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Gold Analysis – Ascending Channel with Resistance RejectionGold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Ascending Channel with Resistance Rejection 📉 📊 Timeframe: 4H 💰 Current Price: $2,939 📈 Trend: Uptrend within an ascending channel Market Overview: Gold is currently trading inside an ascending channel, respecting both dynamic support and resistance. However, the price has shown multiple rejections at the resistance zone, indicating a potential pullback. Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Resistance Zone: $2,950 - $2,960 (Strong rejection area) ✅ Support Levels: $2,920 (Dynamic support), $2,882 (Major support) ✅ Critical Breakdown Level: Below $2,882 could signal a deeper correction Technical Pattern: 🔹 Double Top Formation at Resistance: Price failed to break higher, showing a bearish reaction. 🔹 Dynamic Support Retest: The price could test the ascending channel support near $2,920. 🔹 Lower Highs Forming: A sign of weakening bullish momentum. Trade Plan: 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If price rejects the resistance again, expect a pullback towards $2,920 - $2,910. A breakdown below the ascending channel could trigger a drop to $2,882 or lower. 🔹 Bullish Scenario: If price holds above $2,920, bulls may attempt another breakout towards $2,960+.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
Gold Surging - Will the RSI Overbought Matter?📈 Gold Extends Gains in Strong Uptrend Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,938, continuing its rally within a well-defined ascending channel (orange lines). Price remains above both the 50-day EMA ($2,776) and 200-day EMA ($2,576), reinforcing bullish momentum. 🔍 Key Technical Levels: Resistance: $3,000 → Psychological level, upper bound of the channel. Support: $2,900 → Lower channel trendline. $2,850 → Stronger support if the uptrend weakens. 📊 Momentum Check: RSI at 71.56 → Overbought territory, a pullback or consolidation is possible. Price hugging the upper trendline, suggesting a short-term correction could be healthy. 🚀 What’s Next? Bulls want to see $2,900 hold as support to sustain the trend. A break below the channel could trigger profit-taking toward $2,850 or even the 50-day EMA ($2,776). Gold’s trend remains bullish, but overbought conditions warn of potential volatility. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Levels to consider for Crude oil Futures CL1!On this video i discuss what I think is the next long/short to consider and illustrate how not to get caught up in the noise of low probability setups . Currently we are trading inside of a range between the POC and the VAH . I look back on previous highs in the chart and how we reacted at those levels and what I potentially see looking forward . My bias overall is expecting more downside but I dont marry that one bias and simply look at the PA from both sides with a focus on having a plan in the event of a move up or Down .
NYMEX:CL1!
by SJTRADESFUTURES
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The market is trading on 2941.7 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 2952.86 Recommended Stop Loss - 2937.0 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
USDCHF Bullish Flag: Breakout Targeting 0.94000USDCHF is currently trading at 0.90200, with a bullish flag pattern forming, signaling a potential breakout toward the 0.94000 target. The bullish flag is a continuation pattern that typically follows a strong upward move, followed by a period of consolidation before the next leg higher. If the price successfully breaks above the flag’s upper trendline, it could trigger a bullish wave, pushing USDCHF toward its next resistance levels. From a technical perspective, the flag’s consolidation phase suggests temporary indecision in the market. However, as long as the price remains above key support levels and breaks out with strong volume, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. A confirmed breakout above the resistance could provide an entry opportunity for traders aiming for the 0.94000 target. Fundamentally, the US dollar remains supported by the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rate cuts. Recent economic data from the US, including inflation figures and labor market strength, have kept the dollar strong against the Swiss franc. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintains a relatively dovish stance, which could further weaken CHF and support the bullish case for USDCHF. In summary, USDCHF is forming a bullish flag pattern, awaiting a breakout for further upside movement. A strong breakout above the resistance level could trigger a rally toward 0.94000, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should closely monitor price action and key economic events to confirm the bullish continuation.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Gold - This Breakout Will Lead To $5.000!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is preparing a major breakout: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For more than one and a half decades, Gold has been respecting the structure of a rising channel pattern with one exception. Back in 2010 we saw a bullish breakout followed by a parabolic rally and as we are speaking, Gold is starting to break out of the channel once again. Levels to watch: $2.900, $5.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDLong
by basictradingtv
24
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Testing Key Resistance at 2,935 - !!XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) – 30-Minute Timeframe Analysis Current Market Context: The XAU/USD pair has been in an overall bullish trend, evidenced by the price being positioned above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating the dominance of buyers in the market. However, the price action currently suggests a potential reversal or consolidation at key resistance. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: The price has approached a significant resistance area near 2,935, which has historically served as a reversal zone. The market is currently struggling to maintain bullish momentum at this level, with a recent rejection visible. Support Zone: A clear support level can be identified around 2,920, where price has previously found buying interest. A break below this could indicate a deeper retracement towards lower levels. Technical Indicators: 200 EMA: The price is trading above the 200 EMA, which traditionally signals an uptrend. However, the recent pullback suggests the market could be testing this level for support. Price Action: The formation of lower wicks and the rejection at the resistance zone may suggest waning bullish momentum, which could trigger a pullback or consolidation in the short term. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If the price successfully breaks above the resistance zone (around 2,935), we could expect a continuation towards higher levels, targeting 2,940 or beyond. Confirmation of this move would require a strong close above the resistance with increased volume. Bearish Reversal: Should the price fail to break above the resistance and begin to show signs of rejection (as seen with the current price action), a potential short-term bearish move could occur. The first target would likely be the support around 2,920, with a deeper retracement towards 2,915 if the market sentiment turns more risk-averse. Conclusion: At present, XAU/USD is at a crucial juncture. The key resistance zone at 2,935 is critical for determining the next directional move. A failure to break above this level could lead to a short-term bearish retracement, while a successful breakout would reaffirm the bullish trend. Traders should monitor for price action confirmation near these levels to assess the most probable market direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrStellanSight
Latest gold update today: Price continues to increase stronglyJames Hello everyone! Currently, gold prices are entering a bullish consolidation phase as Trump tariffs weigh on risk sentiment. The US dollar is struggling to hold despite the dovish Fed Minutes as US Treasury yields decline. Currently, gold prices are waiting for acceptance above $2,950 as the daily technical setup favors buyers. As mentioned on the 1-hour chart, an ascending trend line has formed along with the support of the 34 and 89 EMAs, suggesting further upside potential for gold without any significant reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader-JamesFX
Gold NEW ATH to $2,954?! (1H UPDATE)Gold on the 4H TF is within its final Wave 5 bullish move, there’s no arguing with that. The only thing to debate is how high can Wave 5 push up before reversing? While it’s possible that Wave 5 has now peaked at $2,942 & ready for a major correction, on the 1H TF I see a small possibly of it creating a new ATH toward $2,954. HIGH RISK TRADE. Confluences👇🏻 ⭕️Distribution Schematic Taking Place Between Wave 3 High, Wave 4 Low & Wave 5 High. ⭕️Wave E Rejected From Psychological Number Of $2,940 (LQ Trap). ⭕️No Strong Sell Off Yet To Indicate A Reversal Has Started.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by BA_Investments
0217-0221 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, When events develop in an illogical manner, emotions and manipulation are often the first two factors to consider. 1. The "illogical" phenomenon behind last Friday's U.S. stock market surge Last night, U.S. stocks experienced a significant rally despite lacking fundamental support. However, from the perspective of economic data and market dynamics, this surge appears to lack rationality. 1. Inflationary pressures are significantly increasing In January, the Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation rate unexpectedly rose to 3.5% (higher than the expected 3.2%), while the core PPI inflation rate reached 3.6% (higher than the expected 3.3%). This marks the highest PPI inflation rate since February 2023. More importantly, this data confirms that the previous 0.5% month-on-month increase in CPI was not due to seasonal factors but rather a reflection of persistent inflationary pressures. 2. Employment data indicates an overheated economy Last week, initial jobless claims came in at 213K, lower than the expected 216K, while continuing claims reached 1850K, below the expected 1882K. This demonstrates that the labor market remains strong, and the "hot" employment data further reinforces concerns about an overheating economy. 3. Rate cut expectations are delayed With CPI, PPI, and employment data all exceeding expectations, the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed further back. Currently, the market generally anticipates the earliest rate cuts to occur in September 2025. Even worse, if the Fed's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which is expected to be released today, also shows an increase, the market may reprice rate hike expectations. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield has already broken out of its symmetrical triangle, with technical analysis suggesting its next target could be 5%, further strengthening expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes instead of continuing to cut rates. 4. Liquidity is shrinking On Thursday (February 13), the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) usage dropped to $67.82 billion, the lowest level since April 2021, indicating that market liquidity is rapidly contracting. From this data, it is evident that U.S. stocks lack fundamental support for their rally. However, under such circumstances, the significant rise in U.S. stocks raises questions about whether emotional trading and market manipulation are at play. --- 2. Crowded markets: Risk appetite reaches extremes Scott Rubner, Managing Director and Tactical Expert at Goldman Sachs Global Markets, published a report following last night's U.S. stock market rally, bluntly stating that this is his final bullish email on U.S. stocks for this quarter. He pointed out: > “Everyone is in this pool, including retail investors, 401(k) retirement fund inflows, beginning-of-year fund allocations, and corporations. The dynamics of fund flow demand are rapidly changing, and negative seasonality is approaching.” This suggests that the market is already too crowded, and the momentum for buying on dips is rapidly diminishing. The following data further confirms the extreme crowding in the market: 1. Assets in leveraged long equity ETFs reached a record high of $95 billion last week, compared to $67.6 billion during the stock market frenzy of 2021. 2. Since the third quarter of 2022, the total assets of funds using derivatives for long bets have tripled. 3. Assets in leveraged short equity ETFs decreased by $13.3 billion, falling to $8.5 billion. In other words, for every $1 in leveraged short ETFs, there is a record $11 in leveraged long ETFs. The level of crowding in market trading has reached an extreme, or even "crazy," state. This extreme risk appetite has planted hidden risks for the future trajectory of the market. --- 3. Why did gold pull back? In such an extreme market environment for U.S. stocks, gold, as a safe-haven asset, failed to reach new highs last Friday and instead retreated. The reasons behind this phenomenon mainly include the following: 1. A stronger U.S. dollar Due to rising expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes, the U.S. Dollar Index saw a significant rebound last Friday. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with the dollar, and a stronger dollar directly suppressed gold's upward momentum. 2. Rising real interest rates The upward movement in the two-year U.S. Treasury yield and the market's repricing of the Fed's monetary policy caused real interest rates to rise. Gold, as a non-yielding asset, is highly sensitive to real interest rates. Rising real interest rates weaken gold's appeal. 3. Market sentiment shifting toward risk assets Despite the market's uncertainties, the strong performance of U.S. stocks attracted substantial capital inflows into risk assets. Increased risk appetite among investors reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 4. Technical resistance From a technical analysis perspective, gold faced significant resistance near its previous highs. Profit-taking by bulls further exacerbated gold's pullback. --- 4. Technical Analysis Weekly Chart It is evident that gold has entered a period of consolidation near its top. Last week closed with a bearish candle, forming a multi-candle evening star pattern on the weekly chart, which is a bearish reversal signal. For the upcoming week, the trading strategy will focus on identifying short opportunities on lower timeframes. Four-Hour Chart The five-wave structure appears to have ended, with the final wave reaching higher and broader levels than previously anticipated. Considering the gradual formation of a top structure, next week's trading plan will focus on short opportunities below the four-hour EMA. --- GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 19.02.2025📊 Market Structure & Price Action Analysis: Uptrend Confirmation: Gold has been respecting the ascending channel since $2,880, indicating strong bullish momentum. Key Support Zone: $2,923 - $2,925, which aligns with the trendline support and has held twice. Rejection from Resistance: $2,939, suggesting a temporary pullback before another bullish leg. Potential Buy Zone: If price revisits $2,923 - $2,925 and holds, it presents a good long opportunity. 📈 Intraday Scalping Trade Signal (BUY Setup) ✅ Buy Entry: $2,923 - $2,925 (Wait for confirmation with bullish price action) 🎯 Take Profit (TP1): $2,939 (Short-term target) 🎯 Take Profit (TP2): $2,946 - $2,950 (Channel resistance) 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $2,915 (Trendline breakdown invalidates setup) ⚖ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher 🕵 Confirmation Checklist Before Entry: ✅ Bullish Candlestick Formation (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar at support) ✅ Trendline & Support Hold at $2,923 - $2,925 ✅ Volume Increase on Buy Pressure ✅ DXY (Dollar Index) Weakness for Additional Confirmation ⚠ Risk Management: Exit immediately if price closes below $2,915, as it would indicate a trendline breakdown. Move SL to Breakeven once TP1 is hit. Avoid Chasing Entry if price already starts moving higher without touching the buy zone. 📌 Trading Tip: Monitor gold's reaction at $2,923 - $2,925; a strong bounce confirms bullish strength. 🚀 Like, follow and comment your concern.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quinn901
Gold Market analysis and short-term forecastsIn the early Asian session on Thursday, gold fluctuated in a narrow range, and the current price is around 2943. After setting a new record on Wednesday, it fell back. Although US President Trump's latest tariff threat made investors nervous, the US dollar continued to rebound, prompting some longs to take profits. The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed that the potential impact of Trump's policies has caused the Federal Reserve to worry about rising inflation. Policymakers generally believe that changes in trade policies, immigration policies and geopolitical risks may push up inflation, and companies generally said that they will pass on the cost of import tariffs by raising prices. This uncertainty makes it less likely that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the short term. More importantly, Trump asked "dictator" Zelensky to act quickly to ensure peace, otherwise there will be no country to govern. The Kremlin said that Putin and Trump may meet before the end of February. Concerns about the geopolitical situation have cooled down, suppressing the safe-haven buying demand for international gold investment! On this trading day, we need to continue to pay attention to Trump's dynamic news and news related to the situation between Russia and Ukraine. In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending February 15 will be released. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee, St. Louis Fed President Musallem and Fed Governor Kugler will give speeches, which gold investors need to pay attention to. Gold prices have a very good upside as expected, and broke through the high point of 2942 that has not been reached many times in the previous period. The NY market fell and rebounded strongly to close above 2930, forming a wide range of fluctuations at the high of 2918/2946. The current highest gold is around 2947. Although there was a slight decline in the US market yesterday, it has been repaired at the opening today. Therefore, the basic principle is temporarily maintained, and the rise will not guess the top. At present, gold is in a slow rise. Judging from the current trend, the bull market pattern has not been destroyed. From the technical point of view, after the rise in the first three trading days of this week, the daily line has been above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, forming an absolute strength. In the short cycle, if there is an effective adjustment today, you can continue to go long if the trend is maintained. Today's trading callback mainly participates in the trend of low-long, and the high-altitude layout is coordinated! Starting this week, the gold price remained above $2,900 per ounce, but the relative strength index (RSI) showed that it was in the overbought area. The gold daily K-line closed higher continuously, and the weekly line was also controlled by the physical K-line. The resistance seen above was only the upper rail of the 4-hour Bollinger band at 2948, and the upper rail of the monthly Bollinger band at 2960. The upper rail of the daily Bollinger band even extended upward to 2975! The daily line maintained a unilateral rise, and the MA5-MA10 moving average maintained a golden cross upward; the weekly line was a strong pattern of seven consecutive rises, strongly opening the upper rail space of the Bollinger band, and the bullish sentiment was high. Then the intraday situation is strong, and the operation still maintains a bullish idea of ​​callback. Key points: First support: 2926, second support: 2910, third support: 2903 First resistance: 2948, second resistance: 2956, third resistance: 2968 Operation ideas: BUY: 2923-2926, SL: 2915, TP2950-2960; SELL: 2956-2959, SL: 2968, TP: 2940-2930;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
GOLD steadies at high levels despite FOMC looks toughDuring the early morning trading session on Thursday (February 20), spot gold prices suddenly increased rapidly in the short term and gold prices stabilized above 2,940 USD/ounce, approaching the historic high set in the previous trading day. Trump just issued another tariff threat On Wednesday evening local time, US President Trump reiterated that he will announce tariffs on cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. “I will announce tariffs next month or sooner on autos, semiconductors, chips, pharmaceuticals, lumber and a number of other items that have a significant impact on the United States,” Trump said. On Tuesday, Trump said he intended to impose tariffs of "about 25%" on autos, along with similar tariffs on imported semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. Earlier this month, the United States announced a 10% tariff on imports from China and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum. Gold prices hit a record high on Wednesday, but the Fed meeting minutes sent gold prices down a bit Gold prices hit an all-time high in early trading on Wednesday as U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariffs rattled investors, but later retreated from record highs as the dollar strengthened following a tough Federal Reserve meeting minutes. "Participants said that, as long as the economy remains near maximum employment, they would like to see inflation progress further before making additional adjustments to the target range of the federal funds rate," minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's Jan. 28-29 meeting said. Assessment: The meeting minutes highlight the cautious approach of policymakers after they cut interest rates by 100 basis points in the final months of last year. Some officials have said they want to see inflation continue to fall toward the Fed's 2% target before supporting another rate cut. Minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting showed concerns about inflation risks, dampening expectations for interest rate cuts. Gold prices decreased after the Fed meeting minutes, but in general this is not a significant impact because the market is still accepting risks from President Trump. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Technically, gold is up 0.30% on the day, temporarily in front of the 0.382% Fibonacci extension considered the nearest resistance. Once gold breaks above $2,946, it will likely continue to renew its all-time high with a target then around $2,971 in the short term. The intraday technical outlook for gold is bullish, notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 2,921USD Resistance: 2,942 – 2,971USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2975 →Take Profit 1 2963 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2957 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2905 →Take Profit 1 2917 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2923
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAGUSD - How far will silver go?!Silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. If we see a correction, we can re-enter the silver purchase and accompany it to the ceiling of the ascending channel. Then we can sell within the specified supply zone with an appropriate reward for risk. In recent weeks, analysts have warned investors that gold prices breaking strongly above $2,800 suggest an overbought market.Therefore, it is not surprising to see some profit-taking finally occurring, especially since gold prices have surged by more than 11% since the beginning of the year. In contrast, silver has been notably underwhelming. Despite having strong bullish fundamentals, it has not experienced price increases on par with gold. Moreover, silver is more unpredictable, as its volatility is twice that of gold. In recent days, U.S. President Donald Trump has taken bold steps in trade and foreign relations. On Tuesday night, he announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported cars, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductor chips. This decision comes at a time when global markets are grappling with heightened uncertainties, while hopes remain for an end to the Ukraine conflict. A 25% tariff on imported cars could significantly impact the global automotive industry, which has already been facing challenges. Trump has long criticized what he perceives as “unfair treatment” of American car exports in foreign markets. For instance, the European Union imposes a 10% tariff on imported cars—four times higher than the 2.5% tariff the U.S. levies on passenger vehicles. Similar tariffs are planned for pharmaceuticals and semiconductor chips, starting at 25% and set to increase significantly next year. However, Trump did not specify an exact timeline for implementation, stating that he wants to give pharmaceutical companies and chip manufacturers time to establish production facilities in the U.S. to avoid these tariffs. Beyond their immediate impact on specific industries, these tariffs could have long-term repercussions, such as higher business costs and rising prices for consumers. Trump also indicated that he expects major corporations to invest more in the U.S. soon, although he did not provide further details. Amid these trade developments, Trump has initiated negotiations with Russia, signaling a potential shift in diplomatic relations between the two nations. On Tuesday, senior officials from both countries took steps toward rebuilding ties, agreeing to collaborate on ending the Ukraine conflict, increasing financial investments, and restoring diplomatic relations. This meeting marks a significant shift following three years of U.S. efforts to isolate Moscow. Meanwhile, a massive influx of gold and silver has entered the U.S., as major banks and market players hedge against potential tariff threats. This surge in demand has driven up gold and silver prices, creating notable premiums in North American markets. However, a research firm argues that concerns over tariffs may be exaggerated. In a report by BCA Research, commodity analysts revealed they had taken a short position in silver as a contrarian play against tariff fears. They stated, “There is a strong likelihood that the U.S. will not impose import tariffs on gold, silver, platinum, or copper. There is no compelling economic or political motivation for the U.S. to take such action.” They added, “Since the recent surge in precious metal prices has been driven by tariff concerns, investors may react negatively to these price increases.” BCA also noted that if the U.S. were to impose tariffs on gold and silver, they would likely be introduced alongside steel and aluminum tariffs. Analysts concluded, “The silver market is relatively shallow and less liquid, making it more vulnerable to short-term price declines than gold. However, any short-term weakness presents an attractive opportunity for cyclical and structural positioning in this precious metal.”
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Ali_PSND
GOLD - consolidation after reaching intraday ATHThe GOLD (XAUUSD) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be an overbought consolidation after reaching the intraday all time high. The key trading level is at 2895 level, the consolidation price range and also the current daily pivot level. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 2895 level could target the upside resistance at 2945 followed by the 2980 and 3000 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 2895 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 2879 support level followed by 2862. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
Gold prices are also maintaining at historic peak levelsAccording to analysis, the domestic and foreign gold markets are being strongly influenced by the forums of the US Federal Reserve (FED) and the main US trade lists. Recently, President Donald Trump continued to announce that he could impose a 25% tax on imported cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals... Investors continue to look to gold as a safe foreign channel, amid worries about international trade tensions and negotiations to end the conflict in Ukraine that have not yet had positive results as expected. The USD index remained at its lowest level in about 2 months, around 106.9 points, also supporting the rise of gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
WTI - Will oil return to the upward trajectory?!WTI oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the support area, the next opportunity to buy oil with a reward at a reasonable risk will be provided to us. A valid break of the drawn downtrend line will pave the way for oil to reach the drawn areas. Goldman Sachs has stated that even if hostilities in Ukraine cease and sanctions are eased, Russia’s oil exports are unlikely to see a significant increase. The bank believes that Russia’s crude oil production will remain capped at 9 million barrels per day, not primarily due to sanctions, but rather because of the country’s commitments under the OPEC+ agreement. OPEC+, which is responsible for nearly half of the world’s oil production, has decided to delay its planned production increase, which was originally scheduled between April and July. Meanwhile, Trump has announced that additional negotiations with Russia are set to take place in an effort to bring an end to the war in Ukraine—an event that could impact the outlook of global energy markets. Russia remains one of the key oil suppliers worldwide and plays a significant role in price fluctuations. Goldman Sachs predicts that the price of Brent crude will rise to $79 per barrel by the end of this month, while it is currently trading at around $76 per barrel. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the United States has, in some ways, helped Vladimir Putin break out of his isolation. He emphasized that Trump’s team must gain a better understanding of Ukraine’s actual situation and made it clear that he has no intention of “selling” his country. Zelensky also highlighted the strength and resilience of the Ukrainian military and added that Trump’s envoy should ask ordinary Ukrainians how they perceive him following his recent statements. Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin announced that the rapid reconstruction of the Caspian Pipeline is not feasible. He explained that Western-made equipment used in the Caspian Pipeline Consortium has sustained severe damage due to recent attacks. Putin emphasized that the restoration of this pipeline would not be completed swiftly, as critical components rely on Western technology and have been significantly impaired. The pipeline, which transports Kazakh oil to global markets, has experienced a 30-40% reduction in oil flow following a drone attack on one of its pumping stations in southern Russia. This reduction equates to approximately 380,000 barrels per day (bpd). This development was not entirely unexpected, as Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak had previously stated that repairs to the pipeline could take several months.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ali_PSND
1