Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Incoming🔍 Chart Analysis Summary
1. Key Zones
Resistance Zone: ~$3,340 – $3,360
Price has been rejected multiple times from this area, showing strong selling pressure.
Support Zone: ~$3,200 – $3,240
Strong historical support level, previously held during a pullback after the last rally.
2. Moving Averages
EMA 50 (Red): Currently at ~$3,340
Price is fluctuating around it, indicating short-term indecision or a possible retest.
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at ~$3,300
Acting as a mid-term support level. Price previously bounced from this region.
3. Pattern and Price Action
Fakeout Potential:
The chart suggests a possible false breakout above the resistance followed by a sharp drop—highlighted by the arrow. This is a common bull trap setup.
Bearish Outlook Indicated:
The projected path suggests a rejection from resistance and a drop to the support zone (~$3,200). This would create a lower high, a bearish sign.
4. Trading Bias
Bearish Setup if:
Price fails to hold above $3,340 (EMA50).
Price gets rejected from the resistance zone and breaks below $3,300 (EMA200).
Bullish Invalidated if:
Price closes convincingly above the $3,360 resistance with volume, flipping it into support.
📉 Potential Trade Idea
Short Entry: Around $3,350–$3,355
Stop Loss: Above $3,365 (above resistance zone)
Target: $3,220–$3,230 (support zone)
Commodities
April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340🎯 April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340 💥our first TP
Today’s NY session was all about precision and patience.
🔹 The market opened with a calm continuation of the post-Claims structure, giving bulls a final chance to reenter from the 3310 sniper zone, previously posted in our daily plan.
📍 Breakdown of the 3310 Buy
• Zone: H1–H4 demand confluence
• Confirmation: Clean rejection on M15, followed by consolidation and impulsive breakout
• Confluence:
– Untouched OB + FVG
– Price locked above M30 EMA100
– Discounted fib zone
– RSI bounce on M15
• Execution: Buy 3310.70 → TP 3340.78
• Result: +300 pips
Not just a technical win — but a mindset win. Snipers don’t chase. They wait.
🧠 NY Session Notes
• No macro drivers today, which gave full control to pure PA + structure
• Liquidity was swept below 3310 before aggressive buying stepped in
• Once price reclaimed 3330–3340, we saw a clean continuation to premium
• TP hit with no retest — textbook sniper exit
💬 Let’s Talk – No Chart Needed
📈 Did you catch the 3310 buy?
💭 How did your NY session go?
👇 Drop your thoughts or reentry ideas below — we learn every session.
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We don’t predict. We react.
And today, we reacted perfectly. 💛
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,304.80.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,261.30 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GOLD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,299.27
Target Level: 3,358.08
Stop Loss: 3,259.94
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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Short in European session, looking towards 3260At present, gold's rise and fall is a foregone conclusion. The upper rebound reached as high as 3371. It reversed sharply in early Asian trading and the market quickly turned bearish. Because of the suppression of short positions at the mid-line cycle and weekly level, even if there is a sharp rebound and breaking high, it is only a bullish behavior. In fact, it is a sell-off after a washout. In addition, the problem of head and shoulders has been talked about in the past few days, which gives the expectation that the gold price will rebound and go empty.
At present, this is just the beginning of short selling. Gold price is suppressed by the right shoulder near 3380. After testing the resistance, it forms a long and short reversal run. It pulls back and breaks the intraday low. I expect it to continue to weaken after rising higher today. Next week, the price of gold will be dominated by a short downward trend. At the same time, the adjustment low of the previous low of 3260 will be broken. The current downward trend has not been reversed!
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold will focus on the first-line resistance area of 3327-3454 at the top, and the first-line support area at 3286-3360 at the bottom.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
Silver Holds Ground on Mixed Trade SignalsSilver is trading around $33.50 on Friday morning, continuing to show greater sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts and trade news due to its dual role as both a precious and industrial metal. Recent price movements were shaped by mixed signals in U.S.-China trade relations. Although the Trump administration reportedly considered tariff reductions, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent clarified that no formal proposals have been made and negotiations have not yet begun.
Technically, silver faces initial resistance at $33.80, with further levels at $34.20 and $34.85 if the upward move continues. On the downside, immediate support is seen at $33.15, followed by $31.40 and $30.20 if further weakness occurs.
Gold is still Strong; Long-Term!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GOLD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising wedge pattern in orange.
After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD signaled the start of the correction phase.
Moreover, the $3,100 - $3,150 zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD April Rally Continues📉 Flash Corrections and New Highs:
Gold has shown sharp swings, dropping to $3,287 per ounce and swiftly hitting a historic high of $3,500. These moves are not chaos but reflect deep processes within the global financial system.
🔍 Key Drivers of Today’s Gold Market
1️⃣ Geopolitics on Edge:
Trade wars between the US and China, political instability, and the upcoming US elections have fueled demand for safe assets. Central banks continue purchasing gold at a pace exceeding 1,000 tons per year, challenging the dominance of the US dollar.
2️⃣ Stagflation and Fed Policy:
Markets are pricing in rate cuts, traditionally strengthening gold’s position. Even short-term easing of geopolitical tensions hasn’t derailed the bullish trend — inflation expectations and weakening consumer confidence keep pushing prices upward.
3️⃣ China as a Major Player:
It’s not just state-level purchases — retail demand among China’s Gen Z is hitting new highs. Institutional mandates requiring gold holdings further tighten global supply, reinforcing upward pressure.
📊 Technical Outlook : Where to Look for Entry Points
Support Levels: $3,260 – $3,280
Resistance Levels: $3,420 and the psychological barrier at $3,500
April followed a classic scenario: breakout to new highs, profit-taking, and return to key levels for position re-entry. For the attentive investor, this isn’t a reason for panic but an opportunity to reload into a long-term bullish trend.
Gold is not just an asset — it’s a barometer of trust in the global financial system. Every time the system falters, gold shines brighter.
Conclusion
The gold market in April 2025 is a textbook example of how global risks turn into opportunities for those ready to act. Volatility only scares those who don’t understand it.
As always, stay one step ahead.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold fluctuates upward, target 3400~3500Since the peak at 3500, the lowest price in the US market on Wednesday was 3260. It fell by 240 US dollars in two trading days this week. The momentum is very strong, but the big cycle of gold this year is still a bullish trend. Don't be affected by the adjustment of the small cycle. In the bullish rhythm, the adjustment is to give opportunities for long positions. Therefore, once the adjustment is over, you can start to go long and bullish.
From a technical point of view, the daily line stands firmly above the 10-day moving average, which is an important reason for the current bullishness of gold. For the time being, the daily mid-term Bollinger has not closed, and don't guess the top when it rises. The short-term target is 3400, and the long-term target is 3500. After the breakthrough, don't guess the highest point. The performance of the H4 mid-term is obvious. The bottom is above the lower Bollinger track and the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger band just closes. This is a very obvious performance of stopping the decline and bottoming out!
If gold breaks through the 3370 line again, then gold will truly turn strong. Even so, it will fluctuate and rise, and we must wait patiently for the opportunity to continue to fall. The market changes rapidly, and the recent gold market is like this, with ups and downs, so don't be surprised.
Key points:
First support: 3332, second support: 3320, third support: 3300
First resistance: 3370, second resistance: 3386, third resistance: 3408
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3322-3325, stop loss 3313, target 3360-3380;
Short-term gold 3383-3386, stop loss 3395, target 3320-3330;
Gold. Further downside is possible.Hey traders and investors!
Gold price bounced from a contextual level 3283 — the correction low within the dominant buyer’s initiative on the daily timeframe.
Further downside is possible. Watching levels 3381 and 3283.
The structure in this post is based on the logic of Initiative Analysis (IA).
GOLD may enter accumulation when the market lacks impact Spot OANDA:XAUUSD prices were broadly steady in Asian trade on Friday (April 25) after a sharp rise in the previous trading day. The current price of gold is around $3,341/ounce, down from the $3,371 price target that readers noted in yesterday's edition. Spot gold prices jumped on Thursday, snapping a nearly 3% decline the previous day, helped by a weaker US dollar and bargain-hunting as investors kept a close eye on the latest news on tariff negotiations.
Market Highlights
Gold prices rebounded on Thursday after their biggest drop this year as bargain hunters entered the market, Bloomberg reported.
China's official broadcaster CCTV reported Thursday that the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump is considering a plan to impose tiered tariffs on China, and White House press secretary Levitt said Trump's stance on tariffs on China "has not softened."
"This is all fake news. As far as I know, China and the United States have never consulted or negotiated on tariffs, let alone reached an agreement. This tariff war was initiated by the United States, and China's attitude is consistent and clear: if you want to fight, we will fight to the end; if you want to negotiate, the door is open. Dialogue and negotiation must be equal, respectful and mutually beneficial," said Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack made it clear in an interview on Thursday that the Fed has essentially ruled out a rate cut in May. But she also delivered a key message, saying that if there is clear evidence of the economy’s direction, there will be room for policy action in June.
When asked if a rate cut was possible in June, Hammack said: “If we get clear and compelling data in June, then I think the committee will act, assuming we have a clear understanding of the right path for policy at that point.” Markets reacted quickly after Hammack’s remarks, with interest rate swaps indicating the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June rising to around 65%.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After achieving the target increase twice, which readers should pay attention to in the previous day's publication at 3,371 USD, the price point of the Fibonacci retracement of 0.236%, the recovery momentum of gold is being controlled and limited.
In the short term, gold is likely to enter a sideways accumulation phase, waiting for more fundamental breakthroughs. The expected accumulation area is around 3,371 - 3,292 USD, which are the positions of the Fibonacci retracement of 0.236% and 0.382%.
However, with the current position, the main outlook is still bullish in the long term with the trend from the price channel as the main trend and support from the EMA21 as the main support.
During the day, the expectation of short-term accumulation in the main uptrend will be noted by the following levels.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3411 - 3409⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3415
→Take Profit 1 3403
↨
→Take Profit 2 3397
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3204 - 3206⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3200
→Take Profit 1 3212
↨
→Take Profit 2 3218
Gold Analysis – New Leg of Correction Incoming?It’s been a “special” week for Gold, with wild swings that kept me mostly on the sidelines – except for Monday’s take profit. Now, however, the market is starting to show more clarity.
❓ Has the Market Topped Out?
After a dip to 3260, the price reversed sharply, gaining over 1,000 pips to reach 3367. Yet, both recent attempts to push higher were rejected.
Now, with the spike from 3360 to 3500 looking like a blow-off top, the stage seems set for a new leg of correction.
🔍 Key Technical Signs:
• Heavy selling pressure near recent highs.
• Price action suggests buyers are exhausted.
• 3370 becomes a key resistance – as long as it holds, bearish setups are favored.
📉 Trading Plan:
My approach is simple:
👉 Sell rallies
🎯 Target: a 1,000+ pip drop if 3370 remains intact.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (25.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3232
2nd Support – 3188
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Gold fluctuates at high levels, market analysisOn Thursday, as the Fed's speech pushed up expectations of rate cuts, the US dollar index fell back and eventually closed down 0.611% at 99.29. US Treasury yields fell, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.325%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 3.805%.
Boosted by the dollar's retreat and bargain hunting, spot gold rebounded sharply, reaching a high of 3367.32, and finally closed up 1.84% at 3348.73.
From a technical point of view, the daily line stood firmly above the 10-day moving average, which is an important reason for the current extremely strong unilateral trend of gold. For the time being, the daily mid-term Bollinger has not closed, and don't guess the top of the rise. Look at 3420 first, and then look at the gains and losses of 3500. If it breaks, don't guess the high. The performance of H4 mid-term is obvious. The bottom is above the lower Bollinger band and the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger band is just closing. This is a very obvious performance of stopping the decline and bottoming out. Now the Bollinger band is closing. From 3260, it will take at least 3500 to the upper Bollinger band, so this range is very large. The band bullish trend has just begun, so just stick to the bullish trend on Friday. Since the direction is determined, intraday trading will wait for a pullback to go long. For the support below, pay attention to the vicinity of 3340, and continue to look at the 3370-3380 area above, and then focus on the 3300 mark; as for the upper resistance, pay attention to the 3386 area first.
Overall, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to focus on callbacks and longs, supplemented by rebounds and high-altitudes. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3370-3380 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3330-3320 support.
Buy range: 3330-3328, SL: 3318, TP: 3350-3360
Sell range: 3368-3370, SL: 3380, TP: 3350-3340
Key points:
First support: 3330, second support: 3320, third support: 3310
First resistance: 3370, second resistance: 3380, third resistance: 3390
Silver to over 500 USD in near futureClear cup and handle pattern, 2023 will be the year of the next Asian financial crisis just like in 1997 triggered either by Thailand or HongKong, only this time it will be Taiwan I believe. Anyone who haven't bought a new PC, laptop or a smartphone yet, do it now, shortages of microchips will be insane.
XAUUSD Price Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play ??Asset Overview
The chart represents a price action analysis with support and resistance zones, along with EMA indicators (50 and 200), likely on a 4H or 1H timeframe.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: ~3,400 to 3,450
First Support Zone: ~3,230 to 3,250
Second Support Zone: ~3,090 to 3,130
Indicators
EMA 50 (Red): Currently around 3,340, acting as dynamic resistance.
EMA 200 (Blue): Positioned near 3,232, reinforcing the first support zone.
Price Action Insight
Price had a strong uptrend, peaking above 3,440 before pulling back.
A lower high may be forming, suggesting possible trend exhaustion.
The current bounce appears to be a retracement back toward resistance or EMA 50.
Projected Move (As Illustrated on Chart)
Short-term bullish move into the resistance zone (~3,400–3,450).
Failure to break above resistance leads to sharp rejection.
Price retraces to first support zone (aligned with EMA 200).
If support fails, deeper drop expected toward the lower support zone (~3,100).
Strategic Notes
📉 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above resistance.
🔍 Watch for bearish candlestick patterns or divergences near resistance.
🛡️ First support aligns with EMA 200, making it a critical level for bulls to defend.
🔻 Breakdown below 3,230 opens room for larger correction to 3,100–3,090.
Conclusion
Currently, the chart suggests a potential short opportunity if price confirms rejection at resistance. The EMA cross structure remains bullish long-term, but momentum is weakening, and failure to reclaim highs could shift sentiment bearish in the short to mid-term.
"XAU/USD at Crucial Support Zone"📈 Chart Overview
Instrument: Likely XAU/USD (Gold vs USD)
Date: April 22, 2025
Timeframe: Appears to be a short-term chart (possibly 1H or 4H)
🧠 Key Technical Elements
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)
50 EMA (Red): Currently at 3,406.818 — acting as short-term dynamic support/resistance.
200 EMA (Blue): Currently at 3,277.286 — indicating long-term trend direction.
The price is well above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish long-term trend. However, it’s now testing the 50 EMA, suggesting a potential short-term inflection point.
2. Support and Resistance Zones
Immediate Resistance Zone: Around 3,430 – 3,440, which price recently rejected.
Key Support Zone: Around 3,385 – 3,390 (labeled “FOCUS ON THIS POINT”), which aligns closely with the 50 EMA.
Lower Support Zones:
3,310 – 3,320
3,240 – 3,260
🔍 Technical Scenarios Outlined on Chart
✅ Bullish Scenario (Upper Arrow Path)
If the price holds above the 3,385 support zone, especially with support from the 50 EMA:
We may see a bounce back to test and potentially break above the 3,430 resistance.
This would confirm a continuation of the uptrend.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Lower Arrow Path)
If the price fails to hold above 3,385:
A breakdown may lead to a drop toward 3,320, with possible continuation toward 3,240.
This would indicate a short-term bearish correction within a longer bullish trend.
🔑 Critical Price Level
Focus on the 3,385 zone — This is a confluence area where:
Horizontal support meets
50 EMA is located
A potential decision point for bulls vs. bears
🧭 Trading Strategy Considerations
For Bulls:
Look for bullish candlestick formations or volume confirmation near the 3,385 level.
Target a retest of the 3,430+ area with stops below 3,375.
For Bears:
Watch for strong bearish breakdown below 3,385.
First target: 3,320, second: 3,240, with stop-loss above 3,400.
📌 Conclusion
The chart illustrates a key inflection point. Price is at a decision zone — hold and bounce = continuation of bullish momentum, break = short-term correction. All eyes on how price reacts at the 50 EMA and support zone near 3,385.
Bearish Reversal in Play! | Key EMA Rejection & Support Targets🔍 Chart Analysis Summary
🕐 Timeframe: Likely a short-term (H1 or H4) chart.
📈 Asset: Most probably XAU/USD (Gold) or a similar asset.
🔴 Trend Breakdown
📍 Previous Trend:
✅ Strong bullish momentum 📈 pushing price into a resistance zone.
📍 Current Price Action:
🚨 Bearish rejection from resistance 🟥
Price got rejected exactly at the resistance zone (gray box) and the EMA 50 line 🔴 — a classic setup for a reversal ⚠️
📉 Key Technical Levels
🟦 Resistance Zone:
🔹 Between 3,385 – 3,400 USD
🧱 This zone rejected price strongly (see red candles)
📌 Also aligned with EMA 50 (3,400.837) — confluence adds strength 💪
🟩 Support Zones:
First Support Zone – ~3,285 📉
💙 In line with the EMA 200 (3,285.687)
🛡️ Might cause a temporary bounce 📈
Second Support Zone – ~3,240
📉 Marked as the deeper support in the bear case 🕳️
💥 If the first support breaks, this becomes the next target 🎯
📊 Indicator Insights
EMA 50 (🔴 Red): 3,400.837 – acting as dynamic resistance 😤
EMA 200 (🔵 Blue): 3,285.687 – acting as dynamic support 🛡️
📉 Price breaking below EMA 50 = first bearish sign
📉 Approaching EMA 200 = watch for either a bounce 🏀 or a breakdown 💥
🎯 Bearish Setup Forecast
📉 Here's what the arrows show (strategy logic):
📉 Breakdown below resistance → strong bearish move
🎯 Target 1: First support (EMA 200 / ~3,285)
🔄 Minor pullback possible (fake bounce 🪃)
💣 Continuation lower toward next support (~3,240)
📌 Critical Zone to Watch 🔍
⚫️ The circle marked “FOCUS ON THIS POINT” is key:
📌 Failed retest = confirmation of resistance
📌 Price rejected this level + closed below = strong bearish signal 🚨
🧠 Professional Insights
Element Observation Emoji
Trend Shift Bullish ➡️ Bearish reversal 🔄📉
Momentum Bearish pressure increasing 💨🟥
Risk Point Resistance near EMA 50 ⚠️🧱
Trade Idea Short toward supports 📉🎯
Confirmation Rejection candle after retest 🕯️🔁
Focus Level EMA confluence near resistance 🎯📌
🛠️ Possible Trade Plan (for educational purposes only)
Short Entry: Below 3,385 (after rejection 🔻)
Stop-Loss: Above 3,405 (above EMA 50 🛑)
Target 1: 3,285 🧲
Target 2: 3,240 📉
Bullish continuation?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 33.11
1st Support: 32.21
1st Resistance: 34.50
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CRUDE OIL BEARISH WEDGE|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL has formed a
Bearish wedge pattern and
Then made a breakout and a
Pullback so we are locally
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$BTC $GOLD Performance% Comparison Chart (Apr '24-Apr '25)Performance% Comparison Chart (Apr '24-Apr '25)...
CRYPTOCAP:BTC surges back, locking in a 42% gain alongside TVC:GOLD over a year! S&P 500 shows life, but #Oil is the big loser, taking the biggest hit with a brutal -26% decline. Let's watch the shifts! But where does the momentum go next?!🤔
CRYPTOCAP:BTC TVC:GOLD SP:SPX MARKETSCOM:OIL
Cheers!
SILVER GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend and the price made
A bullish breakout of the key
Round horizontal level of 33.00$
Then made a pullback and is
Going up now so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.