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GOLD recovers and stays above $2,900, pay attention to CPI dataOANDA:XAUUSD rebounded, driven mainly by safe-haven flows as trade war concerns dampened market risk sentiment and markets focused on US inflation data. TVC:DXY hit a four-month low, making gold more attractive. Meanwhile, the main event of the week is the US CPI report today (March 12), which could cause major market moves. Positive data could lead to a sharp sell-off in gold, while weak data could give the green light for further gains in gold. CPI is expected to have risen 0.3% in February, according to a Reuters poll. The New York Federal Reserve's latest consumer expectations survey forecasts inflation at 3.1% over the next year, up slightly from 3% in January. Markets are now expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, in terms of trend, gold is still in the accumulation phase after recovering from the $2,880 level noted by readers in the previous editions and the break above the $2,900 level provides conditions for further testing of the $2,929 level in the short term. For now, gold is still trading around the EMA21 and is still in a consolidation state, but in terms of technical conditions, it is more likely to increase in price. With the price channel as a short-term trend, and the RSI activity above 50, quite far from the overbought zone, it shows that the bullish momentum is still ahead. However, the technical chart still needs a strong impact to break the current accumulation structure. And during the day, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 2,900 - 2,880 USD Resistance: 2,929 - 2,942 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2961 - 2959⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2965 →Take Profit 1 2953 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2947 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2899 - 2901⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2895 →Take Profit 1 2907 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2913
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD H1 | Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 2897.78, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 2913.70, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 2877.93, below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FXCM
Rounding Top Formation & Key Support📊 TVC:GOLD (XAU/USD) Market Update – Rounding Top Formation & Key Support Test 📉 Gold is currently forming a rounding top pattern, indicating potential weakness in momentum. 🔄 Current Scenario: If the price returns to the green support zone, it could act as a strong support level. Buyers may step in at this zone, leading to a potential bounce and renewed bullish momentum. 📌 Traders should watch for confirmation signals at the green zone to assess whether buyers regain control.
TVC:GOLDLong
by WaveRiders2
WHEAT Approaching Key Support - Will Price Rebound to 550$?PEPPERSTONE:WHEAT is approaching a key support level, an area where buyers have previously shown strong interest. The recent bearish movement suggests that price may soon be testing this level, potentially setting up for a rebound. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would strengthen the case for a move higher. If buyers step in, the price could rally toward the 550$ target. However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and could lead to further downside. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in. Best of luck , TrendDiva
PEPPERSTONE:WHEATLong
by TrendDiva
5
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2,925.63 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 2,953.39 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 2,876.15 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
SILVER Bullish Breakout! Buy! Hello,Traders! SILVER is trading in an uptrend And the price made a bullish Breakout of the key horizontal Level of 3266$ and the brekaout Is confirmed so we are bullish Biased and we will be expecting A further bullish continuation Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
XAUUSD: Turning sideways short term but Channel Up intact.Gold remains on very balanced bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.055, MACD = 27.200, ADX = 21.896) a direct outcome of its long term pattern, which is a Channel Up. With the late February high made near the top of the Channel Up and the 1D RSI on a decline ever since, this the the kind of behaviour that was previously had Gold consolidate before the next rally. You can scalp this range until the price gets near the 1D MA100 and place a more medium term buy (TP = 3,200). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, PIPTASTIC day on the markets today with our chart idea playing out as analysed. Yesterday we had the break below 2901 bearish target, opening the first level of the retracement range at 2878, which just fell short by a few pips. This then provided the support for the bounce all the way into 2922 completing our Bullish target. We were able to take the ride up all the way from the retracement range, inline with our plans to buy dips We are now looking for a lock above 2922 for a continuation or failure to lock will see price reject into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce, also keeping in mind the small gap left on the retracement range We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2922 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2922 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2947 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2947 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2968 BEARISH TARGETS 2901 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2901 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE 2878 - 2851 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2851 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2820 - 2796 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
16
Silver (XAG/USD) INTRADAY Bullish BreakoutThe Silver (XAG/USD) price action sentiment remains bullish, driven by the prevailing long-term uptrend. Recent intraday price action shows a breakout from a sideways consolidation phase, with the previous resistance now acting as a new support zone. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support Zone: The critical support level to watch is 3214, representing the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback toward this level, followed by a bullish rebound, would reaffirm the ongoing bullish momentum. Upside Targets: If Silver holds above the 3214 level and shows a bullish bounce, the next resistance levels to watch are 3316, 3341, and 3380 over the longer timeframe. Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below the 3214 support level would negate the bullish outlook and increase the probability of a deeper retracement. In this case, Silver could target the next support levels at 3176 and 3151. Conclusion: The bullish sentiment for Silver (XAG/USD) remains valid as long as the 3214 support level holds. Traders should monitor this key level to assess potential buying opportunities. A successful bounce from 3214 would favor long positions targeting the specified resistance levels. Conversely, a daily close below 3214 would signal caution and open the door for further downside correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by TradeNation
Commodity Outlook: Finding antivenoms in the Year of the SnakeWe are about a month into the Chinese Year of the Snake. The preceding Year of the Dragon (10 February 2024 to 28 January 2025) brought significant momentum to the asset class with broad commodities rising 10%, precious metals rising 36%, industrial metals rising 12%, and even energy and agriculture mustering a late gain (close to 2% each)1. However, the Year of the Snake presents several macro challenges for commodities. Renewed trade protectionism from the US, under the new Trump Administration, is likely to dampen global trade. Additionally, higher bond yields and a strong US dollar create further headwinds for the commodities market. China’s reticence to stimulate big is also holding back the asset class. Despite these headwinds, we have identified several micro factors that could provide support for certain commodities—what we refer to as our ‘antivenoms’. We remain optimistic about precious metals, aluminium, and European natural gas. Additionally, some of the macroeconomic challenges may ultimately prove less severe than initially anticipated, creating potential upside opportunities for commodities that currently reflect bearish sentiment. Strong US dollar The recent strength of the US dollar has historically correlated with weaker commodity prices. While this pattern has been inconsistent post-COVID-19, the dollar's resurgence could once again pressure commodities. Historical data suggests a strong dollar often aligns with declining commodity values. Trump’s trade policies and market impact Donald Trump’s return to the presidency introduces uncertainty into trade and commodity markets. Trump's first presidency saw a trade war with China and other nations, negatively impacting global trade and commodity prices. While extreme tariff measures have often been bargaining tactics, the risk of real implementation remains. In his second term, some tariffs were announced and then delayed; at the time of writing, we still have no real guide as to whether they will be implemented or when. This uncertainty is already dampening market sentiment and increasing long-term interest rates, further constraining commodities. Economic and inflationary concerns Tariffs could raise inflation in the US while simultaneously depressing global commodity prices due to reduced demand. This dynamic may complicate the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) efforts to control inflation, potentially leading to prolonged high interest rates. Climate policy reversals Trump has vowed to withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement and declared a “national energy emergency,” reversing climate regulations and boosting fossil fuel production. His administration is expected to cancel a $6 billion Department of Energy program aimed at industrial emissions reduction and repeal incentives for electric vehicles. These changes could suppress demand for critical materials used in clean technology, such as base metals. At the same time, deregulation of oil, gas, and mining operations may increase the supply of key commodities like copper, aluminium, nickel, and cobalt. Major projects, such as Rio Tinto’s copper mine in Arizona, could proceed after years of delays. While immediate production increases are unlikely in 2025, long-term supply growth is possible. Geopolitical risks and energy markets A ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, brokered just before Trump's inauguration, has eased some geopolitical risk, though its stability remains uncertain. As we write, a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine is being brokered by the US. Short-term oil price spikes are possible if sanctions are initially tightened to get parties to the negotiating table but, ultimately, we could see easing oil and gas prices if a deal is hashed out. The US has been pressuring Europe to purchase more American natural gas, but Russia’s LNG shipments to the EU remain significant. A resolution of the Russia-Ukraine war could weaken US leverage in energy negotiations, making Europe less dependent on American gas. Stricter enforcement of Iranian oil sanctions under Trump could drive oil prices higher. However, OPEC2 members may counteract this by increasing supply, potentially offsetting price gains. China’s economic strategy and commodity demand China remains the world’s largest consumer of commodities, yet its recent economic weakness has limited demand growth. Unlike previous economic cycles where China launched large stimulus measures, its current approach focuses on smaller, targeted interventions. The government has stabilised the real estate sector but remains wary of excessive stimulus due to debt concerns. China is investing heavily in clean technology and renewable energy infrastructure, supporting metal prices despite weak real estate demand. US tariffs on China could accelerate its push toward energy independence, promoting domestic adoption of solar, battery, and electric vehicle technologies. Trade tensions could escalate into retaliatory actions, such as China restricting exports of critical materials, as seen with gallium, germanium, and graphite in response to semiconductor disputes. Further restrictions could impact global supply chains for energy transition materials. China’s depreciating Yuan complicates economic policy. The People’s Bank of China has been intervening to stabilise the currency, limiting its ability to cut interest rates. While a policy shift to boost growth led to short-term market gains in 2024, further action remains constrained by currency pressures. Conclusion In the Year of the Snake, we are searching for antivenoms to counter the potential threats posed by trade wars, a strong US dollar, and a China that may be unable or unwilling to overcome its economic weakness. We see strong opportunities in gold, silver, aluminium, copper, zinc and European natural gas, as each of these has compelling drivers that could withstand broader headwinds in the commodity complex. As policies become clearer, we may find that our fears were overstated, potentially paving the way for a relief rally across the broader commodity complex. Until then, we place our confidence in these antivenoms.
CBOT:AW1!
by aneekaguptaWTE
XAUUSD Bullish Pennant Breakout: Gold Aiming for 3020XAUUSD is currently consolidating around 2920, forming a **bullish pennant pattern**, a strong continuation signal indicating potential upside momentum. Gold has been in a steady uptrend, and this consolidation phase suggests that the market is gathering strength before the next move. A breakout above the pennant resistance could push prices toward the psychological level of **3000**, with an extended target of **3020**. From a technical perspective, a **bullish pennant** is characterized by a brief consolidation after a strong rally, typically leading to another upward surge. If gold **breaks out with strong volume**, it could confirm further bullish momentum. **Key resistance levels** to watch are 2950 and 2970, while **strong support levels** are at 2900 and 2880. A successful breakout could attract more buyers, fueling a strong rally toward the **3020 level**. On the **fundamental side**, gold remains well-supported by **geopolitical tensions, central bank gold purchases, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate adjustments**. If economic uncertainty increases or the Fed signals a more dovish stance, gold prices could gain further momentum. Additionally, a weaker **U.S. dollar and falling bond yields** could add fuel to the bullish case for XAUUSD. In conclusion, XAUUSD is forming a **bullish pennant**, signaling a potential breakout toward 3020. **Traders should watch for volume confirmation and breakout signals above resistance levels** to enter positions strategically. If the breakout is confirmed, we can expect gold to gain further strength, presenting a great buying opportunity for traders.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
OIL / WTI PoV - LONGThe analysis of the current oil price highlights the $65/66 range as a critical level for a potential rally. After a period of consolidation and corrections in recent weeks, oil seems to have found strong support around these levels, with prices oscillating between $65 and $66 per barrel. These levels represent an important liquidity zone, as in the past, the price has found support here, suggesting that there could be an opportunity for a bullish rebound if the price manages to remain stable above this threshold. A rally above the $65/66 level could be supported by several fundamental factors, including improved demand prospects, a reduction in global inventories, and potential policies from OPEC. If demand for oil increases, especially with economic recoveries in certain regions or a rise in industrial production globally, there could be further support for prices. Additionally, OPEC+'s stance in the production-limiting agreement and potential supply cuts could keep the market tight, pushing prices higher. Geopolitical dynamics also play a significant role in determining the direction of oil. Any tensions or disruptions in supply from key producing countries, such as those in the Middle East, could serve as catalysts for further price increases. Another factor that could support prices is the depreciation of the dollar, which typically benefits oil, as the commodity is priced in dollars. However, if the price fails to maintain stability above the $65/66 level, we might see a new correction phase, with prices possibly retreating to lower levels. A move away from these levels could mark the beginning of a new bearish phase, with the risk of prices sliding back towards $60 per barrel or even lower if demand weakens or if there are supply excesses in the market. In summary, the $65/66 level is crucial for the price of oil. Maintaining or closing above these levels could pave the way for a rally, while failure to do so could lead to further price weakening. With OPEC+ policies playing a key role in balancing the market, the next few months will be critical in determining the future direction of oil prices.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by Generazione_X
Is the U.S. building a crypto reserve?The United States (U.S.) is no longer just a bitcoin holder – it may be laying the groundwork for a national crypto reserve. Is this the moment bitcoin goes fully mainstream? Strategic bitcoin accumulation? Recent estimates suggest that the U.S. government is sitting on 200,000+ bitcoins – over $13 billion worth – mostly seized from criminal operators such as the Silk Road1. That stash makes Uncle Sam one of the largest bitcoin holders in the world. But here is the real question: what is the endgame? Historically, seized bitcoin was auctioned off at deep discounts, flooding the market with sell pressure. This time, however, President Donald Trump’s latest executive order has put a halt to rapid liquidations, signalling a strategic shift. Instead of fire sales, the U.S. government is deliberately holding onto its bitcoin, driving speculation about a potential long-term reserve strategy. Is this merely a temporary pause, or the first step toward establishing a full-fledged crypto reserve? While the executive order marks a clear change in approach, formally integrating bitcoin into the U.S. financial system would demand congressional approval, regulatory coordination, and a robust custody framework. The path forward is not just about policy – it is about power. Digital gold for digital age Crypto is not just a speculative asset anymore – it is a strategic economic lever in global power dynamics. With the U.S. dollar facing growing pressure from alternative currencies and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), bitcoin’s appeal as a neutral, hard asset is undeniable. Unlike traditional assets, bitcoin cannot be printed, seized by sanctions, or easily manipulated. If the U.S. sees what other nations are beginning to recognise – that bitcoin is the 21st century version of gold – it may rethink its role as a long-term reserve asset. The conversation around crypto is no longer confined to industry circles. President Donald Trump recently issued an executive order officially recognising bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, marking a significant policy shift. This move has sparked widespread discussion about the future role of digital assets in national reserves. Further reinforcing this shift, the White House is set to host a Crypto Summit on March 7, where top policymakers and industry leaders will discuss digital assets. While details are scarce, this could be the first step toward formal integration of crypto into U.S. financial policy. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has remained largely silent, leaving questions about its stance on bitcoin’s role in national monetary policy. Will the central bank embrace digital assets, or will it resist this historic shift? What would it take to make it official? Turning bitcoin into a recognised U.S. reserve asset is not just a simple executive order. It would require: Congressional approval to classify bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as strategic reserves. Regulatory coordination between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Federal Reserve, and Treasury. A secure custody framework to manage holdings without risking security breaches or market instability. A phased rollout – starting with bitcoin before expanding to other cryptocurrencies or beginning with small holdings before gradually increasing them. This would not happen overnight. A realistic timeline? Years, not months. Expect feasibility studies, pilot programs, and intense political battles before crypto earns a seat next to gold in the U.S. balance sheet. Market shockwaves If the U.S. openly adopts bitcoin as a reserve asset, expect seismic shifts in global markets: Sovereign bitcoin FOMO2 – other nations would likely follow suit, sparking a global race to accumulate bitcoin. Institutional confidence surge – a U.S. endorsement would cement bitcoin’s status as digital gold, driving massive institutional inflows. Reduced sell pressure – unlike past cycles of seized bitcoin dumps, retention would tighten supply and bolster price stability. If this trend accelerates, we could be looking at a fundamental shift in the financial system – one where bitcoin plays a central role in sovereign wealth strategies. The question is not if, but when and how fast governments will adapt to this new reality. The bottom line With the world’s largest economy holding one of the biggest bitcoin reserves, the question is not just about policy – it is about power. Will this be the turning point where bitcoin cements itself as the next global reserve currency? 1 US Government Bitcoin Holdings, Bitcoin Treasuries by BiTBO (treasuries.bitbo.io) 2 FOMO = fear of missing out.
CME:BTC1!
by aneekaguptaWTE
HelenP. I Gold will correct to support level and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see that the price initially climbed near the trend line before reaching Support 2, which aligned with the support zone. After this move, it reversed and dropped back to the trend line, then rebounded and eventually broke through Support 2. The price then made a retest and continued to rise, eventually reaching Support 1, which also coincided with another support zone. Shortly after, XAU broke this level and started consolidating around it. At some point, Gold attempted to push higher but later reversed, dropping back to the trend line and breaking Support 1. However, it quickly rebounded, surging back to the support zone and even higher, breaking Support 1 once again. Currently, the price is trading near this area, and I anticipate that XAUUSD will decline toward the support level before reversing and rebounding upward. In this scenario, my goal is set at 2960 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
15