Commodities
Ethereum TA 25.4.5Hello everyone, I hope you are doing well. Ethereum on the 4-hour timeframe got rejected after hitting a strong order block and started forming new lows. Given the current chart conditions, we have two order blocks in the high price area and we expect the price to return to these levels. If we see a short setup, we will enter a short position with a target of 1750. For now, I am not suggesting a long position and will wait until the pullback on the chart is complete.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub
📅 25.Apr.5
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
Assignment for GOLD next weekBase on what happened this week. My idea for GOLD is simple and straight forward next week. After that strong expansion to the downside, i am expecting to see a retracement towards .5 or .62 of fib level before price will continue to go down and mitigate that big weekly imbalance below. Base on the structure of next weeks high impact news, my idea would be a simple consolidation for Monday till Wednesday since we got no high impact news on those given days. Then Thursday and Friday would be the expansion since we got FOMC,CPI and PPI for those 2 remaining days of the week... My entry would still be the same. Top down analysis using my multi timeframe strategy and wait for all timeframes to align and enter in 5m timeframe once it aligns with the overall higher timeframe. Good luck to us all and Happy trading...
NATGAS Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS went down again
But will soon hit a horizontal
Support level around 3.784$
So after the retest we can go
Long on Gas with the Take
Profit of 3.907$ and the
Stop Loss of 3.725$
Buy!
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Oil in a multi-week declining triangle patternPYTH:USOILSPOT
Oil has been in a multi-week declining triangle pattern, lasting over 2 years so far, which will eventually break to the downside. When it does, the price target should be around $35 USD. Which is calculated subtracting the width of the triangle from the base of the triangle.
When? Probably when we have a stock market crash, which could be soon. Fundamentally speaking, a global recession should reduce global demand for crude oil. Also, a resolution of the Ukraine-Rusia conflict should increase global supply of crude oil.
Good luck to you
XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party”📊 XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party” 🎯💣
✅ Sniper Sell @ 3135 – Textbook Execution
The daily plan's sell scenario from 3135–3145 played out perfectly:
Premium zone + valid OB
FVG rejection + bearish PA (M5/M15 CHoCH)
Three take-profits hit: 3120 → 3086 → 3054
Structure respected, price never looked back 🔫
🔥 Post-NFP Breakdown – April 5, 2025
📉 NFP (Actual): 228K vs. 140K Expected
📈 Strong surprise to the upside – job creation smashed expectations
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (vs 4.1%)
📉 Slight increase – softens the impact of strong jobs number
💬 Market Reaction?
Gold dumped hard post-data, as strong NFP spooked the market
Algorithmic move: sweep → push down → bounce on deep FVG
Market front-ran deeper demand (below 3054), tagging 3036 briefly
🔁 What Got Mitigated:
✅ Premium supply zone @ 3135–3145
✅ 3086–3100 OB demand fully tapped
✅ 3054–3040 imbalance filled
✅ Final reaction wick @ 3036–3038 bounced right off deeper imbalance
🧲 Still in Play / Unmitigated:
🟦 3029–2985 = untouched D1 imbalance
🟡 Small rejection gap @ 3081–3085 (may act as intraday retest zone)
🔴 Possible liquidity below 3000 still untouched
🧠 Summary:
✅ Plan respected
✅ NFP added fuel
✅ Gold respected PA structure to the pip
🎯 Sniper sell from 3135 = perfect execution
XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactio🔍 Daily Bias: Neutral with Bearish Intraday Tilt
Price is reacting to a previously unmitigated zone and potentially retesting a premium area, suggesting sell-side interest may return before any bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Context from Your Marked Chart
✅ Marked Sell/Retest Zone @ 3135–3145:
Clearly defined premium zone with imbalance and prior bearish reaction — confluence with OB + FVG, potential sniper entry for shorts.
✅ Unmitigated OB @ 3086–3095:
Valid demand zone where price bounced aggressively — still active liquidity + FVG.
✅ Major Imbalance Below @ 3054–3040 & 3040–3029:
Heavy drawdown target area. If price breaks 3086, expect it to fill imbalance and potentially bounce at 3040 or deeper around 3029.
🔽 Sell Scenarios
🟥 Sell #1 — Retest of Supply Sniper Entry
Entry Zone: 3135–3145
Confluences: Valid OB, FVG, Premium, Bearish PA from last touch
Target: 3086, then 3054–3040 imbalance zone
RSI: Check for overbought on M15–H1
🎯 "Classic sniper setup — get in, get out. No overthinking required."
🟥 Sell #2 — Break and Retest Below 3086
Trigger: Bearish close below 3086 + BOS on M15
Retest Entry: 3086 zone from below
Target: 3054 (first FVG), then 3029
EMAs: 5/21/50 flip short on M15 for confirmation
🟩 Buy Scenarios
🟩 Buy #1 — Bounce from 3086–3095 (Unmitigated OB)
Entry: Clean reaction + bullish PA in zone
Target: 3135 retest, partials at 3114
Sniper Confluence: BOS on M5/M15 + RSI divergence
🟩 Buy #2 — Deep Bounce from 3040 or 3029 Imbalance Zone
Entry: Only on strong PA confirmation (no early knives)
Target: 3086 first, 3135 secondary
RSI + EMA: Look for EMA 100–200 confluence, bullish divergence on RSI M15/M30
🧾 Technical Confluences Summary
✅ SMC: BOS + CHoCH present across M15–H1
✅ FVG: 3135–3145 (upper), 3054–3040 (lower)
✅ GAPS: Visible in 3054–3029 zone
✅ LIQUIDITY: Above 3145 + below 3029
✅ OB VALID: 3086–3095 still unmitigated
✅ RSI: Overbought earlier, neutral now. Watch intraday shifts.
✅ EMA Clusters:
EMA 5/21 flat after rebound
EMA 50/100 just below 3100
EMA 200 near 3050–3040 (high confluence for bounce)
⚠️ News & Fundamentals
Trump conference added USD volatility, but gold didn’t rally — watch for Fed speakers & JOLTS data tomorrow.
If dollar strengthens intraday again → watch sell setups more closely.
🧨 TradingView Title Suggestion:
“🎯 XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactions!”
NFP & Unemployment Rate Preview – April 4, 2025📉 NFP & Unemployment Rate Preview – April 4, 2025 🧨
Today traders will be waiting for one of the most overhyped news releases of the month — Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). Buckle up for some wild swings, maybe even caused by… 10 fewer McDonald’s hires. 🍔💥
🧠 What’s Expected?
Jobs added: Around 135K, down from 151K.
Unemployment rate: Steady at 4.1%.
Average hourly earnings: Expected +0.3% MoM, +4.0% YoY.
🧨 What’s brewing?
Trump’s new import tariffs (yes, again) are shaking markets, pushing fears of inflation and recession to the surface.
Economic data has been mixed — some cracks are showing, and traders are ready to overreact either way. 🙃
🎙 Powell speaks — so if NFP doesn’t move the market, maybe a few carefully chosen Fed words will.
😏 Reminder for the impatient ones:
If the first 5-minute candle after NFP doesn’t go your way… maybe wait for the second one before tweeting “market is broken.” 🫠📉
#NFP #XAUUSD #Forex #Powell #GoldScalping #FOMC #VolatilityDay #PatienceNotPanic
SILVER LONG SIGNAL|
✅SILVER fell down sharply
By more than 15% which is
A lot so Silver is clearly oversold
Therefore we can enter a long
Trade with the TP of 30.19$
And the SL of 28.71$
LONG🚀
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GOLD 3000$ Key Level Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a bearish
Correction just as pretty
Much everything else on
The market, but Gold is
Trading in a long-term
Uptrend so after the
Price hits an important
Psychological level
Around 3000$ a local
Bullish trend-following
Rebound is to be expected
Sell!
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GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Following on from yesterdays update on our mid/long term route map after completing the 1h, 4h and daily chart route maps. We completed 3094 target and stated that we will now need this weeks candle to finish and close and/or ema5 lock above 3094 to open the gap above.
- Looking like no close above 3094 on the weekly candle, if price stays below this level on market close. Amazing to see the weighted levels levels being respected like this to allow us to identify new range gaps or rejections.
We will be looking for support and bounce on the channel half line or a cross and lock below the half line will open the lower range for the channel low Goldturns.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold’s Wild Ride: Is the Correction Over?Yesterday was an insane day for Gold—while I expected a strong drop to at least 3,080, I didn’t anticipate such a sharp reversal after the sell-off.
Now, the big question is: Has Gold finished correcting, or is more downside coming?
________________________________________
Why I Expect Another Wave of Selling
📉 Gold Still Looks Vulnerable – Despite the rebound, I don’t believe the correction is over.
📉 Key Resistance Established – The 3,135–3,140 zone has now formed a strong ceiling, limiting upside potential.
📉 Selling Rallies Remains the Plan – Even with yesterday’s bounce back above 3,100, my outlook remains unchanged.
________________________________________
Trading Plan: Selling Spikes During NFP
🔻 Looking for price spikes during the NFP report as opportunities to sell into strength.
🔻 Targeting a new leg down toward the 3,030 support zone.
The correction is likely not done yet—let’s see if the market confirms it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD corrects after hot rally, conditions remain optimisticOANDA:XAUUSD has retreated from an all-time high of $3,167.67/oz as investors began to take profits after a “parabolic” rally. While the rally was initially fueled by safe-haven demand stemming from US President Donald Trump’s plans for higher tariffs, questions are starting to arise about the sustainability of the rally as buying pressure wanes and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moves into overbought territory.
Gold has rallied 19% so far in 2025 and this correction could be temporary
Gold prices have rallied 19% this year, supported by multiple macro uncertainties, historic central bank buying and continued inflows into ETFs. Despite the current pullback, from a fundamental perspective, this does not impact the overall bullish fundamental trend and the likelihood of near-term technical consolidation has begun to increase.
Trump’s tariffs a “catalyst” supporting the physical gold market?
Trump's proposal to impose 10% tariffs on most imports has stoked market concerns about slowing economic growth and rising business costs, while risk aversion has pushed gold prices higher.
However, the White House later clarified that "critical raw materials" including gold, copper and energy would be exempt, alleviating some concerns about supply chain disruptions and providing some support to the physical gold market.
Market sentiment remains bullish, with strong buying momentum on dips
Although the technical side is currently under some pressure, the market's optimism remains unshaken. It is difficult to try to assess the peak near the historical high, but it is clear that every pullback is quickly absorbed by buyers, which shows that the underlying bullish sentiment in the market is still strong.
Described by the sharp drop on Thursday, gold recovered very quickly after the drop.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold may enter a correction phase after a long period of hot growth, depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falling below the overbought level, breaking the blue bullish channel. In the short term, if gold breaks below the short-term channel, converging with the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level, it will be in a position to correct further with the next target level around $3,066 in the short term, more than $3,040.
However, overall, gold still has a bullish technical outlook with the price channel as the long-term trend and the main support from the EMA21. As long as gold remains within the price channel and above the EMA21, the declines should be considered as corrections and not a trend. On the other hand, once gold recovers from the 0.50% Fibonacci extension and holds above the raw price point of $3,100, it will signal the end of the correction cycle, then the upside target will be the 0.786% Fibonacci extension in the short-term.
During the day, the long-term uptrend with the possibility of a short-term correction will be noticed again by the following positions.
Support: 3,086 – 3,066 – 3,040USD
Resistance: 3,100 – 3,106 – 3,135USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3147 - 3145⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3151
→Take Profit 1 3139
↨
→Take Profit 2 3133
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3061 - 3063⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3057
→Take Profit 1 3069
↨
→Take Profit 2 3075
Silver looking like a good buy on technicals, $34 targetI am putting on a small silver position, it really likes to bounce off the up sloping resistance line that is in orange, also indicated by the orange circles where it previously bounced. Good luck and please do your own research. Not financial advice.
Agape ATP's $24 Billion Breakthrough! In a market landscape clouded by macroeconomic uncertainty and weakening sentiment, Agape ATP Corporation (NASDAQ: ATPC) has emerged as a countercyclical outlier with its recent announcement of two landmark Sales and Purchase Agreements (SPAs) worth approximately USD 24 billion. Signed with Swiss One Oil & Gas AG, these agreements mark a bold step forward for ATPC, setting the stage for an ambitious entry into the refined fuels distribution market on a global scale.
The SPAs follow a successful Initial Corporate Purchase Order (ICPO) completed in February 2025, which served as a proving ground for initial trial shipments. Under the terms of the agreements, ATPC will initially supply 200,000 metric tonnes of EN590 10PPM diesel and 2 million barrels of Jet Fuel A1 in March 2025. Following successful execution of this validation phase, the contracts are structured to scale rapidly to weekly deliveries of 500,000 metric tonnes of diesel and 2 million barrels of Jet Fuel A1 — an exponential increase that underscores the strategic ambition of both parties.
All deliveries will be conducted using Free on Board (FOB) procedures at major international ports, with product quality certified by SGS or equivalent agencies in accordance with ASTM/IP standards. This not only enhances transparency and credibility but also signals ATPC's commitment to international compliance and operational rigour.
What makes this deal truly transformative is the sheer scale of the undertaking. If executed to full potential, weekly deliveries of 2 million barrels of jet fuel would translate into an annual supply of roughly 104 million barrels — equivalent to around 2% of total annual U.S. jet fuel consumption. Such volume would position ATPC as a serious contender within the global energy trade ecosystem, shifting its profile from a relatively obscure player to a recognisable force in refined fuel logistics and supply.
The structural staging of the agreement — trial, validation, then full-scale execution — reveals a commercially astute strategy. It reduces upfront risk and capital exposure while providing room for operational ramp-up and systems optimisation. However, the magnitude of the weekly delivery requirements suggests that ATPC must urgently enhance its logistical capabilities, secure dependable supply sources, and establish robust quality assurance and compliance frameworks.
From a financial standpoint, the implications are staggering. The USD 24 billion value of the agreements stands in stark contrast to ATPC's current market capitalisation of just USD 5.17 million — a disconnect representing a multiple of over 4,600 times. While such disparity is not uncommon in early-stage high-growth stories, it highlights the importance of scrutinising the company’s readiness to scale operationally and financially.
Under FOB terms, ATPC will bear the cost of acquiring and transporting the fuel to the port of loading, thereby requiring significant working capital. Timely financing and cash flow management will be paramount, especially as delivery volume scales. Questions surrounding margin structure, procurement reliability, and commodity price hedging strategies will need to be addressed to fully appreciate the risk-return profile of this venture.
Yet, amid broader market softness and investor caution, ATPC’s bold strategic execution stands out. If the company successfully navigates the complex logistics, financial demands, and operational scale-up, this agreement has the potential to redefine its financial trajectory and long-term shareholder value.
In an era where execution is everything, Agape ATP’s audacious move could very well prove prescient. Investors will be watching closely — not just for signs of progress, but for proof of delivery.
Article inspired by Stock Titan.
GOLD - 1H UPDATEGold sell running 900+ PIPS in profit, within the Gold Fund for my investors. Price is dropping today again to the downside as we said would happen yesterday.
I'm hoping to get a close below the ‘Selling Confirmation' zone today, so we can get a strong confirmation for a longer term sell off.
gold after the inertviez of jerome todayAs of April 4, 2025, gold prices have experienced significant volatility amid escalating trade tensions and market uncertainties. Following President Trump's announcement of new tariffs and China's subsequent retaliation with 34% tariffs on U.S. goods, investors have increasingly turned to gold as a safe-haven asset. This surge in demand propelled gold prices to record highs, surpassing $3,130 per troy ounce
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-4 : Breakaway PatternToday is a very interesting day because my MRM investment model turned BEARISH on the Daily chart. That means we have broken through major support because of this tariff war and the markets are not OFFICIALLY (based on my models) into a Daily BEARISH trend (or a Daily Broad Pullback Phase).
What that means is we need to start thinking of the markets as OVERALL BEARISH and trying to identify support - or a base/bottom in the near future.
This is no longer a BULLISH market - everything seems to have flipped into a BEARISH primary trend (OFFICIALLY).
So, watch this video to understand how Fibonacci price levels will likely play out as the SPY targeting the 500-505 level (possibly lower) and where the same Fibonacci price levels will prompt the QQQ to target 395-400.
BUCKLE UP. This is a BIG CHANGE related to overall market trend.
Gold is holding up much better than Silver. But I still believe this is a PANIC selling phase in Gold/Silver and they will both base/recovery and RALLY much higher.
The funny thing about the cycles in Gold/Silver is this:
In 2007-08, just after the major expansion phase completed, the Global Financial Crisis hit - prompting a large downward price rotation in metals.
Maybe, just maybe, this forced tariff war issue is a disruption that will "speed up" the process of metals rallying above $5000++ over the next 60+ days.
I see this move as PHASES and it appears the tariff disruption may prompt a faster Phase-Shift for metals over the next few months. We'll see.
BTCUSD seems to be in SHOCK. It's really going nowhere on very low volume.
If BTCUSD is a true hedge or alternate store of value - I would think it would have an upward reaction to this selling.
We'll see how this plays out.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Let's cover the action of some instruments as we get the NFPLet's see what's happening with the market as we get the NFP number live.
Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
TVC:DXY
TVC:GOLD
FRED:SP500
FX_IDC:EURUSD
MARKETSCOM:EURUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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SILVER INTRADAY pullback to support at 3090Silver maintains a bullish sentiment, in line with the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially retesting the previous consolidation zone for support.
Key Level: 3090
This zone represents a significant area of prior consolidation and now acts as a key support level.
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback toward 3090 followed by a bullish bounce would confirm continued upside momentum. Immediate resistance targets include 3266, with extended upside potential toward 3350 and 3450 over the longer term.
Bearish Alternative:
A confirmed breakdown and daily close below 3090 would negate the current bullish outlook. This would open the door for a deeper retracement toward 3028, followed by 2945.
Conclusion:
Silver remains technically bullish while trading above 3090. A successful retest and rebound from this level would support further upside. However, a daily close below 3090 would shift sentiment bearish in the short term, increasing the risk of a deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD - Bullish Momentum Continues! Key Levels & Trade SetupCurrent Price Action:
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing strong bullish momentum on the 1-hour chart, with clear support levels forming. The price recently tested 3,108.56 and is holding above key psychological support at 3,100.00.
Key Levels & Trade Setup:
Support Zones:
- FVG (Fair Value Gap) acting as support
- Strong base at 3,108.56 (11:35 candle)
- Major psychological level at 3,100.00
Market Context:
The chart shows liquidity pools with clear buy/sell labels, indicating institutional activity. The price is respecting Fibonacci levels, suggesting a structured uptrend.
Final Thoughts:
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with clear support levels and Fibonacci confluences providing high-probability trade setups. The 3,100 level is critical—holding above it keeps the bullish bias intact.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Always do your own analysis. Trade safe! 💡
GOLD short-term intraday analysisThe central bank's continued gold purchases, rising risk aversion and relatively low real interest rates will continue to attract funds into the precious metals market. Gold prices fell on a new profit-taking as traders chose to cash out before the release of the crucial US NFP employment data. Given the increased risk of recession, the NFP data will help provide more clues to the Fed's interest rate outlook.
The volatility of gold is really getting bigger day by day, with a single-day fluctuation of several hundred US dollars. The decline is always faster and more fierce than the rise. After breaking the 3100 dividing line, it accelerated downward. Yesterday's lowest was 3054. The key position below is 3033/3054. Note that you can also participate in long positions at key support positions under the plunge, but you must be patient and wait for the position.
The gold 1-hour moving average still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market did not allow the gold 1-hour moving average to enter a dead cross pattern. Although gold bulls rebounded strongly, it was also stimulated by risk aversion news. However, gold continued to fall after rising, and gold began to return to volatility. In the short term, gold is supported near 3078!
Now that gold has fallen below the support near 3100 again, the gold bears are still more dominant in this tug-of-war. Today is the NFP data day. Overall, the impact of the NFP data is expected to be eclipsed. More importantly, the stimulus of risk aversion news.
Key points:
First support: 3085, second support: 3078, third support: 3054
First resistance: 3120, second resistance: 3135, third resistance: 3167
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3078-3082, SL: 3068, TP: 3100-3110;
Sell: 3132-3135, SL: 3144, TP: 3110-3100;