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WTI Oil Heist: Bullish Breakout Plan for Big Gains!🚨 Ultimate WTI Oil Heist Plan: Bullish Breakout Strategy for Big Profits! 🚀💰 🌟 Hello, Wealth Chasers & Market Mavericks! 🌟 Hola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 🗺️ Get ready to execute the Ultimate WTI / US Oil Spot Heist using our 🔥 Thief Trading Style 🔥, blending sharp technicals with powerful fundamentals! 📈💡 This swing trade plan targets the energy market’s bullish potential, but stay sharp—volatility lurks! 🚨 Follow the chart setup for a long entry, and let’s aim for those juicy profits while dodging the high-risk ATR zone where the market “police” might trap overzealous traders. 🏦⚠️ 📊 The Heist Plan: WTI / US Oil Spot (Swing Trade) Entry 📈: The breakout is your signal! 🎯 Wait for the Moving Average crossover and a confirmed pullback at $68.00 on the 2H timeframe. Once it triggers, go long and ride the bullish wave! 🐂 Set an alert to catch the breakout in real-time. 🚨 Stop Loss 🛑: Protect your capital like a pro! 💪 Place your stop loss below the recent swing low at $65.00 (2H timeframe, candle body wick). Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of positions. Rebels, beware—straying too far from this level could burn you! 🔥 Target 🎯: Aim for $73.80 or exit early if momentum fades. Scalpers, stick to long-side trades and use a trailing stop to lock in gains. 💰 Swing traders, follow the plan and secure profits before the market consolidates or reverses. 🏴‍☠️ 📊 Market Context & Key Drivers The WTI / US Oil Spot market is currently consolidating with a bullish bias 🐂, driven by: Fundamentals: Check macroeconomic data, seasonal trends, and intermarket correlations. 📉 COT Report: shows net-long positions increasing, signaling bullish sentiment. 📅 Sentiment & Quantitative Analysis: Market mood leans positive, but overbought risks loom near the ATR zone. ⚠️ Stay informed! 📰 Monitor news releases, as they can spike volatility. Avoid new trades during major announcements and use trailing stops to protect open positions. 🔒 📊 Pro Tips for the Heist Scalpers: Go long with tight trailing stops to safeguard profits. 💸 Swing Traders: Stick to the plan, adjust stops based on risk, and exit before the high-risk ATR zone ($73.80+). 🚪 Risk Management: Never risk more than you can afford. Tailor your lot size and stop loss to your account size. 🛡️ Stay Updated: Market conditions shift fast—keep an eye on fundamentals and sentiment to stay ahead. 👀 📊 Why Join the Heist? This Thief Trading Style plan is your ticket to navigating the WTI market with confidence! 💪 Boost this idea to strengthen our trading crew and share the wealth-making vibe. 🚀💥 Like, follow, and stay tuned for more high-octane strategies! 🤑🐱‍👤 Disclaimer: This is a general market analysis, not personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before trading. Markets are dynamic—stay vigilant and adapt to new developments. 📡 Let’s make this heist legendary! 🌟💰 See you at the next breakout! 🤝🎉
THINKMARKETS:WTILong
by Thief_Trader
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 1h Analysis (OANDA)Price Overview Current Price: 3,286,190 24h Change: +15,525 (+0.47%) Recent High/Low: High: 18,286,420 Low: 12,284,465 Order Block (OB) Analysis Profit Targets: Multiple profit levels are identified, with the highest at 3,339,000 and the lowest at 3,279,000. The price is currently between the 3,286,190 (current) and 3,279,000 (next profit level), suggesting a potential pullback or consolidation. Entry & Stop-Loss: Entry: 3,270,000 Stop-Loss (S/L): 3,270,000 (same as entry, indicating a break-even or tight risk strategy). Key Levels (USD) Resistance: 3,350,000 (major) 3,339,000 (immediate) Support: 3,286,190 (current level) 3,279,000 (next profit target) 3,270,000 (critical support & entry) Market Sentiment Bullish Bias: Price is above the entry point (3,270,000) and showing a 0.47% gain. Caution: Profit-taking may occur near 3,330,000–3,339,000. A break below 3,270,000 could invalidate the bullish setup. Actionable Insights If Long: Hold for targets up to 3,339,000, but monitor for rejection at resistance. If Neutral: Wait for a break above 3,330,000 (confirmation) or below 3,270,000 (reversal signal). Risk Management: Tight stop-loss at 3,270,000 protects against downside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tdawly_Official
Gold’s Trap Above QML: Bearish Play UnfoldingHello Guys! Gold appears to be forming a textbook Quasimodo reversal setup after printing a lower high into a key supply zone. Price aggressively tapped into the QML area (around 3,350–3,360), where sellers previously stepped in, and we’re now seeing signs of rejection. The engulf zone marked earlier confirms bearish intent. It broke structure and flipped momentum. Price is currently retesting below that engulf level, likely as a last attempt to grab liquidity before heading down. The projected move suggests a drop toward the next significant demand zone around 3,295–3,285, where the price previously found a strong bullish reaction. Bias: Bearish below QML Target: 3,295 zone Invalidation: Above 3,368 (high of supply zone)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
18
Gold (XAU/USD): Playbook in ActionHello guys! We’ve seen a textbook QML (Quasimodo Level) setup play out beautifully on gold. Price pushed into a key supply zone and formed a QML structure, followed by a clean engulfing of the previous demand. confirming smart money involvement. As expected, the target of that QML has now been hit, tapping into the major demand zone below. After the deep sweep and reaction from demand, price retraced upward into a potential lower high area. Based on structure and liquidity dynamics, two potential scenarios are in play: We’re executing a two-step plan here: Step 1: Short position from the QML + supply area, aiming for the next blue demand zone. Liquidity has been taken above the high, confirming the setup. If we get a clean reaction near the blue area, that’s our signal to flip long. We expect a pullback toward $3310 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
6
Analyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical AnalysisAnalyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical Analysis In addition to technical analysis, it's important to consider fundamental factors that could influence the market. News releases, economic reports, and central bank decisions can significantly impact price movements. Fundamental Analysis: Keep an eye on major economic indicators like NFP, CPI, and interest rate decisions. These factors can drive the market and change its trend direction. Technical Analysis: Use tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action to confirm the trend and identify entry points. For daily updates and comprehensive market analysis, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel, where I combine both technical and fundamental analysis to give you the most accurate insights. Conclusion: Identifying market trends in one day doesn’t have to be complicated. By using the right tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action on TradingView, you can make better trading decisions every day. To take your trading to the next level, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel for daily updates, real-time trend analysis, and expert trading signals. Ready to start trading with precision? Join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel today for daily market insights and trading setups. Stay updated with real-time analysis, get actionable trading signals, and take your trading skills to the next level. Follow me now on TradingView!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected ) Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bearish Break : 3386 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. Gold 30Min Engaged ( bearish Entry Detected )
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
1
GOLD → Readiness to test the local bottomFX:XAUUSD is under pressure from the rising dollar and uncertainty, breaking through support levels, which opens up a corridor for the market to fall to 3255 - 3246 The price of gold is consolidating around $3300 after falling more than 1% amid expectations of the Fed minutes and news about tariffs. Investors remain cautious: the dollar is supported by hopes for US trade deals, while the threat of new tariffs from August 1 is holding back gold's growth. Weak inflation data in China did not support the metal, while expectations that the Fed will not rush to cut rates due to inflationary pressure from tariffs are also limiting interest in gold. Traders are waiting for the Fed minutes and new statements from Trump to determine the further direction. Technically, the market looks weak (on D1, the price closed below the key level of 3300 on Tuesday) and there is a chance of a further decline. Resistance levels: 3300, 3311 Support levels: 3295, 3255, 3246 Consolidation below 3295-3300 could trigger a further decline to 3255, from which the market could react with a correction. Buying can be considered if gold reverses the short scenario, manages to strengthen to 3311, and consolidates above this level. At the moment, the price is in the selling zone... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
24
Gold To The Basement? Week Ahead with Bearish Bias by PhoenixFX🌟 Welcome to Phoenix FX’s Intraday Pulse! 🌟 Hello, Phoenix FX family! 👋 I’m thrilled you’ve joined us for today’s TradingView chart breakdown. Our focus? Intraday opportunities—spotting those high-probability setups you can enter, manage, and leave to run whilst you concentrate on the things you love doing. Here’s what you’ll find in this analysis: Key Levels & Zones: Support, resistance, and Fair Value Gaps that matter on the smaller timeframes. Price-Action Clues: Exact candlestick patterns and momentum signals to watch for your next entry. Trade Triggers & Targets: Clear criteria for when to get in, where to take profits, and how to manage your risk. Whether you’re hunting quick scalps or tactical swing moves, our goal is simple: help you trade with confidence, clarity, and community support. Got a different view or a fresh idea? Drop it in the comments—after all, “each one, teach one.” 😉 Let’s dive into the charts and make today’s market moves count! 🚀📈 Donald Trump’s presidency continues to exert outsized influence on gold through three main channels: trade policy uncertainty, fiscal stimulus (and resulting deficits), and shifts in safe-haven demand. Here’s how each factor has played out—and what it could mean for gold going forward: 1. Trade-War Uncertainty What’s Happening: The Trump administration’s aggressive use of tariffs—including recent 25% duties on goods from Japan and South Korea—has periodically roiled markets and driven investors into gold as a safe haven. On July 7, gold pared losses after tariff news, as traders sought refuge despite a firm dollar. Looking Ahead: If further tariff escalations or retaliations emerge, expect renewed spikes in gold. Conversely, any de-escalation or trade-deal breakthroughs could sap that safe-haven bid. 2. Fiscal Stimulus & Deficits What’s Happening: Senate Republicans recently passed a Trump-backed tax‐and‐spending package projected to add $3.3 trillion to the U.S. deficit. Larger deficits—especially when financed by the Fed—tend to stoke inflation expectations, which bolsters gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge. Looking Ahead: Continued large-scale stimulus or fresh tax cuts without offsetting revenue measures could keep real yields low (or negative), a classic tailwind for gold. 3. Safe-Haven Flows & Investor Positioning What’s Happening: Despite peaking at record highs earlier this year, gold remains up roughly 30% since November, driven largely by investor fears around Trump’s policy unpredictability and geopolitical tensions. Looking Ahead: Should Trump-era uncertainty persist—whether around trade, foreign policy, or domestic turmoil—gold is likely to retain its status as a portfolio diversifier and crisis hedge. A sustained drop in U.S. real rates or fresh bouts of market volatility would reinforce that trend. 🎯 Outlook Summary Bullish Drivers: Ongoing trade-war rhetoric, larger deficits, and any new geopolitical flashpoints. Bearish Risks: Clear resolution of major trade disputes, a pivot by the Fed toward earlier rate cuts (reducing real‐rate support for gold), or diminished investor fear. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PhoenixFX price action analysis based on the Daily time frame 🔴 Primary Resistance (Daily) Zone: $3,348 – $3,400 Why It Matters: Multiple daily closes have stalled here, leaving a clear Fair-Value Gap (dashed purple). Sellers are likely to defend this range until we see a decisive daily close above $3,400. 📉 Bearish Bias – Short Setups Short at Resistance Entry: Bearish daily reversal candle (engulfing, pin-bar) in $3,348–$3,400 Targets: TP1: $3,290 (50% of Primary Buy Zone) TP2: $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low) TP3: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone high) Stop-Loss: Above $3,420 Breakdown Short Trigger: Daily close below $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low) Entry: On the open of the next daily candle after close below $3,250 Targets: TP1: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone) TP2: $3,026 (Final Buy Zone 50% level) Stop-Loss: Above $3,290 🔵 Potential Long Opportunities Defensive Long (Aggressive) Entry: Bullish daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 Targets: TP1: $3,348 (short-term resistance) TP2: $3,400 (key resistance) Stop-Loss: Below $3,230 Trend-Reversal Long (Ultra-Conservative) Trigger: Daily close above $3,400 Entry: Open of the next daily candle after the close above $3,400 Targets: TP1: $3,450 TP2: $3,500+ Stop-Loss: Below $3,360 📊 Week-Ahead Scenarios Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Price remains capped under $3,400. Look for a bearish signal in $3,348–$3,400 to initiate shorts. A break below $3,250 extends the move into deeper demand zones ($3,172 → $3,026). Bullish Counter-Trend (Lower Probability): Strong daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 could spark a relief rally. Short-term longs can target $3,348 and $3,400—ideal for quick swing trades. Only a sustained daily close above $3,400 shifts the bias back to the upside. Just a Heads-Up: This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮. Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅 We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it. So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments! Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈 Each one, teach one. — Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by PFXteam
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3397 (Wave 3).Dear colleagues, my previous forecast remains valid, but I have decided to update it. At the moment, I still think that wave “3” of the medium order continues its upward movement. At the moment, I think that the small correction in wave “2” is ending and we will see a continuation of the trend. I see the resistance area of 3397.94 as the target. The main thing is to overcome the local level of the small wave “1” at 3366.37. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
19
Crude Oil Eyes 3-Year Resistance Once AgainWTI has rebounded cleanly from the neckline of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern—formed ahead of the June Middle East conflict—establishing a strong support zone above $63.40. Prices are currently trading above $67. A sustained hold above this level could target $69 and $72, aligning with the upper edge of the 3-year declining channel. A confirmed breakout above $72 may extend gains toward $78, $80, $84, and $88 respectively. On the downside, a close below $63.80 may trigger renewed selling pressure toward $60, $58, and $56—within the mid-zone of the broader down trending channel. - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
First Drop to 3307–3289, Then Buy for the Next UptrendOur system has identified a strong short signal across short-term, medium-term, and long-term timeframes as of July 3, 2025, with confidence levels above 89%. All durations are aligned, indicating a synchronized momentum shift. Entry Point : 3354.43 Short-Term TP : 3334.30 Medium-Term TP : 3320.89 Long-Term TP : 3307.47~ 3289 📉 Based on the current market structure and signal convergence, TeconLab expects XAUUSD to drop into the 3307–3289 range, where a potential reversal zone is likely to form. 🛡️ Safest Entry for Buy: The 3289 level is considered the most favorable area for entering long positions after the expected correction completes. 📈 After reaching this zone, our system anticipates a new uptrend to begin, offering a fresh opportunity for upside movement. The TP Zigzag path displayed on the chart outlines the projected decline with target steps, preparing for a potential bullish reversal afterward.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by teconlab
3
GOLD is in bearish conditions, pressured by aggressive tariffsOn Wednesday (July 9) in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the gold price just fell below 3,290 USD / ounce. Although US President Trump announced that the first tariff letters had been sent to some US trading partners, the gold price fell below 3,290 USD / ounce due to the weakening demand for safe-haven gold. Trump postponed the tariff deadline to August 1, easing trade tensions. The recovery in the dollar TVC:DXY and rising US Treasury yields also weighed on gold, sending prices sharply lower after hitting a high of $3,345 an ounce. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note TVC:US10Y rose to its highest in more than two weeks, making gold, which does not pay interest, less attractive as an investment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 4.415%. The US real yield also rose 4 basis points to 2.073%. TVC:DXY , which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, rose 0.20% to 97.70. The rise in the Dollar Index means that gold priced in dollars has become less attractive because they are inversely correlated. Japan and South Korea said on Tuesday they would try to speed up trade talks with the United States in a bid to soften President Donald Trump's stance on new tariffs set to take effect on August 1. But optimism about a trade deal boosted market risk appetite, limiting gold's upside. Traders are awaiting the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting on Wednesday, followed by data on initial jobless claims for the week ended July 5. Investors now expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year, starting in October. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold fell below the 3,300USD whole price point and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, which are the initial conditions for gold prices to have a prospect for a bearish trend. Currently, with the position below 3,300USD, gold may continue to decline with the next target around 3,246USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. The current resistances of gold prices are the pressure from the EMA21 line, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. These are also the resistance positions that readers paid attention to in the previous issue. In addition, the RSI is pointing down from 50, currently 50 is considered the nearest resistance and the fact that the RSI is pointing down is quite far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for a decline ahead. During the day, although the trend is not yet completely clear, gold is showing conditions that are more inclined towards a decline, along with that, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,292 - 3,246 USD Resistance: 3,300 - 3,340 - 3,350 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3346 - 3344⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3350 →Take Profit 1 3338 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3332 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3245 - 3247⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3241 →Take Profit 1 3253 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3259
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Trump "stirred up" GOLD recovery but limited by USD appreciationSpot CAPITALCOM:GOLD has rebounded strongly from yesterday's lows, currently trading around $3,333/oz. The main reason is that US President Trump announced a 25% tariff on Japan and South Korea starting August 1, which boosted safe-haven demand. However, the strengthening US Dollar has also limited the broader recovery in gold prices. On Monday local time, US President Trump sent letters to 14 countries including Japan, South Korea and South Africa threatening to impose tariffs. He then signed an executive order to extend the suspension of "reciprocal tariffs" until August 1. Trump announced that he would impose a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, effective August 1. In a letter to the leaders of Japan and South Korea, Trump said the tariffs would be imposed on August 1 because the two countries' trade relationship with the United States is "very unfair". This is his first letter to major trading partners ahead of the July 9 deadline to reach a trade deal. Trump said that despite the large trade deficits between the United States and South Korea and Japan, the United States has decided to continue to cooperate with the two countries. However, the United States has decided to move forward on the premise of more balanced and fair trade. Trump said that the trade deficit has posed a major threat to the US economy and even national security, so changes are needed. Starting August 1, 2025, the United States will impose a 25% tariff on all products from South Korea and Japan, regardless of the different tariffs by industry. Additionally, any attempt to circumvent tariffs by shipping through a third country will also be subject to higher tariffs. Trump said companies that choose to build factories or manufacture products in the United States will not have to pay the tariffs. Additionally, if South Korea and Japan decide to increase tariffs on the United States, the United States will impose additional tariffs of the same size on top of the current 25% tariff. Official data released by the People's Bank of China on Monday showed that China's central bank increased its gold reserves in June, marking the eighth consecutive month of increase. Bank of America said that central banks around the world are buying gold to diversify their foreign exchange reserves, thereby reducing their dependence on the US dollar and protecting against inflation and economic instability, and the trend is expected to continue. Technical Outlook Analysis CAPITALCOM:GOLD On the daily chart, gold has recovered from a key technical confluence area, which is the closest support area to note for readers in the weekly publication. The area from $3,292 – $3,300 is the confluence of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement with the lower edge of the long-term rising price channel. However, the temporary recovery is being limited by the EMA21, the current closest resistance, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. The recovery momentum is significant, but for gold to have enough technical bullish conditions, it needs to take price action above the EMA21, with a bullish breakout of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level then the prospect of a new bullish cycle will be opened. If gold breaks above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level it will have the next target at the raw price point of $3,400 followed by horizontal resistance at $3,430. During the day, the current gold price should still be assessed as a sideways accumulation trend, when the Relative Strength Index RSI sticks around 50, showing the market's hesitant sentiment. A strong enough fundamental impact to change the structure will give a more specific technical trend in the coming time, and the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,300 - 3,292 USD Resistance: 3,350 - 3,371 - 3,400 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3366 - 3364⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3370 →Take Profit 1 3358 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3352 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3294 - 3296⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3290 →Take Profit 1 3302 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3308
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
Gold will continue to fall today.Gold continued to fall in the US market after hitting a high on Tuesday and hit a recent low. Currently, there is a fierce competition between long and short positions. The repeated swings in the US tariff policy have caused fluctuations in risk aversion sentiment, and the probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates above 95% in July has supported the US dollar. Technically, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows that the short-term moving average diverges downward, and the K-line is under pressure, showing short-term fatigue, suggesting that there is still a need for a correction today. Thank you for your likes and support! I will continue to share my views. I wish you a smooth trading!
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by J-Prof
1
GOLD Long Inside The Range! Buy! Hello,Traders! GOLD is stuck in a local Range while still trading In a strong long-term uptrend So we think that this is an Accumulation before the Next leg up and as we are Bullish biased we will be Expecting a retest and a Rebound from the horizontal Support below around 3259$ With the target of retesting The horizontal resistance Above around 3354$ Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe, projecting further downside after rejection from a resistance zone aligned with a descending trendline. --- Analysis Summary Trend Bias: Bearish Current Price: ~$3,301.96 Structure: Price is respecting a descending channel, with multiple rejections from the upper boundary and key resistance zone. --- Key Technical Insights 1. Resistance Zone & Downtrend Line: Price was rejected from a resistance block near the EMA 200 (~$3,331) and descending trendline. This level has repeatedly triggered strong downside moves (highlighted with red arrows). 2. EMA 200 Reaction: The EMA 200 at $3,331.10 is acting as dynamic resistance. Each time price reaches or crosses above this line, selling pressure increases. 3. Bearish Price Projection: After recent rejection, the chart anticipates a pullback to the support zone between $3,248.26 and $3,245.71. A deeper drop toward $3,159.13 is projected as a next major target, consistent with previous price moves. 4. RSI Indicator: RSI at 40.24 suggests bearish momentum is still in play but not yet oversold—indicating room for more downside. --- Bearish Trade Idea Element Level / Description Entry Zone Below resistance: $3,310–$3,320 Target 1 $3,248.26–$3,245.71 (support zone) Target 2 $3,159.13 (channel base / next support) Stop-Loss Above $3,335 (above resistance zone) --- Risk Considerations Fundamental catalysts: Gold is sensitive to USD strength, interest rate decisions, and macroeconomic data. Invalidation: A strong breakout and close above the descending trendline and EMA 200 would negate the bearish outlook. --- Summary This analysis outlines a bearish setup for XAU/USD, supported by trendline resistance, EMA rejection, and RSI momentum. If current structure holds, a move toward the $3,245 and $3,159 levels is likely. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
15
Crude oil shock trend direction 💡Message Strategy During the European trading session on Monday, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange recovered the previous losses and rebounded to around $67.50 per barrel. Although OPEC+ confirmed that the increase in oil production in August will be higher than expected, oil prices still rebounded. From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and tested around 78. The K-line closed with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged. However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillating upward pattern. 📊Technical aspects The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil failed to continue to hit a new low and showed a rebound rhythm. The oil price crossed the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend entered a transition period. From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crossed the zero axis, and the red column indicated that the bullish momentum was sufficient. At present, the price is running in a wide range, with a range of 65.50-67.80. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will repeatedly test the upper edge of the range within the range. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:67.00-67.50，SL：65.50，Target:70.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
MR. COPPER GOES FUN. WITH DONALD TRUMP — IT IS A BULL RUNCopper prices in 2025 are up about 27 percent year-to-date, driven by a complex interplay of technical and fundamental factors, with geopolitical events such as the Trump administration's tariff policies and the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East having a significant impact. Fundamental Outlook: The main driver of copper prices in 2025 is the ongoing global surge in demand driven by the transition to clean energy. Copper is essential for electric vehicles (EVs), renewable energy infrastructure, and grid upgrades, all of which require extensive use of copper due to its superior electrical conductivity. For example, EVs use about 2-4 times more copper than traditional vehicles, and renewable installations such as wind turbines contain several tons of copper each. This structural growth in demand underpins the optimistic outlook for copper in the medium to long term. On the supply side, however, copper production is growing. The International Copper Study Group (ICSG) forecasts a global copper surplus of 289,000 tonnes in 2025, more than double the 2024 surplus. This surplus is driven by rising production, particularly from new or expanded operations in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mongolia, Russia and elsewhere. Capacity increases in these regions, coupled with smelter growth, could contribute to a supply glut despite strong demand. Conversely, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could disrupt bauxite and alumina supply chains, a region that is a strategically important supplier of raw materials. Impact of Trump Tariffs: The Trump administration’s threats and actions to impose tariffs on U.S. copper imports have added volatility and complexity to the market. The tariff announcement triggered a sharp sell-off in early April 2025 as concerns about the impact on US manufactured demand and global trade flows grew. London Metal Exchange (LME) copper prices fell to one-month lows following China’s retaliatory tariffs, before partially recovering after some tariff exemptions and reductions were announced. The tariffs also distorted physical supply chains. Traders rushed to deliver copper to the US ahead of the tariffs, reducing copper availability in other regions such as China. This arbitrage resulted in a significant widening of the price differential between US CME copper contracts and LME copper prices, with US prices trading at a premium of over 10% to London. This premium reflects the tariff risk embedded in the US copper price and expectations of temporary domestic market tensions. Technical Outlook: Technically, copper prices have shown resilience despite the tariff shocks. Copper prices sold off after peaking in late March 2025 before the tariffs were announced, but have since begun to recover. Long-term trendlines and moving averages remain supportive, with the 100-week and 200-week moving averages trending higher and forming a bullish crossover earlier in the year. Long-term copper prices are once again attacking the 18-year resistance around $4.50/lb ($10/kg) that capped the upside in 2008 and again in the 2010s and first half of the 2020s, with a 1.5x rally in the next 1 to 3 years. The technical main chart of the COMEX December 2025 copper futures contract COMEX:HGZ2025 points to the possibility of an upside move, all the way to the $7 mark (around $15/kg) as early as H2 2025. Conclusion Going forward, copper prices are expected to remain volatile but supported by long-term structural demand growth, with the impact of tariffs likely to cause episodic disruptions rather than a sustained suppression of increasingly hot prices. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team😎
COMEX:HGZ2025
by PandorraResearch
CHF is the new gold? Safe-haven flows keep pressure on USDCHFBank of America argues that the Swiss franc has reasserted itself as the true safe-haven hedge. BofA says the trend of the CHF being used more like gold, and a hedge against problems like rising US debt, could continue. Unlike the yen, which has lost much of its appeal as a pure haven. Technically, recent candles might indicate buyers are attempting to build a base, but there’s no decisive reversal yet. Should price fail to reclaim the 0.8030–0.8050 region soon, the broader bearish structure could resume - possibly testing fresh lows. Meanwhile, rallies in USD/CHF may face pressure as the franc’s macro backdrop continues to attract inflows.
by BlackBull_Markets