Commodities
Gold Stalled for a day! Can we get some more action now?Looking for price to start moving again today since we have some news coming up. It totally stalled out yesterday and consolidated in a range. we just need it to break outside of that range now.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 33.07
1st Support: 32.64
1st Resistance: 34.48
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Bearisdh reversal fro the Gold?The price is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 3,358.74
1st Support: 3,257.95
1st Resistance: 3,413.48
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Tchnical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis:
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1. Trend & Structure
The previous downtrend was broken with a change of character (ChoCH), suggesting a possible bullish reversal.
After the ChoCH, the market formed bullish order blocks which have been respected, confirming the bullish sentiment.
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2. Key Levels
Support level: Around 3,220–3,240 region, coinciding with the 200 EMA, which has acted as dynamic support.
Order blocks: Several yellow zones indicate areas of institutional buying interest.
The most recent "new order block" is closer to the current price, showing a potential short-term demand zone.
---
3. Price Projection
The chart suggests a bullish continuation, projecting a move towards:
Target Point 1: Around 3,350–3,349.50
Target Point 2: Around 3,408–3,407.98
These levels are likely based on prior highs or imbalance zones.
---
4. RSI Indicator
RSI is above 65, showing bullish momentum, but nearing overbought territory (>70), which could signal a short-term pullback before continuation.
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5. Trade Idea (Visualized Path)
A potential small pullback into the "new order block" around 3,280 is expected.
From there, price may rally to the next supply zones or previous highs, offering a potential gain of ~1.44%.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary of the Idea
This is a bullish continuation setup based on:
Trend reversal via ChoCH.
Strong order block formations.
EMA 200 support.
RSI confirmation.
Traders might look to enter near the new order block (around 3,280), targeting 3,350 and then 3,408, while managing risk below the order block support.
Pleas support boost 🚀 analysis follow K
Bearish reversal?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,350.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,411.31
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 3,258.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – May 22, 2025 Structure Wins. Noise Gets Trapped. Let’s Get Paid.Only Snipers Survive.
Hey traders, GoldFxMinds here! Big day for gold tomorrow, with major USD news set to trigger volatility. Here’s how to stay ahead of the crowd — and not get hunted.Here’s your big picture, bias, and every level that matters.
📈 Macro Structure (D1/H4)
Bias: Bullish-to-neutral as long as 3290 holds.
Trend: Higher highs & higher lows. Price is in accumulation, not distribution, waiting for a real breakout.
News:
• USD Unemployment Claims
• Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI
• Existing Home Sales
— All high-volatility triggers!
🕹️ SCENARIOS & SNIPER PLAYBOOK
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO
News comes in weak for USD, gold holds 3320–3313 or sweeps 3302–3292 and instantly reclaims.
Action: Long only on M15–M30 confirmation
Targets: 3357–3362, then 3380–3388, with runners possible up to 3408 or even 3427 if the squeeze goes wild.
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO
Data is USD bullish; gold breaks & holds below 3302–3292.
Action: Sell rallies into 3320–3313 (now resistance) or on M15/M30 rejection at 3357–3362/3388 ONLY if you see a hard reversal
Targets: 3287–3282 (first), then 3266–3258, finally 3238–3230 if selloff accelerates.
🟠 FAKEOUT/WHIPSAW
Expect first move after news to be a liquidity hunt – stop run above 3357 or below 3292.
Sniper move: Wait for the fake, then take the reversal with confirmation – not the first spike.
🎯 TRADE EXECUTION GUIDELINES
Never chase news. Let the stops get hunted, then strike with confirmation only at key levels.
Use the level context:
Reversal/fakeout = wait for rejection, don’t front-run.
Sweep and reclaim at demand = sniper buy.
No confirmation = no entry.
Plan for volatility windows: 2:30pm – 4:00pm is where the traps are set.
👀 EYES ON TOMORROW
BUY ZONES: 3320–3313, 3302–3292, 3287–3282
SELL ZONES: 3357–3362, 3380–3388, 3400–3408, 3420–3427
Control pivot: 3320–3313 decides intraday bias after news
Gold doesn’t care about your FOMO. Structure tells the truth.
Drop a comment if you want this style daily, smash like & follow for sniper-level clarity, and stay patient — the real trade comes when everyone else gets trapped.
Stay sharp!
GoldFxMinds 🚀
GOLD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GOLD made a strong
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 32.60$ and kept on growing
Which reinforces our bullish
Bias and makes us expect
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Chart Analysis (45-Minute Timeframe):1. Breakout Confirmation:
The chart shows a bullish breakout from a rising wedge or channel structure, marked with two red trend lines.
Price has closed above the Ichimoku cloud, confirming bullish momentum.
2. Key Resistance Levels:
First resistance: $3,324.89 (being tested currently).
Major target/resistance zone: $3,368.18 (highlighted by the upper red line and arrow).
This zone aligns with a previous strong supply area visible on the left of the chart.
3. Support Levels:
Immediate support at the breakout zone around $3,310.
Additional supports lie at:
$3,308.23
$3,305.13
$3,266.45 (bottom of the recent move and key invalidation zone).
4. Volume Profile:
Increased bullish volume is supporting the breakout.
No significant bearish volume spikes yet, indicating momentum is still in favor of buyers.
5. Ichimoku Cloud Insight:
Bullish signals:
Price is above the cloud.
Lagging span (Chikou) is above price.
Cloud ahead is green, indicating potential continued bullish trend.
6. Expected Move:
If price holds above $3,310, we could see a continuation toward the target zone at $3,368.
However, failure to hold above $3,310–$3,305 could lead to a pullback toward the base of the channel or cloud support.
Summary:
Gold is in a bullish breakout phase. A sustained move above $3,324 and holding support at $3,310 increases the likelihood of a move toward the $3,368 resistance zone. Watch volume and lower trend support for any signs of a reversal or failed breakout.
How to arrange after gold falls into consolidation🗞News side:
1. US officials said Trump's statement was related to the Golden Dome Project, which may affect the flow of funds
2. The tension in the Middle East has intensified, and the risk aversion sentiment has increased, which is good for gold
3. Although the withdrawal of Indian and Pakistani troops has eased the regional situation, geopolitical risks still exist
4. Trump mentioned the tax bill, which affected economic expectations and affected gold investment sentiment to a certain extent.
📈Technical aspects:
At present, gold is in consolidation, and the upward trend is slightly stagnant. From the hourly chart, there are signs of downward correction after the upward test of 3320. In the short term, the upper 3320 line has a certain suppression, so gold may test the support again and then rise after stabilizing. Then the first support below is the 3292 line, followed by the 3285 line. If it falls below, it may test the two key support points of 3273 and 3265. The current trend is not clear. In the future trading, we will wait patiently for the gold price to stabilize before entering the market.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 21:
Daily level triangle convergence
The price forms a symmetrical triangle at 3180-3320, and is currently in the final consolidation (a direction must be determined within 3-5 trading days)
MACD key signal: The fast and slow lines are glued below the zero axis. If a golden cross appears, it will confirm the daily level rebound
Volume observation: The recent decline has shrunk significantly, which is in line with the characteristics of "main force accumulation"
4-hour cycle order flow analysis
Institutional cost area: 3220-3230 (the largest trading volume area in the past 2 weeks)
Key pressure levels:
First pressure 3285 (20EMA+Fibonacci 38.2%)
Core pressure 3308 (previous high neckline + channel upper rail)
Breakthrough validity standard: 2 consecutive 4-hour K-lines close firmly at 3300, and the trading volume ≥ 120% of the daily average volume
1-hour chart short-term rhythm
Asian market rules: There have been 5 times in the past 7 days 3250-3270 forms the intraday high and low points
European market momentum: If it breaks through 3275, the success rate of long positions before the US market will reach 68%
Scenario 1: Oscillating upward (probability 65%)
Bull entry point:
Conservative: Go long after stepping back to 3248-3253 (15-minute Bollinger lower track), stop loss 3238, target 3275→3290
Aggressive: After breaking through 3278, step back to 3268 to chase long positions, stop loss 3258, target 3300
Key verification:
If 3280 is not broken before the US market, reduce the position by 50% to lock in profits
Scenario 2: False breakthrough reversal (probability =25% probability)
Short opportunities:
Place short orders when the price reaches 3305-3310 for the first time (stop loss 3318), target 3280→3260
If the price shows "long upper shadow + MACD top divergence" near 3290, enter the market with a short order immediately
Stop loss discipline:
All short order stop losses must be set above 3320
Scenario 3: Black swan decline (probability 10%)
Emergency plan:
After falling below 3230, short at 3245, stop loss 3260, target 3200→3180
If it reaches 3180 (the lower track of the daily line), close the short position and reverse the layout of the mid-line long position
SILVER Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER keeps growing but
Its much slower than Gold
And the price is about to hit
A horizontal resistance level
Of 33.67$ from where we
Will be expecting a local
Pullback and a bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey everyone,
Please see update on our 1h chart idea.
After completing our Bullish targets yesterday, at 3236 and 3278; we stated that we would look for ema5 to lock above 3278 to open 3308.
- We got the lock above 3278, confirming 3308, which was hit perfectly today. We now have a ema5 cross and lock above 3308, opening the range above. Any rejections in this zone and we may see a retest of lower Goldturns for the usual weighted level bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3236 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3278 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3278 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3308 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3373
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3373 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3418
BEARISH TARGETS
3184
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3184 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3146
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3146 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3103
3069
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3069 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3030
2981
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD: Channel Down top with Death Cross. Best sell enty.Gold marginally turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.472, MACD = 17.780, ADX = 34.620) as the price has been rising since last Thursday. Technically however, it is on the most efficient sell entry as it is just under the LH top of the 1 month Channel Down. The big difference now is that it formed a 4H Death Cross and last time we had one inside a Channel Down was almost 1 year ago (June 3rd 2024) and set in motion one last bearish wave to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. We are therefore short with TP = 3,050.
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XAUUSD | Liquidity Grab to BreakoutHello traders!
We’re currently observing a clean breakout setup on Gold (XAUUSD).
After a strong bullish structure with higher lows, price formed a rising wedge pattern, followed by a sharp fake-out and liquidity grab below trendline support.
The market quickly reclaimed the zone and is now breaking above the wedge’s descending resistance line with strength.
I’m anticipating a continuation to the upside, potentially toward the $3340–$3350 area, marked by the green target zone.
This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward opportunity, especially as price respected the lower liquidity sweep and confirmed with a bullish engulfing on the retest.
⚠️ Still, this is a reactive play — if the price closes below the grey zone, I will exit and reassess.
This is a short-to-medium term idea based on market structure, volume reaction, and breakout dynamics.
Good Luck!
DISCIPLINE
Strive for patience, perseverance, determination, & rational action.
Protect your capital. Use stop losses.
Never move or remove your stop just because price moves against you.
This is just my perspective — feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
If you find this analysis helpful, your support is appreciated! 🙌
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Always plan your trade, and trade your plan.
Will crude oil prices continue to rise?On Wednesday, international crude oil prices surged to nearly a one-month high amid market concerns over supply disruptions in the Middle East. News that Israel may strike Iranian nuclear facilities has ignited a risk premium for crude oil, while stalled progress in U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations has also tightened supply expectations. The latest data from the Fujairah Oil Industrial Zone in the UAE showed that as of the week ending May 19, total refined product inventories at the Port of Fujairah stood at 20.562 million barrels, a 4.9% decline from the previous week. Light distillate inventories fell by 357,000 barrels to 8.277 million barrels, medium distillate inventories dropped by 467,000 barrels to 1.295 million barrels, and heavy residual fuel oil inventories rose by 1.651 million barrels to 10.99 million barrels.
Crude oil experienced a pullback today, with prices oscillating lower after the opening, showing minor fluctuations. Notably, prices gradually broke to new lows, suggesting a high probability of a rapid decline. Overall, crude oil has been in a stalemate between rally and correction recently, showing a pattern of daytime declines and night-time gains, but this may shift today. In trading, consider going long on rebounds as the primary strategy and shorting at highs as a secondary approach. Monitor resistance at the $63.0-$64.0 per barrel level and support at the $61.0-$60.0 per barrel level.
Trading Strategy:
buy@60.0-61.0
TP:63.0-64.0
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
XAUUSD Daily Plan – May 21, 2025Gold dancing on liquidity ropes – who’s pulling the strings tomorrow?” 🎭📉📈
🧠 Bias: Mixed
HTF (H4/D1): Bullish retracement inside a bearish macro leg
LTF (M15–H1): Price in premium + internal LH rejection attempt
No clear confirmation for reversal yet – NY may decide
🔵 Discount Buy Zones (for bullish continuation)
3265–3275 → First valid retracement block inside last bullish impulse
3227–3242 → Internal HL + FVG + ascending trendline confluence
3178–3192 → Strong breaker + demand zone holding structure
🔴 Premium Sell Zones (for short-term reaction/reversals)
3285–3292 → Internal LH zone reacting now, possible short-term supply
3318–3330 → Unmitigated OB + clean sweep if market expands
3362–3375 → Final liquidity target above weak high + bearish OB
🧭 Structure Context
D1 CHoCH already printed → valid for short-term retracement longs
H1 broke bullish structure → forming internal HLs
M15 just printed a BOS + premium entry active
H4 bearish swing still intact – bulls need HL above 3190 to flip narrative
📌 Intraday Focus:
Watch for confirmation rejections around 3290 and liquidity grabs above 3300. If price breaks and holds 3295–3300, next invalidation for sellers would be near 3318. If price drops below 3242, look for reaction in deeper demand.
💬 Like this analysis? Smash that ❤️, drop your scenario in the comments, and follow GoldFxMinds for more refined updates. Let’s build together!
— GoldFxMinds
GOLD - Price can rise a little and then fall to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew in a rising channel, where it broke $2975 level and then rose to $3160 level, but next it corrected.
Price exited from channel and entered to triangle, where it made a strong impulse up.
Gold broke $3160 and $3345 levels, reached resistance line, and then made a correction movement, also making a first gap.
Next, price some time traded below $3345 level, and later it at the last time rose to resistance line and then drop.
After this, Gold made a second gap and then exited from triangle, after which it bounced from support level and started to grow.
Possibly, price can bounce from support line of triangle and then fall to $3125 support area.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,301.89 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,293.21 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry - 3301.5
Stop - 3295.3
Take - 3312.0
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 33.222 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold is rising strongly, can it retreat and go long today?🗞News side:
1. US officials said Trump's statement was related to the Golden Dome Project, which may affect the flow of funds
2. The tension in the Middle East has intensified, and the risk aversion sentiment has increased, which is good for gold
3. Although the withdrawal of Indian and Pakistani troops has eased the regional situation, geopolitical risks still exist
4. Trump mentioned the tax bill, which affected economic expectations and affected gold investment sentiment to a certain extent.
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday we gave the view that there would be suppression at the 3290 level above, but affected by geopolitics, risk aversion sentiment rose again. Today, the moving average spread upward, and the Bollinger Bands opened and expanded, and the situation is still bullish. At present, we need to pay attention to the key short-term support level, focusing on the 3280-3285 support line. If the price retreats to this level and does not weaken, it can be considered as an opportunity for us to go long. If the resistance of 3320 is broken through strongly, the upper target will move up, and the lower support will also move up accordingly. 3300 will be converted into an entry opportunity for bulls to pull back. Therefore, we need to observe the price continuity in the European session. If the European session continues to break highs, the US session's correction will still be mainly based on long positions. During the day, it is recommended to wait for gold to retreat to 3290-3280 and try to arrange long positions, looking upward to 3320-3330.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
