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Gold turns at a perfect 38.2%FibLevel onLow of 14Nov Price is down around 2620 after Gold tested 2600 level again or close to it. Perfect alignment with 38.2% Fib levels from the 14 Nov Low. So maybe a fake bounce here and then that final 38.2% down to 2536. I would not be suprised. I finally got a short down to this level. Small lot size but it does not matter, Gold / Silver are penny-pinchers and don't like Shorters'. But its okay for them to wipeout profits in our portfolios which lose value on the march down in price to these huge lows. Then you place a couple of little orders down here at the lows, it's like you stole a Mercedez-Benz. I would not be surprised to see price break lower to form the symmetrical triangle
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-27: BreakAway PatternHappy day before Thanksgiving, everyone. Stay safe this holiday and remember to share hugs and love with all the people that are the most important in your life. Trading will be there tomorrow and the next day - always. Family, health, and loved ones always come before trading/work. Today is a Breakaway pattern for the SPY. I suspect the SPY will still struggle near the 600 level and possibly REJECT into a downward price trend over the next 5+ trading days. The QQQ is showing a very clear Flagging formation whereas the SPY is showing more overall strength. Gold and Silver make a big GAP move higher. This is nice to see. I still believe Gold will attempt to rally above $3000 before the end of 2024 and Silver will attempt to rally above $35 before the end of 2024. Bitcoin is now moving into a projected consolidation phase. The pending breakdown phase may see Bitcoin move down to the $74k to GETTEX:82K level. Buckle up. Remember, we are going to have Thanksgiving holiday and shortened trading hours. If you have not already moved a large portion of your capital into CASH, you could be taking unwanted risks. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Gold: Bearish Pressure with Key Resistance at 2661Gold Technical Analysis The price still has a bearish volume as long as it trades below 2661, so it's possible to touch 2661 before dropping if it can stabilize above 2644. However the general direction is downward due to the high pressure about increasing Inflation in the USA, so it needs stability above 2661 by closing 4h candle above it to be a bullish trend till 2678 Key Levels: Pivot Point: 2644 Support Levels: 2625, 2612, 2585 Resistance Levels: 2661, 2678, 2693
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
XAUUSD - Gold will reach $2,700!?Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of failure of the drawn trend line, we can witness the continuation of downward trend to demand zone, and in that zone, we can buy with appropriate risk reward. The continuation of the upward movement of gold and its reaching the supply zone will provide us with its next selling position. Gold price volatility remains high as the precious metal reacts to changes in geopolitical instability caused by the incoming administration of US President-elect Donald Trump. However, Nitesh Shah, head of commodity research and macroeconomics at WisdomTree, still predicts that gold's upward trend will continue in 2025. In a recent interview with Kitco News, Shah stated that he expects the US dollar to depreciate in 2025, which will benefit gold prices. He added that although Trump's policies can help strengthen the dollar at the beginning of the year, it will be difficult to maintain this trend; Because the government budget deficit will continue. "Most likely, debt will increase and that should put downward pressure on the dollar," he said. Meanwhile, Shah believes the Federal Reserve's interest rate-cutting policies could help lower bond yields, another factor driving gold prices higher. He said in his recent research note: "Now that we are back in the cycle of interest rate cuts, bond yields have fallen and investors are ready to buy gold again." Although Shah is optimistic about gold, in his opinion, the price of this precious metal will have limits to growth in the coming year. He predicts that gold prices will reach around $2,850 per ounce by the fourth quarter of 2024. "The current situation is still relatively positive for gold," Shah said. "Originally, I was projecting $3,000, but according to my updated modeling, to reach that goal, bond yields would need to fall significantly from current levels." On the other hand, the Bank of America (BofA) in its recent report has pointed out four key aspects of the future US government policies that can reduce the demand for gold in the short term. These factors include the increase in interest rates and the strengthening of the US dollar. However, these negative factors do not in any way affect Bank of America's positive long-term outlook for gold, with gold prices expected to reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025. Deregulation: Deregulation policies in the energy and financial services sectors could increase interest rates, which would make gold less attractive. Fiscal policy: Broader and longer tax cuts could boost short-term economic growth and push interest rates higher, posing challenges for gold. Tariffs: The increase in tariffs on China and other major countries can lead to pressure on the currencies of emerging markets, and this may reduce gold purchases by central banks. Fed policy: If economic growth and tariffs push up inflation, the Fed may stop the rate-cutting cycle, which would reduce the appeal of gold as a safe haven. Impact on gold demand: In the short term, there is a possibility of reducing the desire of investors to buy gold due to the mentioned policies. Central banks in emerging countries may reduce gold purchases due to currency pressures from tariff risks. The long-term outlook remains positive: Structural demand from central banks and strategic investors underpins a positive long-term outlook for gold. The attractiveness of gold as a hedge against geopolitical risks, economic instabilities and possible inflationary pressures remains. Conclusion: Although near-term policies under the incoming US administration, including stronger economic growth, higher inflation and a stronger dollar, pose significant headwinds for gold, Bank of America maintains its forecast of $3,000 an ounce by the end of 2025. . This long-term optimism stems from structural and cyclical factors that support gold demand in a challenging policy environment.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Gold rebounded weakly, with resistance at 2640/2650 on the upsidGold fluctuated widely, and the daily line bottomed out and rebounded to 2630 to close. Treat intraday trading with a fluctuating mindset, and the hourly Bollinger Bands closed and the moving average flattened. Intraday 2620 and 2615 short-term support, 2640/2650 short-term resistance above, high-altitude and low-multiple participation in the range! Gold 1-hour moving average is arranged downward, and the decline of gold has not ended. Gold is now fluctuating below the moving average, and gold is still weak, and there is basically no strong rebound. First support: 2620, second support: 2612, third support: 2600 First resistance: 2640, second resistance: 2652, third resistance: 2668 Trading strategy: BUY:2614-2612 SELL:2650-2652
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
NATURAL GAS Final push before peakingNatural Gas (NG1!) rose and hit our 2.900 Target called on our last analysis (August 29, see chart below) and after a pull-back, broke above the Triangle: The Triangle transitioned to a Channel Up and the price is already near the end of its Bullish Leg. The 1W MA200 (red trend-line) is the long-term Resistance (untouched since January 17 2023) so only above it can we justify a new bullish trend. Until then, our Target is 3.745, which represents a +99.50% rise from the last Higher Low, which is the same % rise as the first Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by TradingShot
Brent - oil waiting for regional stability!Brent oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. At the bottom of the rising channel, we will look for positions to buy oil. In case of a valid failure of this channel, we can witness the continuation of the downward trend. U.S. President Joe Biden announced that Israel and Lebanon have agreed to a ceasefire. He expressed gratitude to French President Emmanuel Macron and emphasized that Israel did not initiate this war, nor were the Lebanese people seeking conflict. Biden stated that Israel has destroyed Hezbollah’s infrastructure in southern Lebanon but stressed that lasting security cannot be achieved solely on the battlefield. The ceasefire is set to take effect at 4 a.m. local time tomorrow, aiming for a permanent end to hostilities. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs predicted that Brent crude oil prices face short-term risks that could push them to around $80 per barrel in the first half of 2025, assuming Iranian oil supply drops by 1 million barrels per day due to stricter sanctions. In contrast, the bank expects medium-term risks to Brent prices to tilt downward due to high spare capacity in the market. Goldman Sachs also estimated that Brent crude prices could fall below $60 per barrel in 2026 if a 10% tariff is imposed or OPEC increases its supply in 2025. Separately, Bloomberg reported that China’s small and private refineries are paying higher prices for Iranian oil due to reduced shipments and fewer offers. These refineries have been purchasing light Iranian crude for December delivery at smaller discounts compared to ICE Brent benchmarks. Limited shipping availability and delays have constrained Iran’s oil exports to China. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak, during a meeting with OPEC’s Secretary-General, stated that Russia intends to strengthen its cooperation with OPEC. Novak highlighted that the energy market remains under significant pressure, with price volatility being one of the key challenges. He stressed the importance of closer collaboration between Russia and OPEC to address these issues, asserting that joint efforts can contribute to greater stability in the energy market. Novak also revealed that Russia is preparing to lift its gasoline export ban, with the necessary documentation expected to be finalized soon, although no exact timeline was provided. He pointed to the market’s balance achieved through OPEC+ actions and quota implementation, emphasizing the importance of continued measures to ensure stability. According to the latest JODI data, Saudi Arabia’s crude oil exports increased by 80,000 barrels per day in September, reaching 5.75 million barrels per day, the highest level in three months. This rise in exports likely resulted from reduced direct crude oil consumption for power generation as the country’s hottest months came to an end. JODI data showed that direct crude burning fell by 296,000 barrels per day in September, reaching approximately 518,000 barrels per day. Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest crude oil exporter, saw a slight decrease in oil production in September, down by 17,000 barrels per day to 8.98 million barrels per day. Refinery throughput in the country reached 2.756 million barrels per day in September, the highest in four months and 35,000 barrels per day higher than in August. This production level aligns with Saudi Arabia’s summer commitment to maintain output at “around 9 million barrels per day,” consistent with OPEC+ cuts and a voluntary reduction of 1 million barrels per day. Saudi Arabia and its OPEC+ partners have postponed their planned production increases from December 2024 to January 2025. The group now plans to begin increasing supply in January, initially by 180,000 barrels per day for the first month. Saudi Arabia is expected to deliver less crude oil to China, the world’s largest oil importer, in December. Trade sources told Reuters last week that weak demand in China has prompted Saudi Arabia to reduce its shipments to the country.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Ali_PSND
GOLD TRADING POINT MAP UPDATE GO > READ THA >CAPTAINBuddy'S dear friend 👋 Gold trading analysis map 🗾 Gold test results from resistance level 2704 big resistance level pullback dow👇 trend 📉 technical analysis setup gold if closed above ground 2720 Next target we'll see 2800$ more update 👇👇 Gold 4H Time Frame 🖼️ candle close below 👇 2687 more drop 💧 2608. Break some pullback up 2678 back down 👇 2543 back up trand 2581 again down 👇 2509 SMC Gold trading point S upport ✨ My hard analysis Setup like And Following Me 🤝 that star ✨ game 🎮
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point
Gold no more bullish? (XAU/USD)The daily XAU/USD chart reveals a completed Elliott Wave (1-5) structure, with wave (5) peaking near the $2,720 resistance level. This marks a potential reversal zone for gold prices. Expected Corrective ABC Pattern: Wave A: The initial decline is anticipated to target the $2,605-$2,620 support zone. Wave B: A minor retracement is expected to occur, likely staying below the $2,720 resistance level. Wave C: The final wave may extend the decline towards the $2,560-$2,580 lower support zone. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $2,720 Support Zones: Middle support: $2,605-$2,620 Lower support: $2,560-$2,580 Trading Strategy: Given the high sensitivity of gold prices to macroeconomic events, traders should exercise caution. Proper position sizing and setting appropriate stop-loss levels are crucial to mitigate potential risks. Monitoring upcoming economic releases and geopolitical developments is essential, as these factors can significantly impact market volatility. Keep an eye on the evolving market conditions and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Good luck!
TVC:GOLDShort
by me22_
GOLD | Middle East calms down, what about Gold?I’m opening my long-awaited 11th position, and here’s what I think: I haven’t posted here for 4 days, I really didn’t know where Gold was headed. Now, after the latest news and announcements, things are much clearer. All the current news indicates that the U.S. economy is in good condition, and Middle East conflicts seem to be winding down. The last two days have been incredibly uncertain, but with all the information now available, it’s time to make a decision. Here’s my position, which is short: Opening: 2630 Take Profit (TP): 2615 Stop Loss (SL): 2700 There’s still a chance that the bear run over the past two days has already finished and that the market is reversing. But we can clearly see a significant bear flag forming, so my position is based not only on the news but also on patterns right now. Let’s see how this plays out! Remember: Don’t risk your entire balance—trade carefully!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AltairView
1
World gold prices recovered this morningWorld gold prices recovered this morning due to increased bottom-fishing demand after this commodity fell from 2,720 USD/ounce last week to near the important support level of 2,600 USD/ounce on the afternoon of November 26. . Currently, investors are waiting for the minutes of the November FOMC meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) to get more information about the upcoming US monetary policy, thereby determining the direction of gold in the future. coming days. Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart.com, said that gold prices may experience short-term downward adjustments. However, in terms of long-term vision, he believes that this precious metal will continue to increase in price. Managing Director at Bannockburn Global Forex Marc Chandler also believes that it is likely that gold will continue to rise back to the record high set at the end of October and that a price increase to $3,000 by 2025 is inevitable. have basis. 🔥 TVC:GOLD SELL 2646 - 2648🔥 💵 TP1: 2630 💵 TP2: 2610 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2656
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD: 27/11 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2700, support below 2627 Four-hour resistance 2650, support below 2627-10 Gold operation suggestions: Gold quickly stepped down in the Asian session yesterday, pierced through the 2610 mark, stabilized, rebounded and repaired, stepped down again in the European session, stabilized at the 2610 line, ushered in a bottoming out and rebounded, and finally accelerated in the US session to break through the 2640 mark, suppressed and fell back and closed in shock, and the daily K-line chart closed in a shock pattern. At present, from the perspective of the 4-hour trend, we pay attention to the 2627 line support below, the weekly level long-short dividing line 2637 line, and the upper focus is 2650/2658. We continue to sell high and buy low during the day, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. BUY:2627near SL:2623 BUY:2614near SL:2610 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
Bearish drop?The Silver (XAG/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 30.80 1st Support: 29.68 1st Resistance: 31.52 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAGUSDShort
by ICmarkets