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High Risk, High Reward: Shorting ATH in a Bullish Copper Market.Copper just broke above its all-time high, triggering my short entry at 5.3010. While the macro trend is undeniably bullish, past price action has shown that each major high was followed by aggressive selloffs. This might not be the case this time – but that’s exactly why we have a stop-loss in place. This is a tactical counter-trade: not about fighting the trend but playing a potential rejection from a psychological and technical key zone. Let’s see if history rhymes or the red metal keeps melting resistance! Technicals: • Daily timeframe breakout above ATH triggered the short at 5.3010. • Strong vertical rally into major supply – parabolic move often cools down. • Previous ATH levels have consistently attracted heavy selling. • If price invalidates with a continuation above 5.61, the setup is out. • Volatility around this zone is expected – precision and SL management are key. Fundamentals: 1. Trump’s Proposed Copper Tariffs: • Tariffs of up to 25% could disrupt global trade flow and introduce price instability. • Market already priced in a bullish narrative, so any delay or uncertainty could spark a correction. 2. Panama’s Cobre Mine Shutdown: • The mine accounts for 1% of global supply, and uncertainty around reopening may already be priced in. • The government is holding off public visits, which adds operational risk but no clear bullish resolution yet. 3. China Smelter Closures: • While bullish in nature, these are known factors – any shift or reversal from China could cool the demand-side speculation. 4. Overbought Sentiment: • Prices surged rapidly, creating a gap between LME and NY copper prices, reaching record spreads. • Speculative exhaustion could trigger a short-term pullback or deeper correction. Risk-Managed Play. Let’s see if this time is different – or just the same old Copper story in a new macro wrapper. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
VANTAGE:COPPERShort
by AR33_
XAUUSD: 26/3 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3057-3100, support below 2999 Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999 One-hour chart resistance 3032, support below 3014 Gold news analysis: The market is reassessing the potential impact of the latest US tariff policy on global commodity liquidity. Yesterday, US President Trump signed an executive order announcing that a 25% "secondary tariff" would be imposed on countries that purchase oil from Venezuela, a move that could significantly increase the import cost of Indian goods. At the same time, gold ETFs saw rare inflows at the end of the first quarter, laying the groundwork for price trends in the second quarter. After experiencing a rapid rise at the beginning of this year, both gold and silver fell and pulled back in the past week. Although increased risk appetite, rising bond yields and a stronger dollar are widely used to explain recent price movements, correlation analysis suggests that there may be other factors driving prices back down. Due to the relatively light economic data release schedule and the end of the quarter approaching, the exchange market did not show a clear upward or downward trend. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the one-hour level 3032 and the four-hour level 3038 line, and the lower short-term support focuses on the vicinity of 3014. Overall, we rely on this range to maintain a high-sell-low-buy strategy and patiently wait for key points to enter the market. Sell: 3038near SL: 3042 Sell: 3014near SL: 3020 Buy: 2999near SL: 2994 Use small-size transactions
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 3,024.22. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,056.10 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
eurusd alternative 5 wave outlook buy dips tp 1100🏆 eurusd Market Update / Wednesday 📊 Alternative Technical Outlook 🔸Bullish OUTLOOK 🔸5 waves Bullish Sequence on H12 🔸0230/0530 w1, 0530/0290 w2, 0290/0935 w3 🔸0935/0675 wave 4 pullback now 🔸0675/1100 - final wave 5 pump 🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 0675/0665 🔸Price Target BULLS: 1100 USD in Wave5 💶📉 EUR/USD Mini Market Recap – March 2025 🔹 🛑 Fed Holds Rates 📉 No rate cut yet, but hints coming soon 🏦📊 🔹 💵 USD Strength Rising 💪 US data strong + tariff optimism = dollar gains 💼📈 🔹 📉 EUR/USD Weakens ⚠️ Testing 1.0798 support, 1.06 may come next 🚨📉 🔹 📊 Key US Data Ahead 🕵️‍♂️ Core PCE inflation data could move EUR/USD fast 📆📊 🔹 🌐 Trade Tensions Return 🧨 Tariff talk adds pressure to euro and dollar 💣💬
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
22
XAUUSD _ GOLD analysisTechnical Analysis: Bearish Order Block at 3,045 A Bearish Order Block is marked at 50% of a previous price range around 3,045. This indicates potential resistance, where price may face selling pressure. Current Price Action The price is currently 3,023, showing slight bullish momentum (+0.11%). The market seems to be testing previous highs but struggling to break through. Trade Setup (Risk-Reward Analysis) A long position (buy trade) appears to be placed. The Stop Loss (SL) is set at 3,018.50. The Take Profit (TP) is set around 3,045.00. The Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio is favorable, aiming for a higher profit target. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Around 3,021.30 The FVG at 3,021.30 suggests a liquidity area where price might react. If price holds above this level, the bullish move may continue. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Case: If price maintains above 3,021.30 and gains momentum, it could reach the order block at 3,045. Bearish Case: If price breaks below the FVG and 3,018.50, selling pressure could take it lower.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Tdawly_Official
1
Silver Rises as Markets Eye Trump TariffsSilver rose above $33 on Tuesday, rebounding as trade and economic concerns supported safe-haven demand. Hopes that Trump may adopt a more targeted tariff plan ahead of the April 2 deadline offered some relief, though his new pledges to tax autos and pharmaceuticals added uncertainty. Expectations of further Fed rate cuts also supported silver. Markets now anticipate one cut in June, another in September, and growing chances of a third in December. If silver breaks above $33.80, the next resistance levels are $34.05 and $34.85. On the downside, support is at $33.10, with further levels at $32.50 and $32.15 if selling pressure increases. 
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Silver H1 | Falling to an overlap supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 33.56 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 33.15 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 34.18 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by FXCM
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 65.268.Colleagues, I believe that the downward movement is not over yet, and now the price is in a complex combined correction. The second correction also consists of “ABC” waves. In an ideal scenario, the price completes wave “C” in the 70.000 area and starts the downward movement to the support area of 65.268. In general, the plan has not changed since the last forecast, but the bulls still have strength, so we should take the upward movement as an opportunity to profitably go short. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
9
Golden Opportunities: Navigating the New Era of InvestmentFolks, we're witnessing something truly remarkable with XAUUSD. Gold's weekly uptrend is not just a blip on the radar; it's a beacon signaling a return to the fundamentals I've been harping on for ages. Recall my earlier insights? I pegged the long-term trend in Gold, and here we are, watching it soar. Trump's chatter about inflation and rates? It's like watching a chess game where each move by the Fed could be influenced by such rhetoric. The market, my friends, seems to be betting on this narrative, pricing in these potential shifts. Now, let's not forget the basics. Historically, precious metals dance to the tune of real interest rates - those inflation-adjusted numbers. Sure, during times of market panic or geopolitical tension, Gold might get caught in the crossfire as either a collateral darling or a safe haven. But in these calmer waters, it's the real rates that dictate the dance. So, keep your eyes on the prize. Gold isn't just shining; it's setting the stage for what might be a golden era in investment. Watch, learn, and maybe, just maybe, enjoy the ride as we navigate these waters together. Stay vigilant, and may your investments be as golden as your opportunities. Horban Brothers, Alex Kostenich
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by horbanbrothers
Gold hit 3300 , why not ? The Conference Board (a non-profit research organization in the United States, specializing in providing reports and analysis on economic issues, jobs, labor markets and long-term trends) announced on Tuesday that the US consumer confidence index fell to 92.9, down from a revised 100 in February. This data was weaker than expected, as economists had predicted a smaller decline, only falling to 94.2. Société Générale (SocGen - a large multinational bank based in France) has just announced its multi-asset portfolio strategy for the second quarter. The bank still holds 7% of its portfolio in gold and forecasts that the price of gold could reach $4,000/ounce. At 7%, gold remains the largest commodity position in SocGen’s portfolio. “Gold remains a strong asset amid the geopolitical reshaping of the US, which has triggered strong policy responses,” the analysts said. Although gold prices are currently hovering above $3,000 an ounce, SocGen expects gold prices to continue to rise. The French bank forecasts gold prices to average around $3,300 an ounce in the fourth quarter. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to support gold as an important global currency, the analysts said. They also pointed to conditions that could push prices to $4,000 an ounce.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Bullish bounce?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the overlap resistance level. Pivot: 68.47 1st Support: 67.43 1st Resistance: 70.38 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
USOil:When to short at high levels?During the evening session yesterday, the price of crude oil surged again, reaching the resistance level of 69.5 per barrel in the session. However, after encountering resistance, part of the bullish momentum took profits and fled the market, causing the price to decline slightly to the support level of 69 per barrel without further drops. After today's opening, the bullish momentum is obviously insufficient, and the price has not risen further, showing a downward extension trend. Today's trading strategy: Focus on taking short positions at relatively high levels. Currently, the support at 69 per barrel is relatively solid. Observe whether the price can reach the resistance range of 69.5 per barrel again. If it breaks through upwards, look at the important psychological resistance level of 70 per barrel. Choose to take short positions again within the range of 69.5 - 70 per barrel, with the target price at $68 per barrel. Participate with a small position. USOIL Trading Strategy: Sell@68.5-69 TP:68-67 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:USOILShort
by LeoBlackwood
“Weak Demand Signals Potential for a Lower Low”Currently, the position of NCF1! or Newcastle Coal is within wave 5 of wave (C) of wave , indicating that Newcastle Coal remains vulnerable to further corrections toward the 86.55–96.15 range, as represented by the black labels. A similar pattern is observed in the red labels, where Newcastle Coal is also nearing the completion of wave (5) of wave . We observe continued pressure on coal demand due to weak consumption and oversupply, as many countries are increasingly investing in renewable energy sources amid slower global economic growth.
ICEEUR:NCF1!Short
by herdityawicaksana
GOLD short-term analysis, continue to fluctuate and consolidateTechnically, the gold daily chart rose slightly yesterday, and the price closed within the range of MA10-7-day moving average. The Bollinger Bands of the 1-hour chart and the 4-hour chart have narrowed, and the price is now adjusted near the middle track of the Bollinger Band! The upper track of the four-hour chart suppresses the 3038 line, the lower track supports the 3003 line, the MA10/7-day moving average is glued, and the RSI indicator is flat. It is expected that the gold price will continue to fluctuate in a wide range, and the trading idea is still to sell at a high level, and then consider buying at a low price. Gold is currently temporarily maintaining a high-level shock repair in the daily trend. After continuous shocks in the 4-hour level trend, the technical pattern has begun to gradually repair and complete, the short-term moving average has begun to gradually turn around and diverge upward, and the K-line chart has begun to slowly stand on the short-term moving average support. In the short-term trend, bulls have an advantage, but the current price is temporarily under pressure around 3035. The overall market is still volatile. The US market reached a high of 3036 and fell under pressure. This position is the 0.618 resistance of the decline and rebound. At the same time, it has risen three times. Note that buying needs to find the right position. Today, you can pay attention to the 3005/3008 support to go long. In the short term, the market is volatile, and both long and short positions have the opportunity to participate. On the 1-hour chart of gold, the price has fallen back after touching the previous pressure zone. In the short-term trend, the technical pattern has also begun to weaken. It tends to have some adjustment space in the short term, but the adjustment strength is uncertain. At present, the bottom divergence pattern is formed on the hourly chart, and the short-term moving average turns upward. It is expected that gold will still have a rebound demand in the short term. If the gold price stabilizes above $3010, the short-term target will be the $3035-3045 range, and further breakthroughs are expected to test $3050. Key points: First support: 3013, second support: 3005, third support: 2992 First resistance: 3032, second resistance: 3038, third resistance: 3046 Operation ideas: Buy: 3005-3008, SL: 2996, TP: 3020-3030; Sell: 3033-3035, SL: 3044, TP: 3015-3010;
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
XAG/USD Trade Ideas: Navigating Key Resistance and Support ZonesSilver 's Next Move: Technical and Fundamental Insights for XAGUSD Traders 🚀📊 Technical Analysis 📊 The chart provided is a 4-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) with Fibonacci retracement levels applied. Here's a detailed technical breakdown: Trend Analysis 📈: The price has recently rebounded from a low near $32.90 and is now trading at $33.66. The short-term trend appears bullish, as the price has made a higher low and is attempting to break higher. Fibonacci Retracement Levels 🔢: The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from the recent swing high to swing low. The price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level ($33.35) and is now testing the 0% retracement level ($33.80), which acts as resistance. The 61.8% retracement level ($33.24) and 78.6% retracement level ($33.09) are key support zones if the price pulls back. Resistance and Support 🛑🛠️: Resistance: The immediate resistance is at $33.80 (0% Fibonacci level). A break above this level could open the door to further upside, targeting $34.25 (50% Fibonacci extension). Support: The first support is at $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level), followed by $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level). Candlestick Patterns 🕯️: The recent candles show indecision near the resistance level, indicating a potential pause or reversal. If a strong bullish candle forms above $33.80, it would confirm a breakout. Momentum 🚀: The price is showing bullish momentum, but the resistance at $33.80 needs to be cleared for further upside. Fundamental Analysis 🌍 Silver's Role as a Safe Haven 🛡️: Silver often acts as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. If there are concerns about global economic stability or inflationary pressures, silver demand could increase. US Dollar Impact 💵: Silver is inversely correlated with the US Dollar. If the USD weakens due to dovish Federal Reserve policies or poor economic data, silver prices could rise. Industrial Demand ⚙️: Silver has significant industrial applications, particularly in electronics and renewable energy. Any positive developments in these sectors could support silver prices. Upcoming Economic Events 📅: The chart shows upcoming economic events (likely US-related). If these events lead to USD weakness or increased market uncertainty, silver could benefit. Trade Idea 💡 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout 🚀 Entry: Buy above $33.80 (on a confirmed breakout). Target: $34.25 (50% Fibonacci extension) and $34.50 (psychological level). Stop Loss: Below $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level). Scenario 2: Pullback and Rebound 🔄 Entry: Buy near $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level) or $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level) if the price pulls back. Target: $33.80 (0% Fibonacci level) and $34.25. Stop Loss: Below $33.00. Scenario 3: Bearish Reversal 📉 Entry: Sell below $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level) if the price fails to hold support. Target: $33.00 and $32.90. Stop Loss: Above $33.50. Conclusion ✅ The current setup favors a bullish bias 📈, but the resistance at $33.80 is critical. A breakout above this level could lead to significant upside, while a failure to break higher may result in a pullback to key support levels. Monitor price action closely around the Fibonacci levels and upcoming economic events for confirmation. ⚠️ Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony