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Gap below… but copper’s breakout still in playCopper markets erupted higher this week following President Trump's proposal to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports. The price ripped from just above $5.20 to nearly $5.80 in a single 4-hour candle. Now, copper could be forming a bullish flag or pennant on the 4-hour timeframe. After the vertical spike, price is consolidating in a tight, potentially downward-sloping channel between ~$5.45 and ~$5.60. If confirmed with a clean breakout above the flag’s upper trendline - perhaps near $5.62—the next leg could project toward the previous high near $5.80 There’s also a gap below current price action, between $5.20 and $5.35, formed during the explosive move up. While gaps can act as support zones, they also tend to get revisited.
OANDA:XCUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Gold Loses Its Shine – Short-Term Sentiment Turns BearishHello everyone, great to see you again for today’s market chat! The factors that once made gold appealing — inflation fears, economic uncertainty, and the flight to safety — are gradually fading. As confidence grows that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for an extended period, capital is steadily moving away from gold and into more stable, yield-generating assets. Across the financial community, there’s growing consensus: gold is no longer a top investment priority. The U.S. dollar is gaining strength, Treasury yields are rising, and gold’s support structure is weakening. While investors await the Fed’s next move, many are staying on the sidelines — or even leaning toward a bearish outlook. Notably, the rebound in the DXY is also playing a key role in adding pressure. Gold is currently lacking momentum, lacking support, and most of all — lacking conviction. At this stage, the trend is no longer a debate, but a widely accepted short-term reality. What about you — where do you think gold is headed next?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
Ramelius Resources (ASX: RMS) –A Tactical Re-Entry Zone?🟡 Gold-Linked Opportunity: Ramelius Resources (ASX: RMS) – A Tactical Re-Entry Zone? Context: Ramelius Resources, a mid-tier Aussie gold producer, is showing signs of technical exhaustion after a strong rally from its 2024 lows. With gold prices consolidating and RMS pulling back to a key support zone, this could be a tactical opportunity for shareholders and swing traders alike. 📊 Technical Snapshot: Current Price: $2.47 Trendline Support: The long-term ascending trendline remains intact, offering a potential re-entry zone for bulls. Risk-Reward Setup: Defined green/red zones highlight a favorable R:R ratio for those targeting a rebound toward $2.80–$3.00. 🪙 Gold Correlation Insight: The inset chart shows gold (XAU/USD) stabilizing after a volatile June. If gold resumes its uptrend, RMS could follow suit, given its strong correlation with bullion prices. 🧠 Psychological Angle: After a 40%+ rally from the $1.78 low, some profit-taking is natural. But this pullback may shake out weak hands before a continuation move. Watch for sentiment shifts around gold and broader risk appetite—these could be catalysts for RMS’s next leg. #RMS #Gold #ASX #MJTrading #Forex #Trading #Investment
ASX:RMSLong
by MJElahifx
Sprott Copper Arbitrage against LME copper futures, discount 20%Currently COP.UN (traded on TSX, Toronto Stock Exchange) is showing some substantial discount again against NAV. Discount is more than 20% which basically means that you can buy copper on the world markets (LME) with a 20% discount! I expect discount will narrow again in coming weeks and wil go back to minus 10 or even better. A more detailed description can be find below of all facts and figures. Current Situation: Discount to NAV: COP.UN is trading at just over a 20% discount to its net asset value (NAV). Essentially, this means you can buy copper exposure at a significant discount to the current market price. Copper Storage and Transfers: The trust’s copper is stored in LME-approved warehouses and is increasingly being shipped to COMEX warehouses in the U.S. The reason is straightforward: copper prices on COMEX are currently higher than on the LME. By moving copper to COMEX, Sprott can sell inventory at better prices. Mechanism for Payouts: The proceeds from selling copper at a premium on COMEX versus the LME can be distributed to unitholders as a special cash distribution (dividend). This provides a direct way for investors to benefit from arbitrage between exchanges. Redemption Option: Institutional investors can redeem trust units for physical copper, subject to minimum tonnages and fees. This helps keep the trust price connected to physical copper markets and offers an arbitrage route if the discount remains wide. The Opportunity: This setup offers trading houses huge opportunities: Arbitrage Play: Buy COP.UN units at a >20% discount, redeem them for physical copper, and sell the metal at spot prices, pocketing the spread (net of costs). Dividend Upside: Hold COP.UN units and potentially benefit from future special dividends if Sprott continues moving copper to COMEX and realizing higher sales prices. Useful Resources: COP.UN Prospectus (Sprott Physical Copper Trust) cop-prospectus-en.pdf
TSX:COP.UNLong
by ernest2000
2
HelenP I. Gold can rebound from trend line and start to move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this chart, we can see that gold has formed a clear wedge pattern, and within it, we can also observe a smaller triangle forming. This structure reflects a narrowing price range and growing tension between buyers and sellers. After testing the upper boundary near the resistance zone at 3390 - 3410 points twice, gold started moving lower and now approaches the trend line again. This level has already held as support multiple times, and each time the price touched it, it showed a rebound with renewed buying interest. Now the price is again trading near this trend line, around the 1300s area, and a small triangle has formed inside the larger wedge. This triangle may act as a base for the next upward movement. I believe that as long as gold respects this trend line and doesn’t break below the 3250 - 3230 support zone, the probability of upward continuation remains strong. My current target is the 3390 resistance level, which aligns with the top boundary of both the wedge and the resistance zone. A breakout above the triangle may give the price enough momentum to approach this area again. That’s why I remain bullish in this situation and expect a bounce from current levels, followed by an upward move toward the resistance. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
10
7.9 Latest gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 News information： 1. Federal Reserve meeting minutes 📈 Technical Analysis： Our decision to close our positions at 3305 yesterday was undoubtedly a very strategic one. After reaching a high of around 3310 last night, it began to fall. At the same time, I also gave VIP members the news that it might fall back to around 3300. Since the opening, the lowest point has reached around 3285. The overall trend is still under our control. At present, gold will still usher in technical corrections in the short term. The current price of 3293-3290 support can be considered for long positions. If the European session continues to fall below the low, you can try to go short during the NY session. If the European session continues to maintain sideways consolidation, you can consider retreating and going long during the NY session. As long as the key support of 3250 below is held, gold will maintain its consolidation trend in short-term trading. On the contrary, once it falls below 3250, gold may directly touch the 3200 mark. Focus on the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, which may further influence the trend of gold. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3293-3290-3285 TP 3305-3310-3320 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,311.90 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,301.31..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for July 9Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance level 3340, support level below 3245 Four-hour chart resistance level 3308, support level below 3264 One-hour chart resistance level 3296, support level below 3275. The expectation that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July has been widely accepted by the market, mainly because Trump announced that he would increase import tariffs on goods from many countries from August 1, triggering market concerns about rising inflation. This expectation pushed up the US 10-year Treasury yield, supporting the dollar to a two-week high, which put gold under downward pressure. On Tuesday, gold closed sharply lower at the daily level, with ma5 and ma10 running downward, indicating that the bears once again dominated. Today, the price of gold may continue to fall. Pay attention to the support near the lower track 3275. If the price of gold closes the real falling candle again today, it will drive the Bollinger Band opening downward, which will further confirm the downward trend. The market may start a new round of decline in the future. The 4-hour level K line continues to fall, and the Bollinger Band opening expands downward! The short-term key support position below is around 3275. After breaking through, it may fall to the previous low of 3266-3245; the important pressure position is around 3308! SELL: 3296near SELL: 3308near BUY: 3250near
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
GOLD Massive Short! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The market is trading on 3353.5 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 3343.00 Recommended Stop Loss - 3359.88 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold Roadmap=>Short termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) currently appears to have broken through the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) . The Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) was broken with the help of the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , the upper line of this classic pattern having served as an important resistance line for us in previous ideas . In terms of Elliott wave theory , Gold has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) within the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It is currently completing the next five impulse waves . Wave 5 of these waves could end in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . I expect Gold to rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and of course, given the momentum of gold approaching PRZ , we can also look for Short positions in PRZ . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,329 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
1
Copper Holds Above 14-Year ResistanceFrom a monthly time frame perspective, copper has broken above a major resistance zone defined by consecutive highs dating back to 2011. The breakout above $5.40 marks a significant technical milestone. A clean move above the $5.87 high could open the door for further upside, potentially targeting $7.00 and beyond as bullish momentum continues to build. On the downside, if copper fails to hold this breakout and closes back below the 14-year trendline, support may be retested near the $4.60 and $4.20 levels. - Razan Hilal, CMT
CAPITALCOM:COPPER
by FOREXcom
Silver Traces New Highs Last Seen in 2011As silver traces new 2025 records, surpassing 2012 highs above 37.50/ounce, it aligns further with the target of the inverted head and shoulders pattern that has extended on the chart between 2020 and 2024, within the 38–39 price zone. This aligns with overbought momentum from the perspective of the monthly RSI, at levels last seen in 2020, strengthening the case for a potential pullback to recharge momentum—possibly back toward levels 35, or 32 and 29 in a steeper scenario. Should the price trend hold above the 39-price zone, further gains can be forecasted toward 42, 46, and eventually the 50 high, in line with tech advancement. - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by FOREXcom
Breaking through 3350, the bullish trend remains unchanged📰 News information： 1. Pay attention to the impact of Trump administration tariffs 📈 Technical Analysis： Possible interest rate cuts and tariffs in the fall continue to stimulate risk aversion. Currently, the 3300-3285-3310 points form a head and shoulders bottom pattern. The bullish momentum is relatively strong in the short term. Our short trade near 41 has hit the stop loss. As I wrote before, gold may continue to rise to 3360 or 3365 after breaking through 3350. The current RSI indicator is seriously oversold, so be cautious when operating in a unilateral trend in the short term. The safe way is to wait for a pullback to 3345-3340 to go long 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3345-3340 TP 3360-3370-3400 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
THE LONG SHOT 〉POTENTIAL OUTLOOKAs illustrated, I'm trying to visualize how a potential continuation impulse could look like during " Bullish July " and toward the end of the year (depending on how aggressive buyers step in; specially central banks and institutions). As you can see on this Daily chart, price respected a long term trend line + is forming higher lows, funneling into a shorter and shorter range of accumulation. This is a very strong bullish behavior; when price gets tighter and tighter respecting a resistance level, but making higher lows. It tends to indicate that price is accumulating and "loading" (sort of speak). Now, analyzing gold from the fundamental aspect, one MUST align those factors with price. In other words: DOES IT MAKE SENSE TO BE BULLISH OR "THINK" PRICE COULD RISE? Well, ask yourself and do the research on the following (but not limited to) questions: 1. How is the US dollar doing? (Since it is the world's "reserve" currency) 2. Are the interest rates in the USA favoring the economy? 3. How is the world economy as a whole doing? - inflation in the top world powers and important economies? 4. How is international trade policy looking like for the world? - Positive or negative? Are countries happy with each other currently, trading without any issues? (Or maybe... there's a tariff war and a trade war goin on?...) 5. Politically speaking, is the general public UNITED or POLARIZED? (politics is a key fundamental aspect for the price of gold, as it either adds to uncertainty and tensions, or it calms things down). 6. Geopolitically speaking (and most importantly); is the "conflict" (war) ending, getting better, resolving? ... 7. Where is the money going and flowing? Black rock, vanguard, and other top hedge funds; where are they investing their money? ( because central banks keep BUYING gold... ) Those are some of many many questions one must study and understand, in order to align the technical aspects of the price of the yellow metal. If any question/factor DOES NOT POINT to bullishness in price, then the technical and price projection of any analysis starts to have weakness. On the other hand, if the fundamental factors and questions in play INDEED POINT toward an uncertain situation, adding bullishness to the price, any analysis and bullish projection simply has those aspects to its favor. -- GOOD LUCK! persaxu
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
1
IMPORTANT BREAKOUT 〉BULLS ARE BACKAs illustrated, price has broken out of an important 4H and 1D trend line that had kept price bearish since the beginning of the month. Yesterday, gold made its way to a ket resistance level and broke it, CLOSING above it in the 4H timeframe, which is a key sign that bulls are back. An interesting sign is that price bounced from the 61.8 - 67% retracement of the last bullish impulse that had an extended correction. Should price manage to stay above 3250-3300 next week, , (a very strong psychological and algorithmic price range), the path to a new ATH is well opened and the probabilities arise on its favor. I try to visualize a potential buy area shown in green, and the invalidation of this idea would be the level from which price has bounced. -- I have been bullish on gold since 2023, ignoring any correction to be a "bearish market" and rather accumulation phases of longer term potential for growth. The world economy and geopolitical conflict along many other financial macroeconomic data and circumstances, are simply NOT pointing toward a better future, and gold is screaming so by continuing to rise, and central banks back this up by continuing to buy it physically. -- GOOD LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
XAUUSD - Will Gold Continue Its Rise?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly chart and is trading in its ascending channel. We still have a bullish view on this commodity and we can expect to see $3,350. A correction towards the bottom of the ascending channel will also provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity. According to the World Gold Council, physically backed gold ETFs attracted around $38 billion in investments during the first half of 2025. This marks the largest semi-annual inflow since the beginning of 2020. The remarkable surge is primarily attributed to heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets amid escalating economic and trade tensions triggered by President Trump’s tariff policies. During this period, the total gold holdings of these funds grew by 397.1 tonnes, bringing their global assets to 3,615.9 tonnes by the end of June—the highest level since August 2022, although still below the all-time high of 3,915 tonnes recorded in October 2020. U.S.-based funds led the inflows with an addition of 206.8 tonnes, while Asian funds—despite accounting for only 9% of total assets—captured 28% of global inflows, highlighting a significant rise in interest among Asian investors in gold. This positive trend emerged after three consecutive years of outflows between 2021 and 2023, followed by modest inflows in 2024. Concurrently, gold prices have surged by 26%, reaching a record high of $3,500 per ounce in April. The World Gold Council, established in 1987 and headquartered in London, is funded by major gold mining companies. Its main objectives include boosting global demand for gold, enhancing market accessibility, and promoting innovation within the gold industry. The council plays a crucial role in shaping global perceptions of gold as a financial asset. However, some analysts argue that the council essentially functions as a powerful lobbying group for mining corporations, often releasing reports designed to bolster demand and foster a positive market sentiment toward gold. On the other hand, Bank of America (BofA), in its latest report using a global trading time framework, analyzed the outlook for the U.S. dollar in the second half of 2025. Despite the dollar having its worst start to a year since 1973, the report suggests that selling pressures on the currency may ease going forward, particularly during U.S. trading hours. U.S. Trading Hours and Federal Reserve Policy The dollar’s cumulative performance during U.S. trading hours remains strongly correlated—at 71%—with Federal Reserve interest rate pricing. Given expectations for stable rates throughout the rest of the year, the dollar could find some support during this time frame. Asia: The Main Driver of Dollar Selling in H1 2025 Asian investors were the largest sellers of the dollar during the first half of 2025. However, after fully unwinding the long positions accumulated over the past two years, dollar performance in Asian trading hours has now turned neutral. Fresh selling may remain limited unless new bearish catalysts emerge. Europe: Tied to Global Equities’ Performance Dollar weakness during European trading hours largely depends on the relative strength of global equities versus U.S. stocks. As U.S. equities reclaimed market leadership in the second quarter, European investors may have less incentive to continue selling dollars. Decline in Currency Hedging Appetite Following the dollar’s significant drop in the first half of the year, foreign investors are now less inclined to increase currency hedges on their dollar-denominated assets. According to Bank of America’s trading time framework, the pace of the dollar’s decline is likely to slow in the second half of the year, especially during U.S. trading hours, as stable Federal Reserve policy removes a key bearish factor. Selling pressure from Asia is also expected to ease unless new downside triggers arise. The key variable going forward will be the relative performance of global equities versus U.S. markets.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Go long when the trend reverses, beware of black swansYesterday's pullback to 3313-3310 confirmed the upward trend of gold. As I expected, it broke through the resistance of 3330 and touched around 3345. Currently, the short-term strong resistance is at 3345. Only by breaking through this resistance can gold maintain its upward trend. If it is blocked near the 3345 line in the short term, there is a possibility of a pullback. If 3345 breaks, there will be 3365 and 3400 above. Once the direction is clear, it will be easier to act. If there is a pullback during the day, it will give us a trading opportunity to enter the long position. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HuntingWolves