Gold Buy Limit OrderHi everyone.
As we broke the structure to the top, now it's time for a pull back so I'm interested in these two areas to set orders. I'll update TPs later.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Commodities
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 8H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 68.35 area.
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GOLD tries to recover after the holidayOn this trading day, gold traders OANDA:XAUUSD will need to focus on data on initial jobless claims in the US, which could have an impact on market trends in the short term.
The seasonally adjusted number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the week of December 21 will be released today (Thursday) and is expected to be 224,000.
Data released last week showed initial jobless claims in the United States fell from 242,000 to 220,000 in the week ended December 14, below expectations of 230,000, showing signs that the labor market movement is still steady.
If the latest initial unemployment claims turn out to be lower than expected, this will have a positive impact on the US Dollar and a negative impact on the price of gold and major non-US currencies.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has recovered from the technical level of $2,613, but the recovery is still limited by the upper edge of the price channel, along with the nearest resistance level noted at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement point. % and EMA21.
Considering the current price position, gold still has a technical outlook of falling in price with the main trend being noticed by the price channel. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index has not yet surpassed the 50 level, the 50 level is considered resistance/support depending on the position of the RSI and on the current daily chart it is considered a resistance.
In the short term, if gold falls below the technical level of $2,613 it will have room to fall a bit further with a target level then around $2,600 and more to the $2,592 price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement. .
As long as gold does not break above the price channel, with price activity stabilizing above the EMA21, it remains biased to the downside, with notable levels listed below. Along with that, using POC Volume Profile, at 2,646USD there is also a large trading volume, this position should also be considered a technical resistance.
Support: 2,613 – 2,600 – 2,592USD
Resistance: 2,634 – 2,646USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2651 - 2649⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2644
↨
→Take Profit 2 2639
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2585
→Take Profit 1 2596
↨
→Take Profit 2 2601
USOIL Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USOIL for a buying opportunity around 69.70 zone, USOIL was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 69.70 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe
World gold price increased slightlyLooking ahead to gold prices, John LaForge, head of physical asset strategy at Wells Fargo, said during his bank's annual outlook webinar that he won't be paying much attention to the Federal Reserve in 2025. Economists at the bank expect the U.S. central bank to cut interest rates only once next year.
He also pays more attention to central bank demand than the opportunity cost of real yields, said the macro investment strategist at Tanglewood Total Wealth Management. Analysts are also paying attention to emerging market consumer demand. In early 2024, gold prices were boosted by record central bank purchases and unprecedented demand from Asian consumers and investors, primarily China.
World gold prices increased slightly as the USD decreased. Recorded at 9:35 a.m. on December 26, the US Dollar Index, which measures the fluctuations of the greenback against 6 major currencies, was at 107.940 points (down 0.08%). According to the World Gold Council (WGC), central banks' demand for gold has reached its highest level in more than ten years. This is a clear demonstration of gold's solid position as a safe haven asset, especially when the global geopolitical and economic situation continues to be unstable. At the same time, loose monetary policies and a slower pace of interest rate hikes from central banks have also contributed to creating positive momentum for gold prices.
🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2631 - 2629🔥
💵 TP1: 2620
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2638
GOLD → One final step remains before a drop. The target is 2587.Hello, dear friends! Let’s discuss and strategize today's gold trading opportunities with Ben!
As predicted yesterday, gold prices dropped to $2,608, delivering a profit of approximately 200 pips. This decline was driven by pressure from Wall Street’s underperformance, which bolstered the strength of the US Dollar and Treasury yields. Investors are now eagerly awaiting clearer signals about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy for 2025.
In reaction to these developments, the US Dollar Index rose by 0.4%, hovering near its highest level in over two years. This diminished gold's appeal for holders of other currencies. Additionally, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds increased, adding further weight to gold prices.
Looking ahead, the market remains focused on the outcomes of last week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. A more gradual rate hike trajectory for 2025 is currently under discussion, with speculation that the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate changes in January or March.
From a theoretical perspective, in the face of a strong US Dollar, gold has limited upside potential. If sellers maintain resistance below $2,620 and push to break the support level, the pair could target $2,587 in the medium term.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
$SLV Trade Analysis DarkPoolsChart Overview:
Instrument: iShares Silver Trust (SLV)
Timeframe: 4-hour chart
Indicators on Chart:
Moving Averages: Likely 8 EMA and 21 EMA for short-term trend analysis.
Dark Pool Levels: Represented by white dashed lines at key levels.
Trendlines:
Red Line: Downtrend resistance.
Green Lines: Support forming an ascending wedge after a potential trend reversal.
Horizontal Resistance:
Yellow Line at $29.00: Major psychological and technical resistance.
White Dashed Lines near $28.20 and $26.53: Key dark pool levels.
Key Observations:
Descending Channel Reversal:
SLV was previously in a clear downtrend marked by the red resistance and green support lines.
The recent breakout above the green support line and consolidation near $27 indicates a potential shift in momentum.
Ascending Triangle Formation:
After the breakout from the previous downtrend, the price has formed a triangle pattern, with resistance near $27.08 and ascending support at $26.96.
This formation is often a bullish continuation pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout if the price can breach the resistance.
Dark Pool Levels:
$28.20: An immediate target, aligning with prior price action and a dark pool level.
$26.53: A significant support level where institutional activity may provide a floor for the price.
Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance:
$27.08: Triangle resistance.
$29.00 - $29.13: Major resistance and likely profit-taking zone.
Support:
$26.96: Immediate ascending support line within the triangle.
$26.53: Key dark pool support level and invalidation zone for a bullish outlook.
Volume:
A breakout above $27.08 should ideally be accompanied by a volume spike to confirm institutional buying and sustained bullish momentum.
Trade Idea:
Entry:
Breakout Entry: Enter above $27.08 with confirmation (strong candle close and increased volume).
Pullback Entry: Enter near $26.96, the lower support of the triangle, for a better risk-reward setup.
Profit Targets:
$28.20: First target aligning with the dark pool level.
$29.00: Major resistance and likely profit-taking zone.
$29.13: Final target, slightly above the psychological resistance zone.
Stop Loss:
Close below $26.53: Invalidation of the bullish setup and indicates a likely continuation of the downtrend.
Risk Management:
Position size should be calculated based on risk tolerance.
Ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, considering the entry near $27.08, stop loss at $26.53, and first target at $28.20.
Additional Notes:
Volume Confirmation: A breakout above $27.08 should be accompanied by a surge in volume to validate the move.
Dark Pool Influence: Watch price behavior near $28.20 and $26.53 to gauge institutional activity.
Caution: If the price consolidates too long near the triangle resistance without breaking out, it may signal weakness and increase the probability of a breakdown.
WTI Oil H1 | Rising into multi-swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 70.37 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 70.70 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 69.48 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Gold is Ready to PUMP Again!!!As expected, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) hit the Targets I identified last week and started falling again .
Gold is moving near the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Support lines .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold appears to form an Expanding Flat (ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect Gold to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the lower line of the ascending channel, it will likely lose the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD - Price can break support level and continue to fallHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price reached resistance line and then at once declined to support line, after which started to grow.
A short time later, Gold rose to $2685 level, broke it, and then rose to resistance line one more time.
After this movement, price turned around and started to decline inside falling channel, where it broke support line with $2685 level.
Gold continued to fall, but later it reached resistance line, after which made downward impulse.
Price broke $2615 level and fell to support line of channel, after which bounced up, exiting from channel.
Now it trades close $2615 level and possible that Gold can little grow and then fall to $2570, breaking support level again.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold can correct to support level and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After looking at the chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the support level and started to grow to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. When the price reached this level, it broke it and then continued to move up to the trend line. After Gold reached the trend line, it turned around and started to decline inside the triangle pattern, where it soon broke the resistance level one more time. Next, the price tried to back up but failed and fell until to 2536 points, breaking the support level too, after which it quickly rose higher level, and broke this level again. After this movement, price rose to the resistance zone, after which at once rebounded down and some traded almost near the 2605 support level. Some time later price rose to the resistance zone again, where it reached the trend line and then dropped to the support zone. Recently price rebounded from this area and started to trades near the support level. So, I think that XAUUSD will fall to the support level and then start to grow inside the triangle. That's why I set my goal at 2660 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallFX:XAUUSD is consolidating below the key point - 2620. Against the backdrop of a strong and growing dollar, gold has a chance to test local lows
Gold price gains are likely to remain subdued as the US dollar continues to be supported by the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. Trump's protectionist policies are fueling inflation expectations, setting the stage for higher interest rates.
In addition, amid Christmas holidays and reduced trading volumes, market participants are inclined to maintain positions in the US currency.
Thus, gold is still seen as an attractive instrument to sell in case of attempts of its recovery, except for cases of sudden geopolitical aggravations, for example, in the regions of the Middle East or Eastern Europe.
Resistance levels: 2620 - 2622, 2633
Support levels: 2606, 2590
Emphasis on 2622. If the bears keep the price below this zone, it is worth looking at local support levels, as a breakdown of these levels will only strengthen the fall to 2600-2560.
Regards R. Linda!
USOIL Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 70.339.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 69.359 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the SILVER pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 31.708 level.
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12.24 Gold operation and market trend guidance
🎈Gold did not continue the previous rebound trend yesterday, and did not continue to rise. It rebounded and fell as we expected. It began to retreat after touching 2633, and stopped correcting after touching the lowest level of 2607 in the US market. It rebounded again in the Asian morning session and retreated after touching 2621 in the European session. It was also affected by holidays. The short-term volatility was also relatively cold, and there was no great willingness to break through. In addition, the market will be closed for Christmas tomorrow, so today's volatility may not be very large. Although the current daily line is still above the 5-day line, yesterday's negative line retreat also increased the market's short-selling enthusiasm. It is very likely to continue to retreat under pressure in the short term.🔴
🎈Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the key support below is the 2600 integer mark. If you step back to test the low and stabilize this position during the day, you can go long first and then see the rebound. The short-term pressure above is focused on the vicinity of 2633-2638. Overall, rely on this range to maintain high short positions and low low positions. , the main tone of cyclical participation remains unchanged, cautiously pursue orders in the middle position, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.🔴
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short sell gold when it rebounds to 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, target at 2588-2593;
2. Buy gold when it falls back to 2586-2593, stop loss at 2575, target at 2630-35;
12.24 Gold operation and market trend guidance
🎈Gold did not continue the previous rebound trend yesterday, and did not continue to rise. It rebounded and fell as we expected. It began to retreat after touching 2633, and stopped correcting after touching the lowest level of 2607 in the US market. It rebounded again in the Asian morning session and retreated after touching 2621 in the European session. It was also affected by holidays. The short-term volatility was also relatively cold, and there was no great willingness to break through. In addition, the market will be closed for Christmas tomorrow, so today's volatility may not be very large. Although the current daily line is still above the 5-day line, yesterday's negative line retreat also increased the market's short-selling enthusiasm. It is very likely to continue to retreat under pressure in the short term.🔴
🎈Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the key support below is the 2600 integer mark. If you step back to test the low and stabilize this position during the day, you can go long first and then see the rebound. The short-term pressure above is focused on the vicinity of 2633-2638. Overall, rely on this range to maintain high short positions and low low positions. , the main tone of cyclical participation remains unchanged, cautiously pursue orders in the middle position, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.🔴
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short sell gold when it rebounds to 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, target at 2588-2593;
2. Buy gold when it falls back to 2586-2593, stop loss at 2575, target at 2630-35;
Year 2025 and Beyond: Where to Place Your Bets?S&P 500:
US indices may continue their upward trend until the first quarter of 2025. The ultimate target appears to be above 6300, where they may peak and begin a significant correction. A global stock sell-off could potentially trigger a stock market crash similar to that of 2008.
India's Nifty 50:
India's Nifty 50 may find support around the 23,000–22,700 range and resume its upward movement in the final fifth wave, targeting a peak near 29,000. The Nifty 50 is likely to follow a trend similar to the S&P 500. The bullish cycle that began in 2009 is expected to conclude near the 29,000 level. Subsequently, a significant sell-off in Indian indices could trigger a major bear market, potentially erasing up to 50% of market capitalization from its peak.
Gold:
Gold may continue its consolidation for another month or two. A final surge toward the $3,000–$3,100 range is expected to mark the end of the rally that began in December 2015 at the $1,050 level. However, the bear market in equities is unlikely to spare even the perceived safe haven, leading to a pullback in gold prices as well.
Brent Crude:
Since March 2020, Brent crude experienced a remarkable rise, surging from $15 per barrel to $139 per barrel by March 2022. Over the past 33 months, it has already corrected by more than 47%. Brent crude is still expected to decline further, potentially reaching $50 per barrel within the next 3 to 6 months. However, the current inflationary trend could drive Brent prices beyond $160 per barrel later in 2025, before eventually succumbing to a deflationary trend that may persist for several years.
US Dollar Index:
The US Dollar Index peaked at around 114 in September 2022. Since then, it declined to 100 by July 2023 before starting to rise again in a corrective A-B-C pattern, forming part of a larger (A)-(B)-(C) decline. The Wave C of (B) is expected to conclude near 109, followed by another decline toward 98 by the first half of 2025. However, a renewed bullish trend in the US Dollar Index could reinforce the "Cash is King" narrative during a global equity market downturn.
USD/INR:
The bullish trend in USD/INR, which began in January 2008 at the 39 level, has seen the Indian Rupee weaken by over 60% against the US Dollar over the past 17 years. In the short term, USD/INR may peak around 86. However, the Rupee is likely to weaken further, reaching 90 against the US Dollar by the second quarter of 2025.
US Govt. 10 years bond yield:
The long-term yield on U.S. Government 10-year bond's yield indicates rising interest rates for this decade. In the short term, the yield may ease to 3%-2.6% by the second quarter of 2025. However, fears of a U.S. Government default could push the yield to 10% or higher over the next couple of years. The "Bond Ghost," along with a global equity rout, may haunt investors again in 2025-2026.
Bitcoin (BTC):
Bitcoin's bullish trend may continue until the first quarter of 2025, albeit at a slower pace. BTC still has the potential to reach around $115k-$120k, concluding the bullish run that began in November 2022 from the level of $15,500. Over the past decade and a half, BTC has significantly outpaced any other asset class globally. However, global risk aversion, which may start with an initial global equity market sell-off, could pause Bitcoin's bullish journey for the rest of 2025. Before the end of 2025, BTC might lose up to 50% of its value from its peak.
In the longer run, however, BTC has the potential to become the most valuable asset class globally, even after experiencing a 50% erosion in its value.
GOLD Sell signalA bearish inside bar / pinbar pattern has formed in TVC:GOLD on the weekly charts. While these types of patterns can be quite strong, keep in mind that this is a counter trend trade which adds an additional element of risk to the setup. The invalidation level for this setup is the top of the pinbar @ $2730. Long term, key support sits at around $2080.
Bearish drop?USO/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 70.64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 71.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 69.35
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Potential bearish drop?XAU/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,627.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 2,655.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 2,585.75
Why we like it:
There is a pullback sup [port level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD: Bullish trend intact. Cycle target 3,100Gold may just be neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.126, MACD = -15.410, ADX = 31.343) due to the December's consolidation but on the 1M timeframe the Channel Up is very much intact and is immitating that of 2019 so far. Basically since late 2020, Gold has been replicating the post-2016 Cycle, which started with a 3 year accumulation period that led to the 2019-2020 Channel Up. This topped on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. This is enough for us to keep us bullish (TP = 3,100).
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GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Markets ranging sideways today before Christmas and our plan of action remains the same with our levels and targets still valid for the week for the days that are open.
We continue to play between both weighted levels, 2629 Goldturn resistance and 2600 Goldturn support and will need ema5 cross and lock on either Goldturn to confirm determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2629 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
BEARISH TARGETS
2600
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2561
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2518 - 2486
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX