Zinc (ZINC) – Technical Analysis 1WThe price has broken below the 1W trendline, confirming a bearish scenario. After a fake breakout, the price moved downward and is now targeting 2551 and 2283. A breakdown below these levels could accelerate the decline. RSI shows weakening momentum, MACD signals a bearish crossover, and EMA 50/200 suggest further downside. Fundamentally, zinc prices depend on industrial demand, macroeconomic conditions, and USD strength. The main scenario is a drop to 2551 and 2283, while a recovery above 2900 could push prices toward 3100.
Commodities
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3128.3
Sl - 3120.7
Tp - 3143.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Oil - Expecting The Price To Bounce Higher FurtherH1 - Price has created series of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Higher highs based on the moving averages of the MACD indicator
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two strong support zones hold.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USOIL Will it continue to rise?The threat of secondary tariffs on Russian and Iranian oil by Trump is a factor closely watched by the market. Although he has no immediate intention to implement it for the time being, the future supply risk is gradually rising.
The market reacted swiftly, and oil prices rose sharply on Monday in response to Trump's remarks. In the short term, oil prices are likely to fluctuate at a high level within the range of $70 - $76. Investors need to closely monitor the progress of geopolitical events and the release of key data.
Oil trading strategy:
buy @ 71.30-71.35
sl 70.75
tp 71.80-71.85
Preserve capital, manage risk, generate returns, achieve sustainable long-term profitability, and continuously learn and develop through trading. Access the link below the article to obtain more information.
USOIL Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 71.913.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 73.911.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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4 consecutive days of increase, GOLD support from TrumpIn the Asian session, spot OANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise, surpassing $3,145/ounce, up more than $24 on the day.
The global trade war has caused concerns in the market, continuing to push gold prices to new highs. Gold prices rose 8% in March and have increased for three consecutive months this year.
Gold prices have increased more than 18% this year, following a 27% increase last year, thanks to a favorable monetary policy environment, strong central bank buying and demand for exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Trump: Tariff details could be announced soon (Bloomberg)
US President Trump said on Monday local time that details of the tariffs could be announced either Tuesday night (April 1) or April 2.
Trump also said the US would be “very friendly” to other countries and that tariffs could be significantly reduced in some cases. Trump then talked about other issues before returning to the issue of tariffs, adding: “The tariff plan is already in place.”
White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said on Monday that US President Trump will announce a plan for reciprocal tariffs "country by country" in the White House Rose Garden on April 2 and that no tariff exemptions are currently being considered.
In the latest escalation in the trade war, Trump is set to impose broad “reciprocal” tariffs on all U.S. trading partners on Wednesday, a day he has called “Liberation Day.” Trump also plans to impose a 25 percent tariff on all non-U.S.-made cars this week.
Asked about the reciprocal tariffs and which countries would be affected, Leavitt declined to provide details. Asked whether lower tariffs would be applied to products used by U.S. farmers, Leavitt said “there are no exemptions at this time.”
Trump also said on Sunday that he would impose secondary tariffs of 25% to 50% on buyers of Russian oil if he finds Russia intends to obstruct US efforts to end the war in Ukraine.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
4 days of soaring, gold is heading for its 4th consecutive strong day of gains as it breaks the target at the 0.618% Fibonacci extension of $3,139, followed by the target at the 0.786% Fibonacci extension of $3,177.
With the current technical conditions, there is no resistance or signal for a significant technical correction.
With the medium-term trend being highlighted by the price channel and a blue price channel as the short-term trend. As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it will remain technically bullish in the long-term.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is operating in the overbought zone but is not giving any signal of a possible downside correction.
For the day, the technical outlook for gold prices remains bullish, and any current downside correction should only be considered as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity.
With that, the notable positions for the uptrend will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,128 – 3,113 USD
Resistance: 3,177 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3157 - 3155⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3161
→Take Profit 1 3149
↨
→Take Profit 2 3143
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3085 - 3087⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3081
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3099
USOil Key Resistance Hit: Is WTI Crude Due for a Correction?WTI crude oil appears overextended after a strong bullish rally, trading into a key resistance level amid heightened geopolitical tensions and market volatility. The current price action suggests a potential retracement, with equilibrium around the 50% Fibonacci level being a likely target for correction 📉. Given the reactionary nature of the market, traders should remain cautious as political developments could drive further instability ⚠️. While the technical setup supports a pullback, external factors may disrupt this scenario, so risk management is essential. 📊
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
USOIL My Opinion! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 68.97
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 69.31
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Price Surges Amid Market Uncertainty – What’s Next?The late Friday session on March 28, 2025, ended with a strong rally in gold, as multiple price candles attempted to push higher. By 10 PM CET, gold had settled at $3,085.345, reflecting significant bullish momentum.
As the market reopened on Monday, the gold price gapped up by approximately +$12.5 , opening at $3,097.978 .
This type of price gap typically occurs when buyers are willing to pay more than the previous session’s close, signaling strong demand.
What’s Driving the Gold Rally?
The answer lies in a mix of tariffs, war, and recession fears. The global financial landscape remains highly unstable, and in times of uncertainty, gold historically acts as the preferred safe-haven asset. Investors are flocking to the precious metal as a hedge against economic instability.
Adding fuel to the fire, on April 2nd, additional U.S. tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump are set to take effect. This move could further disrupt markets, potentially driving even more capital into gold.
The Interest Rate Factor – A Hidden Risk?
While gold is surging, there’s a crucial factor to watch: Federal Reserve policy. So far, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has maintained a cautious stance on interest rates. However, if the situation deteriorates, the Fed might be forced to cut rates earlier than expected to stabilize the economy.
This could create a paradox for gold traders. While rate cuts typically support gold in the long run, a sudden policy shift could trigger a short-term sell-off as investors adjust their positions. If that happens, gold could see a sharp correction before resuming its trend.
Final Thoughts
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, but traders should stay cautious. If the Fed pivots and announces rate cuts sooner than expected, we could see a pullback in gold before the next leg higher. The coming days will be critical – keep an eye on April 2 and any shifts in Fed policy that could shake up the market.
👉 Will gold continue its rally, or are we facing a major pullback? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Bias with Key Support at 3085Trend Overview:
Gold maintains a strong bullish trend, with recent price action confirming a breakout above a previous consolidation zone, now acting as key support at 3085.
Key Levels:
Support: 3085 (key level), 3070, 3057
Resistance: 3143, 3160, 3200
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback to 3085, followed by a bullish rebound, would confirm the support level and signal further upside potential. A breakout above 3143 may extend gains towards 3160 and 3200 in the longer term.
Bearish Scenario:
A daily close below 3085 would invalidate the bullish outlook, increasing the likelihood of a retracement toward 3070, with 3057 as the next downside target.
Conclusion:
Gold remains bullish above 3085, with potential upside targets at 3143, 3160, and 3200. However, a break below 3085 could shift momentum to the downside, targeting 3070 and 3057. Traders should watch price action around 3085 for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold/Silver Ratio AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) currently trading at $3,118 has significantly outpaced Silver (
SILVER) at $34.07 since mid-March. This divergence has pushed the Gold/Silver ratio to elevated levels, creating a potential mean-reversion opportunity.
Looking at the chart, both metals maintained strong correlation through January-February 2025 before Gold began its dramatic acceleration in March-April. While both assets remain in strong uptrends, Gold's nearly vertical move in April suggests potential overextension relative to its historical relationship with Silver.
Trading Strategy
Consider a pairs trade setup:
SHORT Gold / LONG Silver at current ratio
Target: Reversion to 50-day moving average of Gold/Silver ratio
Stop: 2% additional expansion of current ratio
Risk Management
Key to this trade is position sizing that equalizes dollar exposure between the two positions. Use reduced leverage as precious metals volatility remains elevated across the complex.
TVC:XAU NASDAQ:XAG #PairsTrading
$KRE CRASH COMING ... Not yet tho..we'll find out..Regional Banks seem to be heading on a slippery path identical to the most previous crash pattern back when they needed all the loan Bailouts. Now that all the loans have stopped, I'm sure some banks may be heading towards loan restructuring perhaps, maybe defaults, I'm not sure honestly. I just know that the chart never lies and I've been watching and waiting for a long while. I predicted the first crash back then and I currently have no doubts with the current chart ahead of me. As always, I will do my best to provide the best insight possible into these speculations. Currently we have the Daily breaking trend and the bar count getting close to the previous 141 bars. The only difference is that we bounce off the 100% retracement. If we continue to lose the 1.27, we'll be headed for the 1.61..... updates soon.
XAUUSD H4 Trading Plan (Intraday Outlook)Bias: 📈 Bullish (Strong Continuation)
Current Price: ~$3,093
Context: Price is accelerating after breaking key resistance, maintaining bullish structure.
🧠 1. Market Structure (H4)
Structure remains bullish, with well-defined HH & HL.
Recent consolidation block (OB + FVG): price broke out cleanly and is now expanding.
Short-term trend leg is steep → potential for shallow intraday pullbacks.
📌 2. Key Levels from Your Chart
🔝 Upside Target
3,120.14 – Major H4 resistance / next liquidity zone
🟦 Intraday Support Zones
3,049.57 – recent H4 resistance, now flipped support (ideal for pullback entries)
3,000.65 – clean structure zone, possible FVG fill
2,977.64 – origin of last impulse
2,960.27 / 2,899.69 – deeper HTF demand / OB zones
🔍 3. Order Blocks & Liquidity
🔲 OB zone breakout (highlighted gray area) → now acting as demand
💧Buy-side liquidity rests above 3,120
Any retracement into 3,049 / 3,000 could be used by Smart Money for re-entry longs
📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H4)
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation
Price holds above 3,049 → intraday continuation toward:
🎯 3,120
🎯 Potential extension: 3,150+
📌 Ideal setup: bullish engulfing or BOS + FVG entry on pullback to 3,049 zone
🔁 Scenario B: Pullback Before Continuation
Rejection near 3,100–3,120 leads to pullback toward:
🔁 3,049
🔁 3,000 (FVG / previous OB)
Monitor price action at those levels for continuation entries.
🟥 Scenario C: Bearish Shift (Low Probability for Now)
Break below 2,960 with strong bearish momentum → opens door toward:
🔻 2,899
This would invalidate current bullish short-term structure.
🧭 Summary
Trend is strong, momentum is clean → only looking for buy setups on dips.
Watch for continuation above 3,049 and especially reactive price action near 3,120.
If pullback occurs, 3,000 zone is prime location for re-entry longs.
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan (1D Outlook)🔍 1. Structure & Price Action
Price broke out aggressively from previous consolidation (~2960–3000).
Current impulse leg is strong, with very shallow pullbacks – trending conditions.
Daily candles show sustained buying pressure, minimal upper wicks → buyers in control.
📏 2. Key Levels (from your chart)
📌 Upside Targets:
🔸 3,120.14 – potential resistance / short-term TP
🔸 3,180.72 – extended upside target if momentum holds
🟩 Support Zones:
✅ 3,049.38 – minor intraday support
✅ 3,000.66 – recent breakout retest zone
✅ 2,960.77 – clean demand zone / OB zone
✅ 2,899.69 – last major demand / strong structure support
🧠 3. SMC & Liquidity Insights
Buy-side liquidity has been cleared → clean runway toward psychological zones (3100–3200).
FVG may exist between recent candles → shallow retracement into 3049 / 3000 possible.
No active bearish OBs above → price remains in price discovery mode.
📅 4. Daily Trade Scenarios
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation
Hold above 3,049–3,060 → continuation toward:
🎯 3,120
🎯 3,180+
Look for strong H4 bullish candles on retest of minor support.
⚠️ Scenario B: Pullback to Demand
Reject from 3,100+ and drop toward:
🔁 3,000 (retest previous high)
🔁 2,960 (key OB / FVG zone)
Watch for bullish reversal signals (engulfing, break of structure) for re-entry long.
🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Probable)
Break below 2,899 could shift bias to neutral/short-term bearish.
🧭 Summary
XAUUSD is in a strong trending phase with no major resistance above.
Pullbacks into 3,049 / 3,000 / 2,960 are ideal areas to look for continuation longs.
Focus remains on buy-the-dip setups as long as price holds above 2,899.
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Will Monday Bring a Breakout or a Correction?Last week was characterized by extreme volatility, with price movements reflecting significant reactions across different trading sessions. On Friday, the Asian session managed to push past the $3057 mark, only for early European trading to see a pullback. However, the US session reversed course, fueling a rally that extended until market close.
Key Levels to Watch on Monday
Looking ahead, the critical question is whether the Asian session can break above $3086, potentially paving the way for a push beyond $3100. If this breakout fails, we could see a price correction similar to Friday's, especially during European trading.
At present, I'm taking a cautious approach, observing the market while many anticipate further upside. While momentum appears strong, I prefer to wait for clearer confirmations before making a move.
Potential Scenarios
Breakout Above $3086
A successful push above this level could signal continuation toward $3100+, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Failure at $3086 – Potential Pullback
If the market struggles to sustain levels above $3086, a decline to $3076 is likely.
A break below $3076 could see further downside to $3067 and possibly lower.
Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment
RSI (1H): Currently at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
RSI (4H): Around 90, showing overbought conditions—especially following the Asian session rally.
Market Sentiment:
Many traders expect an upward continuation, but caution is warranted given overbought signals and the possibility of a correction.
External Factors: Tariffs & Global Trends
As we approach April 2nd, when new tariffs take effect, global markets have been showing signs of weakness. Uncertainty persists, and with gold acting as a safe haven, investors may seek protection, adding another layer of complexity to Monday’s price action.
Conclusion
The start of the week will likely be dictated by whether the Asian session can achieve a breakout above $3086. If it does, bullish momentum could drive prices higher. However, failure at this level could result in a correction, with key support levels at $3076 and $3067 in focus. Given the broader market conditions and upcoming economic events, a cautious approach remains prudent.
📉 Will Monday bring a correction, or is there still room for another rally? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊