XAU USD - current sells in play, looking for buying ops
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed.
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXIV
Commodities
Technical analysis of XAUUSD chartDear friends, it's Ben here!
Flag Pattern: The chart showcases a well-formed flag pattern, a classic bearish continuation signal.
Target Projection: Using the height of the previous wave 3 of the flagpole, the pattern's target is forecasted to be around $2,553.
Fibonacci Levels: The price is at a level corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2,637, a strong bearish signal, with the next resistance near $2,647 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement).
Breakout Confirmation: A breakout from the flag will confirm the bearish momentum.
Trend Outlook: A macro bearish trend is indicated, supported by resistance rooted in fundamental factors...
Consider, share your opinions and questions, discuss what is happening with OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD should continue bullish as the Dollar takes a breakcaught a nice move yesterday and looking for the move to continue today. We are sitting in a high volume level on the VP and bears are starting to fall back from being active. waiting for the next 2hours of the Asian kill zone to show me what price wants to do.
Xau/usd Massive sell as DXY continue to rise!!I believe the strength of the US dollar will continue to rise until next year, as it has been consolidating during the election period. We also discussed a similar market pattern that occurred over the last four years, which is happening again now. Therefore, there is a higher probability that we could see a significant selloff back to its monthly lows.
Follow for more breakdown
Sorry, I've already started shorting goldBros, gold rose to the 2650-2660 area as expected, and we made a very good profit on the long position we held since yesterday. At present, gold has reached a high of around 2654. Then it is obvious that since gold fell from 2721 to 2604, its 50% split line is exactly in the 2660-2665 area; and in the short term, since gold fell from 2688 to 2604, its 61.8% split line is exactly in the 2655-2660 area. So gold faces resistance in the 2655-2665 area in the short term.
If the current rebound of gold is just a correction to the downward trend, then gold may still fall again when facing this resistance area. So I have reminded everyone that you can short gold near 2653, bros, wish us good luck!
Bros, have you shorted gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
EURCAD - The Perfect Flat Correction. 700pip Move Coming!EURCAD is in a nice 335 Flat Correction.
Wave A = 3 waves
Wave B = 3 waves
Wave C = 5 waves.
Wave C
We are currently in wave C (5 waves). We have seen wave 1, which was a leading diagonal. Wave 2 was a simple abc correction.
Wave 3 a strong bearish impulsive move.
We are now in wave 4.
It's important to note wave C can follow either an ending diagonal format or an impulsive schematic format. In the latter format, wave 4 cannot go beyond wave 1 completion, making our invalidation level 1.48725 for a risk entry.
Trade Idea:
- Look for an entry with with stops above 1.48725 (Small stops needed)
- Hold position to 1.416 (700pips)
If we break above 1.48725, it means wave C is in an ending diagonal format. If this happens, we can look for a lower timeframe trendline break or BOS.
See below for our last setup:
EURCAD 4H - Entry on break of risk trendline for a more confirmed entry
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A piptastic day on the charts today with our analysis playing out perfectly!!!!
Yesterday after completing the full swing range test at 2620, we stated we were waiting for the full swing action into 2657. The swing range did exactly what it says on the tin.
- This played out perfectly with the full swing action into 2657 completing this setup
We will now need to see ema5 lock above 2657 for a continuation, as long as the swing range provides support or a lock below the swing range will open the levels below.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2728
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2728 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2743
POTENTIALLY 2759
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2759 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2772
POTENTIALLY 2787
BEARISH TARGETS
2703 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2703 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2684 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2684 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2638 (DONE) - 2620 (DONE)
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
WTI crude looks poised for breakdownWTI has held the key resistance level of $69.30 today, marking a pivotal level on the intraday charts. Here, the resistance trend of the bear channel also came into focus. With support at 68.60/68.70 area broken, this level is now the most important short-term resistance to watch now. I think if we get a retest of this level from underneath, it could get sold and cause prices to drop to take out liquidity resting below the most recent low at 68.06. My next downside target would be $67.00.
News of ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah has helped to weigh on prices, potentially a positive step towards regional stability.
Working off the fall of Silver. H4 26.11.2024Working off the fall of Silver 📉
Silver continues to fall, which I showed in the last analysis . On Monday we got a pushing volume down and if they give a new pullback, I advise to sell with targets around 29 and below. There is still potential for decrease. Major volumes remained up, major segment is also overlapped down and DPOC contract near 31.30 accumulated which gave a reaction down.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
Hold on to the short position and don't give up!Bros, gold once rose to around 2658. Seeing the sharp rise in gold in the short term, have you given up your short position?
I still insist on holding short orders near 2653. Although gold rose sharply to near 2658 in a short period of time, it did not break through the 50% dividing line in the 2660-2665 area; and the daily level resistance is also located near 2660. and the daily level resistance is also located near 2660. So I have reason to believe that after gold fails to effectively break through the 2660-2665 area, it will usher in a wave of retracement in the short term, and the retracement target is 2640-2635 area.
Therefore, I still continue to hold a short position in gold and look forward to a good result and continue our winning streak!
Bros, have you shorted gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD LONG-TRADE SETUP - NOV 26🚨 Gold Trade Setup – Nov 26 🚨
Hey Traders!
Check out our latest setup for FX:XAUUSD XAUUSD (Gold). 🟡 Here's what you need to know:
📌 Trade Plan:
We’re waiting for tomorrow’s market sentiment and report outlook before triggering a market order. No pending orders for now.
📈 Buy Conditions:
Price must break above $2640 with a clear candle close to confirm trend continuation.
💡 Key Insights:
Current structure suggests a short-term breakout and retest, likely followed by a continuation of the bullish trend.
Be cautious of any perceived sell setups—they may just be bearish traps, especially with the 38.2% Fibonacci SR holding strong.
Fundamentals remain strongly bullish for Gold.
📊 Action Step:
Recreate the setup on your chart, place alerts, and be ready for tomorrow’s confirmation. Let’s trade smarter, not harder! 🚀
Cheers, and happy trading! 🫡✨
Crude Oil (USOIL) Trade Setup – Key Insights & StrategyHey Traders! 👋
In this video, I dive into the current price action and trade opportunities for Crude Oil (USOIL). With the market sitting near key support levels, here's what you need to know. 📊
🔷 What’s Inside:
Analysis of FX:USOIL USOIL’s recent price movements.
Key support levels and potential breakout zones.
My trading strategy for the week ahead and how to approach the EIA report.
📌 Don’t miss these insights—they could shape your next big move!
💬 Watch now and share your thoughts in the comments below. Let’s collaborate and build smarter strategies together.
📈 Follow me for real-time updates on TradingView
Trade smart and stay ahead! 🚀
GOLD HAVE A CLEAR DIRECTIONwhy gold is going down:
1. Trump's “Make America Great Again” policy pushes USD to higher levels
2. FED looks hesitant to cut rate faster as data still shows inflation
3. Trump pushes the use of BTC as FED government reserve.
4.middle east geopolitics that may be resolved soon
5.With the election of Trump, we know he does not like war, but he likes business and trade war. where the Ukraine and Russia war may also be finished soon when trump is inaugurated and communicates with Kim jong Un (north korea) and Vladimir Putin.
Feel Free to comment below what u think
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Gold has pushed up & playing within a range. It's moving perfectly within a range to create either a flat or complex correction pattern, either in a 3 or 5 Sub-Wave form.
Remember, Wave 2 & Wave 4 are always corrective moves so they move slow. Time to exercise patience🤞🏼
GOLD | Is This Bear Flag Real?I have been holding my short position 2630-2615 for 12 hours now and I'll keep holding it because the bear flag looks pretty solid. But I'm opening a 12th Long position. Here's my little analysis for this position:
It's really worth understanding that today we're expecting a giant amount of news that'll directly affect the USD, and therefore the XAU. Including the announcement of the ceasefire in the Middle East, as well as GDP, Unemployment Claims, Core Durable Goods and PCE.
It seems to me that the news will be positive for the USD this time, and so Gold will fall, at least a little.
But here's the situation: there are still a few hours until the news, and the bear flag hasn't reached its top yet, so along with the existing short position, I'm opening a cautious long position. 2 active positions are better than 1 during such times:
Opening LONG: 2645
TP: 2655
SL: 2590
I hope that both positions will be successful, so I'm using a fairly small lot and a large SL. Let's follow the news and see what's going to happen.
HelenP. I Gold will fall to trend line and then continue to riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price traded inside consolidation, where it at once fell to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance zone. Price some time traded inside this zone and then rose to the top part of the range, after which turned around and declined back to the resistance zone. Later, the price broke the 2720 resistance level, exiting from consolidation, and continued to fall next. But Gold tried to grow and failed, after which dropped tothe 2605 support level, which coincided with the support zone and even broke this level. Price fell to the trend line, after which started to grow and soon reached the support level again. Gold broke this level one more time and continued to move up until to resistance level. When the price reached this level, it at once turned around and made an impulse down to the trend line, which coincided with the 2605 support level. A not long time ago price continued to grow next, so, in my mind, XAUUSD will fall to the trend line again and then rise to the resistance level. That's why I set my goal at a 2720 resistance level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD: First green dayHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week ✅
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: this is my main scenario at the moment, but let's review the current template to have a better understanding!
Monday triggered weekly breakout traders, placing a higher high on top of the high of the week, before starting dumping down into the previous opening range high (which is Monday's high of day)
Tuesday, the market mostly consolidated into the current low of week, attempting to push lower, failing and closing as a first greed day.
Today, the high of day and other time frames are triggered in the market, with major red new at 10am NYT this market can keep going parabolic, or eventually starting a 2/3 days of dump and pump to complete by the end of the next week the weekly dump and pump template.
Short: right now, a part for a potential 3 session scalp, I do not see any further down move for the day, it does not mean that during the week it won't build a short template. For better clarification, I will be updating this post in a daily basis.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni