GOLDKey Elements & Interpretation
1. Entry Zone
Entry Price: 3,027.00 USD
The trade seems to expect a reversal from this price level.
Price has recently tapped into this zone after a bullish move, showing potential for a sell-off from premium to discount levels.
2. Stop-Loss (S/L)
Level: 3,040.00 USD
Positioned above the recent highs and liquidity zones (denoted by "$$$"), protecting against false breakouts.
3. Take-Profit Targets
TP1: 3,000.00 USD – first major support / psychological level
TP2: 2,972.00 USD – near previous day low (PDL), a common target for liquidity
TP3: 2,957.00 USD – deeper retracement into FVG / imbalance
TP4: 2,936.00 USD – near the "Discount" zone, likely final target near weak low/liquidity pocket
SMC/Order Flow Insights
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Highlighted zones where imbalance was created — price may revisit for mitigation.
Volume Profile: Shows heavy volume around the 3,020–3,030 level, indicating institutional activity and resistance.
Trendlines: The orange descending trendline is broken, signaling potential shift or trap before reversal.
Liquidity Zone ($$$): Indicates an area where stop hunts or liquidity grabs might happen. Price action touched and respected this zone.
Trade Bias: Bearish
This is a sell setup based on:
Rejection at premium pricing
Liquidity grab above PDH
Confirmation via FVG and trendline break-retest
Volume profile showing resistance
Risk/Reward
Risk is tightly managed with SL just above liquidity
Multiple reward levels offer flexibility to scale out profits
Commodities
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📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 8H timeframe (8600) Day/Swing trade basis.
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Weekly Market Analysis - 9th April 2025Here we are with another market analysis. This time, a bit late in the week on a Wednesday, but it is what it is! We have CPI today and PPI tomorrow, so this should be an interesting week. Overall, gut instinct tells me we would be pushing lower for the DXY, but again, i'm not betting anything on it. I trade the candles, I trade the structure, I don't trade guesses.
I hope you find the video analysis useful. Take care this week!
- R2F Trading
This EURUSD Range Won’t Hold Much Longer – Expect Fireworks🧠 Current Market Context:
EURUSD is trading in a tight compression zone between 1.0935 support and 1.1000 resistance, following a sharp bullish leg from last week. Price is clearly slowing down, with smaller candles and rejection wicks near key levels — a sign of indecision, but also of an incoming breakout.
⚙️ Price Structure Overview:
The pair is forming higher lows but struggling to break above the psychological barrier at 1.1000, suggesting early signs of bullish exhaustion.
1.0935 has acted as a short-term demand zone, with price reacting to it multiple times, creating a clear price floor.
Buyers and sellers are now locked in a tight range — volatility is shrinking, and volume is likely building behind the scenes.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario:
If EURUSD breaks and closes firmly above 1.1000, we could see bullish continuation toward:
Target 1: 1.1035 – previous price reaction level.
Target 2: 1.1070 – resistance from late March.
A strong 1H close above 1.1000 confirms bulls are in control and may trigger stop orders above the round number.
🔽 Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario:
If price fails to break above 1.1000 and breaks below 1.0935, it opens the door for a short-term correction:
Target 1: 1.0900 – strong structure and psychological zone.
Target 2: 1.0860 – last major higher low and liquidity pocket.
A clean breakdown below 1.0935 with momentum would indicate the bulls are losing control.
⏳ Conclusion:
The market is too quiet right now, and that’s never a good sign — this kind of compression usually ends in a sharp impulsive move. Whether it’s a breakout above 1.1000 or a breakdown under 1.0935, a decision is coming.
This is a textbook case of “don’t predict — prepare”. Smart price action traders are watching... and waiting.
WTI Continues Sharp Decline and Enters Oversold TerritoryOver the past five trading sessions, oil prices have dropped more than 17% , with WTI crude falling below the $60 per barrel mark. This move reflects ongoing market uncertainty, as investors expect the new trade war to significantly weaken oil demand in the coming months. As long as confidence remains in a fragile zone, downward pressure on oil prices is likely to persist.
Break of the Sideways Channel
In recent weeks, a key sideways channel that had held since November 2023 has been broken. This shift could alter the neutral outlook that has dominated the oil market in the long term and now points toward seller dominance. As price movements stabilize, a stronger bearish trend may begin to develop in the short term.
Oversold Conditions Appear
RSI: The RSI line is currently holding below the 30 level, which signals oversold conditions on the indicator. This suggests that while bearish pressure has been dominant, the market may be entering an early stage of exhaustion, potentially opening the door for short-term bullish corrections.
Bollinger Bands: The price has completely broken through the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that it has moved beyond two standard deviations from the mean. This reflects high volatility and could signal a pause in selling momentum. In turn, it may lead to potential rebound zones forming soon.
Key Levels:
$58 – Near Support: This is the most important short-term barrier, aligning with multi-year lows not seen since 2021. Continued selling below this level could reinforce the current bearish bias.
$66 – Near Resistance: This level marks the lower boundary of the former sideways channel. It may act as a potential zone for bullish corrections in the short term.
$73 – Distant Resistance: This level aligns with the 200-period moving average. Price action approaching this area could reactivate the previously abandoned uptrend.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
NATGAS Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Resistance of 3.626$ and the
Breakout is confirmed so we
Are bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-8 : Absolute PerfectionThank you. Thank you to all of you who follow my videos and believe in my research.
The last few days/weeks have been absolutely incredible.
My SPY Cycle Patterns, on average, are about 70-80% accurate over a 12-month span of time. There are things, like news and big events (elections, outside forces, big news) that can disrupt any market trend and completely invalidate my SPY Cycle Patterns.
But, when the markets are generally left to their own accord, the SPY Cycle Patterns play out almost perfectly.
Yes, traders need to learn to adopt a PLAN A vs. PLAN B mentality with my SPY Cycle Patterns.
If Brad is right - this will happen. And if Brad is wrong, the opposite will likely happen.
But, the comments I've been receiving over the past 20+ days have been incredible.
Thank you.
Knowing that I'm reaching a larger group of people now (than when I started doing these videos about a year ago) and knowing that some of you are really seeing some BIG GAINS following my research is simply incredible.
I started doing these videos to prove my research and tools were incredible solutions for traders. But, at the same time, I started doing this to combat some of the scammers that are out there.
In my world, watching people (or hearing from them) after they've been scammed a couple of times is heartbreaking.
Most people put a lot of time and effort into trying to become skilled traders. I get it.
That's why I'm doing this - to show you the right path and to show you that price is the ultimate indicator.
Again, thank you from the bottom of my heart. Keep sending me those success stories and...
GET SOME.
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Trader's Alert: Gold Potential Top, Signal (Bullish Bitcoin)Gold today is making a strong move after hitting a new All-Time High. The current session is red and has the highest volume since November 2024. This is an early signal that can be interpreted as the top being printed. Very early.
Gold peaking can have a strong significance for us Cryptocurrency traders. Gold has been in a strong uptrend since December 2024. Bitcoin peaked and went sideways with bearish tendencies in December 2024. They have been moving in contrary direction. This can mean that a Gold top would produce a Bitcoin bottom.
The Gold peak can mean a change in market dynamics, all markets. Bullish goes bearish and bearish goes bullish.
Gold is still bullish on the weekly timeframe but with a parabolic rise. A parabolic rise tends to end with a sudden crash. A true parabola.
This is a friendly alert to all Gold traders.
XAUUSD is likely to go down.
Confirmation is needed.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
USOIL CATCHING THE FALLING KNIFE|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL lost 18% of it's
Value in the last 5 days on the
Trade war news, which makes
The market to expect a recession
And a sharp drop in the oil demand
However, I still think that Oil
Is locally oversold, therefore
A local bullish correction is
To be expected from the
Horizontal support below
Around 57.34$ and the
Target being the resistance
Above around 61.81$
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD: Strong sell to the bottom of the Channel Up.Gold has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.183, MACD = 28.120, ADX = 55.711) as it made a HH rejection at the top of its 1 year Channel Up and almost reached the 1D MA50. A bounce like November 7th 2024 is expected here and then more selling to the 1D MA100. Take that chance to short and aim for a -9% decline in total (TP = 2,900).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart analysis is for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the idea shown:
---
Key Points in the Analysis:
1. Current Price:
XAU/USD is around $2,982.92 at the time of the chart.
2. Trend:
The chart suggests a bearish outlook.
Price has been consistently rejected from the yellow supply zone (around 3,020–3,033).
EMA 200 (blue line) is above the current price, confirming downward momentum.
3. Rejection Zone:
Marked in yellow between 3,020 and 3,033. Labeled as “Reject points”.
Price failed to break above this zone multiple times.
4. Breakout Pattern:
Two descending rectangles highlight bearish continuation patterns.
A bearish flag or wedge is visible, followed by a breakout downward.
5. Target Zone:
Highlighted in yellow between 2,900 and 2,921, with target point at 2,920.615.
Price is expected to move down to this level.
6. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is declining and shows bearish divergence, supporting downside move.
Currently around 39.19, which is closer to oversold territory but still has room to drop.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Area: Rejection near 3,020–3,033 zone
Target: 2,920.615 (highlighted support zone)
Stop Loss: Could be placed above 3,033 (supply zone or EMA 200)
Confluence Factors:
EMA 200 rejection
Bearish RSI divergence
Repeated supply rejection
Breakout from bear flag structures
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAUUSD Breakdown Setup – Gold Bears Eye $2,845 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) has broken below its rising channel structure, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to potential bearish continuation. After a sharp rejection from the $3,167 high, price is currently consolidating just below the psychological $3,000 level, which now acts as resistance.
Key Technical Zones:
Current Price: $2,985
Resistance Zone: $3,000 – $3,005 (key rejection area)
Support Targets:
TP1: $2,923
TP2: $2,844
TP3: $2,832 (swing low)
Bearish Trade Setup:
📉 Entry Zone: If price retests and rejects the $3,000 resistance
📈 Invalidation Level: Break above $3,005
📉 Target Zones:
$2,923 – Previous structure support
$2,844 – $2,832 – Deeper support and channel base
Technical Confluence:
✅ Bearish flag formation following strong impulsive sell-off
✅ Channel break confirms shift in trend
✅ Lower highs and bearish momentum building beneath $3,000
✅ Strong psychological resistance at $3,000
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 8, 2025“Goldie’s mood swings: from drama queen to calculated killer.”
Gold decided to throw a tantrum after NFP and play peek-a-boo with everyone’s SL. But beneath the chaos lies structure—and we speak structure fluently. Let’s map this battlefield with sniper entries and cold logic. No guessing, just high confluence.
📌 Macro Context
🏛️ Geopolitical: Israel-Iran tensions still simmering. Headlines = spikes. Stay nimble.
💰 Fundamentals: Stronger USD post-NFP; Fed tone remains hawkish.
🔍 Technical Environment:
H1/H4 break of bullish structure
D1 printed a brutal engulfing candle
EMA 5/21/50 all pointing down on M30–H1, kissing goodbye to bullish hopes (for now)
“The spike was no accident. Smart money never sleeps.”
📉 Bias: Bearish intraday flow under OB 2980–3000
🔻 SELL SETUPS
🟥 SELL SETUP 1 – OB Rejection Sniper
📍 Entry: 2995–3000
🧠 Why: H1 valid OB + imbalance + bearish CHoCH on M5
🎯 TP1: 2960
🎯 TP2: 2915
🛑 SL: 3008
💬 Classic OB rejection. Look for a wick grab then drop on LTF.
🟥 SELL SETUP 2 – Stop Hunt Pop
📍 Entry: 3010–3015
🧠 Why: Liquidity sweep above 3000, into bearish FVG zone
🎯 TP1: 2975
🎯 TP2: 2940
🛑 SL: 3019
💡 Ideal on a fast pump, then M1 bearish structure shift confirmation.
🟥 SELL SETUP 3 – EMA50 Tap & Fade
📍 Entry: 3035–3040
🧠 Why: Confluence of bearish trendline retest + EMA50 (H1)
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 2950
🛑 SL: 3046
🎯 Catch the fakeout bounce. Risk defined. Trend respected.
🟩 BUY SETUPS
🟩 BUY SETUP 1 – Deep Discount Bounce
📍 Entry: 2945–2955
🧠 Why: M30 OB + unmitigated FVG + 0.618 FIB
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 3030
🛑 SL: 2938
💬 Only valid if 2960 gets flushed cleanly with momentum shift.
🟩 BUY SETUP 2 – Retest of Previous Demand
📍 Entry: 2905–2915
🧠 Why: Unmitigated H4 OB zone + previous bounce structure
🎯 TP1: 2960
🎯 TP2: 3000
🛑 SL: 2895
📈 Take this if we get heavy stop hunts early and DXY slows.
🟩 BUY SETUP 3 – Extreme Demand Sweep
📍 Entry: 2885–2895
🧠 Why: HTF demand zone + psychological 2900 + imbalance
🎯 TP1: 2950
🎯 TP2: 2980
🛑 SL: 2878
🧠 Perfect for the brave — sniper only on strong bounce confirmation (M5).
⚔️ Key Levels Recap:
🔸 3000–2980: Valid OB resistance zone
🔸 2960–2950: Discount reaction base
🔸 2915 / 2890: Deeper liquidity zones
🔸 3045: SL invalidation on bearish bias
🔸 2880: Final demand for aggressive longs
🧠 Strategy Notes:
Watch for manipulation moves into OB or imbalance before taking entries.
Wait for CHoCH or PA confirmation on M1–M5 before executing.
Don’t chase — sniper setups only.
💬 "Goldie might be emotional, but our setups aren’t."
🗣️ Let’s grow together!
🔥 If this sniper plan gave you clarity, drop a like & follow on TradingView 💬
Let’s grow a strong trading community built on structure, not signals.
Stay sharp & stay kind, legends! 💛
📌 No guessing. No chasing. Just smart money and structure.
PLATINUM Strong Triangle buy opportunityLast time we looked at Platinum (XPTUSD) was more than 2 months ago (January 30, see chart below) getting our expected rise and hitting the 999.50 Target:
This time the price is at the bottom (Support Zone) of the 11-month Descending Triangle pattern, which is a technical buy opportunity. The last Bullish Leg hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, while the one before the 0.786.
As a result we have a minimum 985.00 Target on this emerging Bullish Leg.
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Silver Tested Key Resistance LevelFenzoFx—Silver tested the $30.81 resistance level today. If this holds, the downtrend may resume, targeting $28.75 and possibly $27.73 if selling pressure persists.
A bullish reversal could occur if XAG/USD exceeds and stabilizes above $30.81.
>>> Trade XAG/USD at FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker.
GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 2,984.73 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 29.921 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred. And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 30.271.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️