Commodities
Potential outside week and bullish potential for NEMEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:NEM above the level of the potential outside week noted on 13th June (i.e.: above the level of $88.35).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 11th June (i.e.: below $80.70), should the trade activate.
XAUUSD - High possibility of volatile market opening (20250616)Well, it is quite obvious we have a volatile geo-political crisis this weekend, so market may overreact once again to bring Gold to at least 3500 opening.
Looking at volume, though Gold is in uncharted territory and it can be move as high as 3550 - 3600, I rather play for a quick profit.
Hope later this Sunday, we can find some positive news that can at least hold the surge of Gold to minimum.
Trade safe, Trade wisely. Monday will be a very volatile opening.
Everybody loves Gold Part 4Gold strategy steadily churning out the pips
Here's a breakdown of trading dynamics:
1. Expecting price to break past for continuation up
2. Price might bounce back for which; will be looking for a continuation from -50/-100 or -150pips to the upside
3. Will be looking for double tops/bottom along the way
As always price action determines trades.
PLAINS - LONG TERM BUY OPPORTUNITY FOR 25%+ GAINSPLAINS ALL AMERICAN PIPELINE, L.P. (PAA) has been recovering from all-time lows at $3.00 per share in 2020 with a nice upward channel forming over the past 5 years. Expect some choppy price movements around $20.00 per share but once price breaks above, the next price target is $30.00 per share over the next few years. With uncertainty and war in the middle east, oil and oil stocks can be considered great investments, especially when the U.S. decides to invest more in producing oil domestically. Don't be surprised if the rise moves faster than anticipated if more uncertainty arises in the middle east.
GOLD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3440.7 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3424.3
Safe Stop Loss - 3450.7
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
4-Hour Analysis for XAUUSD (14 June 2025)4-Hour Analysis: The Bigger Picture
Price Action & Market Structure
Current price is at $3432.835.
The market has printed a higher high above the previous swing at ~$3425.
Last Break of Structure (BOS): Occurred to the upside at ~$3412.
Recent CHoCH (Change of Character): None yet to the downside—bullish structure still intact.
Conclusion: Bullish Market Structure is dominant.
Fibonacci Levels
Measured from the swing low at $3362 to the recent swing high at $3437:
38.2% retracement: ~$3410
50% retracement: ~$3399
61.8% retracement: ~$3388
These are our retracement zones where demand is likely to step in.
Smart Money Key Concepts
Imbalance: Clean imbalance exists between $3408–$3415.
Bullish Order Block (OB): 4H candle at $3394–$3402
Liquidity Grab: Sweep below $3411 (old low) before reversal signals smart money accumulation.
Premium/Discount Zone: Current price is above 50% of last impulse → In premium zone (better to look for sells here until retracement).
Key Zones (Interaction Points)
Buy Zone Cluster (Discount Price)
Zone A (OB + 61.8% + Liquidity Pool) → $3385–$3402
Zone B (Imbalance + Fib 50%) → $3408–$3415
Sell Zone Cluster (Premium Price) – for retracements
Zone C (Last Supply + Swing Highs) → $3437–$3445
Zone D (Rejection Block + Liquidity Above) → $3455–$3462
4-Hour Bias: Bullish
We are in a bullish continuation phase. Ideal trades are buys from demand zones, aiming for new highs or liquidity sweeps above swing points.
Zoom-In: 1-Hour Chart – Trade Setups
Setup 1: Buy from Demand + OB Reaction
Entry Zone: $3394–$3402
Direction: Buy
Stop-Loss: $3384
Take Profit 1: $3430
Take Profit 2: $3445
Trigger Condition: Bullish engulfing or bullish BOS on 15-min chart after liquidity grab into the zone.
Reason: Overlap of OB, 61.8% fib, and clean liquidity pool below $3400.
Setup 2: Buy from Imbalance Tap
Entry Zone: $3408–$3415
Direction: Buy
Stop-Loss: $3398
Take Profit 1: $3432
Take Profit 2: $3440
Trigger Condition: CHoCH on 15m with FVG fill (imbalance closes with bullish follow-through).
Reason: Bullish continuation with low-risk entry within imbalance zone and close to 50% fib retracement.
Setup 3: Short from Supply Zone for Retracement
Entry Zone: $3455–$3462
Direction: Sell
Stop-Loss: $3472
Take Profit 1: $3432
Take Profit 2: $3415
Trigger Condition: Bearish engulfing or 1H CHoCH inside the zone.
Reason: Price likely to grab liquidity above highs before retracing; this is a countertrend scalp within premium pricing.
Final Takeaway:
“Stay bullish on Gold while it’s above $3394—but let price correct into demand before looking to join the trend.”
Gold Wave Analysis and OutlookHi Traders,
My technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD suggests we are currently in a corrective wave 2 pattern. This correction could take gold to the 1800-1780 region , likely around October 2023.
After wave 2 finishes, wave 3 has potential to break above 2000 and resume the larger bullish trend.
However, we need to see the correction play out first, so I don't anticipate a sustained upside move until after wave 2 completes.
For now, I'm cautious on new long positions in gold until we see signs of wave 2 bottoming out around 1780-1800. Once the correction finishes, I will look to go long for the next leg up towards 2000 (around 2300).
Let me know if you have any other opinion!
PAXUSDT 4H Levels week ending 6/13/25Paxos Gold (PAXG) is a crypto asset backed by real gold reserves held by Paxos, a for-profit company based in New York. Each PAXG token is redeemable for 1 troy fine ounce of gold custodied in vaults by Paxos and its partners, and its market value is meant to mirror the physical gold it represents.
I'm looking for PAX to make a move towards the previous day high at the least.
"XAU/USD Bearish Setup: Rising Channel Breakdown AnticipatedPrevious Resistance Zone (Red Rectangle):
The chart shows a clear resistance zone between ~3,340 and ~3,370 USD.
Price was rejected sharply from this zone earlier (marked by the large blue dot at the swing high).
Current Rising Channel (Blue Channel):
A rising wedge or ascending channel is forming, typically a bearish continuation pattern when found in a downtrend.
Price is currently testing the upper boundary of this pattern.
Bearish Projection (Red Path & Arrows):
The chart creator expects a rejection from the top of the channel, leading to a breakdown and a move toward the next key support at ~3,246.94 USD.
A large red arrow and projected box highlight the short setup zone with an implied favorable risk/reward ratio.
Support Target:
Blue horizontal line at 3,246.94 marks the next significant support level, likely a take-profit target for short sellers.
Macro Factors:
Three small icons indicate upcoming U.S. economic events, possibly influencing XAU/USD volatility and confirming the move.
✅ Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Pattern: Rising Channel (bearish structure)
Entry Zone: Around 3,350–3,360 USD (top of channel)
Target Zone: ~3,246 USD
Risk: Invalid if price closes strongly above the resistance zone (~3,370 USD)
Bull market continues? Beware of the possibility of a pullback📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
In the short term, gold is expected to rise further. Relatively speaking, there is still room for further increase. If it continues to rise today, it depends on the test of 3440 points, which is the opening position of the previous decline. In the short term, pay attention to the 3340-3350 resistance. If it can break through and stay above it, the 3468-3493 line we gave in the morning can still be used as a reference, and it is even expected to reach 3500. But at the same time, the RSI indicator in the hourly chart is approaching the overbought area, so we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of a pullback.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3440-3450
TP 3430-3420
BUY 3415-3400
TP 3420-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish after completing each of our targets throughout the week with ema5 lock confirmations on our proprietary Goldturn levels. Yesterday we finished off with 3388 and stated we would look for ema5 cross and lock above 3388 to open 3428 and failure to lock will follow with a rejection.
- This played out perfectly with the cross and lock confirmation and then the target hit at 3428 completing the range.
BULLISH TARGET
3318 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3388 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428 - DONE
We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – CHoCH Confirmed & Discount Pullback in Motio👋 Hey traders!
Here’s your fresh H4 XAUUSD Outlook for June 9, 2025 — real-time structure, sniper zones, and bias clarity, right where price is sitting. Let’s dive in 👇
📍 Bias: Bearish short-term → clean CHoCH & liquidity sweep, targeting discount retracement
🔹 1. 🔍 H4 Structure Summary
CHoCH (Lower) confirmed after recent LH at 3384.
Price failed to reclaim supply → now trading back below the 3350 level.
Multiple internal CHoCHs + bearish OB at 3368 showing clear short-term rejection.
Market is shifting from a bullish continuation into a retracement leg.
🔹 2. 🧭 Key H4 Structure Zones
Zone Type Price Range Structure Notes
🔼 Supply Zone (Flip Trap) 3360 – 3384 Clean CHoCH, FVG, + OB rejection area — major sell trigger
🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3272 – 3252 Retest OB + FVG cluster, ideal reaction zone for possible bounce
🔽 Deep Discount Zone 3174 – 3145 Last major accumulation + bullish origin block
🔹 3. 📐 Price Action Flow
Previous HH → LH → CHoCH confirms internal structure break.
Liquidity swept above LH at 3384, trapping late bulls.
Now targeting equilibrium zone around 3260–3280 as next H4 liquidity base.
🔹 4. 📊 EMA Alignment (5/21/50/100/200)
EMA5 and EMA21 are starting to cross down.
Price has lost momentum above EMA50 → retracement expected into EMA100/200 territory (sub-3280).
Full bullish EMA stack remains — but this is a controlled correction inside trend.
🔹 5. 🧠 RSI + Momentum View
RSI has dropped below 50 → bearish control short-term.
Momentum flow fading after multiple rejection wicks from premium zones.
📌 Scenarios
🔽 Retracement Flow in Progress
Price likely heading to 3272–3252 demand block for reaction
If this zone fails → we open door to 3174–3145 clean swing zone
🔼 Invalidation
Bullish pressure only regains control on break + hold above 3384
Until then: favor selling the supply + letting price reach discount
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
We’ve officially shifted into retracement mode on H4. The game now is to either:
Sell retests into supply, or
Wait for clean confirmations at demand for new longs
Let price come to your zone. No emotion — just structure.
💬 Drop your chart view below or ask if you’re unsure where to position next.
Locked in for next move,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
Analysis of the latest gold trend on June 13:
Gold multi-period resonance analysis
1. Daily level - trend strengthening stage
Structural breakthrough: The price effectively stood above the 3350 neckline (the upper edge of the previous oscillation range), and the daily closing was "engulfing the positive line", confirming the bullish dominance.
Moving average system: 5/10/20-day moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern, MACD double lines diverge upward from the zero axis, and RSI (14) remains above 60 without overbought.
Key pressure: 3390-3400 area (weekly Fibonacci 78.6% retracement level).
2. 4-hour level - momentum verification
Wave structure: The 3320 low point can be regarded as the end of wave C, and the current running is sub-wave 3 of driving wave 3, with a theoretical target of 3415 (1.618 extension level).
Volume and price coordination: The rise is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, while the Asian session pullback is reduced, indicating that the selling pressure is limited.
3. 1-hour level - short-term trading anchor point
Time-sharing support:
Strong defensive position 3356 (starting point of Asian morning session + Bollinger middle rail)
Bull lifeline 3348 (previous high conversion support + V-shaped retracement 61.8% position)
Intraday channel: Currently running along the rising channel (lower rail 3355/upper rail 3395)
Today's three-dimensional trading strategy
▶ Main long plan
Best entry area: 3362-3355 (4-hour EMA10 and channel lower rail overlap area)
Position allocation: 50% main position, stop loss 3345 (stop loss moves up after breaking through the previous high)
Target 1: 3385 (equal amplitude measurement after breaking through the Asian session high)
Target 2: 3400 (reduce position by 50% in the daily pressure zone)
Target 3: 3415 (clear position at the wave theory target position)
▶ Auxiliary short opportunities
Counter-trend conditions: first touch 3408 and appear:
1-hour chart pregnancy line/evening star
MACD top divergence + shrinking trading volume
Operation: light position short (position ≤ 20%), stop loss 3418, target 3380
▶ Breakthrough chasing order strategy
Break above 3402: fall back to 3392 to chase long, stop loss 3385, target 3425
Break below 3348: rise and rebound to 3352 to short, stop loss 3360, target 3330
Gold Breaks $3400 – Targets $3500 Amid Tensions (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the lower timeframe, we can see that today, following Israel's missile and airstrike attacks on Iran, gold experienced a sharp rally. As anticipated last night, gold finally managed to break through the strong $3400 resistance, surging over 600 pips to reach $3447.
Currently, gold is trading around $3438, and given the escalation in geopolitical tensions, I expect further upside movement.
The next potential targets are $3449, $3469, and possibly $3500.
⚠️ Due to ongoing conflict and extreme volatility, it's advised to avoid trading or proceed only with minimal risk exposure.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold will grow a little more and then make correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After forming a downward wedge and several rejections near the support line, the price eventually broke out to the upside, signaling a reversal. This breakout was followed by a strong upward impulse, and Gold quickly shifted into a consolidation phase, creating a wide sideways range structure. Inside this range, we observed multiple rebounds from the lower boundary and a gradual rise toward the resistance level. Recently, the price exited the range upward after testing the buyer zone and breaking above the support area. However, this breakout seems impulsive and may need a correction. Currently, Gold trades slightly above the 3400 level, which aligns with the support area and the previous range border. In my view, the price may make a short upward move, followed by a return to the current support level. That’s why I set my TP at 3400 points, which corresponds to the support area and acts as a potential bounce zone in case of a retracement. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD poised for breakout GLD & /gcAfter going on a huge run to 317 we have spent a significant time now basing out and consolidating we’ve come down into that 300 range and tested and built up quite a bit of support
With the Iranian intentions we could kickstart the next move in gold 317 is the breakout. I am looking to play this breakout on an intra day pull back with some calls one month out for a swing Trey looking at the 320 or 325 strike price
GOLD - Price can correct to support level and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Gold entered a Rising Channel structure, demonstrating stable growth with higher highs and higher lows.
After testing and breaking through the $3265 support level, the price pulled back slightly and then resumed its upward momentum.
This move confirmed buyer strength and renewed interest in the mid-channel zone.
Recently, Gold successfully retested the $3365–$3375 support area, turning it into a local springboard.
Now price is gaining traction above this zone and appears to be preparing for a continuation of the current trend.
I expect it to rise toward the $3450 target — the upper resistance of the channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.