Prepare for a sharp dropHello everyone, I am a senior gold analyst (trader) who is always confident and dedicated to fighting for you. As long as the market is not a straight line, I have the confidence to lead you to victory!
From the technical chart, the gold price has risen to the key pressure level of 2928. Yesterday, the gold price began to fall after touching 2928, and the resistance of the pressure level was obvious. Previously, gold was in an upward trend, but when it approached the 2928 pressure level, the K-line showed a long upper shadow line, which implied heavy selling pressure from above. Moreover, if combined with the moving average system, when the price rises to the vicinity of the pressure level, the short-term moving average fails to effectively cross the long-term moving average, forming a long arrangement, but instead shows signs of turning downward, which further indicates that the upward momentum is insufficient. Today, we should take the 2928 pressure level as a reference, decisively arrange short positions, and wait for the arrival of the gold price plunge. Gold 2925-2935 is directly short, and the target is 2918-2908.
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2890 Is CallingHello everybody, I hope you are doing well and you have a profitable day.
I'm back with new idea for gold.
Im expecting that gold will fall because there are multiple reasons, Gold has liquidate the sellers stop losses and now gold is about to falling, After falling gold will fly my target is gold will touch 2890-2880 and then fly to the 2930.
Reasons :
H4 Bearish Eng + Supply
H1 Liquidity + sell pattern + Supply
M30 Supply + Sell confirmation
Kindly share thoughts here
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHATPIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold traders SMC trading point ☝️ list time post signals 🚀 Hit sucksfully My target point 2920 ) Now Gold rejected point below 👇 supply zone 2892- 2875 FVG level up trand My target 🎯 point 2961 long Trade 🤝. First take short trend 📈 And buying it)
Key Resistance level 2915 + 2920 + 2956+ 2961
Key Support level 2892 - 2875
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDTAE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 🪙 Gold Traders Gold Ready for again take New bos). Choch) FVG level up trand) Gold still going to bullish trend 🚀 I'm want buying it target point 2945 + 2956 Technical patterns.
Key Resistance level 2945 + 2956
Key Support level 2911- 2900
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAUUSD 4HR Analysis | What's Next For Gold ? The gold market is currently trading within a long-term ascending bullish channel, respecting dynamic trend lines that act as both support and resistance. This market structure shows a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the overall trend remains bullish.
Key Observations:
Market Structure & Trend Analysis:
- The price has been following a well-defined bullish trend while respecting key trendlines.
- An inner bearish channel has emerged, contributing to short-term pullbacks, but the overall trend remains intact as price continues bouncing off support levels.
- The all-time high (ATH) resistance area has acted as a strong supply zone, where sellers have stepped in multiple times.
Volume & Corrections:
- The chart highlights multiple volume-based corrections, where price pullbacks have occurred with increased selling pressure.
- These corrections align with dynamic support and resistance levels, reinforcing key pivot zones.
- After a significant drop into the key support/value area, buyers stepped in aggressively, leading to the latest bullish rebound.
EMA & Pivot Support Levels:
- The exponential moving average (EMA) trend support has played a crucial role in maintaining the bullish structure, acting as a dynamic area of interest.
- Pivot points are marked, showing where price has reacted at key levels, further validating the importance of these zones.
Quarters & Fibonacci Levels:
- The quarters theory percentages (25%, 50%, 75%, and 100%) are plotted, showing price reactions at these psychological levels.
- The 50% retracement level was a significant bounce area, aligning with previous demand and forming a potential higher low.
- If price sustains above this mid-level, the next targets would be the ATH resistance at 75% and potentially the 100% extension into the target zone above $3,000.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Continuation: If price holds above the key support zone and successfully reclaims the ATH resistance, we could see a breakout targeting new highs around the $3,000+ target zone.
2. Rejection & Consolidation: If price struggles at the ATH resistance, a pullback to retest the 50% retracement level or lower support zones is possible before another leg up.
3. Bearish Breakdown: If price loses its key support levels, a deeper correction could unfold, pushing price back into the lower range of the channel.
Final Outlook:
The market remains structurally bullish, with volume-based corrections providing healthy pullbacks. As long as price respects the key EMA support, Fibonacci levels, and quarters theory zones, the probability of reaching new highs remains strong. However, resistance around the ATH zone must be closely monitored for signs of either a breakout or another rejection.
What is your thoughts ? Let me know in the comments!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD VANTAGE:XAUUSD
Gold's Resistance Battle: Breakout or Reversal?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving near the Resistance zone($2,896-$2,878) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing microwave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to go down at least pivot points after breaking the Uptrend line , and in the next stage , the Support zone($2,845-$2,830) can be the next target .
Note: If Gold can go over the Resistance zone($2,896-$2,878), we can expect more pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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USOIL WTI The price was in a downward trend, moving within a descending channel. A breakout from this channel indicates potential trend reversal or correction.
Consolidation Zone Identified:
The price is currently in a consolidation phase (marked in orange).
A breakout above this zone could confirm bullish momentum, while rejection could push it lower.
Key Resistance Levels for Upside Targets:
If the price breaks above the consolidation zone, it could rally toward 71.246 and 72.103 as potential resistance levels.
Green arrows indicate bullish breakout targets.
Key Support Levels for Bearish Move:
If the price fails to break above the consolidation zone, A further breakdown below this support level could push the price toward 68.400 and 66.888, the next major support.
Conclusion:
The next major move will depend on how price reacts to the consolidation zone. A breakout above could lead to bullish targets, while failure could send prices lower toward the next major support. Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. 🚀📉
Oil Under Pressure Amid Tariff Tensions and OPEC+ UncertaintyMacro:
- Oil prices stabilised after hitting multi-month lows as the market weighed potential output increases in Apr and escalating tariff tensions among Canada, Mexico, China, and the EU.
- Meanwhile, the halted US military aid to the Eastern Europe conflict, and OPEC+ production decisions continue to pressure oil.
Technical:
- USOIL remains in a downtrend, consistently making lower lows while trading below both EMAs, signalling persistent bearish momentum. However, the price is nearing the oversold zone, supported by multiple key levels.
- If USOIL continues declining, it may retest 66.90 and 65.80, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension.
- Conversely, holding above 66.90 could lead to a short-term sideways movement, with a potential retest at 70.20, confluence with EMA21, and the descending channel’s upper bound.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Gold H1 | Potential bullish breakoutGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards a potential breakout level and could climb higher from here.
Buy entry is at 2,923.75 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 2,897.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 2,954.62 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold may rebound, insist on shorting at high levelsBrothers, today the lowest price of gold fell back to around 2901. As I wrote in yesterday's post, the rebound of gold is a little weak. At present, the market has not returned to the upward trend line. Therefore, the continuity of gold's rise may not be strong. The overall market still tends to short gold. We can insist on shorting at high levels. Brothers who followed my trading ideas to short yesterday must have made considerable gains. The downward channel of gold prices since the new high in the 4-hour chart has been broken upward, and the moving average system is running upward, indicating that gold prices may rebound in the short term. In terms of operation, it is necessary to grasp the rhythm of the long and short turns. From a technical perspective, the upper side of gold is still concerned about the 2915-2925 resistance area. In this area, we are still mainly shorting. The lower side pays attention to the 2900-2890 area as support. We can wait for gold to fall back to the 2900-2890 area to go long on gold.
In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don't know the accurate trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I post my trading ideas every day and I also post free trading signals on a regular basis. Many friends have reported that they are very helpful. If you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or want to learn more about correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
WTI Oil H1 | Strong overhead pressuresWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 68.46 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 69.40 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 66.82 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 67,037 (Wave C).The price is still in a downtrend and I believe that before the price starts an upward movement it needs to complete a big “ABC” correction and a small five-wave formation.
I think the price will reach the level of 67,037. This level is quite important, because in its area we need to look carefully for reversal patterns.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis XAU/USD Weekly Analysis with support and resistance levels tailored between $2,800 and $3,000:
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis: March 3–7, 2025
🔹 Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has entered a critical consolidation phase, trading between $2,800 and $3,000. The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments, including U.S. jobs data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical events.
🔹 Key Support Levels:
Immediate Support:
$2,835–$2,850: Critical support zone, aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally.
$2,800: Psychological support and a key structural level, reinforced by the 50-day SMA.
Major Support (Downside Breach Scenario):
$2,765–$2,780: Long-term trendline support from the 2024 lows.
$2,735: Key swing low; a break below here could signal a deeper bearish trend.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance:
$2,900–$2,920: Key consolidation range high and near-term target for bullish momentum.
$2,950: Previous week’s high and a critical barrier to further gains.
Major Resistance (Upside Breakout Scenario):
$2,975–$3,000: Psychological resistance and the upper bound of the bullish channel.
$3,075: Fibonacci 127.2% extension and a potential breakout target.
🔹 Technical Scenario Breakdown:
Bullish Case (Breakout):
Trigger: Fed dovishness or USD weakness.
Action: Break above $2,950 confirms bullish momentum.
Targets: $2,975 (psychological level), then $3,075 (breakout extension).
Bearish Case (Reversal):
Trigger: Strong USD or risk-on sentiment.
Action: Breakdown below $2,835 signals bearish shift.
Targets: $2,800 (key support), then $2,765–$2,735 (trendline and swing low).
Neutral/Range-Bound:
Range: $2,835–$2,950.
Action: Fade extremes (buy dips near $2,835, sell rallies near $2,950).
🔹 Price Action Drivers During the Week:
U.S. Jobs Data (March 7):
Weak NFP (<150k jobs) → USD sell-off → Gold rallies toward $2,950–$3,000.
Strong NFP (>250k jobs) → USD strength → Gold tests $2,835–$2,800.
Fed Commentary (March 5):
Hawkish tone → Gold pressured below $2,835.
Dovish tone → Rally toward $2,950+.
Geopolitical Surprises:
Escalations → Safe-haven surge → Gold breaches $2,975–$3,000.
De-escalations → Profit-taking → Drop to $2,800.
🔹 Technical Tools to Monitor:
RSI (14-day): Overbought above 70 indicates pullback risk; oversold below 30 signals potential rebound.
MACD: Bullish crossover above the zero line strengthens upward bias.
Volume: Confirm breakouts above $2,950 with rising volume.
📈 Summary:
Support: $2,835–$2,850 (critical), $2,800 (structural), $2,765–$2,735 (trendline).
Resistance: $2,900–$2,920 (immediate), $2,950 (key breakout), $2,975–$3,000 (psychological).
Catalysts: U.S. data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical factors remain key drivers.
Yesterday's short selling made a perfect profitYesterday, the layout of 2907 short selling fell to 2905 as expected, and then the arrangement of 2915 short selling fell to 2904 as expected. In the evening, the layout of 2913 short selling fell again and continued to stop profit at 2903. I made more than 6K profit from this short selling, which is a good trading result.
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Gold futures for April are trending upWorld gold prices continued to rise amid a weakening US dollar. The US Dollar Index – a measure of the greenback’s strength against six major currencies – fell 0.49% to 106.145 points.
Risk aversion remains high in the market due to geopolitical tensions and new tax policies. The US has just imposed tariffs on goods imported from Mexico, Canada and China. In response, these countries have also applied retaliatory measures, affecting about $1,000 billion of global trade.
China is likely to let the yuan depreciate to reduce the impact of tariffs and boost exports. If the yuan continues to weaken, many investors in China may flock to gold as a safe haven.
Asian and European stock markets are trending lower, while US stocks are also forecast to open with slight losses.
SUPPORT : 2900 , 2892
RESIST : 2930 , 2950
GOLD → Breaks 2881. Buyers are ready…OANDA:XAUUSD breaking through the resistance threshold of the downward trend and attempting to seek gains above the critical resistance zone of 2881. A consolidation before the breakout is forming relative to 2894, signaling potential growth on the dollar's correction foundation.
Previously, Trump confirmed the possibility of imposing 25% tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, triggering retaliatory measures and increasing the risk of U.S. recession. Declining PMI and Atlanta Fed's GDP led to a sell-off on Wall Street and increased demand for gold as a protective asset.
Geopolitical tensions persist as Trump suspends military aid to Ukraine, sparking European discontent. Market focus will remain on the release of detailed U.S. monthly employment information - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report on Friday. This crucial data will impact both USD and gold metal.
Technically, the price surpassing the 2881 resistance level divides the market into two planes. A consolidation before breakthrough is forming relative to 2895. The resistance breakthrough and price consolidation above 2895 could reinforce growth. The buyers' main focus is maintaining defensive positions above 2885 - 2895.
In the context of increasing economic risks and declining dollar, gold has every opportunity to continue its growth following the local trend change. The targets in this scenario are 2915, 2921, 2929.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
GOLD recovers, fueled by trade risks as key support Influenced by US President Trump's imposition of new tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico and the doubling of tariffs on Chinese goods, the situation has raised fears of a global trade war. OANDA:XAUUSD found support after fresh tariff concerns and rebounded to target $2,900 and above it the momentum is waning.
Trump's tariff policy continues to boost inflation expectations while weakening economic growth expectations, and real yields continue to decline.
The upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports will have an important impact on the market. If data shows rising inflation, gold prices could fall as the market may reduce expectations for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Recently, the market expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 75 basis points by the end of the year, up from 44 basis points last week.
Trump's tariff action, which could affect nearly $2.2 trillion in annual US two-way trade with China, takes effect at 12:00 Hanoi time on Tuesday. China responded immediately by imposing additional tariffs of 10%-15% on certain US imports effective March 10 and imposing a series of new export restrictions on certain designated US entities, according to Bloomberg.
Meanwhile, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said Ottawa will immediately apply a 25% tariff on $20.7 billion worth of US goods.
JPMorgan said it has a structurally long-term bullish view on gold and expects gold prices to reach $3,000 by the fourth quarter of 2025. Trump's tariffs are considered inflationary and have prompted many investors to move money into the safe-haven gold, which has risen more than 10% this year.
However, higher inflation in the United States could force the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates for longer, which could reduce the appeal of non-yielding bullion. Markets await the ADP jobs report on Wednesday and the US nonfarm payrolls report on Friday for more information on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has achieved the $2,900 target gain readers noticed in previous editions since it reached support at $2,835.
Temporarily, the recovery momentum is weakening but maintaining price activity above the original price level of $2,900 is considered a positive signal for continued upside, and the next target is $2,942 in the short term, more than the all-time high of $2,956.
The interim relative strength index is also showing signs of reacting to the 61 resistance level, a continued break towards the overbought area would be a positive signal for bullish expectations in terms of momentum.
During the day, gold's price recovery prospects and notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,900 – 2,880 – 2,868USD
Resistance: 2,942 – 2,956USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2941 - 2939⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2945
→Take Profit 1 2933
↨
→Take Profit 2 2927
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2884 - 2886⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2880
→Take Profit 1 2892
↨
→Take Profit 2 2898
Gold price today: Extend the momentum!Gold prices continued their upward momentum today, hovering around the $2,910 level. The last recorded trade for gold stood at $2,928 per ounce, marking a 270-pip increase compared to early yesterday morning.
Accordingly, gold prices are currently experiencing strong impacts from USD fluctuations and US tariff policies. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump continues to raise concerns by threatening to impose tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada. These factors could determine whether gold can reach the $3,000 per ounce mark or not.
Currently, investors are awaiting the US payroll report, expected to be released at the end of this week. The report's results could influence the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve (FED).
On the technical chart, the precious metal has broken out of the descending price channel and made adjustments to create new highs. Bullish factors are driven by the crucial support level at 2885 and the two EMA lines at 34 and 89. All expectations are focused on gold's long-term price appreciation because any signs of US economic slowdown will support calls for Fed rate cuts and provide support for OANDA:XAUUSD .
GOLD TREND ANALYSIS: WEEK 11 (MARCH 5-7, 2025)GOLD TREND ANALYSIS: WEEK 11 (MARCH 5-7, 2025)
The remaining days of this week bring news with enough punch to drive smooth price action on the charts.
Today: ADP and PMI data.
Thursday: Unemployment Claims.
Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls.
By mapping these events onto the chart, we focus on their timing and impact. Here’s how GOLD’s price is expected to play out for the rest of Week 11:
Weekly High: 2,925
Weekly Low 1: 2,868
Weekly Low 2: 2,840
Main Trend: SELL on D1; once the D1 bottom forms, a new upward peak will follow.
Current H4 Buy Trend: A corrective pullback wave.
This Week’s Move: GOLD will see an H1 uptick, peaking alongside H4, then both frames drop hard. This surge could hit around Friday’s Non-Farm news—or follow the attached chart’s path.
Stay sharp, bro—Friday’s drop could be the big one!
Gold price today: Strong rebound!Dear traders!
At around 6 AM on March 4, the spot gold price stood at $2,894 per ounce, marking a $36 increase from the previous day's opening price of $2,858 per ounce.
The primary reason for this rise is the increased risk aversion among investors, driving higher demand for safe-haven assets like gold amid escalating geopolitical tensions. Over the weekend, a heated exchange between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky raised concerns that efforts to end the Ukraine-Russia military conflict could reach an impasse.
Additionally, U.S. trade tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China take effect today, March 4, sparking fears of potential financial market instability. This uncertainty has pushed many investors toward gold as a wealth preservation asset.
Meanwhile, a sudden decline in the U.S. dollar has made gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies. As a result, today's gold price outlook remains positive. Keep an eye on the $2,892 resistance level, as a breakout above this point could signal further upside momentum.
What are your thoughts?