Geopolitical risks pushed GOLD to increase rapidly in the short In the early trading session on Asian markets on Friday (November 29), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot rose suddenly and rapidly from the intraday low of $2,633 and headed into a key technical position for technical downside expectations. Impacted by escalating tensions in Ukraine.
Russia launches joint attack, Putin "speaks tough"
While Israel and Lebanon have reached a 60-day ceasefire agreement, this will essentially create pressure on gold as market risks become less. However, the escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict may continue to keep gold prices stable above 2,600 USD/ounce in the near future.
The latest Reuters report on Friday said that Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday local time said Russia could use the new "Hazel" hypersonic missile to attack Kiev in response to Ukraine's missile launch. Western fire penetrated deep into Russian territory.
So far in the 33-month war, Russia has not yet attacked Ukrainian ministries, government agencies, parliament or the presidential office.
Putin said on Thursday that Russia's large-scale attack on Ukraine was a "response" to Ukraine's use of Western missile systems to attack Russian territory.
Earlier in the day, Ukraine reported that energy facilities across Ukraine were being attacked by Russian armed forces.
Ukraine's Air Force said Thursday that Russia launched a joint attack on Ukraine using missiles and drones starting early that morning. Most regions in Western Ukraine are under attack, especially Ternopil, Lviv, Lutsk, Vinnitsa, Khmelnytsky and others.
Ukrainian President Zelensky said on the social platform on Thursday that he had a conversation with the Air Force commander, the Minister of Internal Affairs and the Minister of Energy that day about the Russian attack. Mr. Zelensky said that the target of Russia's attack this time is Ukraine's energy infrastructure. Russia launched about 100 attack drones and more than 90 missiles of all types.
In the current market context, traders need to pay attention to geopolitical conflicts, their escalation or reduction will have a sudden impact on gold in the short term.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold recovered from the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level but is temporarily limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level and the EMA21 moving average.
In the short term, Gold can still decrease in price as long as it has not broken the medium-term trend price channel. In the immediate future, gold does not have enough conditions to increase in price in the short term, but a drop below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level will cause gold to fall further with the goal of reaching the original price point of 2,600 USD.
However, geopolitical risks are dominating the market, so any purely technical structure could be broken quite easily during this time. The $2,693 level will be the next target in case the 0.50% Fibonacci level is broken above.
The market is very volatile in the short term, so long-term open positions will be less effective, and notable technical levels for the medium-term bearish outlook from the price channel on the daily chart will be seen. noticed again as follows.
Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD
Resistance: 2,663 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2679
↨
→Take Profit 2 2674
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2575
→Take Profit 1 2586
↨
→Take Profit 2 2591
Commodities
Gold hard to TA, but Silver save the day, got 5 bullish targetsGold hard to TA, but Silver save the day, got 5 bullish targets
Biden attack to Russia change the trend for now, bearish signal maybe later when Trump become president. The presidential inauguration is always held on Jan 20, so after Trump inauguration maybe bearish signal again
Gold--> Trade inside from channel boundaryOANDA:XAUUSD A slight increase from $2,650 after the breakout, this is generally due to political news, but the overall fundamental backdrop remains challenging. Today, liquidity is low due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States.
Metal prices are affected by geopolitical risks, which remain high due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Additionally, the commitment of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico is also having an impact. "This has raised a bit more concern about the possible consequences from these two countries. So, that remains an important supporting factor for gold."
In theory, any effort to push gold prices higher may be limited because Trump’s tax plan is also considered a potential driver of inflation, which could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow the process of cutting interest rates.
Technically, gold is moving sideways, so we consider trading from the range boundaries. We focus on the local channel from H1 2660 - 2618 and the global channel from D1 at 2690 (2710) - 2605.
Accordingly, at this time, gold is heading toward liquidity above. A false breakout of the main resistance zone and price consolidation in the selling area could lead to a price drop to the lower boundary of the sideways range.
Heading into overlap resistance?USO/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 69.81
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 70.76
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 68.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could fall from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,659.61
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,713.45
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 2,611.27
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAG/USD 27.11.24FXOPEN:XAGUSD
Hello Traders,
Here's a quick update on silver. Today, we successfully completed our small 12345 setup. This marks the formation of our big wave 1, and we are now in the wave 2 support region. The stop-loss should be placed below the starting point of wave 1 or under the fiv levels of wave 2. Be careful the nromal spread at silver is 20+ so rather make the sl a little bit bigger before you get stopped out and the chart turns around.
Gold Analysis 1HWe have broken out of a triangle pattern, and now the price is approaching the resistance zone in gray.
✅ What I’m watching for:
If we break above this gray resistance, my target will be the next resistance zone in red.
🚨 Plan:
Wait for confirmation of the breakout before entering a position to increase your chances of success.
👉 Follow me for more trade ideas and updates!
Gold slightly rebounds trying to get back the bullish action OANDA:XAUUSD the bulls struggling to stop the price bearish movement
Now that will depend on the stability of the support 2,605.00
if this support prevents the negative price movement, then it more likely to try to pass the previous top @ 2,721.00 to target then 2,790.00
But if the price breaks done 2,605.00 then it may target lower supports starting 2,540.00
Gold Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 2620 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2620 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold Rebounds: Geopolitical Tensions and a Weaker Dollar Drive tGold Rebounds: Geopolitical Tensions and a Weaker Dollar Drive the Recovery
Gold prices have rebounded after a recent dip, which followed reports of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah. Despite this temporary pullback, the broader dynamics supporting gold remain intact, driven by geopolitical uncertainty, inflation concerns, and central bank policies.
Geopolitical Tensions Support Gold
One of the primary factors behind gold’s continued strength is the persistence of geopolitical risks. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets, with gold standing out as a key hedge against global instability. Even with temporary easing of tensions in the Middle East, the broader geopolitical landscape remains a strong support for gold prices.
US Dollar Weakness Boosts Gold
US economic data presented a mixed picture, which weakened the dollar and provided a boost to gold prices:
- **US GDP QoQ (2nd Estimate):** 2.8%, in line with forecasts, indicating steady economic growth.
- **US Initial Jobless Claims:** Reported at 213K, slightly better than the forecast of 215K, showcasing a stable labor market.
- **US Durable Goods Orders:** Increased by 0.2%, below expectations of 0.5%, signaling a softer investment demand.
- **US PCE Price Index YoY:** Rose to 2.3%, matching forecasts but higher than the previous 2.1%.
- **US Core PCE Price Index YoY:** Climbed to 2.8%, in line with expectations but up from the prior 2.7%.
These figures weakened the US dollar, which typically moves inversely to gold, making the precious metal more attractive to global investors.
Inflation Concerns and Central Bank Activity
Inflation remains a key driver for gold. Planned tariffs on imported goods, proposed by future President Donald Trump, could exacerbate inflationary pressures in the US, further boosting gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
Moreover, gold continues to benefit from a global environment of falling interest rates. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, while central bank purchases add strong, consistent demand to the market.
Emerging Market Demand Strengthens Gold
Emerging economies, such as China and India, play a critical role in gold’s price trajectory. In these regions, gold holds significant cultural and investment value, and rising wealth levels contribute to increasing demand. This structural support further solidifies gold’s position as a long-term investment choice.
What’s Next for Gold?
Gold’s rebound highlights its resilience amid shifting global dynamics. While geopolitical developments like the ceasefire in the Middle East can trigger short-term volatility, the broader drivers—geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and central bank policies—remain firmly in place.
As the dollar shows signs of softening, gold is likely to maintain its upward momentum in the long term. Is this the beginning of a renewed rally for gold, or will further global developments bring new challenges? Share your insights in the comments!
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDADE > READ THE CAPTAINBuddy'S dear friend 👋
Gold trading analysis map 🗾 update Gold already breakout bullish trend. 2721 -2605 Sellers closed trade. gold recover quickly ✔️ 2658 rejected again test diamond zone 2621 again recover quickly ✔️ Bullish trend 📈. Gold ready for short trade 😀 closed below 👇 Trend 📉 2605 - 2548 don't forget back up trand 😱 if blackout 2648 Next target 2680 ?!!!
Support ✨ My hard analysis Setup like And Following Me 🤝 that star ✨ game 🎮
XAUUSD: Expecting a Triangle bullish breakout.Gold is neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 48.029, MACD = -5.300, ADX = 29.357) as it is consolidating inside a Triangle, same as it did within November 13th - 15th. Once the LH trendline breaks, we expect a similar bullish breakout to a new High but on the short term we are happy to just aim for the R1 level (TP = 2,721)
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Shorting gold is my best Thanksgiving gift to youBros, although gold has risen sharply to around 2646 in the short term, from the overall structure, the rebound strength of gold is still lacking, and it has never been able to break through the key level, resulting in limited room for gold to rise; and gold still faces the resistance area of 2650-2655 in the short term.
So don't be scared by the sharp fluctuations in the short term. The rebound is an opportunity to short gold; in addition, once gold forms a falling relay platform, gold is likely to continue to fall and try to reach 2600, or even 2580.
Bros, this is my Thanksgiving gift to you! Be brave to short gold! Bros, have you shorted gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Bitcoin and Gold to Counter InflationConsidering how Gold and Bitcoin surged significantly in response to inflation when it peaked at 9% in June 2022, and given that they are still maintaining their high levels, it seems the fear of inflation is not yet over.
Today, I will focus on Gold and strategies to manage this upward trend, which you can also apply to Bitcoin.
Mirco Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Coffee Is Getting ExpensiveCoffee is in a massive rally on tight Brazil crop fears and if we take a look at the weekly chart, we can see it trading impulsively higher with space for more gains until it fully completes a five-wave bullish cycle by Elliott wave theory, just watch out on short-term 4th wave pullbacks.
Basic Impulsive Bullish Pattern shows that Coffee can be trading in subwave "iii" of 3 of (3) of a five-wave bullish impulse of different degrees, so more gains can be seen after short-term 4th wave pullback.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our analysis playing out, as analysed.
After completing the full swing range test and swing action yesterday, we stated that we were now waiting for ema5 lock above 2657 for a continuation or a lock below the swing range will open the levels below.
2657 Goldturn failed to break and followed with the rejection back into the swing range at 2620. No lock below 2620 confirmed the rejection for the bounce, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will continue to see play between both these weighted levels and will need to see ema5 cross and lock to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2728
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2728 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2743
POTENTIALLY 2759
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2759 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2772
POTENTIALLY 2787
BEARISH TARGETS
2703 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2703 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2684 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2684 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2638 (DONE) - 2620 (DONE)
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bearish trend continues.Gold bulls and bears saw each other repeatedly, and the market rose and fell back to fluctuate and adjust! Thanksgiving on Thursday, the US market closed early, and the expected volatility was limited, so the expectation should not be too high. Look for opportunities to short below 2652, and the nearest suppression below is 2647! Continue to sell on rebound!
We said yesterday that gold’s rise is not necessarily a reversal, but just a rebound. Gold suggested to continue selling near 2652 yesterday. Gold fell as expected, and gold is still just a rebound.
The 1-hour moving average of gold is still arranged downward. The rebound of gold is an opportunity to short. If gold rebounds above 2640, continue to short.
First support: 2620, second support: 2612, third support: 2600
First resistance: 2640, second resistance: 2652, third resistance: 2668
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2611near
SELL: 2644near
XAUUSD:28/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2627
Four-hour resistance 2641, support below 2627-10
Gold operation suggestions: Gold surged and fell in the shock yesterday. The US market surged slightly and pierced the 2658 line and fell under pressure. The closing price was below 2640. The overall gold price showed a secondary pressure pattern above 2655.
At present, from the 4-hour trend, pay attention to the short-term suppression of 2640-2645 on the upper side, and focus on the suppression of 2658-60 yesterday. In the short term, we pay attention to the support of 2627 on the lower side, and wait patiently for the key points to enter the market.
SELL:2640~45
BUY:2627near
BUY:2612near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.