Using The CRADLE Pattern To Time/Execute TradesThis simple video highlights one of my newest pattern definitions - the Cradle Pattern.
In addition to the many other patterns my technology identified, this Cradle Pattern seems to be a constant type of price construct.
I'm sharing it with all of you so you can learn how to identify it and use it for your trading.
Ideally, this pattern represents FLAGGING after a trend phase.
It is a consolidation of price within a flag after a broad trending phase.
It usually resolves in the direction of the major trend, but can present a very solid reversal trigger if the upper/lower pullback range is broken (see the examples in this video).
Learn it. Use it.
Price is the ultimate indicator.
Learn to read price data more efficiently to become a better trader.
Get some.
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Commodities
Silver (XAG/USD) - Bearish Breakdown from Rising Wedge!Market Overview:
The Silver (XAG/USD) 1-hour chart reveals a Rising Wedge pattern, which is a well-known bearish reversal formation. This suggests that the recent bullish trend is losing momentum, and a breakdown could lead to a significant price decline.
🔹 Key Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Rising Wedge Formation & Breakdown
The price has been moving within a rising wedge, characterized by higher highs and higher lows but with weakening momentum.
A breakdown has occurred, confirming the bearish structure as the price has failed to sustain higher levels.
Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, price tends to drop by the same height as the wedge itself, which aligns with our projected target zone.
2️⃣ Price Action & Retest Possibility
After the breakdown, a retest of the broken wedge support (now resistance) around $33.50 - $33.80 could provide a potential short-selling opportunity.
If price fails to reclaim the wedge support, further downside pressure is expected.
3️⃣ Downside Target & Support Zone
The measured move suggests a decline towards the $31.00 - $30.60 region, which coincides with a strong historical support zone.
This area is highlighted as a potential profit-taking level for short trades.
📉 Trading Plan - Short Setup
🔸 Entry: Look for a rejection from the $33.50 - $33.80 zone (previous wedge support, now resistance).
🔸 Stop Loss: Above $34.00 to protect against false breakouts.
🔸 Take Profit: $31.00 - $30.60 (previous demand area).
🔸 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup, ensuring proper risk management.
🛑 Risk Factors to Consider
⚠️ If Silver regains strength and breaks back above $34.00, it could invalidate the bearish breakdown and shift momentum back to the upside.
⚠️ Macroeconomic events such as inflation data, Fed speeches, or geopolitical factors could influence price action unpredictably.
USOIL:Give priority to go long positions on the retracementU.S. heating oil futures gave back their gains. EIA (Energy Information Administration) data showed that U.S. distillate fuel oil inventories unexpectedly increased. U.S. gasoline futures' upward momentum expanded slightly, and the EIA data indicated that the inventory was basically in line with expectations.
The commercial crude oil imports in the United States excluding the strategic petroleum reserve for the week ended March 28 reached the highest level since the week ended January 31, 2025. The EIA strategic petroleum reserve inventory in the United States for the week ended March 28 was at its highest level since the week ended October 28, 2022. The increase in EIA crude oil inventories in the United States for the week ended March 28 recorded the largest gain since the week ended January 31, 2025. The domestic crude oil production in the United States for the week ended March 28 was at its highest level since the week ended December 20, 2024. The commercial crude oil inventory in the United States excluding the strategic petroleum reserve for the week ended March 28 was at its highest level since the week ended July 12, 2024.
Crude oil showed a trend of bottoming out and rebounding on Wednesday. It stabilized and rose near 70.7. After breaking through the $71.2 mark, there might have been a bullish reversal in crude oil. The oil price is expected to test the resistance level above 72.0. Once it further breaks through, it is expected to open up the upside space. In terms of future trading operations, it is advisable to consider laying out long positions on the retracement first.
Trading Strategy:
buy@70-70.5
TP:71.5-72
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update Update For 4-2 : ConsolidationThis quick update shows why I believe the SPY/QQQ will struggle to make any big move as long as we stay within the 382-618 "Battle Zone".
The SPY continues to rally up into this zone and stall out. If the SPY stays within this zone, I believe the markets will simply roll around in a tight range and go nowhere today.
Thus, I published this article to warn traders not to expect any big trends until we breakout - away from this Fibonacci "Battle Zone".
You can't kick the markets to make it go anywhere. And, unless you are trading very short-term swings in price - you are probably better off sitting on the sidelines waiting for a broad market trend to establish.
This is a warning. As long as we stay in the Fibonacci "Battle Zone", price will struggle to build any major trend.
So, play your trades accordingly - or just take a break from trading while you wait for the markets to roll out of the "Battle Zone".
Get some.
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Update XAUUSD Intraday Battle Plan"Gold never sleeps… but it might fake you out first!" 🤫
🟢 Buy Scenario 1 – “The Spring Trap” 💧
If price sweeps liquidity below 3107 zone (grab zone + FVG), be ready for a bounce.
Entry zone: 3100 – 3107
Confluences:
Valid FVG + Imbalance
Strong rejection already shown from this area
Trendline liquidity trap below
Buy-side OB forming (watch M15/M30 for confirmation)
SL: Below 3090
TP1: 3125
TP2: 3140
Note: A classic liquidity sweep to trap bears before a news-driven reversal? Don’t blink. 👀
🟢 Buy Scenario 2 – “The Bounce of Faith” 🧗
If price respects the trendline and discount zone without grabbing 3100.
Entry: 3112 – 3117
SL: 3106
TP1: 3135
TP2: 3147 – PDH
Confluences:
Equilibrium + strong bullish reaction from previous HL
CHoCH confirmed on LTF
Divergence on RSI (M15) might cook a sniper launch 🚀
🔴 Sell Scenario 1 – “The Fakeout Masterclass” 🎭
If price retests supply zone 3145–3150 and fails to break PDH (3148)
Entry zone: 3145 – 3150
SL: 3155
TP1: 3130
TP2: 3112
Confluences:
Weak high + premium zone
PDH liquidity magnet → sell-side grab potential
Bearish OB forming on M15
Reminder: Respect the zone—don’t marry the bias. 💍
🔴 Sell Scenario 2 – “The Trap Breaker” ⚔️
If ascending triangle fails & price nukes below 3110.
Entry: 3110–3105 (after CHoCH or BOS on LTF)
SL: 3117
TP1: 3096
TP2: 3086 (stronger OB zone)
Fuel: Momentum + stop hunt + potential shift from bullish to correctional structure
📢 News Watch – April 2, 2025
⚠️ ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (15:15 GMT+2)
Big mover, early warning before NFP. More jobs = bearish gold.
⚠️ ISM Services PMI (17:00 GMT+2)
High impact. Strong services = stronger USD → bearish for gold.
📌 Expect volatility spikes. Best entries = after liquidity grabs post-news.
🧨 Final Words
Be patient. Let price come to your zone. Set alerts. Don’t chase—trap it like a sniper. 🎯
💬 Drop a follow & smash that ❤️ if this plan made your day easier. Let’s ride the gold wave together 🌊⚡
Oil - Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 25th I shared this "Oil - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation Higher"
I expected to see retraces and further continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bullish move delivered as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold - Looking To Buy Dips In The Short TermH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD - 1H UPDATEGold is still sitting above the previous 'Wave 4 low' which shows not internal structure has been broken to the downside. Until that low is broken, there's nothing indicating a sell off is yet to take place, so it's possible we could see another push up, after SOME CONSOLIDATION. This is known as a 'redistribution phase'.
We also have the Zionist puppet Donald Trump announcing more Tariffs later on more countries, so expect some market volatility across the board.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-2 : GAP Reversal Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests price may attempt to move downward in early trading, trying to find support near recent lows, then potentially roll a bit higher.
I do expect price to move into a downward price trend - attempting to break below the 549 price level and targeting the 535-545 target Fib level this week.
Today, Thursday, and Friday are all GAP/Breakaway types of patterns. So we should be entering an expansion of price trend and I believe that trend will be to the downside.
Gold and Silver are nearing a Flag Apex level. Very exciting for a potential breakout rally driving Gold up above $3250 and Silver up above $36.
I personally believe there is nothing stopping Gold and Silver in this rally phase until Gold reaches levels above $4500. GET SOME.
BTCUSD had a very interesting spike low. I still believe BTCUSD will roll downward - targeting the $76-78k level, then break downward towards the $60k level. Time will tell.
The rest of this week should be very exciting with the Breakaway and GAP patterns.
Get some.
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Crude oil---Buy near 70.60, target 71.90-76.00Crude oil market analysis:
Today's crude oil is still bought at a low price, and short-term bulls have started. Yesterday, gold fell in the US market, but did not fall in the Asian market, but repaired at a high level. The strong support of the daily line has reached 70.00, and the small support is 70.50. Today's idea is to find buying opportunities above 71.50. The daily moving average of crude oil is lined up, and there is still a lot of room for growth.
Fundamental analysis:
This week is a data week. Today, pay attention to the ADP employment data, which is the pre-agricultural data.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil---Buy near 70.60, target 71.90-76.00
BTC/USD: More Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $83,000. This week alone, BTC has dropped by 6%, showing signs of bearish momentum. A correction toward the $70,000 zone seems likely in the near future. Key supply zones are located at $93,400 and $99,700, while key demand zones are at $80,800 and $73,700. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD: 2/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3150, support below 3053
Four-hour chart resistance 3150, support below 3113
One-hour chart resistance 3120, support below 3100
Gold news analysis: On Tuesday (April 1), spot gold continued to rise to new highs, reaching a high of $3148.94/ounce, and then dived 50$. On Monday (March 31) this week, the price of gold ushered in a new breakthrough, breaking through $3100/ounce, and rose by $100 in just one week. Multiple factors such as trade concerns, a weaker dollar and falling bond yields have driven the price of gold to rise, making it one of the most eye-catching commodities in 2025. So far this year, the price of gold has risen by 18.3%. Gold has received further support amid a sharp drop in the Nasdaq index, as investors are nervous about the tariff policy that the Trump administration will release on April 2. Trump recently announced that he would impose new tariffs on Russia and Iran. These policies are expected to have a wide impact on the global economy, causing investors to increase their allocation to safe-haven assets such as gold.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell back on the daily line and finally closed slightly lower. The sharp rise in the Asian session did not have a strong continuity. After the pressure near the high of 3148.50, the European and American sessions were mainly corrected by the decline. The market has fluctuated violently recently, and the adjustment space is large.
From the current trend analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the four-hour level near 3113, focusing on the 3100-3053 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to buy at a low level, waiting for the support to buy. Selling can only be entered at key points, short-term trading.
Buy: 3053near SL: 3049
Buy: 3100near SL: 3095
Sell: 3120near SL: 3125
USD/JPY : Bulls are coming back?! Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that the price precisely hit our previously forecasted target of 148.65 before declining further to 146.5. Following that, USDJPY rallied back up to 151 and is currently trading around 150.680. Should the price manage to stabilize above 150.5, we can anticipate further gains in this pair. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyAs global economic uncertainty intensifies and gold prices hit record highs, investors are seeking safe-haven assets. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week.
In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound.
Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year.
In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2.
In conclusion, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
EUR/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has moved exactly as expected since our last analysis. After reaching the supply zone between 1.083 and 1.093, the pair began a correction and is currently trading around 1.079. Keep in mind, only if the price stabilizes below the 1.080 level can we expect further downside from this pair.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban