With Last Trading Week Indecision Next Week Will be BIG for GoldGold shows indecision after the close of trading hours for last week, and with the long sellers' wick exhibited on the candlestick, XAUUSD will require a huge geopolitical uncertainty news for price to continue to rise. A further rejection will drag gold's price to its mean.
N.B!
- XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gold
#xauusd
Commodities
Surge Energy (SGY) Elliott Wave Outlook26/04/25 SGY Update
I’ve been long Surge Energy since Jan 24. Price did move higher initially following my entry but has since ground lower in what looks like an ending diagonal pattern in red C of a larger ABC zig zag correction. There is RSI divergence on the weekly time frame which helps the case that SGY could be bottoming, but that will of course be effected by what the price of oil does.
Any further downside on SGY I will be looking at the yellow zone which contains the 786 retracement at $3.9, measured move target of the red A wave at $3.28 & 886 retracement at $2.64. There is an ending diagonal invalidation level at $3.2, if this is tagged, I will need to adjust the current count.
The completion of Red C will complete the (X) wave of the higher degree (W)(X)(Y) in yellow, from these levels the (Y) wave target will be $16-$17.
USOIL: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 63.133 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 62.366..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A great finish to the week with all our chart ideas completed, as analysed.
This is our 4h chart update that started with the open Bullish target and then all the way to the top into our final target with a few pips short and then followed with a perfect rejection on our final Goldturn.
The price dropped into each lower Goldturns for support and gave the 30 to 40 pip bounces like we always state. The final drop went and completed the open bearish target at 3282, completing this chart idea top to bottom.
BULLISH TARGET
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3457 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3457 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503 - DONE (FELL SHORT BY A FEW PIPS)
BEARISH TARGETS
3282 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Can the bears continue to exert their strength?The short-selling trading strategy given during the day today enabled us to earn a lot of profits. Gold fell for the second time during the US trading session, with the lowest reaching near the 3265 line. This was the previous low and the limit position of this round of floating. The current K-line pattern presents a "two yin and yang" pattern, indicating that the short momentum will continue early next week. However, it is worth noting that this adjustment may not necessarily unfold in the form of a unilateral decline. Sideways shocks may also become dominant. It is expected that gold prices will see-saw repeatedly in the 3260-3380 range. It is not even ruled out that the main funds deliberately create the illusion of "luring the empty to break down", and then quickly reverse and regain lost ground. Therefore, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 in the evening. If the gold price falls below the key support of 3260, as our daytime trading strategy says, the power of shorts will be further amplified. However, if the gold price stabilizes in the 3260-3280 range, the gold price may usher in a correction in the short term. Therefore, do not blindly continue to chase shorts for the time being. The key support of 3260 below is not broken. You can try to go long in the short term and look towards 3290-3300. The box is oscillating. Brothers, pay attention to making a certain profit and then stop in time.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3339.9 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 3323.8
Recommended Stop Loss - 3347.3
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD LONG-TERM FORECAST UPDATEMonthly Chart: Gold is forming an internal high and low, indicating a potential reversal.
Weekly Chart: Inside bar formation, waiting for market sweep. Expecting a bullish move after sweep.
Daily Chart: CRT pattern confirmed, targeting lower levels. Our bullish area remains at $2580-
Stay tuned for further updates!
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3271.6
Sl - 3260.0
Tp - 3293.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Chevron: The Chart’s Reaching a Critical PointChevron is starting to look very interesting again — but let’s be clear from the start: Chevron, like every oil giant, lives and dies by the price of oil. If oil rips higher or collapses due to global politics, supply shocks, or economic chaos, Chevron NYSE:CVX follows. No exceptions.
That said, what we’re seeing on the chart right now is increasingly pointing toward a deeper correction — specifically down to the $113–$100 zone. That would make sense structurally as a Wave 4 retracement.
But there’s a technical nuance here. Wave 1’s high sits at $103 — and depending on how strict your Elliott Wave rules are, Wave 4 dipping into Wave 1 is bad territory. Personally, I’m okay with a brief touch into that range, but I don’t want to see price hanging around below $103 for long.
From a trend perspective, we’re clearly in a downward channel. We just saw a textbook bull trap:
Chevron broke out with a solid +7% move over two weeks,
Followed immediately by a massive 22% drop,
One of the sharpest two-week declines since — yeah — March 2020, pandemic levels.
Now, price is hovering around $130, and the setup is simple:
If this level holds, great — maybe we’re bottoming.
If it breaks, I’m looking to buy between $113 and $100. That’s where the structure aligns, the volume kicks in, and risk/reward starts to make sense again.
So here’s the real question:
Do we see $200 first — or $100?
I’m leaning $100 first.
Not because I’m bearish long-term— but because that level would clean up the chart, shake out the noise, and give us a real shot at riding the next strong leg higher with conviction.
Would love to hear what you think — where’s your bet?
Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks 📌 Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks – Political Noise Drives Volatility 🧨📉
Gold (XAU/USD) saw a sharp intraday drop following comments from President Trump, who confirmed that trade talks with China are “ongoing” — despite China denying any official negotiations had taken place. The market interpreted this as a signal of de-escalation, prompting a short-term price correction.
Gold had previously rallied past $3,500/oz, supported by a weaker USD and strong demand from bargain hunters after last week’s sharp decline. However, the current political contradictions and tariff headlines are creating erratic moves across all asset classes.
🌍 Fundamental Context
The USD weakened, stocks lost momentum, and risk sentiment shifted after a confusing round of statements from the US and China.
Meanwhile, US jobless claims rose slightly, reflecting a resilient labour market amid tariff-related headwinds.
Today’s Core Retail Sales data in the US could add more volatility heading into the weekly candle close.
It’s Friday — expect possible liquidity sweeps and aggressive price spikes as the market prepares for weekend risk-off moves.
📊 Trading Outlook – 26 April
We're seeing signs of a tactical pullback, but long setups should be delayed until political headlines stabilise. Focus on intraday reaction zones — not aggressive positioning.
🔻 SELL ZONES
3384 – 3386
• SL: 3390
• TP: 3380 → 3376 → 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → ???
3406 – 3408
• SL: 3412
• TP: 3400 → 3396 → 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360
🟢 BUY ZONES
3288 – 3286
• SL: 3282
• TP: 3292 → 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3310
3270 – 3268
• SL: 3264
• TP: 3274 → 3278 → 3282 → 3286 → 3290
🛡️ Final Notes & Strategy
Avoid rushing BUY entries — allow Price to complete its corrective phase and wait for structure and confirmation.
Today’s Core Retail Sales (US) could trigger a fresh wave of volatility.
It’s also weekly close Friday, so prepare for potential false breaks and stop hunts.
✅ Stick to your TP/SL. Protect your capital first — clarity will come when the dust settles.
💬 Are you watching for a short-term bounce or planning to fade strength near resistance? Let us know in the comments below! 👇👇👇
SILVER: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 32.982 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Snipers Only: Gold's Next Killzone Is LIVE – Eyes on 3295 -3373🔍 Macro + Context:
Gold continues to dance between uncertainty and calculated aggression. After rejecting cleanly from the premium zone at 3370, price dropped overnight into 3287, fulfilling our sniper buy setup from 3310 and hitting TP2 at 3370 with precision.
Now? Price is hovering at 3298, teasing a bigger directional play as we head into NY session. With inflation jitters, geopolitical undercurrents, and mixed USD sentiment, gold remains a reactionary beast—not a predictive one. Let structure speak.
📐 Technical Structure:
🧱 H1 Structural Key Levels:
🔸 3370–3376 = Premium Supply Zone – Clean rejection + break of structure
🔸 3345 = Previous lower high – Minor liquidity zone, watch for manipulation
🔸 3310 = Former TP1 & demand flip – Local structural retest
🔸 3285–3287 = Current HL attempt – LTF liquidity pool, key bounce zone
🔸 3233–3237 = HTF Discount OB – HTF demand, possible reversal anchor
🧠 Trend & Flow:
HTF Bias: Bullish (Daily still in higher-low territory)
LTF Flow: Bearish correction within HTF context
BOS/CHoCH: Clear BOS from 3370 to the downside
Liquidity: Swept at 3370 and now resting near 3287 lows
EMAs: LTF bearish slope, but HTF structure intact
RSI: Reset on M15–H1, hinting at potential momentum rebuild
🎯 Sniper Entry Zones (Clean, No Fluff):
🟩 BUY ZONE #1 (Reactive Entry)
3284 – 3288
Structure: H1–H4 Demand + Liquidity Sweep
Confluence: EQ of last push + M15 OB
🟩 BUY ZONE #2 (Deeper Reversal Only)
3233 – 3237
Structure: HTF OB + Untapped Daily Liquidity
🟥 SELL ZONE #1 (Intraday)
3372 – 3376
Structure: M15–H1 OB + Prior HTF Reaction
🟥 SELL ZONE #2 (Extreme Supply Test)
3448 – 3455
Structure: HTF FVG + Upper imbalance
⚠️ Eyes On:
Don’t trust the first breakout above 3345—it’s likely liquidity.
Watch how price reacts around 3295: bounce = bull continuation, crack = deeper dive into 3230s.
Momentum could explode NY session—wait for confirmation and never chase.
💬 Final Message :
Gold’s moving—but so are we.💡If this helped map your zones, smash that ❤️ and drop your bias in the comments. Are you stalking 3285 or waiting to trap sellers at 3370 again? Let’s catch these sniper plays together.
TradingView’s been too quiet lately – if you vibe with clean structure > hopium, show some love and let’s grow this smart gold tribe.
👇👇👇
Smart plans. No fluff. Just logic. Drop a 💡 and let’s connect.
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,270.77 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,242.15..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD:25/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3370, and the support level is 3260
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3328, and the support level is 3260
The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3320, and the support level is 3287.
Gold rose to 3370.7 in the Asian session today and then fell sharply to 3287.4. It is currently trading around 3293. The technical side shows a fierce game between long and short positions.
If it falls below 3287, the decline will extend to 3260-3250. Then we will continue to short to 3200 next week.
If it breaks through 3328 upward, it will turn strong in the short term and continue to be bullish.
It is recommended to follow the trend trading after the breakthrough. The volatility is too large and it is not suitable for the strategy of selling high and buying low
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-25 : Inside Breakaway patternToday's Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern. I suggest this pattern could play a pivotal role in how the markets setup for the May 2 Major Bottom pattern I'm expecting.
You'll see in this video how any move to the upside could present a broadening of the consolidation range - resulting in even bigger price volatility going forward.
Yet, I believe the markets will stall and roll a bit downward/sideways today. Possibly resulting in a move back into the lower consolidation range as we ROLL off resistance.
As I suggested last weekend, I see no reason to assume the markets are "cleared for take-off" yet. Tariffs and political concerns are still driving uncertainty.
I think we are seeing Q1 earnings inflate the markets while the fundamental elements of the global markets are still somewhat unsettled.
I urge traders to HEDGE any open trades going into this weekend. If the markets don't make any clear moves today, hedge any positions you hold into next week.
Gold & Silver are showing signs of minor panic selling. I see that as traders wanting to retest the $3300/$33 levels for Gold/Silver.
I still believe Gold/Silver will skyrocket higher. But, probably not going to happen today.
BTCUSD is making an interesting move higher. Potentially invalidating the previous EPP pattern and/or setting up a very broad consolidation range.
It will be interesting to see how BTCUSD continues to trend over the next few months.
Remember, I'm hopefully helping all of you find ways to improve your trading and find better results.
Get some..
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SLC Brazilian Agricultural Producer and Farmland Investor ThesisExecutive Summary
We are overweighting SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ) over U.S. agribusiness stocks (BG, ADM, MOS, CTVA, FPI) in the current macro environment. The key drivers are:
Geopolitical arbitrage (Trump-Russia détente benefits Brazilian exporters more than U.S. firms).
FX tailwinds (weaker USD boosts BRL-denominated farmland values).
Commodity cycle positioning (SLC’s cotton/soy mix outperforms U.S. corn/ethanol plays).
Valuation gap (SLCE3 trades at 9.1x P/E vs. 14x+ for U.S. peers).
Top Trade:
Long SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ)
I. Macro & Geopolitical Edge: Why Brazil Wins
1. Trump’s Pro-Russia Policy Reshapes Fertilizer & Grain Flows
Sanctions Relief: Russian potash/phosphate exports resume → BrasilAgro (AGRO3) and SLC benefit from 25-30% lower input costs (U.S. farmers already hedged).
U.S. Grain Export Risk: If Trump pushes Ukraine grain deals, ADM/BG lose pricing power in EU/Asia markets.
2. USD Weakness Favors BRL-Linked Assets
Fed Cuts + Trump’s Dollar Policy: BRL appreciation (R$4.60/USD by 2026E) boosts:
SLC’s USD-linked revenue (68% of sales).
Land appraisals (Brazilian farmland up 18% CAGR in USD terms).
U.S. Companies Hurt: ADM/BG’s LatAm earnings face translation drag.
3. BRICS Neutrality vs. U.S.-China Decoupling
Brazil remains trusted supplier to both China and EU (no trade wars).
U.S. agribusiness (ADM/BG) exposed to:
China soy tariffs (if Trump escalates).
EU carbon taxes (ADM’s ethanol margins at risk).
II. Company-Specific Advantages: SLC vs. U.S. Peers
A. SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ) – The Optimal Play
Metric SLC Agrícola U.S. Peers (ADM/BG/MOS)
P/E (2025E) 9.1x 12-18x
EBITDA Margin 38% (2025E) 8-15%
FX Benefit BRL appreciation USD translation drag
Geopolitical Shield Neutral (BRICS) Exposed to U.S.-China wars
Key Catalysts:
Cotton Supercycle: Trump’s EU-China trade war could spike prices (SLC has 40% exposure).
Hidden Water Rights: 120k hectares of irrigated land (R$3.2B unreported NAV).
Ferrogrão Railway Completion (2026): Cuts logistics costs by 18%.
B. U.S. Agribusiness: Relative Weaknesses
Stock Key Risk Mitigation
ADM Ethanol mandate cuts (Biden hangover) Divesting plants
BG Brazilian tax case (R$4.5B liability) Land asset cover
MOS Saudi JV delays (CFIUS scrutiny) Fertilizer optionality
CTVA Patent cliff (2027+) M&A speculation
FPI U.S. farmland cap rate compression Rent escalators
III. Conclusion: Why SLC Over U.S. Peers?
Geopolitical Arbitrage: Brazil avoids U.S.-China/EU trade wars.
FX Leverage: BRL appreciation boosts USD earnings + land values.
Commodity Mix: Cotton/soy > corn/ethanol in Trump’s policy regime.
Valuation: SLCE3 at 9.1x P/E vs. 14x+ for U.S. stocks.
Gold can break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. For a while, Gold was confidently moving within an upward channel, with each impulse supported by rebounds from the lower boundary. After breaking out of the buyer zone, the price made a strong bullish move, supported by momentum and healthy corrections. This movement continued up to the current support level at 3285, where the price began to stall. Then, a classic Head and Shoulders pattern has now fully formed. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible and aligned with the support area, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern. This isn't random, it's a well-defined reversal signal forming after an extended bullish leg. The rejection from the right shoulder shows evident seller control, and the price is now testing the neckline from below. The support area has already been broken once, and any bounce from here appears corrective rather than impulsive. Given this setup, I expect that price can fully breakdown toward the 3060 level, which acts as both a strong historical support and my TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold’s ATH Rally Slowing Down – Needs Correction!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has been on a strong uptrend in recent weeks , creating a new All-Time High(ATH) almost every day. Will a new ATH be created after $3,500 in the coming days? What do you think?
Gold is moving between the Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) and Support zone($3,282-$3,245) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has started to form Corrective Waves after recording the latest ATH . Gold is completing a Zigzag Correction wave (ABC/5-3-5) ( most likely ).
I expect Gold to start declining again after approaching the Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) and attack the Support lines and Support zone($3,282-$3,245) . It seems like Gold needs a correction , do you agree with me!? In the worst-case scenario for my analysis, Gold starts falling from the resistance zone($3,431-$3,406) .
Note: If Gold can move above $3,440, we can expect more pumps and maybe make na ew All-Time High(ATH).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold forms a top patternOn the H4 chart, the gold price chart is forming a clear bearish structure after forming a three-peak pattern in a row around the $3,435–$3,470 range. Each time the price touches this range, it is strongly rejected, indicating that selling pressure controls the market. The fact that the price cannot maintain above the EMA34 and EMA9 at the same time is also a sign of confirmation of a weakening trend in the short term.
Although gold recovered slightly to the $3,365 range in the Asian session on April 25 thanks to news of PBOC money injection and a weakening USD, the buying pressure was not enough to break the bearish structure. The price quickly reversed and fell below the $3,300 mark, confirming the possibility of further correction in the near future.
Currently, the price has cut below the two EMAs and broken the nearest bottom at $3,290, triggering a bearish signal according to the “small head and shoulders” pattern on the H4. The next target is the strong support zone of $3,180–$3,220. If this zone is broken, the correction trend may extend deeper to the $3,100 area.
The appropriate short-term strategy at this time is to wait for the price to retrace to the $3,310–$3,330 area, cut losses above $3,350 and take profits around $3,200. The bullish scenario will only happen if the price breaks above $3,370 and closes above the old resistance – then the bearish structure will be broken.