Oil Prices Plummet as Trade Tensions RiseOil prices took a hit after Trump's tariffs were announced, and it's essential to understand the reasoning behind this drop.
When US imposed tariffs on Chinese goods, China retaliated by placing tariffs on US goods, including oil. This move led to a decrease in oil demand from China, which is the world's largest oil importer. As a result, oil prices plummeted.
◉ Key Factors Behind the Decline
● Trade Tensions: The escalation of trade tensions between the US and China led to a decrease in oil demand, causing prices to drop.
● China's Tariffs on US Oil: China's decision to impose tariffs on US oil imports reduced demand for US oil, contributing to the price decline.
● Global Economic Slowdown: The ongoing trade tensions and tariffs have led to a slowdown in global economic growth, further reducing oil demand and prices.
● Increased Oil Production: The US has been increasing its oil production, leading to a surplus in the market and contributing to the decline in oil prices.
◉ Technical Observations
● A notable decline in oil prices has been observed since mid-January 2025.
● Prices are currently hovering near the critical support zone around $66, a level that has historically provided a floor for prices.
● If this support level is breached, it may trigger a further decline in oil prices.
Commodities
Plan GOLD 6/3/2025 Today the market has no outstanding news, and is waiting for NonFarm news tomorrow
so today is likely to be a sideways range in the area from 2900-2925
Hope you get good buy sell prices in this range
SELL: price range 2925-2930
SL: 2935
TP: 2900
BUY: price range 2890-2900
SL: 2895
TP: 2925
Gold H1 | Falling to multi-swing-low supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,896.23 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 2,875.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and a 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 2,927.81 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Major bullish signal on 1W.WTI Crude Oil turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.839, MACD = -1.280, ADX = 30.692) as it entered the 2 year S1 Zone. This is where all major rebounds took place. In the meanwhile a 1W RSI below 40.000 (like now) has been the strongest buy signal in the same period of time. Buy and target the LH Zone (TP = 76.00).
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Unswervingly short goldBrothers, good morning. Gold is still fluctuating in a narrow range. From the hourly chart, it is difficult for the price of gold to break through the upper resistance area of 2930-2940 in the short term. In the following trading rhythm today, we still maintain the attitude of shorting gold. The short-term focus below is to fall back to the support area of 2910-2900.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading. Accumulating profits is what changes life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
Gold, beware of a high-rise fallGold maintained a shock-washing mode yesterday, but eventually pulled up again to around 2930. In yesterday's article, the emphasis was on the idea of going long. Yesterday, we saw gold fall in the morning and evening, both suggesting going long. No matter how the market moves, no matter how the main force washes, direction is above all else, and the point determines the outcome. In a shock market, although it is bullish, once it enters the middle position, it will be extremely passive, so it is necessary to get stuck and be patient.
At present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2930, and the short-term upward momentum is insufficient. The short-term maintains a high-level shock operation. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the momentum was obviously insufficient. After being under pressure near 2930, it fell again. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, there is a high probability of shocks around a high-level large range. Even if it does not break through, the short-term is just a callback again, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to shock in a high-level large range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish.
Operation plan, the long positions last night are still held after reducing positions. Today, focus on whether it will break through 2930 again. If it still cannot break through 2930 to create a new high, all long positions need to be exited. If it breaks through 2930 again, it is not recommended to chase high. The strong pressure area above is concentrated in the 2930-2945 area, and the possibility of a sharp rise in the short term is not great. In the short term, once the pressure area is touched and a short signal appears, the short-term intraday short-term can wait for the opportunity to go short and see the support area below the retracement is concentrated in the 2900-2890 area. At the same time, this area is the area where pressure turns to support after the breakthrough. Therefore, to do more, you also have to wait for the retracement to this area again before there is room for operation. Since it has been characterized as a volatile market, do not chase the rise and sell the fall, and wait patiently for the operation position.
Now is the best time to short gold prices!At present, the price of gold fluctuates in a narrow range around 2926. There is no major news to boost or suppress the price of gold in the short term. From the trend, it is obvious that the rebound of gold is not enough to support the continuation of the rebound and breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of bullish power, the bears will regain control of the situation.
So in the short term, you can still try to short gold again. I have already shorted gold around 2920-2930. The target is 2918-2908 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold?
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Gold price breakout – What’s Next?The XAU/USD 2-hour chart reveals an exciting breakout from the previous downtrend channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA continue to provide solid support, while buyers are holding firm within the consolidation zone.
Two Key Scenarios Ahead:
✅ Case 1: If gold breaks out of this consolidation box, we could see a strong bullish continuation toward $2,950 - $2,970, and possibly even higher.
⚠️ Case 2: However, if price fails to sustain above this range, a retracement to $2,880 - $2,850 is on the table.
With geopolitical tensions rising and economic uncertainty driving investors toward safe-haven assets, will gold break higher, or are we in for a deeper pullback?
📉📈 What’s your outlook on gold? Bullish or bearish? 🚀👇
GOLD fluctuates strongly, affected by ADP and Trump's policiesOANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading fluctuated strongly due to the impact of US jobs data and news of Trump's tariffs.
ADP's national jobs report, also known as the "small nonfarm" report, showed that private-sector job growth in the United States slowed in February, with just 77,000 jobs created, well below the expected 140,000 jobs.
"Policy uncertainty and slowing consumer spending may have contributed to a slowdown in layoffs or hiring last month."
ADP chief economist Nela Richardson said in a statement. "Our data, combined with other recent indicators, shows that employers are hesitant to hire as they assess the future economic environment."
After the ADP data was released, the US Dollar index fell sharply, and spot gold prices recovered strongly from the lowest level in Wednesday's trading session of 2,894.27 USD/ounce. As of the time this article was completed, spot gold was trading at 2,923USD/oz, an increase equivalent to 0.15% on the day.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump will waive tariffs on Mexico and Canada for one month for automakers, responding to calls from industry leaders, the White House said on Wednesday.
"We will give a one-month exemption to any imported cars that come in through USMCA," White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said. "The tariffs will still be in effect on April 2, but at the request of the USMCA companies, the president will give them a one-month exemption so they are not financially disadvantaged."
According to Bloomberg, US President Trump is considering reducing tariffs on some agricultural products from Canada and Mexico. On Wednesday local time, US Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins said "everything is on the table" and hoped the government would decide to provide relief to the agricultural sector.
Specific waivers and exceptions for the agriculture industry, which could include potash and fertilizers, have not yet been determined, Rollins said at the White House. “We believe that the President (Trump) cares very much about these communities,” Rollins said at the White House.
On the geopolitical front, aides to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky discussed steps toward peace with the U.S. national security adviser, and Ukraine and the United States agreed to meet soon. The cooling geopolitical situation in Ukraine can be seen as a pressure on gold prices in the short term.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Concerns about Trump's tariffs have pushed safe-haven gold prices to an all-time high 11 times this year, peaking at $2,956 an ounce on February 24 and rising 11% this year.
On the daily chart, gold is currently trading with a newly formed price channel, and the next notable target level at $2,942 is more of an all-time high. However, in terms of momentum, it is facing some obstacles due to the 61 level of the RSI Relative Strength Index. If RSI breaks above this level, this will be a positive signal for price momentum.
Even if gold falls below the price channel, it still has a bullish outlook, the current declines should still only be seen as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity.
Some notable locations of the day will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,900 – 2,880USD
Resistance: 2,942 – 2,956USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2943 - 2941⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2947
→Take Profit 1 2935
↨
→Take Profit 2 2929
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2877 - 2879⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2873
→Take Profit 1 2885
↨
→Take Profit 2 2891
Gold (XAUUSD) - Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Setup!Hello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well, let's discuss about Gold and it is showing a strong bullish setup with an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the 1-hour chart . This means buyers are stepping in , and a breakout above the $2,930-$2,932 neckline could push prices higher toward the next resistance at $2,954-$2,960 . A stop-loss around $2,910-$2,906 can help manage risk in case of a pullback. Watch for volume confirmation when the breakout happens—it’ll add more strength to the move!
If Gold breaks out and holds above the neckline , we could see a good upside rally as buyers take charge. But if it fails to sustain, we might see some consolidation or even a drop. Best approach? Wait for a clean breakout and retest before jumping in. Stay sharp, manage risk, and trade smart!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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XAU/USD Bullish Flag (06.03.25)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2949
2nd Resistance – 2969
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XAUUSD: 5/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 2930, support below 2892
Four-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2884
One-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2912
Gold news analysis: Spot gold fluctuated narrowly at high levels on Wednesday and is currently trading around $2917/oz. Against the backdrop of escalating trade conflicts after US President Trump imposed new tariffs, the US dollar weakened to a near three-month low, and increased safe-haven demand pushed gold prices up sharply on Tuesday, reaching an intraday high of $2927.9/oz, which has risen for two consecutive trading days. Against the backdrop of escalating trade conflicts after US President Trump imposed new tariffs, the US dollar weakened and safe-haven demand increased, pushing gold prices up. Given the potential economic instability and weak job market, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates ahead of schedule. Following three rate cuts last year, the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates stable. The market expects the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts in June and may cut further in September. Investors need to pay close attention to changes in the international trade situation. The latest news shows that the United States may ease the tariff issue, which may weaken the safe-haven buying of gold and provide short-term opportunities for gold bears. This week's focus turns to Wednesday's ADP employment report and Friday's US NFP employment report to find clues to the Fed's interest rate trajectory.
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold fell slightly in the Asian session and stabilized at the 2880 mark, ushering in a strong rise after bottoming out. The European session accelerated to break through and stood above the 2900 mark to continue its strong upward trend. The US session accelerated to break through the 2927 line and fell under pressure and fell into a shock consolidation. The daily chart closed with two consecutive gains.
From the current trend of gold, today's lower support focuses on the one-hour level and the daily level are 2912-2892, respectively. The upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 2930. Continue to rely on this range to sell high and buy low during the day. If it breaks through 2930, it is expected to approach the historical high. Wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2892 near. SL:2887
BUY:2900 near. SL:2895
BUY:2912 near. SL:2908
SELL:2930 near. SL:2935
Trade with small size!
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Analysis:
• 1H Chart: Clear uptrend with a pullback and price stabilizing near 2918.
• 15M Chart: Price has been consolidating after a recovery from a dip.
• 3M Chart: Market is forming higher lows, showing strength.
2. Indicators:
• MACD:
• 1H Chart: Bullish momentum, MACD line above signal line.
• 15M Chart: MACD recovering from a dip.
• 3M Chart: Weakening bearish momentum, signaling potential reversal.
• RSI:
• 1H Chart: 53.84 (neutral, with room for upside).
• 15M Chart: 50.50 (balanced, indicating neither overbought nor oversold).
• 3M Chart: 57.78 (leaning bullish).
3. Support & Resistance Levels:
• Support: 2910, 2895
• Resistance: 2928, 2946
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold’s recent movement is supported by:
• Dollar weakness due to expectations of Fed rate cuts.
• Geopolitical uncertainty keeping gold as a safe-haven asset.
• U.S. Treasury Yields stabilizing, giving gold more upside room.
Trade Execution:
• Entry: 2918
• Stop Loss (SL): 2908 (10 points)
• Take Profit (TP): 2938 (20 points)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1
Rationale for Trade:
• Momentum is bullish across timeframes.
• Good confluence of technical and fundamental factors supporting upside.
• Risk is well-managed with a strong RRR of 2:1.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Remaining Bullish on Goldyesterday was the Non Farm Payroll news. Price stalled till it was time for news then pulled back to fill in a H4 Gap. Now I'm looking for price to continue bullish. There is not Area that they did not fill in so I'm thinking they might just come out the gate running soon as we are inside of the killzone. waiting for the killzone is the key though.
XAUUSD Cup and Handle targeting 3030.Gold is about to complete a Cup and Handle pattern on the (1h) time frame.
The buy confirmation will be a break above Resistance (1).
Trading Plan:
1. Buy after the break out happens.
Targets:
1. 3030 (the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. A Golden Cross (1h) has just been completed. Last time it happened was on January 2nd and was a strong buy signal.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
Gold - A Bullish Close Would Be Insane!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) has to close bullish now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just since the end of 2022, Gold rallied about +80% which is simply unbelievable looking at the already significant market cap of the precious metal. However this bullrun does not seem to be over and if Gold confirmes the trendline breakout, another rally of +40% will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
This time I still choose to short gold!!!Brothers, gold rebounded to the 2925-2930 area as scheduled, which is in line with our expectations. Therefore, when the gold price touched this area, I immediately followed my idea to short gold. Brothers who have read my previous posts should know that you can basically make good profits when you follow my ideas and trading strategies. I hope you will do the same this time.
At present, gold is still in a situation of narrow range fluctuations, and it is difficult for gold prices to break through the 2930-2935 area in the short term. Therefore, in the next trading rhythm, we still maintain the attitude of shorting gold, and pay attention to the support of the 2910-2900 area below in the short term.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading. Accumulating profits is what changes life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 03.03.2025As it's a new monthly candle, Gold needs some upside LQ before it can carry on dropping. Right now my bias is;
Option 1: Gold pushes higher, from current market price towards $2,900.
Option 2: Gold drops a little lower towards $2,856 zone before rejecting and buyers step in again.
Gold Swing Trading PlanFrom the trend point of view. Comparing the long and short positions, the shorts are still slightly stronger, with the upper resistance of 2930-2935. At present, the gold price fluctuates in a narrow range around 2920. There is no major news to boost or suppress the gold price in the short term. From the trend point of view, it is obvious that the rebound of gold is not enough to support the rebound and continuation of the breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of long power, the shorts will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for shorting gold. Now we have shorted gold around 2020-2930. The target is 2915-2905 area, wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold?
Want to expand profits but not expand profits, unclear about the direction, and don’t know how to analyze the market. If you are the same. Then you can try to change your trading style with a fast trading strategy. If you are interested, you can join my bottom article.
GOLD VIEW 1H READ THE CHAPTIAN Hello 👋 gold Traders
technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG Level): The purple zone represents an area of inefficiency where price may return to fill before continuing its trend.
2. Change of Character (CHOCH): Indicates a potential shift in market structure, suggesting bullish momentum.
3. Double Top (Red Arrows): Price was rejected twice at the same level, indicating possible resistance.
4. Moving Averages:
200 EMA (Blue Line at 2,901.507): Long-term trend indicator.
30 EMA (Red Line at 2,911.101): Short-term trend indicator.
5. Price Action Forecast:
Price is expected to retrace into the FVG level before continuing upwards toward the target point at 2,961.779.
This suggests a bullish outlook as long as price respects the FVG level as support. Would you like a more detailed breakdown
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