Support: 63.74
1st Resistance: 68.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Why Ethereum’s Will 10×🚀 Ethereum’s Next 10×: Why bank-grade adoption + the stable-coin avalanche make a moonshot look conservative
Big banks are building on-chain right now. JPMorgan & Bank of America began 2025 pilots for dollar-backed tokens that settle on Ethereum, while Societe Generale just unveiled its USD CoinVertible stable-coin on main-net.
Stable-coins already move more money than Visa + Mastercard combined. $27.6 trillion flowed through stable-coins in 2024—most of it routed over Ethereum block-space.
Ethereum clears four-fifths of that stable-coin volume. More than 80 % of all stable-coin transactions occur on ETH or its L2s, locking in network effects that rivals can’t match.
ETF wall-of-money is already hitting the gate. 2025 Ethereum ETFs posted a record $743 million month of inflows—the strongest vote of institutional confidence to date.
ETH supply keeps shrinking while demand spikes. Post-Merge burn has removed roughly 332 k ETH, flipping issuance negative; base-line inflation is now < –1.3 %/yr.
30 million ETH is locked in staking, slicing liquid float by 25 %. The yield engine tightens supply just as banks and ETFs need inventory.
Real-world assets are going token-native. Tokenized bond issuance jumped 260 % in 2024 to €3 billion, and virtually every pilot settles on ERC-standards.
Layer-2 roll-ups slashed average gas fees to <$4. Cheaper block-space makes day-to-day payments viable, driving still more stable-coin throughput (and fee burn).
User base is exploding toward mass scale. Active ETH wallets hit 127 million—up 22 % YoY—showing that retail, devs, and institutions are onboarding together.
Energy-efficient PoS removes the last ESG roadblock. With > 99 % less energy use than PoW chains, Ethereum checks the sustainability box that banks and asset managers need for wide-open deployment.
Bottom line: when TradFi giants plug directly into Ethereum rails and stable-coins dwarf legacy payment rails, every transfer torches a little more supply. Add the ETF flywheel and a vanishing float, and a 10× move shifts from “moon-boy” to math.
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MartyBoots here—trading for 17 years, and I would like to hear YOUR take!
👉 Can Ethereum really 10× from here? Drop your best argument below, hit the 👍 if you learned something, and smash that Follow to stay in the loop on every crypto deep-dive I post.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci supprt?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,306.96
1st Support: 3,287.36
1st Resistance: 3,342.69
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Early impulsive action got me active! This was a move I was looking to happen yesterday but got slapped trying. It just rocks out like that some time and you have to wait for the next opportunity. In this move early and looking for it to continue if it can hold well above yesterdays high. Trailing stop with every 50 ticks cause anything can happen turning price around and I dont want to give to much back.
WTI Oil – From Conflict to StrategyBack on April 24, I marked a short zone. On June 11, price broke above that level, giving a long opportunity — which I took.
Unfortunately, it coincided with the tragic military strike by Israel on Iran, pushing oil sharply higher. I’ve pinned that analysis.
Following the ceasefire, price dropped again — just a reminder that geopolitics can shake the charts.
As traders, we stay prepared to act, even while acknowledging the deep sadness of lives lost.
Now I wait for price to reach my marked level again. If I get a valid signal, I’ll short.
But if price breaks and holds above, I’ll buy the pullback — with no bias, just pure execution.
Risk-managed. Emotion-neutral. Opportunity-focused.
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 10 July 25Hello Traders,
as you can see that GOLD is stuck in tight range between 3300-3330 all eyes on clear breakout for now
further only market will break clearly 3345 level then we will consider market will move further advance below 3300 GOLD will move towards 3250
Scalping Range 3300 - 3330 for the short time period
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
The latest gold analysis and strategy on July 10:
Core logic of the market
Risk aversion supports gold prices: Trump postponed tariffs but threatened to increase them in the future. Market concerns about trade frictions remain, and gold is still supported as a safe-haven asset.
Impact of the US dollar trend: If trade tensions escalate, the US dollar may be under pressure, which is further beneficial to gold.
Technical side is bullish and volatile: The daily line closed positive and stabilized the lower Bollinger track. The H4 cycle rebounded with consecutive positives, but it has not yet broken through the key resistance of 3345. Be wary of repeated fluctuations.
Key point analysis
Support level: 3310-3300 (short-term), 3285 (strong support)
Resistance level: 3340-3345 (Daily Bollinger middle track), 3365 (target after breakthrough)
Key day of change: The rebound may continue on Thursday. If it breaks through 3345, it may further attack 3365-3400 on Friday.
Trading strategy
1. Low-to-long (main strategy)
Entry point: 3310-3315 (retracement support area)
Stop loss: 3305 (prevent false breakthrough)
Target: 3325 (short-term), 3335-3345 (key resistance area)
Logic: H4 cycle continuous positive shows bullish momentum, and it is expected to continue to rebound after retracement support.
2. High-level short-selling auxiliary trading strategy (if key resistance is touched)
Entry point: 3340-3345 (first test resistance area)
Stop loss: 3350 (prevent breakout and upward movement)
Target: 3325-3320 (short-term correction)
Logic: 3345 is a strong pressure from the middle track of the daily Bollinger. You can short before breaking through, but you need to enter and exit quickly.
Key observation points
3345 breakthrough situation:
If it stands firmly at 3345, you can go long with a light position after the correction (target 3365, 3400).
If it falls under pressure, it may return to the 3310-3340 oscillation range.
3300 defense situation:
If it falls below 3300, it may fall back to 3285, and we need to be alert to short-term weakness.
Summary
Main idea: Low-long (3310-3315) as the main, target 3345, and look at 3365+ after breaking through.
Auxiliary strategy: 3340-3345 short, fast in and fast out.
Risk control: Strictly stop loss, avoid chasing up and selling down, and pay attention to the changes in the momentum of the US market.
Perfect prediction, pay attention to the high short entry pointTrump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued a tariff threat, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. There was no clear direction coming out of the Fed's meeting minutes last night, but the potential bias was bullish.
At the beginning of the Asian session this morning, I also indicated that gold would rise and then fall. At present, it has reached the highest point near 3325 and then began to retreat, but the 4H golden cross has just been formed. There is still a certain pressure above 3333. If the gold price repeatedly competes for this position, we can continue to short without hesitation. The second short position today is near 3340-3345. There is potential momentum for the bulls in the short term. If the European session continues to fluctuate below 3333, then the entry of short positions will be slightly more stable. Yesterday, short orders were given at the key points of 3321 and 3333, and TP looked at 3310. If the bulls re-emerge below 3310-3305, you can consider short-term long positions and target 3330-3335.
Quick take o sugar futuresThe technical picture is starting to look quite interesting. Let's see if seasonality will kick in as well. Let's dig in.
MARKETSCOM:SUGAR
ICEUS:SB1!
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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GOLD: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,324.79 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,330.13.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold at a Decision Point-Just as Tariff Headlines Return(July 9)📌
4H Technical Outlook by MJTrading
Price is compressing inside a falling channel, nested within a large symmetrical triangle, and now sits right at a high-stakes confluence zone — a perfect intersection of dynamic EMAs, rising trendline support, and local structure.
This could be a pivot point for the next major leg.
🧭 Key Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Breakout Potential:
If price breaks above the falling channel and holds above $3,310–$3,320:
🎯 Target: $3,400, and eventually upper triangle resistance near $3,480–$3,500
✅ Watch for impulsive breakout + retest confirmation
🟡 Bearish Breakdown Risk:
If the rising trendline gives way and price closes below $3,275 (High Risk) and $3,245(Low Risk):
🎯 Targets: First $3,232, then key level $3,166
⚠️ Further weakness may expose $3,000 psychological support
🔍 Why It Matters:
• Symmetry + compression = potential volatility expansion
• Trump tariff headlines today (July 9) could trigger safe haven demand
• Strong historical respect of these trendlines
• EMAs aligning around decision zone
“Another BreathTaking Edge” — because this is one of those moments where market structure whispers louder than words.
🗣 Boost if you find value, and follow MJTrading for more clean setups.🚀🚀
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPatterns #PriceAction #BreakoutTrade #Forex #MJTrading
Zoom in to get closer to battlefield:
Zoom out to see where we are:
Gold is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,260 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3,260 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Waiting for the Perfect Entry: XAUUSD Market Structure Breakdown🔍 Taking a look at XAUUSD today: it’s clearly in a downtrend 📉 on the 4H chart, with consecutive lower highs and lower lows 🔽.
📌 My bias is bearish, and I’m patiently waiting for price action to set up for an entry 🎯.
If we get a break of market structure 🧱, followed by a retest and failure of the current range high 🚫, that could present an opportunity 👀 — not financial advice ⚠️.
NATURAL GAS formed Head and Shoulders patternCAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
🔍 From a longer-term perspective, I noticed that a Head and Shoulders pattern 🪖🩻 is about to form. This pattern has been forming since December 2024 and in the long term 🕰️ means no good for those who play long here 📉.
🙋♂️ Personally, I will stay aside for now and observe 👀. The asset may head towards the 3.0000 support level 🪙, where I expect a potential rebound 🔄, possibly even a retest of the trendline from below ↩️.
⏳ In the long term, the asset may even move towards the 2.0000 support level 🚨, but I will need more observation and data to be sure 🧪.
🕊️ Time will show. Thank you for the attention! 🙏