WTI Oil H4 | Bearish downtrend to extend further?WTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 73.99 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 75.55 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 71.31 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Commodities
XAUUSD GOLD NEXT EXPECTED MOVE ! Gold (XAUUSD) is currently in an uptrend, but we are waiting for a retracement before entering a buy position. A pullback to a key support zone will provide a better entry opportunity, allowing us to catch the next bullish move with lower risk.
If the price corrects and shows strong buying signals, we will look for confirmations to enter. This strategy helps in maximizing gains while managing risk effectively.
Stay patient and wait for the right setup before taking action! 🚀
Potential bearish drop?USO/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 75.01
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 76.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 72.94
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Silver/Gold Ratio AnalysisOften you will see the Gold/Silver ratio chart get more analysis. However, I like to look at this one as I find it easier to spot the bottoms.
Rarely has silver traded at this level to gold. At .01, it means that it would take 100oz of silver to trade for 1 oz of gold.
Historically, this ratio has traded higher. With gold pushing up towards all time highs, and silver often lagging gold, the silver trade is on.
Concerns about Trump's tariff policies are boosting gold demand
Gold prices have surged to an all-time high as demand for safe haven increased significantly, driven by the concerns of Trump's tariff policy. The 25% tariff threats on Mexico and Canada are creating significant uncertainty in the trade and foreign relations of the Trump administration. Investors are turning to gold as a reliable refuge from the DeepSeek shock and the tremendously high valuations of major US tech stocks, seeking a safe haven amid the current volatility. Furthermore, the US Q4 GDP growth of 2.3% fell short of the 2.7% market forecast, intensifying the demand for gold as a safe haven.
While sustaining a solid uptrend, XAUUSD recorded a historical high. Both EMAs continue to widen the gap, pointing to an extension of bullish momentum. If XAUUSD holds above the ascending trendline, the price could gain upward momentum toward a new high of 2850. Conversely, if XAUUSD fails to hold above the support at 2780 and EMA21, the price may retreat below the trendline.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher within its range-bound market. On the daily chart, it faced resistance near the gap created on January 27. Even if the index continues to rise, it is likely to encounter strong resistance near the January 24 closing price of 21,911. Keep in mind the principle that gaps tend to get filled and that they often act as strong support or resistance levels once filled.
Since the MACD is still maintaining a buy signal on the daily chart, it is advantageous to adopt a buy-on-dip strategy. The recent move appears to be driven by dollar weakness, and similar to gold's strong rally yesterday, Nasdaq could also experience an additional upward rally. Therefore, short positions should be taken at the highest possible levels.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the zero line and is now pulling the signal line upward as well. If the index continues to rise and fills the gap, both the MACD and signal line will be above the zero line, and after consolidating at the gap resistance level, the next directional movement will likely be determined. It is best to focus on buying on dips while setting strict stop-loss levels for any short positions above the gap. Proper risk management is key.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed nearly flat but showed a meaningful breakout from the downward channel on the shorter time frames. It also created a gap-up on the daily chart and broke above the 5-day moving average. Previously, oil had been declining due to Trump's announcement regarding increased oil drilling, but this news is largely priced in now, making a technical rebound possible.
The key level to watch on the upside is $74.50, while buying opportunities exist below $73, with a stop-loss at $72.
On the 240-minute chart, bullish divergence has formed at the bottom, leading to another buy signal. Since the price appears to be building a base, additional buying momentum could emerge. While the market is still range-bound, a buy-on-dip strategy remains favorable for now.
Gold
Gold surged to new all-time highs and closed with strong gains. The rally was driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets following Trump’s tariff imposition, boosting gold prices significantly. As mentioned yesterday, the MACD turned upward again, leading to another sharp rally on the daily chart.
Since gold strongly broke out of its previous range with a large bullish candlestick, today is a buy-on-dip day, particularly near the 3-day moving average. If the price retraces in the pre-market session, it could dip toward the 3-day moving average, so traders should be mindful of this possibility. However, if gold maintains its strength and closes with another bullish candlestick, the 3-day moving average will move higher, reinforcing the uptrend.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal line have diverged significantly, reflecting the strong uptrend. Buying on dips remains effective, while selling should be avoided since RSI indicates overbought conditions. As gold's volatility is increasing, traders should consider adjusting contract sizes, using micro contracts, or lowering leverage to allow for wider stop-loss levels and better trade management.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21680 / 21630 / 21580 / 21530 / 21465
-Sell Levels: 21770 / 21845 / 21890 / 22010 / 22055
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 72.90 / 72.40 / 72.00 / 71.40
-Sell Levels: 73.60 / 74.10 / 74.50 / 75.00
GOLD - Bullish Market(April)
-Buy Levels: 2845 / 2840 / 2831 / 2824
-Sell Levels: 2860 / 2866 / 2870
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 30.01.2025Gold has ONCE AGAIN created another new ATH. We seem to be creating a new all-time after all-time high. However Gold is now overbought & needs a serious correction.
Option 1: Gold pushes a little higher towards $2,800 before coming back down.
Option 2: Gold correct towards $2,780-70 before it pushes back up early next week, towards $2,816.
2025-01-30 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Finally some higher highs again. Market could now transition into a wider trading range and 70 - 76 is my rough guess for now. Bulls need to keep the tiny bit momentum going tomorrow and break above the bear channel and trade above 74 again. If bears dip it below 72.6, we could very well print a lower low below 72 and the range might also expand to the downside.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 70 - 76
bull case: Bulls made the first higher high again and need follow-through badly. Above 74 the bear trend is for sure over and a trading range is most likely. Good for the bulls is, that on the daily chart we are still trading above the breakout price which was roughly 70. If they can reverse this strongly, they have a chance of retesting the highs over the next weeks. For now I think they have to be content with staying above 72 and maybe get to 74 again.
Invalidation is below 70.
bear case: Bears want to keep the market below the daily 20ema and prevent bulls from making meaningful higher highs above 74. The bear channel is still valid and on the daily chart the past 3 trading days look like a weak two-legged pullback to the moving average and that is usually a very good buy/sell signal in the direction of the trend. Bears want to print a new low below 72 and then testing 70.
Invalidation is above 74.
short term: Neutral. Bullish above 74 and bearish below 72.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: Triangle is dead and market is now in a proper trading range with upside to 80 or even 85.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Buying below 72.4 was good since Monday.
GOLD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in a
Strong uptrend along the
Rising support line and the price
Is now making a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 2786$ which reinforces our
Bullish bias and makes us expect
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Our Gold sell analysis has been invalidated, as price decided to target the last major high & psychological price of $2,790. I did point out on my first sell analysis that this round number was a potential threat to our sell bias, as round numbers are always seen as a liquidity sweep.
HOWEVER, now that this high has been swiped I will still be remaining bearish on Gold in the MID TERM. Looking for price action to settle down in the next week & provide more clear market structure. Anywhere between $2,790 - $2,840 we can see bears take over again!
Meta, time to enter?Hi everyone!
Pattern: Meta formed an ascending triangle from Jan 2024 up to Sep 2024 where it broke out of the pattern. Currently retesting the breakout level and has potential for long entry.
Price target: The price target for ascending triangle breakout pattern is the measure of the height of the triangle from its base to the resistance line. Add this to the breakout point and we get the target price of 670$
Caution: If the price fall back to the triangle, this analysis is not valid anymore.
XAU/USD 4H Analysis: Bullish Momentum Towards $2,780?📊 XAU/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Momentum 🚀💰
📌 Key Observations:
🔹 Current Price: $2,754.16 (+0.19%)
🔹 Support Zone: $2,740 - $2,750 (Previous resistance turned support ✅)
🔹 Resistance Zone: $2,780 (Next potential target 🎯)
🔹 200 EMA: $2,687.43 (Price is above = Bullish signal 📈)
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken past a key level and might retest before moving higher 🔄📊
📉 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Case: If price holds above $2,750, we could see a rally towards $2,780+ 🚀
❌ Bearish Case: If price drops below $2,740, we might see a correction back to $2,720 ⚠️
🔥 Conclusion:
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum and may continue its uptrend towards $2,780+ if it sustains above the breakout level! Keep an eye on support at $2,750 for confirmation. 👀💎
Would you like further indicators or a different timeframe analysis? ⏳📊
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy's dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold traders SMC trading point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold and of list ATH 2798😁 ready for Short 😀 list night 🌉 FOMC meeting 🤝 ) low carncy rates) technical fundamental analysis looking And of gold ATH (2798) now gold still moving to recover Short 😀
Key Resistance level 2798
Key Support level 2786 - 2772 - 2766 - 2766
Mr SMC Trading point
Plaes support boost 🚀 analysis follow )
SILVER | The longest timeframe cup & handle in history!SILVER has been forming a cup-and-handle pattern for the past 45 years. And even though SILVER has made some incredible moves during that time, its price has been blatantly manipulated by the LBMA (London Bullion Market Association), central banks around the world, and a completely fraudulent derivatives market that circulates fake paper silver at hundreds of times greater than the underlying asset. Prices have been artificially suppressed for decades to prop up the global fake fiat currency Ponzi scheme and tighten the grip of control over nearly every asset and human being—making these fake currencies appear legitimate when they are clearly instruments of debt and deception.
This artificial suppression of SILVER and many other commodities is coming to an end as the debt-and-death paradigm unravels before our very eyes.
The day is rapidly approaching when SILVER will enter true price discovery, and people will not believe the price points it will reach in the very near future. Silver is one of the most—if not the most—undervalued physical assets of all time.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTASTIC day on the chart smashing all our targets, just like we analysed.
We started the week completing our bearish targets into the retracement range for support. We then highlighted the weighted level rejection bounce for the push up into our Bullish targets, clearing 2778, followed with ema5 lock opening 2787, which was hit perfectly. We then finished off with our final lock above 2787 opening 2797, now complete!!! True level to level action!!!
Now we need to see ema5 lock above 2797 for a continuation or failure to lock will follow with a rejection into Goldlturns below to find support. We are now siting in a new range and will need some play here to establish a blueprint to re-engage.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2778 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2787 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2787 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2797 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2797 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2808
BEARISH TARGETS
2768 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2757 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2757 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2746 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2746 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2732 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2732 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2707 - 2697
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold advancing to our profit target 2So far, everything played out wonderful.
PTG 1 is in the books and now Gold is moving towards our second PTG.
However, trailing the stop below structure is never a bad Idea. The worst that can happen is, that the trade gets stopped out in profit.
Check out the whole setup at the related publications.