Why make it too complicated?!!Find the trend, follow the trend and stay on the trend. If can't find the trend then wait, trading is a marathon and not sprint.
Commodities
Long due Precipitous Drop in DXY is Making Gold Unstoppable? DXY tanking has gold making a higher high after a 20 week intermediate cycle. Is this a false breakout or the next leg up?
XAUUSD D1 | Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3226.16, aligning with the 127.2% Fibo extension
Our take profit will be at 3170.13, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 3307.54, above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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Gold is going to complete long term wave 3 at 3454On May 16, 2024 I wrote that gold was on its way to 3500
One year later gold is about to get there. Ideally it is going to hit the 2,618 extension at 3454. That value completes long term wave 3. Expect a deep and long wave 4 back to 1000
What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?
The end of the Ukraine-Russia war will undoubtedly impact major global markets,
here’s what we can expect:
Oil Market : With tensions easing, oil prices could drop as supply concerns lessen and sanctions ease. However, global demand could still keep prices stable or even high.
Gold Market : Gold, a safe-haven asset, might face a decrease in demand as geopolitical uncertainty fades, but if the end of the war leads to global economic instability, gold could remain a strong choice for investors.
Forex Market : The end of the conflict could boost the Euro and USD as stability returns to the market. At the same time, the Russian Ruble might face fluctuations as Russia’s economy adjusts to post-war conditions.
Crypto Market : Cryptocurrencies may see mixed reactions—some may retreat as confidence in traditional markets rises, but others could flow in if economic uncertainty continues to prevail globally.
🔮 The war's end could bring hope, but it also presents new challenges for markets worldwide. Stay tuned to see how it all plays out!
Gold Technical Outlook: Bounce Likely Before Deeper Drophello guys.
The recent price action on gold suggests a potential short-term upward move, followed by a possible continuation to lower levels based on key technical factors:
🔹 1. Channel Support Touched – Expecting a Bounce
Price has touched the bottom boundary of the ascending channel, which has acted as dynamic support throughout this trend.
This technical level often brings in buyers, suggesting we may see a relief rally or bounce from this area.
🔹 2. Targeting Upper Blue Zones
If this upward correction materializes, price could reach:
The first blue resistance area around 3,090 – 3,100.
Possibly the second zone near 3,120, which aligns with previous structure and minor volume resistance.
These zones offer ideal points for watching price reaction—either rejection for shorts or breakout confirmation.
🔹 3. Potential for Further Downside
If the price gets rejected from one of those resistance areas, we could see a move down to:
The low-volume zone below 3,000, specifically the support at 2,965.
The lack of volume profile in this area (as shown on the left) suggests that once price enters this zone, it can drop quickly due to thin liquidity.
📌 Conclusion
Short-term bullish: bounce from channel support targeting 3,090–3,120.
Mid-term bearish bias: If rejection occurs in resistance zones, anticipate a drop to 2,965 or even lower.
Watch for confirmations on lower timeframes to refine entry and exit points.
Gold - The Blow Off TopAs gold hit a high today I took a look at the chart. Incredible run going back many years. But what goes up must come down. Based on a Fib-extension we can see where price has hit resistance and turned it into support. It happened at 1, 1.272, 1.618, and briefly at 2.618. It has remarkably pushed through that. So in my studies of markets and fibonacci I've found that 4.236 often times bring about the top on a parabolic move. So by following that logic I would put the top, at least a local one, at $3,800. Roughly 25% from here. Anyways, that's my 2 cents on Gold. Happy trading.
Bullish bounce?USO/USD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 58.96
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 56.81
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 63.23
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Potential bullish rise?XAG/USD has bounce off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 29.57
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 31.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
$XAUUSD GOLDGold is putting on his best performance in the last few years.
In these phases, very often we can see an acceleration of movement
I also don't rule out the possibility that we break the channel up.
Gold remains a protective asset, and I want to say that this is not the top yet; now, every correction is a new entry point.
The question is, where will it be?
We will break this upward channel from below, stay under it for a while, and then go for new tops.
Now that all amateurs are convinced that everything is moving in the channel, we will break the channel down, and we need to go short. At the expense of these short positions, we will update the ATH. In 2025, I think it would be too easy.
Best regards EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Analysis of Crude Oil StrategiesCrude oil bottomed out and rebounded sharply on Wednesday. This was also due to the impact of the tariff war, which is currently dominating the trend of the financial market. However, on Thursday, it didn't continue to rise. Instead, it fell successively and retraced. Pay attention to going long at the support level of 58.20 below, and consider going short at the resistance level of 61.90 above.
Oil trading strategy：
sell @ 61.90-62.10
sl 62.80
tp 60.95-61.10
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
GOLD (XAUUSD) – 4H Technical AnalysisAfter a sharp drop and rebound, gold is now testing the 50% Fibonacci level around 3122. The key resistance zone lies between 3163–3167, where a breakout could open the path to 3218 (0.786 Fibo).
🔹 Resistance levels:
• 3163 – 0.618 retracement
• 3167 – previous swing high
• 3218 – 0.786 level & target
🔹 Main Scenario:
Breakout above 3163 leads toward 3218 continuation.
🔹 Alternative Scenario:
Rejection at 3163 → retrace to 3082 or 3033 before next move.
Momentum indicators are bullish but approaching overbought territory.
Gold Rebounds Off Key Support — Next Leg to $4,200 = 124,000 PIP
View our previous 120,000 PIPs (target hit) Gold trades at the bottom of this page.
Following our previously fulfilled short trade from the top of the ascending channel (TP2 hit at $2,960), gold has now landed precisely at confluence support — aligning with the psychological $3,000 level, ascending channel support, the quarterly dynamic support, and the prior swing high zone. We are now flipping bias long, with a macro continuation in mind, while still respecting the shorter-term range structure.
Structure & Setup:
Another clean reaction from the ascending channel’s lower boundary reaffirms the structure’s technical validity. Price has now tapped the $3,000 round number support, intersecting with the channel base and our prior short target zone — offering strong risk-defined long opportunities.
Macro Context Holds:
Our long-term thesis targeting $4,270 remains intact, backed by structural breakout on the quarterly chart and fundamental gold demand. This move is potentially the start of the next impulsive leg in a broader macro expansion, though we expect the asset to oscillate within the channel boundaries until at least July.
Entry Logic:
This long setup is based on:
– Channel base bounce
– $3,000 psychological round number
- $2,960 quarterly dynamic support
– Reversal at former Take Profit 2 (TP2) short target
– Tight invalidation just below $2,960
– Favourable 1:11+ R:R targeting macro highs
Invalidation:
A clean break and close below $2,960 would invalidate the long thesis and suggest breakdown risk. Until then, structure holds.
Pip Potential:
From $2,960 to $4,200 = 124,000 pips upside potential — aligning with macro projections and Fib extensions from previous cycles (-1.414 & -1.618 zones).
Outlook:
While $4,200 remains our long-term target, we anticipate ranging between $2,960–$3,200 for the next several months. This accumulation phase may precede a breakout leg that targets historical Fibonacci confluence zones.
Summary:
Short trade complete — bias flipped long. We’ve now transitioned from a completed 1:4 R:R short into a 1:11+ macro long off textbook technical levels. Price action is behaving cleanly within the multi-month channel, and this latest support reaction adds further credibility to the bullish continuation thesis.
Let price consolidate — buy positions accordingly. The macro expansion to $4,200 is likely underway.
Previous Short:
75,000 PIP idea (Target hit):
45,000 PIP idea (Target hit):
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another awesome day on the markets with our Bullish targets getting smashed.
After completing all targets upto 3078 yesterday, we continued to get candle body close breakouts above 3078 opening 3094 and above 3094 opening 3119 and then ema5 lock above 3119 confirmed 3148 for the perfect finish to this chart idea.
We can now move over to our 4H chart idea and our remaining multi timeframe route maps to continue to track the movement for the rest of the week.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3034 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
I Came Back As A Gold TraderThis is a short detailed video about my journey and transition from PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 to NASDAQ:XAU . For Gold, I see a very big push for a new all time high at 3189-3200. All this is possible if the previous high gets a solid break since there's been a major resistance in the area. I'm currently in the trade and added another just incase. Let's see how this plays out..
Gold (XAU/USD) Bounces Sharply After Retesting TrendlineGold surged +1.43% to close at $3,126.77, delivering a strong bullish engulfing candle after bouncing off both the trendline and 50-day SMA support zone near $2,960.
🔹 MACD is curling back higher, hinting at a bullish momentum reset
🔹 RSI sits at 63.40, supportive of continued upside without being overbought
🔹 Key higher low structure remains intact above the trendline
The rejection of lower prices and follow-through strength reinforce the bull trend. Unless the price breaks below $2,960, buyers remain firmly in control.
Momentum was tested—and it passed. The bull trend remains intact.
-MW
XAU/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday the price once again moved exactly as expected, hitting all four targets: $3022, $3016, $3010, and $3000, and even dropped further to $2956, resulting in a total return of over 700 pips!
Currently, gold is trading around $3003, and if the price stabilizes below $3014, we can expect further downside.
All key demand and supply zones are marked on the chart and are fully tradable.
If the drop continues, the next bearish targets will be $2997, $2991, $2984, and $2976, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,132.69 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 30.949 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 31.206.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
HelenP. I Gold may drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A few days ago price rebounded from the trend line and started to grow inside the upward channel. In this channel, the price rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this area. Then it continued to move up and rose to resistance line of channel, but soon it turned around and made small movement below, after which continued to grow near this line little below. Later, Gold made a correction movement to support 2, which coincided with the trend line and then continued to move up inside the channel. In a short time later it reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone and also broke this level too. Price some time traded near this level and later made impulse up, exiting from channel pattern and then it at once turned around and made correction movement to support 1. Gold even declined a little below this level, but a not long time ago, it backed up. Now, I expect that XAUUSD will start to decline to the trend line, thereby breaking the support level. That's why I set my goal at 2965 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
DeGRAM | GOLD retest of resistanceGOLD is above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The price has already reached the upper trend line and resistance level.
The chart has formed a harmonic pattern.
The indicators on the 1H Timeframe indicate a bearish divergence.
We expect a pullback.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-10 : FLAT-DOWN PatternToday's Flat-Down Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will struggle to move away from yesterday's big open-close range.
Normally, I would suggest the Flat-Down pattern will be a small, somewhat FLAT price move.
But, after yesterday's big move, the Flat-Down pattern can really be anywhere within yesterday's Daily Body range.
So, we could see very wild volatility today. That means we need to be prepared for general price consolidation (which suggests somewhat sideways price trending) and be prepared for some potential BIG price trends within that consolidation.
These BIG price trends would be more like bursts of trending, while still staying somewhat consolidated overall.
Watch today's video to learn how the Excess Phase Peak pattern is dominating the trend right now (in the Consolidation Phase).
The same thing is happening in BTCUSD. BTCUSD has been in an EPP Consolidation phase for over 35+ days now.
Gold and Silver are setting up a CRUSH pattern today. That could be a VERY BIG move higher (or downward). Given my analysis of Gold acting like a hedge (a proper hedge for global risk levels), I believe today's move will EXPLODE higher.
Gold is already in an early-stage parabolic bullish price trend. When gold explodes above $3500, I believe it will quickly gain momentum towards the $5100 level.
Right now, Gold is recovering from the Tariff news and about to explode upward (above $3200) if we see this CRUSH pattern play out well.
Thank you again for all the great compliments. I'm just trying to share my knowledge and skills with all of you before I die. There is no need to carry all of this great information and technology to my grave.
So, follow along, ask questions, learn, and PROFIT while I keep doing this.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
"WTI Crude Oil – Bullish Bounce from Demand Zone? "🔵 . Demand Zone:
⬇️ 60.53 – 59.71
This is the buy zone where bulls are likely to step in!
Price is currently testing this area. Watch closely!
🛑 . Stop Loss (Risk Zone):
📉 Below 59.66
If price falls below here, exit the trade – demand has failed.
🎯 . Target Point:
🚀 63.85
This is the take profit zone. A successful bounce could reach this level!
🟠 . EMA (9-period DEMA):
📉 Currently around 60.86
Price is slightly below EMA, showing short-term bearish pressure.
🟢 . Trade Idea Summary:
• Enter near the blue demand zone
• SL below 🔴 59.66
• TP at 🎯 63.85
• R:R ratio looks favorable (low risk, high reward)
Outlook:
As long as price holds above the demand zone, this setup remains bullish 📈
Let’s see if the bulls can push it to that 63.85 target! 🚀💰
