DeGRAM | GOLD is holding under the supply zoneGOLD is under an ascending channel between trend lines, under the supply zone.
The price is moving from the dynamic resistance.
The chart is holding under the lower boundary of the supply zone, which coincides with the 78.6% retracement level.
The previous week was ended with a bearish takeover formation.
We expect XAUUSD to continue its decline.
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Commodities
WTI , road map on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI on high time frames, this analysis is based on the liquidity concept. Observing the chart, the price has surpassed the $69 level, which was significant for institutional orders. Consequently, I anticipate a decline towards lower prices. In my view, the next potential level could be around $64."
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USOIL Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 6,657.4.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 6,198.3.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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XAGUSD - Silver on the rise?!Silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving within its medium-term descending channel. If a valid trendline break or bullish correction is observed, silver can be re-sold and followed to the specified support level.
Looking ahead, analysts predict that rising economic uncertainty will drive stronger investment demand in Western markets. In recent weeks, consumer sentiment has dropped to its lowest level in years, while concerns over inflation have intensified.
Experts argue that stagflation provides an ideal environment for gold, as the precious metal is widely regarded as a safe-haven asset during economic instability.Additionally, higher inflation leads to lower real yields, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, which does not generate interest.
Major investment firms, including WisdomTree and Goldman Sachs, believe that despite the possibility of short-term corrections, gold remains on track to reach $3,000 per ounce this year.
In another indication of investor sentiment, analysts at BMO Capital Markets reported that gold and copper were the most discussed commodities at their exclusive mining industry conference. Interestingly, silver ranked as a “distant third” in terms of interest. While downside risks for gold still exist, focusing on the long-term outlook remains crucial.
Daniel Ghali, a senior commodities strategist at TD Securities, stated that gold is in a unique position where it can appreciate regardless of the U.S. dollar’s performance. Meanwhile, silver’s physical supply flows and structural deficit could make it a long-term winner in the market. Ghali also noted that even as Washington considers devaluing the U.S. dollar to enhance export competitiveness, the currency’s strength is actually supporting higher gold prices.
He remarked, “What’s fascinating about this gold rally is that, contrary to conventional wisdom, I genuinely believe a strong U.S. dollar has contributed to gold’s price increase.” He added, “One of my core beliefs is that market anomalies can teach us invaluable lessons.”
According to Ghali, gold’s exceptional performance last year was highly unusual. He explained, “Gold managed to rally even during periods of rising U.S. interest rates and a strong dollar.” He also pointed out that historically, gold has only twice exhibited such strong performance alongside a robust S&P 500 index. The first instance was in 1933, when the U.S. government revalued gold, and the second occurred in 2009, during the most significant round of quantitative easing (QE) policies.
He emphasized that gold has never sustained such a strong uptrend without a concurrent bearish market for the U.S. dollar. Ghali concluded, “Clearly, gold’s price strength represents a market anomaly, and I believe this sends a message to those willing to listen.”
Regarding silver, Ghali argued that the metal is no longer seen as a lesser counterpart to gold. He said, “Silver has a truly unique narrative. We are now entering the fifth consecutive year of a structural deficit. The imbalance between supply and demand is unprecedented, primarily driven by surging demand, particularly in the global solar energy sector.”
He continued, “Silver’s situation is different because we are transitioning from a demand surge to a liquidity crisis. The physical pull of silver from London to the U.S. has been so intense that it has placed enormous strain on the world’s largest bullion storage system, disrupting daily physical market trading.” He added, “We believe this situation could worsen, ultimately requiring higher silver prices to incentivize the return of supply from unconventional sources to London.”
GOLD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 2,925.549 level area with our long trade on GOLD which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
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Shorting gold, a precise hit yielded a handsome profitBrothers, as a professional trader, my rich trading concepts and strategies have been widely praised by my friends. Have you followed my trading strategies and ideas to short gold? As I wrote in my previous post, I shorted gold as soon as the price hit the 2925-2930 area and made a profit of more than 200pips. Presumably, as long as the brothers who follow my strategy to short gold, they will definitely gain a lot of profits.
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Those who are long gold or want to go long remember to readAt present, the candlestick chart is in an undoubted bullish trend, with large positive lines at the bottom rising one after another, showing a strong trend all the way north. The continuous large positive lines have consolidated the foundation of the bulls. Although the market has seen a large negative line drop during the period, the positive line has quickly and strongly pulled up, and has now completely engulfed the negative line entity, forming a typical bullish engulfing pattern, which is undoubtedly a strong signal that the upward trend is further strengthened. At the same time, the 50-day moving average continues to maintain an upward rhythm, and the 2908 point support level is as solid as a rock. This point is an excellent opportunity to enter the market.
The gold four-hour line continues to show the phenomenon of positive lines engulfing large negative lines. This candlestick chart pattern is usually regarded as a strong reversal signal, which means that the bulls are rising strongly and gradually regaining market dominance. It is a wise choice to follow the trend and arrange long orders at the key support level of 2908. It has effectively blocked the short-selling offensive many times and has strong support. Going long at this position is expected to make rich profits in the continuation of the bull market. Go long at 2908, target 2918-2928-2938.
This is the fast trading strategy, a beacon on the road, guiding your direction and allowing you to see the road clearly in the dark. If you are interested, you can join my article channel at the bottom.
Gold price falls back and continues to go long!Gold price breaks low and rises, breaks high and falls, 2920-2893 breaks through to determine the right to speak
Overnight, we went long at 2900 for gold, there are many layouts at this position, the big positive line went straight up to the sky, directly reached above 2920, and realized the harvest of long orders. At present, it is still in the form of longs. We still choose to go long at 2900, and low long is inevitable. The upper side is still looking at the historical high of 2956
GOLD RALLIES STRONGLY – WILL THE BULLS MAINTAIN CONTROL?💠 GOLD ANALYSIS – 03/05/2025
📌 Market Overview
Gold continues its strong upward trajectory, holding firm above key resistance levels. Following the release of ADP Nonfarm employment data, the market responded with increased demand, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
🔥 Macroeconomic Factors at Play
The U.S. dollar (USD) has weakened due to ongoing tariff uncertainties and mixed economic data from the U.S. While there was a short-lived recovery in the dollar late last week, the overall sentiment suggests further strength in gold. Given this outlook, buying opportunities remain attractive as the price action aligns with technical confirmations.
💡 Strategic Focus for Today
During the Asian and European trading sessions, traders should closely monitor resistance levels to assess potential early BUY entries. If gold reaches the 2928 - 2926 zone, this could present an ideal setup for short-term SELL scalping, similar to yesterday’s move, which yielded a 150-pip profit.
🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels
🔺 Resistance Levels:
2928 - 2942 - 2954
🔻 Support Levels:
2904 - 2894 - 2886 - 2874
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2886 - 2884
Stop Loss (SL): 2880
Take Profit (TP): 2890 - 2894 - 2898 - 2905
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 2942 - 2944
Stop Loss (SL): 2948
Take Profit (TP): 2938 - 2934 - 2930 - 2925 - 2920
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2954 - 2956
Stop Loss (SL): 2960
Take Profit (TP): 2950 - 2946 - 2942 - 2938 - 2934 - 2930
📌 Key Considerations & Risk Management
✔ Risk Control: Strictly adhere to Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels to protect capital.
✔ Market Behavior: Prices may consolidate before tomorrow’s Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) data release, requiring patience and a disciplined approach.
✔ Confirmation Before Execution: Avoid premature entries—wait for clear signals to maximize trade efficiency.
📢 Will gold continue its bullish momentum or face a pullback? Drop your insights below! 🚀🔥
XAG/USD Silver Price Analysis: Bullish Continuation or Rejection📉 Current Price: 32.3715
📊 Key Levels:
Support Zone (~32.00 - 32.20): Price recently bounced from this level.
Resistance Zone (~33.20 - 33.50): A potential target for an upward move.
📈 Potential Scenario:
The chart suggests a bullish breakout after retesting the lower support zone.
If the price successfully retests and holds above 32.00, it could continue towards 33.50.
A break below 32.00 could invalidate this bullish move and lead to further downside.
🎯 Trading Outlook:
Bullish Bias above 32.00, aiming for 33.50.
Bearish Risk below 32.00, which could lead to further declines.
Precious Metals Gain as U.S. and China Exchange New TariffsSilver surged past $32.5 per ounce in early March, fueled by a weaker dollar and safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions. The U.S. imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and an additional 10% on Chinese goods, raising China's total tariff to 20%. In response, Canada levied a 25% tariff on $155 billion of U.S. imports, while China announced 10%-15% tariffs on U.S. goods starting March 10 and new export restrictions. Traders now await Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for Fed policy signals.
If Silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
Safe-Haven Demand Lifts Gold Amid US Tariff UncertaintyGold rose above $2,920 per ounce, nearing record highs, as a weaker dollar and trade uncertainty drove safe-haven demand. Trump granted US automakers a one-month exemption from 25% Canada-Mexico tariffs and hinted at more changes. A US official suggested lifting the 10% tariff on Canadian energy if trade conditions are met. Meanwhile, China filed a revised WTO complaint in response to new US tariffs. Investors await the non-farm payrolls report for Fed policy signals.
Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
Perfectly achieved the goal of 2910, another winning streak!There is no unsuccessful investment, only unsuccessful operation. As a professional trader, I have rich practical trading experience and unique trading philosophy. I have studied the gold field for many years, have a solid theoretical foundation and practical experience, and am good at combining technical and news operations. My operation style is steady and decisive. I am recognized by many friends for my easy-going and responsible personality and sharp and decisive operations.
After shorting gold at 2919 and 2928 at the same time, I had a good sleep and directly hit the target of 2913, grasping the highest and lowest prices, and profited more than 200pips from it, which is a very impressive trading result.
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Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis – Key Levels & Trade Setups!Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis 🏆✨
1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones 🚧
Resistance Zones (Purple areas):
🔹 Lower resistance ~ 2,920
🔹 Upper resistance ~ 2,960
Support Zone 🛡️ around 2,900
2️⃣ Possible Price Movements 📈📉
✅ Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above 2,920, it may surge towards 2,960 🚀💰
❌ Bearish Scenario: If price gets rejected at 2,920, a pullback to 2,900 is likely ⚠️📉
3️⃣ Trend Analysis 📊
🔥 The price is in an uptrend after bouncing from 2,880
🔍 Watch the 2,920 level—break or rejection will decide the next big move!
💡 Trading Plan:
Bullish: Wait for a breakout 🔼 above 2,920, then target 2,960 🎯
Bearish: Short if price rejects 2,920, aiming for 2,900 📉
Silver H4 | Approaching overlap supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 32.44 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 31.85 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 33.30 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Consolidation Continues
On a yesterday's live stream, we discussed that Gold is consolidating
within a horizontal range.
After a test of its resistance, we got a local sideways movement and distribution.
Violation of its minor support is a strong intraday bearish signal.
Because of that, I think that the price may drop to 2900 support.
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Oil Prices Plummet as Trade Tensions RiseOil prices took a hit after Trump's tariffs were announced, and it's essential to understand the reasoning behind this drop.
When US imposed tariffs on Chinese goods, China retaliated by placing tariffs on US goods, including oil. This move led to a decrease in oil demand from China, which is the world's largest oil importer. As a result, oil prices plummeted.
◉ Key Factors Behind the Decline
● Trade Tensions: The escalation of trade tensions between the US and China led to a decrease in oil demand, causing prices to drop.
● China's Tariffs on US Oil: China's decision to impose tariffs on US oil imports reduced demand for US oil, contributing to the price decline.
● Global Economic Slowdown: The ongoing trade tensions and tariffs have led to a slowdown in global economic growth, further reducing oil demand and prices.
● Increased Oil Production: The US has been increasing its oil production, leading to a surplus in the market and contributing to the decline in oil prices.
◉ Technical Observations
● A notable decline in oil prices has been observed since mid-January 2025.
● Prices are currently hovering near the critical support zone around $66, a level that has historically provided a floor for prices.
● If this support level is breached, it may trigger a further decline in oil prices.
Plan GOLD 6/3/2025 Today the market has no outstanding news, and is waiting for NonFarm news tomorrow
so today is likely to be a sideways range in the area from 2900-2925
Hope you get good buy sell prices in this range
SELL: price range 2925-2930
SL: 2935
TP: 2900
BUY: price range 2890-2900
SL: 2895
TP: 2925
Gold H1 | Falling to multi-swing-low supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,896.23 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 2,875.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and a 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 2,927.81 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Unswervingly short goldBrothers, good morning. Gold is still fluctuating in a narrow range. From the hourly chart, it is difficult for the price of gold to break through the upper resistance area of 2930-2940 in the short term. In the following trading rhythm today, we still maintain the attitude of shorting gold. The short-term focus below is to fall back to the support area of 2910-2900.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading. Accumulating profits is what changes life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
Gold, beware of a high-rise fallGold maintained a shock-washing mode yesterday, but eventually pulled up again to around 2930. In yesterday's article, the emphasis was on the idea of going long. Yesterday, we saw gold fall in the morning and evening, both suggesting going long. No matter how the market moves, no matter how the main force washes, direction is above all else, and the point determines the outcome. In a shock market, although it is bullish, once it enters the middle position, it will be extremely passive, so it is necessary to get stuck and be patient.
At present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2930, and the short-term upward momentum is insufficient. The short-term maintains a high-level shock operation. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the momentum was obviously insufficient. After being under pressure near 2930, it fell again. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, there is a high probability of shocks around a high-level large range. Even if it does not break through, the short-term is just a callback again, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to shock in a high-level large range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish.
Operation plan, the long positions last night are still held after reducing positions. Today, focus on whether it will break through 2930 again. If it still cannot break through 2930 to create a new high, all long positions need to be exited. If it breaks through 2930 again, it is not recommended to chase high. The strong pressure area above is concentrated in the 2930-2945 area, and the possibility of a sharp rise in the short term is not great. In the short term, once the pressure area is touched and a short signal appears, the short-term intraday short-term can wait for the opportunity to go short and see the support area below the retracement is concentrated in the 2900-2890 area. At the same time, this area is the area where pressure turns to support after the breakthrough. Therefore, to do more, you also have to wait for the retracement to this area again before there is room for operation. Since it has been characterized as a volatile market, do not chase the rise and sell the fall, and wait patiently for the operation position.