Commodities
Silver H1 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 36.83 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 37.10 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 36.21 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Natural Gas Explodes - Bullish Option ContractsTechnical Breakout Observed! Huge upside potential!
Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout on daily chart.
Weekly Bullish Cross 7/20 MA.
- Increased Demand: After a sluggish 2024, demand for natural gas is rebounding—especially for electricity generation in North America and Asia. This is tightening the market and pushing prices up.
- LNG Export Boom: New liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminals, like the one coming online in British Columbia, are expanding shipping capacity. That’s opening up more international markets and driving up prices domestically.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Broader energy markets are reacting to instability in the Middle East, particularly between Iran and Israel. While this directly impacts oil, it also creates uncertainty across all energy commodities, including natural gas.
- Inventory and Supply Adjustments: After oversupply in 2024, producers are now recalibrating. But with inventories still low in some regions, prices are sensitive to even small disruptions
Natural Gas - Soaring Upside - Option Plays!Technical Breakout Observed! Huge upside potential
- Increased Demand: After a sluggish 2024, demand for natural gas is rebounding—especially for electricity generation in North America and Asia. This is tightening the market and pushing prices up.
- LNG Export Boom: New liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminals, like the one coming online in British Columbia, are expanding shipping capacity. That’s opening up more international markets and driving up prices domestically.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Broader energy markets are reacting to instability in the Middle East, particularly between Iran and Israel. While this directly impacts oil, it also creates uncertainty across all energy commodities, including natural gas.
- Inventory and Supply Adjustments: After oversupply in 2024, producers are now recalibrating. But with inventories still low in some regions, prices are sensitive to even small disruptions
Strait of Hormuz risk priced in—or not yet?Iran has repeatedly threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz during periods of heightened tension with the U.S., notably in 2011, 2018, and 2020. The Strait is considered the world’s most critical oil chokepoint, with nearly 20 million barrels passing through daily.
Several banks warn that a full closure could push crude prices above $120–$150 per barrel, or higher if the disruption is prolonged. Still, most analysts view a complete shutdown as unlikely, since Iran also depends on the Strait to export its own oil.
Technically, recent WTI candles suggest that the risk premium may be fading. Price action near $74 shows hesitation, raising the risk of a developing double top—particularly if support at $70 fails. Unless tensions escalate materially, such as the U.S. becoming more directly involved, WTI may consolidate between $70–$74.
June 19 XAUUSD Setup — FOMC Aftershock or Bull Trap? Hey traders 👋
After yesterday’s FOMC fireworks and a weak reaction to initial retail sales data, gold broke structure into 3363 and is now floating below key resistance. Price is compressing under the previous H1 lower high, and liquidity continues to build on both sides — perfect conditions for engineered spikes.
Let’s break it down clearly.
🌍 Macro & Sentiment
Yesterday’s FOMC left rates unchanged, but Fed tone leaned hawkish.
Retail Sales and Unemployment Claims disappointed — slight downside pressure on the dollar.
Geopolitical front remains tense: no ceasefire in Gaza, Iran-Israel rhetoric escalates, and Russia-Ukraine conflict is ongoing.
Liquidity is king — and gold is being boxed for the next big move.
📉 Bias & Structure
Daily: Compression after FOMC, lower high remains in control.
H4: Bearish break below 3380, EMA21 hovering above price.
H1: Trendline structure broken, EMA5/21 forming bearish cross, RSI below 50.
Fibo: H1 drawn from 3452 to 3363 — key golden zone at 3405–3415.
🎯 Bias: Tactical Bearish under 3415 — looking for short-term bounces or premium traps to sell.
🧠 Sniper Zones
🔻 Sell Zones
1️⃣ 3405 – 3415
→ Key golden zone + EMA21 + FVG
→ Monitor M15/M5 rejection for continuation sells
2️⃣ 3435 – 3445
→ Premium OB trap zone
→ If price spikes irrationally, this becomes the extreme reversal area
🔺 Buy Zones
1️⃣ 3365 – 3380
→ Golden buy zone — real fib confluence
→ Already tapped today, but any clean retest may offer reactive bounce trades
2️⃣ 3335 – 3345
→ Extreme flush zone — only valid if deep dump occurs
→ Watch for exhaustion and M15 reversal confirmation
🔻 Emergency Buy Zone:
3305 – 3292
🧠 Why this zone?
✅ H4 untested Order Block + FVG (June 11 candle).
✅ 78.6% Fibonacci retracement (H1 swing from 3452 → 3363).
✅ RSI likely to print oversold.
✅ Deep discount structure — potential final inducement for reversal.
🔔 Important:
This is a backup zone, not for blind entries.
It only becomes active if 3335 breaks with conviction (full candle body close + volume).
Look for M15/M5 confirmation (divergence + price action signal) before engaging.
🔄 Flip Zone
3390 – 3398
→ Volume zone from FOMC + OB test
→ If reclaimed cleanly, may flip intraday bias short-term
📌 Battle Notes
Gold tapped 3363 today, reacting mildly.
If price retraces toward 3405–3415, I’ll watch for shorts — but no early entries.
Below 3365, watch for another bounce or setup around 3345.
Flip zone remains indecisive until confirmed with volume.
🧭 Plan Recap
→ Bearish under 3415
→ Pullback into 3405–3415 = short setup
→ Retest 3365–3380 = bounce watch
→ Flush into 3335 = reversal zone
→ 3435+ = irrational spike trap
🧠 Stay sniper. Wait for price to come to your zones — and execute only on confirmed reactions.
—
🚀 If this helped bring clarity, tap that 🚀, leave your bias in the comments, and hit FOLLOW for real structure-based trading.
🟨 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
— GoldFxMinds 🧠✨
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3412
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3372
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
What Is the Base Price for Oil?What is the base price for oil? Specifically, today we will discuss crude oil, and we can apply this understanding to other commodities as well.
I won't go into too much technical detail about the difference between the base price and the cost price for crude oil, but for most people, it helps to see the title as “Is there a bottom-line price or support level for crude oil?”
My answer is yes, and this is due to inflation. Over time, we tend to pay higher prices for food, gas and many others that we consume.
WTI Crude Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: MCL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.01 per barrel = $1.00
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WTI CRUDE OIL: There is no better time to sell that this.WTI Crude Oil has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.048, MACD = 2.830, ADX = 41.529) and this is technically the most efficient level to sell on the long term. Not only is that the top of the dotted Channel Down but last week the price got very close to the 1W MA200, which has produced the last 3 major rejections since the week of August 12th 2024. Technically the market still has some room to move upwards and test it but since it rose purely on the latest Middle East conflict, it is more likely than not to see an equally quick price deflation and rebalancing. The earlier bearish waves (September 2023 onwards), initially targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci level and then bounced. That translates to TP = 61.00 (at least) towards the end of the year.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTASTIC day on the markets with our chart idea playing out perfectly!!!
Yesterdays update, we stated how we hit our Bullish target, followed with no cross and lock confirming the rejection. We then stated, how we tracked the movement down with ema5 lock confirmation into the swing range and ended with waiting for the full swing to complete into 3393.
🔄 Update:
Today we got the move into 3393 just like we analysed. We continued to see play between 3372 and 3393, giving multiple opportunities to catch bounces from the dip. We will now look for ema5 to cross and lock 3372 or 3393 to confirm direction.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels, taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures gives 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back-test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid-term swings and trends.
🌀 The swing ranges give bigger bounces than our weighted levels - that's the difference between the two.
BULLISH TARGET
3440 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3463
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3463 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3483
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3483 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3508
BEARISH TARGETS
3418 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3418 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3393 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3372 - DONE
3353
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3353 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3330
3306
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Crude oil---Buy near 72.00, target 72.90-74.90Oil market analysis:
Recently, the daily crude oil line has started to pull up, and buying has begun to rise. The retracement is our opportunity to buy again. The moving average support of the daily crude oil line has begun to move up, and the pattern has reached around 69.60. Today's idea is to buy at 72.00. The pattern is difficult to see, just buy repeatedly. The fight between Iran and Israel is a great support for crude oil. In addition, there is EIA crude oil inventory data today.
Fundamental analysis:
Previously, we have been paying attention to geopolitical factors in the fundamentals. Indeed, the situation in the Middle East has also changed the way of gold and crude oil. Today we focus on the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, and Chairman Powell's speech during the US trading time.
Operational suggestions:
Crude oil---Buy near 72.00, target 72.90-74.90
Analysis of the latest crude oil market trendCrude oil prices stabilized after a sharp rise on Tuesday, with the market keeping a close eye on the potential escalation of conflicts in the Middle East. According to market surveys, Iran's crude oil export infrastructure has not been directly hit so far, and most of the impacts are still concentrated on shipping. However, analysts point out that if the conflict spreads to the entire region, oil prices are likely to rise further significantly. The current rise in crude oil prices is not only dominated by actual supply and demand but is highly influenced by geopolitics. Market sentiment is extremely vulnerable to disturbances from external events. As the global energy artery, the stability of the Strait of Hormuz provides strong support for oil prices. When the uncertainty of the geopolitical situation intensifies, attention should be paid to the release of U.S. official inventory data and the development of diplomatic processes.
Technical analysis of crude oil: The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term objective trend direction is upward. The current trend is in the rhythm of the main upward trend. The fast and slow lines of the MACD indicator coincide with the bullish columns above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is currently full. It is expected that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in a rising rhythm.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@72.0-72.5
TP:74.0-74.5
WTI drops as Trump keeps markets guessing Despite a huge draw in US crude inventories - not that this was going to move the market given the focus being firmly fixated on the Middle East situation - oil prices fell as Trump kept markets guessing about US military involvement in Iran. The US president said: "I may do it. I may not do it. Nobody knows what I’m going to do." The US president also revealed that he told Israel PM Netanyahu to keep going, but has not given an indication that the US will provide more help. Meanwhile, Iran has issued an evacuation warning for residents of Haifa, Israel. This suggests that the conflict is far from over. But for now at least, the US is not getting involved, if one can believe Trump.
Anyway, WTI is now back at short-term support here, around the $72 handle. If it goes back above $73.00 again then we may see momentum build up again to the upside, especially if the war between Iran and Israel escalates.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,382.62 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️