GOLDEN HOUR - Central Bankers Are Buying Dear followers,
Recent data shows that gold purchases of central banks hit their all time high since 1967.
---- History doesn't repeat itself but often rhymes -----
The only difference this time is that there is a new player in town. A digital gold named Bitcoin.
However, having long exposure in physical gold TVC:GOLD won't harm you over the next couple months.
Stay tuned for updates and shares this message to support my channel!
Commodities
Gold and GVZ 2025 JanGold usually trades with an upside bias
it's a go-to hedge against all sorts of risks
such as inflation,market crashes, geopolitical messes, you name it.
When gold rips higher, its volatility (GVZ) tends to spike
However, this latest rally has been strong without being crazy
So GVZ (Gold vol) hasn’t gone wild yet
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 30.01.2025The price is currently testing a well-defined descending trendline, which has acted as a strong resistance level. The analysis suggests two possible scenarios:
Bullish Breakout & Retest:
If the price successfully breaks above the trendline and confirms a retest as support, we could see bullish momentum leading to the 2,785.04 resistance level.
A clean breakout with strong volume would further validate the upside potential.
Bearish Rejection & Retest:
If the price fails to break above the trendline and gets rejected, we could see a retest of the trendline followed by a strong move downward.
The next major support level in this case would be 2,730.75, where price could find buying interest.
Traders should watch for confirmation on the breakout or rejection before taking a position. The reaction to the trendline will be the key factor in determining the next move.
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XAUUSDHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in XAUUSD CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
Gold Price Analysis: Bullish Reversal After Key Level Hunthello guys!
Gold recently broke out of a rising channel and experienced a sharp decline, hunting liquidity and touching a key flip area. This level acted as strong support, triggering a rebound.
Now, the price is attempting to form a higher low, and two bullish scenarios are in play:
A direct bounce from the current level leads to a retest of the 2,768 resistance.
A deeper pullback into the liquidity zone before pushing back up to the same resistance.
A break above 2,768 would confirm bullish continuation.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 1-30 : Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the markets will attempt a minor rally in early trading, possibly targeting the 605 resistance level, then shift/rollover into a downward price trend (the TOP pattern) and being to move downward into the pre-DeepV low levels I've suggests (possibly near 585-588).
At that point, I suspect we'll get a few days of consolidation before we see the DeepV breakdown take place near Feb 11-13 (which may actually start on Friday the previous week).
Overall, I'm expecting the markets to roll into downward trending over the next 7 to 10+ days.
Gold and Silver are moving higher - which is great to see (finally). Maybe all Gold needed was to roll to the newer contract to finally break above the $2820 level. lol
Who knows.
This is the start of the BIG RALLY (Expansion Phase) in metals that should last almost all year. If my research is correct, Gold and Silver will reach a peak level near July-October 2025.
Bitcoin has moved into an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern that may prompt a rally up to resistance near $108,450.
At this point, the inverted EPP pattern is in the consolidation phase and I'm watching for it to break above $105,500 (moving to the ultimate high), or below $100,270 (as an invalidation breakdown move).
The next 5+ trading days should be very interesting for everyone.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle Breakout (30.01.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2785
2nd Resistance – 2794
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GOLD - Price can make move up and then start to declineHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside the rising channel, where first fell to the support line and then rose to $2690 level.
Next, price broke this level, made a retest and rose to resistance line, after which it made a correction.
Gold continued to grow and later rose to $2745 level, and when it reached this level, it broke it, thereby exiting from channel.
Then price started to trades inside flat, where it rose to top part and then fell to support area.
In this area, XAU some time traded and then started to grow to top part of flat, but firstly it broke $2745 level again.
Now I think that Gold can make a move up and then start to decline to $2735 support area.
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Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Chart Analysis: - **Breakout Confirmation**Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Chart Analysis:**
- **Breakout Confirmation:** Price has broken above a key resistance zone, indicating bullish momentum.
- **Retest Zone:** A potential retest of the breakout area may confirm support before continuation.
- **Targets:**
- **1st Target:** 2,772 zone.
- **Last Target:** 2,783–2,784 zone.
- **Market Structure:**
- Multiple **Break of Structure (BOS)** and **Change of Character (ChoCh)** signals bullish strength.
- Rounded retest pattern supports a continuation towards the targets.
- **Key Watchpoint:** If price holds above the breakout zone, the bullish move remains valid; otherwise, a failed retest could lead to a pullback.
Gold Rises on Tariff Concerns & GDP Impact: Key Levels & TrendSafe-Haven Gold Rises Amid Trump Tariff Concerns
Gold prices climbed on Thursday as investors sought safety amid concerns over potential U.S. import tariffs under President Donald Trump. Additionally, market participants are closely watching a key inflation report to assess the Federal Reserve's future policy direction.
Gold Technical Analysis
Gold has followed our forecast precisely, reaching our target at 2,772, and is continuing its upward movement toward 2,788, as previously anticipated.
Market volatility is expected today due to the GDP release and ongoing tariff concerns. The bullish trend is likely to continue, aiming for a new all-time high (ATH). However, if the 4-hour candle closes below 2,788, bearish momentum may develop, targeting 2,772 and 2,759.
Conversely, a 1-hour or 4-hour candle close above 2,788 would confirm further upside potential, driving the price toward 2,805.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2772
Resistance Levels: 2788, 2805
Support Levels: 2759, 2748, 2739
Trend Outlook
Bullish: As long as the price remains above 2,772
Next Bullish Confirmation: A break above 2,788
Bearish: If the price falls below 2,772
Previous idea:
XAUUSD - Gold after the Fed meeting!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for buying opportunities after a price correction. A correction of gold towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio.
During its meeting last night, the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates steady within the 4.25% to 4.5% range, signaling that it has no immediate plans to lower them. Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, emphasized that the U.S. economy continues to experience strong growth, with a resilient labor market. According to him, current interest rates are no longer as restrictive to economic activity as they once were. He stated that the central bank prefers to see more concrete evidence of sustained inflation reduction before making any adjustments, while also assessing the economic impact of Donald Trump’s policies in areas such as tariffs, immigration, and taxation.
In its statement, the Federal Reserve acknowledged that inflation remains “somewhat high,” but it omitted previous references to progress toward the 2% target. Powell clarified that this change does not signal a shift in policy but rather reflects the need for greater confidence in the persistence of inflation’s downward trend.
The Fed Chair also stressed that the central bank cannot accurately predict the impact of Trump’s new policies before they are implemented. He noted that potential tariffs and immigration changes could have conflicting effects: they might contribute to inflation by raising costs, while also acting as a deflationary force by improving productivity.
Powell made it clear that a rate cut in March 2025 is “unlikely,” and future decisions will depend entirely on economic data, particularly inflation and employment indicators. If Trump’s trade policies or labor shortages caused by the expulsion of migrants unexpectedly drive inflation higher, the Federal Reserve may not only delay rate cuts but could even consider raising rates instead.
In response to these remarks, Trump criticized Powell, accusing him of failing to control inflation. The U.S. President stated on Truth Social that his administration would curb inflation by ramping up domestic energy production, reducing regulations, balancing international trade, and revitalizing American manufacturing. Meanwhile, Powell told reporters that he has not been in contact with Trump recently and would not respond to criticisms from the White House. Trump also accused the Federal Reserve of focusing on issues like climate change, diversity, equity, and gender ideology instead of prioritizing economic matters.
David Solomon, CEO of Goldman Sachs, believes that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates within a narrow range throughout 2025 unless there is a significant shift in inflation. He highlighted that rising costs in the services and food sectors remain key economic challenges, which will likely limit any major policy changes in the near term.
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we see that, as expected, the price continued its upward movement following yesterday's analysis, hitting the $2752 and $2764 targets, delivering a 200-pip return. After reaching $2764, gold corrected from $2766 down to $2757, and it is currently trading around $2759. If the price stabilizes below this level, we could see further corrections.
⚠ Important Note: Today, we have the FOMC meeting and the U.S. interest rate decision, which could lead to high market volatility. I strongly recommend avoiding trading during these critical hours!
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD Is Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,777.61.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,730.88.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Copper - Markets are waiting for new moves to start?!Copper is above EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. An upward correction of copper will provide us with a good risk-reward selling position. If the downtrend continues, we can buy copper in the next demand zone.
The Monthly Metals Index (MMI) for copper remained largely range-bound, experiencing a slight decline of 0.65% from December to January. Meanwhile, copper prices continue to react to the new U.S. administration and potential shifts in trade policies.
Ahead of President Trump’s inauguration, copper prices on the Comex exchange began breaking out of their previous range. By mid-January, copper prices had reached their highest levels since early November. This movement was likely driven by traders anticipating the impact of potential tariffs, some of which could affect the copper market. In contrast, prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) saw only modest gains, creating a temporary price divergence between the two exchanges.
Typically, Comex and LME copper prices move in tandem, making any significant deviations between them noteworthy. Since 2019, the two markets have shown a correlation of 99.76%, with Comex prices averaging a $19 per ton premium over LME prices. However, by January 14, this premium had widened to $402 per ton. It remains uncertain whether this premium will persist in the coming years or revert to historical levels, as seen in previous instances.
Historically, such price divergences have been temporary. One notable example was a short squeeze on Comex in late May, which marked the end of the Q2 2024 rally in base metals. During this period, the price gap between LME and Comex surged to $688 per ton, with Comex copper prices reaching a record high of $11,257 per ton.
However, this spread quickly narrowed due to shifts in trade flows toward the U.S. market. Although Comex copper contracts attract similar market participation as LME, lower inventory levels make them less liquid. Consequently, when stockpiles decrease, Comex prices become particularly susceptible to sudden surges.
Another factor contributing to price divergence was the October port strike, which led to a significant increase in Comex prices. Before the three-day strike began, Comex copper prices had already risen sharply, pushing the spread to $292 per ton until mediators brokered a resolution.
Market volatility remains a key risk for copper prices as traders await more details on which products and countries will be affected by new trade barriers. This uncertainty could either drive further price increases or trigger sharp declines if reality fails to align with market expectations.
Some of the tariffs proposed by President Trump are likely to serve as negotiation tactics, meaning they may not be fully implemented or could be abandoned if alternative trade agreements are reached. Meanwhile, reports suggest that the Trump administration is considering a phased approach to tariff implementation, which may help mitigate market reactions.
A closer look at Trump’s latest stance on China indicates a willingness to de-escalate tensions and increase engagement. However, his previous trade policies were highly aggressive, often involving heavy tariffs on Chinese imports.
Platinum Testing Key Resistance - Reversal Ahead?OANDA:XPTUSD has reached a major resistance zone, where sellers have previously taken control. The current rally has been strong, but this level could act as a turning point if buyers start losing momentum.
If we see bearish confirmation—such as rejection wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or a drop in volume—I anticipate a move toward $971.78 level. A clear rejection here could fuel selling momentum, leading to further downside. However, if price breaks and holds above the zone, the bullish trend could extend higher.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
GOLD Strong Breakout!
HI,Traders !
GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend and has Made a bullish breakout of
The key horizontal level
Of 2763.93 and the breakout
Is confirmed so After retesting the level is broken we are
Bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish move up !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
GOLD at Key Resistance: Possible Correction AheadOANDA:XAUUSD has reached a critical resistance zone. This zone has previously acted as a barrier for price, leading to strong reversals in the past. This area aligns with a significant supply zone, where the ongoing bullish momentum may face exhaustion, signaling a potential turning point.
If the price shows bearish confirmation, such as rejection candles or a bearish engulfing pattern, I expect a pullback toward the 2733.000 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. This scenario reflects the potential for a short-term correction within the broader trend.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Get Ready For Breakout
It feels like Gold is going to update the All-Time High soon.
I see clear signs of a bullish accumulation on a horizontal
resistance based on a current highest high.
A breakout of the underlined orange area and a candle close above
will indicate the continuation o a global bullish trend.
The market will most likely continue rising at least to 2820.
Alternatively, if you are looking for a bearish confirmation,
a breakout of the support of the channel will give you a strong bearish signal.
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Bullish, waiting for new all-time highsGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2800, support 2700
Four-hour resistance 2790, support 2750-25
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the gold market fluctuated in a large range. After opening at 2763 in the Asian session, the market first rose to the high point of 2766, and then fluctuated and fell all the way, with the lowest point at 2744. The gold price was strongly pulled up by the upward trend line and fundamentals of this round. The daily line finally closed near 2759. The current daily line pattern continues to be strong.
From the current 4-hour analysis, we pay attention to the short-term suppression of 2780 on the top and the short-term support of 2755-50 on the bottom. In terms of operation, we mainly follow the trend, buy on dips during the day, wait for a record high, and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2765~2770near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!