Trading Strategy (XAUUSD) – May 27, 2025The situation unfolded after President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 50% tariff on European goods starting June 1st—a move he later postponed to July 9th to allow more time for negotiations.
However, sentiment remains cautious as investors closely monitor global developments—including the growing U.S. budget deficit, ongoing trade negotiations, and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine—all of which could influence gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Investors are currently awaiting the release of the latest FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and the PCE inflation data on Friday for further insight into the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy Around Key Price Levels:
SELL XAUUSD around 3363–3365
Stoploss: 3370
Take Profit 1: 3358
Take Profit 2: 3352
Take Profit 3: 3348
BUY XAUUSD around 3326–3328
Stoploss: 3320
Take Profit 1: 3332
Take Profit 2: 3338
Take Profit 3: 3342
Note: Always set a Stoploss in all situations for safety.
Commodities
Bears Win the Battle for GoldGold had been stuck between the orange downward trendline and the shorter-term upward trend channel (white), with a decisive move imminent as discussed in earlier posts. That decision now appears to favor the bears, as the upward trend channel has broken.
Following the break, gold quickly dropped to the 3,270–3,290 support zone, which is currently being tested. This zone also includes the 200-hour moving average, adding to its significance. The main support to watch is the yellow trendline visible at the bottom of the chart, which originates from late December. This trendline currently sits near 3,150 and could be the key medium-term target if bearish pressure continues.
In the shorter term, if the 3,270–3,290 zone fails to hold, the next downside target is likely 3,200.
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3323, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3266.73, a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 3366.41, a swing high resistance.
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Gold’s Rally Faces Exhaustion: A Technical Pause or Trend ReversTVC:GOLD Gold has been on an impressive bullish run in recent months, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions, inflationary concerns, and macroeconomic uncertainty. However, recent price action suggests that the trend may be entering a critical turning point. Despite strong underlying sentiment, gold has failed to set a new high—often a clear indication of trend fatigue and the potential start of a technical correction.
The inability to push beyond resistance signals that gold may be entering what market theorists refer to as an "exhaustion phase." In this phase, bullish momentum begins to slow down as the market runs out of buyers willing to chase higher prices. This often results in a pullback, not necessarily a full reversal, but a pause that allows the market to reset.
Volume dynamics also support this view. A decline in volume during recent rallies suggests waning conviction among buyers—a subtle but telling clue that demand may be weakening.
From a technical standpoint, if this pullback extends further, gold is likely to test a key structural support zone. This level has historically served as both resistance and support, making it significant not only technically but also psychologically for market participants. This area also aligns with several other technical confluences: a Fibonacci retracement zone (possibly the 38.2% or 50% level), trendline support, and even the potential completion point of a Bullish Bat harmonic pattern.
The Bullish Bat pattern, a well-known formation in harmonic trading, is especially worth noting. Based on precise Fibonacci measurements, it typically forecasts a reversal near the 88.6% retracement of the initial XA leg. When this pattern completes near major support and is accompanied by price action confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing candle, divergence, or base-building), it can offer a high-probability setup for long entries.
However, technicals alone are not sufficient. A comprehensive view of the macroeconomic environment is essential. Several factors are in play: upcoming U.S. inflation data, evolving expectations around the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, geopolitical uncertainty, and movements in real bond yields. Any of these variables can either validate or invalidate the technical setup, and traders need to stay alert to news that might affect the overall risk appetite.
From a tactical perspective, this is a time for patience. Aggressive entries without confirmation can expose traders to unnecessary risk. Waiting for clear signals near support, aligning trades with higher timeframes, and adhering to disciplined risk management will be essential for success.
In conclusion, gold is at a potential inflection point. Whether this is just a healthy correction in a broader uptrend, or the beginning of a deeper shift, remains to be seen. Both technical and fundamental perspectives are required to build a well-informed trading thesis.
I welcome your insights—whether you analyze from a chart-based or macroeconomic angle. Let’s continue the conversation, share strategies, and grow together as traders.
GOLD M30 Intraday Chart Update for 28 may 2025Hello Guys, as you can see that GOLD intraday chart just shared with levels
you may do some scalping in the ranging zone, however today strong zone is 3265-3280 which also buying zone but must check confirmation before enter
as well as once market will break SBL level then you may also look long position
Remember always trade with SL
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,262.87
1st Support: 3,208.70
1st Resistance: 3,360.90
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2025.05.28 gold analysis
This is the daily chart analysis for gold.
After an upward move, a broadening descending pattern is forming on the daily chart.
For the past four days, price has been supported by the 20-day moving average, with rebounds and pullbacks occurring repeatedly in similar zones. However, with the May 27th candle closing as a bearish candle, it’s wise to approach the market with the possibility of a 20MA retest and potential breakdown in mind.
If the 20MA breaks, there's a high probability price will decline to clear the left-hand blue demand zone. At that point, the Ichimoku Cloud support may turn into resistance.
Looking at the 2-hour chart, we can see a bounce from the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud.
The key turning point for gold seems to be a break below the cloud.
Currently, the important level to watch is around 3286.
If the cloud breaks and the low at 3277.8 is breached, the price could fall to the low 3200s or even down to the 3100s.
From a bullish perspective, a break above the descending resistance trendline and 3366.5 would be needed to shift the view to bullish.
If that trendline is broken, it would signal a breakout from the descending broadening pattern, and a move up to around the 3500 level — where the pattern initially started — could be targeted.
Conclusion
For now, a bearish approach seems appropriate. A breakdown of the daily 20MA could lead to a sharp drop, and its timing is uncertain.
A bullish setup is still premature. It’s better to wait for the descending broadening pattern to be invalidated before considering a long position. The pattern still favors the downside.
Natural Gas Rip or Dip?Natural Gas has had some choppy price action as of late. There has been no clear directional trend.
I remain bearish until we clear the $3.85 level.
If Natural gas rejects off this level we should test the $3.00
If natural gas gets above this $3.85 level bulls should try to retest the major high pivot.
GOLD Move Up Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD went down and
Retested a horizontal
Support level of 3283$
And we are already seeing
A local bullish rebound so
We are locally bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern on XAUUSD (Gold)Chart: XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe (based on "XAUUSD-15-OANDA" in the image).
Pattern: Possible Inverted Head and Shoulders. The image highlights what appears to be a developing head and shoulders pattern.
Key Observations:
Head and Shoulders Formation: The image indicates a possible left shoulder, a head, and what could become a right shoulder.
Fibonacci Retracement: There's a Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618 marked from the head to the potential right shoulder.
Trendline: A downward-sloping trendline connects the highs of the pattern.
Support/Resistance Levels: Horizontal yellow lines suggest potential support or resistance areas.
BRENT outlook: Watching for a move toward the upper boundary (D)Price is currently trading within a broad range, and the main expectation is a move toward the upper boundary — but confirmation is key.
I'm watching the high of the May 22 bar as a key level, since it holds the highest traded volume in recent days.
If price breaks and holds above 64.987 ,
🎯 First target: 67.791
🎯 Second target: 68.619
GOLD HUNTER MODE: XAUUSD H1 OUTLOOK + DAILY PLAN (May 26, 2025)Hey GoldFxMinds crew! 🌟 Hope you’re ready for a fresh week with the kind of sniper focus that turns confusion into clarity. Let’s break down Monday’s key levels and structure, so you trade with confidence, not hope.
Current price: ~3358
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, but caution is king as price sits at the top of a major H1 range.
🟤 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 3358–3368
H1 premium supply zone (last week’s local high + FVG unfilled)
Price hit premium, strong reactions likely
🦅 Eyes on — watch this area for potential sharp rejections or fakeout spikes!
🔻 3380–3395
M15/M30 extension, just above the current HH, in unmitigated OB + FVG
High risk for wicks and “bull trap” inducement
🦅 Aggressive sellers: this is your upper defense — don’t get faked!
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟩 3325–3335
H1 demand/FVG + retest zone, previous breakout base
CHoCH confirmed, so first bounce possible here
🦅 Eyes on — look for bullish PA or quick rebounds, but wait for confirmation!
🟩 3295–3312
M15/M30 deep demand, oversold last week, zone of confluence with 50 EMA
If price nukes through first demand, this is the next major long trigger
🦅 This is where real buyers step in — be patient, don’t rush!
🟠 INTRADAY MID-ZONE
⚡ 3340–3348
Intraday equilibrium, lots of chop expected
Not ideal for entries; instead, use this zone to judge direction after NY open
🦅 Eyes on — let price tell the story, don’t force trades in the middle!
📊 STRUCTURE RECAP (H1 + M15/M30 Confluence)
Bullish structure intact above 3325–3330, but buyers need to defend each demand zone or we retrace lower.
Premium zones above 3358 are loaded with liquidity and can reverse fast. If price fakes out above 3368–3395 and rejects hard, expect a selloff to next demand.
If buyers defend 3325–3335 with a strong CHoCH/BOS, we can see a new impulse leg higher.
👋 Final Note: Watch, Don’t Chase!
This is a week for patient, sniper-style entries. Watch the 3358–3368 zone like a hawk — every wick, every fakeout counts!
Don’t get trapped in the chop; let price come to your key POIs and wait for confirmation.
If you found this plan helpful, smash that like, follow, and drop your questions or thoughts below! Your feedback fuels the next level of analysis.
Let’s crush the week, team! 🚀
— GoldFxMinds
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)After hitting both of our buying targets of $3,274 & $3,318, Gold pushed a little higher than expected. But price came back down again & is following our sell bias very nicely!
With Wave B now supposedly complete, Wave C bearish momentum can now continue down. Gold has been extremely bearish since the start of this week.
WTI Crude Oil Testing Make-or-Break Support ZoneWTI crude is grinding into a pivotal horizontal support near 6,020 after another sharp rejection near the 50-day SMA:
Support at Risk: Price is pressing into the horizontal support zone formed by May’s lows (~6,020). A clean break below would shift momentum back decisively to the downside.
Bearish Structure: Price remains well below both the 50- and 200-day SMAs, which are angled downward—consistent with a medium-term downtrend.
Momentum Fading: MACD is negative and turning lower again, while RSI is stuck near 45 and showing no bullish divergence.
Next Support: If support fails, next downside level is likely around the YTD low near 5,400.
As it stands, bears remain in control unless bulls can defend this floor and drive a breakout back above the 50-day SMA.
-MW
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? Let's Find Out! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price first corrected to the $3323 area and is currently trading around $3336. As mentioned in the previous analysis, as long as the price remains above $3313, we can expect further upside for gold. Based on the prior analysis, the next bullish targets are $3342, $3358, $3366, and $3394.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Analysis of gold trend at night and how to arrange it🗞News side:
1. Trump's view on Russia is not optimistic
2. Trump boasted in a post that his threat to impose tariffs on the EU worked
📈Technical aspects:
Gold does not seem to have a strong rebound. After touching 3305, the rebound momentum has weakened and it has been hovering between 3300-3290. Judging from the hourly chart, I think it is still in a state of correction. Then we may see another drop in the evening to accumulate momentum. This is why I chose to manually close the position near 3300 while waiting for the rebound just now. In the evening, bros can pay attention to the support line of 3280-3270 below to look for entry trading opportunities.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 1H chart route map, playing out as analysed.
We started the week with a bearish gap at 3352 being hit, followed by ema5 cross and lock below 3352, which opened up the next level at 3317, also hit perfectly. We are now seeing ema5 cross and lock below 3317, opening the retracement range, which is currently being tested. We are expecting a reaction within this retracement range, aligning with our plan to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3517
BEARISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3317 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,292.52 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 33.092 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 32.856.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️