Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support level.
Pivot: 3,032.57
1st Support: 2,998.40
1st Resistance: 3,047.35
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Commodities
USOIL Strategy DiscussionThis week, we've analyzed the reasons behind the short - term strong performance of crude oil. We specifically remind you to pay attention to the price movements within the range of $68.5 - $69.5.
Once again, we advise you to observe more and trade less.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Last pull to 4H MA50 possible, $72 target remainsWTI Crude Oil just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.181, MACD = -0.570, ADX = 39.438) as it crossed above the 4H MA200. It is still under the 1D MA50, so the newly emerged Channel Up may pull the price back under the 4H MA50 one last time before the next, even stronger bullish wave. Overall, we remain long (TP = 72.00), even more so on the long term.
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Potential bearish drop?USO/USD is reacting off the resitance level whic is an overlap resistance level that line sup with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 70.39
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 71.87
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 68.68
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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USOil Sell 70.000Crude oil has been fluctuating and rising recently, reaching a three-week high. From a fundamental perspective:
Supply: The United States has intensified its energy sanctions against Iran. Attacks on Saudi facilities have affected their performance. The OPEC+ will gradually lift the voluntary production cuts starting from April and may increase production for the second time in May. The 30-day ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has not been effectively implemented in substance. However, recently, the United States, Russia, and Ukraine have reached some consensus on Black Sea navigation and the protection of energy facilities.
Inventory: According to API data, for the week ending March 25, U.S. crude oil inventories dropped significantly by nearly 9 million barrels. However, commercial crude oil inventories have been increasing continuously for several weeks, and the overall inventory remains at a high level.
Geopolitics: The U.S. airstrikes against the Houthi armed group in Yemen and Israel's military operations in the Gaza Strip have heightened concerns about the disruption of crude oil supplies in the Middle East. The United States' continuous strengthening of sanctions against Iran and Venezuela also includes a plan to impose a 25% tariff on countries importing Venezuelan crude oil.
Production Increase Pressure: The daily supply increments of non-OPEC countries (such as the United States and Brazil) far exceed the global demand growth rate, which has long-term downward pressure on the oil price center.
💎💎💎 USOIL 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@70.000 - 70.200
🎁 TP 68.5 68.0 67.5
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (VIDEO UPDATE)If you remember on the last update, I showed the possibility of the previous Wave 4 low getting taken out, which did happen. I’ve now re-counted the waves, as analysed on the video above.
⭕️3 Sub-Wave Correction (A,B,C) relabelled.
⭕️Wave 4 Low relabelled.
⭕️Main Supply Zone highlighted.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today, allowing us to bounce between the Goldturns, inline with our plans to buy dips. Not much to report as we are seeing Gold range sideways consolidating ready for a breakout.
We still have the gap left open at 2999, which fell short by a few pips. We will continue to use the lower Goldturns to buy dips until we see the weighted levels cross and lock to confirm the next range. Failure to break 3032 will keep seeing rejections into the lower Goldturns for the bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
USOIL:It's time to go shortRecently, the WTI crude oil has been on a continuous upward trend with fluctuations. The current intraday price has reached a three - week high. At present, the long - position sentiment in the market is greatly influenced by the fundamental news, mainly due to the intensified U.S. sanctions on Iranian energy and the ineffective implementation of the 30 - day cease - fire agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Today's trading strategy: Focus on shorting at high levels. Currently, the price has a firm support at $69. Observe whether it can reach the resistance range of $69.5 again. If it breaks through the upper level, look at the important psychological resistance level of $70. Select to short again within the range.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.5-70
TP:68-67
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Short Position Targeting Below $3,000🔍 Market Analysis After Durable Goods Orders Release
The latest Durable Goods Orders (MoM) for February 2025 were released today, showing a surprising 0.9% increase, while economists had expected a 1.0% decline. However, core capital goods orders fell by 0.3%, indicating weaker business investment.
These mixed figures create uncertainty in the markets. The strong durable goods orders support the U.S. dollar, while the drop in business investment may signal economic concerns. In the short term, the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not rush to cut interest rates could put pressure on gold prices.
📉 Trading Idea: Short Gold from $3,025 to Below $3,000
Entry: $3,025 (already opened)
Gold is currently trading around $3,025, showing signs of weakness near resistance levels.
Why This Short Trade Makes Sense:
1️⃣ U.S. Economic Data Supports the Dollar
The unexpected rise in durable goods orders suggests economic resilience.
A stronger U.S. dollar typically weighs on gold prices.
2️⃣ Lower Expectations for Fed Rate Cuts
These data points may reduce expectations for imminent Fed rate cuts.
Higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is bearish for gold.
3️⃣ Technical Resistance & Downward Momentum
Gold has struggled to break above $3,025 - $3,035 multiple times.
If this level holds, we could see a drop below $3,000 soon.
📊 Price Targets & Stop-Loss
🎯 First Target: $3,000 (psychological support level)
🎯 Second Target: $2,985 - $2,975 (next key technical support zone)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Entry: $3,025
Target: at least $3,000
RRR = 1.66 : 1 – a solid setup for a short-term trade.
🧐 Potential Risks to the Trade
⚠ If the U.S. Dollar Weakens:
If markets interpret weak core capital goods orders as a sign of economic slowdown, the Fed might shift to a more dovish stance, weakening the dollar and boosting gold.
⚠ If Geopolitical Tensions Increase:
Rising geopolitical risks (e.g., China, Middle East) could drive safe-haven demand for gold, pushing prices higher.
📌 Conclusion: Bearish Setup for Gold
Today’s Durable Goods Orders release supports a stronger U.S. dollar, while gold is struggling to break resistance at $3,025 - $3,035. As long as this zone holds, the probability of a correction below $3,000 remains high.
🟢 Plan:
Short at $3,025 is active.
Target: Below $3,000.
Gold remains volatile – keep an eye on the U.S. dollar, Fed policy, and market sentiment for further confirmation! 🔥🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
USOIL Strategy AnalysisCrude oil prices are expected to remain robustly supported in the short term by geopolitical risks and inventory levels. However, market participants should exercise caution regarding potential volatility arising from policy adjustments and economic data releases. It is recommended to adopt flexible trading strategies aligned with risk appetite, with particular emphasis on closely monitoring the implementation of Trump's tariffs and subsequent actions by OPEC+.
Oil trading strategy:
sell @ 70.1 - 69.9
sl 70.5
tp 69.3-69.5
If you need daily accurate trading signals, you can visit my profile for free strategy updates every day.
WTI Crude Oil Trade Plan: DOE Release NYMEX:CL1!
In this tradingview blog, we go over our technical setup and trade idea for Crude oil.
It is important to note we also have DOE inventory numbers coming at 10:30 ET.
Once the release has settled in, the trade idea can be framed using either of our two scenarios.
Scenario 1: Liquidity Trap
Rejection above March Monthly Open or Yearly Open and prices mean revert towards March mcVAH and CVPOC confluence. The idea considers the trend from last Wednesday. Late breakout buyers get trapped. Higher time frame participants push prices lower.
An example swing trade idea would be taking a long position once the release has settled and waiting for a pull back around 69.50.
• Entry: 69.50
• Stop: 70.30
• Target: 68.15
• Risk: 80 ticks
• Reward: 135 ticks
• Risk/Reward ratio: 1.69
This is an example swing trade idea that may play out by the end of the week.
Scenario 2: Shift back into 70 - 75 range distribution.
Immediate resistance is at March monthly open and yearly open. Above it the path clears towards Q1 mid-range and 2025 mCVPOC.
An example of a trade idea for this scenario is to wait for a breakout and close of candle on the 30 minutes time frame above yearly open. Wait for a pullback towards 70.28
• Entry: 70.35
• Stop: 69.50
• Target 71.45
• Risk: 85 ticks
• Reward: 110 ticks
• Risk/Reward ratio: 1.29
Please note that these are example trade ideas. Trades are advised to do their own preparation. Stops are not guaranteed to trigger, and losses may be greater than predetermined stops.
XTI/USD "WTI Crude Oil" Energy Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XTI/USD "WTI Light Crude Oil" Energy Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Yellow MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (68.00) Day / scalping trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 70.90 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
🛢🔥XTI/USD "WTI Light Crude Oil" Energy Market Heist Plan (Day/Scalping Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Seasonal Factors, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
GOLD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3007.8
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3020.9
My Stop Loss - 3000.6
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD - Price can correct to support level and continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it reached the $2880 level and broke it.
Next price bounced from this level and some time rose in the channel, but then it made a correction, exiting from this channel.
After this, price turned around and continue to move up in another rising channel, where later it reached $3000 level.
Then Gold broke this level and made retest, after whcih it rose to resistance line of channel and then fell to support area.
Recently price started to decline, so, I think that Gold can decline to the support level and then bounce up to $3095
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
USOIL SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅CRUDE OIL has hit a TP
Of our last free signal and
Went further up just as we
Predicted but will soon hit
A horizontal resistance level
Of 70.57$ from where we will
Be expecting a local bearish
Correction and a move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DeGRAM | GOLD forms an ascending wedgeGOLD is above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving away from the dynamic support.
The chart forms an ascending wedge.
We expect XAUUSD to rise further before continuing the correction.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
A major correction in Brent crude oil (UKOIL).A major correction in Brent crude oil (UKOIL).
- This idea is invalidated if the price exceeds $73.755.
On the monthly chart, it shows that we are forming a 50% Fibonacci correction from wave 1, from where we will further expect growth toward the $115 area, and possibly even a new all-time high due to a military conflict in the Middle East.
I’ve marked potential downside targets on the chart at $46.50, $49.06, and $52.46, from where we will look for entry points for long positions lasting 2 years or more.
Gold’s rebound is an opportunity for short sellingGold is still oscillating, and a rebound is an opportunity for short selling. Since gold is still oscillating within the box, you can go short if it rebounds to a high level. Gold is still oscillating within a large range for 1 hour. Since gold has not effectively broken through, you can continue to short after rebounding. If it breaks through the box shock, then gold will consider taking advantage of the trend and go long.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-26-25 : Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat-Down pattern for the SPY/QQQ suggests the markets will consolidate in a sideways channel, generally drifting downward.
As I've been warning all of you for the past month+, the market will likely roll over into a topping formation over the next few days, then start an aggressive downward trend targeting $525-535 on the SPY.
Today's video covers some details related to my expectations and how traders can prepare for the bigger moves I see pending.
Gold and Silver are poised for a potentially BIG BREAKOUT move to the upside. And I still believe Gold/Silver are going to rally another 15-20% within the next 30-45 days.
Bitcoin should follow the SPY/QQQ into a "rollover top" type of pattern then shift into a downward price trend over the next few days.
Everything is following my predictions/expectations almost perfectly.
Now, we try to profit from some of these big moves.
Go get some.
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XAGUSD Channel Up aiming for the new Higher High.Silver (XAGUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up for exactly year (since the March 27 2024 Low). Its current Bullish Leg started on the December 31 2024 (Higher) Low after almost touching the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Once the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on January 28 2025, it remained above it ever since, which is what happened on both previous Bullish Legs. We expect a +30% rise and a test of the 1.382 Fibonacci extension as the previous Higher Highs. Our Target is just below that at 37.000.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Why XAUUSD is Bullish ?? Detailed analysis XAU/USD currently trading at approximately $3,030, forming a bullish pennant pattern—a continuation signal that typically precedes further upward movement. This pattern emerges after a strong price surge, followed by consolidation marked by converging trendlines. A breakout above the pennant's upper boundary could propel gold prices toward the target of $3,100, aligning with the prevailing bullish trend
Fundamental factors support this optimistic outlook. Recent geopolitical tensions and concerns over escalating inflation have heightened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's dovish stance, including potential interest rate cuts, has weakened the U.S. dollar, making gold more attractive to investors. These elements collectively contribute to the bullish sentiment surrounding gold.
Technical indicators further reinforce this perspective. Gold has recently surpassed the significant $3,000 threshold, reaching new all-time highs. The formation of the bullish pennant suggests a continuation of this upward momentum. Key support levels to monitor include $2,961 to $2,965, while resistance is anticipated around $3,021 to $3,030. A decisive break above these resistance levels could confirm the pennant breakout, paving the way toward the $3,100 target.
Traders should exercise prudent risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
CFD on WTI CRUDEOIL (US OIL)ITS A T4HR TRADE FOR USOIL
1. Got Activated.
2. Stop loss @ 69.65 and resp. Target 1 @ 69.65 and Target 2 @ 67.59
3. Its a swing trade for 1 week trade working days duration.
4. Kindly make your orders accordingly to the duration period mentioned.
God bless. Happy trading Days