Intraday volatility,there is still chance to go long on pullback🗞News side:
1. The situation in Israel escalates
2. Initial jobless claims data
📈Technical aspects:
Influenced by recent news, gold showed a volatile rebound trend. Gold continued to rise in the early Asian session, r OANDA:XAUUSD eaching a high of around 3345. The 3290-3300 level below has absolute support in the short term. As long as it does not fall below 3290, you can go long at 3290-3300. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger opening and the moving average diverge upwards. The upward momentum is sufficient, and it is not easy to guess the top. Pay attention to the 3310-3300 line of support below, and pay attention to the suppression of the 3340-3350 area above. If the gold price stabilizes at 3350, it is expected to further explore the resistance of 3360-3370. If the European session falls into volatility, maintain the range of high selling and low buying, and consider going long when it retreats to the support level of 3320-3310.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD
Commodities
GOLD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,458.82
Target Level: 3,187.96
Stop Loss: 3,639.42
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Popular Trading Styles in ForexHere are some common trading styles used in the Forex market:
Trend Following: Traders identify and follow the main market trend, buying in an uptrend and selling in a downtrend.
Reversal Trading: Traders look for points where the trend may reverse and enter positions against the current trend.
Range Trading: Traders buy near support and sell near resistance when the price moves within a defined range.
News Trading: Traders capitalize on strong market movements following major economic news releases.
Scalping: Traders open and close trades very quickly, aiming to profit from small price movements.
Swing Trading: Traders hold positions from several days to weeks, taking advantage of short-term price swings within a larger trend.
Technical Analysis Trading: Decisions are based on indicators, price patterns, and volume analysis.
Fundamental Analysis Trading: Traders analyze economic and political factors affecting currency values to make trading decisions.
If you have any questions or need further explanation on any style, feel free to ask.
Good luck and happy trading!
GOLD Technical Analysis - Correction Incoming?Quick summary on XAUUSD, it really resembles my previous analysis on XAUUSD.
Gold has been volatile and needs to be closely monitored. According to our earlier analysis, gold is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with the current action now testing the upper boundary. This level may act as dynamic resistance, and a rejection here could trigger a corrective move toward the 3,300 support area.
If buyers defend this support, the bullish structure remains intact, with potential to move back to higher levels. However, if the price breaks below this zone, a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel may occur.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential to identify buying opportunities. Risk should be properly managed. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk control.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trend Continues with XAU/USD (Gold) is trading around $3,308.60 and is showing a clear bullish trend on the 1-hour timeframe. Both the 20 EMA and 50 EMA are trending below the current price, confirming short-term bullish momentum. The nearest support zone is between $3,270 and $3,286, a level that has previously attracted buyers. On the upside, the resistance zone lies between $3,330 and $3,347, where price may face selling pressure.
Traders could look for long opportunities on pullbacks to the support area, with targets set near the resistance range, and a recommended stop-loss around $3,250 to manage downside risk. Overall, the 1H chart reflects sustained bullish momentum, favoring buy setups on retracements.
Most Watchable areas:
$3,270 and $3,286 for downward movement
$3,330 and $3,347 for upward movement
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD at Key Resistance – Breakout or Rejection?Gold is moving within the range at the moment and trying to break 3320. The price bounced from the higher low and is currently testing a key resistance zone around 3320. While the pair remains within the broader upward channel, early signs of rejection could trigger a pullback toward the support level. For bulls to maintain momentum, a clear breakout and hold above the descending trendline is essential. Failure to do so would confirm another lower high, increasing the likelihood of further downside.
Most Watchable areas:
$3320-3330 and $3293-$3305
Proper break above $3330 can open the door to $3360 and if it will be rejected from this area
then Sell will be triggered with target of 3230.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Crucial levels for DXY (USD Basket), Risk Trigger On/OffCrucial levels for DXY. If it breaks lower than the lower trendline it tells me that assets like BTC, Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium and Platinum can shoot to new ATH´s. If the level holds then I think we could hit a correction in the risk assets among assets already mentioned.
TVC:DXY COMEX:HG1! OANDA:XCUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX_IDC:XAUUSD ICEUS:DXY FX_IDC:XAGUSD TVC:PLATINUM TVC:PALLADIUM
Gold Analysis – Can Buyers Push the Price Up to $3,350?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside.
Price has recently broken through a key resistance zone and has now returned to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,350 target, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
Learn Best Candlestick Pattern For Trend Trading Gold XAUUSD
This secret pattern will change the way you trade Gold XAUUSD.
If you study technical analysis in Gold trading, there is one unique candlestick pattern that you absolutely need to know.
In this article, you will learn the structure and the meaning of one of the most accurate candlesticks in Gold trading.
I will teach you how to recognize this pattern and how to trade it for maximum profits.
Let's start with some theory and let me show you how this candlestick pattern looks.
This candlestick pattern is called inside bar.
It is based on a combination of at least 3 candles.
The first candlestick in a sequence should be a strong bullish or bearish candle. The consequent candles should strictly close within its range.
If at least 2 candles close within the range of the first candle with its bodies, that will be a valid inside bar.
The first candle will always be called the mother's bar , while the following candles will be called the inside bars.
That's a perfect example of the inside bar pattern on Gold XAUUSD chart on a daily.
This pattern is based on 2 important elements that you should always pay close attention to.
The upper boundary of the range of the mother's bar will compose a significant resistance that will provide a safe place to sell.
While the lower boundary of the range of the mother's bar will be a strong support to buy Gold from.
Look how nicely Gold price respected the resistance of the range, dropped to its support and started to grow then.
Once you identified the inside bar, you can easily trade it within the range.
However, I strictly recommend waiting for a confirmation signal before you place a trade.
One of the proven confirmations is a price action signal on lower time frames.
In the example above, Gold formed a bullish chart pattern - double bottom after a test of a support and a bearish pattern - head and shoulders after a test of a resistance.
Remember that the market can not stay within the range of the inside bar candlestick pattern forever.
Bullish violation and a candle close above the range will be a strong signal to buy Gold.
While, a bearish breakout of its range will provide a strong bearish confirmation.
That's how a breakout of the underlined resistance triggered a strong rally on Gold.
Inside bar is the essential pattern both for the gold swing traders and day traders.
This pattern provides a lot of profitable trading opportunities, being very simple to recognize.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USOil Dips Amid Global Demand WorriesXTI/USD is currently exhibiting bearish technical signals, with key indicators pointing towards potential further declines. However, the presence of oversold conditions suggests that a short-term rebound could occur if prices find support at current levels. Traders should monitor the $60.13 support and $61.38 resistance levels closely, as breaks of these levels could signal the next directional move.
XTI/USD is experiencing a noticeable downward shift in market sentiment. After a period of relative stability, prices have started to decline, influenced primarily by concerns over global demand and shifting geopolitical conditions. Despite earlier support from tensions in Eastern Europe and U.S. sanctions on Russian energy exports, the market now appears to be reacting more to economic headwinds, such as signs of slowing industrial growth in major economies like China and the Eurozone. Traders are closely watching whether current support levels will hold or if the recent downward momentum will lead to a deeper correction. Overall, the sentiment leans cautious, with traders waiting for clearer signals from both supply-side developments and macroeconomic indicators.
Pivot Points:
Support Levels: S1 at $60.13, S2 at $59.69, S3 at $58.88.
Resistance Levels: R1 at $61.38, R2 at $62.19, R3 at $62.63.
Bearish Outlook
Trigger: A break below the $60.13 support level.
Targets: $59.69 followed by $58.88
Invalidation: A decisive move above the $61.38 resistance level.
Bullish Outlook
Trigger: A sustained break above the $61.38 resistance level.
Targets: $62.19 followed by $62.63
Invalidation: A drop below the $60.13 support level.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
EUR/USD...EURUSD 30M CHART PATTERN..I'm planning a *EUR/USD sell trade* with the following details:
- *Entry Price*: 1.13300
- *Take Profit (TP) Levels*:
- *TP1: 1.12300 (-100 pips*)
- *TP2: 1.11400 (-190 pips*)
### Key Considerations:
1. *Risk Management*:
- Ensure you have a *stop-loss (SL)* in place (e.g., 1.13800 or higher, depending on your risk tolerance).
- A common approach is a *1:2 or 1:3 risk-reward ratio*.
2. *Market Conditions*:
- Check if the trend is *bearish* (e.g., lower highs/lows, RSI below 50, moving averages sloping downward).
- Key resistance levels above 1.13300 could strengthen the sell case.
3. *Trade Execution*:
- Monitor price action around *1.13300* for confirmation (e.g., rejection candles, momentum).
- Consider partial closing at *TP1* and moving SL to breakeven.
Would you like help analyzing the trade setup further (e.g., technical indicators, support/resistance levels)?
Silver H4 | Potential bearish reversalSilver (XAG/USD) is trading close to an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 33.62 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 34.70 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 31.76 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Disclaimer
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Gold Analysis One Hour Time Frame
One hour time frame I still expect an increase to hit the ceiling of the descending channel, even if it breaks this ceiling with a shadow... For today, the support areas and the important area of FVG, whose center is marked, are important support points that can be seen and triggered by Bayer to continue on the path.
FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK?GOLD PLAN 22/05 – FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK?
🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Overview:
🔺 Breaking Political News:
On the night of May 21, two Israeli embassy officials were fatally shot near the Jewish Museum in Washington in what’s being labeled an anti-Semitic terrorist act.
→ Former President Trump condemned the attack, calling it “disgusting” and demanding an end to extremism.
→ Events like these typically boost gold as a safe haven, but this time the market appears hesitant.
🔺 Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve remains hawkish, signaling “higher-for-longer” interest rates.
→ This continues to support USD strength, putting downward pressure on gold.
🔍 Technical Outlook (H1):
Gold (XAUUSD) recently topped around 3397, followed by a strong bearish rejection candle at that level.
Two Fair Value Gaps (FVG) are now defining market sentiment:
Upper FVG: 3330 – 3356 (partially filled)
Lower FVG: 3277 – 3247 → highly likely to be targeted if breakdown occurs.
EMA 13 & EMA 34 are flattening out, indicating consolidation within a breakout range.
🧭 Trade Strategy for Today:
🔻 PRIMARY SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3395 – 3397
Stop Loss: 3401
Take Profit: 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370
🔻 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3358 – 3360
Stop Loss: 3364
Take Profit: 3354 → 3350 → 3346 → 3342 → 3338 → 3330
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3296 – 3294
Stop Loss: 3290
Take Profit: 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 → ???
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3316 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3320 → 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3340 → 3350
⚠️ Key Things to Watch:
FBI and White House responses to the DC shooting could ignite renewed risk-off sentiment, pushing gold higher suddenly.
A break above 3400 invalidates today’s setup – expect renewed bullish pressure if that happens.
📌 Pro Tip: Don’t chase the market. Let price come to your zones. Respect SL/TP and manage risk – especially on volatile days like today.
📣 Follow this account for live updates, scalping levels, and macro-triggered trading zones in real time!
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Move 21.05.2025Gold is currently trading within a well-respected ascending channel, approaching a significant resistance zone around 3315–3320, where previous supply caused a sharp sell-off. This resistance zone has been tested again and shows signs of rejection with consolidation and wicks to the upside.
If price fails to break above this resistance, we may see a corrective drop toward the 3285–3290 zone, which aligns with:
The channel midline
Previous minor structure support
A potential bullish order block/demand zone
This level present a high-probability buy opportunity within the bullish structure.
Preferred Scenario:
Wait for a retracement to 3285–3290 (buy zone)
If bullish price action forms (e.g., bullish engulfing, rejection wicks), enter long position
Trading Signal – Buy Setup
Buy Limit: 3287
Stop Loss: 3275 (below demand and channel)
TP1: 3315
TP2: 3335 (channel top)
Risk/Reward: ~1:2+
Alternative Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below 3280 with momentum and closes below the ascending channel, avoid buying and reassess for a possible bearish trend shift.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3439.37.Colleagues, Last time, I suggested that the five-wave movement was not yet complete. It seems that this is indeed the case.
Wave "5" of the higher degree is unfolding, and I expect the price to reach the resistance area around 3439.37, which marks the top of wave "X".
Within the smaller five-wave structure, I believe wave "3" is currently in progress.
A correction toward the 3248.38 area is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis & Trade Signal — May 18, 2025Technical Overview:
Price is currently trading around the $3,204 level, right below a key resistance zone of $3,245–$3,255, which aligns with the midline of the descending parallel channel.
This zone has historically acted as a strong resistance. If price retests and rejects this level again, we can expect a significant bearish move.
However, a clean breakout above $3,255 followed by a successful retest and hold would shift the bias to bullish, potentially targeting the upper boundary of the channel near $3,360.
The weekly candle closed below $3,240 with strong bearish momentum (notable red volume), signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend next week.
Trading Plan for Next Week:
🟥 Bearish Bias (Preferred Scenario)
Entry: If price retests $3,245–$3,255 zone and shows strong rejection (e.g. bearish engulfing or wick rejections).
Target 1: $3,200
Target 2: $3,145
Target 3: $3,100
Stop Loss: Above $3,270
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Confirmation)
Entry: If price breaks and holds above $3,255, and confirms with a bullish retest.
Target 1: $3,300
Target 2: $3,345 (channel top)
Stop Loss: Below $3,230
Summary:
Your preferred bias should remain bearish unless price clearly breaks and holds above the $3,255 resistance zone. Trade based on confirmation, not anticipation.
Kindly show support, like and comment.
XAUUSD: Sell or Buy ?Hello everyone! Great to see you again in today’s market update.
At the time of writing, gold continues trading in positive territory, having gained over 400 pips compared to yesterday. The metal is currently hovering around $3,341.
The main driver behind this surge is China’s strong buying activity. In April, the country’s gold imports jumped by 73% month-over-month, reaching 127.5 tons – the highest level in the past 11 months.
In addition, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure due to unresolved global trade issues and fresh concerns related to taxation, both of which are contributing to gold’s recent bullish momentum.
GOLD → Descending Channel and Triangle Appear on H4 Gold Technical Analysis
EMA 200
Last Thursday, gold broke below the 200 EMA, signaling a potential trend reversal to bearish, followed by a rejection at 3,128.00 — an H4 order block area. However, on Tuesday, price action pushed back above the 200 EMA and held, indicating a return to bullish momentum.
Chart Pattern
Price movement is currently constrained by several trendlines, forming a descending channel and triangle pattern, creating a sideways market structure.
Order Block Mapping
A new H4 order block has formed, representing a key area to look for potential buy entries. If this zone is broken, it may offer a strong opportunity for a sell entry.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
If gold reaches the 3,318.00 level — an H4 order block area — it may present a potential buying opportunity. A breakout above the upper trendline would confirm bullish continuation, with the first target at 3,366.00 (TP1), followed by a second target at 3,440.00 (TP2), which is also an H4 order block area.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
If gold breaks below the H4 order block at 3,290.00 and breaches the lower trendline, it may offer a selling opportunity, with the next downside target at 3,055.00 — a key daily order block level.
Best Regard
Gold Update: 2 optionsIndeed, the top metal surged well beyond $3,000, as I mentioned in my earlier post (see related post for details).
The price reached a new all-time high of $3,510 before pulling back, as expected.
So far, the retracement has been rejected at the trendline support around $3,123 (futures).
From here, there are two possible scenarios:
1) Blue Labels
The price may have already completed wave 4. If so, we could now see a large wave 5 move to the upside.
This wave could reach the blue target box, which represents 61.8% to 100% of the distance from wave 1 to wave 3, added to the bottom of wave 4.
This target zone lies between $3,700 and $4,100.
Keep in mind that gold is a commodity, and commodities often have extended fifth waves — so the higher end of the blue box is still possible.
2) White Labels
Typically, fourth waves retrace down to the valleys of previous lower-degree fourth waves.
In this case, the market could form another leg down to complete a larger, more complex correction, potentially hitting $2,975 before wave 5 begins.
If that happens, the target for wave 5 may be lower, but with a possible extended fifth wave, it could still reach the blue box area.
Will Middle East Tensions Ignite a Global Oil Crisis?The global oil market faces significant turbulence amidst reports of potential Israeli military action against Iran's nuclear facilities. This looming threat has triggered a notable surge in oil prices, reflecting deep market anxieties. The primary concern stems from the potential for severe disruption to Iran's oil output, a critical component of global supply. More critically, an escalation risks Iranian retaliation, including a possible blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime chokepoint through which a substantial portion of the world's oil transits. Such an event would precipitate an unprecedented supply shock, echoing historical price spikes seen during past Middle Eastern crises.
Iran currently produces around 3.2 million barrels per day and holds strategic importance beyond its direct volume. Its oil exports, primarily to China, serve as an economic lifeline, making any disruption profoundly impactful. A full-scale conflict would unleash a cascade of economic consequences: extreme oil price surges would fuel global inflation, potentially pushing economies into recession. While some spare capacity exists, a prolonged disruption or a Hormuz blockade would render it insufficient. Oil-importing nations, particularly vulnerable developing economies, would face severe economic strain, while major oil exporters, including Saudi Arabia, the US, and Russia, would see substantial financial gains.
Beyond economics, a conflict would fundamentally destabilize the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East, unraveling diplomatic efforts and exacerbating regional tensions. Geostrategically, the focus would intensify on safeguarding critical maritime routes, highlighting the inherent vulnerabilities of global energy supply chains. Macroeconomically, central banks would confront the difficult task of managing inflation without stifling growth, leading to a surge in safe-haven assets. The current climate underscores the profound fragility of global energy markets, where geopolitical developments in a volatile region can have immediate and far-reaching global repercussions.