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DeGRAM | GOLD bullish takeover from support📊 Technical Analysis ● The XAUUSD 4-hour chart, as shown in the upper right corner, presents a clear bullish structure within a well-defined rising channel. Price action has consistently respected both the lower and upper boundaries of this channel, with multiple bounces off support levels reinforcing the trend. Recently, the chart highlights a “bullish takeover” after a brief pullback, where price found support at 3,345.47 and quickly reclaimed ground above the channel’s median. The forecasted path, illustrated by the projected arrows, suggests a continuation toward the resistance zone at 3,431.14, with the channel’s upper boundary acting as a dynamic target. The presence of higher lows and the swift recovery from the latest dip further confirm the underlying bullish momentum. ● The technical setup is strengthened by the clear identification of support and resistance levels. The 3,293.50 area has repeatedly served as a strong base, while the 3,431.14 level is marked as the next significant resistance. The rising channel itself provides a visual framework for the ongoing uptrend, and the recent bullish engulfing pattern at support signals renewed buying interest. The chart’s structure, with its clean trendlines and labeled zones, points to a high-probability scenario for further gains as long as price remains within the channel. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Recent fundamentals support the technical case for continued upside in gold. As of June 22-23, 2025, gold is trading near 3,364, with market sentiment buoyed by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent global economic uncertainty. While Citi has revised its long-term gold forecasts downward, Bank of America maintains a bullish outlook, citing safe-haven demand amid US military actions and inflation concerns. Additionally, the latest data shows that gold remains above key moving averages, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding near neutral, suggesting room for further upside. The combination of technical resilience and supportive macro factors continues to attract buyers to gold as a hedge against volatility. ✨ Summary ● XAUUSD is poised for a move toward 3,431.14, with the rising channel and recent bullish takeover pattern supporting the case for further gains. The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above 3,345.47, with 3,293.50 serving as a critical support. A sustained break above resistance could open the path to new highs, while a drop below channel support would warrant a reassessment of the trend. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
7
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 23Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3450, support 3338 4-hour chart resistance 3395, support 3342 1-hour chart resistance 3373, support 3345 Today's gold trend, due to the geopolitical risk aversion caused by the weekend news, the gold price quickly rose and then fell, opening high and moving low. Today, the gold price fell to a low of 3347 and rebounded. At present, the gold price remains in the range of fluctuations. The trend of short-term gold prices fluctuates and falls. In terms of operation, don't rush to chase high prices. Although conflicts in the Middle East have been frequent recently, it seems that the impact on gold prices has also begun to weaken! The short-term key support position below is near 3340, and the important pressure position is near 3370-75 SELL:3372near SELL:3400near BUY:3350near
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
Safe-Haven Flows Lift Silver Near $36.10Silver (XAG/USD) rose near $36.10 on Monday, snapping a three-day losing streak as rising Middle East tensions increased safe-haven demand. The gain followed US airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear sites Sunday. Iran vowed to respond, while Trump warned any retaliation would be met with greater force. Escalation risks continue to support silver. Additionally, Fed Governor Waller signaled a possible rate cut as early as July. Dovish Fed comments and lower rates tend to increase silver demand by making it more affordable globally. The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Middle East Conflict Keeps Gold ElevatedGold traded near $3,360 per ounce in choppy conditions on Monday, as investors closely watched developments in the intensifying Middle East conflict following U.S. involvement in Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Over the weekend, U.S. forces targeted Iran’s three main nuclear facilities, with President Donald Trump warning of further action unless Tehran agrees to peace. The eruption of war between Israel and Iran has added new fuel to a rally that has pushed gold prices up nearly 30% this year. Resistance is seen at $3,395, while support holds at $3,316.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
Gold:bullish wedge inside a rising channel-double trap for bearsInside the major upward channel, gold formed a falling wedge — and, of course, faked a breakdown. But the move reversed quickly: price reclaimed the wedge, surged on volume, and held above the key 3363–3368 area. This isn't just a bounce — it's a structural reclaim in line with the broader trend. Price is now in the upper part of the rising channel and has broken a local downtrend line, reinforcing the bullish signal. Consolidation around 3380–3395 might be the last pause before acceleration. Above that lies a volume gap — no resistance until 3452. MACD is flipping bullish, RSI turning upward, and volume confirms smart money presence. Classic: trap below, breakout above. As long as 3363 holds — longs remain in control.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
2
Oil Price Surges at Monday Open Amid US Strikes on IranOil Price Surges at Monday Open Amid US Strikes on Iran As shown on the XBR/USD chart, the Brent crude oil price formed a bullish gap at the opening of financial markets this Monday, surpassing last week’s high. Only three days ago, we drew attention to Donald Trump’s statement that a decision regarding US involvement in the Iran-Israel conflict would be made within two weeks – yet over the weekend, US aircraft dropped bombs on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Now oil prices are likely to be affected by Iran’s potential move to block shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. According to Reuters, analysts suggest that in such a scenario, the oil price could climb to $100. Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart The ascending channel plotted last week remains valid. The fact that the price is pulling back (as indicated by the arrow) from the high set at the market open suggests the market had already priced in a significant risk of US involvement in the Iran-Israel military conflict. Key points: → Technical support in the near term may be provided by the area where the lower boundary of the blue channel intersects with the $76 level (which acted as resistance at the end of last week). → Ultimately, fundamental factors and official statements will play a decisive role in oil price movements. It’s worth noting that, following the strikes on its territory, Iran is threatening retaliation against the US. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be ideally be looking for the market to open, give us a high into that red box region 3455-60 and then give the reaction we wanted for the short trade. We didn’t quite hit that level falling just shy, but the move did present itself and as you can see all the bearish below red box targets were completed as well as KOG’s bias of the week targets which was bearish below 3465. We then posted the FOMC KOG Report in which we suggested looking for price to continue the move as long as the bias level stood, which it did and we got another move downside, but again, falling just shy of the level we wanted to then attempt that swing long. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? As we suggested on Friday, it would be a good idea for traders to be sitting neutral on the markets with minimum to zero exposure anticipating gaps and glitches across the markets on open. This news was expected so those who played discipline should be cash in account, which is also a position in the markets. We have key levels now 3350-55 support with extension 3340 which will need to break downside for us to go lower, while support there should take us up towards the 3385-90 level initially, which is the level to look for a potential RIP for the scalp short. This will give us the flip, red box activation 3380-75 which if held should allow us to complete the move to break through the 3400 level with red box target 3445 and above that 3451. This is based on there being a completely aggressive move from the open upside. On the flip, break below key level here 3335 and 3320 is the first level to consider which will continue the path we wanted from last week. Ideally, not for this news and potential for this to spike upside, we would have stuck with the plan from last week. Difference now, we need more buyers higher up and a potential test on that high again. Key Levels: Red box defence 3375-80, needs to be broken Red box defence 3350, needs to be broken KOG’s bias of the week: Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3375, 3390, 3395 and above that 3410 Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320, 3310, 3306 and below that 3298 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3375 for 3378, 3390, 3395, 3406, 3410 and 3419 in extension of the move Break below 3365 for 3355, 3350, 3340, 3336, 3330 and 3323 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
41
DeGRAM | GOLD descending wedge📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is compressing in a descending wedge at the channel floor (3 343-3 350). Repeated long-tailed rejections hint at seller exhaustion while RSI makes higher lows, flagging hidden strength. ● A 30 min close above the wedge roof (≈ 3 357) should trigger a measured move to the intra-channel resistance band at 3 371, then the prior pivot at 3 383. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Thursday’s softer US Philly Fed index and a slip in 2-yr real yields cooled the dollar, reviving bullion bids; meanwhile Chinese customs data show May gold imports up 18 % m/m, underscoring physical demand. ✨ Summary Buy 3 345-3 355; wedge breakout >3 357 targets 3 371 ➜ 3 383. Long view void on a 30 min close below 3 335. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
1
XAUUSD – Is Gold About to Break Out of Balance? Market Overview As the U.S. dollar maintains its upward momentum fueled by expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for an extended period, gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading near the key Point of Control (POC) for June. The consolidation around the $3,350–$3,360 zone indicates a temporary balance of supply and demand, and the market appears to be gearing up for a strong directional breakout in the upcoming sessions. Detailed Technical Analysis ✅ Volume Profile & Price Structure POC (highest volume level): $3,360 – the central volume area for the week/month Current price: $3,353 – just below the POC, reflecting selling pressure dominance Price is reacting to the demand zone at $3,343–$3,345, with significant volume support below Short-term reversal signals from ParLE and ParSE indicators suggest a potential market shift 🔍 Key Resistance Levels: $3,360 – POC and immediate resistance zone $3,398 – previous supply zone with strong rejection history $3,451 – Fibonacci extension high and the strongest resistance for the month 🔍 Key Support Levels: $3,345 – high-volume support cluster $3,343 – Fibonacci and dynamic support zone $3,276 – final support before mid-term structure breakdown 🎯 XAUUSD Trading Strategy for Today (June 23, 2025) 🔻 Primary Scenario: SHORT based on short-term bearish structure Entry: $3,358–$3,360 (on POC retest + bearish rejection candle) Stop Loss: $3,370 Take Profits: TP1: $3,345 TP2: $3,343 TP3: $3,327 Probability: High, if price remains below POC 🔺 Alternative Scenario: LONG if price holds $3,343 support Entry: $3,343–$3,345 (strong bullish candlestick setup in demand zone) Stop Loss: $3,330 Take Profits: TP1: $3,360 (POC) TP2: $3,383 TP3: $3,398 ⚠️ Risk Warning & Macro Factors to Watch The USD Index is surging – applying downward pressure on gold Fed's short-term rate projections (FedWatch Tool) reflect “no cut” expectations through Q3 Traders should maintain tight risk management within high-volume zones to avoid false breakouts Follow @Henrybillion ” to stay updated with the most accurate and actionable XAUUSD trading ideas every day!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
XAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in PlayXAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in Play Gold has been consolidating in a tight range for several sessions, but both macro and technical indicators are pointing to a potential breakout. With volatility expected to rise, traders should keep a close eye on these high-probability zones. 🌍 Macro Overview – Is the Tide Turning for Gold? 📉 The Fed remains hawkish, but market sentiment has shifted, with over 65% probability priced in for a rate cut in September. This adds pressure on the dollar and offers upside potential for gold. 💸 10-year US Treasury yields are stabilizing, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and reigniting interest from risk-averse investors. ⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Eastern Europe continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. 🏦 Central banks, especially in China and India, are steadily increasing their gold reserves — a bullish long-term signal for the market. 📊 Technical Outlook – Watch the Fair Value Gap (FVG) The 3325–3327 support zone aligns with an unfilled FVG on H1-H4 charts, providing a key area for bullish momentum to resume. Sustained price action above this level may open a path toward 3360 and beyond. Conversely, if price reaches the 3398–3400 resistance area and shows signs of exhaustion, it could trigger a short-term pullback. ✅ Trade Setup 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325 SL: 3320 TP Targets: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 → 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400 SL: 3405 TP Targets: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360 ⚠️ Final Thoughts The gold market is approaching a decision point... With the PCE and US GDP data due this week, traders should expect a potential volatility spike. Risk management remains key — wait for confirmation at key levels, stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions override discipline. This week could offer strong directional moves for gold, but only for those prepared.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis-23 June 2025Gold (spot XAU/USD) is currently trading around $3,358. On the 4-hour chart, price has been range-bound between $3,356 and $3,400. Recently, gold attempted to break higher (up to around $3,394) but quickly reversed — a sign that the breakout may have been a smart money trap. Technically, the structure saw a break below $3,380 in mid-June, leading to a push toward the $3,323 region. This reflects a short-term bearish wave followed by stabilization near the lows. Bias: The market is currently neutral-to-bullish, depending on key supports. As long as price holds above the $3,322–$3,330 swing-lows, dips are considered buying opportunities. Notably, an order block/demand zone around $3,357–$3,360 appears to be holding well and attracting buyers. On the upside, $3,400 acts as a strong resistance level. A break above $3,400 would shift the bias firmly bullish, while a break below $3,338 would suggest bearish momentum returning. 🔑 Key 4H Support & Resistance Levels Resistance: • $3,400 – Major round number and recent high • $3,434–$3,435 – Next resistance above $3,400 • $3,451–$3,452 – Recent swing top • $3,500 – All-time-high level Supply Zone: • $3,388–$3,394 – Minor resistance and previous support turned supply Demand Zone (Order Block): • $3,357–$3,360 – Major 4H demand area showing strong buyer interest Support: • $3,338 – Critical support level below the order block • $3,322–$3,323 – Multi-source key swing support • $3,280–$3,300 – Lower targets if support fails • $3,260 or below – Worst-case downside projection if breakdown accelerates 📈 1-Hour Intraday Trade Setups Buy the Dip • Entry: $3,357–$3,360 • Confirmation: Bullish reversal candle on 1H • Stop Loss: Below $3,336 • Targets: $3,380 → $3,400 Sell a Rejected Rally • Entry: Near $3,400 (only if clear rejection is seen) • Confirmation: Bearish reversal candle or price stalling • Stop Loss: Above $3,400 • Targets: $3,360 → $3,330 Breakdown Short • Entry: If price breaks below $3,338 with strong 1H close • Stop Loss: Above $3,345 • Targets: $3,323 → $3,300 Bullish Breakout Trade • Entry: Break and retest above $3,400 • Confirmation: Clean 1H close above $3,400 • Stop Loss: Just below $3,400 • Targets: $3,434 → $3,452 ✅ Final Takeaway Gold is currently trading inside a $3,330–$3,400 range. The best intraday opportunity is to buy dips into the $3,357–$3,360 demand zone with a stop below $3,330, targeting $3,400+. If support breaks, flip to short toward $3,320–$3,300.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
What Is the Base Price or Long-term Support for Crude Oil?What is the base price for oil? Specifically, today we will discuss crude oil, and we can apply this understanding to other commodities as well. I won't go into too much technical detail about the difference between the base price and the cost price for crude oil, but for most people, it helps to see the title as “Is there a bottom-line price or support level for crude oil?” My answer is yes, and this is due to inflation. Over time, we tend to pay higher prices for food, gas and many others that we consume. The cost of goods varies between producers and merchants, and then from merchants to end consumers. However, it all starts with the producer. Before a producer acquires oil for refining, they reference crude oil prices as a benchmark to decide whether to make a purchase or hold back. So, “Is there a bottom-line price or support level for crude oil?” As we can see from the yearly chart, in every few years the base price of crude oil keeps adjusting higher; in levels and stages. There is also this parallel channel formed by joining across its troughs and mirror it to its prominent resistance, we can observe crude oil prices range bound between this broad uptrend over time. We can try to apply this analysis to other commodities; we will find a similar broad uptrend across most of them. But why? Because of inflation. Regarding the bottom-line support for crude oil, we observed that it was at $10 from the 1980s until the turn of the millennium. Over time, accounting for inflation, this support level shifted upward to around $30 from the early 2000s until 2020, the year of COVID-19. And now we can see there is a new support at $60 since the start of 2020. How to explain this break below $30 base price and went to -$40? In technical analysis, this break is considered a false break, because, at the close of that year, on this yearly chart, prices settled above the support line at $30. The story behind this is that when COVID hit, airlines were grounded, leading to storage issues for large quantities of oil. It cost more to store the oil than its selling price, which caused prices to drop below zero, reaching as low as -$40. But prices ultimately found its equilibrium and settle at a fair value at $48 that year. Where is the support for crude oil, and what is its current direction? This was a video analysis on Sep 2024, in this weekly chart, we can see a wedge pattern. Then I believe if the price breaks above this downtrend line, it suggests that we may see higher crude oil prices. And this analysis is taking shape today. We can see prices initially broke above this trendline, but shortly sink below and broke this support line at $66 to $55. And today we are at $73 after the renewal of the Middle East tension. How should I interpret the move to the recent low around $55? I would encourage to always discover the development with different time frame as time progress. Switching to the yearly chart, we observed that crude oil is still supported above $60 that year. Please also make a point to adjust this downtrend line from time to time as market dynamic changes. Watch the full video: WTI Crude Oil Futures & Options Ticker: MCL Minimum fluctuation: 0.01 per barrel = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by konhow
WTI Oil H4 | Multi-swing-low support at 61.8% Fibo retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 72.92 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 69.10 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support. Take profit is at 77.60 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILLong
by Tradu