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XAUUSD - The rise of gold is over!?Gold is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of a corrective movement with low momentum, we can witness the continued rise and see supply zones and sell within that range with a suitable risk reward. After enduring two weeks of sharp declines following Donald Trump's election victory, the gold market bounced back with a strong bounce last week. The price of this precious metal grew in all trading sessions of the week and by Friday afternoon, with an increase of nearly 150 dollars, it once again attracted the attention of investors. Commerzbank commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes that the Swiss Federal Customs Service released data on gold exports in October this week. "These data showed very different trends. Deliveries to China were significantly weaker at just 5 tonnes. Almost no gold was exported to Hong Kong. On the other hand, exports to India have increased. However, the export level in October was still relatively low at 11.7 tons. A little more gold than the previous month has been delivered to America. However, inflows of 30 tonnes into US-listed gold ETFs, reported by the World Gold Council (WGC), in October were higher than the 9.4 tonnes reported. The sharp increase in Swiss gold exports to the UK to 31.9 tonnes is surprising, although gold ETFs listed there recorded outflows in October, according to the World Gold Council. Darin Newsom, chief market analyst at Barchart.com, stated in his analysis of the future trend of gold: "The path of movement of gold is still upward. But due to the speed and intensity of the recent upward trend, there is a possibility of a sudden correction in the market. This risk increases due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States and the end of the month." He also emphasized: "Despite this, geopolitical factors continue to play a decisive role in the market. The current chaos has overwhelmed technical analysis and Russian President Putin has not backed down from his nuclear threats. These conditions will most likely lead investors to buy gold until the end of 2024." Next week, the US economic calendar will be shorter than usual due to the Thanksgiving holiday, but several key reports will continue to be in the focus of traders. On Tuesday, the Conference Board's consumer confidence index for November and new home sales for October will be released in early market hours. Next, the minutes of the last meeting of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) are published. On Wednesday, key data releases will be limited to the early hours of the day due to the Thanksgiving holiday. The market will watch the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) core inflation index for October, which is one of the key indicators considered by the Federal Reserve to assess inflation. At the same time, the statistics of durable goods orders and the weekly report of unemployment claimants will also be published. Then, pending home sales figures for October will be released, which will provide a clear picture of housing market trends.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Gold price continues to recoverLast week, gold posted an impressive gain of over $150 per ounce, recovering strongly across all trading sessions. This remarkable performance highlights the unwavering confidence of investors in the precious metal, particularly during times of economic and geopolitical turmoil. From a personal perspective, gold's upward momentum is expected to remain supported by safe-haven demand as geopolitical tensions continue to escalate. Additionally, the "buy-the-dip" activity during minor corrections has helped sustain gold prices at elevated levels. In the short term, if gold holds above the critical $2,700/ounce mark, the likelihood of it advancing to $2,800/ounce increases significantly. Moreover, optimistic forecasts suggest that gold could reach $3,000/ounce by next year, despite the challenges posed by a strong US Dollar and rising US bond yields. Gold continues to solidify its role as a "safe harbor" during uncertain times. With its current upward trajectory, the precious metal remains a highly attractive asset, drawing robust interest from investors across the globe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Veda_Solomon
2
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2711.Dear colleagues, the price continues its upward movement and it means that wave “C” is definitely formed. I believe that the price is forming a five-wave movement and we have 2 options for the development of events 1) Wave “1” is not formed yet and will continue the upward movement - this is a more risky entry into a long position. 2) Wave “1” is formed and I expect a correction in wave “2” to the area of 38.2-50% Fibo lvl (2605.5) and then an upward movement to the resistance area 2711. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
21
Gold's (xauusd) perspective for starting the weekKey Observations: Ascending Channel: Gold is trading within a well-defined upward channel. The recent rejection near the upper boundary confirms resistance at higher levels. Pullback Underway: The price has shown a pullback from the highs and is approaching the internal trendline around $2,642, which could act as interim support. Major Support Zone: The key support zone lies between $2,500-$2,550, coinciding with the lower boundary of the channel. This area is crucial for maintaining the bullish structure. Expected Movement: The price may first retest $2,642, followed by another drop to the $2,500-$2,550 support zone. A bullish bounce from this zone would reaffirm the long-term uptrend. Bearish Scenario: A break below the $2,500 support zone could invalidate the ascending channel, exposing gold to deeper declines.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
1
Gold : enters accumulation reaction phase before strong increasAfter a period of accumulation, the gold price has escaped the prolonged bearish phase and is moving in a clear upward price channel. In particular, the market is recording strong buying interest in the short-term support zone of $2,650 - $2,675. This is the "key" area to push the price closer to important resistance levels. If the $2,721 threshold is successfully broken, the gold price is likely to quickly extend its upward momentum to the $2,772 area - an important liquidity level, and also a confirmation signal for the long-term uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TomtradeFX
Russia-Ukraine tensions appear to be spreadingRussian President Vladimir Putin today, November 22, announced that the test of a medium-range missile complex carrying an Oreshnik supersonic warhead was successful. A day earlier, Russia attacked the Southern Machine Manufacturing Factory (Yuzhmash) in Dnipro (Ukraine), saying this was a move in response to Ukraine's use of ATACMS missiles supplied by the US with Storm Shadow missiles from the UK. This week, gold prices increased by 5.7% - recording the strongest weekly increase since March 2023 - when the local banking crisis in the US broke out. The price has increased for 5 consecutive versions, for a total of more than 170 USD. Gold is the preferred tool during any political, economic upheaval and low interest rates. The price went up despite the Dollar Index reaching a 2-year peak today and Bitcoin setting a new record at 99,768 USD per coin. The gold market also ignores that the probability of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) easing monetary policy next month is gradually decreasing. Investors currently forecast that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates is only 53%, down sharply from 82% last week. 🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2672 - 2670🔥 💵 TP1: 2680 💵 TP2: 2690 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2660
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
SILVER Will Go Up From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 30.769. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 32.322 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
Gold continues rally from 2650?Dear traders, Tom here! Spot gold hit a near two-week high in the Asian session as the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict benefited traditional safe-haven assets. The weekly uptrend appears to be unaffected by bets for a less aggressive Fed easing, continued USD buying and the prevailing risk-on environment. At the time of writing, gold is hovering around $2,683 and up 0.51% on the day. Technically, gold confirms bullishness, we are watching the resistance zone ahead after a false break of 2,686, a break would be bullish while a hold would be bearish. But in any case, the preference remains on the buyers, as interest in the metal as a hedge has returned. Medium-term target could be 2,710-2,750
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TomtradeFX
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 25 - Nov 29]Last week, gold prices continuously recovered from 2,564 USD/oz to 2,716 USD/oz. The reason why gold prices increased sharply this week is because investors are concerned that the war between Russia and Ukraine will take a more serious turn when President Biden allows Ukraine to use long-range ATACMS missiles to fire into Russian territory to in response to Russia's deployment of North Korean troops in the Russia-Ukraine war. Besides, Mr. Biden seems to want to make his mark in the Russia-Ukraine war when he only has about 2 months left in power before handing it over to Mr. Donald Trump. In addition, according to many experts, this move by Mr. Biden may complicate the war between Russia and Ukraine, making it difficult for Mr. Donald Trump to end the hostilities as easily as he announced during the campaign. elect US President... Perhaps most alarming is the nuclear doctrine that Russia emphasizes. It considers any attack by a non-nuclear country supported by a nuclear power to be a joint attack. This means that Ukraine's use of ATACMS missiles also means that the US is directly involved in attacking Russia, making the war between Russia and Ukraine no longer a war between these two countries, but could potentially lead to a world war. War III. However, according to many experts, the US may only provide a limited number of missiles to Ukraine, fearing the dire consequences of this move. Therefore, the war between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely to drag many other countries, especially NATO member countries, into the war. Furthermore, with only 2 months left until Mr. Trump takes office as President of the United States, the war between Russia and Ukraine will soon subside. The need for refuge in gold may continue to increase in the short term as Russia and the US are still taking tough stances in the Russia-Ukraine war. Therefore, next week's gold price may continue to rise even higher. This week, the US announced two important indicators: third quarter GDP and personal consumption expenditure index (PCE) - an important inflation measure of the FED. If Q3 GDP declines and PCE increases, it will be difficult for the FED to resist further reducing interest rates, further supporting the rise in gold prices next week. On the contrary, if GDP increases and PCE decreases, the FED will have more motivation to delay cutting interest rates, causing gold prices next week to be negatively affected. 📌From a technical perspective, on the H4 chart, a head and shoulders pattern is forming, but a few more up/down cycles are needed to confirm. Specifically, if the gold price has a correction phase to around the support level of 2640, then bounces back to break the resistance level of 2711, then it can be expected that the price will continue to maintain its upward momentum above the 2790 threshold. In case of support area If 2600 is broken, it could trigger another sell-off, causing gold prices to fall to around 2500. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,684 – 2,697USD Resistance: 2,760 – 2,750 – 2,732USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2791 - 2789⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2795 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2639 - 2641⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2635
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Gold : The fundamental context and goals have both changedOANDA:XAUUSD a local downtrend channel breakout damages sellers. The fundamental background is changing despite continued USD buying and a generally risk-off environment, which is overall positive for gold as a safe-haven asset in times of crisis. The stronger USD, supported by the ongoing "Trump trade" rally, and US bond yields have rebounded across various maturities. Despite the optimism for the USD, gold prices remain resilient and benefit from the escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Therefore, gold prices are likely to continue their growth in the near term before today’s scheduled news (PMI)... However! Since this is pre-news before session closing, reactions are likely to consolidate for sellers before further strengthening. Technically, gold has every chance to test the boundaries of the previously broken channel, but based on fundamental news and technical factors, we can conclude that further growth may continue. Prices are heading toward a liquidity zone, from which a correction may occur, followed by expected further strengthening in the near term. But in any case, I prioritize and consider buying upon a clear breakout of gold at 2686 - 2700, targeting the medium-term highs as outlined on the chart.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
2
Gold Long Term Analysis Nov 25The gold price saw a strong rebound last week with the price rising nearly 6%. This saw the gold price respect the upwards trend that has been established over the last year. Uncertainty in the Russia Ukraine conflict provided the main demand for gold last week in the absence of any major economic news as investors looked for a risk hedge. This movement in gold prices ran counter to increases in the USDX and US treasury yields. The higher yields reflect expectations of better economic conditions leading to a pause (or slowdown) in the pace of monetary policy easing by the Fed and the expected impact of Trump trade policy. With the FOMC minutes, personal consumption and GDP figures coming out later this week we may see some subdued price movement prior to the release of these numbers. Gold closed last week around a key resistance level that lines up with the 23% fib retracement. We may see gold linger around these levels given recent comments from the Fed reserve over the last week. However a pull back may occur as profits are taken off last week's stellar rise. Hey levels of support are seen around 2693 and 2670.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by dgowty
#202447 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold futures: I was bullish last Sunday and boi did that pay but now is not the time to buy into this climax. Market is way overdue for a pullback but I would not try to pick the top here. Only longs for me on this but only after we have seen some sideways to down movement. Buying is strong enough to expect a second leg up, which could bring us to 2900. I do think it is highly likely that we close this year above 2800. Quote from last week: comment: Market took 48 days to gain the 10% we now lost in 14. This selling is climactic and thus unsustainable. We will soon see a bigger bounce, if not a complete reversal to 2800 again. On the daily chart it looks nasty but on the weekly chart tis but a scratch. Bears closed all but one open bull gap and technically just retested the breakout price for the previous bull leg. This selling is strong enough to seriously doubt much higher prices than 2800. What I do expect is some bounce and more sideways movement between 2600-2800 before we could test lower prices (2300-2400) next year. For now it’s too early to go long, since market has not found a credible bottom yet but since market has not traded much below the weekly 20ema for a year. Swing longs with stop 2480ish are very reasonable. comment: Market overdid it a bit with the selling and since Monday there are no bears to be found. Measured move up gives us 2866 and if we reach that, 2900 is probably given. You can’t think bearish at all until we reach 2800 again. 5 very strong bull bars closing at the highs. Can’t get any stronger for the bulls. Right now we went from overbought to oversold to overbought. Some pullback is expected and it will likely be a great buying opportunity. current market cycle: Bull trend key levels: 2500 - 2900 bull case: Can you buy the highs at 2700 and hope for a 6th consecutive bullish day? I would not. Only interested in buying this on pullbacks but I due think it’s bullish and nothing else. Will likely close 2024 above 2800 if not 2900. Next target for the bulls is 2750, followed by 2800. Dip can go as low as 2650 but below I would get more cautious. Invalidation is below 2650. bear case: Bears gave up on Monday. No argument for them at all here and I won’t make much up. Can only see more selling pressure coming back around 2800. I expect any pullback to be bought. Invalidation is above 2750. outlook last week: short term: Neutral until bulls claim 2630 again. 2540 just has to hold or if we spike down to 2500 we would have to see huge buying or this will flush down more. Bears are in full control until market trades above the 4h ema again. → Last Sunday we traded 2570 and now we are at 2712. Perfect. Hope you made some or at least did not short the lows. short term: Max bullish if we stay above 2650. 2800 is my expectation and 2900 possible. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-24: Likely to close 2024 above 2800 but I do think the recent selling was the first hint that we will transition into a trading range soon. current swing trade: None chart update: Added two legged correction (ABC)
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
Our beloved Gold🌟 GOLD WEEKLY FORECAST 🌟 The price is moving within an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend ✓ Sell Zone: Between $2,724-$2,734, indicating resistance where selling pressure could increase. (A breakout above the Sell Zone could target the Strong Sell Zone.)If the price sustains above the Sell Zone, further bullish movement toward the Strong Sell Zone is anticipated . ✓ Strong Sell Zone: Above the $2,758-$2,764 range, marked as a potential reversal area. A breakout below $2,716 (highlighted level) could lead to the retracement or the Strong Buy Zone. ✓ Strong Buy Zone: Around $2,686-$2,692, a key support area for potential buying opportunities. Retracement Zone: Below the $2,686 level, indicating a potential bearish retracement zone.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by salamanderfx