Commodities
Natural Gas Price Hits Highest Level Since January 2023Natural Gas Price Hits Highest Level Since January 2023
The XNG/USD chart today shows that natural gas prices have surpassed the December 2024 peak, breaking through the key psychological level of $4.000/MMBtu. Since early February, prices have surged by over 20%.
Why Is Natural Gas Price Rising?
According to The Wall Street Journal, the bullish sentiment is driven by:
→ Weather models confirming forecasts of a significant cold spell.
→ LNG exports remaining at record highs.
Additionally, US gas exports may increase further after President Trump lifted the pause imposed by the Biden administration on new LNG export projects. Bloomberg reports that Trump’s administration is close to approving its first LNG export project.
Technical Analysis of XNG/USD
The price movements are forming an upward channel (marked in blue) on the chart:
→ Prices are currently near the upper boundary of this channel.
→ The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone.
→ The price briefly exceeded the $4.000/MMBtu psychological level.
→ Buyers may look to secure profits after the recent sharp gains.
Given these factors, traders may anticipate a potential pullback, which—if it occurs—could bring natural gas prices back towards the channel’s median level.
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Gold extends bullish trend, targeting key resistance !Gold continues to sustain its strong bullish momentum, approaching a key resistance level with solid support from U.S. tariff uncertainties and strong central bank demand. The primary trend remains intact, reinforced by the trendline and EMA 34-89, signaling that the market is operating within a stable upward channel.
With growing expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates in 2025, investor sentiment continues to favor trend-following buy strategies. As prices remain close to dynamic support levels and above key moving averages, prioritizing trend-based trading remains the optimal approach — because in trading, the trend is always your most reliable ally.
xauusd video analysis for the weekXAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Analysis: February 17 – Febrauary 25, 2025
This analysis provides an in-depth evaluation of gold’s potential trajectory over the specified period, integrating fundamental drivers, technical indicators, and expert forecasts. Key factors influencing gold include geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, inflation trends, and technical patterns.
1. Fundamental Drivers
A. Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Trade Tensions: The U.S. administration’s recent tariffs (e.g., 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% on Chinese goods) have amplified global trade risks, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Middle East and China Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a slowdown in China’s economy (evidenced by a decline in the Caixin PMI) are further driving investors toward gold.
B. Monetary Policy and Inflation
Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 and dovish stances from the ECB and BoE are weakening fiat currencies, boosting gold prices.
Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation, driven by tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, enhances gold’s appeal. Analysts caution that U.S. inflation could exceed targets, forcing the Fed to reverse rate cuts, which may temporarily support the USD but ultimately favor gold.
C. Central Bank Demand
Central banks, notably China’s PBOC, are accumulating gold reserves to diversify away from the USD, creating structural demand.
2. Technical Analysis
A. Short-Term Signals (February–March)
Momentum Indicators: The RSI (26.05) and Stochastic Oscillator (14.5) signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,830 (February 10 analysis) and $2,720 (ascending channel lower boundary).
Resistance: $2,887 (immediate target) and $2,900 (psychological barrier).
2. Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: $2,880 – This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally.
Critical Support: $2,850 – Represents the lower boundary of the ascending channel formed since late 2024.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $2,920 – A breach could trigger bullish momentum toward higher targets.
Key Resistance: $2,959 – The upper boundary of the channel and a major psychological level.
3. Momentum Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory.
Moving Averages (MA):
50-Day MA: Positioned at $2,910, offering dynamic support.
200-Day MA: Located at $2,780, signaling long-term strength.
Stochastic Oscillator: Signals potential upside as it exits oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart.
4. Chart Patterns and Trends
Ascending Channel: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure.
Bullish Flag Formation: On the daily chart, a bullish flag suggests a potential breakout if prices sustain above $2,920.
Candlestick Signals: Last Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern highlights strong buying interest.
5. Scenarios for the Week
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $2,920 could target $2,965 and $3,000.
Momentum indicators support further upside if geopolitical tensions persist.
Bearish Scenario:
A failure to hold $2,880 may lead to a decline toward $2,850.
Profit-taking or USD strength could pressure gold, particularly if U.S. economic data surprises positively.
Bullish Targets/ Resistance
2890
2906
2928
2934
2959
2972
2987
3023
Bearish/Support
2872
2857
2841
2807
2781
XAUUSD ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEKXAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Analysis: February 17 – Febrauary 25, 2025
This analysis provides an in-depth evaluation of gold’s potential trajectory over the specified period, integrating fundamental drivers, technical indicators, and expert forecasts. Key factors influencing gold include geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, inflation trends, and technical patterns.
1. Fundamental Drivers
A. Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Trade Tensions: The U.S. administration’s recent tariffs (e.g., 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% on Chinese goods) have amplified global trade risks, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Middle East and China Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a slowdown in China’s economy (evidenced by a decline in the Caixin PMI) are further driving investors toward gold.
B. Monetary Policy and Inflation
Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 and dovish stances from the ECB and BoE are weakening fiat currencies, boosting gold prices.
Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation, driven by tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, enhances gold’s appeal. Analysts caution that U.S. inflation could exceed targets, forcing the Fed to reverse rate cuts, which may temporarily support the USD but ultimately favor gold.
C. Central Bank Demand
Central banks, notably China’s PBOC, are accumulating gold reserves to diversify away from the USD, creating structural demand.
2. Technical Analysis
A. Short-Term Signals (February–March)
Momentum Indicators: The RSI (26.05) and Stochastic Oscillator (14.5) signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,830 (February 10 analysis) and $2,720 (ascending channel lower boundary).
Resistance: $2,887 (immediate target) and $2,900 (psychological barrier).
2. Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: $2,880 – This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally.
Critical Support: $2,850 – Represents the lower boundary of the ascending channel formed since late 2024.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $2,920 – A breach could trigger bullish momentum toward higher targets.
Key Resistance: $2,959 – The upper boundary of the channel and a major psychological level.
3. Momentum Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory.
Moving Averages (MA):
50-Day MA: Positioned at $2,910, offering dynamic support.
200-Day MA: Located at $2,780, signaling long-term strength.
Stochastic Oscillator: Signals potential upside as it exits oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart.
4. Chart Patterns and Trends
Ascending Channel: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure.
Bullish Flag Formation: On the daily chart, a bullish flag suggests a potential breakout if prices sustain above $2,920.
Candlestick Signals: Last Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern highlights strong buying interest.
5. Scenarios for the Week
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $2,920 could target $2,965 and $3,000.
Momentum indicators support further upside if geopolitical tensions persist.
Bearish Scenario:
A failure to hold $2,880 may lead to a decline toward $2,850.
Profit-taking or USD strength could pressure gold, particularly if U.S. economic data surprises positively.
Bullish Targets/ Resistance
2890
2906
2928
2934
2959
2972
2987
3023
Bearish/Support
2872
2857
2841
2807
2781
XAUUSD Gold - Looking Where to NextHi Everyone i hope your enjoying your weekend and have been catching some good trades recently.
What a great year so far. My previous targets i posted all hit with 100% accuracy.
The range levels were all respected and played out perfectly.
Looking ahead to whats next for gold the range top of 2935 proved to be strong resistance with gold selling off twice from this level so there is a high probability we trace back at least for a mid range test before attempting to go higher again.
We can also not rule out returning to the range bottom of 2775 but the reaction to each level will guide us better. Fundamentally and technically gold is still very strong and profit taking should not be mistaken for a huge correction just yet.
I do see a dynamic supply zone running almost central to the main trend so we need to keep a eye on where price closes.
Plan: Wait for body closes of candles
Close and hold above 2894 to continue up. Retest and Reject 2894 to continue down.
USOIL is changing as I analyzedThrough the previous accurate analysis, USOIL is rising as I analyzed, and many traders have also reaped considerable profits.
The current price of USOIL is US$72.3, and downward pressure still exists. Market expectations for Russia-Ukraine negotiations are heating up. If Russian oil sanctions are lifted, increased supply will put pressure on oil prices. Bank of America analyzed that the underlying price of Brent crude oil may fall by 5-10 US dollars per barrel.
sell:72.4
Tp:71
Tp:70
Sl:73.6
TVC:USOIL FX:USOIL
Crude oil market analysis next weekThe upward trend in global oil demand is expected to continue, especially as the global economy gradually recovers, and the increase in fuel and heating demand may further push up oil prices. However, uncertainties on the global supply side, especially supply problems in Iran and Russia, will have a lasting impact on oil price trends. The increase in the number of drilling rigs in the United States indicates that US oil production has recovered, which may have an impact on market supply in the coming months. If the US energy production capacity continues to expand, oil prices may face downward pressure. In the short term, the crude oil market may maintain a volatile consolidation pattern, and market sentiment will be affected by the global political situation and the balance of supply and demand. Investors need to pay close attention to the situation in Russia and Ukraine, US trade policy, changes in global oil demand, and the dynamics of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy to seize future market opportunities. Crude oil hit a high and fell back at the weekly level, closing at a low level. The weekly level includes a negative inverted hammer line with a long upper shadow line. The weekly level has four consecutive negative lines, and the oil price short position has been continued again. The focus next week is whether the oil price will continue to break below the 70.0 area, and it is expected to open up the space below after breaking.
Next Monday's crude oil plan: Rebound at 71.1 without breaking through once, target at 70.2-69.5, stop loss at 0.5 USD
If oil prices break above $72.0/barrel, this will stop the expected bearish trend and push oil prices back to a mainly volatile trend.
It is expected that oil prices will trade between the support level of $69.0/barrel and the resistance level of $71.2/barrel on Monday.
Crude oil evening analysisFrom the daily chart level, crude oil tested the upper edge of the wide channel in the medium term, and then fell immediately, just in line with the fundamentals. The K-line closed with negative entities continuously, and the moving average system showed signs of turning downward. The performance of short-term momentum is dominant, and the medium-term trend has returned to the range, and the overall trend is mainly downward within the range. The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) rose first and then fell, and oil prices continued to fall and hit a new low. The moving average system is short-term, and the short-term objective trend is downward. In the Asian morning session, in the main downward trend of crude oil in the short term, short-term momentum is dominant. Patiently wait for the formation of the secondary rhythm. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain low consolidation during the day and gradually test 70. On the whole, He Bosheng suggested that the operation strategy of crude oil today should be mainly rebounding high and supplemented by stepping on low and long. The short-term focus on the resistance line of 72.0-72.5 on the upper side and the support line of 70.0-69.5 on the lower side.
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently rising on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 69.64 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD → Bullish trend, but the price depends on the newsFX:XAUUSD bounces off previously tested trend support and gives a chance for possible upside. Economic risks are still high and gold as a safe haven is in demand
Investors are cautious ahead of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia where they will discuss a possible end to the conflict in Ukraine.
Weak risk appetite is supporting the dollar, also helped by comments from Fed officials. They express concern about inflation and call for caution in cutting rates. The attention of market participants is directed to the upcoming speeches of the Fed members and the publication of the minutes of the January meeting
Technically, the price broke 2905 in the Asian session, at the moment this area plays an important role as support. The first target is 2922, the second target is 2938
Resistance levels: 2922, 2938
Support levels: 2905, 2893
The most likely scenario is a retest of support amid the global uptrend, as liquidity below 2905 is still of interest to the market. But, the price may continue to rise due to imbalance from the bullish side. A breakout and consolidation of the price above 2915 may also trigger a rise.
Regards R. Linda!
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed flat with a doji candle, facing resistance at previous highs. As mentioned yesterday, there was a possibility of a pullback to the 5-day moving average, and while the market did not fully correct to that level, it did consolidate and pull the 5-day MA higher, suggesting a preparatory phase for further upside.
On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line remain upward-facing, indicating that buying dips remains the preferred strategy. However, since trading volume remains relatively low and market flows appear mixed, it is advisable to take profits quickly when buying dips rather than holding for extended gains.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared at the highs, meaning that a pullback toward the upper boundary of the previous range is possible. Given the doji candle on the daily chart, traders should be cautious about chasing longs in the pre-market session. If the MACD turns downward, selling pressure could intensify.
That said, the MACD and signal line remain well above the zero line, suggesting that rebound attempts are likely. While the sell signal remains active, short positions should be managed with strict stop-loss levels.
Tonight, the FOMC meeting minutes will be released, so be mindful of potential volatility during the regular session and after-hours trading.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, testing $72 as resistance while forming a potential double-bottom pattern. The MACD on the daily chart is approaching a key decision point, where it will either bullishly cross above the signal line or turn lower again, determining the next directional move.
Since the signal line is near the zero level, the next buy or sell signal is likely to trigger a significant price move. Additionally, the ongoing Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations remain a key geopolitical risk factor, as any developments could lead to increased oil price volatility.
From a technical perspective, oil remains within a range-bound structure, making buying dips the most effective approach. A break below $70 would be a bearish signal, while sustained movement above $72 could confirm a breakout.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has moved above the zero line, lifting the signal line upward. While a short-term pullback is possible, as long as the MACD does not form a bearish crossover, buying pressure could strengthen further.
Gold
Gold closed higher, rebounding from previous levels. Yesterday’s price action confirmed that the MACD used the signal line as support and turned higher, reinforcing the bullish trend.
Since the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, the daily chart remains in a buy-biased structure, meaning that until a confirmed bearish crossover occurs, the market should still be approached with a buy-on-dip mindset.
However, if gold moves above its previous high but the MACD fails to exceed its previous peak, a bearish divergence could form, increasing the risk of a sharp correction. Traders should remain aware of this scenario and avoid chasing long positions at elevated levels.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the signal line near the zero level, generating a strong upward wave. However, the market is approaching key resistance zones, and if another rally occurs, a bearish divergence could develop, reinforcing the need for cautious positioning.
Buying at major support levels remains the safest strategy, while avoiding breakout trades is advisable.
With the FOMC meeting minutes set for release tonight, overnight positions in gold should be managed carefully due to the potential for increased volatility.
Despite high market volatility, trends remain clear across different asset classes, making trading conditions manageable. Instead of attempting countertrend trades, focus on following the prevailing trend and capitalizing on structured setups.Wishing you a successful trading day!
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The gold market has largely recovered after the sharp sell-offGold prices have been suppressed, but this is about to end as supply is tight and gold flows out of London and the US could re-price gold.
Andy Schectman - President of Miles Franklin Precious Metals said that one of the most worrying problems in the current gold market is that it is increasingly difficult to find and buy physical gold. "Currently, the LBMA takes six to eight weeks to deliver gold - in essence, this is almost a form of default," he said.
In China, some major banks have announced they have run out of gold products due to strong demand. In South Korea, the country's mint has temporarily stopped selling gold bars because of tight supply.
The world's largest gold ETF - SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) has just withdrawn 16 tons of gold. He said this could be a sign that institutional investors are withdrawing physical gold from the fund, reflecting a loss of confidence in the "paper gold" market.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Breakout Soon?!
I see clear signs of a bullish accumulation on a daily.
The recent formation of a higher low and 3 consequent equal highs
indicates a highly probable coming bullish movement.
As always, your perfect confirmation is a breakout.
The violation of the underlined blue resistance will give you a
strong bullish signal.
Growth will be expected then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAUUSD: Short-term strategyGold's daily surge hit the previous high again. After the previous M-top was formed, it retreated and tested the MA10-day moving average at 2877, then stopped at the 7/10-day moving average and continued to open upward. The RSI indicator continued to run above the high of 70, and the daily price structure was running in the bullish trend channel!
The short-term four-hour chart shows that after the price rose again above the 2900 mark, the MA10/7-day moving average formed a golden cross and opened upward and gradually moved up to 2917/23. The price is running in the upper and middle rail channels of the hourly and four-hour Bollinger bands. Today's trading idea is to buy at a low price during the intraday correction, and then consider selling at a high price.
At present, gold is in a slow rise. Judging from the current trend, the bull market pattern has not been destroyed. The daily line maintains a unilateral rise, and the MA5-MA10 moving average maintains a golden cross upward; the weekly line has risen for 7 consecutive weeks, strongly opening the upper rail space of the Bollinger band, and the bullish sentiment is high. Since the key point of 2906 has been successfully broken through and stabilized yesterday, the intraday situation is strong, and the operation still maintains a bullish idea of callback!
From the technical form of the small cycle, the support level is near 2913. It is worth noting that the 1-hour gold price broke through the position of 2913 after the bottom shock and sideways trading. Since 2877, the low point has been continuously raised and the high point has broken upward. As long as the bulls do not lose the support point of 2913 today, the upward direction will not change. Unless the position of 2913 is lost again in the future market, they will consider participating in selling. The bulls pay attention to the pressure of 2940-42.
Key points:
First support: 2928, second support: 2920, third support: 2913
First resistance: 2942, second resistance: 2948, third resistance: 2956
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2913-2915, SL: 2904, TP: 2930-2940;
SELL: 2948-2950, SL: 2959, TP: 2930-2920;
$SPY $SPX Pullback to Gap Fill? I've been waiting for a rocket to AMEX:SPY $630 but my monthly tells me that February wants to close red. Here is my daily with a fib that we cant seem to hold above although today we did close above once I have been waiting patiently in this box unlike others, I have constantly reiterated, don't try to be a hero inside of the box. Now that the Box seems to be pushing towards the upside, I can't help but notice we continue printing bearish candles regardless of direction. Today we closed with a Hangman, which begs the question, could we perhaps lean bearish for two of the most bearish weeks of the year in comparison? I'd like to think I'm not wrong here and we will get a spill before anyone gets an expected blow off top. Be careful out there, volatility remains present and the VIX was above the 50DMA last time I checked. If we can get this gap fill and start moving back up, I will be confident in the gap fill being bottom. Seeing as $593 AMEX:SPY alert for bottom never filled, I will have to assume it's still a possibility. Taz out.
Gold Holds Firm Around $2,900 Amid Trade & Inflation ConcernsHello, fellow traders! Let’s analyze gold’s price action today.
Yesterday, gold returned to the $2,900 zone, and as of now, the metal maintains its trend with little change.
Gold’s resilience around $2,900 per ounce comes amid concerns over U.S. trade policies affecting global partners, persistent inflationary pressures, and a weaker U.S. dollar, all of which are supporting the precious metal’s recovery.
Trade Idea : XAUUSD LONG ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis
1. Daily Chart:
• Strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
• RSI at 71.71 (approaching overbought, but still room to run).
• MACD is strongly bullish, indicating momentum in favor of buying.
2. 15-Minute Chart:
• Pullbacks are getting bought aggressively.
• Price is making higher lows and breaking minor resistances.
• MACD remains bullish but shows slight overextension.
3. 3-Minute Chart:
• Strong bullish impulse with a recent breakout.
• RSI is above 70, confirming buying pressure.
• Momentum remains strong with no clear reversal signals.
Fundamental Analysis
• Gold is rallying amid macroeconomic uncertainty.
• US Dollar weakness could be contributing to the rise in gold prices.
• Interest rate expectations and inflation concerns support further upside for gold.
Trade Execution
Trade: Long XAU/USD
• Entry: 2935.00 (slight pullback to support for better RRR).
• Stop-Loss (SL): 2925.00 (below nearest support).
• Take-Profit (TP): 2955.00 (2:1 RRR). FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Gold turns cautious, awaits US-Russia talks, FedspeakJames greets everyone!
Gold prices continue their upward momentum today, currently trading around $2,908, building on the previous recovery. However, gold buyers are turning cautious amid a broad-based rebound in the US Dollar, as markets prepare for the much-anticipated bilateral talks between the US and Russia in Saudi Arabia.
From a technical perspective, gold has surged strongly after confirming support at $2,895. However, it is still too early to establish gains above the $2,910 resistance level. As a result, it wouldn’t be surprising if gold buyers continue to look for opportunities around support levels or liquidity zones within the Bollinger Bands. If this scenario unfolds, we could soon witness a new record high of $2,943, as indicated on the 4-hour chart.
I remain strongly bullish on gold for the upcoming week. Once the current resistance level is broken and establishes new support, nothing will be able to stop gold from climbing even higher. What are your thoughts on this outlook?
Trade Idea: XAUUSD SHORT (SELL STOP)Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Strong uptrend with price near resistance at 2931.99.
• MACD is bullish but shows signs of slowing momentum.
• RSI is at 70.66, indicating overbought conditions and a potential pullback.
2. 15-Minute Chart:
• Recent strong upward move approaching resistance.
• MACD shows weakening momentum.
• RSI is nearing overbought territory, suggesting a short-term pullback.
3. 3-Minute Chart:
• Price rejected at 2934.20 and forming a minor downtrend.
• MACD is bearish, and RSI is recovering from oversold, indicating a possible continuation downward before any rebound.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold’s recent rally is likely fueled by safe-haven demand and macroeconomic factors, but current overbought technicals suggest a short-term pullback.
• Potential profit-taking at current levels could trigger a short-term retracement.
Trade Idea: Short Position
• Entry: 2931.00 (after confirmation of a rejection from resistance)
• Stop Loss (SL): 2936.00 (above recent high for protection)
• Take Profit (TP): 2921.00 (near previous support level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
SILVER Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER made a bullish
Breakout of key horizontal
Level of 32.60$ and the
Breakout is confirmed
Which combined with the
Fact that Silver is trading in
A strong uptrend makes us
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting further growth
Buy!
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