Get started

Commodities

Gold bounces sharply as dollar tumblesAfter I highlighted the potential for a short-term breakdown yesterday, the precious metal went on to break that $3,300 support and dropped a good $50 below it, before finding STRONG support at $3250 - a level that had not been re-tested yet after the upside breakout last week. Where do we go now, is the key question. Well, gold is now near the resistance trend derived from connecting the recent lower highs, around the $3325 zone. A clean break above this trend could target $3,360 initially, ahead of $3,400 and then there's nothing significant until the all-time high at $3,500. On the downside, the reclaimed support at $3,300 is now key. It needs to hold its own above this level to prevent a bigger slide down the line. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
SILVER: Target Is Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 33.241 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.119.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our 1H chart route map from yesterday. Another great day on the charts with our analysis playing out like we said. Yesterday we stated; no EMA5 lock above 3317, forcing a rejection back to the retracement range. We then stated that we are expecting continued reactions within this retracement range, inline with our plans to buy dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels help us track downward movements and catch bounce setups. - This played out perfectly with the reaction from the retracement range into 3317. We will now look for a lock above this level for a continuation or failure to lock will follow with a rejection back into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce. We'll continue to buy dips using our key support levels, targeting 20 to 40 pip moves. As always, each level structure provides consistent bounce zones, offering great opportunities for both entry and exit. If you backtest the levels we’ve shared every week over the past 24 months, you’ll see how effectively they work with or against short to mid term swings and trends. Remember: Swing ranges yield bigger bounces than weighted levels — that’s the key difference. BULLISH TARGET 3389 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3478 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3517 BEARISH TARGETS 3352 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3317 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3282 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3233 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3185 3146 As always, we’ll keep you all updated with real time analysis and management of active setups throughout the week. Thank you for your continued support, your likes, comments, and follows mean a lot! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on May 29: Focus on core contradictions New trend of long-short power game The sharp contrast between the 5% surge last week and the 1.25% plunge this week reveals that the market has huge differences on the value center of $3,300 The negative correlation between the US dollar index and gold has increased (the recent correlation coefficient has reached -0.82), and the key watershed of the US dollar index of 102.5 needs to be monitored simultaneously Ranking of the influence of macroeconomic data Priority ①: Friday core PCE (the most favored inflation indicator by the Federal Reserve, expected to be 4.6%) Priority ② ：Revised GDP value on Thursday (previous value 1.6%) Priority ③: Initial jobless claims (four consecutive weeks above 210,000 indicate a cooling of employment) Three-dimensional positioning of technical aspects Multi-period resonance analysis Weekly: 5-week moving average (3282) and Bollinger middle rail (3265) form a support belt Daily: MACD column shrinks but does not cross, suggesting adjustment rather than reversal Key price matrix Strong and weak boundary: US$3,300 (trading concentration area in the past 20 trading days) Attack and defense space: Upward: 3325 (Fibonacci 38.2%) → 3365 (weekly previous high) Downward: 3280 (May option biggest pain point) → 3250 (200-day moving average) Trading strategy Scenario 1: Pre-data shock (probability 65%) Operation: 3285-3325 interval grid trading Buy strategy : Long at 3288-3290, stop loss at 3278, target at 3318 Short strategy: Short at 3320-3325, stop loss at 3332, target at 3292 Position management: No more than 3% per transaction, profit and loss ratio 1:3 Scenario 2: PCE data breakthrough (probability 35%) Bull breakthrough: Confirmation condition: 30-minute closing above 3330 Chasing strategy: Add positions after falling back to 3315, stop loss at 3300, target at 3360 Short breakthrough: Confirmation condition: Hourly line falls below 3270 Chasing strategy: Short at rebound at 3280, stop loss at 3295, target at 32 30 Risk warning system Black swan monitoring Geopolitical risk indicators: observe the dynamics of the Russian-Ukrainian front + Middle East tanker premium rates Liquidity risk: track the 3-month LIBOR-OIS spread (currently 26bp) Trading strategy recommendations: Algorithmic strategy: adopt a mean reversion + momentum breakthrough combination strategy Asian session: RSI (14) 30-70 range shock trading European and American session: Bollinger bandwidth breakthrough strategy Hedging plan: buy gold volatility ETF (GVZ) to hedge unilateral risks The current market is in a wait-and-see state before major data, and it is recommended to maintain a position below 50%. Medium and long-term investors can establish bottom positions in batches in the 3250-3280 area, and short-term traders focus on reverse trading opportunities after the 3315 false breakthrough. Remember: before the Fed's policy shift is confirmed, every deep adjustment of gold is a strategic position building opportunity.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Line_FX
Time to Cut down on Sugar ? Reasons for being bearish on sugar for 2025 season with target price of 15 : 1) Head and Shoulders pattern bearish breakout on Raw sugar below 17 on the monthly timeframe. Price is now trading below the lows of 2022 highlighting potential oversupply of sugar for 2025 season. 2) Recent Unica reports suggesting increase in sugar production in centre-south Brazil. 3) Brent oil is trading below 64 as on date which weakens ethanol pricing thereby leading to farmers diverting more cane towards sugar production 4) USDBRL currently at 5.66 and any depreciation leading above 6 will make sugar exports more favorable leading to increase in supply and price correction. This view will get negated if price reclaims the level of 18.
ICEUS:SB1!Short
by Himanshu_Khiara
Top and bottom conversion, short position continues?📰 Impact of news: 1. The International Trade Court ruled that Trump exceeded his authority, and the previous tariffs may be suspended 2. Ukraine submitted a ceasefire document to Russia 3. Pay attention to the initial jobless claims data during the US trading session 📈 Market analysis: The U.S. Court of International Trade in Manhattan blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” trade measures, ruling that Trump had overstepped his authority by imposing sweeping tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than they import without authorization from Congress. This means that most of Trump's tariffs will be suspended. But at the same time, the recent geopolitical impact cannot be ignored. In addition, the initial jobless claims data will be released during the U.S. trading session today. Independent traders must set stop losses. From a technical point of view, the 1H level chart of gold shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is near the lower track, showing a weak pattern in the short term. Considering that 3285 is the previous low point, there is also a possibility of suppression at 3285. Therefore, we should pay close attention to the resistance range of 3285-3295. If the gold price in the Asian and European sessions can stabilize below 3295, then we can rely on the 3285-3295 range to enter the market and short. On the contrary, if the pullback today stands above 3300, then we should not chase the short easily. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3285-3295 TP 3270-3260-3250 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
2
Analysis and layout of gold trend in the US market📰 Impact of news: 1. Initial jobless claims data is positive 2. The White House is tough on the court ruling: Trump will win! Three trade agreements are close to being reached 📈 Market analysis: I think the current rebound should not be directly judged as a unilateral trend. From a technical point of view, in the 4H cycle, the upper 3320-3325 line has a certain suppression force in the short term. If the gold price runs below 3325, we need to be alert to the risk of a high rebound. We can try to arrange short orders based on the 3320-3325 range, and bet on the high selling opportunities in the volatile market. Independent trading with a good stop loss. However, it should be noted that if the price quickly breaks through the 3330 line in the short term and stands above it, it is expected to rise to the 3340-3350 area. At the same time, I think the support below can first look at the 3300 line, with a focus on the 3290-3285 line support. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3320-3325 TP 3310-3300 BUY 3295-3285 TP 3300-3310-3320 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Hanzo / GOLD 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Bearish Reversal )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) Bias: Bearish Time Frame: 15 Min Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep ☄️ Bullish Setup Reversal – 3311 Zone Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ——- 🩸 Key Reasons for Entry: ☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap). ☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence. ☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure. ☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level. 🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed. 🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR Status: trade active 👌 Hanzo / GOLD 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Bearish Reversal )
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
USOIL:First go short, then go long USOIL: There are still signs of a pullback on an hourly basis after oil prices climbed to near 63 after OPEC+ said there would be no immediate changes to current production policies. So the trading strategy :SELL@62.5-62.8 TP@61.6-61.3 After stepping back to the point can not break a wave of rebound, the target can look at 63 again ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→
TVC:USOILShort
by Boooob_
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-29 : Harami Inside patternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will stall within yesterday's body range and possibly trend a bit downward (after NVDA news/earnings). I don't see the markets really extending much higher today as we are moving into a sideways Harami pattern, then into a CRUSH pattern tomorrow. Gold and Silver are really making a big move higher this morning, which suggests traders are back to actively hedging against risk across the globe. BTCUSD is trading flat/sideways - looking for some direction and, obviously, NOT RALLYING right now. In my mind, the markets are struggling for direction, and Gold/Silver are showing that real risks are still elevated. I also highlight my new Pure Alpha TTScanner algo and the work I'm doing to try to help more traders. The best part about what I do is that I get to create solutions/tools for traders. I love it. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
8
XAUUSD - Will Gold Continue to Fall?!Gold is trading in its ascending channel on the 1-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. I expect the direction ahead for gold to be bullish and if it breaks the downtrend line, we can look for buying opportunities. The U.S. dollar rose following a decision by the United States Court of International Trade to revoke tariffs imposed by Donald Trump. Since the Trump administration, there have been continual developments regarding tariffs, and this latest ruling, which blocks Trump’s retaliatory tariffs, has stirred uncertainty and confusion over its legal validity. The ruling also triggered a correction in gold’s upward trend. According to the U.S. Constitution, the power to impose tariffs officially resides with Congress. However, since 1962, much of this authority has been delegated to the executive branch. Courts have historically upheld this delegation to the president, but this recent judgment casts doubt on the legitimacy of such executive powers. The pressing question now is whether Trump can circumvent the ruling. Could he potentially ignore it or take counteraction? Any move by Trump in response would undoubtedly ripple through the financial markets. Goldman Sachs has characterized the court’s decision as a new obstacle for Trump’s trade strategy, though it notes the ruling only applies to part of the tariffs.Analysts at the firm believe Trump may find legal or procedural means to work around the court’s decision, possibly introducing new strategies to maintain his tariff agenda. Citing customs data, ING commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey reported that despite record-high prices, China’s gold imports reached their highest level in eleven months last month. Since the beginning of the year, gold prices have surged by more than 20%. Total gold imports climbed to 127.5 metric tons, marking a 73% increase from the previous month. This sharp rise followed the People’s Bank of China’s issuance of new import quotas to select commercial banks in April. With a year-to-date gain exceeding 20%, gold hit an all-time high of $3,500 per ounce in April. Key drivers of this rally include geopolitical risk and sustained purchases by central banks. In the broader metals sector, China’s refined copper production in April reached a new monthly record, rising 9% year-on-year to 1.25 million metric tons, even as processing fees remained low. Meanwhile, lead production declined by 1% from the previous year to 664,000 tons, while zinc output edged up by 0.3% to 576,000 tons. According to the International Aluminium Institute, global aluminum production in April remained flat compared to the prior month, averaging 201,100 metric tons per day. However, on a year-over-year basis, output increased by 2.24%.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
XAU/USD on the 45-minute timeframeSupport Zone Rejection (around 3,250 USD): Price sharply reversed after testing a key support area (highlighted with a circle). Volume increased at the reversal point, signaling strong buyer interest. Break Above Minor Resistance (~3,280 USD): Price has broken above the immediate resistance level with strong bullish momentum. A bullish candle has closed above this zone, indicating a potential continuation. Next Target Resistance Zones: First Target: Around 3,320 USD, which aligns with a previous structural high and supply zone. Final Target: Around 3,345–3,350 USD, representing a major resistance zone and previous swing high. Trade Plan: Entry: Above 3,280 (already in motion). Target 1: 3,320 Target 2: 3,345–3,350 Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (below recent low and support zone) Bullish Structure: Higher low has been established. Momentum is supported by volume confirmation
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
GOLD → False breakdown and support from the falling DXYFX:XAUUSD , as part of a correction, confirms the upward trend line and returns to the consolidation (range), making a false breakdown of support amid the dollar's correction... The US dollar remains stable thanks to the Fed's hawkish minutes and the court's decision to block Trump's tariffs. Investors are waiting for Friday's inflation data (PCE), which could weaken the dollar and give gold a chance to rebound. Additional influence will come from US GDP data, jobless claims, and geopolitical news. On D1, gold is rebounding from strong support and heading towards resistance at the rising trend line. If economic risks remain high, gold could continue its rally despite conflicting bearish patterns... Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3325 Support levels: 3290, 3285, 3265 Gold is forming a false breakdown of support at 3265 as part of a correction and confirming the lower boundary of the upward channel. Consolidation above 3280 will confirm that bulls are holding the market amid high economic risks. Gold may test 3300-3310 and form a correction before continuing its growth towards 3325. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
Fed Minutes and Tariff Delay Support SilverSilver traded near $33.15 on Thursday, steady after Fed minutes showed a cautious rate stance amid economic uncertainty and trade tensions. The Fed held rates at 4.25%–4.5%, awaiting clearer data. Bond market volatility and questions about the dollar’s role weighed on sentiment. Silver remains under pressure from trade risks but gains support from being undervalued versus gold and a fifth year of global supply deficits. Markets now await US GDP and PCE data. Trump’s delay of the EU tariff and Brussels’ pledge to speed talks slightly increased risk sentiment. The first critical support for gold is seen at 33.80 and the first resistance is located at 32.30.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold Extends Decline as Safe-Haven Demand WeakensGold fell below $3,260 on Thursday, its fourth straight decline, as easing tariff fears reduced safe-haven demand. The drop followed a U.S. court ruling that Trump exceeded his authority in imposing tariffs, ordering their removal. The decision is expected to be appealed. Fed minutes showed a cautious stance as officials assess policy impacts, citing risks of both inflation and job losses. Meanwhile, U.S. gold exports to Switzerland surged in April after metal tariffs were lifted, shifting global trade flows. The first critical support for gold is seen at the $3245 and the first resistance is located at $3295.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
GOLD Is Going Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,301.19. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,325.39 level soon. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
3