CRUDE OIL Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL is headed towards
A strong horizontal support
Level of 60.00$ and as the
Level is strong we will be
Expecting a rebound and
A local move up after the
Price retests the support
Buy!
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Commodities
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 3307.85, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3287.46, a pullback support,
The stop loss is set at 3321.98, an overlap resistance.
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GoldFxMinds – XAUUSD Battle Plan for May 30, 2025Hello, GoldMinds snipers!
Big news day ahead — Core PCE ). This is the kind of day where one news candle can change the whole game! Let’s get our sniper zones ready for both bullish rallies and bearish reversals.
⚡️ Macro & News Context
Core PCE is a Fed favorite: high-impact, high-volatility.
Gold just closed near 3317, high in premium territory — but market structure is coiled, not committed.
Any PCE surprise can send us flying… or dumping.
📈 If Price Stays Bullish / News is Dovish
3325–3335: First resistance, the "fortress wall."
If price clears and HOLDS above, next upside targets activate.
3348–3360: Next sniper zone above — historical supply, D1 OB, liquidity magnets.
A strong close above 3335 = bulls control. Watch for quick tests of this upper block.
If price breaks above 3360:
The next “wild zone” is 3378–3388 — untapped liquidity above all previous swings. Only super strong rallies reach here, so trail your stops tight if you’re long.
📉 If Price Reverses / News is Hawkish
3315–3305: Trap zone, choppy — avoid entries here.
3285–3295: Key H1 demand, look for bounce or structure reclaim.
3250–3260: Deep discount sniper zone.
Only buy if you see real reversal; if this breaks, expect panic to 3220 or even 3200.
🧠 Bias, Playbook, and Caution
Bias: Neutral but flexible.
Above 3335, bulls have momentum — look for breakouts.
Below 3285, sellers control the show.
Do not rush the first move after PCE.
Real direction comes after the volatility traps.
🏹 Battle Plan
Long only above 3335, with a confirmed breakout and volume.
Short only at supply zones (3325–3335 or 3348–3360) if you see strong rejection.
Never chase the spike. Wait for M5/M15 structure to confirm.
Trap zone (3305–3315): Sit on your hands. Let the bots fight.
🔥 Final Word
This is a two-way battle:
If gold rockets above, follow the flow — but don’t forget, every hero rally can be a trap!
If the bears win, be ready to strike on the drop.
Comment your bias (🚀 or 🔻), hit follow for the post-news recap, and trade like a sniper, not a gambler.
— GoldFxMinds 🟡🚨
SPY, SPX, IWM, Natural Gas, NVDA, XYZ, AI - Analysis- Markets sold off into the NVDA rally this morning.
- Small afternoon rally turned indices back green
- Major pre market high levels up ahead likely allow us to push higher in coming days.
- NVDA should retest its premarket high levels.
- Profits secured on AI calls!
- Structurally indices are still bullish and remain above key levels.
- Yields see nasty reversal lower and look to be going down.
- Natural Gas trying to lure investors with a bottoming tail - but i think its false hope.
Bearish drop?COPPER has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.6618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.7246
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance leel that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.5233
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Gold (XAUUSD) Technical & Fundamental UpdateOverview:
Gold OANDA:XAUUSD on the 4-hour chart is currently in a corrective phase after a recent bounce, but the overall structure remains bearish with clear downside risk.
________________________________________
Key Observations:
Price Action:
Gold is trading around $3,319 after a recent rebound from the $3,272–$3,243 support zone. The price is now testing a resistance area highlighted by the previous consolidation zone, suggesting that upside momentum is facing challenges.
Supply and Demand Zones:
• There is a visible supply (resistance) zone around $3,320–$3,340, where sellers previously
stepped in.
• Multiple demand (support) zones are marked below, especially near the Fibonacci
retracement levels at $3,272 (38.2%), $3,243 (50.0%), and $3,214 (61.8%).
Fibonacci Levels:
The chart uses a Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high:
• 38.2% at $3,272
• 50% at $3,243
• 61.8% at $3,214
These levels are aligning with key demand zones, increasing their significance for potential bounces or reversals.
Trend Structure:
Despite the recent recovery, lower highs and lower lows dominate the chart, indicating a bearish trend. The failure to break above the $3,340 resistance keeps the downside scenario in play.
________________________________________
Fundamental Drivers
Safe-Haven Demand Weakening:
Easing tariff risks and improved global risk sentiment have reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The recent US court ruling against Trump-era tariffs and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later in 2025 are shifting market dynamics.
Macro Themes:
• A hawkish Fed or further de-escalation of geopolitical tensions could pressure gold lower.
• Persistent inflation or renewed global risks could limit the downside and trigger rebounds
XAUUSD: The LH trendline is the difference maker.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.327, MACD = 32.010, ADX = 35.582), staying under the high impact LH trendline that has been keeping the medium term trend bearish since the April 22nd High. As long as the price is under it, we are short, aiming for the S1 level (TP = 3,246) and not below it as the 1D MA50 offers long term support. If the price closes a 1D candle over the LH trendline, we will turn long and aim for a +7.39% rise from the bottom (TP = 3,485), which has already taken place twice in the past 30 days.
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USOIL REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 60.20$
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 61.43$
LONG🚀
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Gold bounces sharply as dollar tumblesAfter I highlighted the potential for a short-term breakdown yesterday, the precious metal went on to break that $3,300 support and dropped a good $50 below it, before finding STRONG support at $3250 - a level that had not been re-tested yet after the upside breakout last week. Where do we go now, is the key question.
Well, gold is now near the resistance trend derived from connecting the recent lower highs, around the $3325 zone. A clean break above this trend could target $3,360 initially, ahead of $3,400 and then there's nothing significant until the all-time high at $3,500.
On the downside, the reclaimed support at $3,300 is now key. It needs to hold its own above this level to prevent a bigger slide down the line.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Even though Gold sellers dropped 490 PIPS last night on market open & pushed below last week's range low, we saw a complete reversal as Gold pushed back up 760 PIPS again today, back into the range.
Seems like Gold wants to range even more, which can open up the possibility of buyers reaching $3,373 & $3,417 in the mid term. Keeping an eye on price action.
GOLD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,315.81 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 33.241 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.119.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 1H chart route map from yesterday.
Another great day on the charts with our analysis playing out like we said.
Yesterday we stated; no EMA5 lock above 3317, forcing a rejection back to the retracement range.
We then stated that we are expecting continued reactions within this retracement range, inline with our plans to buy dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels help us track downward movements and catch bounce setups.
- This played out perfectly with the reaction from the retracement range into 3317. We will now look for a lock above this level for a continuation or failure to lock will follow with a rejection back into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
We'll continue to buy dips using our key support levels, targeting 20 to 40 pip moves. As always, each level structure provides consistent bounce zones, offering great opportunities for both entry and exit. If you backtest the levels we’ve shared every week over the past 24 months, you’ll see how effectively they work with or against short to mid term swings and trends.
Remember:
Swing ranges yield bigger bounces than weighted levels — that’s the key difference.
BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3517
BEARISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3317 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we’ll keep you all updated with real time analysis and management of active setups throughout the week. Thank you for your continued support, your likes, comments, and follows mean a lot!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on May 29:
Focus on core contradictions
New trend of long-short power game
The sharp contrast between the 5% surge last week and the 1.25% plunge this week reveals that the market has huge differences on the value center of $3,300
The negative correlation between the US dollar index and gold has increased (the recent correlation coefficient has reached -0.82), and the key watershed of the US dollar index of 102.5 needs to be monitored simultaneously
Ranking of the influence of macroeconomic data
Priority ①: Friday core PCE (the most favored inflation indicator by the Federal Reserve, expected to be 4.6%)
Priority ② :Revised GDP value on Thursday (previous value 1.6%)
Priority ③: Initial jobless claims (four consecutive weeks above 210,000 indicate a cooling of employment)
Three-dimensional positioning of technical aspects
Multi-period resonance analysis
Weekly: 5-week moving average (3282) and Bollinger middle rail (3265) form a support belt
Daily: MACD column shrinks but does not cross, suggesting adjustment rather than reversal
Key price matrix
Strong and weak boundary: US$3,300 (trading concentration area in the past 20 trading days)
Attack and defense space:
Upward: 3325 (Fibonacci 38.2%) → 3365 (weekly previous high)
Downward: 3280 (May option biggest pain point) → 3250 (200-day moving average)
Trading strategy
Scenario 1: Pre-data shock (probability 65%)
Operation: 3285-3325 interval grid trading
Buy strategy : Long at 3288-3290, stop loss at 3278, target at 3318
Short strategy: Short at 3320-3325, stop loss at 3332, target at 3292
Position management: No more than 3% per transaction, profit and loss ratio 1:3
Scenario 2: PCE data breakthrough (probability 35%)
Bull breakthrough:
Confirmation condition: 30-minute closing above 3330
Chasing strategy: Add positions after falling back to 3315, stop loss at 3300, target at 3360
Short breakthrough:
Confirmation condition: Hourly line falls below 3270
Chasing strategy: Short at rebound at 3280, stop loss at 3295, target at 32 30
Risk warning system
Black swan monitoring
Geopolitical risk indicators: observe the dynamics of the Russian-Ukrainian front + Middle East tanker premium rates
Liquidity risk: track the 3-month LIBOR-OIS spread (currently 26bp)
Trading strategy recommendations:
Algorithmic strategy: adopt a mean reversion + momentum breakthrough combination strategy
Asian session: RSI (14) 30-70 range shock trading
European and American session: Bollinger bandwidth breakthrough strategy
Hedging plan: buy gold volatility ETF (GVZ) to hedge unilateral risks
The current market is in a wait-and-see state before major data, and it is recommended to maintain a position below 50%. Medium and long-term investors can establish bottom positions in batches in the 3250-3280 area, and short-term traders focus on reverse trading opportunities after the 3315 false breakthrough. Remember: before the Fed's policy shift is confirmed, every deep adjustment of gold is a strategic position building opportunity.
Time to Cut down on Sugar ? Reasons for being bearish on sugar for 2025 season with target price of 15 :
1) Head and Shoulders pattern bearish breakout on Raw sugar below 17 on the monthly timeframe. Price is now trading below the lows of 2022 highlighting potential oversupply of sugar for 2025 season.
2) Recent Unica reports suggesting increase in sugar production in centre-south Brazil.
3) Brent oil is trading below 64 as on date which weakens ethanol pricing thereby leading to farmers diverting more cane towards sugar production
4) USDBRL currently at 5.66 and any depreciation leading above 6 will make sugar exports more favorable leading to increase in supply and price correction.
This view will get negated if price reclaims the level of 18.
Top and bottom conversion, short position continues?📰 Impact of news:
1. The International Trade Court ruled that Trump exceeded his authority, and the previous tariffs may be suspended
2. Ukraine submitted a ceasefire document to Russia
3. Pay attention to the initial jobless claims data during the US trading session
📈 Market analysis:
The U.S. Court of International Trade in Manhattan blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” trade measures, ruling that Trump had overstepped his authority by imposing sweeping tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than they import without authorization from Congress. This means that most of Trump's tariffs will be suspended. But at the same time, the recent geopolitical impact cannot be ignored. In addition, the initial jobless claims data will be released during the U.S. trading session today. Independent traders must set stop losses.
From a technical point of view, the 1H level chart of gold shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is near the lower track, showing a weak pattern in the short term. Considering that 3285 is the previous low point, there is also a possibility of suppression at 3285. Therefore, we should pay close attention to the resistance range of 3285-3295. If the gold price in the Asian and European sessions can stabilize below 3295, then we can rely on the 3285-3295 range to enter the market and short. On the contrary, if the pullback today stands above 3300, then we should not chase the short easily.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3285-3295
TP 3270-3260-3250
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Analysis and layout of gold trend in the US market📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data is positive
2. The White House is tough on the court ruling: Trump will win! Three trade agreements are close to being reached
📈 Market analysis:
I think the current rebound should not be directly judged as a unilateral trend. From a technical point of view, in the 4H cycle, the upper 3320-3325 line has a certain suppression force in the short term. If the gold price runs below 3325, we need to be alert to the risk of a high rebound. We can try to arrange short orders based on the 3320-3325 range, and bet on the high selling opportunities in the volatile market. Independent trading with a good stop loss. However, it should be noted that if the price quickly breaks through the 3330 line in the short term and stands above it, it is expected to rise to the 3340-3350 area. At the same time, I think the support below can first look at the 3300 line, with a focus on the 3290-3285 line support.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3320-3325
TP 3310-3300
BUY 3295-3285
TP 3300-3310-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Hanzo / GOLD 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Bearish Reversal )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Bearish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep
☄️ Bullish Setup Reversal – 3311 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
——-
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR
Status: trade active 👌
Hanzo / GOLD 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Bearish Reversal )
DR COPPER vs GOLD as a Safe HavenAn enlightening ratio provides additional proof that 2026 is set to be a remarkable year of economic growth, propelling us into the upcoming peak of the #AI cycle.
A key indicator of the AI peak is the initial public offering (IPO) of Open AI on the stock market. This is a definitive signal to capitalise and harvest as much economic energy as possible during the euphoric frenzy, and establish Open AI as a new Tech Titan for the next decade.
USOIL:First go short, then go long
USOIL: There are still signs of a pullback on an hourly basis after oil prices climbed to near 63 after OPEC+ said there would be no immediate changes to current production policies.
So the trading strategy :SELL@62.5-62.8 TP@61.6-61.3
After stepping back to the point can not break a wave of rebound, the target can look at 63 again
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-29 : Harami Inside patternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will stall within yesterday's body range and possibly trend a bit downward (after NVDA news/earnings).
I don't see the markets really extending much higher today as we are moving into a sideways Harami pattern, then into a CRUSH pattern tomorrow.
Gold and Silver are really making a big move higher this morning, which suggests traders are back to actively hedging against risk across the globe.
BTCUSD is trading flat/sideways - looking for some direction and, obviously, NOT RALLYING right now.
In my mind, the markets are struggling for direction, and Gold/Silver are showing that real risks are still elevated.
I also highlight my new Pure Alpha TTScanner algo and the work I'm doing to try to help more traders. The best part about what I do is that I get to create solutions/tools for traders. I love it.
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