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The Inevitable Descent of UKOILIn the shadow of a market that continues to revel in its own delusions, I find myself compelled to address the elephant in the room – or rather, the oil in the barrel that is UKOIL. We stand on the precipice of what I predict to be a significant correction, one that will see UKOIL prices plummeting to the region of $48 per barrel. Why the Fall? OPEC+'s decision to phase out additional output cuts by September 2025, announced in June last year, is a clear signal. The return of 2.2 million barrels per day to the market, should market dynamics permit, will flood an already saturated market. Despite the rhetoric of control, the reality is that OPEC+'s spare capacity, currently at 5.9 million barrels per day, limits any significant price increase. This, coupled with near-record production levels from non-OPEC countries like the United States, sets the stage for an oversupply scenario. The notion that demand will continue to grow unchecked is flawed. Global oil consumption growth is expected to slow dramatically from 2.3 million barrels per day in 2023 to 1.1 million in 2024, with similar levels in 2025. This deceleration is driven by multiple factors including the rise of electric vehicles, increasing efficiency in traditional vehicles, and a stuttering economic recovery in major markets like China. The market's current bullishness is more sentiment than substance. Indicators like the Stoch RSI currently at 77.9 suggest we are nearing overbought territory, a strong indication that a reversal could be imminent. This high reading, combined with the parabolic SAR signaling an upward trend now, might just be the last gasp before a significant correction. The technical and fundamental analyses converge on a bearish outlook. Long Forecast anticipates Brent oil, which closely tracks UKOIL, to hover around $60-$65 by 2026 before a potential rebound. This, combined with other forecasts suggesting a further decline in demand, paints a picture not of a soft landing, but of a sharp descent. If we extrapolate current trends and market sentiment shifts, $48 is not just a possibility but a probable near-term floor. Investors should consider reducing exposure to oil-related equities or hedge against the risk through diversification into non-correlated assets. For those with the stomach for risk, this scenario presents a unique opportunity to short UKOIL CFDs. In closing, let us not be swayed by the siren song of current market highs. The fundamentals, much like gravity, will eventually pull prices back to earth. Prepare for the storm, for it's not a matter of if, but when. Horban Brothers. Alex Kostenich
FX:UKOILShort
by horbanbrothers
CRUDE is looking weak. Price connection is expected#CRUDE #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + Crude has formed a nice descending triangle pattern and price has broken down the support line which formed over the years. + A clear breakdown from this support would push down the prices further. + Next target is 50-40$ range. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
TVC:USOILShort
by VectorAlgo
Treasury Secretary Bessent: Make Iran broke again Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, speaking at the Economic Club of New York, said the U.S. is enforcing sanctions on Iran for “immediate maximum impact,” warning that Iranians should move their money out of the rial. The goal is to cut Iran’s oil exports from 1.5 million barrels per day to near zero. His comments came as oil prices fell to multiyear lows on Wednesday, driven by concerns that tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China could slow economic growth and weaken crude demand. Following Bessent’s remarks, both U.S. crude and Brent prices turned positive, with JP Morgan analysts noting that a decline in Iranian supply is currently the only bullish factor for oil prices. Bessent also signaled that the administration is prepared to impose full-scale sanctions on Russian energy if it helps lead to a ceasefire in Ukraine. This is a welcome shift from the Trump administration, who so far has only been pressuring the victim of the war rather than the perpetrator.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
From watching to taking action, it is time to short goldNon-farm payroll data continues to improve, and the unemployment rate remains at a historical low. This not only enhances the attractiveness of the US dollar, but also weakens the charm of gold as a safe-haven asset. Usually, the US dollar and gold have an inverse fluctuation relationship. The strong US dollar puts the price of gold denominated in US dollars under downward pressure. From the trend point of view. Compared with long and short positions, shorting is still slightly stronger. At present, the price of gold fluctuates in a narrow range around 2917. There is no major news to boost or suppress the price of gold in the short term. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of long power, the shorts will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for shorting gold. Now we are long gold around 2920-2925. The target is 2910-2905 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold? If you follow the trading strategy I mentioned above, you can easily make a profit of more than 200 pips today, which is a very good trading result. If there are brothers who want to make money as a part of life, welcome to follow my article at the bottom!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
USOIL Bearish Momentum - Will It Reach 64.40?TVC:USOIL has broken below a key support zone, which has now flipped to resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong seller interest and reinforcing the bearish outlook. With momentum favoring the downside, the next logical target is 64.40, aligning with the prevailing bearish trend. As long as the price remains below the resistance zone, the bearish bias stays intact. If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!
TVC:USOILShort
by DanieIM
8
Platinum at Key Support Zone – Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:XPTUSD is approaching a significant support zone, marked by prior price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in. If the price confirms support within this zone through bullish price action—such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing candles—we could see a reversal toward 978.700, a logical target based on previous market structure and price behavior. However, if the price breaks below this support zone and sustains, the bullish outlook would be invalidated, potentially leading to further downside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
OANDA:XPTUSDLong
by TrendDiva
3
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, We sound like a broken record but once again a great day on the markets with our chart idea playing out, as analysed. We had a repeat of yesterday with no lock above 2921 once again, which followed with the rejection into the lower Goldturn for the support test and bounce back into 2921, perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips. We are safely buying dips in this range, while price is bouncing between both the weighted Goldlturns. Once again we will now wait for ema5 to lock for a continuation or a rejection back into lower Goldturns. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2872 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2872 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2901 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2901 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2921 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2921 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2950 BEARISH TARGETS 2846 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2846 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2820 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2820 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2796 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2796 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2778 - 2753 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
22
Trump Goes "The Peacemaker", as Crude Oil Turns Gradually LowerThe notion that crude oil prices might decrease due to an abatement of the Ukraine's war not seems to be counterintuitive, as the conflict has historically led to increased oil prices due to supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions. There are several factors that could contribute to a decrease in oil prices if tensions were to ease. Factors Contributing to Decreased Oil Prices: Easing of Sanctions on Russia: If tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine were to ease, it might lead to a relaxation of sanctions on Russia, potentially allowing more Russian oil to enter the global market. This increase in supply could help reduce prices. Market Perception of Reduced Conflict: The market might perceive a decrease in conflict as a sign of reduced risk to global oil supplies, leading to lower prices. This perception could be influenced by expectations of increased oil availability from Russia and other regions. OPEC Production Increases: If OPEC decides to increase production, as it has recently done, this could add more oil to the market, further pressuring prices downward. Global Economic Concerns: Economic slowdowns or concerns about global growth can reduce demand for oil, leading to lower prices. The Ukraine conflict has contributed to economic uncertainty, and its abatement might not necessarily increase demand if global economic concerns persist. Fundamental considerations Well, in early March 2025, oil prices fell due to a combination of factors, including tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine and OPEC's decision to gradually increase output. Brent crude fell to around $71.08 per barrel, and WTI to about $68.01 per barrel. Impact of Sanctions: Despite sanctions not directly targeting Russian oil, they have affected its exports by limiting financing and causing some buyers to avoid Russian crude. Easing these sanctions could increase Russian oil exports, potentially lowering global prices. Market Dynamics: The war in Ukraine initially caused oil prices to surge due to supply concerns. However, if the conflict were to abate, market dynamics could shift, leading to decreased prices as supply risks diminish and global economic factors come into play. Post war challenge Crude oil and gasoline prices today are moderately lower, but crude oil tends to breakthrough a long-term 3 - to - 4 years low. Crude oil prices are under pressure as US tariff uncertainty weighs on the outlook for energy demand. Also, ramped-up Russian oil exports boost global supplies and are negative for prices. In addition, crude prices have some negative carryover from Wednesday when weekly EIA crude inventories rose more than expected to a 7-month high. Conclusion In summary, while the Ukrainian war has historically driven oil prices up due to supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions, an easing of tensions could lead to decreased prices through increased supply, reduced market risk, and global economic factors. -- Best 'Peacemaking' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by PandorraResearch
Gold real-time market trend analysis and operation suggestionsGold technically experienced a wide range of long and short fluctuations in the volatile trading. The price rebounded slightly in the Asian and European sessions, and then fell below 2922 in the afternoon European session. In the evening, the US session accelerated downward and broke through the 2900 integer mark to reach 2894, stabilized and rebounded. In the early morning, the gold price ushered in a deep V rebound and pierced through the 2929 mark, fell and closed in volatility. Gold is currently temporarily maintaining a range of oscillations and repairs on the daily trend, and the current price is temporarily compressed between 2890-2930. From the perspective of the 4-hour chart, the MACD kinetic energy column is weakening, that is, the bullish force is weakening, and the KDJ is obviously blunt and weak. There is still an opportunity for rebounding to short at a high level in the subsequent market. Gold is still fluctuating in a large range in 1 hour. Gold bulls did not break upward overnight, so the confidence of gold bulls is not very sufficient. Gold was still under pressure from the 2930 line last night under the stimulation of risk aversion. In the short term, the gold price is likely to continue to maintain a wide range of fluctuations around the 2890-2930 area. If it breaks, it needs to follow the trend and deal with it. You can continue to pay attention to the resistance strength of the 2930 position above. In terms of operation ideas, it is recommended to focus on rebound shorting. The short-term focus on the 2920-2925 line resistance above and the short-term focus on the 2890-2885 line support below. This is the fast trading strategy, a beacon on the road, guiding your direction and allowing you to see the road clearly in the dark. If you are interested, you can join my bottom article channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Others fled in panic, we entered bravely and succeeded againFriends who followed me to go long in the 2905-2910 area, I made a profit of 130 pips this time, which is a good trading result. It has been proven to be effective. Others are still waiting and watching. I directly went long on gold. This wave of operations is a sure win. Just wait and count the money. When everyone is afraid, according to market analysis, it is our opportunity to lay out. Others hesitated before the rise of gold, but we firmly went long and embraced this counterattack of wealth with a fearless attitude. The uncertainty of the market is the plight of the weak, but it is the stage of the strong. When others are deterred by the trend of gold, we decisively go long and interpret the extraordinary investment vision with actions. When everyone dares not to go long on gold, we have quietly entered the market and waited for the wave of wealth to surge. This is the fast trading strategy, a beacon on the road, guiding your direction and allowing you to see the road clearly in the dark. If you are interested, you can join my article channel at the bottom.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Gold Buy Setup – Smart Money Flow & Institutional Order PositionGold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish potential, aligning technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors for a high-probability setup. Let’s break down the market structure, trade execution, and institutional flows that support this move. 📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown 🔹 Entry Zone: Price retraced into a key demand zone aligning with the 0.62 Fibonacci level (2902.190). 🔹 Confluences: ✅ Trendline support held, confirming bullish momentum. ✅ Fibonacci retracement (50%-79%) aligned with institutional order blocks. ✅ Liquidity sweeps confirmed smart money accumulation. 🔹 Target Zones: 📈 First target: 2,926.183 (previous high). 📈 Final target: 2,950.176 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension). 📌 Market Structure: The 1H timeframe suggests a bullish continuation pattern. Daily EMAs are trending upwards, reinforcing buying pressure. Supertrend indicator on the 4H supports bullish sentiment. 🎯 Institutional Positioning & Market Depth 📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights: 📈 Institutional traders increasing long positions, signaling confidence in an uptrend. 📉 Retail traders are majority short, fueling a potential short squeeze. 📌 Liquidity Data: Volume profile shows high demand near 2902, confirming strong buy-side interest. Market depth data from Prime Market Terminal indicates institutional buy orders stacking in this range. ⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News & Events 📊 Economic data influencing XAU/USD: 📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) vs. forecast (52.8) – Initially strengthened USD. 📈 Durable Goods Orders +3.2% – Positive US data caused a pullback. 📉 Gold supported by weaker USD following liquidity rebalancing. 🛑 Impact on Trade: ✔️ Initial USD strength provided a discounted long entry on Gold. ✔️ Market reacted with bullish momentum as institutional flows aligned with demand zones. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Prime Market Terminal Liquidity Analysis: ATR (Average True Range) increased, signaling upcoming volatility. High-volume nodes align with the 2902 support area. Institutional order flow confirms bullish positioning. 🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Long Setup ✅ Smart money accumulation & institutional order flow confirm a bullish bias. ✅ Confluence of technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors supports upside movement. ✅ Potential targets: 2,926 → 2,936 → 2,950. 📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LDForex_
Gold futures intraday trading bibleAt present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2910, and the short-term rise is insufficient. The short-term fluctuates at a high level. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the strength was obviously insufficient. It fell again after being under pressure near 2930. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, it is likely to fluctuate around a high range. Even if it does not break through, it will only be a correction in the short term, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to fluctuate in a high range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Labaron
When others are fearful, I am greedyFrom the trend point of view. Comparing the long and short positions, the long position is still slightly stronger. At present, the gold price fluctuates in a narrow range around 2910. There is no major news to boost or suppress the gold price in the short term. From the trend point of view, it is obvious that the rebound of gold is not enough to support the rebound and continuation of the breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of short-selling power, the bulls will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for long gold. Now we are long gold around 2908-2913. The target is 2918-2928 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to go long on gold? Want to expand profits but not expand profits, unclear about the direction, and don’t know how to analyze the market. If you are the same. Then you can try to change your trading style with a fast trading strategy. If you are interested, you can join my bottom article.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-6-25: Breakaway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move away from yesterday's open/close price range. Given the fairly strong downward pre-market trending in the SPY/QQQ, I'm cautiously optimistic we will see a fairly strong MELT-UP in price related to the recent support/rejection levels near 575. I'm urging my followers to be cautious of the first 30-60 minutes of market activity today. Jobs data (or other data) could disrupt price after the open and I believe price will be very volatile in the first 30-60 minutes of trading today. In other words, price may try to SHAKE-OUT early positions with wild volatility before settling into a MELT-UP or MELT-DOWN trend. As I shared in my video, today's BreakAway pattern could break upward or downward. I believe the upward trend potential has about a 60-70% chance of happening IF the 575 level holds as support. If not, then we will probably break downward. The fact that BTCUSD is holding up quite well suggests the SPY/QQQ may actually MELT-UPWARD. Again, we need to see how things play out in early trading today. Gold & Silver are consolidating into a range which may continue over the next 3-4 days. The current bias for Gold and Silver is an uptrend. So, I do believe metals will continue to appreciate throughout this 3-4 day consolidation phase. The only reason I urge traders to stay cautious for the first 30-60 minutes is because of the Jobs data and how the markets may react to news items. You can't kick the markets to go in a certain direction. So, often, it is better to let the morning SHAKE-OUT happen, then wait for more clear trending to setup. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
XAUUSD: 6/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 2957, support below 2892 Four-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2887 One-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2912 Gold news analysis: As the US tariffs on many countries continue to take effect, and more tariff plans for Europe and other countries are about to be implemented, gold's position as a safe-haven asset remains solid. Earlier this week, US President Trump imposed a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico. However, to the surprise of the market, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted that some tariff relief may be provided to the two US neighbors. According to Bloomberg, Lutnick said in an interview with Fox Business Channel that there may be a way to reduce some tariffs. This news may put some pressure on the upward trend of gold prices in the short term. As tensions in the physical market ease, the extreme dislocation of gold prices is fading, indicating that the craze for shipping gold to the United States may have peaked. This change in supply and demand dynamics may also have an impact on the recent trend of gold prices. US Treasury yields have rebounded slightly, although there is still a long way to recover. The change of yield rate usually shows an opposite relationship with the gold price, which is also one of the factors that the market pays attention to. Gold operation suggestion: Yesterday, gold experienced a wide range of long and short fluctuations in the volatile trading. The price rebounded slightly in the Asian and European sessions. The European session was suppressed below 2922 and fell back and fell. The US session accelerated downward and broke through the 2900 integer mark to reach 2894 and stabilized and began to rebound. Finally, it broke through the 2929 mark and began to fall and consolidate. The overall gold price formed a wide range of long and short fluctuations around the 2894-2929 mark. From the current trend analysis, today's lower support continues to focus on the one-hour level 2912 first-line support and the daily level support 2892. The upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 2930. Continue to rely on this range to participate in high selling and low buying during the day, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Buy: 2892near. SL:2887 (can be entered repeatedly) Buy: 2900near. SL:2895 (can be entered repeatedly) Buy:2912near. SL:2908 Sell:2930near. SL:2935
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
Go long on gold 05-10, and continue to go long in the short termRecently, the market is also fermenting around the new US tariff policy and the US-Ukraine mineral agreement, which has triggered the Russian-Ukrainian war. Things that should have been clear have not been implemented, which has led to increased uncertainty. In addition, the Federal Reserve also plans to accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts due to the increased risk of economic downturn, so the current market trend is also very repeated. In terms of operation, it is still a repeated shock pattern before the non-agricultural data. From the trend point of view. Comparing long and short positions, long positions are still slightly stronger. At present, the gold price fluctuates in a narrow range around 2900. There is no major news to boost or suppress the gold price in the short term. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of short-selling power, the bulls will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for long gold. Now we are long gold around 2905-2910. The target is 2918-2928 area, wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to go long on gold? Want to expand profits but not expand profits, unclear about the direction, and don’t know how to analyze the market. If you are like this. Then you can try to change your trading style with a fast trading strategy. If you are interested, you can join my bottom article.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel